Es_f
S&P 500 down to 2300-2320?Yesterday's failed attempt to break higher generated a nasty reversal candle.
Please read more in my blog post here: chartingtrades.com
$ES_F - eMini SP500 - Daily and Weekly Review - June 23, 2017DAILY - Continued contraction with Double NR7 day. Currently holing both the 20D Mid-Range (2427) and 20DMA (2430.25). Trend is up clearly above 50/100/200 DMA's. Longterm RSI has crossed below its moving average but still flat in positive territory. From a trading perspective this Inside day of an NR7 day to make a 2xNR7 should leave you with simple breakout of range trading plan. Gravity has the most potential but a rally back to highs stays with trend.
WEEKLY - 20WkMA (2378.25) is the first big support area. This was also a NR7 Week (red bar) which in review has signaled potential shorterm tops are near. Still in a solid uptrend so without a weekly close below the 20wkMA we are still in the Buy the Dip game. As with everyone it does feel tired and vulnerable to a 5% healthy break, but at this stage we just need to keep following price action.
Trade Idea: Short ES @ 161.80% Fib Level --> 2235-22401) 2338.75 represents 161.80% Fibonacci extension of the 2134 to 1802.50 move from May of 2015 to February of 2016.
2). Large put/call option open interest at 2250, 2325 and 2350.
3). VIX at sub 11 levels, 14 day RSI at 69, and SPX Shiller P/E @ 28.
4). Trade idea: Short ES_F @ 2335, S/L 2365, target 2255, risk $1,500 to make $4,000 per contract.