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I will avoid trading below this trendline | ARKKToday, we will look at ARKK, one of my favorite assets to trade. What can we see right now? The price made a new local low last week, which took us to a 42% decline since the previous ATH on February 2021. As you can see, this scenario already happened in the past, and ALL the time, we saw new ATH coming after that. That's why it's important to define what I will be expecting before taking new bullish setups on Cathie Wood's ETF. The main element I want to pay attention to is the current descending trendline. Below that level, I will assume that I'm not in a solid situation to develop setups. Therefore, I want to see a breakout of it FIRST. Most of the time, getting great opportunities is a matter of patience, and the most important thing is that we can't force the market to provide us with an opportunity; we can only wait. And, at the moment, the price is on a clear bearish trend, far from our filter. So, this post is more about "what I will not do" rather than what I'm expecting. So, my conclusion here is: Until I don't see a breakout of that descending trendline, I will not risk my capital, and I will keep waiting. Let's see how much time we should wait for that to happen. Maybe a couple of months. Thanks for reading, and feel free to add your view or charts in the comments.
AMEX:ARKK
by ThinkingAntsOk
1
ETFs and rising concerns (TL;DR at end)ETFs are by far the most popular form of investment, regardless of whether you are a parent saving up for your child's college or you're a multi-millionaire/billionaire banker, a good portion of your investments will be in exchange traded funds, regardless of whether that fund is for commodities, industries or indexes. Since their first implementation in the 1990s, they've have grown rapidly as seen in the thumbnail of this idea ( AMEX:VOO ). In the words of Mr. Buffett himself, there is only one problem with index funds: "they're boring". You can't stand with your friends on the weekend at the barbecue and talk about all the trades you've made in response to crazy market action because you've got some fund manager who just holds the stock of everybody worth holding (in theory). All you do is put more money into it, or take money out of it. However, recently I came to the realisation (like many other investors), they're becoming ludicrously priced. Not just the individual price but the overall market cap with companies like Blackrock and Vanguard holding quite conceivably hundreds of billions if not trillions of dollars within ETFs. Now there are concerns regarding a potential crash in the ETF market or at least the funds that trade through indeces. As far as the cause of such crash, I wouldn't dare attempt to make some degree of educated guess as anything could happen. One may consider me rather cynical when it comes to this topic but I'm sure I'm not the only person who has a problem with losing money. Now there is absolutely nothing one can do about a crash but there are other solutions to minimise losses especially in a market that is trading so dangerously high. I would personally (assuming I had the financial capacity) take out around 60-75% of my overall investments in ETFs and transfer them to AAA rated state issued bonds or simply reinvest the money in stocks I already hold. Then I would continue my regular dollar cost averaging approach to investment in ETFs (or whatever the frequency is that you add money to such funds) until such a crash may occur. At a given point, (depending on the fund and how severe the crash is) I would increase the frequency and amount of money I add to such funds as the price drop should cause them to appear very attractive. Understandably, many people will disagree with this approach as you are still setting yourself up to lose money (unless you remove all your money from the funds, while you still could potentially continue earning. This results in the investor being left in some sort of dilemma. Although this is another discussion for another day) and "past performance is no indicator of future results" but this is the approach I would take. As usual, other opinions, facts, news and comments are always welcome so comment away and stay safe! TL;DR: ETFs are trading very high in price (dangerously) and a potential crash is luring (if you have a cynical outlook).* *See the last paragraph on what I would do, due to such a situation being upon us.
AMEX:VOO
by Michael_Axio
VXUS near levels to add to positionVXUS is an ETF issued by Vanguard that seeks to track the FTSE Global All Cap ex US Index, which measures the investment return of stocks issued by companies located outside the United States. VXUS holds 7760 stocks, with net assets totaling $416.8 billion and an expense ratio of only 0.08% this ETF is extremely attractive for exposure to mostly large cap global equities. With the recent identification of a new variant of Covid the ETF's price has started to decline quite quickly. Viewing this ETF as a long term investment declines in price due to market panics are seen as excellent opportunities to purchase shares at reduced prices. As price declines I will continue to gradually increase the size of my position in this fund. Recent events have shown us that the perceived disruptions and negative effects of the Covid pandemic have not been nearly as detrimental to business as previously thought and so any undue panic simply represent an opportunity for patient, dispassionate investors to pick up bargains. *Not a recommendation to buy or sell*
NASDAQ:VXUSLong
by MarkE
2
XAUUSD 1D TF : 25.Nov.2021Today, the price of gold reached the bottom of its uptrend channel and after reaching this range, it reacted positively. The lowest price traded today was $ 1778. Today's Canlde is Signal Bar and we're looking forward to KEY BAR , and in this case we can look for the Buy position in the daily timeframe. if the price Close below this range we will enter to a Sell position and the most important resistance (target) will be $ 1796 and $ 1802. Follow our other analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, we are here to help. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... 👤 Arman Shaban : @Ar_M_An_4 📅 25.Nov.2021 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ To give us energy and motivation , please like and leave a comment. ❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
1
Halal way to trade the movement of the Oil prices : ETFI am a Muslim so there are issues about the halal-ness in trading CFD, particularly the Brent CFD (BCOUSD in Oanda) My solution for this is to buy an ETF that tracks oil companies (Oil companies stock price movement generally moves almost the same as the price movement of Brent and WTI). I found either FENY and XLE as great ETF for this. Unfortunately USO and UCO are tracking Brent futures. I will use the Brent price chart to determine when I will swing trade FENY or XLE ETF. Look at the chart and it is self explanatory Cool thing is sometimes FENY will perform slightly better than Brent CFD (13.87% for Brent / 16.85% for FENY for this particular timeframe)
OANDA:BCOUSDLong
by sufiansaid
2
TAN - Getting Ready for next Big Breakout TAN Solar ETF has been on upside momentum for a while. You could clearly see it had a channel breakout first, and then breakout the strong resistance line and now consolidating side ways for last 1 week or more, testing the next resistance levels. Weekly charts also shows that the buying demand is high and bulls are in control. Getting ready for next breakout. Targets 107.25, 113.20, 125.05, ATH. Can't give exact timelines, as markets are floating with light volumes getting into Holiday Season.
AMEX:TANLong
by gmaster29
Poseidon Dynamic Cannabis ETF $PSDN - BUY NOW - MSOgang#StatesReformAct FEDERALIZATION Bill in Congress. Cannabis legalization is BiPartisan. $PSDN has the best $MSOS advisors lined up to make great investing decisions in the ever growing cannabis sector. The US sector is on fire. Women & minority leaders will be sought. Diversity is great for business. $PSDN & $KERN. Recommend. Compliance Data SOFTWARE. #thegem (no shipping hassles) US Cannabis Council Board Chair, Akerna CEO, Jessica Billingsley. $KERN GL #cannabiscommunity #valueinvesting FINALLY WINNING! Jobs & Justice
PLong
by EpicEconomics
$MSOS AdvisorShares - US Cannabis ETF - BreakoutON VOLUME. Volume precedes price. A move without volume is suspect (see #shib). States Reform Act on Monday should be a headliner for sure. Lot's of legislation to look forward to. #cannabisreform #thegem Jobs & Justice Akerna $KERN has the data. Enterprise Solutions, Compliance SOFTWARE CEO Jessica Billingsley is Chair of USCC, United States Cannabis Council. $ITHUF $GNLN $GPRO $FCEL $PLUG $GM $VIXY US5Y UP. Large cap #stonks & #cryptocrash to #cannabisreform The future.
AMEX:MSOSLong
by EpicEconomics
6
BTC GOING FOR THE NEW ATH SOON?With the ETF news we have seen BULLS breaking all the resistances and currently BTC is sitting there just 2% below the previous ATH. We still have to find out if this ETF was sell the news event or does it really have what it takes to take BTC to the new ATH! Right now these are mostly all these old retailers fomoing in at the top and we'll see it on Monday what really happens when we see the final news. Right now to me it looks like that BTC is going for the ATH very soon! This is not a financial advice, it is very risky until we break the final resistance of the last ATH I'll try to reduce my exposure but I do think that BTC is ready for another leg up after some corrections and we might break the resistances. This is my bullish bias, anything can happen with the final news, but I do hope and I do think we're going to break the previous ATH! Be Safe! And give a like if you liked this idea!
by TychonTrades
Asset Classes - Part 1 and 2 - For beginnersAsset classes - Part 1 - Stocks, Bonds, Commodities and Currencies There are several types of asset classes which group together investments with similar characteristics. However, each asset class also has its own particular features that it does not share with other asset classes. Most common asset classes are: equities, fixed income, real estate, commodities and currencies. Correlation between different asset classes within the same industry is common. However, asset classes in unrelated fields show very little correlation. Each asset class possesses a different level of liquidity; most liquid asset classes are equities, fixed-income securities, and commodities. Sub-asset class Asset classes can be subdivided into sub-asset classes; for example, commodities can be subdivided into lumber, metals, oil, etc. Sub-asset classes can be further subdivided into separate groups which show common characteristics while showing characteristics of the broad group at the same time. For example, metals can be subdivided into precious metals and industrial metals. Each group can be then divided even further to efficiently distinct between separate features of asset type. For example, precious metals can be divided into gold, silver and platinum. Illustration 1.01 Illustration above shows a daily chart of continuous CFD on WTI oil. Price made a low of 33.67 USD on 2nd November 2020 and continued to rise until it reached a high of 85.39 USD on 25th October 2021. Correlation Some assets tend to show correlation. Such correlation can be positive or negative. Positive correlation means that two assets behave in a similar way. For example, when gold rises then mining stocks rise as well. Contrary to that, negative correlation describes such behavior in which assets move in the opposite direction to each other. For example, when USDEUR declines then WTI oil tends to rise. Illustration 1.02 Illustration above shows the daily graph of Exxon Mobil Corporation which belongs to the oil mining and exploration sector. It made a low of 31.11 USD on 29th October 2020 and then continued to rise until 1st November 2021 when it reached a high of 66.08 USD. Positive correlation can be observed between CFD on WTI oil shown in Illustration 1.01 and Exxon Mobil Corporation stock. Stocks Stocks, also called equities, are normally issued by an eminent (company, state, etc.) as shares which give right of ownership to their holder. These shares are then sold by eminent (to investors) with the purpose to raise capital. Stocks are predominantly traded on stock exchanges and they can be either common stocks or preferred stocks. Common stocks entitle a shareholder to vote at shareholders´ meetings and to receive dividends being paid by a company. Preferred stocks differ from common stocks in that they usually come with limited or no voting rights at all. Though, preferred stocks have higher claims to dividends and distribution of assets by a company. This means that in case of liquidation of a company preferred stockholders have priority over common stockholders. In addition to that, preferred stocks can pay higher dividends than common stocks and because of that they are good for building passive income based on dividend payments which can be monthly or quarterly. Bonds Bonds are simply loans made by an eminent (borrower) which can be state, corporation, or any other legal entity. Bonds are considered fixed-income instruments because they come with interest payments being paid out to an investor. Owner of a bond is called debtholder while the issuer of a bond is called a creditor. Bonds are tradable assets and they have maturity. In addition to that, bonds come with risk of default. Because of that, higher yielding bonds usually come with higher risk of default. Bonds are great investment vehicles for building passive income, however, they generally underperform in terms of yield when compared to stocks, commodities and indices. Bond yield is negatively correlated to bond's price. Commodities Commodities are basic goods (such as gold, lumber, oil etc.) that are used in commerce. They are usually refined or used for production of other goods. Commodities can be traded on market exchanges where they must meet specified minimum standards like quality, weight, type, etc. Commodities are great speculative and anti-inflationary investment vehicles. Illustration 1.03 Illustration 1.03 shows the daily chart of CFD on WTI oil. On 20th April 2020 due to the WTI oil crisis at Cushing, Oklahoma price plunged below negative 36 USD (-36 USD per barrel). Unfortunately, that is not depicted on the chart (chart depicts lowest value at 0.00 USD). Currencies Currency has the role of a medium of exchange for goods and services in almost all economies around the world. There are many different currencies worldwide, however, predominantly used currencies are U.S. dollar (USD), Euro (EUR), British pound (GBP), Yuan (CNY) Ruble (RUB), Yen (JPY). Relationships between currencies are highly intertwined making the currency market very complex and hard to predict. Central banks can influence currency rates through monetary policies such as interest rates and quantitative easing. Similarly, a government can impact currency rate by enacting fiscal policies. These policies can have an impact on spending, import, export, etc.; which will, in result, influence currency rate. In addition to all of that, some currencies exhibit positive or negative correlation with commodities such as gold, oil, etc. Illustration 1.04 Illustration above shows the daily graph of EURUSD. It is observable that EURUSD made lows in March 2020 and then continued to rise towards November 2020. Only a month later in April 2020 oil bottomed out and then started to rise in tandem with EURUSD (depicted in Illustration 1.03). Asset Classes - Part 2 - Cryptocurrencies, ETFs, CFDs Modern technology along with financial evolution brought rise of new asset classes such as cryptocurrencies, exchange traded funds (ETFs), contracts for difference (CFDs) and options. These new financial instruments represent alternative investment to stocks, bonds, commodities and currencies. Additionally, some features within these products can help an investor to diversify portfolio, trade short and use leverage with ease of a few mouse button clicks. Cryptocurrencies Cryptocurrency is simply digital currency. Most cryptocurrencies are based on blockchain technology which acts as a distributed ledger that is run by a large number of computers that comprise decentralized structure. Normally, cryptocurrencies are not issued by central authorities (however, central banks around the world currently work on digital form of fiat currencies). Cryptocurrencies are encrypted by cryptographic methods which makes them very difficult to counterfeit and double-spend. These assets are considered to be more volatile when compared to stocks, bonds, commodities and fiat currencies. Another defining feature that sets cryptocurrencies apart from other assets is that they are traded non-stop (24 hours a day, including weekends). Most popular cryptocurrencies are Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Cardano (ADA), Ripple (XRP), Dogecoin (DOGE). Illustration 1.04 Picture above shows the monthly chart of BTCUSD (Bitcoin in USD). It is very easy to spot unbelievable growth of more than 862 000 % between August 2011 and November 2021. Exchange traded fund (ETF) Exchange traded fund is a type of security that is publicly traded on a stock market exchange and which tracks an index, stock, commodity, or other asset. Exchange traded funds can track either one asset or group of assets. This allows an ETF to be structured in such a way that it can reflect performance of a particular economic sector. Illustration 1.05 Illustration above shows the daily graph of JETS ETF which is an airline exchange traded fund. It has exposure to airline manufacturers, airline operators, airports and terminal services. Contract for difference (CFD) Contract for difference is exchange traded security that is cash-settled and which does not include delivery of goods. It simply pays the difference between the opening price and closing price. CFDs copy the price of other securities and they can be traded short, and also on margin. However, usually higher fees are associated with CFDs when compared to stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities. Illustration 1.06 Depiction above shows the monthly graph of CFD on USOIL. DISCLAIMER: This content serves solely educational purposes.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Tradersweekly
34