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ETH ETF Approval and Consensus 2024Congratulations to all holding ETH and all in crypto as a whole! This past week has been MASSIVE for legislation in the field. This ETF approval shocked me- I figured it'd happen just not so soon. Turns out crypto is going to get more and more intersected with politics as time moves on from here on out... As for ETH's price and the market, I am basing my analysis on how the BTC affected its price. It's also worth mentioning that we don't know yet when the ETH ETF will begin trading. Hong Kong's ETH ETF has not been remotely as successful as BTC, but I am optimistic on how ETH will perform here in the US. Regardless, I like many others agree the ETH ETF won't be remotely as popular as the BTC one has been. To be honest, I never really ever thought the ETH ETF was that important for its success anyways- but this approval legitimizes the asset and the entire digital asset space as a whole. I'd argue this legitimization is even more important than the inflows will be. My prediction is a copy+paste of the price action of BTC after the ETF approval. Maybe we dump for a little bit more and then run up? I could see Consensus 2024 maybe speeding up this process- that convention starts on May 29. Crypto generally does well at the end of May every year, so I'm optimistic that maybe this goes up way quicker than I am expecting. Good luck everyone! This has been a fantastic 2024 so far, and the trend is on our side.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by seqwhence
📈EGLD Analysis: The Impact of Ethereum ETF on the Market💥🔍Let's dive into today's analysis. Yesterday, the Ethereum ETF news was confirmed, but since it was already priced in, the market didn't rally. Instead, those who had bought in anticipation of an Ethereum pump started selling. ⚡️ Market Momentum Currently, there is a bearish momentum in the low wave cycle (LWC), which could extend to higher wave cycles (HWC). ⛓ Coin of the Day: EGLD Today's coin is EGLD, and the project behind it is MultiversX, a high-speed, low-fee blockchain utilizing Proof of Stake (POS). To ensure network security, you need to stake EGLD, earning annual rewards based on the transactions you validate. 📆 Chart Analysis Looking at the chart, EGLD has been in a downtrend. However, for several weeks, it has been ranging between 37.42 and 45.31. The chart shows stronger bearish momentum as the price has repeatedly failed to reach the range's upper boundary. 📊 Volume Analysis The volume supports the bearish candles, with sell volumes significantly higher than buy volumes. For opening a long position, I would wait for a reversal in volume trends, indicating that buying volume is entering the market. 📉 Short Position The nearest trigger for a short position, which we are currently reacting to, is 37.42. A break and close below this level would be a suitable trigger for shorting. ✅ Short Target The short target can be set at 31.06. However, a crucial support zone at 36.09, which once caused a false breakdown and a subsequent upward move, might cause a reversal back into the range. This zone is marked in black due to its unreliable nature. 📈 Long Position For a long position, there are three triggers to consider based on your strategy: 1️⃣ 38.76 Trigger : Not for the 4-hour timeframe. For this trigger, switch to lower timeframes like 15 minutes for a scalping position. 2️⃣ 42.62 Trigger : This logical trigger can push the price to the range's upper boundary with a suitable stop-loss in a lower timeframe, offering a good risk-to-reward ratio. 3️⃣ 45.31 Trigger : This is the primary long trigger, marking the range's upper boundary. A confirmed breakout above this level can target 52.25. 🪄 My Strategy Personally, for a short position, I aim to enter at the break of 37.42. For taking profits, I will monitor the market momentum and close the position once the bearish momentum ends. For a long position, I will not open a trade until significant buying volume enters the market. If appropriate volume is observed, I will use the 42.62 and 45.31 triggers to enter long positions. I avoid the 38.76 trigger, as it aligns with a reactive trading strategy that doesn't fit my approach. 📝 Conclusion In conclusion, the recent news about the Ethereum ETF has not provided the anticipated boost to the market, highlighting the importance of technical analysis in making informed trading decisions. For EGLD, the current market conditions suggest caution, especially with the prevailing bearish momentum and volume trends. Traders should closely monitor key levels and volume changes to identify optimal entry and exit points. As always, maintaining a disciplined approach and adhering to your trading strategy will be crucial in navigating the market's movements. If you enjoyed this analysis and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next. 🧠💼 It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶If you enjoyed this analysis and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
2
Buy the Rumor, Sell the News?? - Ethereum ETF ThoughtsWhy isn't ETH pumping right now? Here are some possible reasons: No capital inflow: The ETFs haven't started yet, so there's no fresh capital inflow. Early buyers: Since the SEC decision earlier this week, many have already bought what they wanted. Regulatory hurdles: Only the 19b-4 filings were approved today, not the S-1 forms. In contrast, the Bitcoin ETF approval had the S-1 forms ready, allowing for a quick trading start. Delegated authority: The approval by "delegated authority" could still be challenged within the next 10 days. A comparison with the BTC ETF launch: Price increase Q3 last year: Much of it due to speculation that a spot BTC ETF was imminent. Market volatility from Cointelegraph post: Notorious events like the Cointelegraph posts on October 15 caused significant market volatility. Serious discussions in January: Suddenly, it became likely that the ETF would be approved that month. BTC ETF approval: The SEC approved the BTC ETF on Wednesday, January 10. Immediate +5% pump: An immediate +5% pump, followed by a significant selloff that lasted almost 2 weeks and severely impacted the market. Recovery and new ATH: BTC recovered around 39k and almost doubled to a new all-time high. Possibility for Ethereum: Buy the Rumor: Massive price increases in anticipation of the event. Sell the News: Market downturn as the event is already priced in. Delayed Fuse: Long-term bullishness is processed by the market over a longer period. Summary and Conclusion: While the exact behavior of the market is not 100% sure, historical patterns show that such events often follow predictable cycles. The "Buy the Rumor" phase leads to significant price increases, followed by a "Sell the News" reaction once the event occurs. Long-term, a "Delayed Fuse" phase may occur, where the market processes the long-term positive impacts of the event. The Ethereum ETF could play a crucial role in establishing Ethereum as a significant asset in the long term. With increasing acceptance and institutional interest, we could see sustainable price increases and broader adoption of Ethereum-based applications. The potential for DeFi (Decentralized Finance) and smart contracts could be further promoted by the ETF.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by stromm_by_wmc
1
BTC - Make or Break Zone 📈📉Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders, As per my last analysis, attached on the chart, BTC broke above the accumulation phase and traded higher. Currently, BTC is hovering around the upper bound of the range. What's next? Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bullish - Continuation For the bulls to maintain control, a break above the upper bound of the range at $72,000 is needed. In this case, a movement towards the $80,000 resistance would be expected. 2️⃣ Bearish - Correction In parallel, if the lower red trendline is broken downward, we expect a bearish movement towards the lower bound of the blue channel. Which scenario is more likely to happen first? and why? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
14
📈Ethereum: Awaiting ETF Approval📣🔍Let's dive into today's analysis. Today's focus is on ETH, which recently experienced a 28% pump in anticipation of the potential approval of an Ethereum ETF. As I mentioned in my previous analysis, breaking the $2964 level was crucial, and it provided a strong trigger for opening a position, leading to a 28% gain with a high risk-to-reward ratio. 📰Today, the final decision regarding the ETF is expected to be announced. If approved, Ethereum could see another pump, potentially surpassing the $4063 level and aiming for its all-time high (ATH) around $4600. However, if the ETF is not approved, Ethereum is likely to dump, possibly losing the $2880 support level amid market fear and excitement, which would be bad news for ETH holders. Personally, I believe the ETF is more likely to be approved, leading to another pump in Ethereum's chart. 🔔The announcement is just a few hours away. If you believe the ETF will be approved, I suggest moving to lower timeframes, finding a trigger based on your strategy, and opening a long position. Conversely, if you think the ETF will not be approved, you can apply the same approach for a short position. 📈Ignoring the ETF news and focusing purely on technicals, the RSI is significantly overbought, reaching as high as 89. This indicates high market excitement, and the RSI is now starting to come down but hasn't exited the overbought territory yet. There is a high probability of range-bound movement until the price meets the SMA25, potentially forming a box near $3798. After the SMA25 convergence, we might see renewed momentum. If the price breaks $3798 sooner, it would be even better as the resistance would be broken with more bullish momentum, allowing the price to move up more smoothly and with fewer candles. 🚀For long position targets, consider the $4063 resistance as the first target. If this resistance is surpassed, the next target would be the $4600 ATH. 📉For shorts, as long as the volume of red candles continues to decrease, I wouldn't consider shorting. To short, wait for the SMA25 to reach the candles, and if the bottom of the box breaks with increased selling volume, you could enter a risky short position. Given this would be against the primary market momentum, you should take profits quickly. 💣The main short position to watch for a complete trend reversal would be the break of the $2880 support level. 📝In conclusion, Ethereum is at a critical juncture with the potential ETF approval news imminent. If approved, we could see significant bullish movement towards and beyond $4063, aiming for the ATH around $4600. On the other hand, if not approved, Ethereum might experience a notable drop, potentially losing the $2880 support. From a technical perspective, watch the RSI and SMA25 interactions closely, and plan your trades based on the key levels and volume confirmations mentioned above. Always stay informed and be ready to adjust your strategy based on market developments.
by itsparham96
3
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Weekly - Potential Resistance Price TestSPY (S&P500 ETF) has been in an uptrend since 2023 and is approaching its all-time-high price resistance again. $523.07 is the current all-time-high price resistance. $497.83 is the current support level price, and also the 0.236 fibonacci level. Bullish Scenario: If SPY price breaks out above $523.07, the next resistance price targets could be: $537, $550, $563, $575. Bearish Scenario: If SPY price reversse back down, a potential lower-low in the price could be set over time. Support price levels could be: $508, $497, $489, $476, $466. Note: corporate earnings, FOMC interest rate changes, government legislation, breaking news, and global events could override technical chart patterns. Date created: 05/10/2024
AMEX:SPY
by NoFomoCharts
ETH - It is Happening! 🦋Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders, As per my last analysis, shown in the attached chart, ETH rejected the $3000 round number and surged by over 20%. What's next? 📈As long as the $3500 round number holds, we expect a continuation towards the previous all-time high of around $4800. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! And always remember: All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
1
20/05/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $67701.33 Last weeks low: $64227.62 Midpoint: $60753.92 We have lift off... maybe? Bitcoin has spent the last 2 months chopping between the low $70K's and high $50K's after a strong rally. However, it looks like strength has returned at least for now in BTC after the CPI print of Wednesday last week. This volatility influx moved BTC back above the 4H 200EMA which has been the all important level in determining the Mid - Low time frame trend. Now that price is back above I think the general sentiment would be to be more risk on, especially in terms of leverage than we've seen in the last few weeks. Not necessarily saying this is an ideal entry, just I think more confidence is returning to Bitcoin. The altcoin market on the other hand with exception to a few top performers is lagging behind BTC, and that can be seen by the Bitcoin dominance at 56% currently and targeting local highs. For altcoins to begin reclaiming some of their loses we'd need BTC to get back above the '21 high of $69K. Also, we have the ETH ETF approval deadline for VanEck and ArkInvest/ 21Shares on the 23rd &24th May respectively. Coinbase believes the odds of approval are closer to 30-40% so it would be a shock if these ETF's were approved by the SEC, however, if they were to be approved this could help kickstart the altcoin market again. For this week it's about seeing if BTC can capitalise on last weeks progress and target the '21 ATH. The purple trendline needs to be respected on the way up otherwise I think we'll retest the MIDPOINT or even the 0.25 area.
by ProR35
3 Different Bull Scenarios for BTC Apr-May 2024 🍃🌻🥵I should preface and say that these 3 different predictions are based off a similar price action that occurred between June and July 2017, where the sentiment for BTC was very similar to the current sentiment we face here in April and May 2024. I believe that a lot of the run up of this bull market for the next year or so will be similar to 2017 where positive news for BTC keeps coming. I know some argue the ETFs don't play a big role in price action, but I strongly disagree long term. If BTC has taught me anything throughout the years it's that information and knowledge of the asset has only strengthened its fundamentals and allowed it to prosper to what it is today. When individuals truly understand the benefit of having BTC in their portfolio (or even retirement), it's a notion/idea that can't be easily shaken off. Given that interest rates are likely to be cut later this year and inflation showing no signs of slowing down, I think it's impossible for me to be bearish on BTC. The largest asset managers in the world will not stop hyping up BTC and their ETFs. This all being said, I was very wrong about the short term price action and am re-evaluating possible scenarios that may play out in the next 2 months. June-July 2017 was a moment in time where BTC just pressed up against $3,000, got rejected, and it took an entire month for it to eventually blow straight through. While the overall sentiment seems very positive for BTC right now, the one thing we cannot mentally get past is that $70k barrier. And while we have passed it, it was not held convincingly. Maybe we got too ahead of ourselves thinking this could keep running up with no pullback- I know I definitely did. I'm more bullish than I ever have been, but I think recognizing that the market does not move as fast as we always want it to is important. For ETFs, these products take time to prosper in markets. Luckily for us, the crypto markets move quick (relative to other markets). So here are 3 bullish scenarios. If anyone watched, that dump last night was aggressive. This is trader's territory now. If there is no bounce within the coming days (I don't expect there to be a big one), then we will continue bleeding out to $61-59K. I think it's going to take some real FOMO to be witnessed if we want this bounce to be grand. These bull market cycles have taught me that just one strong bounce alongside ongoing positive news can completely switch the narrative and price action. Because the truth is, there has been almost no bad news for BTC since January. If there has been, please enlighten me. Because most of the negative Crypto news I read is related to other coins (worth noting I hold ETH as well). So breathe in, hold it.... and breathe out. We will be okay. This bull market is just getting started. The positive sentiment, good news, and true value of BTC are all very real. Honestly I hope I'm wrong and we shoot up ASAP. Unfortunately, price action I don't think is always necessarily timed out accordingly with factors such as sentiment and news. Let the short term traders do their thing, and HODLers will still end up rewarded in the longer term. But as always, BTC has humbled and continues to humble me. Good luck traders and HODLers!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by seqwhence
4
ETH - Bullish Continuation⁉️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders, 📈As per my last analysis, ETH broke above the previous major high at $3000 and is currently trading higher. What's next? ETH is currently bullish short-term trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in orange. 🏹As long as the lower orange trendline and the $3000 support hold, a continuation towards the upper bound of the orange and blue channels would be expected around $3333. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
3
State of Wisconsin Invests in Spot BTC ETFs BTC, ETH jump after inflation eases: The Consumer Price Index jumped 0.3% in April, ending three consecutive months of elevated inflation readings and lifting hopes of a rate cut later this year. Bitcoin and ether prices rallied 7.6% and 5.3% Wednesday. Roaring Kitty returns, sending meme coin soaring: Vince Gill, the meme stock leader who rose to fame in 2021 under the pseudonym “Roaring Kitty,” announced his return on Twitter/X on Monday. Shares of Gamestop and AMC soared the next two days before retreating. But one meme coin reaped the benefits. US Senate overrules SEC: The US Senate voted 60-38 on Thursday to override an SEC rule that requires crypto custodians to treat customer assets as liabilities. But President Joe Biden is expected to veto the measure, and the US House has work to do to get the two-thirds majority needed to override the veto. Wisconsin becomes BTC Bull: The State of Wisconsin Investment Board revealed in a filing Tuesday that it had amassed roughly $162 million worth of shares in spot BTC ETFs with BlackRock and Grayscale. It marked the first time a state pension fund publicly declared an ownership stake in spot BTC ETFs. US Senators upset over crypto mixer treatment: US Senators Cynthia Lummis (R-Wyo.) and Ron Wyden (D-Ore.) have sent a letter to the US (DOJ) contesting a recent decision from FinCEN that said it would treat crypto mixers as money transmitters, opening up software developers to potential charges. New Vanguard CEO not rushing into crypto ETFs: Vanguard named Salim Ramji as its new CEO on Tuesday, raising speculation that the former BlackRock executive would introduce a Vanguard spot BTC ETF after Ramji oversaw the launch of iShares Bitcoin Trust at BlackRock. However, Ramji cast doubt on launching a Vanguard spot BTC ETF in an interview with Barron’s. 🎮 Topic of the Week: What is a short squeeze? The GameStop saga 👉 Read more here
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by Gemini
Bitcoin $Btc #Btc KISS (keep it simple stup*d) Your job is really so much easier than you think right now. Just buy the lines and sell the boxes and you'll be fine over the next few months. IF you get scared and feel your bag is bigger than you are comfortable with on the way down the begin using the same lines above as you get below them to trim on the way back up just enough to stay within your comfort levels. In the BIGGER picture i think this cycle is far from over and there will be plenty more opportunities along the way to make $ buying the lows and selling the highs. #Bitcoin
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by rarebreed29
Has the Bitcoin Market Become More Manipulated After ETFs? The long-awaited approval of a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in late 2023 undoubtedly marked a turning point for the cryptocurrency. However, with this institutional influx, concerns regarding increased market manipulation have also surfaced. Let's delve into whether these concerns hold water and what the future might hold for Bitcoin's volatility. Pre-ETF Era: A Wild West of Wash Trading Market manipulation in Bitcoin wasn't exactly a new phenomenon before ETFs. Wash trading, a tactic where investors buy and sell the same asset repeatedly to inflate its trading volume, was a prevalent concern. This created an illusion of high demand, enticing others to invest and driving prices up artificially. Mark Cuban, a prominent crypto investor, even predicted wash trading as the "next possible implosion" for the industry in early 2023 . The Double-Edged Sword of Institutional Investors The arrival of big players with the ETF has undeniably brought more regulation and scrutiny to the market. This, in theory, should deter blatant manipulation tactics. However, the sheer volume these institutions trade with can also influence prices significantly. The question isn't whether they manipulate, but rather how their trading strategies might unintentionally impact market behavior. A Glimpse into the Recent Controversy A recent Wall Street Journal report alleging that Binance, a major cryptocurrency exchange, fired an investigator uncovering market manipulation by a VIP client reignited concerns . This incident highlights the potential conflicts that can arise when profit margins clash with regulatory compliance. So, Has Manipulation Increased? The answer is complex. While blatant wash trading might be less prevalent, the impact of institutional trading volume and potential conflicts within exchanges are new considerations. It's likely that the nature of manipulation has evolved, becoming more subtle and potentially harder to detect. A Future of Stability or Stagnation? The influx of institutional investors could indeed lead to a more stable Bitcoin market, mirroring traditional stock indices. This would be a far cry from the explosive, volatile growth Bitcoin has seen in the past. However, this stability might also come at the cost of reduced returns for investors hoping for another Bitcoin boom. The Long Hodler's Perspective As a large language model, I can't claim to be a "hodler" (long-term Bitcoin holder). However, historical data suggests that Bitcoin has weathered similar periods of regulation and scrutiny before. The key takeaway is that despite potential manipulation, Bitcoin's underlying technology and its core value proposition as a decentralized currency still hold significant appeal. The Road Ahead The future of Bitcoin manipulation hinges on two key factors: 1. Regulatory Strength: Stronger regulations with clear guidelines and robust enforcement mechanisms are crucial to deter future manipulation attempts. 2. Transparency on Exchanges: Exchanges need to be more transparent about their trading practices and address potential conflicts of interest. Conclusion Whether Bitcoin morphs into a stable, institutionalized asset or maintains its volatile character remains to be seen. However, the fight against manipulation, regardless of its form, will be critical in ensuring a fair and healthy Bitcoin market for all participants.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by bryandowningqln
1
BTC - Bearish Short-Term Until...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📉 After breaking below the last major low in red, BTC has been bearish from a short-term perspective trading within the falling channel marked in red. 🏹 For the bulls to regain control, a break above the upper red trendline is needed. Meanwhile, further bearish movement towards the lower bound of the red channel would be expected. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
1
CQQQ May 7th TTR UpdateTheTradersRoom is very long #CQQQ from much lower levels and looking to hold this one till at least we see 2-3x gains on it. We have entered it first days of Feb and very happy with the result. China is recovering and Im expecting a perfect inversion alignment to QQQ here into the end of the next year. It was a clear breakout from the downtrend channel last week. If the broken channel gets tested from above, it will be a perfect opportunity to add into our long position.
AMEX:CQQQLong
by TheTradersRoom
PILL 3x Leverage Medical/ Pharma ETF for swing LONGAMEX:PILL On the 4H Chart, current market price is sitting on the support of order blocks and the EMA200, while in an uptend from a double bottom in the sprint. It is moving into the high volume area of the voluxme profile. For the swing trade, the stop loss is $0.10 below the EMA200 while the targets are marked based on a combination of the horizontal resistances of prior swing pivots along with sell order blocks and the structure of the volume profile. Accordingly, this trade risks $0.60 for about $ 4 to $ 5 of upside making for an excellent swing setup especially since healthcare, medical and pharmacueticals are known to be recession resilient and ETFs are inherently diversified making leveraging a risk probably worth taking.
AMEX:PILLLong
by AwesomeAvani
🔥 Bitcoin Blood In The Streets: A Great Buy Opportunity?""The time to buy is when there's blood in the streets." A quote that most traders are familiar with. It basically means to buy assets during periods of weakness. Bitcoin is currently experiencing a very volatily bearish period. With a daily RSI sitting around 32 points, it takes just one red day for the daily RSI to hit oversold levels. During strong long-term bullish trends, buying when the daily RSI hits oversold generally indicates a great time to buy. Seeing that the overall trend has been bullish for almost 1.5 years, I wouldn't pass on a potential swing-trade. Chances are that this is the final dip before 100k. Do I know for sure? No. However, it's a bet I'm willing to take. My overall perception is that there's likely more selling ahead from this point, but we cannot ignore statistical data. You buying the dip? Interested to hear your thoughts.
Long
by FieryTrading
8