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🔥 Bitcoin's New All-Time High Dump: Temporary Or Not?Two days ago I made an analysis on my expectation of Bitcoin's short-term price action, based on historical price action at the moment a new all-time high has been made. My most likely scenario was a new ATH, followed by a dump towards the first yellow area of support. This has now occured, together with an hourly oversold reading on the RSI. Experienced traders spotted an opportunity, and BTC rose over 13% in a matter of hours. For now, my most likely scenario would be 1-2 weeks of consolidation between 60k and 69k. It seems like a small area on the chart, but it's still 15%. Alts could dump as much as 30% during a retest of the bottom yellow support, so be careful with leverage. Keep in mind that a move towards the second support is still in the cards. Not very likely, but it's still a risk. Consequentially it would be an amazing area for long-term entries. It's now a matter of exhausting the bears until there are no more sellers left. Once there are no more sellers left I expect a strong break out with high volume, which will be the start of a new era of price discovery.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by FieryTrading
5
SPY S&P 500 ETF Potential Retracement ! If you haven`t sold AAPL after after Buffett trimmed his position in it: Then you need to know that at 12.90%, Apple is the Nasdaq Composite's largest stock by weighting, followed closely by Microsoft at 12.14%. Even though Apple has diversified its product line with Watch, AirPods, and services, the iPhone is still responsible for 52% of its revenue. Today, we found out that APPLE'S CHINA IPHONE SALES TUMBLE 24%, LOSING OUT TO HUAWEI. A downturn in AAPL could have a cascading effect on the overall market!
AMEX:SPYShort
by TopgOptions
1
Bitcoin Hits New Highs on Strong Fundamentals and DemandLatest Report on Bitcoin and Crypto Market Developments Our analysts have closely monitored the immense price action and developments driving performance in the cryptocurrency sector. This report aims to accurately outline relevant factors supporting Bitcoin's ongoing uptrend and the overall bullish sentiment across digital assets. Bitcoin posted a series of new all-time highs versus several global currencies including the Japanese yen, Malaysian ringgit, and others, extending its dominance in cross-border value transfers. Flow data shows exchange inflows reaching November 2021 peaks, underlining robust demand. Among recent announcements, Edward Snowden predicted a country will soon confirm purchasing Bitcoin to back reserves modernly without disclosure. Binance Labs funded a new staking protocol supporting network rewards fromBTC holdings. In the US, Bitcoin ETFs witnessed record $680 million weekly inflows. The BVL exchange in Peru approved crypto ETFs while BlackRock prepares a similar launch in Brazil. South Korean regulators discuss potential approval moves. Trend-defining analysis from Glassnode and Bitwise contends Bitcoin remains in a prolonged bull phase fueled by non-believers closing short positions. Transaction activity and exchange volumes reached November 2021 levels, exposing dwindling supply against persistent buying pressure. MicroStrategy doubled down on its seven-figure BTC bet by signaling staying power. Executives from Blockstream and Bitwise forecast six-figure prices over coming years. Popular predictions cite $100,000 before halving events that could stimulate renewed fomo. Technical metrics mirroring the last rally to near $70,000 reflect an ongoing positive cycle. Short squeezes inherently fuel upside breaks while traders betting against Bitcoin may exit en masse, unleashing buying waves. OTC desks face acute scarcity amid aggressive accumulation. Macro considerations such as inflation hedging also strengthen the long-term investment thesis. ETF permission across emerging economies broadens accessibility. With persistent institutional capital flows and mainstream adoption tools, Bitcoin retains a constructive narrative despite volatility. Our analysis concludes Bitcoin remains on an uptrend against a backdrop of widespread institutional adoption. Let us know if you require any expansion on specifics covered. We maintain a bullish outlook and will continue monitoring price components and on-chain activity closely for the next major move.
by ChartSavant
$BTC Futures showing different data vs SpotINTERESTING divergence happening at the moment with $BTC. #BTC Spot has RSI falling & sells beginning to pour in. #Bitcoin Futures has a strong RSI & some, light, selling. Wont comment on $ Flow today but will say that both paint slightly different pictures there as well. Weekly shows WHY this area will be tough. This area will not break easy. HOWEVER, IMO, what have we said? The more something hits the weaker that resistance gets. It'll likely break through. But when?
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Comparing previous $BTC tops & current state of BitcoinCurrent charts (not shown here, this is a weekly chart, se profile for more info) CRYPTOCAP:BTC $ Flow is better captured on spot price. #BTC RSI is better captured on futures price. Weekly is interesting indeed! Both show: Cratering of $ flow as it goes higher, negative divergence. RSI is still OKAY. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Let's compare the other 2 #Bitcoin tops: 1st top shows CRYPTOCAP:BTC RSI cratering. $ Flow took longer for futures to show a top but it was obvious on spot price. 2nd #BTC RSI is flat on both, it is healthy on its own accord, BUT is significantly lower than the previous top put in. $ Flow is seen lessening on both futures and spot action. Sell volume obvious on futures, no sign at all on spot. Continuation....... (current chart shown) #Bitcoin buy volume is exhausting. CRYPTOCAP:BTC $ Flow is weakening. This is way more obvious on the Spot chart. However, it did is reach normal peak highs. #BTC RSI is currently trading like the 2nd top, but it is stronger, reaching higher RSI number. Futures are identical to 1st top, but Spot is a little bit lower in comparison to 1st top. RSI is okay on both , healthy even. Shorts have been wiped out and it stands at a low amount at the moment. Warning signs but should retest highs at he least.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
BITCOIN, Massive Broadening Wedge, Targets Active + ETF Volume.Hello There! Welcome to my new analysis of BITCOIN in the daily timeframe perspective. The current bull run is still holding on and BITCOIN does not back off and is printing one hew high after the other. This uptrend is backed by real events that support the bullish case such as the Bitcoin ETFs release which is the preliminary fundament of new and fresh volume moving into the whole cryptocurrency market. When considering the developing dynamics in my technical chart perspective now it has to be pointed out that BITCOIN since it bounced several times within the 50-EMA established the ability to form this gigantic broadening wedge formation. Recently BITCOIN formed the crucial breakout above the upper boundary of the formation above which it is now developing a main bullish triangle continuation formation. There is also a major wave count ongoing which is supporting the broadening wedge development as the major waves A and B already formed the fundament of the broadening wedge BITCOIN is now continuing to form the wave C simultaneously with the bullish expansion wave. What is also an important factor that is stabilizing the bullish trend here is the horizontal support marked in orange. Taking all these factors into consideration the most meaningful insight here is that BITCOIN now activated the main target zones with the initial target zone to be reached once the bullish continuation triangle has completed with the continued extensive bullish breakouts. Once the initial target zone has been reached and the bullish BTC ETF volume is holding on together with bullish technicals the final target zone will be reached. Thank you everybody for watching my idea about BITCOIN! Support is greatly appreciated. VP
INDEX:BTCUSD
by VincePrince
12
ETH RANGES Ethereum being the second biggest coin in market cap has a very important role to play in the crypto ecosystem, however, we haven't heard to much talk or news about the coin as other L1's have stolen the spotlight. SOLANA, INJECTIVE, SUI etc have all grown in popularity and have taken a lot of the focus away from the biggest altcoin by market cap. In the chart there are clear ranges for which I believe are worth trading. Range 1 & Range 2 are the HTF key levels, bouncing between the High, low and the midpoint of the range . Currently we have seen price be rejected from the Range 2 Midpoint the support comes from the $2130 level in the HTF but the red supporting trendline on the lower timeframes. For now the chop has kept ETH within those areas and until proven otherwise should be traded as such. A case for the bulls on Ethereum : - ETF narrative can be a powerful mover as has already been demonstrated with the BTC move all of last year. Now that the Ethereum ETF awaits approval we could see a similar rally towards the decision date at the end of May this year . It's important to note that this date is post BTC Halving event and historically a rally follows this event throughout the market. - Deflationary tokenomics lend themselves to a bullish asset for investors because of simple supply and demand dynamics. With the inevitable increase in retail exposure that comes with a Bullrun in addition to BlackRock and other ETF providers buying large sums of the crypto to offer to customers. Naturally this increases price as demand is up, now couple that with a deflationary circulating supply and you have a very bullish scenario where a very sought after asset is becoming increasingly rarer, perfect storm for the bulls. A case for the bears: - OLD NEWS... I would say that in crypto being the new kid on the block is very important for increasing the price of the token. We have seen in the last year many new L1's be released and have taken the spotlight away from older more established coins which can be disheartening for anyone that's holding ETH or looking to add ETH to their portfolio. INJECTIVE, SUI, TIA to name a few often outperform the larger cap coins that are older as the potential to grow is much larger. Ethereum already has a market cap of $280B The likelihood of 5x, 10x or 20x gains are much lower than a smaller cap coin offering a similar service with newer technology. So for this reason I think the well established nature can work against Ethereum but it is worth saying that because of this it is less risky to invest in a larger cap coin when compared to smaller caps. I'm keeping a keen eye on ETH both against stables and BTC pairs but will avoid getting drawn into the choppy price action. Only taken action at the key levels shown on the chart.
BINANCE:ETHUSD
by ProR35
How or why did you start trading?I've spent nearly 10 years on Tradingview. But after doing this since the age of 15; it's been interesting and fun (don't worry, this is not me retiring) I just wanted to share some of the key points, the ups and the downs, the challenges and the rewards. For those of you who don't follow or know me, my trading started after a school trip from Wales (in the UK) to New York's Wall Street. We went to learn about the Wall Street crash and visited the exchange. Needless to say I was hooked! My early years of trading, I would take the pushbike to the bank and trade stocks from the Times newspaper, it was always over the phone via the bank broker, I had to do this via my mother as I wasn't old enough for a stock account through my bank. These were large cap stocks, things like Vodaphone, Cadbury's and ones most people could identify with. These were never big trades just the experience I guess. How I funded this was, I dropped out of school not long after that trip to New York, no qualifications, just the idea of being a trader and taking over my father's engineering company. I would work as an engineer, still live with my parents, and buy stocks. It wasn't until a few years later I got into penny stocks. I guess for me - seeing the Wolf of Wall Street movie, it was a bit like that: you would buy stocks for fractions of a penny and watch them pump. Some traded better than others but still had very little knowledge; trading wasn't as accessible as it is today. I guess looking back this was very similar to what I see in crypto today, especially with alt coins. about 5 years into the journey, I ended up getting into Forex where I guess I have stayed ever since. This was fast-paced compared to stocks and the markets being open 24 hours a day 5 days a week. I would take long term trades such as the difference between the interest rate of the New Zealand Dollar vs the Great British Pound for example. It just felt like free money. (those were the days). From there I also started trading Gold, Oil & SPX. Running in parallel, I ended up in the tech space; investing in cyber security around financial markets. I keep little souvenirs of the journey like this card from buying my first Ferrari. It reminds me of why it was interesting in the first place! I think you need this as a trader, I have written several articles here on Tradingview about the psychology and loneliness of being a trader. Two of my favourites are the Simpsons one and the other side of the trade. Doing things you wouldn't usually do is part of creating your inner trader. I was fortunate enough to get into Bitcoin early doors, right place, right time as they say. From 2012 onwards been educating, mentoring and advising people and what a journey that's been. I have met some great people along the way. This brings me back to the upside, downside and, of course, the psychology and emotions of trading. Trading can be a very lonely place to be if you have nobody to share the wins with in real-time; it's hard when you manage losses and keep them to yourself. Of course it's very, very rewarding when all is going to plan! I can't emphasise the importance of a community, it's actually one of the reasons for posting this post. With access to charts and brokers directly on your phone, it's an incredible change from the time I first started. But it can also bring a lot of hidden dangers, it's a unique type of lifestyle. I understand not everyone trades for a living, it's a hobby or a way to earn some extra money. But the ups and downs of this can have a strain on mental health. Fear and greed is a real thing, not just a sentiment indicator. We are human after all. It's so easy to fall into a false sense of security after a couple of nice wins. But it's even easier to go off the rails after a handful of losses. Some really cool factors for me when it comes to trading, would have to include doing one of the Tradingview shows with Stefan back last year www.tradingview.com and discussed the fact that a notebook I had made for my 11 year son had been published as a book. Never thought I would become an author after dropping out of school. Part of the reason I stream here and write educational posts is I love to keep the trading game live and current. Watching Bitcoin unfold and become institutional has been such a pleasure and amazing to watch it transition. It's been a great way to interact with people from all around the world. I guess the point is, the power of the internet and a platform like Tradingview; allows us to share such stories with the world. What I have learnt, is that new traders come to the market with a certain expectation. Often, people assume they need more indicators, more screens, more news and more instruments. What you realise over time, is you can make a living from a handful of instruments and a little bit of logic. I'll kick it off by saying what I don't like about trading is how lonely and isolated it can be. What I do like about it is the freedom it brings. I would love to hear your story, why you started trading, what you like or don't like about it and anything you feel like sharing! Anyways; I just wanted to share this little post and get some discussions going. Have a great weekend and I'll see you on the next stream. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
FX:XAUUSD
by Mayfair_Ventures
27
OIH: Keep Going! 👏OIH is on its way toward our green Target Zone (between $$321.09 and $339.97), nearing the last local high from the end of January. We expect the ETF to arrive in said Target Zone during the orange wave ii before the orange five-wave downward structure should continue, ultimately concluding below the support at $277.30 (but still above $250.69). Still, there is a 32% chance that the orange wave Alt.ii has already finished without reaching our Target Zone, which would be confirmed by the price dropping below $277.30 earlier.
AMEX:OIH
by MarketIntel
ETF Approval and Market TrendsMany have reached out with questions about the implications of the SEC's recent Bitcoin ETF approval and its potential impact on the market landscape. In response, I've decided to conduct a comprehensive analysis to shed light on these developments, aiming to offer clarity and insights into what lies ahead: What does the SEC's approval of Bitcoin ETFs signify for the market? The SEC's approval of Bitcoin ETFs is a transformative development for the crypto market, signaling a new level of acceptance and legitimacy for Bitcoin as an investable asset. This action by the SEC is indicative of a regulatory environment that is beginning to adapt to the evolving financial landscape where digital assets play a significant role. Expanded Significance for the Market: 1. Institutional Adoption: The approval of Bitcoin ETFs can be seen as an invitation to institutional investors who have been on the sidelines due to the lack of regulated investment vehicles. Institutions often prefer to invest in regulated markets, and ETFs provide this, along with the traditional investment structure they are accustomed to. 2. Increased Accessibility: ETFs trade on traditional stock exchanges, which means investors can buy into Bitcoin just as they would purchase shares of any other publicly-traded company. This familiarity removes the technical barriers associated with buying and storing cryptocurrencies directly. 3. Enhanced Liquidity: The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs is expected to increase liquidity in the Bitcoin market. Higher liquidity tends to reduce volatility, potentially making Bitcoin a more stable investment in the eyes of cautious investors. 4. Potential for Diversification: Investors looking to diversify their portfolios now have an easier route to include Bitcoin. Since Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies often demonstrate low correlation with traditional asset classes, they can be an attractive option for portfolio diversification. 5. Market Maturation: The approval is a step towards the maturation of the crypto market. It suggests that cryptocurrencies are becoming an integral part of the financial system, potentially paving the way for other digital assets to gain similar acceptance. 6. Validation of Asset Class: By greenlighting Bitcoin ETFs, the SEC is essentially validating Bitcoin as an asset class. This could encourage more cautious investors who were waiting for a regulatory seal of approval to consider cryptocurrency investments. 7. Pricing and Valuation: With ETFs, the pricing of Bitcoin becomes more transparent, as the ETF price reflects the current market valuation of Bitcoin. This transparency is crucial for investors who may have been concerned about the opaque pricing mechanisms on cryptocurrency exchanges. Impact on Investment Strategies: 1. Retirement and Long-term Portfolios: Bitcoin ETFs could start being included in retirement accounts and long-term investment portfolios, which would have been difficult or impossible before due to regulatory or custodial concerns. 2. Sophisticated Investment Vehicles: The approval could lead to the development of more sophisticated investment products and strategies around Bitcoin, such as inclusion in mutual funds, pension funds, or insurance products. How might this approval affect Bitcoin's price? Historical parallels with the first spot gold ETFs suggest that the approval could lead to a significant increase in Bitcoin's price. The introduction of gold ETFs resulted in a dramatic appreciation of gold prices over a decade, and if Bitcoin follows a similar trajectory, a considerable increase in its price could be expected​​. However, the immediate market reaction can be varied. Some analysts argue that the market has not fully priced in the potential effects of ETF approval, anticipating a massive supply shock and substantial capital inflows​​. Others expect a more tempered short-term price movement with potential peaks followed by periods of stability​​. What does the current technical analysis suggest about Bitcoin's market conditions? Bitcoin's current technical indicators on the weekly chart illustrate a bullish trend: Bollinger Bands: The price is at the upper range, indicating high volatility and bullish conditions, but also the potential for a pullback. Volume: A substantial trading volume supports the strength of the current trend. Simple Moving Average: The price above the SMA suggests a continuing uptrend. Ichimoku Cloud: The price above the cloud is a strong bullish signal. MACD: A positive MACD above the signal line indicates bullish momentum. Together, these indicators suggest that the market is currently in a bullish phase, but caution is warranted given the potential for volatility. How do market sentiments and fundamentals play into this analysis? Market sentiment is buoyed by the ETF approval, and the fundamentals are strengthened by the prospect of increased institutional participation. The technical indicators are optimistic, yet they are only part of a comprehensive analysis that must include external factors such as market sentiment, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic trends. What should investors be wary of in the current market conditions? While the bullish indicators and the potential capital influx from ETFs are promising, investors should be mindful of overexuberance. Markets often "buy the rumor, sell the news," meaning that much of the optimism around anticipated events may already be reflected in the price. The weeks following the ETF launch will be crucial for observing whether the market has indeed fully priced in the ETFs or if the new investment vehicle will continue to drive price appreciation. Conclusion and Outlook The green light from the SEC for Bitcoin ETFs is a big deal for the crypto world—it could mean more big-money players stepping in and a sign that the crypto market is growing up. Right now, the charts are pointing to good vibes, with prices climbing. But remember, the world of investments is tricky, and Bitcoin's next moves will really hinge on how the big guns in finance take to these new crypto-flavored ETFs, what everyday buyers do, and the overall health of the economy. We're in some exciting times, so keeping an eye on how things unfold is key as we steer through these new waters. Remember, this analysis is for informational purposes and should not be taken as financial advice. Enjoyed the analysis? Don’t forget to hit like, drop a comment with your thoughts, and share it with your friends.
Long
by MonoCoinSignal
2
$BTC extreme bullish sentiment & most orderly movementAs stated before, there's extreme bullishness on $BTC. Every influencer's excited & media is plastering a bull take. They can be right but more often than not they are wrong and can be used as a contrarian indicator. Things to notice: #BTC shorts are @ their LOWEST in a year! Money Flow is lessening. Decent sell volume at the moment. ---------------------- Let's look at weekly data, chart shown. Weekly CRYPTOCAP:BTC shows that indicators are weakening. (Indicators aren't primary means of trading but are used for HELP) Let's compare #BTC to other time periods, shall we? Are we more like early or late 21? This is most orderly run since the introduction of derivatives. Looks almost like an Index, interesting, sarcasm. #Bitcoin #bitcoinhalving #ETF
CME:BTC1!
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Ascending Triangle Points to Bullish ContinuationIntro BINANCE:BTCUSDT gearing up for a significant move today, and I'm here to break down the potential price action. Over the weekend, BTC moved interestingly, closing the CME gap and aligning with the CME's close price as we stepped into Monday. With this setup, we're eyeing an imminent breakout. Weekend Wrap-up and the CME Gap: The weekend saw Bitcoin hovering below the CME gap, but as predicted, it pulled back to around the $52,160 mark by Monday. This retest sets us up for the next leg. Ascending Triangle Formation: On the charts, Bitcoin is carving out an ascending triangle, a classic continuation pattern hinting at a bullish outcome. Given the trend's bullish nature, I'm eyeing an upward move, with immediate targets set around $54,000. Should a bearish scenario unfold, which seems less likely now, support at $50,000 will be crucial. ETF Flows and Market Reaction: The Bitcoin ETF market dynamics play a pivotal role. Although ETF flow data is typically available the next day, I'll be the first to update on Twitter. These inflows can trigger the breakout, so stay tuned. Liquidation Heatmap Update: A staggering $1.2 billion in Bitcoin short positions has accumulated above the current price level. A break above $53,000 could trigger a massive squeeze, potentially propelling BTC towards and beyond $54,000. Funding Rates and Market Sentiment: High funding rates indicate a market leaning towards long positions, a sign of bullish sentiment. Though it also suggests caution as markets could be getting overextended. But in bull markets, this is common. Technical Milestones: Bitcoin's weekly close has confirmed above the critical 0.618 Fibonacci level, a bullish signal historically leading to robust bull markets. The next resistance to watch is between $57.5k to $58,000, my target for the next potential pullback. Ethereum's Outlook and the Upcoming ETF: COINBASE:ETHUSD is also worth your attention as its Spot ETF looms, set to debut in about 95 days. With a lower market cap than Bitcoin, inflows could have a more pronounced impact, making ETH a compelling trade in the coming months. Remember, whether you're trading on the spot or futures, stay updated, and don't overextend your positions. Bitcoin is showing all the signs of a bull run, but as always, the markets can surprise us.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSeaTV
🔥 Bitcoin: Fibonacci Signals New All-Time High Soon 🚨In this analysis I want to compare the start of the previous two bull-cycles with the current one. Specifically, I want to look at the Fibonacci retracements drawn on the chart. During the start of the bull-runs, the 0.618 (light blue) Fibonacci retracement has always played a key role. First, the price has always rejected once from the 0.618 area once (red arrows). However, the second time that the price reaches the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement it has always broken through. This break out has always started a new bull-run with new all-time highs. If history will repeat, we can expect that BTC is going to see a few very bullish months ahead and will make new all-time highs in the near future. Do you think that this is the bull-run that we've been waiting for? Share your thoughts🙏
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by FieryTrading
16
ETH #TIMBER! // "Buy the dip" levelsNotes on how I personally use my charts/NFA: Each level L1-L3 and TP1-TP3 (Or S1-S3) has a deployment percentage. The idea is to flag these levels so I can buy 11% at L1 , 28% at L2 and if L3 deploy 61% of assigned dry powder. The same in reverse goes for TP. TP1: 61%, TP2:28% and TP3:11%. If chart pivots between TP's, in-between or in Between Sell levels these percentages are still respected. I like to use the trading range to accumulate by using this tactic. Just my personal way of using this. This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice. This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice. NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE I am not a financial advisor. The Content in this TradingView Idea is for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice. Nothing contained within this idea constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in this or in in any other jurisdiction in which such solicitation or offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction. All Content on this idea post is information of a general nature and does not address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Nothing in the idea/post constitutes professional and/or financial advice, nor does any information on the idea/post constitute a comprehensive or complete statement of the matters discussed or the law relating thereto. You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other Content on the idea/post before making any decisions based on such information.
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by PudgyProdigy
Bitcoin Divergence & Wallstreets ETFBitcoin's Latest Price Rally Curious about the recent upswing in Bitcoin's value? It's not just your average uptick; it's a major play by Wall Street, diving into Bitcoin ETFs with substantial capital influxes. We're talking a serious $494 million boost in Bitcoin's market, indicating a strong institutional endorsement that's far beyond day-trading buzz. Bitcoin ETF Inflows: A Closer Look When you see a massive $494 million pouring into Bitcoin ETFs, it's clear that Wall Street is making a decisive move. This level of investment is a significant bullish signal for Bitcoin, often leading to heightened market activity and upward price pressure. The Divergence... Here's the deal: the 4-hour Bitcoin charts are hinting at a bearish divergence. Despite the bullish sentiment, these indicators suggest a possible reversal, with a considerable amount of liquidations looming between $40k to $48k. It's a delicate balance that could tilt the scales at any moment. Liquidation Levels Taking a glance at the liquidation heat map, we observe a substantial buildup, a clear sign that the market could be overleveraged on the long side. As the cost to maintain these positions climbs, it's a critical moment for traders to be vigilant and ready for potential shifts. In Conclusion What do we make of all this? It's a classic battle of market forces. Wall Street's hefty investment in Bitcoin ETFs is driving the price, creating a hot market. Yet, with the presence of bearish divergence and a significant stack of potential liquidations, there's a hint of caution in the air. Wise traders will be monitoring these developments closely. Over to You Agree with this breakdown? Or do you see things differently? Hit the like button, share your insights below, and follow for more market analysis that cuts through the noise.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CryptoSeaTV
12/02/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $48582.05 Last weeks low: $45414.55 Midpoint: $42247.04 What a crazy rally from BTC last week! From the very start creating the weekly low and the end of the week creating the weekly high with a near perfect linear move up. With 49K as the local high consolidation just under this level is extremely bullish and with the halving moving ever closer BTC is looking very strong currently. I believe that most people myself included would see one last drop towards the mid 30K range to really catapult up from there, the big ETF players could lower their DCA and propel BTC to a new ATH a few months after the halving. However max pain would simply be BTC leaving everyone that is waiting for lower prices side-lined and push up towards the highs ahead of schedule. So for this week a close eye needs to be on the structure of BTC around this local high. Any swing fail pattern would be very tempting to enter a short position, I believe a lot of people would welcome that setup, if that was the case you would need a very tight SL in case the rally continues. The more chop we see at these levels the more likely that is too happen in my opinion.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ProR35
What does the arrival of Spot Bitcoin ETFs mean for US investorsAfter a long journey, the first spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were approved in the United States of America. This is the latest step on the path to bitcoin, and digital assets more generally, becoming mainstream. To help clarify how this chain of events unfolded, and where the story could go next, this is an edited summary of a discussion with Ryan Louvar, Chief Legal Officer at WisdomTree, which took place in full on the Crypto Clarified podcast1. The main points covered were: The main obstacles that had to be overcome for approval The reasons why a spot bitcoin ETF is a positive for investors and digital assets’ place in a portfolio as a diversifier What to expect in terms of uptake over different timeframes What to expect in the near future as the asset class becomes more mainstream Benjamin Dean (BD): Ryan, happy bitcoin spot ETF effective date to you. Ryan Louvar (RL): It’s a super exciting day. Even going back six months ago, I can’t say I was on the optimist side. But seeing the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) grant an effective registration statement to allow bitcoin ETFs, as well as the listings, is great. Obstacles to overcome BD: What were those final obstacles that had to be overcome and how have almost a dozen different issuers had their applications approved and become effective? RL: I was on a panel at Bitcoin 2021 with a couple of other ETF issuers. We were asked to predict if we thought that 2021 would be the year. There was some optimism because the new chairman of the SEC, Gary Gensler, had spoken at MIT about this topic. However, there were hurdles before through that prior SEC administration. I said that there was a decent chance 2021 would be the year. But we have a new SEC administration now, and the similar denials continued. The rationale was that there just aren’t enough protective mechanisms in place to create a market that would be resistant to fraud and manipulation. Ultimately, the focus was on the spot bitcoin market, and the SEC said there needs to be a regulated spot bitcoin market of sufficient size to be able to trade. This was really against historical precedent because if you think about other spot markets like gold in particular, those ETFs had been approved and there isn’t a regulated gold market, certainly not one overseen by the SEC, and not one as had been described by the SEC as a requirement. A watershed moment occurred when the SEC allowed futures ETFs, including bitcoin futures ETFs. They allowed a percentage of the underlying exposure to be futures and then allowed 100% futures exposure. Even at that point, WisdomTree was the first ETF to have any bitcoin futures exposure, with under 5% in one of our US-listed ETFs. The thought was that we were right there, almost at the finish line to then have a spot ETF. We chose at the time to have limited exposure because we thought that it had the potential to be a diversifier in a portfolio. We chose not to launch a 100% bitcoin futures product just because of the potential issues in a 100% bitcoin futures product, such as contango and not tracking the price of bitcoin. We were very steadfast in our belief that a spot bitcoin product was the best execution for investors seeking exposure to the spot price of bitcoin. We leveraged our experience in Europe where we have a successful crypto exchange-traded product (ETP) range including a spot bitcoin ETP. There was really no action from the SEC until they got sued by Grayscale. There was a lawsuit from Grayscale, and they said that the SEC’s decision here, the denials, were just arbitrary and capricious. A court agreed with them. It’s not often that the SEC loses. The court made it possible for the SEC to essentially include additional information for their decision. Based upon the past ten years, I thought that the SEC would continue to deny an approval and produce additional reasons for it. Ultimately, they had until 10 January to make that decision. Going back just three months ago, it wasn’t clear what path the SEC was going to take. It only became clear once the SEC started to comment on the prospectuses after a few years of silence, that cleared the way for progress. Then you saw ETF issuers filing updated S-1 type of registration statements that include the prospectus. This was really a couple of months ago. Then you saw a flurry of activity from the regulatory side, updated prospectuses every couple of weeks, then updated prospectuses every couple of days, to now, we are launching this morning. Yes, that’s the history, it’s hard to believe. It’s really been truly historic. I mean, just the historical, call it a roller coaster ride. Today we’re excited to be an issuer launching a spot bitcoin ETF, but it’s also historic to have all the other issuers launching as well. Our experience in ETFs both in Europe and digital assets is going to be a differentiator for us. It will be an interesting few months for sure. Role in a portfolio as a potential diversifier BD: Do you have any views or thoughts around how one should conceive the coming days, months, and years? What does success look like? RL: If we look back on the birth of the US ETF industry with the SPDR, it took a couple of years for the SPDR to really take off and gain traction. Now it’s over 20 years old, and I think it’s over $300 billion at this point. I think we’ll see the same with bitcoin, in taking time to fully gain traction. Going back a couple of years, financial advisors told us they have clients who’d like to have at least a portion of their portfolio in an asset that can serve as a diversifier. It’s got to be the right client as bitcoin is a volatile asset, so there’s risk there. Bitcoin can certainly serve its place in the right client’s portfolio. Those advisors will now be trying to work with their clients to understand the full financial picture. Their client might say, “By the way, I have bitcoin as well and it’s sitting in my personal wallets or on this third-party platform or wherever.” So, really, by having the vehicle that's suited to many investors in the ETF, it will really help from a financial advisory standpoint as well as a general investor standpoint to have that access. The other thing is the transparency. ETFs have to disclose their holdings, so the amount of bitcoin a spot ETF holds will be available on the issuer website every day. Holding bitcoin in your own wallet can have some merit for a lot of people, but many don’t understand that mechanism or don’t want to. An ETF is a wrapper they do understand, and it comes with traditional third-party oversight from a trusted organisation like WisdomTree. It’s bringing a lot to the table but like any new asset, I think it’s going to take time for the marketplace to really absorb it. Certainly, a lot of the traditional ETF platforms are going to have to conduct diligence. A lot of that requires some track record, six months in some cases for some assets. I think there will be demand, but it’s a journey. Today’s just the beginning. It’s not dissimilar to a floating rate Treasury ETF. Treasuries are renowned for being plain vanilla, but that took a little while to gain a bit of traction. Bitcoin is a very different asset to treasuries in terms of risk profile, but it can potentially have its place. What could uptake look like in the near term? BD: It’s an interesting moment in the United States because the couple of years really, have been negative and so acrimonious. You go to Asia or Latin America and people don’t have the same hangups. But in the US, it has been different. RL: I was surprised when I travelled to many Asian countries over the summer and saw that bitcoin is widely available and used as a currency. Here in the US, being US-centric, we sometimes lose that perspective. We’re getting used to inflation in the US but not hyperinflation. So, it’s a great point that we don’t see in the US much, so it surprised me during my travels abroad. Where does the digital asset industry go from here BD: Looking at the US, what does this round of approvals mean for the digital asset industry? What do you see coming forward? RL: I think the next turning point is Ether, the second largest cryptocurrency. There are now ETFs that hold Ethereum futures. So, if you think about the history, ETFs were first allowed by the SEC to hold bitcoin futures and then some months later, Ether futures. I do think those will be the next that might get attention. To me, the biggest thing is that bitcoin and digital assets more broadly are being talked about as investable assets. For us at WisdomTree it’s important because we’re not only focused on ETFs, which has been our historical focus, we’re also bringing a direct-to-retail platform to investors in the US. Right now, they can directly access bitcoin via an app on their phone. They can directly access Ether, SEC-registered blockchain-enabled mutual funds and work with those in one portfolio. So, I think having these avenues and bringing more attention to the asset class is only going to put a spotlight on how investors might be able to think about this new asset class and bitcoin in particular. Sources 1 open.spotify.com This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
CME:BTC1!
by aneekaguptaWTE
Bitcoin UPDATE!ITS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! as i can see last time bitcoin did not breake 49k and had hard resistance and in Weekly Chart bitcoin is showing alot of bearish signs no matter what u put on chart is always showing for bearish my idea is that Bitcoin can retest again 45-49K zone if it dosnt manage to breakeout we will see again the lows which is gonna be good for buying and holding till bullrun which i expect to be on year 2025 and its better to be 50% in and 50% out in this moment NEWS ABOUT Grayscale FOR ETF! grayscale momentaly is selling btc from their trust (theres a chance because the fees are too high for GBTC) Germany In Recesion! germany is the first country on EU to go in recession (Bearish Sign Too) and i expect since germany was the first country the others will go too High Bank Loans FEES! ETC,ETC,ETC
by sakicasignals
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