S&P500 Strong Buy Signal flashed for the 3rd time in 2 years!The S&500 index (SPX) is comfortably trading above its previous All Time High (ATH) and shows no signs of stopping here. Coming off a 1D MA50/ 100 Bullish Cross, we expect the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) to turn now into the first long-term Support going towards the end of the year.
The last 1D MA50/ 100 Bullish Cross (December 15 2023) was nothing but a bullish continuation signal, which extended the uptrend all the way to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, before a pull-back test of the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) again.
The 1W RSI is now on the same level (63.30) it was then. In fact it is also on the same level it was on June 05 2023, which was another such bullish continuation signal that peaked on the 2.0 Fib ext.
This suggests that we have a rare long-term Buy Signal in our hands, only the 3rd time in 2 years that has emerged. Based on that, we should be expecting to see 7600 as the next Target before it hits the 2.0 Fib ext and pulls back to the 1D MA100 again and there is certainly enough time to do this by the end of the year, assuming the macroeconomic environment favors (trade deals, potential Fed Rate cuts etc).
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Es1
ES1! S&P500 Might Lose Momentum As Tariffs Deal Not Set...price could probably be testing all time highs. Before plunging....
if the volumes comes with it and reaches the all times high levels, that could be a nice short entry point for potential profits.
Otherwise, it could probably just fill the gap on week open and keep going down in a regular pattern until August as Trumps Tariffs Deals deadline is around that time possiblily...
Watch me trade NQ LIVE!This is a just a quick video showing what I look for in order to take a trade.
I entered a short on NQ minutes ago, looking for 2.44 RR!
Apologies for this rough cut video. It was spur of the moment, and I wanted to share with my followers and viewers!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
ES, SPY, SPX will be testing key support on Sunday After a welcome rally into new highs for the s&p, there appears to be a critical crossroad forming. Using the ES continuous contract I have placed 2 anchored VWAP's. The first being anchored to the last higher low on Thursday, June 19. And the the second, being anchored to this last Thursdays high on July 3rd.
For this post we will call the anchor from June 19 - VWAP1. And for the July 3rd anchor - VWAP2
VWAP1 r1 has acted as a key support line since the higher low was set. Successfully bouncing and holding support several times.
As we headed lower on this Thursdays July 3rd session, we remained between the center and r1 of VWAP2 indicating strong selling pressure for the day. With it being a shortened trading day with less liquidity however, I have less concern over the days price action. The forming crossroads and the upcoming Sundays open will be more telling for where we likely head this week.
The blue Horizontal Line at 6266 is placed directly on VWAP1s r1 (green line) which has acted as support. If we trade into this level on the Sunday open, it's a clear signal the sellers are still in control. If however, price can consolidate at that level (6266) and form structure, a breakout of the structure would be evidence of sellers backing off and buyers stepping in creating a good buying opportunity for the week.
Another possible scenario, if we first manage to trade up into s1 of VWAP2 (orange line) around the 6300 level, I will be looking for a short scalp down to the r1 of VWAP1 at 6266. From here it would be prudent to sit and wait for more confirmation on if this is a reversal, or just another pullback in the uptrend.
These are my two trade setups and ideas for Sunday's open. Hope this analysis helps. Happy trading 🤙💰📈
July 7 - 11: Buy Stock Indices DIPs! Watch For Gold, Oil FVGs!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of July 7 - 11th.
Stock Indices are strong, so dip opportunities should present themselves next week.
Gold is bullish-neutral. Could see strength enter this market as July 9th approaches.
Silver is bullish. No reason to short it.
Oil is in a Monthly +FVG. If the FVG fails, it will confirm bearishness. Couple that with the fundamentals, I am watching for that confirmations to sell US Oil.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P500: Once it breaks the 1W MA50, it doesn't look back.S&P500 has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 75.570, MACD = 96.940, ADX = 23.950) and rightly so as it is extending the rally after crossing above the 1W MA50. The Channel Up since late 2011 shows that when the index crosses above its 1W MA50, it tends to spend a notable time over it (and every contact is a buy opportunity), with the most recent example being the March 2023 - December 2024 period. The shortest such period has been in 2019, which was suddently disrupted by the black Swan event of COVID. We may have gotten out of a similar situation as Trump's tariffs disrupted the uptrend earlier this year with a huge, unexpected correction. There 1W MA200 supported and this brings us to a new 'above the 1W MA50 bullish phase', which even if it is as short as 2019, it can still target 7,000.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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DIYWallSt Trade Journal: Why Traders Are Rotating from Nasdaq to**07/01/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis **
EOD accountability report: +1160
Sleep: 5 hours
Overall health: Need to catch up on sleep again
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 4/4 success**
9:39 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check:
11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3 :check:
11:24 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal :check:
12:00 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check:
**What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? **
RTY and YM leading the way today
NQ lagging
Why is this?
The answer is, Simple Supply and Demand theory.
Money has to come from somewhere.
If Money is going to YM and RTY,
Money has to leave from NQ or ES or both.
There is not an infinite amount of money, So if one index is outperforming like crazy over the other. It must be draining from it
Why would it drain from NQ? Easy
Because NQ and ES already hit ATH,
YM and RTY has not hit ATH yet.
So people are selling NQ and buying YM because it is on Discount
News
N/A
**What are the critical support levels to watch?**
--> Above 6235= Bullish, Under 6210= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
S&P500 Bullish Leg not over yet.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the May 07 Low and is currently unfolding the latest Bullish Leg.
As you can see, it is far from having topped, not just by a plain trend-line (Higher Highs) perspective but also based on the Fibonacci and % rise terms relative to the previous Bullish Leg.
That peaked after a +7.10% rise, a little above the 3.0 Fibonacci extension. As a result, a 6330 Target on the short-term is more than fitting.
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Risk On! Buy Stock Indices, Sell Gold, Silver.In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of June 29 - July 4th..
Stock Indices are pointed to the all time highs. Take advantage of the "risk on" environment while it lasts!
Gold and Silver have seen the outflows and profit taking... so look for lower prices this week.
Oil ... be patient. After a huge dump in prices when the tensions eased up between Israel/US and Iran, price is moving sideways in consolidation. I suspect lower prices to come, but I urge patience! Wait for the signature of price to show it intends to move lower. A sweep of the range highs and a run of the range lows right after... is the signal to sell.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P 500 BULLISH GRAB: Steal These Gains Before the Trap Closes!🚨 E-MINI S&P 500 HEIST: Bullish Loot Before the Market Turns (Thief Trading Blueprint) 🚨
🌟 Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Ciao! Guten Tag! 🌟
Attention all Market Bandits & Index Raiders! 🏴☠️📊💰
🔥 Thief Trading Intel: We're targeting ES1! (E-Mini S&P500) for a potential bullish breakout! Long entry only—approaching high-risk Red Zone: overbought, consolidating, and ready for a move. Don't let the bears steal your profits!
"Grab your gains and disappear into the night—you've earned this steal!" 💰🌙
🚪 ENTRY: The Vault is Cracked!
📈 "Swipe bullish positions at any price—the heist is ON!"
Buy Limit orders near swing lows/highs (15-30 min TF)
📌 Pro Tip: SET PRICE ALERTS! Don't miss the move
🛑 STOP LOSS: Escape Route
📍 Smart Thief SL: Nearest swing low (4H timeframe)
📍 Adjust based on your risk tolerance & position size
🎯 TARGET: Take the Money & Run!
🎯 6260.00 (or exit early if the market turns)
⚡ SCALPERS' QUICK GRAB
👀 Long positions ONLY!
Big accounts? Strike now
Small accounts? Ride with swing traders
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car!💨
📢 WHY THIS HEIST? (S&P 500 Setup)
Neutral trend with bullish potential! Watch for:
Fundamentals (COT, Macro Data, Geopolitics)
Market Sentiment & Sector Rotation
Index-Specific Patterns
🔗 Full analysis? Check our bio0 linnks! 👉🏻👉🏻👉🏻
⚠️ WARNING: News = Danger Zone! 📰🚨
Economic reports move markets! Protect your loot:
❌ Avoid new trades during news
🔒 Trailing stops lock in profits
💖 SUPPORT THE HEIST CREW!
💥 SMASH THAT BOOST BUTTON! 💥
More boosts = bigger future scores!
Stronger crew = more profits for all!
Trade like a thief, profit like a king! 👑💰
Next heist coming soon—stay sharp! 🎯🤫
US500/SPX500 Heist Plan: Grab the Index CFD Loot!Greetings, Profit Pirates! 🌟
Money chasers and market rogues, 🤑💸 let’s execute a daring heist on the US500/SPX500 Index CFD market using our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, powered by sharp technicals and deep fundamentals. Stick to the charted long-entry strategy, aiming to cash out near the high-risk Pink zone. Stay alert for overbought conditions, consolidation, or a trend reversal trap where bearish bandits dominate. 🏴☠️💪 Lock in your profits and treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 🎉
Entry 📈
The vault’s cracked open! 🏦 Snatch the bullish loot at the current price—the heist is on! For precision, place Buy Limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute timeframe for pullback entries, targeting a retest of the nearest high or low.
Stop Loss 🛑
📍 Set your Thief SL at the recent swing low (5640) on a 4H timeframe for day trades.📍 Adjust SL based on your risk appetite, lot size, and number of orders.
Target 🎯
Aim for 6160 or slip out early to secure your gains! 💰
Scalpers, Eyes Sharp! 👀
Focus on long-side scalps. Big capital? Dive in now! Smaller funds? Team up with swing traders for the robbery. Use a trailing SL to protect your loot. 🧲💵
US500/SPX500 Market Intel 📊
The Index CFD is riding a bullish surge, 🐂 fueled by key drivers. Dive into fundamentals, macroeconomics, COT reports, geopolitical news, sentiment, intermarket analysis, index-specific insights, positioning, and future trend targets for the full picture. 🔗check
⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Safety 📰
News can jolt the market! To safeguard your haul:
Avoid new trades during news releases.
Use trailing stops to lock in profits and limit losses. 🚫
Join the Heist! 💥
Back our robbery plan—hit the Boost Button! 🚀 Let’s stack cash effortlessly with the Thief Trading Style. 💪🤝 Stay ready for the next heist, bandits! 🤑🐱👤🎉
S&P500 1D Golden Cross, middle of 3y Channel, much upside to go!The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the final sell-off of the 2022 Inflation Crisis. The only time this pattern broke was for 4 days during the bottom formation (April 2025) of the recent Trade War.
Ahead of the first 1D Golden Cross since January 26 2023, the market looks more bullish than ever as it is trading within the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci range of this Channel Up, suggesting that there is considerable upside before it tops.
The last Bullish Leg that started on the Channel Up bottom and peaked before a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test grew by +28.30%. Expecting a repeat of that, we may see the price targeting the 0.786 Fibonacci level at 6550 before the next 1D MA50 pull-back.
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S&P500: Channel Up targeting 6,170.S&P500 is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.737, MACD = 75.400, ADX = 16.727), unfolding the new bullish wave of the 1 month Channel Up, after a bottom near the 4H MA200. The first bullish wave one reached +4.35%, we expect to repeat that so for a few more candles we will remain bullish, TP = 6,170.
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Weekly Market Forecast: Wait To Buy S&P, NAS, & OIL!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of June 22-28th.
The tensions in the Middle East take center stage, as Iran has signaled they are willing to discuss limitations on there Uranium enrichment program. This could allow outflows from safe havens and inflows to risk assets.
Keep and eye on Silver for shorts, in the near term, though.
Let's see if the market tilts its hand early next week. Monday should bring clarity.
Wait for confirmations before entering trades. A break of structure would be ideal! Enter on the pullback to that structure point.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Missiles Flying! Buy OIL, GOLD! Sell the Stock Indices!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of June 22-28th.
This is a revision of the Weekly Forecast I posted yesterday! With the latest US strikes into Iran nuke sites, the fundamentals go from zero to a hundred! Risk on turns immediately to risk off, and gap opens are likely to present themselves.
Look to long the safe havens and short the equities until tensions ease.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
SPX vs VIX: Is this a sign of a bullish market?VIX has seen a strong decline in the past 2 months following the massive surge of Feb-March due to the Tariff War. In contrast, the S&P500 rose massively to almost its ATH, which is a natural response as the two assets are negatively correlated. This VIX pattern has been seen during every major market bottom in the past 15 years, the strongest of which was the 2020 COVID crash. This is a sign of a very bullish market, TP = 6,800 by the end of the year.
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S&P500: 1D Golden Cross incoming. 6,300 sighted.S&P500 is on an excellent bullish technical outlook on 1D (RSI = 60.006, MACD = 86.860, ADX = 23.325), extending a May 23rd rebound on its 1D MA200. Soon the market will form a 1D Golden Cross, drawing valid comparisons with the 2020 COVID recovery. That pattern, following its 1D MA200 rebound, extended the uptrend all the way to the 1.136 Fibonacci extension before pulling back to the 1D MA50 again. Buy, TP = 6,300.
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Crude Oil Futures: Navigating Geopolitical Risk and VolatilityMarket Context:
NYMEX:CL1! COMEX:GC1! CBOT:ZN1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:NQ1! CME:6E1!
Implied volatility (IV) in the front weeks (1W and 2W) is elevated, and the futures curve is in steep backwardation. This indicates heightened short-term uncertainty tied to geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East involving Iran and Israel. The forward curve, however, suggests the market is not fully pricing in sustained or escalating conflict.
We evaluate three possible geopolitical scenarios and their implications for the Crude Oil Futures market:
Scenario 1: Ceasefire Within 1–2 Weeks
• Market Implication: Short-term geopolitical premium deflates.
• Strategy: Short front-month / Long deferred-month crude oil calendar spread.
o This position benefits from a reversion in front-month prices once the risk premium collapses, while deferred months—already pricing more stable conditions—remain anchored.
o Risk: If the ceasefire fails to materialize within this narrow window, front-month prices could spike further, causing losses.
Scenario 2: Prolonged War of Attrition (No Ceasefire, Ongoing Missile and Air War)
• Market Implication: Front-end volatility may ease slightly but remain elevated; deferred contracts may begin to price in more geopolitical risk.
• Strategy: Long back-month crude oil futures.
o The market is currently underpricing forward-looking risk premiums. A persistent conflict, even without full-scale escalation, may eventually force the market to adjust deferred pricing upward.
o Risk: Time decay and roll costs. Requires a longer holding horizon and conviction that the situation remains unresolved and volatile.
Scenario 3: Full-Scale Regional War
• Market Implication: Severe market dislocation, illiquidity, potential for capital flight, and broad-based risk-off sentiment across global assets.
• Strategy: Avoid initiating directional exposure in crude. Focus on risk management and capital preservation.
o In this tail-risk scenario, crude oil could spike sharply, but slippage, execution risk, and potential exchange halts or liquidity freezes make it unsuitable for new exposure.
o Alternative Focus: Allocate to volatility strategies, defensive hedging (e.g., long Gold, long VIX futures), and cash equivalents.
o Risk: Sudden market shutdowns or gaps may make exit strategies difficult to execute.
Broader Portfolio Considerations
Given the crude oil dynamics, there are knock-on effects across other markets:
• Gold Futures: Flight-to-safety bid in Scenarios 2 and 3. Long positioning in Gold (spot or near-month futures) with defined stop-loss levels is prudent as a hedge.
• Equity Index Futures (E-mini Nasdaq 100 / S&P 500): Vulnerable to risk-off flows in Scenarios 2 and 3. Consider long volatility (VIX calls or long VX futures) or equity index puts as portfolio hedges. In Scenario 1, equities could rally on resolution optimism—especially growth-heavy Nasdaq.
• Currency Futures: USD likely to strengthen as a safe haven in Scenarios 2 and 3. Consider long positions in Dollar and Short 6E futures.
• Bond Futures: Risk-off flows theoretically should support Treasuries in Scenarios 2 and 3. Long positions in 10Y or 30Y Treasury futures could serve as a defensive allocation. Yields may retrace sharply lower if escalation intensifies. However, given the current paradigm shift with elevated yields, higher for longer rates and long end remaining high, we would not bet too heavily on Bond futures to act as safe haven. Instead, inflows in Gold, strengthening of Chinese Yuan and Bitcoin will be key to monitor here.
Scenario-based planning is essential when markets are pricing geopolitical risk in a non-linear fashion. Crude oil currently reflects a consensus expectation of de-escalation (Scenario 1), which opens the door for relative value and mean-reversion strategies in the front-end of the curve.
However, given the asymmetric risks in Scenarios 2 and 3, prudent exposure management, optionality-based hedges, and a flexible risk framework are imperative. A diversified playbook; leveraging volatility structures, calendar spreads, and cross-asset hedges offers the best path to opportunity while managing downside risk.