ES quick update with support boxesHavent updated my ES progress chart, here is one
If first box is taken (which I think has high chances of holding tonight), then the second box in 3750ES zone should hold and bounce into the open.
If second box gets hit early am before the open, it will be a perfect buying opportunity for me for a 100 points move up plus
Esfutures
ES stopped at its bull trendlineLook where it stopped, loosing 3985 will be very bearish going into tomorrow.
Im looking for a long trade, ideally we make a higher low tonight.
The pathway for tomorrow can be a gap up and then sell into Wednesday or Thursday
Very important to watch that trendline holing and if broken, there will be a perfect short setup when it retests that trendline from the bottom.
If it wont re-test the thredline from the bottom (again if broken down), then it will be very bearish!
Im thinking we will see The whole Powell speech erased, support is at 3940-50ES for the whole move down.
Lets see if the price can get there tomorrow, it will be a good long entry for a 40-50 points move up
Also I have a great confidence that the whole CPI move will be erased at some point, will it be end of this year or Jan, I dont know at this moment.
15th is the Panic Cycle Day, also 1 day before OPEX.
Best scenario is we bottom after CPI and rally into Last week of Dec
As of now, I see a trading cycle turn bearish, so short the rips will be the game for me.
ES as long as 4084-93 holds, it has a good setup for a strongES as long as 4084-93 holds, it has a good setup for a strong down!
Tomorrow should produce a buyable bottom for a rally on Tuesday.
Full Moon is on the 8th, usually marks top or a bottom.
So far its in topping process. Can it correct through time and move higher into EOY, very possible
Ideally we see a low mid Dec (my ideal low is at 3750), that would be a perfect setup for a long trade going into EOY and Jan high.
That high alone can get above 4200, can be a great ride. Will need to do some homework on my SPX chart and check if we can get that ABC move up into Jan high.
One thing is I have a good confidence is that month of Jan will be a very strong selling/red month.
So early Jan high will be a perfect short imo
ES support and resistance zones for next 2 daysDont expect a full breakdown to 3750 just yet, but it will get there.
The best trade will be a short of the broken trendline!
Its coming, so if you want to short, wait for a setup, dont short in the hole here.
I will be looking for a long and then will short that trendline test
ES straight into the first support zoneI have exited my half ES short at 4020 and now long from 4018.50, looking for the gap to be closed.
There is still a chance for the price to hit a higher high, but the SPX should not get above the last week high.
The top is so near, it might come tomorrow if it was not already hit.
EOM sell could be very brutal, you were warn, manage your stops and leverage
ES flagging, will break to downside imoES is simply flagging, didnt really go anywhere with no vol.
Watch tonight's action for a direction clue.
Tomorrow (Friday) and Monday are directional change days, can move in one direction.
I want to see a gap down on Friday and move up into Monday high.
Dont want to see Monday as a low as it could invert the cycles and make the 1st as a high.
Looking for a strong move down from Monday high into 1st low.
CPI gap should get filled at some point, ideally we do it quick going into the 1st low.
Happy Thanksgiving Everyone!
ES 4016 now support zoneI want to see a slow grind down to 4016-20ES zone for a potential bottom and then one more up to 4069-81ES to finish the whole move up
Ideally we see that low on Fri open
I have a turning day on the 28th, should mark the high.
Below 4016 the price will see a support at 3990-94 and if below 3969-73.5
Make your bet for Fri open, share with others on other sites. Lets get a better picture of an average
strawpoll.com
Im short half size for 4020 exit or stop above the highs
Happy Thanksgiving Everyone!
ES is about to breakoutNeeds a close above 3971ES and re test of the broken trendline.
Im going to get some longs if it does.
Also have some 403 SPY calls for tomorrow's open, in case it gaps up.
If this breaks out, it can go over 100 points easy.
Waiting for a false breakout to short, ideally before the FED or right after.
Tomorrow's open is a gap and crap imo
ES watch the bull flagWhile NQ is getting close to its resistance, ES is about to break the flag here.
Watching the flag to break to pop in on the long side, otherwise not really doing much at this time
Watching the close above 3959SPX for a continuation into 4010+ zone next week.
Will jump on the long side if we hold that level on the close