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$JETS - Recovery of the Airline Industry“The U.S. Global Jets ETF $JETS provides investors access to the global airline industry, including airline operators and manufacturers from all over the world.” TECHNICALS $JETS is currently trading at $25.50 which is 13% below their most recent high of $28.98 which was made in March 2021. The stock has been in an upward trend since October 2020 as a result of increased vaccinations around the world and strong guidance. As seen on the chart, between 2017 and early 2020 $JETS established a strong support zone between $27.50 and $28.50. With travel expected to increase into the summer and vaccinations continue to be rolled out, $JETS can potentially see a 10% move and settle between $27.50 and $28.50 in the coming months. RECOVERY Based on their most recent earnings reports, airline companies such as $AAL, $DAL, $LUV, and $UAL have all posted that their revenue is up 100% or more from their pandemic lows. Although revenue is sitting around 50% of pre-pandemic levels, the growing number suggests that the industry is recovering. RISKS The greatest risk to the travel industry at the moment is the massive increase in covid cases in India and the emergence of the new covid variant B.1.617. Although much more information is needed, the new variant appears to be spreading at a much faster rate than before and it is unknown if vaccines will help prevent the contraction of the virus. Anthony, OptionsSwing Analyst
AMEX:JETSLong
by optionsswing
2
A Study of Sector Rotation during year 2021 [Market Rotation]Sector Rotation Analysis starting from Jan 2021 While 2020 was a wonderful year for many investors, 2021 has been riddled with changes in the stock market thus far. In this analysis, I compared multiple ETFs that track different specific sectors in the market in order to visualize these changes. The periods and commentary are broken down month by month with the sector leaders and losers of that month. A little about Sector Rotation: Sector rotation in the market tends to follow the stages of business cycle—recovery, expansion, slowdown and recession. Recovery During the Recovery stage, feds will keep interest rates low while long-term rates rise. The material, financial, and industrial sector tends to take the lead during this phase. Expansion During the Expansion stage, the economy will expand at a stable pace while fed take a neutral stance on rates but credit conditions will ease. Again, long-term rates increase. Financials, Industrials, Technology, and Consumer Discretionary sectors will excel in this phase. Slowdown During the Slowdown phase, the economy peaks then starts to stagnate as inflation grows. At this point, credit conditions will be strained and stocks may fall. The sectors that do best in this phase are Consumer Staples, Energy, Health Care, and Materials. Recession During a Recession, the economy shrinks and feds cut rates. Long term rates decrease. Healthcare, Utilities, and Consumer Staples will do best in this phase. 2021 Sector Rotation Commentary During January , we tested all-time highs for the most part. Several events that occurred were the Senate run-off, the inauguration of President Joe Biden, and even the GameStop Frenzy. In world news, the number of Covid-19 cases were spiking and investors were optimistic that the vaccine would become available and help open the economy back up. Chair of the Federal Reserve, Powell pledged that the central bank will leave interest rates near zero. During early January, Energy was king of the sectors but mid-way through was overthrown by Real Estate and Communication Services. The sector losers of January were Energy, Financials, and Materials. February kicked off Earnings Season and we saw higher-than-anticipated numbers with a lot of companies beating Earnings expectations. One of the main events that occurred during February was the Treasury Yield started increasing significantly, this sent growth and tech stocks plummeting down (as they would be impacted more than established companies with well-balanced sheets and already sustainable revenue). A lot of low to mid cap stocks were significantly impacted by the rising yields and even up to today as I am writing this, still has not recover fully ($FUBO, $NIO, $PLTR, $SPCE). We saw a rotation from growth to value stocks. The Energy sector took reign over Real Estate while Communication Services rose steadily too. The sector losers of February were Materials, Health Care, and Consumer Staples sectors. Early March was the bottom of the sell-off that started towards the middle of February. Some notable events were the Suez Canal mishap, several banks getting slapped with margin calls worth Millions of dollars due to exposure from Archegos, and the $1.9 Stimulus was finally passed! The stimulus benefited the banks, airlines, and other consumer discretionary stocks so we saw a slight rally in cause of the news. Real Estate, Energy, and Finance continue to lead amongst the other sectors while Technology, Consumer Staples, and Healthcare continued to remain sector losers. It's Early May now and the market is starting to look both frothy and toppy. You can see a slight decline/curve from all sectors in the most recent period. Earnings Season is still going on but we saw many companies that met or exceeded expectations, sell-off after reporting earnings. We have also seen an increase in the VIX (volatility indicator) as a reaction on several news such as President Joe Biden's proposal to increase tax on corporations as well as the wealthy. The sector leaders today are (1) Energy, (2) Financials, and (3) Real Estate while the Sector Loser goes to Technology. I hope this analysis is able to give insight on the current market in regards to different sectors. If there's one thing that is apparent in this analysis, it is that the rotation from growth stocks to value stocks continue. While Tech stocks were a favorite during the Covid-19 lockdown, Tech has been overthrown in favor of everyday necessities like Energy and Financials this year. -Natalie Garces, OptionsSwing Analyst
AMEX:SPY
by optionsswing
6
3x ETF SOXL vs other 1x semi ETFs over various time horizonsI compare SOXL returns with SOXX, SMH, and PSI, all ETFs in the semiconductor space. CONCLUSIONS AND FINDINGS: YTD 2021 SOXL has not provided any net benefit over it's peers. And if you use stop loss orders you've probably lost money on it due to its extreme volatility. Smaller quant ETF fund PSI is the better performer on most/all time horizons YTD or more recent, especially from a risk/reward perspective. Only when comparing SOXL against the others on a time horizon of 1 yr or longer does SOXL outperform it's peers. Importantly however, charts mimic real life only to the extent we make the purchase the entire position at once and don't touch it over the entire time frame. But this is not what most traders do. Thus, I recommend holding SOXL only if you're going to buy it and not set any stop loss orders, touch it, trade it, or even look at it for a year or more. But you probably can't handle that. I can't either. Thus the better, more realistic strategy for most traders is to get PSI or one of the other primary ETFs covering this space.
NASDAQ:SMHEducation
by theagileagent
PVGThe green long-term channel started to appear around mid of July of 2016 by price hitting the top of the channel! During the Covid19 Pandemic we observed a fake breakout but everything gone normal after first months! 15th of Sep the price touch top of the channel and started to fall! the red bearish trendline is broken and we are currently in pullback to the Broken trend line! reactions to mid of the channel is not rare but they are not strong! considering volumes, it seems market is waiting for 5th of may to observe the earnings and lower volumes in lower prices is not a good news for buyers! If we are in the second Elliot wave we wont goes up more than the 11.73, but only "time" could clarify the best next move! Right now for those owning some shares, my suggestion is to be a holder! until the Short-term channel is perfectly broken down or the long-term channel is touched you, then better to sell! If you don't have any shares and you are a risk taker! you can buy tomorrow or right now! and if your strategy is safer wait to see if the price break the 11.73 level perfectly or not!
PLong
by AliSignals
AGQ- Time to push higherPlease check my previous ideas on AGQ, why I like to invest in it and the potential there is. AGQ is a 2x leveraged Silver ETF. Instead of utilizing swaps like most geared funds, AGQ invests in silver futures and forward contracts—this also means the fund is structured as a commodities pool, so it will distribute a K-1 form. Since I expect silver to go higher, holding some AGQ shares is another way to invest /speculate on the price of silver rising. the FXPROFESSOR
AMEX:AGQLong
by FX_Professor
3
ARKK - $93 target?Look -- up in the sky! Is it a crash? Is it a correction? No, it's a sale! ARKK is at a critical support on the daily chart (right at the 200 MA on daily). But before I re enter, I like to zoom out and take a weekly chart view -- which is what I am presenting. The weekly chart shows that ARKK rallied upward too quickly for it's own good (we all love the Cathie train). While the daily chart is at the 200MA the weekly is not even close to the 50 MA! My strategy I'm waiting for a pullback to around $93 for an initial entry (75% of what I'm willing to invest in this). If the weakness continues, I will dollar cost average at around $75 -- however, at present I don't feel we will see the $75 price point. But we have a whole 2021 left, so I can wait. NOTE: For me I will not be looking to swing trade ArkK, and am okay if this ship sails before I get a chance to hop on, so please plan your strategy accordingly. My outlook for ARKK currently is 12-24 months if I get the orders filled at my targeted prices. My 2022 price target for ARKK is $195-215 which will be 2x ROI. Let me know if you're actively in ARK ETFs and what are some of your targets. Good luck!
AMEX:ARKKLong
by Karam08
The essential features of ETF’s In this article, we’ll go over some fundamental concepts about exchange-traded funds (ETF’s) . To comprehend what an ETF is and what its qualities are, we must first provide a brief overview of mutual funds. A mutual fund is an investment company that pools money from investors to buy a variety of stocks, bonds, and other securities on their behalf. A portfolio is a collection of the underlying constituents. The firms that create these mutual funds assign a manager to oversee the investments. The basic concept is to give smaller amounts of capital easy access to diversification through a single purchase. An investor purchases a piece of a portfolio of his choosing. From the perspective of an investor, the mutual fund is easy. They essentially submit the investment to the mutual fund corporation. If they use a brokerage account, they will see shares of the mutual fund appear in their account, or they will receive a statement directly from the firm revealing their fund position. The ETF's are a type of mutual fund that incorporates a number of more contemporary features. The first ETF listed on the New York stock exchange (NYSE) in 1993 was created to track the S&P 500 index. An exchange-traded fund (ETF) is a pooled investment vehicle that is listed on a stock exchange, allowing investors to buy and sell its shares at a market-determined price during the trading day. They follow the same rules as any publicly traded stock, and they offer transparency and a central hub for all of their underlying asset classes. ETFs can be used to monitor the performance of an underlying index, commodity, or portfolio of assets. If you want to track a particular index, you don't have to buy shares in any of the companies that make up the index. Let’s look at the characteristics of this product structure and why it is taking the investment world by storm. The main ones are: 1. Transparency 2. Exchange listing 3. Tax efficiency 4. Lower fees 5. Diversity Transparency All investors benefit from portfolio transparency because it protects them from risk. An investor must recognize that no other fund product on the market gives a daily accounting of the fund's holdings like the ETF. Portfolio holdings were traditionally only published quarterly or semiannually. ETFs make their portfolios available to the public on a daily basis. Exchange listing There are three major benefits of exchanging listing: Standardization Intraday trading Liquidity Standardization is a huge benefit for holding the same multi-asset portfolios all within the same account structure. Instead of having two separate parts of your portfolio with associated problems, you can now keep your bond position wrapped in an ETF structure within your investment account. You can also include your commodity piece as well as your alternate options. Intraday trading has been a feature that has proven to be both beneficial and detrimental Liquidity - Listing a product on an exchange and introducing it to a broader range of market participants in a standardized format will increase liquidity and reduce spreads beyond what was previously available. In the market, you can often see instances where the ETF price is trading between the underlying basket's "bid" and "ask" spread. The ability to access liquidity within the bid and ask of the underlying assets is a benefit that mutual fund portfolio managers and investors do not have. Tax efficiency The major tax advantage of the ETF structure within the portfolio management process derives from the concept of in-kind “creation” and “redemption.” The process is complicated and it has to do with the daily operations of the ETF in the primary and secondary market versus the ones of a mutual fund. Lower fees The introduction of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to the market has resulted in a large reduction in the fees that investors must pay in order to obtain a wide range of easy-to-manage exposures as building blocks for a portfolio. This is important for investors because it allows them to keep their positions without worrying about gains being distributed to other investors who are buying and leaving the ETF, as is the case with mutual funds. Diversity The thousands of exchange-traded funds presently available offer a wide range of exposures. Investors can choose from a wide range of ETFs to achieve their desired exposure. This could include anything from main indices to overseas fixed income, leveraged commodity bets, and everything in between. Traditional benchmarks are also evolving as a result of ETFs. ETFs are no longer bound by conventional index schemes. The industry has developed to question how each index is built and what benefit it provides to investors. Trade with care. If you like our content, please feel free to support our page with a like , comment & subscribe for future educational ideas and trading setups.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by financialflagship
57
Sector Rotation March 2021Recent market sector rotation coming out of the COVID crash has confirmed Sector Rotation theory. I made this video to give viewers a brief introduction to the theory and provide some actionable investing ideas based on what Sector Rotation suggests will be the next stocks to potentially outperform. Sector Rotation theory suggests that from market bottoms the two sectors that should lead are Consumer Discretionary and Technology. These two sectors did in fact lead the market out of the COVID crash. The next sectors to lead as the market matures are Industrials and Materials. These too followed the theory through 2020 as the bull market grew. At the market top Energy is supposed to lead and sure enough we have seen quite the run on Energy related stocks. What that means going forward if the theory holds is that Consumer Staples and Healthcare should outperform the market.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by norok
19
True story. My Single put option "2 contract" both down/SPX downWhen i did my idea about the completion of an Elliott wave structure with 5th wave 1.61 Fibs of wave one i decided that i would buy small 2 SPY single Put contracts just satisfy my "bias" and my "emotion" toward my Elliott wave count as a worthy trading strategy. So i bought April 16 2021 + March 31 2021 just before the last price action we got in the past 5 days or so . A prefect timing to say the least to test the market and a perfect timing to buy single Put to say the least. Even though i new stimulus is coming soon and this could be another buy the dip pullback but i did it any way regardless of the huge risk if i actually have invested allot of money or bought allot of contracts. Therefore, when we got the recent pullback i opened my account and guess what i saw. Both of my "Single Put contracts" are down 41 % % 49 % and that's was at the bottom around 3800. Just imagine the situation the market is in ,SPX is down around 3 % and you hold single puts you bought just at the top, and at the very bottom your down more than 40%. Well the only thing i concluded from this "test the market" kind of style trading is at 3800sh i came to the conclusion way before the move of spx higher that this is "Buy the dip" pullback, because there is no way that we are correcting and my puts will go down in value instead going up in value and big investors regardless of their different kinds did not buy insurance what so ever for any possible correction. The only thing i should've down is to buy single Calls to see if they have increased in value or no, i guess the should've increased in value if this was buy the dip pullback because the new where the market is going. I have never tested this strategy before, but from my understanding that some big investors use it with single stocks not with SPY like me or ETFs for that matter before they decide to hold big chunk of it. I hope you can take a way something beneficial to you trading strategies or you have learned little something from my live example of a true story of mine. Wish you all the best.
SP:SPX
by samitrading
4
ETFs, ARKK and GBTC: Stocks, ETFs and Crypto all in oneSource: www.coindesk.com Feb 12, 2021 at 7:44 p.m. Updated Feb 16, 2021 at 5:01 p.m. Cathie Wood’s ARK Investment Management increased its holdings of the Grayscale Bitcoin Investment Trust (GBTC) by 2.14 million shares in the fourth quarter of 2020, bringing its holdings of the market-leading institutional bitcoin investment vehicle to 7.31 million shares. - ARK, the actively managed exchange-traded fund run by legendary manager and early bitcoin investor Cathie Wood, made the disclosure in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. - At press time, ARK's holdings of GBTC are worth $357.5 million. - ARK's boosted stake is an increase from the 5.17 million GBTC shares it held on Oct. 31, 2020. - Not only did ARK's holdings in GBTC rise in the fourth quarter, the value of GBTC shares took off as well, reflecting the meteoric rise in the price of bitcoin during that same time period. - GBTC shares rose 222% in the fourth quarter and are up 39% so far this year. The price of bitcoin increased 177% in Q4 and is up 63.1% YTD. - Grayscale is owned by CoinDesk parent company Digital Currency Group.
NYSE:QS
by gotomars
SPY perspectives - two potential scenarios (update)Friday we saw big activity in volumes and the price pushed below the internal support line. With the two cases currently we are taking the path of the bearish one. On Thursday we've closed in a pinbar which was an additional price action confirmation that we are heading into a reversal. If the current conditions remain I would expect for the price to fall down towards the $360 zone. It is a psychological level as well and there will be an attempt to keep that zone unbreached. Technicals are all in faveour of a correction. Fundamentals remain to be worsened, but definetly Wall Street does not like the trading of WSB's participants and that gives a negative tick to the market.
AMEX:SPYShort
by DailyChartist
WARNING! The biggest short seller of is “Goldman Sachs Hedge Industry VIP ETF” and I don’t know the other ones. But this one for example holds a lot of healthcare stocks (for example Change Healthcare Inc CHNG). So by buying GME some healthcare stocks, paypal, apple... etc. get at least under pressure. And a lot of stuff is invested in this etf. I couldn’t do the full research but higher prices in GME could destroy your saving on the bank or life insurances or… so nobody knows who really wins with higher prices. Maybe somebody can research that who really is losing here Please, before everything is to late. Maybe this was even on purpose to get rid of unpaid bill to the “regular” people. This ETF goes bankrupt and all the invested Money in this etf is gone! Can someone please make a full research! I wasn’t able to find it!
NYSE:GME
by spar_ma
7
SPY perspectives - two scenariosWe are moving into a more and more tight price action as we are in the end of the wedge now and with the rise of volumes we see some heighten activity in trading. RSI and MACD divergence are still showing divergence with the price and RSI is almost below 50. MACD has a bearish crossing and the histogram is going negative. Two possible scenarios are forming now. We have a bullish one that is currently forming as we've jumped from the internal support around 373 price zone. Failing to continue the movement back inside the uptrend we may see a fall below 373 and move towards the first support zone at 360.
AMEX:SPY
by DailyChartist