Etfs
VOO - Rising Trend Channel [MID -TERM]🔹Strong rising trend channel in the medium long term.
🔹POSITIVE signal breakout 401 resistance in Rectangle Formation.
🔹Between support 395 and resistance 424, 439.
🔹RSI rises to 70 due to recent price rise.
🔹Technically POSITIVE for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
SPXL - Rising Trend Channel [MID -TERM]🔹POSITIVE signal from the rectangle formation by a break up through the resistance at 86.23 and next resistance 113.
🔹Between support at 75 and resistance at 95.
🔹Technically positive for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
SOXL - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]🔹Breakout the rising trend up in the medium long term.
🔹Achieves target at 25.20 after breaking rectangle formation.
🔹Support at 22 and resistance at 46.
🔹Technically positive for medium-term long-term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
QQQ Correcting in Wave 4 and Should Find BuyersRally in Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) from 3.13.2023 low is in progress as a 5 waves Elliott Wave impulse. Up from 3.13.2023 low, wave 1 ended at 322.16 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 309.8. The Index then extends higher in wave 3. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 323.63 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 315.2. Rally in wave (((iii)) ended at 357.5 and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 347.38 as the 45 minutes chart below shows.
Index then rallies higher in wave ((v)). Up from wave ((iv)), wave (i) ended at 353.62 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 351.13. The Index extends higher in wave (iii) towards 366.19 with internal subdivision in 5 waves. Up from wave (ii), wave i ended at 357.66 and wave ii ended at 353.03. Wave iii ended at 364.6, wave iv ended at 360.03, and wave v higher ended at 366.19. This completed wave (iii) in higher degree. Pullback in wave (iv) ended at 360.42. Index then rallies higher in wave (v). Up from wave (iv), wave i ended at 366.88 and dips in wave ii ended at 362.85. Wave iii ended at 371.77, dips in wave iv ended at 369.14, and final wave v ended at 372.85 which completed wave (v) of ((v)) of 3. Expect the Index to pullback in wave 4 to correct cycle from 4.25.2023 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before the rally resumes. Potential target for wave 4 is 23.6 – 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of wave 3 which comes at 348.8 – 358.01 area. From this area, the Index can then extend higher again.
Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) Resumes Higher in Elliott Wave ImpulseCycle from 3.13.2023 low in QQQ ended in wave ((i)) at 322.16 as the 45 minutes chart below shows. The ETF then corrected in wave ((ii)) which has also ended at 309.78. Internal subdivision of wave ((ii)) unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((i)), wave a ended at 312.82 and rally in wave b ended at 319.85. ETF extended lower in wave c towards 312.30 which ended wave (w) in higher degree. Rally in wave (x) ended at 321.46 with internal subdivision as a zigzag structure. Up from wave (w), wave a ended at 320.36 and wave b dips ended at 315.61. Wave c higher ended at 321.46 which completed wave (x).
Down from wave (x), wave a ended at 314.10, wave b ended at 317.74, and wave c lower ended at 309.78 which completed wave (y) of ((ii)) in higher degree. QQQ has since resumed higher and broken above wave ((i)) suggesting the next leg higher has started. Up from wave ((ii)), wave i ended at 314.37 and pullback in wave ii ended at 310.22. The ETF extended higher in wave iii towards 322.80. Expect wave iv pullback to end and the ETF extends higher again in wave v to complete wave (i). Afterwards, it should pullback in wave (ii) to correct cycle from 4.26.2023 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before it resumes higher.
BOIL: Boiling up and down 🥘Still a bit tentatively but visibly, ProShares Bloomberg Natural Gas (aka BOIL) is starting to boil up, quite in accordance with our expectations. As the first part of a three-part counter movement, the ETF should climb further upwards to finish wave a in magenta, before wave b in magenta should return it to its current level. From there, BOIL should rise into the yellow zone between $7.11 and $19.05 to complete wave c in magenta as well as wave (4) in yellow, whose high should then initiate the overarching downwards trend’s final step: wave (II) in white.
Elliott Wave Expects Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Buyers expect soonGold Miners ETF (GDX) shows a bullish sequence from 9.26.2022 low favoring further upside. The 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension target from 9.26.2022 low comes at 38.3 – 45.7 area. Rally from there is unfolding as a nest where wave ((1)) ended at 33.34 and wave ((2)) pullback ended at 26.64. Wave ((3)) is in progress as another 5 waves in lesser degree. Up from wave ((2)), wave (1) ended at 36.10. Pullback in wave (2) is in progress to correct cycle from 2.24.2023 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before the rally resumes.
Internal of wave (2) is in progress as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave (1), wave ((a)) ended at 34.38, wave ((b)) ended at 35.19, and wave ((c)) ended at 34.07. This completed wave W in higher degree. Corrective rally in wave X ended at 35.19. Wave Y lower is in progress as a zigzag structure. Down from wave X, wave ((a)) ended at 33.60, wave ((b)) ended at 34.63, and wave ((c)) of Y should reach the extreme area at 31.9 – 33.15 blue box area. From this area, the ETF can extend higher in wave (3) or rally in 3 waves at least.
Elliott Wave View: S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Should Stay SupportedS&P 500 ETF (SPY) cycle from 10.13.2022 low is in progress as a diagonal 5 waves. Up from 10.13.2022 low, wave 1 ended at 410, and wave 2 pullback ended at 380.46 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Wave 3 is in progress with subdivision as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 402.49 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 389.33. The ETF rallies higher in wave ((iii)) towards 412.50, and dips in wave ((iv)) ended at 405.68.
Wave ((v)) higher is in progress with internal subdivision as a diagonal in lesser degree. Up from wave ((iv)), wave (i) ended at 413.75 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 407.15. The ETF extends higher in wave (iii) towards 415.09, and dips in wave (iv) ended at 410.06. Expect wave (v) to end soon which should also complete wave ((v)) of 3. Afterwards, the ETF should pullback in wave 4 to correct cycle from 3.13.2023 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before the rally resumes. Near term, as far as pivot at 380.46 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for more upside.
Factor Investing: An IntroductionThe concept of factor investing has garnered significant attention in recent years as an innovative approach to portfolio management. The idea behind factor investing is that it seeks to uncover the primary sources of return in investment portfolios, and to explicitly target these sources, known as factors. By systematically identifying and targeting these factors, investors can achieve improved portfolio diversification, risk management, and potentially, enhanced returns.
Factor investing can be traced back to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) introduced by Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965). The CAPM was a groundbreaking theory that posited that a security's expected return is directly related to its level of systematic risk, measured by the beta coefficient. The concept of beta provided an early example of a factor in investing.
In recent years, factor investing has evolved and expanded considerably. Researchers and investment managers have identified numerous factors that drive investment performance, such as quality, low volatility, and liquidity.
Primary Factors in Investing
Market : The market factor represents the overall market return and is the core factor that drives investment performance. The market factor, or beta, is the exposure of an asset to the general movement of the market.
Size : Size is the factor that focuses on the market capitalization of companies. Small-cap stocks typically offer higher potential returns than large-cap stocks, although they also tend to exhibit higher volatility.
Value : Value investing targets stocks that are considered undervalued relative to their intrinsic value. Value stocks generally have low price-to-earnings, price-to-book, and price-to-cash-flow ratios, and they tend to outperform growth stocks over time.
Momentum : The momentum factor captures the tendency of stocks that have recently outperformed to continue to do so. Momentum investing strategies aim to capture this trend by buying recent winners and selling recent losers.
Quality : Quality is a factor that focuses on financially stable and well-managed companies. Quality stocks typically have high profitability, low leverage, and stable earnings growth.
Low Volatility : Low volatility investing aims to identify stocks that have exhibited low price volatility over time. Low-volatility stocks often deliver better risk-adjusted returns than high-volatility stocks
Benefits of Factor Investing
Factor investing offers several benefits to investors, such as:
Improved diversification : By targeting specific factors, investors can diversify their portfolios across various sources of return and risk, thereby reducing overall portfolio risk.
Enhanced risk management : Factor investing enables investors to better understand the underlying risks in their portfolios and to manage those risks more effectively.
Potential for outperformance : By systematically targeting well-established and robust factors, investors may achieve higher returns than traditional market-cap-weighted indexes.
Cost efficiency : Factor investing strategies are often implemented using rules-based approaches, such as smart-beta or quantitative strategies, which can be more cost-effective than traditional active management.
Transparency : Factor investing strategies are typically more transparent than traditional active management, as they rely on well-defined, rules-based methodologies that are easier for investors to understand and monitor.
Potential Risks of Factor Investing
While factor investing offers many benefits, it is important to be aware of the potential risks associated with this approach:
Factor timing : Just like market timing, attempting to time factor exposures can be difficult and often leads to underperformance. Investors should be cautious about trying to predict when a particular factor will outperform or underperform.
Overfitting : The process of identifying factors can be susceptible to overfitting, where a model is tailored too closely to historical data and may not perform well in the future.
Crowding : As more investors adopt factor investing strategies, the potential for crowding in certain factors may increase, leading to diminishing returns or increased risk.
Model risk : The effectiveness of factor investing strategies relies on the accuracy and stability of the underlying factor models. If the models are not robust or if they become less effective over time, the strategy's performance may suffer.
Diversification risk : While targeting specific factors can help diversify a portfolio, it may also expose investors to concentrated risk if those factors underperform or experience periods of heightened volatility.
Factor investing has revolutionized the way investors approach portfolio management, offering improved diversification, enhanced risk management, and the potential for outperformance. By identifying and targeting the primary drivers of investment performance, factor investing provides a systematic and transparent framework for constructing and managing portfolios.
Trade with care.
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Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 46% move possibleDirexion Daily Technology Bear 3x Shares forms bullish "Continuation Wedge" chart pattern
"Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x Shares (TECS:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $22.4 to the range of $31.00 - $33.00. The pattern formed over 17 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue.
A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 37% move possibleDirexion Daily Dow Jones Internet Bear 3X Shares forms bullish "Continuation Wedge" chart pattern
"Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily Dow Jones Internet Bear 3X Shares (WEBS:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $20.30 to the range of $27.00 - $28.50. The pattern formed over 15 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue.
A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
Megaphone Bottom | 9% move possibleiShares China Large-Cap ETF forms bullish "Megaphone Bottom" chart pattern
"Megaphone Bottom" chart pattern formed on iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $29.91 to the range of $32.10 - $32.60. The pattern formed over 26 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The recent broadening action tells us that trading has been out of control, but a breakout on the upside suggests we're starting a more decisive uptrend.
With its broadening price swings, the Megaphone represents a market that's unstable and out of control. It typically consists of two successively higher highs between three lower lows, and the reversal signal occurs when the price breaks up above the second peak (the highest high) as a sign of a more decisive bullish move.
Head and Shoulders Bottom | 12% move possibleiShares Silver Trust forms bullish "Head and Shoulders Bottom" chart pattern
"Head and Shoulders Bottom" chart pattern formed on iShares Silver Trust (SLV:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $21.94 to the range of $24.10 - $24.60. The pattern formed over 35 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price seems to have reached the end of a period of "accumulation" at the bottom of a major downtrend; the break up through resistance signals a reversal to a new uptrend.
The Head and Shoulders Bottom is created by three successive declines in the price following a significant downtrend. The lowest low (head) is in the middle, flanked by two higher lows (shoulders) at roughly the same level. Volume is highest as the price makes the first two declines, then diminishes through the right shoulder. Finally volume surges as the price closes above the neckline (drawn between the two highs) to confirm the reversal.
Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Develops Elliott Wave Bullish SequenceGold Miners ETF (GDX) is close to breaking above the previous peak on 1.25.2023 high (33.34). A break above will open up a bullish sequence from 9.26.2022 low favoring further upside. Near term, cycle from 3.10.2023 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 3.10.2023 low, wave 1 ended at 29.95 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 28.50.
Wave 3 is currently ongoing with internal subdivision as another 5 waves in lesser degree. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 31.99 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 29.63. We can see wave ((i)) and ((ii)) in the 45 minutes chart below. The ETF then extends higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 31.80 and wave (ii) ended at 30.74. Wave (iii) ended at 32.80 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 31.95. Final leg wave (v) of ((iii)) is expected to end soon, then it should pullback in wave ((iv)) before turning higher again in wave ((v)) to complete wave 3. Near term, as far as pivot at 29.63 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
Symmetrical Continuation Triangle (Bullish) | 18% move possibleiShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF forms bullish "Symmetrical Continuation Triangle" chart pattern
"Symmetrical Continuation Triangle (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on iShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF (EUFN:NASDAQ). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $18.44 to the range of $20.90 - $21.50. The pattern formed over 17 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price has broken upward out of a consolidation period, suggesting a continuation of the prior uptrend.
A Symmetrical Continuation Triangle (Bullish) shows two converging trendlines as prices reach lower highs and higher lows. Volume diminishes as the price swings back and forth between an increasingly narrow range reflecting uncertainty in the market direction. Then well before the triangle reaches its apex, the price breaks out above the upper trendline with a noticeable increase in volume, confirming the pattern as a continuation of the prior uptrend.
Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 40% move possibleUnited States Natural Gas Fund LP forms bullish "Continuation Wedge" chart pattern
"Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on United States Natural Gas Fund LP (UNG:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $6.90 to the range of $9.20 - $9.70. The pattern formed over 18 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue.
A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
Diamond Bottom | 27% move possibleDirexion Daily CSI China Internet Index Bull 2X Shares forms bullish "Diamond Bottom" chart pattern
"Diamond Bottom" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily CSI China Internet Index Bull 2X Shares (CWEB:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $50.19 to the range of $61.00 - $64.00. The pattern formed over 25 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price seems to have reached a bottom, showing signs of reversal as it has broken upward after a period of uncertainty or consolidation.
The Diamond Bottom pattern begins during a downtrend as prices create higher highs and lower lows in a broadening pattern. Then the trading range gradually narrows after the highs peak and the lows start trending upward. When the price breaks upward out of the diamonds boundary lines, it marks a significant reversal to a new uptrend.
Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 30% move possibleInvesco Dynamic Oil & Gas Services ETF forms bullish "Continuation Wedge" chart pattern
"Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Invesco Dynamic Oil & Gas Services ETF (PXJ:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $4.85 to the range of $6.00 - $6.30. The pattern formed over 16 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue.
A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
Nikkei ETF's looking promising 2023+The Nikkei, also known as the Nikkei Stock Average , is a stock market index for the Tokyo Stock Exchange in Japan. It is often used as a benchmark for the performance of the Japanese stock market.
Traders use the Nikkei to track the overall direction of the Japanese stock market and to gain insights into the performance of specific sectors and companies. They may also use technical analysis and other tools to analyze the movements of the Nikkei and make trading decisions based on its trends and patterns.
In addition, the Nikkei is sometimes used as an underlying asset for financial instruments such as futures contracts, options, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which allow traders to speculate on or hedge against changes in the index.
Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 20% move possibleTeucrium Wheat Fund forms bullish "Continuation Wedge" chart pattern
"Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Teucrium Wheat Fund (WEAT:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $7.03 to the range of $8.30 - $8.60. The pattern formed over 28 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue.
A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.