welcome to the forever market, or more pain to come?tqqq is a big question because it is down a significant amount and a lead bear. if it turns into a lead bull here we could see 60% gains.
Etfs
volatility is picking up (UVXY)we are coming off the first weekly higher low at all time lows since the corona bounce. we havent had a major weekly bounce since then. id imagine if we do close this week somewhat lower, and trend down into next week its likely to send uvxy over 21. if SPX continues its daily bounce next week id imagine were headed back to all time lows UVXY 13 or less.
Is ARKK Seeking A bottom Near Fib Amplitude Support?Looking at this chart, one could argue the past 12+ months have erased all of the excesses of the post-COVID speculative rally.
One could argue that ARKK is nearing historical support and may be attempting to establish some type of base/bottom levels.
I would suggest that ARKK may attempt a "wash-out" low price over the next few weeks - where price attempts to FLUSH OUT early longs. But it seems to me ARKK is nearing strong support from 2018-19 levels and may attempt a recovery rally throughout the end of 2022 (possibly).
Time will tell.
May be worth looking into some CALL options on ARKK at these levels?
URNM- URANIUM ETF BULLISH- GREAT SWING OR LONG TERM HOLD!I've had a position in URNM- AMEX:URNM Uranium for about 13 weeks and now and I'm really excited at how well this etf is doing. You can swing trade and possibly long term hold for a portfolio, since Uranium is the future need for energy in power plants and nuclear submarines and other naval ships. Find out all the details on my video technical analysis here! Give me a like and a subscribe and follow this trade which I will be updating.
Disclaimer
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post. AMEX:URNM
VOO VANGUARD S&P500 ETF- IS IT GOOD FOR A LONG TERM HOLD? VOO AMEX:VOO is showing promise. Markets have very slowly begun to correct since the Russian Invasion into Ukraine Feb 24th, 2022. Since then, you see some recover on this chart. While things are still uncertain with the overall health of the economy and markets the S&P is gaining some slow momentum. However is VOO a good long term hold ? Well, I'm gonna be opening a position with VOO for my portfolio and increase with dollar cost average new positions to protect me from any volatility.
Hope you enjoy this TA and don't forget to like and subscribe and show your support.
Disclaimer
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post. AMEX:VOO
(TQQQ) breakout or bustThe chances of a daily bull pennant increases with every daily higher low we make. Holding 4500 spx es1! Emini s&p futures withstanding and moving toward the week high would the odds of getting to $64 TQQQ skyrocket. Staying over vwma and bottom anchored vwap having no qqe short entry would be very bullish. Channel break strategies say buy over rising support, sell if we break Thursdays low.
almost outside up week for spx (SPY)we have opened down below last weeks close and we are aiming to close the week up over last weeks highs. depending on how the daily wants to close we could leave a bullish or bearish mark on the candlestick pattern. as long as small caps, healthcare, industrials, energy and utilities are doing ok i see this as healthy rotation. even if today and tommorow are bearish in price we could have bullish momentum next week.
is this the breakout? clearly not, but maybe soon (SPY)weve crossed back below VWMA and rsi diverged bearishly coming off overbought. we will need to see qqe short entry dry up before broder markets come back. id imagine we end the week lower, maybe under 422, and come back up next week to complete the breakout. otherwise, if we break 414 and test some area below resistance trending lower, we could find ourselves down below 400 soon.
SPXU INVERSE ETF TRADING IDEA FOR FOMC MEETING 3/16/22This is my trading strategy for March 16th, 2022 on the next FOMC meeting. Using inverse 3 x etf is like doing options without options. They track opposite of whatever it is they track. In this case the SPXU does the exact opposite of the SPY S&P 500 ETF .. The spy tracks the S&P 500 markets.
So I'm setting up a position on morning opening day of March 16th, Wednesday with $6,660 position anticipating a 5-8% return x 3x since the SPXU is a 3 x inverse..
Be very careful using 3x inverse or any inverse etf . YOU HAVE TO WATCH THEM LIKE A HAWK. They are not meant for long term or swing trade. They are for 1 day intra day only and can be very dangerous if you don't use them properly. They can also make you quick FAST money , BUT YOU CAN ALSO LOOSE ALL YOUR MONEY IN 1 DAY, if you DON'T KNOW what you are doing..
This is what I am doing. I am not giving trading advice. I simply share some of my trading ideas here...
PS.Disclaimer
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,( Technical Analysis ) site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, post or newsletter.
spx getting to oversold (SPXL)we are in technical conditions of a selloff and risk averse activity is driving the market. defensive sectors are even doing poorly. there is no reason to think price action will turn around here, vut the price doesnt go anywhere in a straight line. at least one last trip up to mid or upper 95s is a valid target.
you guessed it: overbought vix (UVXY)this thing has pumped all day and is getting tired. UVXY is overbought on the 15 minute timeframe and is taking on the appearence of a pullback on the one minute where qqe is trying to punch in a short entry. could there be more to go bullishly? of course. why bother trying to squeeze more out of it long when you know lower prices soon are all but guaranteed?
high to mid 19s are a target.
broader market health indicated (UVXY)vix is showing that weve successfully tested some level in the s&p that could hold. momentum in uvxy is downward. the hourly should play out in bears favor, bullish for the s&p.
probable tightening range (SPXL)given the amount of retracement if we stay over 97 and attract volume setting and confirmin this as a higher low around the .5 its likely we enter a tightening range going for a touch of vwma and then setting a lower high. id like to close that day around the highs for a bull daily case. horizontals are valid targets.
overbought vix (UVXY)this thing has taken on a terminal thrust/ island top appearance and i wouldnt be surprised to see vix and its derivative products pull back from this extreme.
range should tighten for 5g stocks (FIVG)weve retraced about to the .5 and if we see a bounce here a tightening range is the most likely scenario which is my bias long here according to qqe, rsi
promising action in cybersec (CIBR)i think now that were over it, remaining over vwma after testing some higher low should be an easy task. this should lead the market up.
this is really simple; oversold bounce (ARKK)i dont think i need to spell it out for people when i say this is oversold, and should bounce. yes this thing really collapses when the market takes an unexpected turn down, but then it makes very predictable reversals. we should hit that vwma. whether it is resistance or not we shall find out.
two paths for nasdaq futures (TQQQ)in reality the tech boom is to blame for this correction. if we werent in such business with the market weight we are currently there wouldnt be a need for the drawdown in buying that we are. this could obviously co tinue, but my bias is still long after the current contraction and retracement. divergence from vwma, rsi and qqe signals strategies are long, and i have to say that the weekend looks promising as long as we stay away from negative headlines. the conflict is mostly priced in and xlv, xle, xli, utsl having a good day in relation to the rest of the market moving down shows healthy rotation, and does not spell a crash. defensive sector stock will accumulate and prices in tech will move up.
two paths for volatility (UVXY)theres a really bullish sentiment playing out on the daily, but technical indications are that we sell off a little in vix. ive circled the type of cross i want to see, and highlighted what could gappen if we dont complete the bearish pattern.
over $23 or under 16 in 1 week
PXJ LONGAMEX:PXJ
The Invesco Dynamic Oil & Gas Services ETF (Fund) is based on the Dynamic Oil Services Intellidex℠ Index (Index). The Fund will normally invest at least 90% of its total assets in common stocks that comprise the Index. The Index thoroughly evaluates companies based on a variety of investment merit criteria, including: price momentum, earnings momentum, quality, management action, and value. The Index is composed of stocks of 30 U.S. companies that assist in the production, processing and distribution of oil and gas. The Index may include companies that are engaged in the drilling of oil and gas wells; manufacturing oil and gas field machinery and equipment; or providing services to the oil and gas industry, such as well analysis, platform and pipeline engineering and construction, logistics and transportation services, oil and gas well emergency management and geophysical data acquisition and processing. The Fund and the Index are rebalanced and reconstituted quarterly in February, May, August and November.
Guaranteed money (UVXY)If we break to new highs it's almost a guarantee that, provided we are hitting new lows in multiple important sectors like tickers xlf, qqq, spy, we take this over 19. The only real guarantee is that whatever high we hit in UVXY we are seeing lower prices soon. low 14s is where I'm drawing these hypothetical puts expiring a me to.e early March. This is based on the simple fact that indices didn't hold their lows, and there are really two scenarios that can play out: we set some lower low as support and bounce, or we continue lower. If we go lower there's really no support. If we bounce there's really very little resistance. Low availability of shares means we're not headed sideways.
This is the bullish picture for uvxy:
This is the bearish picture:
The forecasts show my limits of how far I would long or short based on a bull/bear move from current levels. The ghost feed is just one solution to how they could both hit. If you get the right signals UVXY is guaranteed money.
Bearish momentum should stay (TQQQ)Rsi needs to bullishly diverge further, so the drop in price should be larger. There's really little room to judge this as a lower low that could hold. Around 40 is an area that might induce bullish activity. I wouldn't look for a long entry right now, but there will be one eventually. This is damage that will last up to the monthly.
Vwma has turned down, and qqe is still short.
.618 retracement seems like its a buy for broader markets (SPXL)109.56 would be a great higher low to put in if we get bounce into the end of the week. i trust that if we keep cloaing over 105 on the daily that we will be back up at 123 in a couple weeks time.
