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Sector Rotation March 2021Recent market sector rotation coming out of the COVID crash has confirmed Sector Rotation theory. I made this video to give viewers a brief introduction to the theory and provide some actionable investing ideas based on what Sector Rotation suggests will be the next stocks to potentially outperform. Sector Rotation theory suggests that from market bottoms the two sectors that should lead are Consumer Discretionary and Technology. These two sectors did in fact lead the market out of the COVID crash. The next sectors to lead as the market matures are Industrials and Materials. These too followed the theory through 2020 as the bull market grew. At the market top Energy is supposed to lead and sure enough we have seen quite the run on Energy related stocks. What that means going forward if the theory holds is that Consumer Staples and Healthcare should outperform the market.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by norok
19
True story. My Single put option "2 contract" both down/SPX downWhen i did my idea about the completion of an Elliott wave structure with 5th wave 1.61 Fibs of wave one i decided that i would buy small 2 SPY single Put contracts just satisfy my "bias" and my "emotion" toward my Elliott wave count as a worthy trading strategy. So i bought April 16 2021 + March 31 2021 just before the last price action we got in the past 5 days or so . A prefect timing to say the least to test the market and a perfect timing to buy single Put to say the least. Even though i new stimulus is coming soon and this could be another buy the dip pullback but i did it any way regardless of the huge risk if i actually have invested allot of money or bought allot of contracts. Therefore, when we got the recent pullback i opened my account and guess what i saw. Both of my "Single Put contracts" are down 41 % % 49 % and that's was at the bottom around 3800. Just imagine the situation the market is in ,SPX is down around 3 % and you hold single puts you bought just at the top, and at the very bottom your down more than 40%. Well the only thing i concluded from this "test the market" kind of style trading is at 3800sh i came to the conclusion way before the move of spx higher that this is "Buy the dip" pullback, because there is no way that we are correcting and my puts will go down in value instead going up in value and big investors regardless of their different kinds did not buy insurance what so ever for any possible correction. The only thing i should've down is to buy single Calls to see if they have increased in value or no, i guess the should've increased in value if this was buy the dip pullback because the new where the market is going. I have never tested this strategy before, but from my understanding that some big investors use it with single stocks not with SPY like me or ETFs for that matter before they decide to hold big chunk of it. I hope you can take a way something beneficial to you trading strategies or you have learned little something from my live example of a true story of mine. Wish you all the best.
SP:SPX
by samitrading
4
ETFs, ARKK and GBTC: Stocks, ETFs and Crypto all in oneSource: www.coindesk.com Feb 12, 2021 at 7:44 p.m. Updated Feb 16, 2021 at 5:01 p.m. Cathie Wood’s ARK Investment Management increased its holdings of the Grayscale Bitcoin Investment Trust (GBTC) by 2.14 million shares in the fourth quarter of 2020, bringing its holdings of the market-leading institutional bitcoin investment vehicle to 7.31 million shares. - ARK, the actively managed exchange-traded fund run by legendary manager and early bitcoin investor Cathie Wood, made the disclosure in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. - At press time, ARK's holdings of GBTC are worth $357.5 million. - ARK's boosted stake is an increase from the 5.17 million GBTC shares it held on Oct. 31, 2020. - Not only did ARK's holdings in GBTC rise in the fourth quarter, the value of GBTC shares took off as well, reflecting the meteoric rise in the price of bitcoin during that same time period. - GBTC shares rose 222% in the fourth quarter and are up 39% so far this year. The price of bitcoin increased 177% in Q4 and is up 63.1% YTD. - Grayscale is owned by CoinDesk parent company Digital Currency Group.
NYSE:QS
by gotomars
SPY perspectives - two potential scenarios (update)Friday we saw big activity in volumes and the price pushed below the internal support line. With the two cases currently we are taking the path of the bearish one. On Thursday we've closed in a pinbar which was an additional price action confirmation that we are heading into a reversal. If the current conditions remain I would expect for the price to fall down towards the $360 zone. It is a psychological level as well and there will be an attempt to keep that zone unbreached. Technicals are all in faveour of a correction. Fundamentals remain to be worsened, but definetly Wall Street does not like the trading of WSB's participants and that gives a negative tick to the market.
AMEX:SPYShort
by DailyChartist
WARNING! The biggest short seller of is “Goldman Sachs Hedge Industry VIP ETF” and I don’t know the other ones. But this one for example holds a lot of healthcare stocks (for example Change Healthcare Inc CHNG). So by buying GME some healthcare stocks, paypal, apple... etc. get at least under pressure. And a lot of stuff is invested in this etf. I couldn’t do the full research but higher prices in GME could destroy your saving on the bank or life insurances or… so nobody knows who really wins with higher prices. Maybe somebody can research that who really is losing here Please, before everything is to late. Maybe this was even on purpose to get rid of unpaid bill to the “regular” people. This ETF goes bankrupt and all the invested Money in this etf is gone! Can someone please make a full research! I wasn’t able to find it!
NYSE:GME
by spar_ma
7
SPY perspectives - two scenariosWe are moving into a more and more tight price action as we are in the end of the wedge now and with the rise of volumes we see some heighten activity in trading. RSI and MACD divergence are still showing divergence with the price and RSI is almost below 50. MACD has a bearish crossing and the histogram is going negative. Two possible scenarios are forming now. We have a bullish one that is currently forming as we've jumped from the internal support around 373 price zone. Failing to continue the movement back inside the uptrend we may see a fall below 373 and move towards the first support zone at 360.
AMEX:SPY
by DailyChartist
Update on XLE: Uptrend test, TA signaling a correctionThe ETF's recovery is starting to show its first cracks as we have dropped from Yesterday's highs and closed without an attempt to buy the dip. Volumes were the around the average for the day and the fall could be mostly a result from long covering. But there are some technicals that suggest we may return back inside the range. RSI and MACD have bearish crossovers and RIS is also below 50. MACD's histogram is going negative. Current price is sitting on two major supports and today's price action will be an important one. This is an area for caution.
AMEX:XLEShort
by DailyChartist
Update on XLE: Potential continuation of the uptrendTaking a look back at XLE we can see that the ETF has returned to test the area of breach of the symmetrical triangle (or the current support of the descending trend line). Pick up in volume shows that the activity has risen and market participants are getting excited. A breach was made a classical follow-up test was made. Currently, we are sitting at the support and overall there was no attempt in Yesterday's market session to push below it. The dip was bought and XLE closed firmly with a fresh high for the day. Even though here RSI and MACD are laying out the perspectives for a deeper correction it may be "skipped". Recovery in energy assets may pull up the ETF away from the support for the uptrend to continue. My personal view is that trend will continue and XLE will rise, but it won't be wise not to forecast a negative scenario as well. The outlook will shift to negative if we see a strong push back inside the triangle. Fundamentals are still shaky with the COVID-19 pandemic still raging. This may raise the question of additional lockdowns or stopping global flights again, which will hit oil and energy prices overall.
AMEX:XLELong
by DailyChartist
1
GDX's downtrend continues. Perspectives and thoughtsGDX's downtrend has cast a shadow over gold's price and last week we saw a determined continuation of the downtrend for the Vaneck ETF. The ETF's price broke through the support with an average volume of 26.52M for Friday's trading session and buyers made no attempt to by the dip. We've closed with full-body under the support and below the $36 level. In the days before the drop on Friday, we saw some increase in volumes as some selling started to accumulate. RSI remains below the 50 ballast line and MACD has made a bearish crossover. The histogram is below 0. The perspectives for the ETF remain negative with the overall sentiment leaning towards sell and strong sell. My target for the ETF is $31.35 - $31.25 zone. The rise in bond prices keeps Gold and the corresponding ETF's unattractive at this point.
AMEX:GDXShort
by DailyChartist
3
Revisiting XLE and the recovery of the energy sectorUpdate from a previous post: XLE developing nicely as the price has managed the get out of the range and yesterday we opened with a gap and there almost no attempt to push the price down and to fill the small gap. MACD's crossing is widening and the histogram is expanding as well. RSI moving to the overbought zone, but there is some more room for additional movement North before any correction. The energy sector is starting to recover more and more and demand for the ETF is rising as well. Volumes support the recent movement. My short-term target is $47.
AMEX:XLELong
by DailyChartist
HOW TO BUY & SELL GOLD : Part1🏅 CFDS VS ETFS 🏅 ➡️ GOLD ETFS (Right Chart) ETFS PHYSICAL GOLD (ASX:GOLD) offers low-cost access to physical gold via the stock exchange and avoids the need for investors to personally store their own bullion. Each GOLD unit comes with an entitlement to an amount of "physical bullion". This means : Real Gold, Real Bars. ⬅️ GOLD CFDS (Left Chart) CFDs on GOLD US$/OZ (TVC:GOLD) (OANDA:XAUUSD) CFD stands for Contracts for Difference, with the difference being between where you enter a trade and where you exit. Simply put, when the position is closed, you’ll receive the profit or incur the loss on that difference. When you trade a CFD you’re speculating on the movement of the price only, rather than traditional stocks where you purchase a physical asset. You do not ever own any real gold bars. 🤓 CFD TRADE EXAMPLE The price of gold is measured by its weight. Therefore, the price shows how much it costs for one ounce of gold in US dollars. For example, if the gold (XAUUSD) price is $1600.00, it means an ounce of gold is traded at US$1600.00. Similarly, the price of silver is its price per ounce in USD. If the silver (XAGUSD) price is 28.00, it means that an ounce of silver is traded at US$28.00. If you have bought gold for $1600, you do not have an ounce of gold that you can hold, but you rather have the obligation to buy XAU at US$1600. When you close your position, you sell the XAU and close your exposure. If you sell it for $1605.00, you have made profit of $5 for every ounce (unit) of gold in your contract. The same concept applies to silver trading. If you have bought silver (XAGUSD) for $28.00 and sell at $28.50, you would have made a profit of $0.50 for every ounce of silver in your contract. 🤔 WHY TRADE CFDS? If you’re looking to invest in the price movements of instruments, rather than purchasing physical assets To take advantage of swift fluctuations in the underlying instrument or security. This is popular with short-term investors looking to profit from intra-day and overnight movements in the market To take advantage of leverage and spread capital across a range of different instruments rather than tie it up in a single investment (note: this approach can increase risk) As a risk management tool to hedge exposure
ASX:GOLDEducation
by CeoCodes
6
Understanding ETFsHello traders, in this post I will explain different types of ETFs and what is an ETF (Exchange-Traded Funds). ETF for example is a package of different stocks that have similar characteristics. One characteristic could be that they all are in the same sector. Some ETFs track indexes, commodities, and more. Those packages are listed on an exchange and are traded just like stocks. Traders and investors use ETFs to diversify with the provided indexes (or other products) with lower costs, or if the trader can’t trade in futures contracts, it is possible to use ETFs that are related to a specific future. Also, there are options on ETFs that can be used as an alternative for expensive indexes. Leveraged ETFs Most of the ETFs are trading in a 1:1 ratio, for example, NASDAQ 100 is currently at $12621 and the relevant ETF QQQ is $307.8, the difference is 1 to 40, but the returns are the same (1:1). The ETF NUGT on the other hand is moving with correlation to the gold miners index, but if the index return will be 10%, the ETF NUGT return will be 20%, because it is leveraged 2 to 1. Those kinds of ETFs are not for investors or long-term traders, only for the short term. This is because the returns are multiplied by 2. If the index will move down 7% NUGT will move down 14%. Eventually, it will move substantially lower in price because there will be a major correction of 30%+ that will cause a 60%+ drop in price. Thus, there will be a split. If you look at September 2012 you can see that NUGT price is $36000, this is because there were many splits due to the phenomenon I described above. NUGT was never really traded at $36000. In the chart, the orange line NUGT. Moving 300% between March to August, the blue line GOLD 40%. Reverse ETFs ETFs that move in the opposite direction to the index. For example, DUST is a leveraged ETF and going in the opposite direction to the gold miners index. In the chart, the green line DUST. Decreasing substantial percents due to leverage. ETFs that based on Futures There are two types: ETFs that own the commodity – those ETFs are moving almost the same as the commodity itself. For example GLD In the chart above, the blue line is the GOLD price in cash, the red line is GLD. ETFs that buy the futures of the commodity and not the physical commodity, don’t track the commodity with the same returns as the previous type, for example, VXX (VIX), USO (oil), UNG (gas). As discussed in the previous post Futures have a time premium. When you buy ETF that is based on futures, that means that you buy also the premium attached to that future. As time passes, that premium is lost, and then the ETF buys the next contract with a new time premium. As time will pass, you will lose this premium also… and so forth… This is something to be aware of.
AMEX:NUGTEducation
by ZoharCho
5
Mr. West on ETF of the day The Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) are a combination of other traded public companies that are gathered together based on sector, industry, and performance. The SPDR S&P Kensho Final Frontiers ETF, ticker symbol (ROKT) has been performing at a high rate. For the past several months, ROKT has grown 70% since it's sharp drop in March. (See image link below) The ETF total net assets consist of top companies like; Maxar Technologies Inc, Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc, Honeywell International Inc, Heico Corp, Lockheed Martin Corp and many more companies that reflect the Industrial and Technology industries. According to Watch Market, ROKT has a strong portfolio that focuses more on Industry market which is at 86%, Technology at 10%, and Oil & Gas at 3%. Majority of these Industry companies are looking to push the envelope of space and space materials like Northrop and Grumman and Virgin Galactic. It is trading at 38.59 a share and has a low of 38.53. My prediction that this will continue to perform over the next 30 years as space exploration will tend to be a mission for many top Space companies.
AMEX:ROKTLong
by Grantw04
$GUSH Moon: Silly HIGH ROI looms as real possibility in this ETF$GUSH has so much latent potential in a healthy economy and is a top ETF in any energy investor's choices. To call a previous annual high back to reality would bring a rapid gain to all positioned in this ETF which is managed by Paul Brigandi. He basically put a package (assembled) today that *nearly* matched one of the emerging stocks in the oilfield arena: $LBRT. Liberty gained 6+% while $GUSH was +5.8% on the respective entrance points. Liberty provides a certain steady gain in cyclical fashion while the leveraged ETF hedge fund is basically a double BULL horn to the status of a world torn between two exclusive outcomes: COVID hotspots while a vaccine looms in the very near future. $USOIL has had its uncertainty and was fighting 40/bar. resistance for the last several months, But that, too, appears to be coming to its end, and the possibility that crude climbs 45 per barrel before the "holiday season" is still fully within the play. Good luck whatsoever your plans, but I have shortened my interests to two positions, both mentioned here- LBRT and GUSH. There is an off-chance of re-entering a position on Halliburton but a 14.2 entrance point isn't exactly enticing - just feeling the pulse of $HAL. As it is. VIVA GUSH. Liberty may match it growth wise for a while, but GUSH is a leveraged fund that will payout nicely in a bull run for oil..t. Two positions I AM VERY LONG ON, but one chart here, just $GUSH. It's the attractive ETF that is about to re-peak, return, to high levels already realized within the last six-months. Adios. BDR. Note: See related idea from the day this position was first entered.
AMEX:GUSH
by BDRTrigger33
AGQ - a Proshares Ultra ETF with potential to 'fly'ProShares Ultra Silver (AGQ) ProShares Ultra Silver seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to two times (2x) the daily performance of the Bloomberg Silver SubindexSM. This leveraged ProShares ETF seeks a return that is 2x the return of its underlying benchmark (target) for a single day, as measured from one NAV calculation to the next. Due to the compounding of daily returns, holding periods of greater than one day can result in returns that are significantly different than the target return and ProShares' returns over periods other than one day will likely differ in amount and possibly direction from the target return for the same period. These effects may be more pronounced in funds with larger or inverse multiples and in funds with volatile benchmarks.
AMEX:AGQLong
by FX_Professor