12/18 Trading Plan - Today's Recap and Tuesday Trading Plan📊 Market Sentiment: Bullish Trend with Cautious Watch
The market continues its upward trajectory, indicated by 8 consecutive green days, but now faces a critical juncture just under major resistance. While the bullish trend is dominant, traders should be vigilant for any trend reversals.
🌏 Major Global Catalysts
Tesla's Wage Increase: Impacts on union interest at the Nevada Gigafactory.
North Korea's ICBM Launch: Escalating geopolitical tensions.
Market Reactions: Mixed signals with rising Treasury yields and fluctuating European and Asian markets.
Venezuela-Guyana Territorial Dispute: Agreement to resolve peacefully.
China's Economic Challenges: Deflation risks highlighted by falling pork prices.
Crypto Political Influence: Super PAC's significant funding for the 2024 elections.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict: New EU sanctions amidst Putin's re-election plans.
📷 Snapshot
Daily Data Sentiment Analysis:
EMA 9, 21, 55: Indicating a bullish sentiment with closing prices comfortably above these EMAs.
Overall Sentiment: Bullish.
4-Hour Data Sentiment Analysis:
EMA 9, 21, 55: Also showing a bullish trend.
Overall Sentiment: Bullish.
📉 Support Levels
Major: 4788-90, 4781, 4772, 4766, 4763, 4753, 4744, 4730-34, 4726, 4719, 4708, 4698-4700, 4692, 4684, 4673, 4663-66, 4654, 4648, 4634, 4630, 4618-20.
Minor: 4764, 4724-26, 4717, 4700, 4690, 4684, 4678, 4674, 4670.
📈 Resistance Levels
Major: 4796, 4806, 4810-12, 4817, 4825-27, 4838, 4848, 4860, 4873, 4883, 4900, 4906, 4910, 4923-25, 4932, 4945, 4953, 4962, 4976, 4990, 5002.
Minor: 4787, 4795, 4816-20, 4826, 4838.
📝 Trading Plan
Bull Case Analysis:
Key Levels: 4781, 4772.
Strategy: Maintain the breakout, targeting 4808-10.
Risks: Be cautious after 8 green days, the trend could shift.
Bear Case Analysis:
Target Short Entry: If 4773 fails, consider shorts with caution.
Profit Targets: Watch for potential dips towards 4708.
Strategy: Discipline in profit-taking is key, watch for market traps.
Tomorrow’s Outlook:
Discipline and Strategy: Monitor 4781 and 4773 supports closely.
The market remains bullish, but a shift is possible at any moment. Monitor support and resistance levels diligently and adjust strategies as needed.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
ES
12/17 Trading Plan - Last Week Recap and Monday Trading Plan📊 Market Sentiment: Bullish
The market has been on a steady upward trend, with the March ES contract rolling from December front month to March. The key support and resistance levels have been identified, focusing on the 4756-58 to 4786 range.
🌏 Major Global Catalysts
The discovery of a large tunnel near the Gaza border by Israel has sparked concerns about the adequacy of its prewar intelligence. In the U.S., the Biden campaign has sharply criticized Trump's anti-immigration rhetoric, comparing it to Adolf Hitler. Former FDIC Chair Sheila Bair has cautioned against irrational market optimism despite expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. As inflation shows signs of decline, there's skepticism about whether corporate America will lower prices. Meanwhile, stock futures remain stable following a seven-week rally in major market averages.
📷 Snapshot
Daily Data Sentiment Analysis:
EMA 9, 21, 55: Indicating a bullish sentiment with closing prices comfortably above these EMAs.
Overall Sentiment: Bullish.
4-Hour Data Sentiment Analysis:
EMA 9, 21, 55: Also showing a bullish trend.
Overall Sentiment: Bullish.
📉 Support Levels
Major: 4770-72, 4766, 4756-58, 4750, 4743, 4731-34, 4724, 4719, 4704-08, 4699, 4692, 4687, 4683, 4678, 4674, 4764-66, 4660, 4654, 4647, 4644.
Minor: 4764, 4724-26, 4717, 4700, 4690, 4684, 4678, 4674, 4670.
📈 Resistance Levels
Major: 4776, 4781-83, 4786, 4794, 4808-10, 4817, 4826, 4838, 4848, 4860, 4871, 4877, 4883, 4900-05, 4920, 4925, 4933, 4945, 4953, 4963, 4975, 4985-90, 5002.
Minor: 4787, 4795, 4816-20, 4826, 4838.
📝 Trading Plan
Bull Case Analysis
Recent Trend: The S&P 500 futures (ES) maintain a bullish momentum with 7 consecutive green weeks.
Premise: Expecting further uptrend, consolidating within the 4756-4786 range.
Key Zone: 4756-58, critical for bulls. Watch for consolidation and potential breakout towards 4808-10.
Strategy: Bulls anticipate a continuation pattern within this range, eyeing a push to higher resistance levels.
Risk Factors: Key risk includes a breakdown below 4756, leading to potential backtest towards lower supports.
Bear Case Analysis
Premise: Potential for a downturn if key support at 4756 is breached.
Target Short Entry: Around 4752 post-breakdown of 4756.
Profit Targets: Aim for 4740-43 and lower if the breakdown occurs.
Strategy: High-risk/reward breakdown trades; caution advised due to their challenging nature.
Execution: Avoid impulsive trades; focus on clear setups and key levels.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
12/14 Trading Plan - Thursday Recap and Day Ahead📊 Market Sentiment: Bullish
Stay light on OPEX day due to the potential for choppy trading. Look for a potential base building in the 4756-83 range for a potential leg up to the 4804-08 zone. If 4756 fails, prepare for a potential pullback.
📈 The Markets Overnight
🌏 Asia: Mostly up
🌍 Europe: Up strongly
🌎 US Index Futures: Up strongly
🛢 Crude Oil: Up a lot
💵 Dollar: Down
🧐 Yields: Down a lot
🔮 Crypto: Mixed
🌏 Major Global Catalysts
Markets rally strongly on FOMC Dot Plot forecasting 3 rates cuts totaling up to 0.9% in 2024.
European Central Bank and the Bank of England each hold rates steady this morning.
📷 Snapshot
Daily Data Sentiment Analysis:
EMA 9, 21, 55: Indicating a bullish sentiment with closing prices comfortably above these EMAs.
Overall Sentiment: Bullish.
4-Hour Data Sentiment Analysis:
EMA 9, 21, 55: Also showing a bullish trend.
Overall Sentiment: Bullish.
📉 Support Levels
Major: 4772, 4756, 4740-43, 4710-05, 4660-65
Minor: 4764, 4724-26, 4717, 4700, 4690, 4684, 4678, 4674, 4670
📈 Resistance Levels
Major: 4780-83, 4804-08, 4845, 4860-63
Minor: 4787, 4795, 4816-20, 4826, 4838
📝 Trading Plan
Bull Case Analysis
Scenario Overview:
Recent Trend: ES (S&P 500 futures) has experienced a strong bullish trend, marked by six consecutive green days.
Bull Case Premise: Continuation of the uptrend through pattern formation and support maintenance.
Key Levels and Patterns:
Support Zone: 4756, pivotal for bulls to maintain control.
Target Range: 4756-4783, seen as a potential consolidation area.
Upside Objective: A move towards the 4804-08 zone, acting as a magnet level.
Strategy and Risks:
Pattern Building: Bulls expect ES to form a continuation pattern within the target range, setting the stage for another leg up.
Risk of Breakdown: Failure to hold 4756 increases the risk of a backtest towards the 4710-05 area.
Execution Caution: Traders should be wary of false breakouts and maintain strict risk management.
Bear Case Analysis
Scenario Overview:
Bear Case Premise: A break below key support leading to a downward move.
Key Levels and Patterns:
Critical Support: 4756, the level below which breakdown trades become viable.
Target Short Entry: Around 4752, following a failed bounce at 4756.
Profit Targets: First target at 4740-43, capturing the move below the day's low.
Strategy and Risks:
Breakdown Trades: These are high risk/reward but have a low success rate (60% expected to fail).
Execution Skill: Requires skill to execute successfully; not advisable for traders uncomfortable with these odds.
Rule of Thumb: Avoid chasing the price; wait for a clear trade setup and reaction at the key level.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
12/13 Trading Plan - Wednesday Recap and Day Ahead📊 Market Sentiment: Neutral to Bullish
📈 The Markets Overnight
🌏 Asia: Mixed, China down a lot
🌍 Europe: Up a bit
🌎 US Index Futures: Up a bit
🛢 Crude Oil: Up a bit
💵 Dollar: Down slightly
🧐 Yields: Down
🔮 Crypto: Down
🌏 Major Global Catalysts
COP28 deal calls for the tripling of renewable energy capacity by 2030 and the eventual phase-out of fossil fuels.
Today’s quarterly FOMC Economic Projections will contain an updated Dot Plot showing projects for the future of the Fed Funds Rate.
📷 Snapshot
Daily Data Sentiment Analysis:
EMA 9, 21, 55: Indicating a bullish sentiment with closing prices comfortably above these EMAs.
Overall Sentiment: Bullish.
4-Hour Data Sentiment Analysis:
EMA 9, 21, 55: Also showing a bullish trend.
Overall Sentiment: Bullish.
📉 Support Levels
Major: 4758-60, 4734, 4710
Minor: 4743, 4720, 4701
📈 Resistance Levels
Major: 4772, 4780-85, 4808
Minor: 4793, 4812, 4820
📝 Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario: For bullish scenarios, holding above major supports such as 4758-60 and then pushing towards levels like 4772.
Bearish Scenario: For bearish scenarios, a focus on support failures, particularly at 4710-12, would signal a potential trend change and warrant a shift towards short positions.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
12/12 Trading Plan - Monday Recap and Day Ahead📊 Market Sentiment: Neutral to Bullish
📈 The Markets Overnight
🌏 Asia: Up
🌍 Europe: Up slightly
🌎 US Index Futures: Very near unchanged after declining
🛢 Crude Oil: Down a lot
💵 Dollar: Down slightly
🧐 Yields: Down slightly but well off the lows
🔮 Crypto: Up
🌏 Major Global Catalysts
CPI inflation prints very slightly hotter m/m, inline with expectations.
COP28 hits roadblock over fossil fuels phaseout language.
📷 Snapshot
Daily Data Sentiment Analysis:
EMA 9, 21, 55: Indicating a bullish sentiment with closing prices comfortably above these EMAs.
Overall Sentiment: Bullish.
4-Hour Data Sentiment Analysis:
EMA 9, 21, 55: Also showing a bullish trend.
Overall Sentiment: Bullish.
🔍 Key Resistance Levels:
4755: Long-term target
4685-4697: (current)
🔍 Key Support Levels:
4630-4635: (current)
4573 & 4580: Significant resistance-turned-support zone.
4556-4558: Indicating a choppy trading range.
4540-4542: Acting as support post-breakout.
4514 & 4497: Important back-testing zones.
4450: Immediate backtest point previous post-CPI announcement.
📉 Support Levels
Major: 4668, 4635-4630, 4593-4596, 4565-4560
Minor: 4661, 4655, 4647, 4642, 4617-4620, 4606, 4585, 4576, 4547, 4534, 4524, 4511-4513, 4504, 4485, 4475, 4466, 4458, 4449, 4433, 4426, 4410-4415, 4405, 4392, 4386, 4377, 4366, 4353, 4342, 4331, 4320, 4310
📈 Resistance Levels
Major: 4685-4697, 4710-4713, 4723, 4734, 4743, 4753-4756, 4768, 4775, 4788, 4794, 4805-4810, 4816, 4826, 4838, 4860, 4869, 4885
Minor: 4673, 4697, 4718, 4734, 4743, 4768, 4775, 4788, 4794, 4816, 4826
📝 Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario: Watch key support at 4668 and 4635-4630 for potential entry points on a reclaim.
Bearish Scenario: Resistance at 4685 could offer short opportunities if it fails to break, but with the trend being bullish, counter-trend trades are not preferred.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
12/11 Trading Plan - Last Week Recap and Day Ahead📊 Market Sentiment: Bullish
Both the 4-hour and daily data indicate a bullish sentiment for the S&P 500 Index Futures, with closing prices consistently above the 9, 21, and 55 EMAs.
🔄 Market Recap
Last Thursday's rally from 4556 to 4590 occurred on a textbook failed breakdown. This was followed by another squeeze after the NFP release last Friday, due to yet another failed breakdown. The market exhibited a strong performance with closing prices maintaining above key EMA levels, indicating sustained bullish momentum. This trend was consistent across both the daily and 4-hour charts.
📈 The Markets Overnight
🌏 Asia: Mostly up, Japan down a lot
🌍 Europe: Up
🌎 US Index Futures: Mixed
🛢 Crude Oil: Up strongly
💵 Dollar: Up
🧐 Yields: Up strongly
🔮 Crypto: Up
🌏 Major Global Catalysts
Japanese stocks continue their steep decline fall, the Yen continues to rally as traders expect the Bank of Japan will exit it’s longtime negative rate policy this month.
📷 Snapshot
Daily Data Sentiment Analysis:
EMA 9, 21, 55: Indicating a bullish sentiment with closing prices comfortably above these EMAs.
Closest Support and Resistance: Support at 4580, resistance at 4632.
Overall Sentiment: Bullish.
4-Hour Data Sentiment Analysis:
EMA 9, 21, 55: Also showing a bullish trend.
Closest Support and Resistance: Support at 4580, resistance at 4642.
Overall Sentiment: Bullish.
🔍 Key Resistance Levels:
4755: Long-term target, significant in current market context.
4680-4685: Crucial for validating bullish trend strength.
4658: First major breakout zone.
4642-4645: Key current market zone.
4620-4625: Potential for breach due to significant basing.
🔍 Key Support Levels:
4573 & 4580: Significant resistance-turned-support zone.
4556-4558: Indicating a choppy trading range.
4540-4542: Acting as support post breakout.
4514 & 4497: Important back-testing zones.
4450: Immediate backtest point post-CPI announcement.
📉 Support Levels
Major: 4556, 4539-42, 4520, 4496, 4463, 4450, 4431, 4408, 4389
Minor: 4548, 4530, 4524, 4512, 4507, 4485, 4475, 4443, 4436, 4418, 4414, 4399
📈 Resistance Levels
Major: 4573, 4580, 4590-93, 4618-22, 4640-42, 4657, 4680-84, 4711, 4727, 4747, 4755
Minor: 4565, 4597, 4609, 4633, 4648, 4666, 4693, 4704, 4722, 4739-41
📝 Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario: Sustaining above key supports and breaching resistances, particularly at 4620-4625 and 4658, suggests a continuation of the bullish trend.
Bearish Scenario: A reversal below key supports, notably below 4556, could signify a shift to bearish sentiment.
💡 Wrap Up
In conclusion, last week was good for the market with a bullish trend. However, some hangover is likely today, and the market will most likely be waiting for CPI and FOMC releases to commit to further moves. As long as 4647-4540 holds on dips, the market can continue the path higher to 4660, 4667, and 4685 target. If 4640 fails, we test 4624, potentially leading to a sell-off.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
12/8 Trading Plan - Thursday Recap and Day Ahead📊 Market Sentiment: Bullish
The current market sentiment is bullish, as indicated by various key factors. The closing prices are consistently above the Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) for 9, 21, and 55 periods in both the 4-hour and daily datasets, highlighting a positive trend. Additionally, the market is maintaining levels above key support zones while approaching significant resistance levels. This bullish sentiment is further supported by global market trends, with most markets showing upward movement, robust crude oil prices, and strong yield performances.
🔄 Market Recap
November proved to be a bullish month, with the ES rallying over 450 points, demonstrating remarkable resilience. However, since November 20th, ES has been in a consolidation phase, oscillating within a narrow range of 4550-56 to 4575-80. Despite repeated tests of this range, a definitive breakout has yet to materialize.
📈 The Markets Overnight
🌏 Asia: Mostly up, Japan down a lot
🌍 Europe: Up
🌎 US Index Futures: Mixed
🛢 Crude Oil: Up strongly
💵 Dollar: Up
🧐 Yields: Up strongly
🔮 Crypto: Up
🌏 Major Global Catalysts
Japanese stocks continue their steep decline fall, the Yen continues to rally as traders expect the Bank of Japan will exit it’s longtime negative rate policy this month.
📷 Snapshot
Daily Data Sentiment Analysis
EMA 9, 21, 55: Similar to the 4-hour data, the daily data also shows a bullish sentiment with closing prices above the EMAs.
Closest Support and Resistance: The closest support level is at 4580, similar to the 4-hour data, and the closest resistance level is at 4632.
Overall Sentiment: Bullish.
4-Hour Data Sentiment Analysis
EMA 9, 21, 55: All are indicating a bullish sentiment as the closing prices are above these EMAs.
Closest Support and Resistance: The closest support level is at 4580, and the closest resistance level is at 4642.
Overall Sentiment: Bullish.
🔍 Key Resistance Levels
4755: A significant long-term target connecting August 2022 and July 2023 highs. It's a major magnet/target in the current market context.
4680-4685: Represents a re-test or slight overthrow of the August highs. It's crucial for validating the strength of the bullish trend.
4658: A critical resistance level that was tested on June 20th and July 25th, 2023. Previous failures to sustainably clear this zone led to a correction, making it the first major breakout zone above 4620-4625.
4642-4645: A key zone in the current market structure.
4620-4625: This represents the upper green dotted line in the chart, connecting the January 2022 COVID bull market high with the August 2022 high. This level was a target for some time and is now more likely to be breached due to significant basing.
🔍 Key Support Levels
4573 (and 4580): This zone capped rallies in the last week and a half, with multiple failed attempts to clear it. It's seen as a significant 2-week resistance cluster now turned into support.
4556-4558: A key zone tested multiple times (32 times in the last week), indicating a range of choppy trading between 4556 and 4580.
4540-4542: A multi-month level, it was key resistance in June and July 2023, and following a breakout, it has been acting as support.
4514: An important zone from mid-November.
4497: Serves as major support, back-testing the channel resistance dating back to highs of December 2022 and February 2023.
4450: The immediate backtest point of the line after the CPI announcement on November 14th.
📉 Support Levels
4556 (major), 4548, 4539-42 (major), 4530, 4524, 4520 (major), 4512, 4507, 4496 (major), 4485, 4475, 4463 (major), 4450 (major), 4443, 4436, 4431 (major), 4418, 4414, 4408 (major), 4399, 4389 (major)
📈 Resistance Levels
4565, 4573 (major), 4580 (major), 4590-93 (major), 4597, 4609, 4618-22 (major), 4633, 4640-42 (major), 4648, 4657 (major), 4666, 4680-84 (major), 4693, 4704, 4711 (major), 4722, 4727 (major), 4739-41, 4747, 4755 (major)
📝 Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario: If the market sustains above key support levels and breaches resistance levels, especially 4620-4625 and 4658, the bullish breakout trend may continue.
Bearish Scenario: A reversal below key supports, particularly below 4556, could indicate weakening of the bullish sentiment, leading to a potential bearish shift.
💡 Wrap Up
The market is showing bullish sentiment, but vigilance is key. Monitor resistance and support levels for changes in market dynamics.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
12/7 Trading Plan - Wednesday Recap and Day Ahead📊 Market Sentiment: Neutral
The immediate market conditions lack a strong bullish drive, thus leaning towards neutrality in the short term.
🔄 Market Recap
November proved to be a bullish month, with the ES rallying over 450 points, demonstrating remarkable resilience. However, since November 20th, ES has been in a consolidation phase, oscillating within a narrow range of 4550-56 to 4575-80. Despite repeated tests of this range, a definitive breakout has yet to materialize.
📈 The Markets Overnight
🌏 Asia: Down
🌍 Europe: Down slightly
🌎 US Index Futures: Up
🛢 Crude Oil: Up
💵 Dollar: Down
🧐 Yields: Up
🔮 Crypto: Mixed
🌏 Major Global Catalysts
A ship ran aground in the Suez Canal, blocking one lane of the two-lane section and reducing transits by more than 50%. It’s since been cleared but the situation highlights ongoing difficulties in global shipping.
🔍 Key Structures
4755: A long-term target, connecting the August 2022 and July 2023 highs.
4680: Represents a re-test of the August highs.
4658: Crucial resistance encountered in mid-2023.
4639-42: A pivotal zone.
4618-22: The green dotted line on the chart, marks a significant trendline.
4573 (with 4580 just above): A two-week resistance cluster.
4556: A repeatedly tested support level.
4539-42: A notable horizontal zone, acting as a key resistance in mid-2023.
4520: A significant level from mid-November.
4497: A channel resistance tracing back to late 2022.
4450: The immediate backtest point post-CPI announcement in November.
4430: The bull market trendline from late 2022 to early 2023.
📉 Support Levels
4556 (major), 4548, 4539-42 (major), 4530, 4524, 4520 (major), 4512, 4507, 4496 (major), 4485, 4475, 4463 (major), 4450 (major), 4443, 4436, 4431 (major), 4418, 4414, 4408 (major), 4399, 4389 (major)
📈 Resistance Levels
4565, 4573 (major), 4580 (major), 4590-93 (major), 4597, 4609, 4618-22 (major), 4633, 4640-42 (major), 4648, 4657 (major), 4666, 4680-84 (major), 4693, 4704, 4711 (major), 4722, 4727 (major), 4739-41, 4747, 4755 (major)
📝 Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario: Maintain a long position as long as the 4556 support holds. Key supports at 4556 and 4539-42 safeguarding the upward trajectory.
Bearish Scenario: Prepare for a bearish shift if support at 4556 or 4542 fails. This scenario would involve breakdown trades below these support levels, with a high risk-reward ratio and the potential for substantial sell-offs.
💡 Wrap Up
As long as the support levels at 4556 (with the lowest being 4542-39) are maintained, there's potential for the ES to continue operating within its current range and possibly revisit levels like 4573, 4580, then dip to 4590, followed by another dip, before potentially approaching the vicinity of 4620. If the 4542 level fails, we might see the ES embarking on a downward trajectory, moving from one level to the next.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
12/5 Trading Plan - Tuesday Recap and Day Ahead📊 Market Sentiment: Neutral
We remain in consolidation, holding between 4550-55 support and 4575-80 resistance.
🔄 Recap
After rallying 460 points from October 27th to November 22nd, ES has been stuck in consolidation for two weeks. The market has been largely stuck between 4550-55 support, and 4575-80 resistance, making the round trip countless times.
📈 The Markets Overnight
🌏 Asia: Up
🌍 Europe: Up
🌎 US Index Futures: Up
🛢 Crude Oil: Down
💵 Dollar: Up slightly
🧐 Yields: Down
🔮 Crypto: Near unchanged
🌏 Major Global Catalysts
CEOs from the eight largest US banks will testify before the Senate Banking Committee today, voicing their opposition to a rule that would increase capital requirements by 20%-25%.
🔍 Key Structures
4755: A far off target for those with a big picture view
4680: A re-test of the August highs
4658: Important resistance on June 20th and July 25th 2023
4640: A key zone
4618: Green-dotted line in the chart
4573 (with 4580 just a little above): A 2 week resistance cluster
4556: A key zone, tested 25+ times in the last week
4542: A multi-month level, it's been support since Nov 20th
4520: A key zone from Nov 15th-20th
4497: Important channel resistance dating way back to December 2022s and February 2023s highs
4450: Immediate backtest point of the line we lifted off after CPI on Tuesday November 14th
4430: The rising bull market trendline connecting the October 2022 and March 2023 lows
📉 Support Levels
4563, 4556, 4548, 4542, 4540, 4531, 4520, 4513, 4507, 4497, 4484, 4470, 4462, 4450, 4444, 4436, 4430, 4424, 4418, 4413, 4408
📈 Resistance Levels
4573, 4580, 4587, 4590, 4600, 4609, 4618, 4622, 4633, 4640, 4646, 4658, 4666, 4675, 4680, 4693, 4702, 4710, 4720, 4724, 4729, 4737, 4746, 4755
📝 Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario: The plan is to remain long as long as 4556 keeps holding.
Bearish Scenario: If 4542 fails, we should see a short-term bearish trend takeover.
💡 Wrap Up
The market remains in consolidation, with a bullish structure. The focus is on trading the consolidations, with optionality to be exposed during the trend. The plan is to remain long as long as 4556 keeps holding, with a focus on failed breakouts/breakdowns.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
12/5 Trading Plan - Monday Recap and Day Ahead📊 Market Sentiment: Neutral to Bearish
The S&P 500 Index Futures have been hovering in a choppy zone between 4550-4580, presenting a challenging environment with limited predictability. Despite the uncertainty, the overall trend remains slightly bullish, contingent on the key support level of 4555 holding firm. It's imperative for traders to acknowledge the inherent risks in trading, as no strategy is foolproof.
🔄 Recap
Navigating the current market conditions requires a flexible and tactical approach, focusing on trading from one significant level to the next. The previous week concluded with a notable surge on Friday, characterized by a failed breakdown and the formation of a bull flag. Contrastingly, today's session was predominantly characterized by short trading opportunities.
📈 The Markets Overnight
🌏 Asia: Down a lot
🌍 Europe: Up
🌎 US Index Futures: Down a bit
🛢 Crude Oil: Down a bit
💵 Dollar: Down slightly
🧐 Yields: Down a lot
🔮 Crypto: Down
🌏 Major Global Catalysts
Moody’s cuts China credit outlook to negative on growing debt risks
US foreign policy funding in doubt.
🔍 Key Structures
4755, 4658-66, 4635, 4618, 4573, 4556, 4542-45, 4520-25, 4494-96, 4448, and 4424-26.
📉 Support Levels
4573, 4568, 4564, 4556-58, 4549, 4542-45, 4535, 4531, 4525, 4520, 4511, 4507, 4495-96, 4484, 4472, 4462, 4452, 4447, 4436, and 4425-30
📈 Resistance Levels
4580, 4590, 4597, 4601, 4609, 4618, 4623, 4632, 4636, 4642, 4647, 4658, 4666, 4680, 4692, 4700, 4706, 4720, 4725, 4736, 4744, and 4753
📝 Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario: Bulls should focus on maintaining the 4556-58 and 4542 support levels to sustain upward momentum. Potential additions in bullish conditions could be considered within a bull flag formation, particularly between 4573-68 and below 4580.
Bearish Scenario: For bearish traders, actionable opportunities arise only if support levels fail. Trades below these supports should be approached with caution and skill.
💡 Wrap Up
The trend continues to lean towards bullishness. As long as the 4555 level is sustained, the market has the potential to consolidate within this range and possibly advance towards 4618. However, a breakdown below 4542 could trigger selling pressure into bearish territory.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
12/4 Trading Plan - Last Week Recap and Day Ahead📊 Market Sentiment: Neutral to Bearish
As December unfolds, the market sentiment leans towards a neutral to slightly bearish outlook. This cautious stance reflects the global financial landscape's current dynamics and the anticipation of key economic events.
🔄 Recap
November stood out as the most bullish month of the year, showcasing a significant rally of +470 points. This aligns with its historical trend as one of the strongest months over the past five decades. However, December starts with a mixed sentiment, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics.
📈 The Markets Overnight
🌏 Asia: Down
🌍 Europe: Down a bit
🌎 US Index Futures: Large caps down, small caps up
🛢 Crude Oil: Down
💵 Dollar: Up a bit
🧐 Yields: Up
🔮 Crypto: Up strongly
🌏 Major Global Catalysts
The Supreme Court's engagement with the tax code marks a notable event. This, combined with the seasonal strength of November and early December trends, sets a complex backdrop for current market movements.
🔍 Key Structures
The key structures to watch out for are 4755, 4658-60, 4630-35, 4618, 4573-75, 4550-52, 4542, 4520, 4494-96, 4445-47, and 4424.
📉 Support Levels
Support levels to watch out for are 4597, 4587-90, 4580, 4575, 4568, 4561, 4556, 4551, 4542, 4532, 4525, 4520, 4514, 4510, 4502, 4494-96, 4484, 4473, 4457, 4445-48, 4436, 4430, 4424, 4418, 4409, 4399, 4388, 4375-80..
📈 Resistance Levels
Resistance levels to watch out for are 4609, 4618, 4625, 4630-35, 4642, 4647, 4658-60, 4666, 4676, 4680, 4698, 4703-06, 4715, 4721, 4733, 4742, and 4753.
📝 Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario: Continuation of the uptrend if the 4575-80 support holds. Key targets include 4590, 4607-09, and 4620.
Bearish Scenario: Watch for a breakdown below 4575, which could indicate a shift to a bearish trend. Focus on short positions below major resistance levels.
💡 Wrap Up
The market is currently in a bullish trend, with the price breaking out of the consolidation range. The key to profiting from this trend is to not chase moves and instead trade alongside the institutions after the traps. This requires careful management of trades and a focus on failed breakdowns and breakouts. Today's key is to observe the market and wait for price discovery.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Should we look to the future, present or past? Paradox!A thought from me to you: "Maybe madness only comes to the people who think the most!"
For those who like to think outside the box, I personally think that the future dictates "our present".
Yes, because the future we desire will dictate what we must do in the present, so that our future can come to fruition. What a thing, right?
Looking for a soft landing?
It seems to me that we are experiencing a soft landing, the soft landing theorized by many. I'll just say that December will be the month that defines the direction for the SPX index, and I hope that companies and governments will show us the direction we should follow in 2024.
Who can save the savings?
We cannot forget that SPX is the most important index in the world. We also cannot forget that China is "one of the little engines" alongside the USA that consumes a large part of the raw materials produced in the world, so if that little engine were to fail for a single quarter, it would be enough for us to review all our plans for 2024. What does the present hold for us?
Below I show you a downtrend line that is about to be broken.
Let me show you my newest madness, after all, madness only comes to those who think the most. Or maybe the market is crazy and could actually form this pattern.
Honestly, I don't know what else to study, because every day is something different (QE).
Below I leave another image, the image of the first long-term upward pivot formed after the health crisis. Can we draw any conclusions?
Do your analysis and good business.
Be aware, if you buy, use stop loss.
See other graphical analyzes below.
12/1 Trading Plan - Thursday Recap and Day Ahead📊 Market Sentiment
Neutral to Short-Term Bearish: Entering December, market sentiment is mixed with a cautious outlook. Traders are closely watching Jay Powell's speeches for potential market-moving insights. After a record-breaking November, markets are consolidating, suggesting a period of uncertainty.
🔄 Recap
November concluded with a mix of bullish runs and consolidation phases. The S&P 500 Index Futures were dominated by a tight consolidation range between 4555-4575, with 4555 emerging as a crucial support level. The market ended November with a late-day squeeze but spent the majority of the session in choppy trading.
📈 The Markets Overnight
🌏 Asia: Down
🌍 Europe: Up a bit
🌎 US Index Futures: Down a bit
🛢 Crude Oil: Unchanged
💵 Dollar: Up slightly
🧐 Yields: Down a bit
🔮 Crypto: Up
🌏 Major Global CatalystsAnticipating Jay Powell speeches today
🔍 Key Structures
4658: A significant resistance level from mid-2023.
4620-22: A pivotal trendline connecting key market highs.
4573-75: A recent resistance zone.
4555-50: A heavily tested support level, crucial for market direction.
4533-36: A key support, previously a resistance.
4510-14, 4493-96, 4447-50, 4424: Additional support levels to monitor.
📉 Support Levels
4550-52 (major)
4561, 4568
4533-36 (major)
4520, 4525
4510-14 (major)
4506
4493-96 (major)
4472, 4479
4447-50 (major)
4420-24 (major), 4418
4399, 4405 (major), 4375-77 (major)
📈 Resistance Levels
4572-75 (major)
4580 (major), 4590-92
4597
4607-09 (major)
4620-22 (major)
4631-33 (major), 4643
4648, 4657 (major)
4666, 4672, 4683
4693, 4701 (major), 4710 (major)
4720, 4731 (major), 4742, 4752 (major)
📝 Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario: As long as the 4550-55 support holds, a continuation of the uptrend is likely. Breaking above 4575 could signal further upward movement, with targets at 4590, 4607-09, and 4620.
Bearish Scenario: A break below 4550 could indicate a shift to a bearish trend, with potential short positions at major resistance levels. Watch for 4550 and 4533-36 as critical points for breakdowns.
💡 Wrap Up
The market is currently in a consolidation phase, with 4550-4575 as the dominant range. Traders should watch for a breakout or breakdown from this range for directional clues. As always, maintaining discipline and focusing on key levels is essential for successful trading.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
11/29 Trading Plan - Wednesday Recap and Day Ahead📊 Market Sentiment
Neutral to Short-Term Bearish: Today's market sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with global markets showing modest gains. The anticipation of the COP28 Climate Change Conference in Dubai is influencing global sentiment, and the US Index Futures are trending upwards. Notably, crude oil is experiencing a strong surge.
🔄 Recap
The S&P 500 Index Futures experienced a volatile day, initially surging to a high of 4597, then retracted to the 4555 level. This fluctuation indicates an ongoing struggle between bullish and bearish forces in the market.
📈 The Markets Overnight
🌏 Asia: Up a bit
🌍 Europe: Up
🌎 US Index Futures: Up
🛢 Crude Oil: Up strongly
💵 Dollar: Up
🧐 Yields: Up
🔮 Crypto: Mixed
🌏 Major Global Catalysts
The COP28 Climate Change Conference is commencing in Dubai, potentially influencing energy and environmental sector stocks.
🔍 Key Structures
4618: A critical upper trendline connecting key historical highs.
4573-75: A pivotal resistance zone that has capped recent rallies.
4555: Strong support level, consistently tested over the past week.
4534-36: Key support zone, previously a significant resistance.
4508, 4489-93, 4446, 4418: Other notable support levels to watch.
📉 Support Levels
4556 (major)
4547, 4542
4534-36 (major)
4525, 4514
4508 (major)
4489-93 (major)
4484, 4473 (major)
4462, 4452, 4445 (major)
4437, 4430, 4424, 4418 (major)
4410, 4399, 4375-80 (major)
📈 Resistance Levels
4563, 4573-75 (major)
4580, 4588-90, 4597
4609 (major), 4618 (major)
4622, 4628-31 (major)
4642, 4648 (major), 4658 (major)
4668-70, 4681, 4692, 4700-05 (major)
4716, 4720, 4731 (major), 4741, 4754 (major)
📝 Trading Plan
For Bulls: Focus on the 4556 and 4534-36 support levels. A rebound from these levels could indicate bullish momentum, offering opportunities to enter long positions.
For Bears: Watch for a breakdown below 4556. A sustained move below this level could signal bearish momentum, with potential short opportunities at major resistance levels.
💡 Wrap Up
With mixed signals and a failed breakout, today's market presents a challenging environment. Traders should adopt a cautious approach, focusing on key support and resistance levels for guidance. As always, maintaining a disciplined risk management strategy is crucial.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
11/28 Trading Plan - Tuesday Recap and Day Ahead📊 Market Sentiment
Neutral to Short-Term Bearish: Current indicators suggest a cautious approach, with a lean towards a short-term bearish outlook amid mixed global signals.
🔄 Recap
In today’s issue, we delve into the performance of S&P 500 Futures, analyzing the recent consolidation phase after a notable rally. We examine the tight trading range that has defined the market over the past week, emphasizing caution in these choppy conditions.
📈 The Markets Overnight
🌏 Asia: Mostly down
🌍 Europe: Up
🌎 US Index Futures: Up
🛢 Crude Oil: Up
💵 Dollar: Up slightly
🧐 Yields: Down
🔮 Crypto: Up
🌏 Major Global Catalysts
Hawkish Fed Governor Waller turns dovish saying rates are in the right place.
European CPI inflation reports coming in lower than expected.
🔍 Key Structures
We've identified crucial structures ranging from 4620-25 as a broad upside target, down to 4418, a pivotal bull market trendline. The ES is currently consolidating under 4580, indicating a potential move on the horizon.
📉 Support Levels
4536: A prominent horizontal zone, critical for maintaining the current bullish structure.
4508: A support level that played a significant role in sustaining the rally after the November CPI release.
4485: A pivotal support-turned-resistance that could be retested.
4445-37: Key support zones that could act as a staging ground for future rallies.
📈 Resistance Levels
4620-25: A major trendline target, marking the intersection of historical highs.
4580: A strong resistance level that has been tested and held thus far.
4565: An immediate resistance that could dictate short-term price action.
📝 Trading Plan
For Wednesday’s session, we focus on key support and resistance levels. The plan includes monitoring for base building above 4555 for a possible move to 4580+ while also considering short positions on breakdowns below key support levels.
💡 Wrap Up
The market remains in a tight balance, with a persistent bullish undertone. It’s crucial to navigate this choppy phase with a disciplined trading plan, recognizing the potential for both upward continuation and downward reversal. Stay tuned for updates on major catalysts that may impact the market dynamics.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
11/27 Trading Plan - Monday Recap and Day Ahead📊 Recap
Today's newsletter provides a comprehensive look at the current market situation, emphasizing the S&P 500 Futures and the essential strategies for upcoming trading sessions.
📈 The Markets Overnight
Asia: Mixed
Europe: Down a bit
US Index Futures: Down slightly
Crude Oil: Up a bit
Dollar: Down slightly
Yields: Up slightly
Crypto: Up slightly
🌏 Major Global Catalysts
Saudi Arabia is actively seeking allies for a production cut before the OPEC+ meeting scheduled for Thursday.
🔍 Key Structures
A significant breakout from a 4-month downtrend channel occurred on November 14th, influenced by CPI data. This bullish setup has sustained its momentum, with minor sell-offs being quickly absorbed. The S&P 500 Futures are currently consolidating under 4580, hinting at a potential upcoming move.
📉 Support Levels
4536-42: Crucial zone, acting as a major support.
4507: Notable support from mid-November.
4491-95: Key level from September's downturn.
4445, 4436-32: Secondary support zones.
4385: Represents the lower bound of a potential pullback.
📈 Resistance Levels
4620-22: Ultimate target, connecting historical highs.
4580: Recent resistance, tested last Wednesday.
4565: Immediate resistance zone.
📝 Trading Plan
Remain alert for support levels, especially around 4555 and 4535, to hold for continuing the bullish trend. Key resistances at 4580 and above may offer opportunities for adding strength. Watch for breakdowns below 4535 as a sign of a potential trend reversal.
💡 Wrap Up
The current market condition is a blend of strong bullish trends and consolidation phases. It's vital to stay aware of major support and resistance levels and adapt strategies accordingly. The market remains in a delicate balance, with potential for both continuation and reversal of the current trend.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
11/25 Trading Plan - Friday Recap and Day Ahead🔄 Recap
In the past month, the S&P 500 Index Futures (ES) has demonstrated an unusual bullish trend, closing four consecutive green weeks. Notably, after breaking out of a downtrend channel on November 14th at 4425, the market has largely maintained an upward trajectory. This breakout signifies a classic technical analysis pattern typically seen in 4-month downtrend reversals.
🔍 Key Structures
4620: Represents a significant trendline connecting the January 2022 COVID bull market high with the August 2022 most recent high.
4577-80: A major resistance level encountered back in late August/early September.
4536-42: A critical horizontal zone that served as key resistance during the summer of 2023.
Other Notable Levels: 4507, 4488-90, 4445, 4436-32, 4408-11, and 4390.
📉 Support Levels
The primary support levels to monitor include 4507, 4488-90, 4445, 4436-32, and the critical 4408-11 zone. These levels have historically played a significant role in the market's movement and will be crucial in determining future trends.
📈 Resistance Levels
Key resistance levels to watch are 4577-80, the upper zone of 4536-42, and the overarching 4620 level. These levels have previously acted as barriers to upward movement and will be critical in assessing the potential for continued bullish momentum.
📝 Trading Plan
Supports to Monitor: 4554, 4549, 4542, 4535, and other major supports down to 4408-11.
Resistances for Potential Reversal: 4565, 4572, 4580, and upwards to 4620.
Bull Case Scenario: Maintaining above 4542-36 on dips to continue the bullish trend.
Bear Case Scenario: A breakdown below 4536-42 could signal a short-term bearish shift.
🔚 Wrap Up
As the market transitions from the Thanksgiving holiday, traders should be prepared for potential volatility and abrupt changes in direction. The emphasis should remain on trading within pre-planned, high-conviction zones and reacting to market shifts rather than predicting them. The approach for Monday hinges on the market's ability to sustain support levels, particularly around 4542-36, to continue the upward trend or signal a bearish reversal if these levels fail.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
SPY!st person with this analysis... i like being ahead of the game...
shorts incoming back to 430s... inverse h/s possible... Now until end of Dec goes short... Jan-Feb rally possibly to the ATH then i want to believe it gets ugly from there but we will have to wait and see what happens next. I'll link this to the inverse h/s zoomed in.
11/22 Trading Plan - Tuesday Recap and Day Ahead🔄 Recap
The S&P 500 futures (ES) are continuing the seasonally bullish trend of Thanksgiving week. Recently, ES exhibited a bullish triangle pattern around the 4536 resistance, leading to a breakout that aligns with our analysis from the last newsletter.
📈 The Markets Overnight
🌏 Asia: Down a bit
🌍 Europe: Up
🌎 US Index Futures: Trending Up
🛢 Crude Oil: Down significantly
💵 Dollar: Up a bit
🧐 Yields: Down
🔮 Crypto: Up strongly
🌏 Major Global Catalysts
Four-day ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas conflict.
Drama ahead of the OPEC meeting after a sudden reversal of its cancellation.
Decrease in Thanksgiving dinner costs by 4.5% from last year.
🔍 Key Structures
4622: Core trendline connecting the January 2022 COVID bull market high with the August 2022 high.
4577-80: A major resistance level observed in late August.
4543-35: A critical resistance level, now the most important zone to hold.
4521-18: A vital support level that has been crucial in the recent rally.
4488: An important zone for back-testing as the first major support down.
4445-47: A key back-test support level post-CPI day breakout.
📉 Support Levels
Major Supports: 4556-58, 4542, 4536-38, 4521, 4488, 4446-48, 4400-4405.
📈 Resistance Levels
Major Resistances: 4577-80, 4607-09, 4623, 4658.
📝 Trading Plan
Short-Term Focus: Watch 4536-38 for potential bearish indications.
Long-Term Strategy: Bulls remain in control; maintain focus on key supports for signs of sustained upward movement.
🔚 Wrap Up
As we get closer to Thanksgiving, market strength is typical, yet vigilance is essential. Despite predominantly green indicators this month, cautious trading is advised due to potential shifts during the holiday week and overhead supply considerations.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Nasdaq - A Black Friday Blowout Sale?Using the SPX as a reference for ease of use, at the beginning of the November rally I asked whether or not manipulation would come after we saw a 5% rally in 3 days just because the U.S. Treasury decided to spam bonds at a lower, but still already highly inflated, rate in Q4 than they did in Q3.
SPY - Did We Bottom, Or Is Manipulation Coming?
The week before last, I cautioned bulls who believe in the "Santa Rally" thesis that we may just see sideways and manipulation back down with the end of year target being merely 4,600 and not 4,900.
SPX - Santa Ralliers: You Better Keep Your Eyes On The Clock
And for the record, I haven't cared about this rally because I haven't had a position, since there was never a retrace I never went long and shorting has looked bad, and turned out to continue to be bad.
But Friday the 17th marked the monthly Options Expiry (OpEx), and we predictably spent the day sideways. The next week ahead is U.S. Thanksgiving on Thursday, where the markets will be closed for the last time before Christmas, and then Black Friday the day after.
Although there is little news drivers this week, except for Employment on Wednesday and PMI on Friday, I posit that since the Nasdaq set a double top with its July high, we may very well see a 1,000 point "Black Friday blow out sale" this week that sets up a December rally that takes out the All Time High.
Keep in mind after this week, starting with "Cyber Monday," we still have four trading days to complete the November candle, and so we most certainly can dump an awful lot and rally an awful lot to finish the month some 2 or 3% away from where we closed on Friday.
The dangers in the markets are exceptional at the moment, however. Xi Jinping visited San Francisco for the climate theatre conference, where he met with the Biden Administration.
What this event indicates to us is that the International Rules Based Order is extending Xi, who is a Chinese nationalist, an olive branch to cede his control of China and form a critical hub in the coming One World Government.
But the IRBO has never been so intelligent as to understand that it cannot out maneuverer the Red Dragon of the Chinese Communist Party, for the Devil Red is a scourge who has come to ensure that humanity and all of its related souls are totally annihilated.
At the root of the conflict is the 24-year persecution of Falun Dafa, originally started by former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999. The campaign has targeted 100 million spiritual believers, even going so far as to commit the unprecedented sin of live organ harvesting.
Although Xi has been killing the Jianglings for more than a decade in his Anti-corruption Campaign, Xi is still the head of the CCP, the Red Dragon and Destroyer of Worlds, and this is a problem for him that he will either solve by overthrowing the CCP in a coup Gorbachev-style, or Heaven will solve it for him by sacking the Emperor's Bedroom in Zhongnanhai and Beidaihe.
For the IRBO, the problem the whole world faces is that the supposed "International Police" (and its Wall Street financial vanguard) have been staining their hands sanguine crimson with the Jianglings in Shanghai-Babylon all these years.
The sins are so extremely massive that they can never be fully paid for, and they still aren't doing their part to wash their hands and social distance from the Devil Red.
Instead, they're doing everything they can to expand the CCP's Zero-COVID Social Credit system worldwide.
And this is going to cause a Dark Winter for humanity. When that day comes, your indexes and your memestocks, your "Magnificent 7," even, will all trade like crypto dumpstercoins because no market making algorithm will be available to pump and dump, and at the same time everyone will be desperate to sell, with no buyers available.
But the good news is that when that day comes, you won't be paying attention to money anymore. Instead, what is unfolding in this world will be the only thing notable, and you won't have any interest, or any need of, following CNN and NYT and Xeeeeeeeeeeter for updates.
The information will come from a combination of your own eyes and another platform, one pure and clean.
Lord Jesus once told his followers: "Whoever has eyes, let them see. Whoever has ears, let them hear."
The blind and the deaf will be culled, and such is the nature of the trial all souls face.
11/21 Trading Plan - Monday Recap and Day Ahead🔄 Recap
Todays price action highlighted the power of technical analysis, with ES breaking out of a 4-month downtrend post-CPI, rallying 120 points. The market formed a bullish triangle pattern last week, which led to a breakout and an upward trajectory today, aligning perfectly with our analysis from the last newsletter.
📈 The Markets Overnight
🌏 Asia: Mixed
🌍 Europe: Down a bit
🌎 US Index Futures: Down
🛢 Crude Oil: Down
💵 Dollar: Down slightly
🧐 Yields: Down slightly
🔮 Crypto: Down
🌏 Major Global Catalysts
FOMC meeting minutes and NVDA earnings later today.
🔍 Key Structures
4622: Core trendline connecting the January 2022 COVID bull market high with the August 2022 high.
4577-80: A major resistance level observed in late August.
4543-35: A critical resistance level, now the most important zone to hold.
4521-18: A vital support level that has been crucial in the recent rally.
4488: An important zone for back-testing as the first major support down.
4445-47: A key back-test support level post-CPI day breakout.
📉 Support Levels
Major Supports: 4556-58, 4542, 4536-38, 4521, 4488, 4446-48, 4400-4405.
📈 Resistance Levels
Major Resistances: 4577-80, 4607-09, 4623, 4658.
📝 Trading Plan
Short-Term Focus: Watch 4536-38 for potential bearish indications.
Long-Term Strategy: Bulls remain in control; maintain focus on key supports for signs of sustained upward movement.
🔚 Wrap Up
As we approach Thanksgiving, typically strong for the market, we need to stay vigilant for potential shifts. The market's resilience with only one red day this month suggests strong bullish control, but caution is advised due to the holiday trading week and potential overhead supply.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Weekly Setup and 10 AM TRADEThis is a holiday abridged week. I expect market volume to taper off after Tuesday or so, with it coming alive following Monday. Thursday and Friday, the NYSE remains closed. Happy Thanksgiving!
My Weekly Scenarios
Scenario 1: I think if we are able to remain above 4510-4515 this week, there may be a tendency to test 4552 area. I do think there is a possibility of a range extension into 4586-4600 due to seasonality, mega caps etc.
ES Weekly Trade Plan
Inflection: 4508-4512
Upper Levels: 4545 / 4565 / 4606-4614 / 4634
Lower Levels: 4484 / 4467-4474 / 4423-4430 / 4400
ES Monday Trade Plan
Inflection: 4508-4512
Upper Levels: 4537 / 4545 / 4560-4566 / 4580
Lower Levels: 4500 / 4493 / 4474 / 4467
STAY FROSTY!