SPY bearish options todayI was monitoring the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (ETF) options market and the puts are dominating the options today.
2/3 puts, 1/3 calls and some important dark pool prints sells.
My expectation is for a retracement at the $422 area, followed by a W shaped recovery.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
ETF
SARK the most profitable ETF ???? SARK or The Tuttle Capital Short Innovation ETF offers investors access to a short vehicle that may otherwise be difficult to execute on their own.
The fund attempts to achieve the inverse (-1x) of the return of the ARK Innovation ETF for a single day, not for any other period.
So far, so good, from November till February the fund has a return of 68%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SPY 400/394 Put Credit Spread - March 21 ExpiryFill: 0.54 Credit
Strikes: 400/395
Max Risk: 500-54 = 446
This was an order that I had been sitting on all day, trying to hold myself back from reducing my target price. Ill be honest, I liked these strikes so I wanted the trade.
Reasoning:
1. Large move down today, attacking prior lows - This is jumping the gun a bit as I usually wait for some confirmation of an upward movement, but as I mentioned I liked the strikes and the 10% Margin of error on the SPY, something I dont get often with my trades unless IV is high.
2. Yellow line is the lowest we have seen in 2022, and this still provides a 5% cushion from there as well.
3. Capital Deployment - I have been sitting on my hands alot recently, but I need to get trades out there. The reality is that I have built in risk management into my strategy and taken this risk into account when I project yearly returns, this is great to do, but means that if I do not deploy the amount of capital that I plan to, I dont hit returns because there is already a loss cushion built in. Currently around 20% deployed, and I should be at 34% as per my trading plan.
Questions? Comments? Leave them below!
COFF Long (+ I LOVE DRINKING COFFEE)LSE:COFF
WisdomTree Coffee is designed to enable investors to gain an exposure to a total return investment in coffee by tracking the Bloomberg Coffee Subindex (the "Index") and providing a collateral yield.
WisdomTree Coffee is an exchange traded commodity ("ETC"). Its securities can be created and redeemed on demand by authorised participants and traded on exchange just like shares in a company. The ETC is backed by swaps. The payment obligations of the swap counterparties to the Issuer are protected by collateral held which is marked to market daily. The collateral is held in segregated accounts at The Bank of New York Mellon. Details of the collateral held can be found in the Collateral section of the WisdomTree website (www.wisdomtree.com).
VanEck Oil ETF (USA: $OIH) Ripe For The Picking 🍊About VanEck Oil Services ETF
The investment seeks to replicate as closely as possible, before fees and expenses, the price and yield performance of the MVIS® US Listed Oil Services 25 Index. The fund normally invests at least 80% of its total assets in securities that comprise the fund's benchmark index. The index includes common stocks and depositary receipts of U.S. exchange-listed companies in the oil services segment. Such companies may include small- and medium-capitalization companies and foreign companies that are listed on a U.S. exchange. The fund is non-diversified.
Trading plan IN case of a short scenarioBefore starting , I want to clarify that this doesn't mean "I'm short" this means: "I don't know what the price may do next; however if the price makes THIS sequence of patterns that I have defined in advance, I may be in front of a good situation to trade." WHY? Because I had tested this pattern in the past, both through real trading and backtests, and overall, I have a statistical advantage. Therefore I should trade it. (That's the logic)
Ok, let's start:
* The price has broken the ascending trendline on a -12% movement, and now we saw a bounce, and the price is close to reaching the main trendline of the current bearish movement.
* This is relevant because the price is close to the main level of the current bearish trend (the descending trendline). IF the price breaks it, we should start thinking about a flat correction with that bottom defined or a new bullish impulse starting. However, IF the price starts falling again, the bearish trend may continue.
*IF the bearish trend continues, I'm waiting for a breakout of the current yellow structure. When I mean a breakout, I want to see the price breaking it at least a little bit.
*IF that happens, I will be waiting for a movement, as you can see on the template, and I will trade in the same way explained there. With a break-even at 4145.00 (this means that I will move my stop loss to the entry level)
These are the 4 possible scenarios:
1) I never trade because the setup is never executed
2) I trade and I'm stopped out (-3% of my capital)
3) I trade and is a break-even ( 0%)
4) I trade and is take profit (+6% of my capital)
Thanks for reading!
#SMH and all semi plays#SMH is seeing increased bullish volume ( blueish nodes ) compared to bearish volume ( orange nodes ) on the volume profile sitting on a great spot ontop of a volume shelf with plenty of room to push to the top side if we can keep this trend so far don't dive into plays in current market ease into them to manage your risk as best as possible
iShares Russell 2000 $40 per share shortThis is a trade that I have been watching for a while. We have a near perfect Wyckoff distribution pattern playing out. Partner that with all of the negative press around the USA recently and this trade is the one that I am most confident in. I expect a move down between $50 - $60. I will update as the trade becomes active and my thoughts as it plays out.
✅NASDAQ: TECH BUBBLE OVER? SHORT🔥
✅NASDAQ was trading in a nice rising channel
But now we are seeing a strong bearish breakout
From the channel and with the lower low
Being established that means with the high probability
That the current uptrend is over!
I think we will see bullish rebound
To retest the broken rising support of the channel
From where the index will start falling again
With the target of making at healthy 25% correction
Unless of course the market scares the hell out of the FED
And it will promise not to touch rates
SHORT🔥
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Nifty ETF investment strategyHere is the best strategy for ETF Investment.
In the daily timeframes, when the RSI period 3 goes below the 20 value, then just buy the ETF in good amount. The return is very good.
For example in the above chart I have marked some of the signals.
You can also set the alert on RSI to get the signals.