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Elliott Wave View: S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Should Stay SupportedS&P 500 ETF (SPY) cycle from 10.13.2022 low is in progress as a diagonal 5 waves. Up from 10.13.2022 low, wave 1 ended at 410, and wave 2 pullback ended at 380.46 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Wave 3 is in progress with subdivision as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 402.49 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 389.33. The ETF rallies higher in wave ((iii)) towards 412.50, and dips in wave ((iv)) ended at 405.68. Wave ((v)) higher is in progress with internal subdivision as a diagonal in lesser degree. Up from wave ((iv)), wave (i) ended at 413.75 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 407.15. The ETF extends higher in wave (iii) towards 415.09, and dips in wave (iv) ended at 410.06. Expect wave (v) to end soon which should also complete wave ((v)) of 3. Afterwards, the ETF should pullback in wave 4 to correct cycle from 3.13.2023 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before the rally resumes. Near term, as far as pivot at 380.46 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for more upside.
AMEX:SPY
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Factor Investing: An IntroductionThe concept of factor investing has garnered significant attention in recent years as an innovative approach to portfolio management. The idea behind factor investing is that it seeks to uncover the primary sources of return in investment portfolios, and to explicitly target these sources, known as factors. By systematically identifying and targeting these factors, investors can achieve improved portfolio diversification, risk management, and potentially, enhanced returns. Factor investing can be traced back to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) introduced by Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965). The CAPM was a groundbreaking theory that posited that a security's expected return is directly related to its level of systematic risk, measured by the beta coefficient. The concept of beta provided an early example of a factor in investing. In recent years, factor investing has evolved and expanded considerably. Researchers and investment managers have identified numerous factors that drive investment performance, such as quality, low volatility, and liquidity. Primary Factors in Investing Market : The market factor represents the overall market return and is the core factor that drives investment performance. The market factor, or beta, is the exposure of an asset to the general movement of the market. Size : Size is the factor that focuses on the market capitalization of companies. Small-cap stocks typically offer higher potential returns than large-cap stocks, although they also tend to exhibit higher volatility. Value : Value investing targets stocks that are considered undervalued relative to their intrinsic value. Value stocks generally have low price-to-earnings, price-to-book, and price-to-cash-flow ratios, and they tend to outperform growth stocks over time. Momentum : The momentum factor captures the tendency of stocks that have recently outperformed to continue to do so. Momentum investing strategies aim to capture this trend by buying recent winners and selling recent losers. Quality : Quality is a factor that focuses on financially stable and well-managed companies. Quality stocks typically have high profitability, low leverage, and stable earnings growth. Low Volatility : Low volatility investing aims to identify stocks that have exhibited low price volatility over time. Low-volatility stocks often deliver better risk-adjusted returns than high-volatility stocks Benefits of Factor Investing Factor investing offers several benefits to investors, such as: Improved diversification : By targeting specific factors, investors can diversify their portfolios across various sources of return and risk, thereby reducing overall portfolio risk. Enhanced risk management : Factor investing enables investors to better understand the underlying risks in their portfolios and to manage those risks more effectively. Potential for outperformance : By systematically targeting well-established and robust factors, investors may achieve higher returns than traditional market-cap-weighted indexes. Cost efficiency : Factor investing strategies are often implemented using rules-based approaches, such as smart-beta or quantitative strategies, which can be more cost-effective than traditional active management. Transparency : Factor investing strategies are typically more transparent than traditional active management, as they rely on well-defined, rules-based methodologies that are easier for investors to understand and monitor. Potential Risks of Factor Investing While factor investing offers many benefits, it is important to be aware of the potential risks associated with this approach: Factor timing : Just like market timing, attempting to time factor exposures can be difficult and often leads to underperformance. Investors should be cautious about trying to predict when a particular factor will outperform or underperform. Overfitting : The process of identifying factors can be susceptible to overfitting, where a model is tailored too closely to historical data and may not perform well in the future. Crowding : As more investors adopt factor investing strategies, the potential for crowding in certain factors may increase, leading to diminishing returns or increased risk. Model risk : The effectiveness of factor investing strategies relies on the accuracy and stability of the underlying factor models. If the models are not robust or if they become less effective over time, the strategy's performance may suffer. Diversification risk : While targeting specific factors can help diversify a portfolio, it may also expose investors to concentrated risk if those factors underperform or experience periods of heightened volatility. Factor investing has revolutionized the way investors approach portfolio management, offering improved diversification, enhanced risk management, and the potential for outperformance. By identifying and targeting the primary drivers of investment performance, factor investing provides a systematic and transparent framework for constructing and managing portfolios. Trade with care. If you like our content, please feel free to support our page with a like, comment & subscribe for future educational ideas and trading setups.
AMEX:GSLCEducation
by financialflagship
Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 46% move possibleDirexion Daily Technology Bear 3x Shares forms bullish "Continuation Wedge" chart pattern "Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x Shares (TECS:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $22.4 to the range of $31.00 - $33.00. The pattern formed over 17 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue. A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
AMEX:TECSLong
by moneytalkstome
Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 37% move possibleDirexion Daily Dow Jones Internet Bear 3X Shares forms bullish "Continuation Wedge" chart pattern "Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily Dow Jones Internet Bear 3X Shares (WEBS:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $20.30 to the range of $27.00 - $28.50. The pattern formed over 15 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue. A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
AMEX:WEBSLong
by moneytalkstome
Megaphone Bottom | 9% move possibleiShares China Large-Cap ETF forms bullish "Megaphone Bottom" chart pattern "Megaphone Bottom" chart pattern formed on iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $29.91 to the range of $32.10 - $32.60. The pattern formed over 26 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: The recent broadening action tells us that trading has been out of control, but a breakout on the upside suggests we're starting a more decisive uptrend. With its broadening price swings, the Megaphone represents a market that's unstable and out of control. It typically consists of two successively higher highs between three lower lows, and the reversal signal occurs when the price breaks up above the second peak (the highest high) as a sign of a more decisive bullish move.
AMEX:FXILong
by moneytalkstome
Head and Shoulders Bottom | 12% move possibleiShares Silver Trust forms bullish "Head and Shoulders Bottom" chart pattern "Head and Shoulders Bottom" chart pattern formed on iShares Silver Trust (SLV:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $21.94 to the range of $24.10 - $24.60. The pattern formed over 35 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: The price seems to have reached the end of a period of "accumulation" at the bottom of a major downtrend; the break up through resistance signals a reversal to a new uptrend. The Head and Shoulders Bottom is created by three successive declines in the price following a significant downtrend. The lowest low (head) is in the middle, flanked by two higher lows (shoulders) at roughly the same level. Volume is highest as the price makes the first two declines, then diminishes through the right shoulder. Finally volume surges as the price closes above the neckline (drawn between the two highs) to confirm the reversal.
AMEX:SLVLong
by moneytalkstome
Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Develops Elliott Wave Bullish SequenceGold Miners ETF (GDX) is close to breaking above the previous peak on 1.25.2023 high (33.34). A break above will open up a bullish sequence from 9.26.2022 low favoring further upside. Near term, cycle from 3.10.2023 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 3.10.2023 low, wave 1 ended at 29.95 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 28.50. Wave 3 is currently ongoing with internal subdivision as another 5 waves in lesser degree. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 31.99 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 29.63. We can see wave ((i)) and ((ii)) in the 45 minutes chart below. The ETF then extends higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 31.80 and wave (ii) ended at 30.74. Wave (iii) ended at 32.80 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 31.95. Final leg wave (v) of ((iii)) is expected to end soon, then it should pullback in wave ((iv)) before turning higher again in wave ((v)) to complete wave 3. Near term, as far as pivot at 29.63 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
AMEX:GDX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Symmetrical Continuation Triangle (Bullish) | 18% move possibleiShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF forms bullish "Symmetrical Continuation Triangle" chart pattern "Symmetrical Continuation Triangle (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on iShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF (EUFN:NASDAQ). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $18.44 to the range of $20.90 - $21.50. The pattern formed over 17 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: The price has broken upward out of a consolidation period, suggesting a continuation of the prior uptrend. A Symmetrical Continuation Triangle (Bullish) shows two converging trendlines as prices reach lower highs and higher lows. Volume diminishes as the price swings back and forth between an increasingly narrow range reflecting uncertainty in the market direction. Then well before the triangle reaches its apex, the price breaks out above the upper trendline with a noticeable increase in volume, confirming the pattern as a continuation of the prior uptrend.
NASDAQ:EUFNLong
by moneytalkstome
Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 40% move possibleUnited States Natural Gas Fund LP forms bullish "Continuation Wedge" chart pattern "Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on United States Natural Gas Fund LP (UNG:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $6.90 to the range of $9.20 - $9.70. The pattern formed over 18 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue. A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
AMEX:UNGLong
by moneytalkstome
4
Diamond Bottom | 27% move possibleDirexion Daily CSI China Internet Index Bull 2X Shares forms bullish "Diamond Bottom" chart pattern "Diamond Bottom" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily CSI China Internet Index Bull 2X Shares (CWEB:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $50.19 to the range of $61.00 - $64.00. The pattern formed over 25 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: The price seems to have reached a bottom, showing signs of reversal as it has broken upward after a period of uncertainty or consolidation. The Diamond Bottom pattern begins during a downtrend as prices create higher highs and lower lows in a broadening pattern. Then the trading range gradually narrows after the highs peak and the lows start trending upward. When the price breaks upward out of the diamonds boundary lines, it marks a significant reversal to a new uptrend.
AMEX:CWEBLong
by moneytalkstome
Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 30% move possibleInvesco Dynamic Oil & Gas Services ETF forms bullish "Continuation Wedge" chart pattern "Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Invesco Dynamic Oil & Gas Services ETF (PXJ:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $4.85 to the range of $6.00 - $6.30. The pattern formed over 16 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue. A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
AMEX:PXJLong
by moneytalkstome
Nikkei ETF's looking promising 2023+The Nikkei, also known as the Nikkei Stock Average , is a stock market index for the Tokyo Stock Exchange in Japan. It is often used as a benchmark for the performance of the Japanese stock market. Traders use the Nikkei to track the overall direction of the Japanese stock market and to gain insights into the performance of specific sectors and companies. They may also use technical analysis and other tools to analyze the movements of the Nikkei and make trading decisions based on its trends and patterns. In addition, the Nikkei is sometimes used as an underlying asset for financial instruments such as futures contracts, options, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which allow traders to speculate on or hedge against changes in the index.
CME:NKD1!Long
by CryptoGao1
Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 20% move possibleTeucrium Wheat Fund forms bullish "Continuation Wedge" chart pattern "Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Teucrium Wheat Fund (WEAT:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $7.03 to the range of $8.30 - $8.60. The pattern formed over 28 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue. A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
AMEX:WEAT
by moneytalkstome
Pennant (Bullish) | 27% move possibleDirexion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury forms bullish "Pennant" chart pattern "Pennant (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury (TMF:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $9.02 to the range of $11.00 - $11.50. The pattern formed over 9 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: The price seems to be resuming a sharp rally after taking a brief pause. A bullish Pennant pattern occurs during a dynamic market rally, representing a brief period of indecision before running off again in the same direction. The pattern consists of two converging trend lines with diminishing volume, and is confirmed when the price breaks through the upper boundary to resume the advance.
AMEX:TMFLong
by moneytalkstome
Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 44% move possible"Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3x Shares (YINN:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $45.07 to the range of $59.00 - $62.00. The pattern formed over 28 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue. A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
AMEX:YINNLong
by moneytalkstome
Pennant (Bullish) | 10% move possible"Pennant (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on iShares 20 Year Treasury (TLT:NASDAQ). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $106.40 to the range of $115.00 - $117.00. The pattern formed over 8 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: The price seems to be resuming a sharp rally after taking a brief pause. A bullish Pennant pattern occurs during a dynamic market rally, representing a brief period of indecision before running off again in the same direction. The pattern consists of two converging trend lines with diminishing volume, and is confirmed when the price breaks through the upper boundary to resume the advance.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by moneytalkstome
1
Megaphone Bottom | 20% move possibleDirexion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares forms bullish "Megaphone Bottom" chart pattern "Megaphone Bottom" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $16.61 to the range of $19.60 - $20.30. The pattern formed over 16 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: The recent broadening action tells us that trading has been out of control, but a breakout on the upside suggests we're starting a more decisive uptrend. With its broadening price swings, the Megaphone represents a market that's unstable and out of control. It typically consists of two successively higher highs between three lower lows, and the reversal signal occurs when the price breaks up above the second peak (the highest high) as a sign of a more decisive bullish move.
AMEX:SOXLLong
by moneytalkstome
Head and Shoulders Bottom | 14% move possibleDirexion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x Shares forms bullish "Head and Shoulders Bottom" chart pattern "Head and Shoulders Bottom" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x Shares (SPXS:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $18.31 to the range of $20.50 - $21.00. The pattern formed over 20 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: The price seems to have reached the end of a period of "accumulation" at the bottom of a major downtrend; the break up through resistance signals a reversal to a new uptrend. The Head and Shoulders Bottom is created by three successive declines in the price following a significant downtrend. The lowest low (head) is in the middle, flanked by two higher lows (shoulders) at roughly the same level. Volume is highest as the price makes the first two declines, then diminishes through the right shoulder. Finally volume surges as the price closes above the neckline (drawn between the two highs) to confirm the reversal.
AMEX:SPXSLong
by moneytalkstome
1
Continuation Diamond (Bullish) | 19% move possibleVanguard High Dividend Yield ETF forms bullish "Continuation Diamond" chart pattern "Continuation Diamond (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $110.96 to the range of $130.00 - $134.00. The pattern formed over 452 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: The price has broken upward out of a consolidation period, suggesting a continuation of the prior uptrend. The pattern begins during a downtrend as prices create higher highs and lower lows in a broadening pattern. Then the trading range gradually narrows after the highs peak and the lows start trending upward. When the price breaks upward out of the diamonds boundary lines, it marks the resumption of the prior uptrend.
AMEX:VYMLong
by moneytalkstome
Double Bottom | 35% move possibleDirexion Daily Small Cap Bull 3x Shares forms bullish "Double Bottom" chart pattern "Double Bottom" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3x Shares (TNA:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $43.19 to the range of $54.00 - $57.00. The pattern formed over 102 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: The price seems to have reached a bottom after failing to break through a support level and ultimately rising higher in a sign of reversal to a new uptrend. The Double Bottom pattern forms during a downtrend as the price reaches two distinct lows at roughly the same price level. Volume reflects a weakening of the downward pressure, tending to diminish as the pattern forms, with some pickup at each low, less on the second low. Finally the price breaks upward above the highest high to confirm the bullish signal.
AMEX:TNALong
by moneytalkstome
Bottom Triangle | 40% move possibleDirexion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury forms bullish "Bottom Triangle" chart pattern "Bottom Triangle" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury (TMF:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $9.64 to the range of $13.00 - $13.80. The pattern formed over 60 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: The price seems to have reached a bottom, showing signs of reversal as it has broken upward after a period of uncertainty or consolidation. A Bottom Triangle shows two converging trendlines as prices reach lower highs and higher lows. Volume diminishes as the price swings back and forth between an increasingly narrow range reflecting uncertainty in the market direction. Then well before the triangle reaches its apex, the price breaks above the upper trendline with a noticeable increase in volume, confirming this bullish pattern as a reversal of the prior downtrend.
AMEX:TMFLong
by moneytalkstome
2
Strong support trend line + Bullish "Flag" | 20% move possible1. "Flag (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Invesco Solar ETF (TAN:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $75.80 to the range of $92.00 - $94.00. The pattern formed over 9 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis. Tells Me: The price seems to be resuming a sharp rally after taking a brief pause. A bullish Flag pattern occurs during a dynamic market rally, representing a brief pause as the market "catches its breath" before running off again in the same direction. The pattern consists of two parallel trend lines, often sloping downward against the prevailing uptrend, and is confirmed when the price breaks through the upper boundary to resume the rise. 2. The price came to strong support line and has been closed above that line. Target 1: $84 Target 2: $92
AMEX:TANLong
by moneytalkstome