ES targetting 3983-86 as overnight highIf its in a bear flag, the price should push up to test 83-86ES level
Below the lower support trendline it should go down to 3925 area or so
Esfutures
ES tonights pathwayUnless its not going down to test mid 39 hundred, we should see a good size retracement into am and then continue lower to test 3927-30 zone, if not more
ES support and resistance zones for next 2 daysDont expect a full breakdown to 3750 just yet, but it will get there.
The best trade will be a short of the broken trendline!
Its coming, so if you want to short, wait for a setup, dont short in the hole here.
I will be looking for a long and then will short that trendline test
ES Breakdown from the triangleWatch the test of the breakdown area for the short opportunity with a stop.
SPX tested the bottom of the channel and bouncing off from it.
Im going to short tomorrow hard before the FED on the 30th, its also a panic day
ES straight into the first support zoneI have exited my half ES short at 4020 and now long from 4018.50, looking for the gap to be closed.
There is still a chance for the price to hit a higher high, but the SPX should not get above the last week high.
The top is so near, it might come tomorrow if it was not already hit.
EOM sell could be very brutal, you were warn, manage your stops and leverage
ES flagging, will break to downside imoES is simply flagging, didnt really go anywhere with no vol.
Watch tonight's action for a direction clue.
Tomorrow (Friday) and Monday are directional change days, can move in one direction.
I want to see a gap down on Friday and move up into Monday high.
Dont want to see Monday as a low as it could invert the cycles and make the 1st as a high.
Looking for a strong move down from Monday high into 1st low.
CPI gap should get filled at some point, ideally we do it quick going into the 1st low.
Happy Thanksgiving Everyone!
ES 4016 now support zoneI want to see a slow grind down to 4016-20ES zone for a potential bottom and then one more up to 4069-81ES to finish the whole move up
Ideally we see that low on Fri open
I have a turning day on the 28th, should mark the high.
Below 4016 the price will see a support at 3990-94 and if below 3969-73.5
Make your bet for Fri open, share with others on other sites. Lets get a better picture of an average
strawpoll.com
Im short half size for 4020 exit or stop above the highs
Happy Thanksgiving Everyone!
ES is in triangle, my bet we gap down from itI have 3 targets for the Fri low:
- 4017-20
- 3992-88
- 3972-77 ideal target
I will be buying am lows on Fri for Monday maj high
Make your bets on attached link Poll link below
Gap down, up or flat Fri open
strawpoll.com
Happy Thanksgiving Everyone!
ES getting close to its resistanceSupport box provided for those who want to enter with longs AHs.
Im currently short from 4009.50, will add and will buy back in low 3980 if opportunity arises.
Tomorrow is a FED, dont expect much movement till after the minute release at 2pm.
ES is about to breakoutNeeds a close above 3971ES and re test of the broken trendline.
Im going to get some longs if it does.
Also have some 403 SPY calls for tomorrow's open, in case it gaps up.
If this breaks out, it can go over 100 points easy.
Waiting for a false breakout to short, ideally before the FED or right after.
Tomorrow's open is a gap and crap imo
ES is similar to SPXNeeds above 3974ES for a move to 4007, otherwise looking for lower levels to be seen.
Its a good flooring setup for a move higher, but the time is running out.
I think SPY will close in between 395 and 396, currently at 395.25
Supports are the orange lines on the chart
ES support is at 3944 and 22Expect some choppiness here and reversal tomorrow.
Thursday is a panic day, we will see what it has in store with the developing news
ES watch the bull flagWhile NQ is getting close to its resistance, ES is about to break the flag here.
Watching the flag to break to pop in on the long side, otherwise not really doing much at this time
Watching the close above 3959SPX for a continuation into 4010+ zone next week.
Will jump on the long side if we hold that level on the close
ES broke down from the rising wedgeRising wedge was broken down and retested from the low
Im short here, scalp.
ES has to get above 3880 and stay thereWell we got a big a$$ green candle after the CPI.
The crash possibility is off the table, now lets see what the price to show us direction.
First yesterday's highs were taken, bullish sign.
The price must get above 3880ES and stay there, then it has a great chance of pushing up.
SPX main resistance is at 3905-07, closing above will get us to 3960 and ultimately 4010-20SPX.
Failing to close above 3880ES will fade the price down, can be a huge trap if that happens
ES nothing has changed in my view, setting up for a strong move ES nothing has changed in my view, setting up for a strong move down.
Should revisit the Oct 13th lows at min on the next move down.
It was a lunar eclipse today, was meditating during the middle of it, woke up 3am my time.
Slept in am to wake up to this rally, now its fading.
Markets usually either bottom or top during/around the eclipse days.
I expect this to be over either today or by the 10th.
Ideally we move down into the 10-11th and then one more up into the 15th
ES we got ABC up from Sunday open, SPX didntI posted ES chart on the weekend with the ABC move up, we got that, but didnt in SPX
ES Daily MACD is around 0 and RSI is around 50, no mans land, unless its a retest before more selling.
Im sticking to this chart for now and will add to my short going into tomorrow high (if we wont see one today)
Its a lunar eclipse tonight and elections tomorrow.
This will start moving hard very soon!
Do not force yourself into a trap, wait for a setup and then take it.
Im swing short and have a small protection for a move higher.
ES should retrace to 3750-55 and then another push upThis is how I see it going into tomorrow's high.
I see a truncated 5 down from the recent highs and now we are in 3 wave up move to finish the wave 2.
I do belive we have finished the A wave on Fri push into the close, now needs a retracement down to 3750 and another push into 3815-35 zone.
Wave 3 should bring us down to new lows into 34 handle territory.
Ideally we hit my 3212SPX target and mark the low for the year.
I do expect a maj low to get hi next year, 28 handle and ideally 2455 SPX zone.
ES support at 3726+- 2 pointsLets see if the price can hold 3726 support and push to 3768-74 before failing down again.
Bear flag to me
ES is close to breakdown, careful hereLower high and lower low so far, gotta be careful here.
I shorted first spike from 3866 and covered at 49, was few seconds trade. Not touching since after
I have only few puts left, rest sold on the first spike.
If it breaks, we short the kiss of the broken trendline from the bottom.
No need to over trade here, wait for the setup to come to you!
ES touched the bottom of the channelI didnt trade much this am except covered my ES put around 39ES as well as QQQ puts in am.
Going to do some research now and get ready for the FED craziness.
I personally think they will push it up, question if we break the trendline to trap bears or just spike up from the decision time
ES in its trend channel, expecting 3814.50 to holdI think this channel will be broken after the FED announcement and the next rally will be a re-test of the broken channel from the bottom, aka death kiss
So far the support and resistance lines are on the chart for those who want to trade them
ES bullishLast week ES price action indicated acceptance of these higher prices and appears to be ready to move higher. Friday's move was quite a shock. Long side trades existed at 3860 but they didn't 100% fit my strict strategy as I cautiously build my small account.
I expect buying to continue into next week and I'm interested in buying any weakness.
Green area is very exciting for quick moves if we are so lucky to get one. The yellow area is also in consideration depending on how price action materializes through the week.
Hard stop on all bullish intentions below 3600.
