" Man, I'm Pretty "“Now remember, I do my best work when I’m being worshiped as a god.” — Johnny Bravo.
Bitcoin king of crypto - doing it's best work, like the one man army it is!
Although it's as clear as day, crypto is here to stay - we have to be willing to see some wood through the trees. Every now and again, we need a pullback. I have written several articles around the "buying the dip" logic for a pullback, why people get into crypto and of course - a ton of educational content here around Elliott and Wyckoff. See related ideas below;
“So enough about me, let’s talk more about me.” — Johnny Bravo
You have to see the logic here and understand - that the market is taking a well earned rest, it will continue. However, you also need to appreciate the Composite man concept, is going to make life difficult for retail traders.
"Wanna see me comb my hair, really fast?” — Johnny Bravo
When working with Elliott waves - it's an obvious move here, confirmed with tools such as Weis wave to give clarity of times on such moves. Take a look at this in the image above. It's there and obvious.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When the drop came - people where shocked, it really can't just go up forever and a day.
If you go back and analyse the Wyckoff structure - you will notice the Buyers climax linked to the sharp drop off in the Blockfi positions.
“Hey, Baby! Anybody ever tell you I have beautiful eyes?” — Johnny Bravo
You need to look at the bigger picture, the much bigger picture.
To the moon!!!
I wasn't actually meaning just the moon calls - I was meaning, the psychology for the drop, the reload and the go again scenario.
So although your all here waiting for Lambo's...
You will see that composite man want's nothing more than to take your money, he knows how to play the game and is busy playing it.
You might feel bored at the moment, jumping on every little move!
“I may be late honey, but I’m looking good.” — Johnny Bravo
So take a step back, wait for the market to give the confirmation.
“This won’t end well.” — Johnny Bravo - not for many retail traders, that is for sure!
So have a great weekend! Trade safe!!!
“Thank you, thank you very much.” — Johnny Bravo
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
ETF
ETF - Go Long on South Korea! $EWY The ETF on ASX is $IKO South Korea, iShare MSCI South Korea.
This ETF tracks $EWY in the US Market.
I like this wedge chart pattern here, we are still trading sideways since the start of the year.
A breakout is coming,
currently, the price is still above all three moving averages, (21,50,200).
Therefore, it is more likely to break out into the upside.
Buy on a breakout and close above $94.75.
VEMT Weekly - Nice follow through We identified a bullish weekly candle in early march and started to average into the portfolios. This combined with bullish RSI divergence from oversold indicators has played out well so far (combined with some nice dividends in the interim). They are also acting as a nice hedge as I had hoped. Looking for 39 to start banking some profits
VAPX Daily - Still technically looking "okay"Technically the ETF is still consolidating within a continuation rectangle between 22 and 23.50 = bullish for holders. I will only look to cut my holdings below 22. One can look to add above 23.50, or wait for bottom of the rectangle hoping the support will hold? or potentially we also see a bounce here off the bottom of the channel. I am happy to continue holding for now.
LITHIUM ETF - 4 times Higher Already 🚀👷🔋LITHIUM is FLYING!
Check our idea/post from June 17th of last year as well as November 2020
It was obvious fundamentally that this was going to happen, for one too many reasons you can read about in those 2 previous posts.
If something has changed is only positive, with Lithium Americas, Albemarle, and JinkoSolar Stocks went off like rockets on Monday, responding to a Biden administration plan to quadruple the share of green energy in America's economy by 2030.
President Joe Biden calls for 80% green energy in the U.S. Renewable energy stocks react.
Long story short, the Biden administration's proposal for "greening" the U.S. economy could be great news for both solar stocks and lithium stocks -- if the revolution happens. On a more cautionary note, WSJ observes that while you shouldn't "bet against a committed U.S. federal government and a supportive populace," the plan "envisions triple-digit billions of dollars of tax credits for clean energy over the course of a decade. But aren't in the bipartisan infrastructure bill" currently working its way through Congress.
It's not yet certain that either Congress or voters will support spending "triple-digit billions" to subsidize green energy -- or pay the higher tax bills that those subsidies imply. In the meantime, S&P Global data shows that none of the three stocks named is currently generating positive free cash flow from their businesses. Unless subsidies are forthcoming, it remains to be seen if they can be profitable on their own.
One Love,
Let's go to 110 LIT ETF,
the FXPROFESSOR 🔋🔋🔋🔋🔋
ETF - Go long on Global X MSCI China Health Care ETF ($CHIH)The Global X MSCI China Health Care ETF (CHIH) seeks to invest in large- and mid-capitalization segments of the MSCI China Index that are classified in the Health Care Sector as per the Global Industry Classification System (GICS).
$STXRES ETF. Resources bouncing off supportThe Satrix resource ETF has been trading around a defined uptrend for a couple of years now. Recently it broke out of the range and retested the upper band of the range before moving higher again. The upper band has been tested once more and you have to wonder if the recent high will be challenged again 7440. Large economies seem to be running hot at the moment which means the demand for resources will continue to rise. Maybe another buy opportunity here.
Is rotation to growth in the horizon? $FFTYThe Innovators ETF AMEX:FFTY is being underperforming the TVC:SPX since February. This ETF is concentrated in growth stocks; so is a good barometer for that sector of the market. I see a volatility contraction pattern (VCP) with lowering volume, classic pattern before a crazy breakout. This breakout could be upward or downward, the thing is to be reactive.
At the moment its relative strength against the TVC:SPX haven't indicated anything bullish, and the price is below the 20 day and 50 day MA. I'll be waiting for confirmation. The bullish sign for me is that some tech names have been making good breakouts, like NASDAQ:CRWD , NASDAQ:UPWK and NYSE:U . For me these stocks could be the next leaders.
KGRN - The Hidden Gem ETF 💎KGRN is an environmental ETF based in China. China is only at 31% capacity for renewable energy with huge room for improvement.
This ETF holds some of the top Chinese electric car companies. As we all know the Chinese market is the largest in the world and as their economy grows so will their push towards becoming more environmentally friendly. This ETF captures the growing market in a rapidly developing sector.
This ETF is a long-term hold and buying when the price drops.
DBA riding the trend upThis ETF has been my favourite since 2020. With the scarcity in supply from agriculture segment and the incoming waves of inflation, this could be one good bet for agriculture sector. It's looking like a small cup and handle with the neckline at 19.19, it's looking pretty good if there's good volume to push for breakout. Let's see how the US Market goes for next week. DBA has been riding on a good uptrend since June last year and looks very likely to continue further.
Trading Plan for the breakout on ARKK - Statistical ApproachToday, we will explain our trading idea on ARKK.
What are we observing right now? The price is inside a descending Wedge pattern (106 days correction), and we are observing possible signs of a breakout happening soon. We can see a clear support zone that the price could not break, so we expect a bullish movement towards the next resistance zone at least.
How are we planning to trade this movement? We are waiting for 4 daily candlesticks, at least on the edge of the wedge pattern. (Currently 3) After that, we will set pending orders above the structure, and we will wait for a new local high for an execution. The optimal scenario would be to see a retest of the white curve.
Ok, but why did we chose 4 daily candlesticks and not 7 or 9? Good question, smart guy. Let's take a look at the next chart
Here we have defined ALL the corrective patterns that were ABC clear structures with a duration higher than 50 days at All-time highs level. The conclusion is that after we have the first breakout attempt, we observe a 4 to 8 days correction (daily candlesticks on the edge of the broken pattern) and a new local high as an execution level has been working really well to provide Great setups with huge risk rewards ratio. OF COURSE, the setup failed several times, this is a statistical approach to taking setups, and we should be open to a new fail here. However, our approach is taking good bets in terms of Win rate and R/R ratio. (this means taking several setups to start observing an edge)
The risk we are planning to take on this setup is 1% of our setup, move our stop loss to Break-Even on the next resistance zone, and we will look for a 1 : 10 R/R
Thanks for reading!
$SQQQ ProShares Ulta Short. Support held and gap closedSupport around 11.00 level held
Opening gap closed around 11.29 level closed yesterday.
Longs seems to be doing housekeeping for a move higher
This is a 3x leveraged inverse ETF, so keep risk in mind
Took a position with a 13.00 target price to hedge against downside portfolio risk
Stop loss on a daily close below 11.00
Selling 5 Delta Spreads!Hello guys, hope all is well. Today I got into a SPY $411 / $408 spread expiring 06/04 /21. This put credit spread has a 5 delta which gives it a 95% chance of it being OTM by expiration rendering it worthless. I was able t to get $9 of credit for each spread which would give me a 3.09% ROI for the week.
Hope you have a great day