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ETH Bullish Pennant | ETF approval confluence | Target: 2021 ATHNot Financial Advice TL;DR Bullish Pennant on BINANCE:ETHUSDT daily chart, upwards breakout target would be very close to 2021 ATH. SEC approval of VanEck ETF (final deadline on May 23) could be a major catalyst. A rare case of (potential) technical and fundamental confluence: ETH has been building a Bullish Pennant since the end of the Feb 5 - Mar 12 rally The retest of the multi-month support in place since October 2023 might signal that the bottom is in The final deadline for SEC's approval of VanEck's ETH ETF lines up almost perfectly with the convergence between the pennant's resistance and the multi-month support Interestingly enough, the target for an upwards breakout of the pennant around VanEck's approval deadline would be very close to the 2021 ATH
Long
by AliferCrypto
3
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 19 - BRK.B - (6th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing the Berkshire Hathaway ETF chart, starting from the 6-Month chart.
NYSE:BRK.B
by Road_2_Funded
Long ETH, Short BTC on Expected ETH ETF Approval SEC's unexpected nod for Ethereum Spot ETFs (“ETH ETFs”) through the approval of 19b-4 forms has ignited a fresh wave of excitement in crypto markets. This paper delves into the impact on ETH/BTC Ratio fuelled by this development. The ratio has been a laggard throughout the current bull run. ETHER ETF ADVANCES TOWARDS APPROVAL On 23rd May, the SEC unexpectedly approved the 19b-4 forms, permitting CBOE, Nasdaq, and NYSE to list ETH ETFs. This surprised participants who anticipated a rejection. Take note that this does not signify that spot ETH ETFs are approved for trading yet. The applications must still clear the next hurdle, which is the approval of the S-1 form. This process could potentially be drawn out over the next couple of months but there are encouraging signs. Last week, Blackrock updated its S-1 form for its iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA), suggesting that the issuers and SEC were working towards fine-tuning the details. The Block reported that other issuers were told to send in their updated S-1 filings by Friday 31/May. Additional rounds of revisions are expected before a final decision. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas opines that approval could come as soon as June. A key point of interest for ETH ETFs will be whether the ETH held in these instruments can be staked. Staking Ethereum generates 3.4% APR (Annual Percentage Rate) as of 3rd June. Staking is exposed to risk of losses through slashing. Yet, it makes Spot ETFs attractive to investors. ETH ETF WILL DRIVE SPOT DEMAND Like the spot Bitcoin ETFs, ETH ETFs will drive additional spot demand for the cryptocurrency. Since launch, Bitcoin ETFs have seen more than USD 13 billion of capital inflows . Spot ETFs represents new source of demand and in the month following its launch, inflows drove large price moves. ETH ETFs are unlikely to attract the same level of demand as Bitcoin ETFs. Inflows into ETH ETFs are expected to be a fraction of those into BTC ETFs, with ETH assets constituting about 10%-20% of BTC assets in various regions, according to comparisons of currently listed instruments. Source: Eric Balchunas on X Projecting this level of spot demand, ETH ETFs could witness inflows between USD 1.1 billion (10% of BTC inflows) to USD 2.2 billion (20% of BTC inflows) over the next three months. ETH HAS LAGGED IN THE CURRENT CRYPTO RALLY BTC has been the clear winner in the current crypto rally. BTC is the only large crypto to exceed its previous all-time-high until now. In terms of relative performance, other cryptocurrencies have displayed robust performance too. Other crypto-assets Solana, Dogecoin and Binance Coin have surged to outperform BTC over the last six months. ETH has been a noticeable laggard. ETH had been underperforming even BTC until 20th May. Following the rally after approval, ETH has just managed to catch up to BTC performance but still lags relative to smaller (and riskier) crypto assets SOL, DOGE, and BNB. To get a sense of relative performance, we can plot the ratios of these crypto assets with BTC. This chart makes ETH underperformance relative to BTC even clearer. This underperformance might suggest that investors have moved away from ETH. That risk when flipped could also present an opportunity for ETH to outperform BTC in the coming weeks. ETH/BTC ratio is a mean-reverting quantity and relative to the peaks seen during past cryptocurrency bull runs, the ratio is low. Notably, the ratio rallied sharply after BTC reached new all-time-high levels in the past. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Approval of ETH ETFs in the near term is likely to translate into spot buying, driving up prices. A hypothetical trade consisting of a long position in the ETH/BTC ratio will benefit as ETH outperforms BTC. Investors can execute a spread trade on the ETH/BTC ratio using CME Micro Bitcoin and CME Micro Ether futures. Each contract of Micro Bitcoin futures provide exposure to 0.1 Bitcoin and each contract of Micro Ether futures provide exposure to 0.1 Ether. Eighteen contracts of Micro Ether are required to balance notional value on both legs of the trade. • Entry: 0.0547 • Target: 0.0600 • Stop Loss: 0.0520 • Profit at Target: USD 655 • Loss at Stop: USD 336 • Reward/Risk: 1.95x Notably, this trade does not match notional exactly as the current BTC/ETH ratio is 18.28. Alternatively, CME offers Ether/Bitcoin Ratio (EBR) futures that enable investors to gain exposure to the ETH/BTC ratio through a single transaction and match notional exactly. Each contract of these futures corresponds to an exposure of USD 1,000,000 multiplied by the index value (approximately USD 54,810 at a ratio of 0.05481 as of May 31). These contracts enable investors to obtain relative value exposure on these closely correlated assets without taking a directional stance. The EBR contract is also substantially more margin efficient than individual futures on both legs (USD 6,800 vs USD 28,000 for the same notional value). However, investors should be aware that these newly introduced futures have poor liquidity compared to individual Ether and Bitcoin full-size and micro futures contracts. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CME:MBT1!Short
by mintdotfinance
7
EVERY Possible Scenario for ETH in 2024As we can all observe, ETH is doing pretty bad against BTC. And I mean neck-deep-up-sh*t-creek-with-its-mouth-wide-open kinda bad LOL. People are starting to worry and get flashbacks of the December 2020 dip of ETH against BTC. The current situation is the price retesting a historic golden FIBONACCI level (61.8%) that's about 3 years old. This level is crucial because it's formed by the last cycle's bull-run surge. Let's explore the possible and impossible, or rather unlikely, scenarios. FIRST SCENARIO: Ethereum ETFs get approved. This obviously is what we all wish for, not only ETH investors and fans, but everyone who cares about the Alt-coins market. I expect a huge surge from our golden FIBO level if this scenario occurs. SECOND SCENARIO: Ethereum ETFs get disapproved. In this case, it would be reasonable for the price to decline and retest the bottom of an even more historic symmetrical triangle structure that's as old as ETH. The price should bounce from there as Ethereum recovers from the bad news and retry surpassing the golden FIBO level. THIRD SCENARIO: Ethereum is doomed. This is a very unlikely scenario , but let's humor it anyway. What if ETH fails to retest the bottom of the symmetrical triangle structure that's been containing its price action since millennia? Well, I don't expect this to happen unless ETH fails to recover from the bad news and turns out to be a huge SCAM coin. The biggest scam coin in the history of crypto. Sorry if this was too intrusive and scary. I just think it's reasonable to always consider the worst as we consider the best outcome possible. The GREAT news is all of the speculations are pointing to the approval of the Ethereum ETFs , I personally expect the approval next week, so I'm ruling out anything but the BEST possible scenario for ETH this cycle! Note: This was an exploration of a potential scenario based on the current context and state of the market, not financial advice.
by OmarsMess
2
ETH - Critical Zone 👀 Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders, As per my last analysis, ETH rejected the $3000 support and traded higher. What's next? Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bullish - Continuation For the bulls to maintain control, a break above the $4,000 - $4,100 is needed. In this case, a movement towards the $4,500 resistance would be expected. 2️⃣ Bearish - Correction Meanwhile, the bears can still kick in for a correction towards $3,500 where we will be looking for new short-term buy setups. Which scenario is more likely to happen first? and why? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
22
27/05/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $71,999.47 Last weeks low: $69,028.57 Midpoint: $66,057.66 After a historical week for the crypto space with the ETH ETF approval has meant that BTC has taken somewhat of a backseat. Currently battling with the '21 ATH at SWB:69K while ETH is beginning to pic up strength in the ETH/BTC pair and take volume away from Bitcoin. Ethereum has been a relatively slow mover in comparison to some of the rest of the altcoin market. However, now that the ETFs are approved and it is to be expected that ETH will have huge Inflows just as BTC did with a >50% increase since approval. All this means that I could see BTC fighting the '21 ATH for sometime while the altcoin market and mostly ETH will take the spotlight for the next week at least. SWB:69K lines up well with the weekly range Midpoint and that's the key battle for BTC, so far this Bullrun we've seen BTC lead the way generally, could it be time for ETH to take over? This week I think ETH and ETH beta plays (OP, ARB, LDO, METIS etc) are the ones to watch, I would be cautious when it comes to Longing ETH blindly at this level, yes the massive demand increase will help price rise but as we saw with BTC after ETF approval, price did drop 18% over two weeks post approval. I'm not saying this will definitely happen with ETH, so far despite an initial 10% whipsaw price has stayed generally the same with a slight move up, however It is worth noting.
by ProR35
Should You Long SOL on Solana ETF Rumors? A Deep DiveCNBC's Brian Kelly, a crypto investor and "Fast Money" trader, recently ignited a debate by suggesting Solana (SOL) could be the next cryptocurrency to get a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the US. While this news might sound bullish for SOL, the decision to "go long" – meaning buying and holding for a price increase – requires careful consideration. Here's a breakdown of the factors to weigh before diving into SOL based on ETF speculation. Potential Benefits of a Solana ETF • Increased Accessibility: An ETF streamlines the process of investing in SOL. Unlike buying directly on crypto exchanges, which can be intimidating for new investors, an ETF would trade on traditional stock exchanges. This could attract a wider audience and potentially drive up demand for SOL. • Enhanced Liquidity: ETFs generally trade with higher daily volume compared to individual cryptocurrencies on exchanges. This increased liquidity could benefit SOL by making it easier to buy and sell without significant price fluctuations. • Boosted Credibility: SEC approval of a SOL ETF would provide a significant stamp of legitimacy for the project. This could attract institutional investors who are often hesitant to enter the unregulated crypto market. A potential influx of institutional money could significantly boost SOL's price. However, Don't Get Carried Away Yet • Uncertain Approval Timeline: While Kelly's prediction sparked a conversation, it's important to remember it's just speculation. The SEC has not officially confirmed plans for a Solana ETF, and the approval process could take months or even years. • Regulatory Hurdles: Just like with Ethereum ETFs, the SEC might raise concerns about potential market manipulation or the underlying technology of Solana. These hurdles could delay or even derail the approval process. • ETF Structure Matters: The devil is in the details. Not all ETFs are created equal. Some might hold actual SOL, while others might use derivative contracts. The specific structure of the proposed ETF will significantly impact your investment exposure. Alternatives to Consider • Direct SOL Purchase: If you're confident in Solana's long-term potential, buying SOL directly on a crypto exchange could be a viable option. However, ensure you understand the risks associated with managing your own crypto wallet. • Diversified Crypto Funds: Several investment funds offer exposure to a basket of cryptocurrencies, including Solana. This might be a good option for investors seeking broader diversification within the crypto market. Ultimately, the decision to "go long" SOL should be based on your individual investment goals, risk tolerance, and thorough research. Don't base your investment solely on ETF speculation. Analyze Solana's fundamentals, track its development roadmap, and stay updated on regulatory developments. Here are some additional factors to consider: • Solana's Recent Performance: While SOL has experienced significant growth in the past, its price can be volatile. Analyze its historical performance and understand the risks involved. • Competition within the Smart Contract Space: Solana faces stiff competition from established players like Ethereum and emerging projects. Research how Solana is differentiating itself and its long-term competitive advantage. • Your Investment Horizon: Are you looking for a short-term trade or a long-term investment? ETFs might be more suitable for a long-term approach, while direct crypto purchases could offer more flexibility for short-term trading (but with higher risk). Remember, investing in any cryptocurrency is inherently risky. Conduct your own due diligence and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
COINBASE:SOLUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Congress Throws Weight Behind Spot Ethereum ETFs: SEC Approval?Congress Throws Weight Behind Spot Ethereum ETFs: SEC Approval on the Horizon? On May 22nd, 2024, a bipartisan group of US lawmakers sent a strong message to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). In a letter, they urged the regulatory body to approve applications for spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This move signifies a growing momentum in Congress for legitimizing Ethereum within the traditional investment landscape. The letter's signatories included heavyweights like House Majority Whip Tom Emmer (R-MN) and Financial Services Committee Vice Chairman French Hill (R-AR). Notably, Democrats were also present, with Representatives Josh Gottheimer (D-NJ), Mike Flood (R-NE), and Wiley Nickel (D-NC) joining the call for regulatory clarity. This bipartisan support highlights a potential turning point for the cryptocurrency industry, as it demonstrates a willingness from both sides of the aisle to embrace innovation. Why Ethereum ETFs Matter Exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, are investment vehicles that track the performance of an underlying asset, like a basket of stocks or a commodity. A spot ETF would directly hold Ethereum, allowing investors to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency without the complexities of managing their own digital wallets. This could significantly increase investor participation in the Ethereum market, potentially leading to greater price stability and mainstream adoption. For many lawmakers, approving spot Ethereum ETFs is a logical next step after the SEC's green light for spot Bitcoin ETFs earlier this year. The argument goes that the SEC has already established a framework for evaluating these products, and Ethereum, as the second-largest cryptocurrency, deserves similar treatment. The Lawmakers' Argument In their letter, the lawmakers specifically urged the SEC to apply consistent standards. They argued that the "principles" used to approve spot Bitcoin ETFs should also be employed for Ethereum. This consistency is crucial for building trust in the regulatory process and fostering a fair market environment for all cryptocurrencies. Furthermore, the letter highlights the potential benefits of Ethereum ETFs for investors. Increased accessibility could attract new capital to the market, bolstering innovation and economic growth within the Ethereum ecosystem. Additionally, the lawmakers suggest that a regulated ETF structure would offer greater investor protection compared to the current, less-regulated avenues for acquiring Ethereum. The Road Ahead The SEC is currently facing deadlines for decisions on several spot Ethereum ETF proposals. The letter from lawmakers arrives at a critical juncture, potentially influencing the regulatory body's final verdict. While the SEC has historically expressed concerns about potential market manipulation and investor protection in the cryptocurrency space, the recent Bitcoin ETF approvals suggest a shift towards a more open stance. Potential Challenges Despite the growing momentum, some hurdles remain. The SEC might still raise concerns about the volatility of the Ethereum market and the potential for manipulation. Additionally, unlike Bitcoin, Ethereum's underlying technology is constantly evolving, which could introduce complexities for regulators. Conclusion The bipartisan push for spot Ethereum ETFs signifies a growing recognition of the potential of cryptocurrencies within the US financial system. With lawmakers advocating for regulatory clarity, the SEC faces a crucial decision that could shape the future of Ethereum and the broader cryptocurrency landscape. Whether the SEC approves these ETFs remains to be seen, but the recent developments suggest a potential paradigm shift in the regulatory approach to digital assets.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
$DJI warnings signs but not all is darkGood Morning!!! Let's dissect a few things. The DJ:DJI is showing warning signs on the Weekly Chart: Money has been leaving. Harder to see on a daily so showing on weekly. RSI is also weak. Daily The DOW is trading under shorter term moving avgs. The RSI is at an important juncture, 50. $ flow almost under 0. ----------------------- There are some positives to the DJ:DJI : There is an Inverse head & shoulder pattern. Although this pattern is better @ calling lows. Of course, if it holds the 38.5k Support Level. 37.5k & 37k would be the next support areas before the retest of the MAJOR SUPPORT level, which is the old all time highs. Sell in May go away? Still bullish but weak spot for the average.
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
ETH ETF Approval and Consensus 2024Congratulations to all holding ETH and all in crypto as a whole! This past week has been MASSIVE for legislation in the field. This ETF approval shocked me- I figured it'd happen just not so soon. Turns out crypto is going to get more and more intersected with politics as time moves on from here on out... As for ETH's price and the market, I am basing my analysis on how the BTC affected its price. It's also worth mentioning that we don't know yet when the ETH ETF will begin trading. Hong Kong's ETH ETF has not been remotely as successful as BTC, but I am optimistic on how ETH will perform here in the US. Regardless, I like many others agree the ETH ETF won't be remotely as popular as the BTC one has been. To be honest, I never really ever thought the ETH ETF was that important for its success anyways- but this approval legitimizes the asset and the entire digital asset space as a whole. I'd argue this legitimization is even more important than the inflows will be. My prediction is a copy+paste of the price action of BTC after the ETF approval. Maybe we dump for a little bit more and then run up? I could see Consensus 2024 maybe speeding up this process- that convention starts on May 29. Crypto generally does well at the end of May every year, so I'm optimistic that maybe this goes up way quicker than I am expecting. Good luck everyone! This has been a fantastic 2024 so far, and the trend is on our side.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by seqwhence
📈EGLD Analysis: The Impact of Ethereum ETF on the Market💥🔍Let's dive into today's analysis. Yesterday, the Ethereum ETF news was confirmed, but since it was already priced in, the market didn't rally. Instead, those who had bought in anticipation of an Ethereum pump started selling. ⚡️ Market Momentum Currently, there is a bearish momentum in the low wave cycle (LWC), which could extend to higher wave cycles (HWC). ⛓ Coin of the Day: EGLD Today's coin is EGLD, and the project behind it is MultiversX, a high-speed, low-fee blockchain utilizing Proof of Stake (POS). To ensure network security, you need to stake EGLD, earning annual rewards based on the transactions you validate. 📆 Chart Analysis Looking at the chart, EGLD has been in a downtrend. However, for several weeks, it has been ranging between 37.42 and 45.31. The chart shows stronger bearish momentum as the price has repeatedly failed to reach the range's upper boundary. 📊 Volume Analysis The volume supports the bearish candles, with sell volumes significantly higher than buy volumes. For opening a long position, I would wait for a reversal in volume trends, indicating that buying volume is entering the market. 📉 Short Position The nearest trigger for a short position, which we are currently reacting to, is 37.42. A break and close below this level would be a suitable trigger for shorting. ✅ Short Target The short target can be set at 31.06. However, a crucial support zone at 36.09, which once caused a false breakdown and a subsequent upward move, might cause a reversal back into the range. This zone is marked in black due to its unreliable nature. 📈 Long Position For a long position, there are three triggers to consider based on your strategy: 1️⃣ 38.76 Trigger : Not for the 4-hour timeframe. For this trigger, switch to lower timeframes like 15 minutes for a scalping position. 2️⃣ 42.62 Trigger : This logical trigger can push the price to the range's upper boundary with a suitable stop-loss in a lower timeframe, offering a good risk-to-reward ratio. 3️⃣ 45.31 Trigger : This is the primary long trigger, marking the range's upper boundary. A confirmed breakout above this level can target 52.25. 🪄 My Strategy Personally, for a short position, I aim to enter at the break of 37.42. For taking profits, I will monitor the market momentum and close the position once the bearish momentum ends. For a long position, I will not open a trade until significant buying volume enters the market. If appropriate volume is observed, I will use the 42.62 and 45.31 triggers to enter long positions. I avoid the 38.76 trigger, as it aligns with a reactive trading strategy that doesn't fit my approach. 📝 Conclusion In conclusion, the recent news about the Ethereum ETF has not provided the anticipated boost to the market, highlighting the importance of technical analysis in making informed trading decisions. For EGLD, the current market conditions suggest caution, especially with the prevailing bearish momentum and volume trends. Traders should closely monitor key levels and volume changes to identify optimal entry and exit points. As always, maintaining a disciplined approach and adhering to your trading strategy will be crucial in navigating the market's movements. If you enjoyed this analysis and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next. 🧠💼 It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶If you enjoyed this analysis and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
2
Buy the Rumor, Sell the News?? - Ethereum ETF ThoughtsWhy isn't ETH pumping right now? Here are some possible reasons: No capital inflow: The ETFs haven't started yet, so there's no fresh capital inflow. Early buyers: Since the SEC decision earlier this week, many have already bought what they wanted. Regulatory hurdles: Only the 19b-4 filings were approved today, not the S-1 forms. In contrast, the Bitcoin ETF approval had the S-1 forms ready, allowing for a quick trading start. Delegated authority: The approval by "delegated authority" could still be challenged within the next 10 days. A comparison with the BTC ETF launch: Price increase Q3 last year: Much of it due to speculation that a spot BTC ETF was imminent. Market volatility from Cointelegraph post: Notorious events like the Cointelegraph posts on October 15 caused significant market volatility. Serious discussions in January: Suddenly, it became likely that the ETF would be approved that month. BTC ETF approval: The SEC approved the BTC ETF on Wednesday, January 10. Immediate +5% pump: An immediate +5% pump, followed by a significant selloff that lasted almost 2 weeks and severely impacted the market. Recovery and new ATH: BTC recovered around 39k and almost doubled to a new all-time high. Possibility for Ethereum: Buy the Rumor: Massive price increases in anticipation of the event. Sell the News: Market downturn as the event is already priced in. Delayed Fuse: Long-term bullishness is processed by the market over a longer period. Summary and Conclusion: While the exact behavior of the market is not 100% sure, historical patterns show that such events often follow predictable cycles. The "Buy the Rumor" phase leads to significant price increases, followed by a "Sell the News" reaction once the event occurs. Long-term, a "Delayed Fuse" phase may occur, where the market processes the long-term positive impacts of the event. The Ethereum ETF could play a crucial role in establishing Ethereum as a significant asset in the long term. With increasing acceptance and institutional interest, we could see sustainable price increases and broader adoption of Ethereum-based applications. The potential for DeFi (Decentralized Finance) and smart contracts could be further promoted by the ETF.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by stromm_by_wmc
1
BTC - Make or Break Zone 📈📉Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders, As per my last analysis, attached on the chart, BTC broke above the accumulation phase and traded higher. Currently, BTC is hovering around the upper bound of the range. What's next? Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bullish - Continuation For the bulls to maintain control, a break above the upper bound of the range at $72,000 is needed. In this case, a movement towards the $80,000 resistance would be expected. 2️⃣ Bearish - Correction In parallel, if the lower red trendline is broken downward, we expect a bearish movement towards the lower bound of the blue channel. Which scenario is more likely to happen first? and why? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
14
📈Ethereum: Awaiting ETF Approval📣🔍Let's dive into today's analysis. Today's focus is on ETH, which recently experienced a 28% pump in anticipation of the potential approval of an Ethereum ETF. As I mentioned in my previous analysis, breaking the $2964 level was crucial, and it provided a strong trigger for opening a position, leading to a 28% gain with a high risk-to-reward ratio. 📰Today, the final decision regarding the ETF is expected to be announced. If approved, Ethereum could see another pump, potentially surpassing the $4063 level and aiming for its all-time high (ATH) around $4600. However, if the ETF is not approved, Ethereum is likely to dump, possibly losing the $2880 support level amid market fear and excitement, which would be bad news for ETH holders. Personally, I believe the ETF is more likely to be approved, leading to another pump in Ethereum's chart. 🔔The announcement is just a few hours away. If you believe the ETF will be approved, I suggest moving to lower timeframes, finding a trigger based on your strategy, and opening a long position. Conversely, if you think the ETF will not be approved, you can apply the same approach for a short position. 📈Ignoring the ETF news and focusing purely on technicals, the RSI is significantly overbought, reaching as high as 89. This indicates high market excitement, and the RSI is now starting to come down but hasn't exited the overbought territory yet. There is a high probability of range-bound movement until the price meets the SMA25, potentially forming a box near $3798. After the SMA25 convergence, we might see renewed momentum. If the price breaks $3798 sooner, it would be even better as the resistance would be broken with more bullish momentum, allowing the price to move up more smoothly and with fewer candles. 🚀For long position targets, consider the $4063 resistance as the first target. If this resistance is surpassed, the next target would be the $4600 ATH. 📉For shorts, as long as the volume of red candles continues to decrease, I wouldn't consider shorting. To short, wait for the SMA25 to reach the candles, and if the bottom of the box breaks with increased selling volume, you could enter a risky short position. Given this would be against the primary market momentum, you should take profits quickly. 💣The main short position to watch for a complete trend reversal would be the break of the $2880 support level. 📝In conclusion, Ethereum is at a critical juncture with the potential ETF approval news imminent. If approved, we could see significant bullish movement towards and beyond $4063, aiming for the ATH around $4600. On the other hand, if not approved, Ethereum might experience a notable drop, potentially losing the $2880 support. From a technical perspective, watch the RSI and SMA25 interactions closely, and plan your trades based on the key levels and volume confirmations mentioned above. Always stay informed and be ready to adjust your strategy based on market developments.
by itsparham96
3
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Weekly - Potential Resistance Price TestSPY (S&P500 ETF) has been in an uptrend since 2023 and is approaching its all-time-high price resistance again. $523.07 is the current all-time-high price resistance. $497.83 is the current support level price, and also the 0.236 fibonacci level. Bullish Scenario: If SPY price breaks out above $523.07, the next resistance price targets could be: $537, $550, $563, $575. Bearish Scenario: If SPY price reversse back down, a potential lower-low in the price could be set over time. Support price levels could be: $508, $497, $489, $476, $466. Note: corporate earnings, FOMC interest rate changes, government legislation, breaking news, and global events could override technical chart patterns. Date created: 05/10/2024
AMEX:SPY
by NoFomoCharts
ETH - It is Happening! 🦋Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders, As per my last analysis, shown in the attached chart, ETH rejected the $3000 round number and surged by over 20%. What's next? 📈As long as the $3500 round number holds, we expect a continuation towards the previous all-time high of around $4800. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! And always remember: All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
1
20/05/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $67701.33 Last weeks low: $64227.62 Midpoint: $60753.92 We have lift off... maybe? Bitcoin has spent the last 2 months chopping between the low $70K's and high $50K's after a strong rally. However, it looks like strength has returned at least for now in BTC after the CPI print of Wednesday last week. This volatility influx moved BTC back above the 4H 200EMA which has been the all important level in determining the Mid - Low time frame trend. Now that price is back above I think the general sentiment would be to be more risk on, especially in terms of leverage than we've seen in the last few weeks. Not necessarily saying this is an ideal entry, just I think more confidence is returning to Bitcoin. The altcoin market on the other hand with exception to a few top performers is lagging behind BTC, and that can be seen by the Bitcoin dominance at 56% currently and targeting local highs. For altcoins to begin reclaiming some of their loses we'd need BTC to get back above the '21 high of $69K. Also, we have the ETH ETF approval deadline for VanEck and ArkInvest/ 21Shares on the 23rd &24th May respectively. Coinbase believes the odds of approval are closer to 30-40% so it would be a shock if these ETF's were approved by the SEC, however, if they were to be approved this could help kickstart the altcoin market again. For this week it's about seeing if BTC can capitalise on last weeks progress and target the '21 ATH. The purple trendline needs to be respected on the way up otherwise I think we'll retest the MIDPOINT or even the 0.25 area.
by ProR35
3 Different Bull Scenarios for BTC Apr-May 2024 🍃🌻🥵I should preface and say that these 3 different predictions are based off a similar price action that occurred between June and July 2017, where the sentiment for BTC was very similar to the current sentiment we face here in April and May 2024. I believe that a lot of the run up of this bull market for the next year or so will be similar to 2017 where positive news for BTC keeps coming. I know some argue the ETFs don't play a big role in price action, but I strongly disagree long term. If BTC has taught me anything throughout the years it's that information and knowledge of the asset has only strengthened its fundamentals and allowed it to prosper to what it is today. When individuals truly understand the benefit of having BTC in their portfolio (or even retirement), it's a notion/idea that can't be easily shaken off. Given that interest rates are likely to be cut later this year and inflation showing no signs of slowing down, I think it's impossible for me to be bearish on BTC. The largest asset managers in the world will not stop hyping up BTC and their ETFs. This all being said, I was very wrong about the short term price action and am re-evaluating possible scenarios that may play out in the next 2 months. June-July 2017 was a moment in time where BTC just pressed up against $3,000, got rejected, and it took an entire month for it to eventually blow straight through. While the overall sentiment seems very positive for BTC right now, the one thing we cannot mentally get past is that $70k barrier. And while we have passed it, it was not held convincingly. Maybe we got too ahead of ourselves thinking this could keep running up with no pullback- I know I definitely did. I'm more bullish than I ever have been, but I think recognizing that the market does not move as fast as we always want it to is important. For ETFs, these products take time to prosper in markets. Luckily for us, the crypto markets move quick (relative to other markets). So here are 3 bullish scenarios. If anyone watched, that dump last night was aggressive. This is trader's territory now. If there is no bounce within the coming days (I don't expect there to be a big one), then we will continue bleeding out to $61-59K. I think it's going to take some real FOMO to be witnessed if we want this bounce to be grand. These bull market cycles have taught me that just one strong bounce alongside ongoing positive news can completely switch the narrative and price action. Because the truth is, there has been almost no bad news for BTC since January. If there has been, please enlighten me. Because most of the negative Crypto news I read is related to other coins (worth noting I hold ETH as well). So breathe in, hold it.... and breathe out. We will be okay. This bull market is just getting started. The positive sentiment, good news, and true value of BTC are all very real. Honestly I hope I'm wrong and we shoot up ASAP. Unfortunately, price action I don't think is always necessarily timed out accordingly with factors such as sentiment and news. Let the short term traders do their thing, and HODLers will still end up rewarded in the longer term. But as always, BTC has humbled and continues to humble me. Good luck traders and HODLers!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by seqwhence
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