Get started

ETF

ETH Analysis:Comprehensive Review Across Different Time Frames🔍 Let's dive into today's analysis. Today, I want to thoroughly analyze Ethereum to provide a complete overview of the potential scenarios ahead. Bitcoin Analysis 📉 First, let's take a look at Bitcoin. In the 4-hour timeframe, we found support at 64429. After breaking the high of 65389, we set a higher low in this timeframe. From a Dow Theory perspective, we are seeing the first signs of a trend reversal. If we set another higher high and higher low, we can confirm an upward trend. 📈 An important aspect of this trend change is that buying volume needs to enter the market. As you can see, the green candle volume is gradually increasing. We now need price confirmation for an early long position entry. Dow Theory confirmation can be a good trigger, but if the price doesn't correct, candle confirmation above 66719 can serve as a suitable long trigger. RSI has also given its confirmation by breaking 50.91. 📉 For short positions, confirming a candle below 64429 remains a strong trigger. Given the current downward momentum, there's no need to complicate things unnecessarily. Simply confirming a candle below this support is sufficient for a short position, with RSI breaking below 32.53 providing additional confirmation. ⚠️ Remember, we are in a large range box. When the high wave cycle (HWC) is in a range, we shouldn't expect our positions to yield significant profits or for the market to move sharply and hit our targets. ### Ethereum Analysis 🔍 Now let's move on to our main focus, Ethereum (ETH). Weekly Time Frame 📅 Starting with the weekly timeframe. Alongside Bitcoin's rise from 25k to 74k, Ethereum also climbed from its 1500 support, coinciding with a curved trendline, up to 4k. It formed a significant resistance at 3873 and then began correcting, reaching around the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, finding support at 2922. 📈 A major catalyst for Ethereum's support at this level was the announcement of the approval of an Ethereum ETF, which generated considerable hype. As a result, since that day, everyone has been waiting for the ETF's launch date. This has created significant bullish sentiment around Ethereum. By analyzing the total2 to total3 ratio, Bitcoin, and Tether dominance, we can infer that money flow is shifting towards Ethereum, likely because traders and whales believe that buying before the ETF launch will be profitable in the future. Technically, we can see that it reached the 0.382 Fibonacci level, and as selling volume decreased and the SMA25 intersected the price, a new upward momentum began. In my opinion, a combination of technical factors and the ETF news has created significant hype for Ethereum. 💸 For spot buying in the daily timeframe, it's better explained, but if you buy only in the weekly timeframe, you should wait for a break above 3873. Breaking the 70 level in RSI can provide additional confirmation for your buy. 📉 If the 2922 support, which aligns with the 0.382 level, breaks, we could move towards the golden zone of Fibonacci, between the 0.5 and 0.618 levels, with a target around 2200. Ethereum to Bitcoin Price Ratio 📉 Next, let's analyze ETH/BTC, which shows the price ratio of Ethereum to Bitcoin, helping us understand the money flow direction. Since mid-2022, Ethereum's price relative to Bitcoin has been declining. This doesn't mean Ethereum's price dropped, but rather that Bitcoin's price increased more significantly. 📈 After reaching the Demand zone, this chart made a fake breakout below this zone and returned to it, reaching its descending trendline. With the current hype and money flow into Ethereum, we expect this trendline to finally break. After breaking the trendline, the next obstacle is the SMA99. If Ethereum clears these hurdles, it could see a 56% increase relative to Bitcoin. If Bitcoin also trends upward during this period, Ethereum could experience significant growth in the ETH/USDT chart. 📉 If Ethereum continues to decline relative to Bitcoin, the next target could be 0.04307. Daily Time Frame 📅 Moving to the daily timeframe. In addition to the weekly Fibonacci, we can draw another Fibonacci on this timeframe. The 0.618 level of this Fibonacci overlaps with the 0.382 weekly Fibonacci, creating a significant support at 2873. After breaking the trendline discussed in previous analyses and the ETF approval news, Ethereum made an upward move. 📉 Currently, it has reached resistance at 3894 and is correcting, forming a range between 3457 and 3642. Breaking either of these levels could move the price to the bottom or top of the range. 📈 For spot buying, breaking 3642 is risky; the main resistance is 3894. Breaking either of these levels allows you to buy. RSI can also assist in spot buying; breaking 52.04 allows buying after price confirmation. For shorting in a market downturn, 42.84 is a suitable trigger. For futures positions, let's look at the 4-hour timeframe. 📉 In this timeframe, the price, after reaching the 0.618 Fibonacci level, created a range between 0.618 and 0.382, visible in the daily timeframe as well. 📈 We have two main triggers for long and short positions. The main long trigger is breaking 3629, with RSI breaking 61.57 for additional confirmation. For short positions, breaking 3402 is ideal. Use these triggers for opening positions. The target for long positions is 3875, and for short positions, it's 3185. 📉 If you want to open a short position earlier, confirming a candle below 3522 allows a low-risk short entry. This is happening now, and if the candle confirms below this level, you can enter a low-risk short position, but the target will be 3402, not 3185. ⚠️ The most crucial point in most analyses is that volume must confirm the trend. Always remember this to filter out and identify fake moves. 📝Ethereum's price movements are currently influenced by a mix of technical levels and fundamental news, particularly the upcoming ETF. Monitoring key support and resistance levels in different timeframes, along with volume and RSI confirmations, is essential for making informed trading decisions. Keep an eye on market trends and news updates to adapt your strategy accordingly. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
1
iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM): Leveraging AI Growth The iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) is a strategic vehicle for gaining exposure to the burgeoning Artificial Intelligence (AI) sector. Investment Thesis: * The artificial intelligence revolution is driving significant growth across numerous industries. * Identifying individual AI winners can be challenging. IGM offers diversified exposure to this transformative sector by holding leading technology companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia, all heavily invested in AI development and integration. * A recent stock split enhances IGM's accessibility for a broader range of investors. * IGM boasts a compelling historical performance record, and its future potential is bolstered by the anticipated outsized growth of the AI market. Growth Potential: Our analysis suggests that a $200,000 investment in IGM has the potential to reach $1 million within a 9-16-year timeframe, contingent upon the degree to which AI penetrates and expands the global economy. Risk Considerations: * IGM's performance is intrinsically linked to the success of the AI sector. Underperformance in AI could lead to corresponding weakness in the ETF. Conclusion: The iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF offers a well-diversified approach to capturing the substantial growth potential inherent in artificial intelligence. By investing in a basket of leading technology companies at the forefront of AI innovation, IGM provides a compelling opportunity for investors seeking long-term capital appreciation.
AMEX:IGMLong
by signalmastermind
17/06/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $70,207.85 Last weeks low: $65,079.20 Midpoint: $7,643.52 Bitcoin over the last week is in a clear downtrend, despite midweek volatility caused by the CPI & FOMC news events. The results of those news events overall were positive and we saw the reaction of that with a move from 0.25 level to range high. Yet price rejected yet again from the '21 ATH / range high levels before printing Lower highs and Lower lows making BTC LTF bearish. Altcoins are being destroyed during this chop, clear downtrends sub 4H 200EMA and a lot are retesting their 1D 200EMA levels for the first time in months. Only a handful of well performing exceptions are surviving but even they are running out of steam e.g. LSE:ONDO , LSE:TON , $JASMY. I think I could see a sweep of the previous weeks low, before we see any sort of rebound and aim for MIDPOINT. The 4H 200EMA is sat at just below MIDPOINT and so there is huge resistance there, a rejection of that level continues the LTF downtrend. This week I am continuing to monitor the Bullish Divergences that are appearing on the 4H & 1D and looking for any clear reversal in trend direction. For now I cannot see what catalyst would be responsible for turning this price action bullish, but that is what my focus is on, until then this is a no trade environment in my opinion.
by ProR35
3
ETH/BTC REVERSAL?Could we finally see a breakout of the downtrend channel now that ETHBTC has bounced off the range bottom? Bullish scenario: If we see a breakout of the trend channel and new HH & HL then ETH could finally be ready to move up after the approval of the ETH ETF's. Bearish scenario: If the range low is lost and price is excepted at those levels then the downtrend continues... I do think the general market did not expect an ETF approval so soon and so the inflows we saw for BTC were just not ready to capitalise on the ETF.
by ProR35
Bitcoin's Best Worst-Case ScenarioPreface: BTC's long-term trend is till bullish, so most likely scenario at this point is a continuation of the trend. Still, it's important to consider different views. Bitcoin has been trading within the 70k-60k area for the better part of three months at this point. This came after making a (minor) new all-time high. This is the first all-time high that occured before the halving, so rather special. Worst-case scenario for the bulls would be that we lose the long-term uptrend. Best worst-case would be a strong reversal from the bottom support. This support has been holding for >5 years, so I'd assume that a lot of buyers will be waiting around the support. If we extrapolate history, Bitcoin should top out somewhere in Q4-2025. A move towards the support during the next few months and then a year of straight bull would fit this view. More info on how I came to Q4-2025 here: Do you think Bitcoin is going to make a new all-time high soon? New bear market? Share your thoughts.
Short
by FieryTrading
2
Altcoins Still In A Bear Market? This Indicator Says YESIn this analysis I want to take a look at an indicator that is not often mentioned, but can say a lot of interesting things about the current state of the market. Note: we only have a population of 2 (N=2) to look at and deduce information from, so take it with a grain of salt. The indicator in question is the value of TOTAL3 (total crypto marketcap minus ETH and BTC) divided by the price of Bitcoin (BTCUSD). This indicator measures the strength of altcoins compared to BTC. In other terms: Indicator goes up = altcoins outperforming BTC, often during altseasons. Indicator goes down: BTC outperforming alts, often during bear markets. In the last 6 years there have been 2 strong alt seasons, which occured at a later stage during the Bitcoin bull-market. The indicator touched the bottom support and shot all the way up towards the top resistance. This caused a massive bull-run in alts, where many did a 10x or more in a matter of weeks. Looking at the past, it seems that there's still more value to be lost in alts relative to Bitcoin. Assuming we have to touch the bottom support, of course. Furthermore, nothing about this chart suggests that altcoins are a good investment at the moment. They're only losing more value against BTC, even during the latest move from 30k > 70k. For now, I'd put an alarm around the bottom support. Once the indicator touches that area it's historically an AMAZING time to switch your Bitcoin to alts. Happy to hear your thoughts!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Short
by FieryTrading
10
The Massive Potential of June's BULL-RUNNow that all of the speculations are pointing to the approval of the Ethereum ETFs , along with the positive CPI reports this week, it's safe to assume that we're about to break out of the current accumulation period. After +60 days of correction, everyone is eager to explore the potential of the next bull-run, so let's delve right into it. HOLD YOUR BREATH! - STAGE ONE: MAKING A NEW HIGHER HIGH In case you haven't noticed, on the 4th of this May, we have already broken out of the downtrend that lasted since the first day of April. However, we haven't made any higher high yet, so the bearish structure is technically still valid. Thanks to a whole bunch of good news and won rounds for crypto in the regulatory and judicial war, starting with RIPPLE surviving court and -hopefully- ending with the Ethereum ETFs approval, a break of the bearish structure seems inevitable to me, leading to a surge towards the 700B milestone. This is going to significantly refresh the alt-coins market, making up for April's harsh losses. - STAGE TWO: SELLING THE ETHEREUM ETF NEWS Now that things are looking greenish for the bulls, it's time for the exchanges to make money too. A minor correction and a retest of the 700B level would be reasonable, liquidating a ton of long positions, reigniting the trauma of the resistance that ended the February - March Mini bull-run and shaking more and more hands. And of course, there's the excuse of 'selling the news' for the exchanges to use before liquidating the crypto Futures market. I expect the traditional Alt-coins (ETH, XRP, ADA, etc..) and AI coins to perform extremely well at this stage. - STAGE THREE: THE JUNE BULL-RUN May wasn't as tough as we had expected, right? Well, this cycle is just getting started surprising us. As June approaches, Alts should see positivity due to the impact of the adoption of Ethereum. And of course, the largest piece of that green cake will be handed to the holders of any Alts related to Ethereum. We should see AI coins continuing their dazzling performance, promising projects related to RWA and Solana's competitors performing really well at this stage. I expect this stage to end when Ethereum makes its new ATH and as July approaches, then we should see Bitcoin taking back the lead and making its REAL ATH. Because.. you know.. 73K wasn't a real ATH (whispers). In my opinion, this scenario can be invalidated in two cases .. First case is if the Ethereum ETFs get disapproved. Second case is if we somehow revisit the current cycle bottom (highlighted on the chart). So that was it! My humble advice? - DO NOT use leverage, you don't need to challenge the exchanges and risk your capital. Enjoy a happy and calm June by buying your favorite coins on the Spot market. - DO NOT hold your alts for too long after Ethereum makes its new ATH. Bitcoin has to take back the lead and make its way to a new ATH. Don't worry, you will get many new opportunities during Bitcoin's bull-run. Note: This was an exploration of a potential scenario based on the current context and state of the market, not financial advice.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by OmarsMess
4
Bitcoin On-Chain: Is The Cycle Over Already?In this analysis I want to discuss a (most likely) unpopular view on the market. Namely, that the "cycle" is already over and that the peak is in for now. Preface This is not my most likely outcome for the markets. You can find my most likely outcome below: Still, it's always advised to keep an open mind and explore different potential outcomes. Overview When we look at the last 7-8 years of Bitcoin's newly created addresses we can see that this value follows a clear boom-and-bust pattern. It peaks (green) during mania when everyone wants to step into the market and it declines after the market has topped (red). For the people who are wondering about the November 2021 peak: on-chain data peaked in Q1-2021. What this chart suggests is that the "mania" phase of the market cycle is over and that the top is either in or very close. Once the mania phase is over, crazy gains are more rare and trading is more difficult. I'm interested to hear your thoughts on this idea. Like I said, it's not my most likely outcome, but it's possible that we've topped after the ETF mania.
BShort
by FieryTrading
35
US Spot BTC ETFs Garner $887m in Day, BTC approaches 72k BTC price approaches $72K: The price of bitcoin surged to nearly $72K on Wednesday after US spot bitcoin ETFs recorded their second highest single day of net inflows. President Biden vetoes a bipartisan resolution aiming to reverse an SEC rule on crypto custody services: The White House said the resolution would “jeopardize the well-being of consumers.” Robinhood buys exchange: Robinhood announced Thursday it has agreed to acquired Bitstamp, a European crypto exchange, for around $200 million. MicroStrategy and its chairman Michael Saylor have settled tax fraud allegations for FWB:40M : The company’s stock subsequently jumped more than 3% on Wednesday; the company maintains nearly FWB:15B in BTC holdings. Changpeng "CZ" Zhao, founder of Binance, started a four-month prison term in Santa Barbara, California: CZ admitted to violating the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) in November. Shares in GameStop surged 21%: Keith Gill, "Roaring Kitty," revealed a $116M stake in the company, driving renewed investor interest and trading activity. 👤 Topic of the Week: What does KYC mean for crypto? 👉 Read more here
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by Gemini
ETH Bullish Pennant | ETF approval confluence | Target: 2021 ATHNot Financial Advice TL;DR Bullish Pennant on BINANCE:ETHUSDT daily chart, upwards breakout target would be very close to 2021 ATH. SEC approval of VanEck ETF (final deadline on May 23) could be a major catalyst. A rare case of (potential) technical and fundamental confluence: ETH has been building a Bullish Pennant since the end of the Feb 5 - Mar 12 rally The retest of the multi-month support in place since October 2023 might signal that the bottom is in The final deadline for SEC's approval of VanEck's ETH ETF lines up almost perfectly with the convergence between the pennant's resistance and the multi-month support Interestingly enough, the target for an upwards breakout of the pennant around VanEck's approval deadline would be very close to the 2021 ATH
Long
by AliferCrypto
3
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 19 - BRK.B - (6th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing the Berkshire Hathaway ETF chart, starting from the 6-Month chart.
NYSE:BRK.B
by Road_2_Funded
Long ETH, Short BTC on Expected ETH ETF Approval SEC's unexpected nod for Ethereum Spot ETFs (“ETH ETFs”) through the approval of 19b-4 forms has ignited a fresh wave of excitement in crypto markets. This paper delves into the impact on ETH/BTC Ratio fuelled by this development. The ratio has been a laggard throughout the current bull run. ETHER ETF ADVANCES TOWARDS APPROVAL On 23rd May, the SEC unexpectedly approved the 19b-4 forms, permitting CBOE, Nasdaq, and NYSE to list ETH ETFs. This surprised participants who anticipated a rejection. Take note that this does not signify that spot ETH ETFs are approved for trading yet. The applications must still clear the next hurdle, which is the approval of the S-1 form. This process could potentially be drawn out over the next couple of months but there are encouraging signs. Last week, Blackrock updated its S-1 form for its iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA), suggesting that the issuers and SEC were working towards fine-tuning the details. The Block reported that other issuers were told to send in their updated S-1 filings by Friday 31/May. Additional rounds of revisions are expected before a final decision. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas opines that approval could come as soon as June. A key point of interest for ETH ETFs will be whether the ETH held in these instruments can be staked. Staking Ethereum generates 3.4% APR (Annual Percentage Rate) as of 3rd June. Staking is exposed to risk of losses through slashing. Yet, it makes Spot ETFs attractive to investors. ETH ETF WILL DRIVE SPOT DEMAND Like the spot Bitcoin ETFs, ETH ETFs will drive additional spot demand for the cryptocurrency. Since launch, Bitcoin ETFs have seen more than USD 13 billion of capital inflows . Spot ETFs represents new source of demand and in the month following its launch, inflows drove large price moves. ETH ETFs are unlikely to attract the same level of demand as Bitcoin ETFs. Inflows into ETH ETFs are expected to be a fraction of those into BTC ETFs, with ETH assets constituting about 10%-20% of BTC assets in various regions, according to comparisons of currently listed instruments. Source: Eric Balchunas on X Projecting this level of spot demand, ETH ETFs could witness inflows between USD 1.1 billion (10% of BTC inflows) to USD 2.2 billion (20% of BTC inflows) over the next three months. ETH HAS LAGGED IN THE CURRENT CRYPTO RALLY BTC has been the clear winner in the current crypto rally. BTC is the only large crypto to exceed its previous all-time-high until now. In terms of relative performance, other cryptocurrencies have displayed robust performance too. Other crypto-assets Solana, Dogecoin and Binance Coin have surged to outperform BTC over the last six months. ETH has been a noticeable laggard. ETH had been underperforming even BTC until 20th May. Following the rally after approval, ETH has just managed to catch up to BTC performance but still lags relative to smaller (and riskier) crypto assets SOL, DOGE, and BNB. To get a sense of relative performance, we can plot the ratios of these crypto assets with BTC. This chart makes ETH underperformance relative to BTC even clearer. This underperformance might suggest that investors have moved away from ETH. That risk when flipped could also present an opportunity for ETH to outperform BTC in the coming weeks. ETH/BTC ratio is a mean-reverting quantity and relative to the peaks seen during past cryptocurrency bull runs, the ratio is low. Notably, the ratio rallied sharply after BTC reached new all-time-high levels in the past. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Approval of ETH ETFs in the near term is likely to translate into spot buying, driving up prices. A hypothetical trade consisting of a long position in the ETH/BTC ratio will benefit as ETH outperforms BTC. Investors can execute a spread trade on the ETH/BTC ratio using CME Micro Bitcoin and CME Micro Ether futures. Each contract of Micro Bitcoin futures provide exposure to 0.1 Bitcoin and each contract of Micro Ether futures provide exposure to 0.1 Ether. Eighteen contracts of Micro Ether are required to balance notional value on both legs of the trade. • Entry: 0.0547 • Target: 0.0600 • Stop Loss: 0.0520 • Profit at Target: USD 655 • Loss at Stop: USD 336 • Reward/Risk: 1.95x Notably, this trade does not match notional exactly as the current BTC/ETH ratio is 18.28. Alternatively, CME offers Ether/Bitcoin Ratio (EBR) futures that enable investors to gain exposure to the ETH/BTC ratio through a single transaction and match notional exactly. Each contract of these futures corresponds to an exposure of USD 1,000,000 multiplied by the index value (approximately USD 54,810 at a ratio of 0.05481 as of May 31). These contracts enable investors to obtain relative value exposure on these closely correlated assets without taking a directional stance. The EBR contract is also substantially more margin efficient than individual futures on both legs (USD 6,800 vs USD 28,000 for the same notional value). However, investors should be aware that these newly introduced futures have poor liquidity compared to individual Ether and Bitcoin full-size and micro futures contracts. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CME:MBT1!Short
by mintdotfinance
7
EVERY Possible Scenario for ETH in 2024As we can all observe, ETH is doing pretty bad against BTC. And I mean neck-deep-up-sh*t-creek-with-its-mouth-wide-open kinda bad LOL. People are starting to worry and get flashbacks of the December 2020 dip of ETH against BTC. The current situation is the price retesting a historic golden FIBONACCI level (61.8%) that's about 3 years old. This level is crucial because it's formed by the last cycle's bull-run surge. Let's explore the possible and impossible, or rather unlikely, scenarios. FIRST SCENARIO: Ethereum ETFs get approved. This obviously is what we all wish for, not only ETH investors and fans, but everyone who cares about the Alt-coins market. I expect a huge surge from our golden FIBO level if this scenario occurs. SECOND SCENARIO: Ethereum ETFs get disapproved. In this case, it would be reasonable for the price to decline and retest the bottom of an even more historic symmetrical triangle structure that's as old as ETH. The price should bounce from there as Ethereum recovers from the bad news and retry surpassing the golden FIBO level. THIRD SCENARIO: Ethereum is doomed. This is a very unlikely scenario , but let's humor it anyway. What if ETH fails to retest the bottom of the symmetrical triangle structure that's been containing its price action since millennia? Well, I don't expect this to happen unless ETH fails to recover from the bad news and turns out to be a huge SCAM coin. The biggest scam coin in the history of crypto. Sorry if this was too intrusive and scary. I just think it's reasonable to always consider the worst as we consider the best outcome possible. The GREAT news is all of the speculations are pointing to the approval of the Ethereum ETFs , I personally expect the approval next week, so I'm ruling out anything but the BEST possible scenario for ETH this cycle! Note: This was an exploration of a potential scenario based on the current context and state of the market, not financial advice.
by OmarsMess
2
ETH - Critical Zone 👀 Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders, As per my last analysis, ETH rejected the $3000 support and traded higher. What's next? Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bullish - Continuation For the bulls to maintain control, a break above the $4,000 - $4,100 is needed. In this case, a movement towards the $4,500 resistance would be expected. 2️⃣ Bearish - Correction Meanwhile, the bears can still kick in for a correction towards $3,500 where we will be looking for new short-term buy setups. Which scenario is more likely to happen first? and why? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
22
27/05/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $71,999.47 Last weeks low: $69,028.57 Midpoint: $66,057.66 After a historical week for the crypto space with the ETH ETF approval has meant that BTC has taken somewhat of a backseat. Currently battling with the '21 ATH at SWB:69K while ETH is beginning to pic up strength in the ETH/BTC pair and take volume away from Bitcoin. Ethereum has been a relatively slow mover in comparison to some of the rest of the altcoin market. However, now that the ETFs are approved and it is to be expected that ETH will have huge Inflows just as BTC did with a >50% increase since approval. All this means that I could see BTC fighting the '21 ATH for sometime while the altcoin market and mostly ETH will take the spotlight for the next week at least. SWB:69K lines up well with the weekly range Midpoint and that's the key battle for BTC, so far this Bullrun we've seen BTC lead the way generally, could it be time for ETH to take over? This week I think ETH and ETH beta plays (OP, ARB, LDO, METIS etc) are the ones to watch, I would be cautious when it comes to Longing ETH blindly at this level, yes the massive demand increase will help price rise but as we saw with BTC after ETF approval, price did drop 18% over two weeks post approval. I'm not saying this will definitely happen with ETH, so far despite an initial 10% whipsaw price has stayed generally the same with a slight move up, however It is worth noting.
by ProR35
Should You Long SOL on Solana ETF Rumors? A Deep DiveCNBC's Brian Kelly, a crypto investor and "Fast Money" trader, recently ignited a debate by suggesting Solana (SOL) could be the next cryptocurrency to get a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the US. While this news might sound bullish for SOL, the decision to "go long" – meaning buying and holding for a price increase – requires careful consideration. Here's a breakdown of the factors to weigh before diving into SOL based on ETF speculation. Potential Benefits of a Solana ETF • Increased Accessibility: An ETF streamlines the process of investing in SOL. Unlike buying directly on crypto exchanges, which can be intimidating for new investors, an ETF would trade on traditional stock exchanges. This could attract a wider audience and potentially drive up demand for SOL. • Enhanced Liquidity: ETFs generally trade with higher daily volume compared to individual cryptocurrencies on exchanges. This increased liquidity could benefit SOL by making it easier to buy and sell without significant price fluctuations. • Boosted Credibility: SEC approval of a SOL ETF would provide a significant stamp of legitimacy for the project. This could attract institutional investors who are often hesitant to enter the unregulated crypto market. A potential influx of institutional money could significantly boost SOL's price. However, Don't Get Carried Away Yet • Uncertain Approval Timeline: While Kelly's prediction sparked a conversation, it's important to remember it's just speculation. The SEC has not officially confirmed plans for a Solana ETF, and the approval process could take months or even years. • Regulatory Hurdles: Just like with Ethereum ETFs, the SEC might raise concerns about potential market manipulation or the underlying technology of Solana. These hurdles could delay or even derail the approval process. • ETF Structure Matters: The devil is in the details. Not all ETFs are created equal. Some might hold actual SOL, while others might use derivative contracts. The specific structure of the proposed ETF will significantly impact your investment exposure. Alternatives to Consider • Direct SOL Purchase: If you're confident in Solana's long-term potential, buying SOL directly on a crypto exchange could be a viable option. However, ensure you understand the risks associated with managing your own crypto wallet. • Diversified Crypto Funds: Several investment funds offer exposure to a basket of cryptocurrencies, including Solana. This might be a good option for investors seeking broader diversification within the crypto market. Ultimately, the decision to "go long" SOL should be based on your individual investment goals, risk tolerance, and thorough research. Don't base your investment solely on ETF speculation. Analyze Solana's fundamentals, track its development roadmap, and stay updated on regulatory developments. Here are some additional factors to consider: • Solana's Recent Performance: While SOL has experienced significant growth in the past, its price can be volatile. Analyze its historical performance and understand the risks involved. • Competition within the Smart Contract Space: Solana faces stiff competition from established players like Ethereum and emerging projects. Research how Solana is differentiating itself and its long-term competitive advantage. • Your Investment Horizon: Are you looking for a short-term trade or a long-term investment? ETFs might be more suitable for a long-term approach, while direct crypto purchases could offer more flexibility for short-term trading (but with higher risk). Remember, investing in any cryptocurrency is inherently risky. Conduct your own due diligence and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
COINBASE:SOLUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Congress Throws Weight Behind Spot Ethereum ETFs: SEC Approval?Congress Throws Weight Behind Spot Ethereum ETFs: SEC Approval on the Horizon? On May 22nd, 2024, a bipartisan group of US lawmakers sent a strong message to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). In a letter, they urged the regulatory body to approve applications for spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This move signifies a growing momentum in Congress for legitimizing Ethereum within the traditional investment landscape. The letter's signatories included heavyweights like House Majority Whip Tom Emmer (R-MN) and Financial Services Committee Vice Chairman French Hill (R-AR). Notably, Democrats were also present, with Representatives Josh Gottheimer (D-NJ), Mike Flood (R-NE), and Wiley Nickel (D-NC) joining the call for regulatory clarity. This bipartisan support highlights a potential turning point for the cryptocurrency industry, as it demonstrates a willingness from both sides of the aisle to embrace innovation. Why Ethereum ETFs Matter Exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, are investment vehicles that track the performance of an underlying asset, like a basket of stocks or a commodity. A spot ETF would directly hold Ethereum, allowing investors to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency without the complexities of managing their own digital wallets. This could significantly increase investor participation in the Ethereum market, potentially leading to greater price stability and mainstream adoption. For many lawmakers, approving spot Ethereum ETFs is a logical next step after the SEC's green light for spot Bitcoin ETFs earlier this year. The argument goes that the SEC has already established a framework for evaluating these products, and Ethereum, as the second-largest cryptocurrency, deserves similar treatment. The Lawmakers' Argument In their letter, the lawmakers specifically urged the SEC to apply consistent standards. They argued that the "principles" used to approve spot Bitcoin ETFs should also be employed for Ethereum. This consistency is crucial for building trust in the regulatory process and fostering a fair market environment for all cryptocurrencies. Furthermore, the letter highlights the potential benefits of Ethereum ETFs for investors. Increased accessibility could attract new capital to the market, bolstering innovation and economic growth within the Ethereum ecosystem. Additionally, the lawmakers suggest that a regulated ETF structure would offer greater investor protection compared to the current, less-regulated avenues for acquiring Ethereum. The Road Ahead The SEC is currently facing deadlines for decisions on several spot Ethereum ETF proposals. The letter from lawmakers arrives at a critical juncture, potentially influencing the regulatory body's final verdict. While the SEC has historically expressed concerns about potential market manipulation and investor protection in the cryptocurrency space, the recent Bitcoin ETF approvals suggest a shift towards a more open stance. Potential Challenges Despite the growing momentum, some hurdles remain. The SEC might still raise concerns about the volatility of the Ethereum market and the potential for manipulation. Additionally, unlike Bitcoin, Ethereum's underlying technology is constantly evolving, which could introduce complexities for regulators. Conclusion The bipartisan push for spot Ethereum ETFs signifies a growing recognition of the potential of cryptocurrencies within the US financial system. With lawmakers advocating for regulatory clarity, the SEC faces a crucial decision that could shape the future of Ethereum and the broader cryptocurrency landscape. Whether the SEC approves these ETFs remains to be seen, but the recent developments suggest a potential paradigm shift in the regulatory approach to digital assets.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by bryandowningqln