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DOA trading Strategy - SPY#SPY - For my long term people! I know a lot of yall are asking me about my personal long term positions. When I did my last long term projection of SPY back in March 2022 I said that SPY will hit $390 before June We hit $383 May 2022 then bounced hard ✅ I've been out of my long term since March 2022 most of you probably remember that I've been shorting the market since end of March 2022 when we caught the 2nd drop from double top back in March. I'm getting ready to enter on my long term if we hold at $360-$365 area From what I'm seeing now, we are currently getting ready for a 3rd impulsive wave, and just finishing the corrective wave. We should hit $360-365 before end of September Then if we hold, I'm going shopping for long term!
AMEX:SPYShort
by directoptionalerts
WEAT - Massive double top short opportunity using wheat etfDouble top Volume profile showing a lot of supply Seasonal data favors downside until mid September Plan your trades before executing the trade. How much are you willing to bet? Where will you get out? How will you lock in profits? Risk: 60 bps Profit Protection: 3-Day Trailing Stop Rule (Peter Brandt) You don't need to know what's going to happen next to make money ~Mark Douglas Anything can happen ~Mark Douglas
AMEX:WEATShort
by pangx623
2
Winter is Coming - Long UNLAs this terrible war grinds on, Europe and Asia are getting ready for winter by restocking inventories in the face of a supply squeeze caused by EU and US sanctions. Years of under investment in the sector due to political/ESG concerns combined with the sector's past corporate mismanagement making investors doubly wary has led to insufficient infrastructure in place to meet demand. Given the recent pullback from the recent highs and a positive testing of support, I feel now is the time to enter a position at this level with a timeframe of 9-10 months for my thesis to play out. UNL is the vehicle to express my trade thesis because it avoids the risks of contango by using a 3 expiry framework instead of simple following the most current NG contract which can create contango risk at rollover. Entry: $23.32 This is the avg of 3 tranches spread out from the $22.50 - 26.50 price levels. Today's price puke back down to support at $22.65 was the last fill. I am a swing trader and will be allowing this to run until spring. I will be selling covered calls throughout. I want to let this fish run with the line, so I may or may not sell parts of the position at major price levels. We are in market conditions where the price may not have much of an upper bound until demand eases in the spring. I will update as this trade develops. Good luck and god speed.
AMEX:UNLLong
by SloppySeconds
WEAT ETV To Play The Future Price of WheatWEAT's price, an ETV which trades wheat futures, is positioned to keep increasing as the horrible war in Ukraine rages on. I accumulated this back at the $6.5 - $7 price level as a response to the decrease in fertilizer (thank you China for hoarding and mismanaging) and increases in crop disruption due to climate change related disasters. As you can see, it was chugging along nicely within the channel I drew back in Sept. I was expecting the continuation of nice returns as I've been playing the top and bottom of the channel. I had no idea that the #1 and #5 producers of wheat would go to war before spring planting and now we can expect the price of wheat and wheat futures to sky rocket. There is supply side destruction for at least one year that is being priced in right now but the decrease in fertilizer and climate disruption effecting the rest of the producers has not. Where the market hasn't yet priced something in, there is profit to be made. Wheat and thus WEAT's price has open skies once it breaks through the $12.65 level and the broader cup, of the cup and handle formation it has been forming for years, will be put in at $24.65, then down to put in the handle, reset and then put in a big impulsive wave up.
AMEX:WEATLong
by SloppySeconds
4
QQQ Volatility 02 June 2022 QQQ Volatility 02 June 2022 The current percentile of QQQ is around 72.22%. The current implied volatility is around 33.01 -> which translates into a daily movement of 2.08% At the same time, this translates in an aproximate +-6.5$ movement For this we can assume close to 85-90% probability of efficiency based on the last years data. Based on this our channel for today is going to be, assuming the opening price is 306 TOP 306 + 6.5 ~= 312.5 BOT 306 - 6.5 ~= 299.5 This strategy is perfectly suited for an iron condor At the same for those that are looking for entry points in case they want to go long call/put or a reverse iron condor, instead of normal iron condor we can make use of next data: Based on the last years, we can expect that the asset is going to move more than 0.53% which translates into a +- 1.6$ movements. And this comes with a 75-80% probability based on the last years. TOP 306 + 1.6 ~= 307.6 => as an entry point for long where we can use the opening price as a stop loss BOT 306 - 1.6 ~= 304.4 => as an entry point for short where we can use the opening price as a stop loss
NASDAQ:QQQ
by exlux
SPY Volatility 02 June 2022 SPY Volatility 02 June 2022 The current percentile of SPY is around 68.25%. The current implied volatility is around 26.05 -> which translates into a daily movement of 1.64% At the same time, this translates in an aproximate +-7$ movement For this we can assume close to 90% probability of efficiency based on the last years data. Based on this our channel for today is going to be, assuming the opening price is 410 TOP 410 + 7 ~= 417 BOT 410 - 7 ~= 403 This strategy is perfectly suited for an iron condor At the same for those that are looking for entry points in case they want to go long call/put or a reverse iron condor, instead of normal iron condor we can make use of next data: Based on the last years, we can expect that the asset is going to move more than 0.43% which translates into a +- 2$ movements. And this comes with a 70-80% probability based on the last years. TOP 410 + 2 ~= 412 => as an entry point for long where we can use the opening price as a stop loss BOT 410 - 2 ~= 408 => as an entry point for short where we can use the opening price as a stop loss
AMEX:SPY
by exlux
$DRV PTs 56-100 and higher 3X Bear Real Estate ETFThe fund invests in swap agreements, futures contracts, short positions or other financial instruments that, in combination, provide inverse or short leveraged exposure to the index equal to at least 80% of its net assets (plus borrowing for investment purposes). The index is provided by S&P Dow Jones Indices (the “index provider”) and includes securities of companies from the following industries: real estate management and development and REITs, excluding mortgage REITs. The fund is non-diversified.
AMEX:DRVLong
by BADQOMOCAWGOWLD
1
Nice trade idea for SOXX! Semiconductor companies offer a lot of highly liquid securities that encourage risk-taking in all time frames, from intraday scalping to monthly market timing. The sector also supports various profit strategies, including momentum trading, basket allocations and short selling. It acts independently in many market phases, going its own way while major indices push higher or lower. This divergent behavior brings additional opportunities, even in difficult macro conditions. There are many ways to trade the semiconductor space, from identifying particular stocks to investing in the sector as a whole using exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
NASDAQ:SOXX
by UnknownUnicorn38289576
Daily US Volatility Forecast 25 May 22 SPY,SPX, QQQ, NDXSPX/ES/SPY 26 May 2022 The current volatility is expected with close to 85% chance to be below 1.85% In this case, our channel for today is going to be TOP 4045 BOT 3900 From fundamental point of view, today we are going to have US GDP release, which it may affect with a high probability the price of this asset Since the expected GDP is going to be negative/bearish compared to the previous values, I believe once we are close to 30k we can enter in a short trade before the release of the data. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- NDX/NQ/QQQ 26 May 2022 The current volatility is expected with close to 85% chance to be below 2.28% In this case, our channel for today is going to be TOP 12150 BOT 11600 From fundamental point of view, today we are going to have US GDP release, which it may affect with a high probability the price of this asset Since the expected GDP is going to be negative/bearish compared to the previous values, I believe once we are close to 30k we can enter in a short trade before the release of the data. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CME_MINI:ES1!
by exlux
Bear market?Bear market? Yes, an increasingly similar 2022, even worse, to 2018. This is already what we are experiencing on the financial markets. Hard times for long traders, for swing traders, while golden opportunities for day traders, for those who know how to take advantage of moments of volatility. Volatility that hasn't been seen in a while, especially on the S&P500. As for me, having a very very strict risk management, for swing or day trading operations, I prefer to focus on the long-term portfolio, accumulating and rebalancing my ETF portfolio which is my real "safe haven" in difficult times. It is during the downturn that stocks pass from the hands of traders to those of investors. One of the most truthful phrases I've ever heard since doing this job. Returning to trading, the expectation for June 15-16 is felt by the market; uncertainty has never brought anything good, paradoxically a further .50 point hike from the FED but with falling inflation it would be welcomed by the market. The level of inflation is the most important thermometer, and it has reached such high levels that it bothered some analysts to remember the Volcker maneuver. I don't think so and I hope it will go that far. What is certain is that the Fed has waited too long to raise rates and international tension and the consequent increase in commodities has aggravated the situation. It is no coincidence that the oil trade and my commodity ETF are the two biggest gains this year as far as I'm concerned. I close by summarizing my recent activities: Purchase (accumulation) on Apple (AAPL) close May 19 MSCI World ETF purchase (accumulation) 19 May close Buy (accumulate) emerging markets ETFs May 19th close Happy trading Lazy bull DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. These posts, videos, and any other contents are for educational and entertainment purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. While it is possible to minimize risk, your investments are solely your responsibility. It is imperative that you conduct your own research. I am merely sharing my opinion with no guarantee of gains or losses on investments.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by LazyBull5