ETF
VAPX Daily - Still technically looking "okay"Technically the ETF is still consolidating within a continuation rectangle between 22 and 23.50 = bullish for holders. I will only look to cut my holdings below 22. One can look to add above 23.50, or wait for bottom of the rectangle hoping the support will hold? or potentially we also see a bounce here off the bottom of the channel. I am happy to continue holding for now.
LITHIUM ETF - 4 times Higher Already 🚀👷🔋LITHIUM is FLYING!
Check our idea/post from June 17th of last year as well as November 2020
It was obvious fundamentally that this was going to happen, for one too many reasons you can read about in those 2 previous posts.
If something has changed is only positive, with Lithium Americas, Albemarle, and JinkoSolar Stocks went off like rockets on Monday, responding to a Biden administration plan to quadruple the share of green energy in America's economy by 2030.
President Joe Biden calls for 80% green energy in the U.S. Renewable energy stocks react.
Long story short, the Biden administration's proposal for "greening" the U.S. economy could be great news for both solar stocks and lithium stocks -- if the revolution happens. On a more cautionary note, WSJ observes that while you shouldn't "bet against a committed U.S. federal government and a supportive populace," the plan "envisions triple-digit billions of dollars of tax credits for clean energy over the course of a decade. But aren't in the bipartisan infrastructure bill" currently working its way through Congress.
It's not yet certain that either Congress or voters will support spending "triple-digit billions" to subsidize green energy -- or pay the higher tax bills that those subsidies imply. In the meantime, S&P Global data shows that none of the three stocks named is currently generating positive free cash flow from their businesses. Unless subsidies are forthcoming, it remains to be seen if they can be profitable on their own.
One Love,
Let's go to 110 LIT ETF,
the FXPROFESSOR 🔋🔋🔋🔋🔋
ETF - Go long on Global X MSCI China Health Care ETF ($CHIH)The Global X MSCI China Health Care ETF (CHIH) seeks to invest in large- and mid-capitalization segments of the MSCI China Index that are classified in the Health Care Sector as per the Global Industry Classification System (GICS).
$STXRES ETF. Resources bouncing off supportThe Satrix resource ETF has been trading around a defined uptrend for a couple of years now. Recently it broke out of the range and retested the upper band of the range before moving higher again. The upper band has been tested once more and you have to wonder if the recent high will be challenged again 7440. Large economies seem to be running hot at the moment which means the demand for resources will continue to rise. Maybe another buy opportunity here.
Is rotation to growth in the horizon? $FFTYThe Innovators ETF AMEX:FFTY is being underperforming the TVC:SPX since February. This ETF is concentrated in growth stocks; so is a good barometer for that sector of the market. I see a volatility contraction pattern (VCP) with lowering volume, classic pattern before a crazy breakout. This breakout could be upward or downward, the thing is to be reactive.
At the moment its relative strength against the TVC:SPX haven't indicated anything bullish, and the price is below the 20 day and 50 day MA. I'll be waiting for confirmation. The bullish sign for me is that some tech names have been making good breakouts, like NASDAQ:CRWD , NASDAQ:UPWK and NYSE:U . For me these stocks could be the next leaders.
KGRN - The Hidden Gem ETF 💎KGRN is an environmental ETF based in China. China is only at 31% capacity for renewable energy with huge room for improvement.
This ETF holds some of the top Chinese electric car companies. As we all know the Chinese market is the largest in the world and as their economy grows so will their push towards becoming more environmentally friendly. This ETF captures the growing market in a rapidly developing sector.
This ETF is a long-term hold and buying when the price drops.
DBA riding the trend upThis ETF has been my favourite since 2020. With the scarcity in supply from agriculture segment and the incoming waves of inflation, this could be one good bet for agriculture sector. It's looking like a small cup and handle with the neckline at 19.19, it's looking pretty good if there's good volume to push for breakout. Let's see how the US Market goes for next week. DBA has been riding on a good uptrend since June last year and looks very likely to continue further.
Trading Plan for the breakout on ARKK - Statistical ApproachToday, we will explain our trading idea on ARKK.
What are we observing right now? The price is inside a descending Wedge pattern (106 days correction), and we are observing possible signs of a breakout happening soon. We can see a clear support zone that the price could not break, so we expect a bullish movement towards the next resistance zone at least.
How are we planning to trade this movement? We are waiting for 4 daily candlesticks, at least on the edge of the wedge pattern. (Currently 3) After that, we will set pending orders above the structure, and we will wait for a new local high for an execution. The optimal scenario would be to see a retest of the white curve.
Ok, but why did we chose 4 daily candlesticks and not 7 or 9? Good question, smart guy. Let's take a look at the next chart
Here we have defined ALL the corrective patterns that were ABC clear structures with a duration higher than 50 days at All-time highs level. The conclusion is that after we have the first breakout attempt, we observe a 4 to 8 days correction (daily candlesticks on the edge of the broken pattern) and a new local high as an execution level has been working really well to provide Great setups with huge risk rewards ratio. OF COURSE, the setup failed several times, this is a statistical approach to taking setups, and we should be open to a new fail here. However, our approach is taking good bets in terms of Win rate and R/R ratio. (this means taking several setups to start observing an edge)
The risk we are planning to take on this setup is 1% of our setup, move our stop loss to Break-Even on the next resistance zone, and we will look for a 1 : 10 R/R
Thanks for reading!
$SQQQ ProShares Ulta Short. Support held and gap closedSupport around 11.00 level held
Opening gap closed around 11.29 level closed yesterday.
Longs seems to be doing housekeeping for a move higher
This is a 3x leveraged inverse ETF, so keep risk in mind
Took a position with a 13.00 target price to hedge against downside portfolio risk
Stop loss on a daily close below 11.00
Selling 5 Delta Spreads!Hello guys, hope all is well. Today I got into a SPY $411 / $408 spread expiring 06/04 /21. This put credit spread has a 5 delta which gives it a 95% chance of it being OTM by expiration rendering it worthless. I was able t to get $9 of credit for each spread which would give me a 3.09% ROI for the week.
Hope you have a great day
SLV : RESET / POSITION TRADESLV: Breakout Potential
SUMMARY :
The iShares Silver Trust ETF is trading under pressure and the instrument has lost more than 17% of its value since August 10th, 2020.
However, irrational exuberance in stock markets, a negative unemployment trend in the U.S., and an alarming surge in U.S. money supply could help SLV to break above prior highs.
As a potential breakout trigger, we will be watching the $24 level because we think that a sustained bullish move here could extend into a much wider rally into 2021.
SOURCE: Dec. 15, 2020 3:13 PM ET / iShares Silver Trust ETF (SLV)
seekingalpha.com
Bitcoin Trust. GBTC. For those who don't care to play in the crypto-pool and/or want to support your local Morgan-Stanley account representative.
Again the bitcoin trust is: GBTC
Ethereum trust is: ETHE
ARKK INNOVATION ETF (ARKK) • Volumes suggest bottom may be inARKK volumes on 3D and weekly look particularly interesting.
Nice V-shaped signatures suggest significant sell from weak hand into strong ones.
There is however the possibility of a double bottom formation with lows around 94 but overall I think this correction has ended or at least pretty soon.
Invalidation of this idea is trading bellow 90k until get above 100 again.
The 122 is a significant price level to pay attention. It's the resistance that will become support once broken.
Japan Economy could spike?We are retesting now a 25-year-old resistance level and it's a big opportunity to ride the next Japanese economy cycle.
I don't want to get into the macro-economy details, I am only focused on unbiased TA and for me, this can be a good buy opportunity if the resistance becomes a support, at least the RR looks awesome.
About the ETF, this IShares is the largest one and the one of the oldest, so I think it's a good one to use to invest in this possible growing economy....
HOLDINGS:
Toyota Motor Corp
SoftBank Group Corp
Sony Group Corp
Keyence Corp
Tokyo Electron Ltd
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc
Nintendo Co Ltd
Recruit Holdings Co Ltd
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Ltd
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd