Do bulls really want to be long the S&P 500 ahead of a breakout?S&P 500 future are tantalisingly close to a record high. So close in fact, it would be rude not to print one. Yet I am skeptical it will simply hold on to (and extend) any such gains without at least a shakeout first, and bulls may be better to wait for a dip. Comparing the S&P 500 to Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 futures, I explain why.
MS.
Es1mini
ES bullishLast week ES price action indicated acceptance of these higher prices and appears to be ready to move higher. Friday's move was quite a shock. Long side trades existed at 3860 but they didn't 100% fit my strict strategy as I cautiously build my small account.
I expect buying to continue into next week and I'm interested in buying any weakness.
Green area is very exciting for quick moves if we are so lucky to get one. The yellow area is also in consideration depending on how price action materializes through the week.
Hard stop on all bullish intentions below 3600.
ES1! SPX500USD 2021 Nov 01 WeekES1!
ES1! SPX500USD 2021 Nov 01 Week
Short from test and reject 4590 and
Long on test and accept of 4552 was good.
Wait and see if H4's ultra high volume is bullish absorption.
Price may return to test the 2nd last bar, and if support is found,
it is a long opportunity.
Weekly: Higher volume narrower spread up bar = weakness
Daily: High volume up bar closing off high = weakness.
H4: Shortening of Thrust. Ultra High Volume and narrower
spread = TBC if this is weakness / bullish absorption
Entries will be based on price reaction to the levels
Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept
4708 4612
4590 4552
4515 4472
4411 4381
4333 4267
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week.
ES1! SPX500USD 2021 Oct 25 WeekES1!
ES1! SPX500USD 2021 Oct 25 Week
Market went up on narrow spreads, made new high and a UHV
ultra wide spread bar took out the previous 6 bars' low.
This is weakness. If market moves up on tiny spread and lower
volume, this is no demand, don't get trapped in long positions, or
tighten stops if long.
Weekly: Low volume up bar closing off high = Weakness.
Daily: Higher volume down bar closing off high,
selling as market high was made. Tighten stops.
H4: Ultra High Volume down bar close below middle and the low
took out last 6 bar's lows = weakness. If next is a down bar
this further confirms weakness.
Entries will be based on price reaction to the levels
Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept
4552 4515
4472 4411
4381 4333
4267
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week.
ES1! SPX500USD 2021 Oct 18 WeekYM1!
ES1! SPX500USD 2021 Oct 18 Week
Don't chase long. Wait for price to return to test lower levels and
find acceptance to long.
Weekly: Low volume up bar = Weakness.
Caution and keep stops tight if long
Daily: Narrowing spread, low volume up bar
as price approaches previous resistance = weakness. Tighten stops
H4: Narrowing spread and effort no result as price moved up.
Tighten stops.
Entries will be based on price reaction to the levels
Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept
4550 4412
4524 4381
4472 4333
4465 4268
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week.
SPX500USD ES1! SnP500 2021 Sep 27 Week
SPX500USD ES1! SnP500 2021 Sep 27 Week
Impressive recovery of the SnP after the down move. This means the uptrend is still intact at the moment.
However caution needs to be exercised.
Weekly: High volume ultra wide spread up bar. Weakness appears on UP bars, tighten your stops if long.
Daily: Market moved up on reducing volume, narrowing of spread = weakenss. The highest selling volume
since the uptrend has appeared. Tighten stops on your long positions.
Daily: Broke previous high but closed in middle of bar, supply was present = weakness.
H4: Market went up on diminishing volume = weakness. Testing the previous rotation (grey box)
Entry will be based on price reaction at these levels.
Long (Test and Accept) | Short (Test and Reject)
4550
4530
4481
4455
4415
4378
4346
Like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.
SPX500USD ES1! SnP500 2021 Aug 16 WeekES1!
SPX500USD ES1! SnP500 2021 Aug 16 Week
Weekly: Narrowing spread, tiny spread up, Effort No Result = Weakness
Daily: Ascend on declining volume, tiny spread Effort No Result = Weakness
H4: Market ended week in a 10pt rotation. Narrowing spread and effort no result
= Weakness
Strategy for Short (Test and Reject):
- 4463
- 4456
Strategy for Long (Test and support):
- 4412
- 4433
- 4443
- 4463 bullish absorption
Like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.