ARKK potential Breakout to 66 - 70s before new year !After an impressive climb, ARKK’s price has paused near $56.21, forming a classic bull flag pattern. This is a textbook signal: a strong initial rally followed by sideways consolidation, often hinting at continuation in the direction of the previous trend. The trendlines reveal the ETF is compressing, building energy like a coiled spring.
The moving averages are lined up perfectly for bulls. The short-term yellow moving average is trending well above the long-term blue one, confirming the strength of the upward momentum. This tells us the battle-tested bulls are still in control, with the bears retreating to lower ground.
The RSI is sitting at 70.14, signaling strength. While some might see it as "overbought," seasoned traders know this is where momentum players thrive. The ETF’s ability to hold this level without significant pullbacks shows strong buying interest from institutions and retail traders alike. It’s like a crowd gathering behind the archer, ready to release the bowstring.
The MACD histogram is glowing green, reinforcing the narrative that buyers are still active. As the histogram bars hold steady, there’s no sign yet of the bears staging a comeback. At this point, ARKK is testing the $58.38 resistance level, a successful breakout could launch ARKK toward its next resistance levels at $61.85 and $67.20, offering a significant upside for traders who act decisively.
Target Levels:
First target: $61.85
Second target: $67.20
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just below $52.32 , the key support zone, to protect against sudden reversals.
As an options trader, I’ve entered the following positions:
ARKK December 20, 2024, $70 call at a premium of $0.12 (open).
ARKK December 20, 2024, $66 call at a premium of $0.24 (open).
Essie
CCJ cup & handle Breakout to 65 & 70+Cameco Corporation (CCJ) is currently displaying a classic cup and handle pattern, a bullish continuation signal. Here’s a breakdown of the pattern and what to watch for:
Cup and Handle Breakdown:
The Cup:
A rounded base formed between April 2024 and October 2024, with the left and right peaks near $58.72 and a low around $46.76.This symmetrical cup formation indicates accumulation after a downtrend, with buyers gradually gaining strength.
The Handle:
After testing the $58.72 resistance level, the stock pulled back slightly to form a handle, consolidating around $55.66.
Handles are characterized by lower highs and decreasing volume, setting the stage for a breakout.
Volume:
Volume has declined during the handle formation, a textbook signal of the pattern. Look for a volume spike to confirm the breakout. Breakout Level (Rim of the Cup): $58.72
Projected Target: Add the cup depth to the breakout level: $58.72 + $11.96 = $70.68
Profit Targets:
First Target: $65.00
Second Target: $70.68
Bearish Contingency:
If the price breaks below $55.66 , the pattern is invalidated, and CCJ may test lower levels.
INTC about to breakout 26 to 28 stretched.INTC is forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating a period of consolidation as the price action narrows into the triangle's apex. This pattern suggests indecision in the market, with the potential for a significant breakout in either direction. The resolution of this triangle is likely to set the tone for the next move, however I have taken a bullish position. The price action is nearing the triangle’s apex, suggesting a breakout is likely within the next 3–5 trading sessions.
Watch for a volume spike to confirm the direction of the breakout. For a bullish breakout, take partial profits at $25.50, then hold for the full target of $25.89 to 28.00.
Entry Strategy:
Enter a long position if the price breaks and closes above $24.54 with strong volume.
This would indicate a bullish continuation, with the price likely to target higher resistance levels.
Profit Target Calculation:
Triangle Height:
Measured from $24.54 (upper resistance) to $23.19 (lower support), giving a height of $1.35.
Breakout Target:
Bullish Target: Add $1.35 to the breakout point ($24.54) → $25.89.
Bearish Target: Subtract $1.35 from the breakdown point ($23.66) → $22.31.
Stop-Loss Placement:
For a bullish breakout, place a stop-loss below the lower trendline at $24.19.
For a bearish breakdown, place a stop-loss above the upper trendline at $24.54.
I have already taken a position for 11/22/24 25C @0.28
META breaking down to 520 to 539The chart for META indicates a symmetrical triangle, a consolidation pattern suggesting indecision in the market. This setup is characterized by converging trendlines, with lower highs and higher lows, pointing toward an imminent breakout. The current price action is nearing the apex of the triangle, increasing the likelihood of a breakout or breakdown soon. The price is nearing the apex of the triangle, and a breakdown is likely within the next 3–5 trading sessions. Volume confirmation is critical to validate the breakdown direction.
Entry Strategy:
Enter a short position if the price breaks and closes below $555.00 with strong bearish momentum and volume.
Bearish Target: Subtract $15.44 from the breakdown level of $555.00 → $539.56. Place a stop-loss above the upper trendline at $570.00. Take partial profits at $545.00, then hold for the full target of $539.56.
I have taken a put position as I favor bearish breakdown and have taken 520P for 11/29/24 @1.38.
Bullish Penant Breakout possibilities 62-65A bullish pennant has formed after a strong upward move (flagpole), indicating a period of consolidation. This is a continuation pattern, typically followed by another leg upward equal to the flagpole's height. The breakout is likely to happen this week, given that the pennant is near its apex. RSI and other momentum indicators show strength but are not yet overbought, giving room for further upside.
Breakout Confirmation: Enter a long position when the price closes above $56.50 on high volume (breakout level). Alternatively, aggressive traders can scale into a position slightly before the breakout if momentum indicators show bullish strength.
Profit Target Calculation:
Flagpole Height: $50.50 (low of the previous move) to $56.50 (high) = $6.00.
Breakout Target: Add the flagpole height ($6.00) to the breakout level ($56.50):
Primary Target: $62.50
If momentum remains strong, extend to $65.00 as a stretch target.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Place a stop-loss slightly below the pennant's lower support level at $54.50, allowing for minor fluctuations.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for a 1:3 or higher ratio by maintaining a tight stop relative to your profit target.
The breakout is expected within the next few trading sessions as the price action nears the pennant's apex.
Volume should confirm the breakout (look for 2x average daily volume).
Trade Management:
Partial Take-Profit:
Sell 50% of the position at $60.00 to lock in profits.
Adjust stop-loss to breakeven on the remaining position.
Trail Stop:
Use a trailing stop-loss as the price approaches $62.50–$65.00 to maximize gains while protecting profits.
If the price breaks below $54.50, it invalidates the pennant pattern and may indicate a reversal.
I have taken an aggressive position targeting NASDAQ:AFRM 11/29/24 65C @.77 contracts.
I will update as I close the position profit or loss.
AMD going for a FLUSH to 94 levelsThe chart for AMD is displaying a large symmetrical triangle formation , with the price breaking below the lower trendline. Symmetrical triangles often signify indecision in the market, but this breakdown suggests that sellers are gaining control. The broader trend leading into the triangle and the breakdown signal a bearish continuation pattern. Oscillators and momentum indicators are skewed bearish, with no signs of reversal at this stage. Strong selling pressure confirms the potential for further downside. Declining volume during the triangle’s formation and a likely volume spike on breakdown signal a bearish continuation. Weakness in the tech sector or macroeconomic pressures could exacerbate the downward trend for AMD, watch closely for NVDA earnings to push this even lower.
Entry Strategy:
Short Position: Enter a short trade if the price stays below $134.90 with sustained volume confirming the breakdown.
Aggressive Entry: Traders could scale into shorts immediately, as the price has already breached the triangle support line.
Profit Target Calculation:
Triangle Height: $140.90 (top of the pattern) - $128.37 (bottom of the pattern) = $12.53.
Breakdown Target: Subtract the height ($12.53) from the breakdown point ($134.90):
Primary Target: $122.37
If bearish momentum continues, the price could retest the major support level at $106.48.
Further bearish extension may lead to $94.59 as a long-term target.
Place a stop-loss above the breakdown level, at $138.50, to account for potential false breakdowns or whipsaws.
A confirmed breakdown is expected to gain momentum within the next 1–2 weeks.
Watch for increasing volume to validate the breakdown.
I am going to take a position on Wednesday before NVDA ER.