Estee Lauder’s 26% Plunge: Revenue Miss & All Short Targets Hit!Estee Lauder (EL) Stock Analysis:
Estee Lauder (EL) saw a dramatic 26% drop, marking a significant bearish turn as all short trade targets on the 15-minute timeframe were swiftly reached. The chart reflects intense selling pressure, with shares plummeting after disappointing earnings and cautious guidance.
Key Trade Details:
Entry Level: 88.29
Target Levels:
TP1: 87.89
TP2: 87.29
TP3: 86.58
TP4: 86.17
Stop Loss: 88.62
Key Market Insights:
Revenue Miss and Guidance Withdrawal: Estee Lauder missed revenue expectations, reporting a 4% YoY decline, and pulled its fiscal 2025 outlook, signaling incremental uncertainty in the Chinese market and Asia’s travel retail sector. The company now plans to provide only quarterly guidance.
Challenges in China and Travel Retail: Weak consumer sentiment in China and reduced demand in Asia travel retail, including low conversion rates in Hong Kong, led to a 5% drop in organic net sales, impacting overall performance.
Summary:
Estee Lauder’s sharp decline capitalized on bearish momentum, achieving all short trade targets quickly. The disappointing earnings, along with withdrawn guidance, underscore the headwinds Estee Lauder faces in a slowing global economy, particularly in Asia. This setup demonstrates the high-risk, high-reward potential for short-term trades in volatile stocks.
Estee
EL may be entering a new channel It is currently at a very strong resistance line meaning anything can happen. If it is strong enough to pass through the BLUE reistance, it will then be in a new trend (Blue Trend)
IF not, since it looks very over bought, it is going to go down and retest the PURPLE support. It may find support here but it is possible it wont and it may go all the way back down to the blue support line.