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Bitcoin - When will Bitcoin go to price correction?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the daily timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Risk ON sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. We will look for bitcoin selling positions in the range of the channel ceiling (weekly). Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. Bitcoin buying positions can be looked for in the two specified demand zones. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. US Spot Bitcoin ETFs • Performance Last Week: • During the first three trading days, US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced substantial capital inflows, starting with a $1.11 billion inflow on the first day. • However, in the last two trading days, the ETFs faced capital outflows of $400 million and $370 million, respectively. • Weekly Summary: Overall, the ETFs recorded a net capital inflow of $1.67 billion for the week, marking a positive performance. Crypto Market Liquidations • Coinglass Data: • Over the past 24 hours, due to market volatility, more than 101,000 traders were liquidated, resulting in a total liquidation value of $231 million. • This significant figure highlights the impact of recent market fluctuations on crypto traders. Credit Agricole’s Analysis of the US Dollar • Future of the Dollar: • Unlike the 2018 rally driven by Trump-era policies, Credit Agricole argues that 2025 will not see a repeat of the same trend. • Reasons: • Current economic conditions differ significantly from 2018. • Monetary policies and the dollar’s current strength indicate that the dynamics driving the dollar’s movements have shifted. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on Bitcoin • Bitcoin as the “Currency of Freedom”: • Robert F. Kennedy Jr., former Secretary of Health under Trump, described Bitcoin as a tool for protecting the middle class from inflation and a solution to counter the devaluation of the dollar. • He also highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role in addressing America’s crippling national debt, emphasizing its importance in the country’s economic future. Declining Correlation Between Bitcoin and Gold • The correlation between Bitcoin and gold has dropped to its lowest point in 11 months. • James Stanley, Chief Market Strategist at Forex.com: • Gold has recently reached an overbought status, and its price correction is reasonable. • Investor Focus on Bitcoin: As Bitcoin approaches the $100,000 threshold, gold may regain investor appeal, especially near critical support levels.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
3
The cryptocurrency market is a market of expectationsLots of good news, but that's just at first glance. Expectations and reality 1. Last week we had good news about XRP victory, and this news was spread all over the internet and the market reacted with growth. XRP is not a security, but those contracts sold to early stage funds may still be considered securities. So the case is not closed yet and it will continue as a subject of manipulation The SEC can appeal this decision at any appropriate time. 2. FTX - there are a lot of rumors and different statements now about the reopening of this exchange, there are a lot of forms on the net ( fraudulent and not) about FTX account recovery and confirmation. Hope is given:) not the fact that the funds will be restored 3. I would not be surprised if they start to restore UST and LUNA case, if they do not start to restore at least give hope. ( reference - the cryptocurrency market is a market of expectations ) 4. BTC ETF. This is the same expectation that has been jutting for a long time and now strong funds such as BlackRock have joined, which have been buying physical bitcoin through other funds for a long time (e.g. at least 10% of Microstrategy belongs to BlackRock). On the expectation of ETF approval the market is inspired ( I wrote a post about Blackrock ). In any case after ETF approval we will see a drop here there is a logic: - ETF contracts can be bought more than physical bitcoins. - Need a good entry point into the market, 30k+ is not the best entry point - A drop in price with physical bitcoins + media resources etc. seems to me as very logical and very likely. All these points should happen at the peak of the hype, when many disillusioned in crypto after FTX and other shocks will start to re-enter the market, it all explains the Logistic Curve - the speed of information dissemination . The Which curve explains that when FTX crashed in November 2022 was the beginning of a new cycle, which I talked about in previous posts, then everyone was afraid and thought it would go even lower. And the end zone of the cycle is when the crowd comes into the market, a lot of noise shouting about a bright future, we are on the cusp of these events. At that time of course we will see a lot of dumb money big green candles on small capitalization altcoins. And that's the time to get out. Frankly I got out even earlier in stablecoins and now I only do swing trades ( positional orders positions with small stop loss ) If we talk about the time when all this can happen, it is a difficult question, because according to my previous calculations in September-October I was already waiting for the bottom, I am still waiting for it and my portfolio 100% In stablecoins is a proof of it. Well after the fall we will have the most interesting negative news, here is the list: - SEC appeal question on XRP - SEC questions to all crypto companies that made public sale - fines, lawsuit. - Questions to crypto exchanges ( bankruptcy of crypto exchanges) - Regulation - CBDC implementation and trading in some jurisdictions BTC/CBDC ( currency ) You definitely won't want to buy cryptocurrency on news like this, and this will be the moment when the new cycle begins. So ladies and gentlemen we are here for a long time and welcome to our community. And remember, trading is not a sprint - trading is a marathon. Best regard EXCAVO
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by EXCAVO
49
FBTC: Break Out After 12 Months of Sideways - DCA TradeAll the white lines are buys. My weighted average price per share would be somewhere in the middle. I Dollar Cost Averaged into the position from basically the launch of the product on exchanges earlier this year, Say March 24. The trade looks to finally be playing out. Long Term Hold position for me, and will add on higher timeframe (1 Day, 3 Day, Weekly) oversold conditions outside a normal standard deviation. Fun time to be a trader at the moment.
CBOE:FBTCLong
by BitInfo12
Two Different Paths For ^VIXweve set lower daily highs aince the last major volatility event, and trended lower weekly to averages. the uptrend is not lost for vix and uvxy threatens to break out of tightening range or wedge/triangle. ive marked out what a test and failure of the trendline would look like, and ive also bar patterned the breakout scenario. im leaning short because i think the election result will be volatile, but have a buy the news impact on broader markets. this is bearish for vix in both scenarios.
CBOE:UVXYShort
by cerealindicator
normal election volatilityim buying the election outcome for either candidate. heres my reasoning. both are proposing fiscal spending. both are campaigning on tax cuts. both candidates are contributing to a loosening monetary policy and impact on competition to us ai or agi and semiconductors. big tech runs on venture capital and both candidates are leveraging some form of trade war. here im looking at svxy for clues about how recession proof the s&p500 is to large cap volatility. based on the recency of the top in svxy i dont think were going to begin a broader market stock recession near all time highs without setting a lower quarterly high that fails to bring us a new weekly uptrend. this looks like selling in the leadup to the election which should be bought whenever the index sets a clear rebound level weekly.
CBOE:SVXYLong
by cerealindicator
SPY Pullback: Time to Consider New Swing Long Positions!While AMEX:SPY remains in a strong uptrend, today’s 0.5% decline offers a healthy retracement for swing traders looking to enter long positions at more favorable levels. I don’t expect this pullback to last long or be of significant magnitude, but the short-term weakness is evident, creating an attractive window to buy into the trend. Watch for upcoming signals, as this dip could present a fresh opportunity for the next upward move. The technicals support this outlook: Relative Strength Index (RSI): 63.85 (Neutral), indicating the market isn’t oversold yet, leaving room for more downside before a potential rebound. MACD Level: 5.77 (Buy), signaling positive momentum and supporting the overall bullish trend. Momentum (10): 12.81 (Buy), confirming underlying strength in the uptrend. Exponential Moving Averages (10, 20, 50, 100, 200): All in “Buy” territory, reinforcing that the uptrend remains intact despite today’s pullback. However, Stochastic %K (90.36) and Commodity Channel Index (192.15) point to potential short-term exhaustion, suggesting this is a brief pause before the next leg higher. Swing traders should stay alert for a better entry point at any moment. Action: Stay tuned for a buying opportunity and follow me to see when I make my next move into the trend! Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risks, and you should only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
AMEX:SPY
by CF_444
Bitcoin - American elections, future fluctuations of Bitcoin!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H time frame and is trading in its ascending channel Risk ON sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way down for Bitcoin, which can be used to look for Bitcoin buying positions in the two specified demand zones As long as Bitcoin is within the specified range, you can look for buy and sell positions at the top and bottom of the range It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Ali_PSND
Why BATT Could Be A Great ETF To Buy & HoldHere I have AMEX:BATT Amplify Lithium & Battery Technology ETF on a Multi-Timeframe Analysis with a Monthly & Weekly Chart! Technicals: Starting with the Monthly Chart, taking the Fibonacci Retracement Tool from the All Time Low @ $5.91 to the All Time High @ $20.78, we see that the Selling Pressure is waning with the Price Exhaustion happening in the Fibonacci 78.6% - 88.6% "Kill Zone" Range from ( $9.09 - $7.61 ) -Bears are losing grip on the asset Zooming down to the Weekly where Price has visited the Kill Zone, we can see a ICT Concept Method called the Bullish Order Block taking place! After Price found Support, Price created a New Swing Low Breaking Sellside Liquidity, then shortly after, Breaking Structure again while surpassing the Swing High! -The Week Starting Monday, 29th of July 2024 creates the Bullish Order Block we should suspect Price to revisit before continuing its Uptrend behavior. -This High of the Weekly candle sits right at the Upper Limits of the Support Zone and at the 50% Fibonacci Retracement Level! **Price also could potentially make a deeper Retracement to the 61.8% Level to visit the LH it created before Breaking up through the Support Zone! -Will be looking for Buy Entries in the ( $8.96 - $8.67 ) Range! Fundamentals: Lithium Stocks hit alot of hype in 2023 with the expectations of the EV Industry being our Near-Future way of transportation as a move toward a greener way of living! EV sales wax and wane but as time as gone on, the look for the essential metal and mineral components needed for this industry to boom has began to fill as we are finding more and more vast and rich deposits of Lithium and other Rare Earth Minerals! -https://www.tradingview.com/news/zacks:e90ae995b094b:0-bullish-views-power-long-term-lithium-etf-prospects/ With that, EV Demand will come -https://www.tradingview.com/news/benzinga:5ead3a15a094b:0-arkansas-may-be-sitting-on-19m-tons-of-lithium-amid-rising-demand-for-ev-batteries-how-to-invest-in-what-elon-musk-calls-the-new-oil/ ** Once Price goes Bullish, I have upcoming Areas of Value that it may contend with on the way up!
AMEX:BATTLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
Bitcoin - The return of Trump, the rise of Bitcoin?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel Risk ON sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement Capital withdrawal from Bitcoin ETFs or Risk Off Sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way down for Bitcoin, which can be found in the two defined demand zones, looking for Bitcoin buying positions It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market, and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Mt. Gox Delays Repayment Deadline, Bitcoin RalliesMarket Update - October 18, 2024 Mt. Gox has delayed its bitcoin repayment deadline by a year:  This delay is viewed as a greenshoot for bitcoin prices, with traders arguing it reduces selling pressure on the broader market. The price of bitcoin was just short of $67,000 by Thursday afternoon. US spot bitcoin ETFs saw notable net inflows of more than $555 million on Monday, the highest since June:  Spot ether ETFs also saw $17 million in inflows, continuing positive momentum for both investment vehicles. Coinbase is pursuing partial summary judgment to obtain SEC documents about crypto regulation:  The regulator has previously delayed in responding to a Freedom of Information request made by the exchange over the same issue. US spot bitcoin ETFs saw $18.66 million in net outflows on Tuesday, led by Fidelity’s FBTC, which recorded $48.82 million in withdrawals:  BlackRock’s IBIT was the only ETF to see inflows, with $39.57 million entering the fund. Monochrome will introduce Australia's first spot ETH ETF on Tuesday, following on from the launch of its spot Bitcoin ETF in August:  Notably, the Monochrome ether ETF will allow both cash and in-kind redemptions, which could garner interest from institutional investors. 🌶️ Topic of the Week: Chiliz (CHZ): Bringing Blockchain and Crypto to Sports Fandom 👉 Read more here
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by Gemini
1
Simplify Market Neutral Equity Long/Short ETF Analysis 10/16/24DISCLOSURE: As of 10/16/24 I have no open positions in NYSE: EQLS Simplify Market Neutral Equity Long/Short ETF EQLS is a market neutral ETF with equal weighting long and short positions. The fund selects long and short positions based on valuations as well as qualitative factors. The fund has a 9.5% yield, which is quite impressive for returns in a market neutral way. Capital appreciation in this fund is unlikely and it will perform best during large stock market drops. For me, I see EQLS (and alternatives in general) as an asset allocation decision to lower draw-downs and earn a return that is uncorrelated with market moves. As long as you understand the risks and downsides of alternatives and are willing to accept a slightly lower return in order to stabilize your portfolio EQLS is one of the better options. I will be coming out with more research for free here so give me a follow if you enjoyed.
AMEX:EQLSLong
by sihen999
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF Analysis 10/16/24DISCLOSURE: As of 10/16/24 I am long Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF NYSE: AVUV AVUV is a small cap value fund listed on the New York Stock Exchange. They invest in a broad basket of small cap stocks listed in the United States. The fund chooses investments based on qualitative as well as quantitative factors to achieve the best risk adjusted return possible. Why AVUV? The primary reason to consider AVUV is as a long term hold alternative to the S&P 500 or other broad U.S. Indexes. Avantis as a brand focuses on factor investing, or the identification of certain characteristics and their ability to outperform or under perform the market. Of the research available small cap, and value are the 2 most profitable factors over a long enough time period. This is due to the longer runway of small companies, as well as the prices they are bought play into the excess returns. Its worth noting that the value factor implies profitability, setting AVUV apart from indexes like the Russel 2000.
AMEX:AVUVLong
by sihen999
1
Bearish Reversal in VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)The NASDAQ:SMH ETF shows a significant price decline, with a recent drop of 5.40%, as highlighted by the red bar. This price action suggests a bearish reversal after hitting a high of 283.07. The current support level is around 200.49, marking an 18.88% drop from the recent high. Additionally, the Darvas Box indicates a range between 247.16 and 283.07, suggesting potential consolidation in this area before the next directional move. The downward trend aligns with overall market corrections in the semiconductor sector, which could present a short opportunity if price breaks below key support levels. Traders should keep an eye on macroeconomic factors influencing this sector, as well as earnings reports that might impact semiconductor stocks. NASDAQ:ASML
NASDAQ:SMHShort
by pvrcharts
BLK - Strong uptrend is intact with new highs Upward trend, which started from the covid bottom of 2020, continues. The total assets managed by the company reached 11.5 trillion USD, with an annual increase of 2.4 trillion USD. The company increased its quarterly revenues by 15% to $5.197 billion, exceeding expectations of $5.007 billion. Earnings per share for the last quarter were $11.46, above expectations of $10.38. The shares of the company, which announced a net profit of $1.6 billion in this quarter, exceeded the 2021 high level of $970 and reached $990, and its current market cap is $147 billion. The stock, which has a dividend yield of 2%, is trading with a price-earnings ratio of 24.
NYSE:BLKLong
by murat_cal
BTCUSD - Bitcoin's good performance will continue in September?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel Risk ON sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds has led to its continued upward movement, and you can look for Bitcoin sales positions within the specified supply zone Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way down for Bitcoin, which can be sought for Bitcoin buying positions within the defined demand zone It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
NiftyBees Trading Strategy Using EMA LevelsObjective: This strategy outlines a simple approach to buying NiftyBees based on 50EMA, 100EMA, and 200EMA levels, and how to gradually increase your position. Key Steps: 50EMA Buy: Buy 1/3rd of your total planned investment when the price hits the 50EMA. Reason: Signals short-term bullish momentum. Example: If your total budget is ₹90,000, buy ₹30,000 worth at 50EMA. 100EMA Buy: Buy 2/3rd of your total planned investment at the 100EMA. Add 25% to your previous 50EMA position. Reason: Shows stronger medium-term momentum. Example: Buy ₹40,000 at 100EMA and add ₹10,000 (25% more from 50EMA purchase). 200EMA Buy: Buy 2/3rd of your total planned investment at the 200EMA. Add 50% to your previous 100EMA position. Reason: Indicates potential long-term reversal. Example: Buy ₹60,000 at 200EMA and add ₹20,000 (50% more from 100EMA purchase). Conclusion: This strategy helps you build your position in stages, reducing risk and improving your average price over time. It uses key EMA levels to guide when and how much to invest, helping you benefit from market dips while maintaining a disciplined approach.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by AngshumanSaikia
MAGS (Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF)... Time to BUY? MAGS (Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF) Weekly TF shows price has pulled back into the +FVG after displacing above the intermediate swing high, completing an External to Internal move. That high intersects the +FVG nicely as confluence of support. Daily TF shows a Daily +FVG nested within the Weekly +FVG, serving as more confluence of support. The idea here is if the +FVG holds, price will seek the buy side liquidity highlighted. This would be an Internal to External liquidity movement. The local high at **48.00** is nice round number to draw price. **50.00** is the longer term draw on liquidity. *The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF offers equal weight exposure to the “Magnificent Seven” stocks – Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. MAGS is the first-ever ETF to track the Magnificent Seven.
NASDAQ:MAGSLong
by RT_Money