Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 20% move possibleTeucrium Wheat Fund forms bullish "Continuation Wedge" chart pattern
"Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Teucrium Wheat Fund (WEAT:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $7.03 to the range of $8.30 - $8.60. The pattern formed over 28 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue.
A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
ETF
Pennant (Bullish) | 27% move possibleDirexion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury forms bullish "Pennant" chart pattern
"Pennant (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury (TMF:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $9.02 to the range of $11.00 - $11.50. The pattern formed over 9 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price seems to be resuming a sharp rally after taking a brief pause.
A bullish Pennant pattern occurs during a dynamic market rally, representing a brief period of indecision before running off again in the same direction. The pattern consists of two converging trend lines with diminishing volume, and is confirmed when the price breaks through the upper boundary to resume the advance.
Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 44% move possible"Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3x Shares (YINN:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $45.07 to the range of $59.00 - $62.00. The pattern formed over 28 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue.
A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
Pennant (Bullish) | 10% move possible"Pennant (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on iShares 20 Year Treasury (TLT:NASDAQ). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $106.40 to the range of $115.00 - $117.00. The pattern formed over 8 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price seems to be resuming a sharp rally after taking a brief pause.
A bullish Pennant pattern occurs during a dynamic market rally, representing a brief period of indecision before running off again in the same direction. The pattern consists of two converging trend lines with diminishing volume, and is confirmed when the price breaks through the upper boundary to resume the advance.
SPY S&P 500 ETF Put OptionsI think SPY is nicely following the path to reach $348 by mid-2023 to form a Double Bottom pattern:
My choice for puts is as follows:
2023-4-21 expiration date
$375 strike price
$2.79 premium.
I plan to exit fast, won`t hold until expiration.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Megaphone Bottom | 20% move possibleDirexion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares forms bullish "Megaphone Bottom" chart pattern
"Megaphone Bottom" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $16.61 to the range of $19.60 - $20.30. The pattern formed over 16 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The recent broadening action tells us that trading has been out of control, but a breakout on the upside suggests we're starting a more decisive uptrend.
With its broadening price swings, the Megaphone represents a market that's unstable and out of control. It typically consists of two successively higher highs between three lower lows, and the reversal signal occurs when the price breaks up above the second peak (the highest high) as a sign of a more decisive bullish move.
UNG - Natural Gas ETF - Potential Double Bottom Support PlayUNG (US Natural Gas ETF) has formed a double-bottom price pattern on the Daily chart.
The Price has found temporary support above $8.21.
Support Price Targets are: $8.21, $8.16, $7.72, $6.11.
Resistance Price Targets are: $8.99, $9.93, $10.97, $11.97.
UNG etf does not always correlate & follow technical analysis charts.
Be aware of global fundamental news changes regarding energy assets (government policies, corporate policies, supply & demand, etc).
QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF 2023 Forecast. CPI Report PredictionAfter the last price target was reached:
My timeline for QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF after the CPI report on Feb 14 is this:
1. CPI data will come better than expected. The medium forecast in 6.2, I expect 6 - 6.1.
- The market will be exuberant afterwards and QQQ will reach $317 by March 1st, thinking that the FED won the fight against inflation .
2. While inflation continues to be sticky in March, the FED will continue increasing interest rates and won`t stop until something cracks in the economy. Another 25bps increase.
- The market is expected to react and the QQQ will reach $288.
3. The year will end in a positive note, the was in Ukraine will end and the supply chain disruption that was one of the factors of high inflation , will be restored. Inflation down to 3%.
My prediction for QQQ by the end of the year is $332, a 25% increase YOY.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
SPY S&P 500 ETF Options ChainI have monitored the options chain of SPY in the past 2 months and I noticed some big Puts positions that are recurring, regardless of the price:
2023-3-17 expiration date
$386 strike price
($2.53 premium now)
I don`t know that it has something to to with the higher than expected inflation, continuation of the interest rate hikes, the P/E ratio of 21.80 for SPX (quite high), or the war in Ukraine.
But options traders are quite bearish on SPY S&P 500 ETF for the upcoming month.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
SPY S&P 500 ETF Price PredictionOn March 7th we have the Fed Chair Powell Testimony, that could reveal that the FOMC is going to hike the interest rates for a longer period of time, and maybe give us a clue if it`s the case for a 50bps increase after the next meeting.
On March 10th we have the Non Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate that could also fuel a potential 50bps hike if they come better than expected.
In this context, my price target for SPY is $386 by Mid-April.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF Price PredictionOn March 7th we have the Fed Chair Powell Testimony, that could reveal that the FOMC is going to hike the interest rates for a longer period of time, and maybe give us a clue if it`s the case for a 50bps increase after the next meeting.
On March 10th we have the Non Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate that could also fuel a potential 50bps hike if they come better than expected.
In this context, my price target for QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF is $285 by Mid-April.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
ETF PortfolioETF PORTFOLIO, TIME TO REBALANCE?
After accumulating heavily between May and July, the time to rebalance the ETF portfolio is approaching.
It has been a planting year, the partial harvest could come very soon. Despite the difficulties, everything is proceeding as it should, especially on the MSCI World, which has held up very well a complicated year like 2022.
The complete portfolio is up 12.5% after the last rebalancing, if we also take into consideration my trading strategy connected to it, we arrive well above 20%.
Not bad in terms of resilience in a year where my stock portfolio closed with a drawdown of -7.5%, supported by Apple and Amazon who underperformed anyway.
Partial sale target €79.50
For other assets ... well you know...
Happy trading
LazyBull
uvxy headed for 1:10 revse split early feb. 2023we are breaking out in spx daily, but are we at swing low in vix? contango is uvxy is matching what it nears as we head for high $4 range where it normally reverse splits 1:10. conveniently that puts us in the expected date range of early february. this VWAP strategy says we may be in for another long entry UVXY as we top out in es1! potentially around ftz 8, and above bands crossing bull by ftz 13.
Head and Shoulders Bottom | 14% move possibleDirexion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x Shares forms bullish "Head and Shoulders Bottom" chart pattern
"Head and Shoulders Bottom" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x Shares (SPXS:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $18.31 to the range of $20.50 - $21.00. The pattern formed over 20 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price seems to have reached the end of a period of "accumulation" at the bottom of a major downtrend; the break up through resistance signals a reversal to a new uptrend.
The Head and Shoulders Bottom is created by three successive declines in the price following a significant downtrend. The lowest low (head) is in the middle, flanked by two higher lows (shoulders) at roughly the same level. Volume is highest as the price makes the first two declines, then diminishes through the right shoulder. Finally volume surges as the price closes above the neckline (drawn between the two highs) to confirm the reversal.
Continuation Diamond (Bullish) | 19% move possibleVanguard High Dividend Yield ETF forms bullish "Continuation Diamond" chart pattern
"Continuation Diamond (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $110.96 to the range of $130.00 - $134.00. The pattern formed over 452 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price has broken upward out of a consolidation period, suggesting a continuation of the prior uptrend.
The pattern begins during a downtrend as prices create higher highs and lower lows in a broadening pattern. Then the trading range gradually narrows after the highs peak and the lows start trending upward. When the price breaks upward out of the diamonds boundary lines, it marks the resumption of the prior uptrend.
Double Bottom | 35% move possibleDirexion Daily Small Cap Bull 3x Shares forms bullish "Double Bottom" chart pattern
"Double Bottom" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3x Shares (TNA:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $43.19 to the range of $54.00 - $57.00. The pattern formed over 102 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price seems to have reached a bottom after failing to break through a support level and ultimately rising higher in a sign of reversal to a new uptrend.
The Double Bottom pattern forms during a downtrend as the price reaches two distinct lows at roughly the same price level. Volume reflects a weakening of the downward pressure, tending to diminish as the pattern forms, with some pickup at each low, less on the second low. Finally the price breaks upward above the highest high to confirm the bullish signal.
Bottom Triangle | 40% move possibleDirexion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury forms bullish "Bottom Triangle" chart pattern
"Bottom Triangle" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury (TMF:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $9.64 to the range of $13.00 - $13.80. The pattern formed over 60 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price seems to have reached a bottom, showing signs of reversal as it has broken upward after a period of uncertainty or consolidation.
A Bottom Triangle shows two converging trendlines as prices reach lower highs and higher lows. Volume diminishes as the price swings back and forth between an increasingly narrow range reflecting uncertainty in the market direction. Then well before the triangle reaches its apex, the price breaks above the upper trendline with a noticeable increase in volume, confirming this bullish pattern as a reversal of the prior downtrend.
Strong support trend line + Bullish "Flag" | 20% move possible1. "Flag (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Invesco Solar ETF (TAN:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $75.80 to the range of $92.00 - $94.00. The pattern formed over 9 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price seems to be resuming a sharp rally after taking a brief pause.
A bullish Flag pattern occurs during a dynamic market rally, representing a brief pause as the market "catches its breath" before running off again in the same direction. The pattern consists of two parallel trend lines, often sloping downward against the prevailing uptrend, and is confirmed when the price breaks through the upper boundary to resume the rise.
2. The price came to strong support line and has been closed above that line.
Target 1: $84
Target 2: $92
Historical Comparison of Vanguard Sector ETFsQuick comparison chart to see which performed better (or worse) during bull and bear markets.
It's not always a straight-forward answer, and more variables involved.
But... should give you an idea all things else equal regarding ticker choices and weights.
Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 48% move possibleDirexion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares forms bullish "Continuation Wedge" chart pattern
"Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (DRV:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $40.35 to the range of $57.00 - $61.00. The pattern formed over 24 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue.
A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
Price Target 1: $48
Price Target 2: $56
Price Target 3: $68
Price Target 4: $84