a long running trend that may changesince the top in december trama has crossed below vwma, and both have continued down together. the rare times they have diverged bullishly and rose together have been short lived. if things are going to be different this time the trend has to abruptly change. if we get a higher low compared to 27 and we break 33 i would shoot for 40 region. this rally is for profit taking unless we continue immediately over potential neckline or if we double bottom, or bounce off of 27 region, or continue immediately over 33. return to short if we close below 24.
Etfs
multiple scenarios for mondaydepending how futures market plays out tonight and if people keep buying a mondays open we cod have very different outcomes. the bull case is essentially if we see RSI, Double STOCH signal remain positive or if we hit resistance at gap close and continue lower or make a double bottom. even in the bull case we could rally for a couple weeks and then double bottom. bias cautiously bullish as there are more bull scenarios than bear. even the magenta path is a bull scenario for a few days. staying over TRAMA and causing VWMA to rise with it means strong support for bulls.
vix still getting waveshigh 19s are due if we can hold above high 18s. were headed for that same resistance and if we break the quad top it will close the gap at 20.05 . short targets are lower horizontals if we cant hold high 18s and the middle line is what i think would be a good pivot. TRAMA is flatlining, and VWMA is wobbly but if we start to see red crossing above blue and trending up together i would look to the upside. 21 still possible, though as is mid 16s. the daily bounce hasnt happened in semiconductors, big tech or spx.
oversold semiconductors (SOXL)if critical support provides meaningful buy volume and we close the week near the highs then semiconductors, and the broader market could exhibit a bounce here towards lower 36s. if we see another wave of selling down at these levels were probably blowing through that support on the weekly trending toward upper 16s taking the market with it as semiconductors are a lead bear. keep TRAMA from sinking and come out of oversold STOCH and we could diverge bullishly. if things head for continuation it is likely more bearish.
TRAMA over VWMA and Stoch headed to overbought for this vix deriuvxy has seen a lot of choppy action for weeks but the trend has been upward. if we keep seeing TRAMA and VWMA rise together on the daily and double stochastics
signal remains bullish we should end the week higher as long as spy stays under 400
holding mid 18s uvxy would indicate were due for a trip back up to high 19s
island top or taking offif we hold the 18.50s and break upper 19s retracement will be good enough and well be over rising vwma and trama if we reject 19.75 and close below a significant low on the 5 minute then stiff overhead resistance means were in for low 18s. if we see that close into the upper 19s were headed over 21
volatility is picking up (UVXY)we are coming off the first weekly higher low at all time lows since the corona bounce. we havent had a major weekly bounce since then. id imagine if we do close this week somewhat lower, and trend down into next week its likely to send uvxy over 21. if SPX continues its daily bounce next week id imagine were headed back to all time lows UVXY 13 or less.
Is ARKK Seeking A bottom Near Fib Amplitude Support?Looking at this chart, one could argue the past 12+ months have erased all of the excesses of the post-COVID speculative rally.
One could argue that ARKK is nearing historical support and may be attempting to establish some type of base/bottom levels.
I would suggest that ARKK may attempt a "wash-out" low price over the next few weeks - where price attempts to FLUSH OUT early longs. But it seems to me ARKK is nearing strong support from 2018-19 levels and may attempt a recovery rally throughout the end of 2022 (possibly).
Time will tell.
May be worth looking into some CALL options on ARKK at these levels?
URNM- URANIUM ETF BULLISH- GREAT SWING OR LONG TERM HOLD!I've had a position in URNM- AMEX:URNM Uranium for about 13 weeks and now and I'm really excited at how well this etf is doing. You can swing trade and possibly long term hold for a portfolio, since Uranium is the future need for energy in power plants and nuclear submarines and other naval ships. Find out all the details on my video technical analysis here! Give me a like and a subscribe and follow this trade which I will be updating.
Disclaimer
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post. AMEX:URNM
VOO VANGUARD S&P500 ETF- IS IT GOOD FOR A LONG TERM HOLD? VOO AMEX:VOO is showing promise. Markets have very slowly begun to correct since the Russian Invasion into Ukraine Feb 24th, 2022. Since then, you see some recover on this chart. While things are still uncertain with the overall health of the economy and markets the S&P is gaining some slow momentum. However is VOO a good long term hold ? Well, I'm gonna be opening a position with VOO for my portfolio and increase with dollar cost average new positions to protect me from any volatility.
Hope you enjoy this TA and don't forget to like and subscribe and show your support.
Disclaimer
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post. AMEX:VOO
(TQQQ) breakout or bustThe chances of a daily bull pennant increases with every daily higher low we make. Holding 4500 spx es1! Emini s&p futures withstanding and moving toward the week high would the odds of getting to $64 TQQQ skyrocket. Staying over vwma and bottom anchored vwap having no qqe short entry would be very bullish. Channel break strategies say buy over rising support, sell if we break Thursdays low.
almost outside up week for spx (SPY)we have opened down below last weeks close and we are aiming to close the week up over last weeks highs. depending on how the daily wants to close we could leave a bullish or bearish mark on the candlestick pattern. as long as small caps, healthcare, industrials, energy and utilities are doing ok i see this as healthy rotation. even if today and tommorow are bearish in price we could have bullish momentum next week.
is this the breakout? clearly not, but maybe soon (SPY)weve crossed back below VWMA and rsi diverged bearishly coming off overbought. we will need to see qqe short entry dry up before broder markets come back. id imagine we end the week lower, maybe under 422, and come back up next week to complete the breakout. otherwise, if we break 414 and test some area below resistance trending lower, we could find ourselves down below 400 soon.
SPXU INVERSE ETF TRADING IDEA FOR FOMC MEETING 3/16/22This is my trading strategy for March 16th, 2022 on the next FOMC meeting. Using inverse 3 x etf is like doing options without options. They track opposite of whatever it is they track. In this case the SPXU does the exact opposite of the SPY S&P 500 ETF .. The spy tracks the S&P 500 markets.
So I'm setting up a position on morning opening day of March 16th, Wednesday with $6,660 position anticipating a 5-8% return x 3x since the SPXU is a 3 x inverse..
Be very careful using 3x inverse or any inverse etf . YOU HAVE TO WATCH THEM LIKE A HAWK. They are not meant for long term or swing trade. They are for 1 day intra day only and can be very dangerous if you don't use them properly. They can also make you quick FAST money , BUT YOU CAN ALSO LOOSE ALL YOUR MONEY IN 1 DAY, if you DON'T KNOW what you are doing..
This is what I am doing. I am not giving trading advice. I simply share some of my trading ideas here...
PS.Disclaimer
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,( Technical Analysis ) site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, post or newsletter.
spx getting to oversold (SPXL)we are in technical conditions of a selloff and risk averse activity is driving the market. defensive sectors are even doing poorly. there is no reason to think price action will turn around here, vut the price doesnt go anywhere in a straight line. at least one last trip up to mid or upper 95s is a valid target.
you guessed it: overbought vix (UVXY)this thing has pumped all day and is getting tired. UVXY is overbought on the 15 minute timeframe and is taking on the appearence of a pullback on the one minute where qqe is trying to punch in a short entry. could there be more to go bullishly? of course. why bother trying to squeeze more out of it long when you know lower prices soon are all but guaranteed?
high to mid 19s are a target.
probable tightening range (SPXL)given the amount of retracement if we stay over 97 and attract volume setting and confirmin this as a higher low around the .5 its likely we enter a tightening range going for a touch of vwma and then setting a lower high. id like to close that day around the highs for a bull daily case. horizontals are valid targets.
range should tighten for 5g stocks (FIVG)weve retraced about to the .5 and if we see a bounce here a tightening range is the most likely scenario which is my bias long here according to qqe, rsi