either/or nasdaq breakout or bullltrapif we break out in tqqq above the 28.50 level, id be long targeting the 32.33 area. if we break down below 24.10 however id look to short it down to around 20.11. nothing fancy here but you can see we are on the verge of breaking out in the nasdaq, and if we fail this resistance area it will probably take us much lower.
Etfs3x
looks like bears have returned to the nasdaqSQQQ TRAMA and VWMA have turned up, and are following the price higher. stiff resistance in the nasdaq along the downtrend line has proved a supply area in the index is sapping momentum out of the bounce. the last time this happened we had a return to the bear market, and SQQQ saw gains of around 8%. id like to see SQQQ RSI get overbought before i count it out, and inversely id like to see TQQQ oversold before im long the nasdaq. if we close the day as a shooting star, bear hammer or bear doji in TQQQ, and SQQQ forms a bull hammer, inverted hammer or bull doji i will be long SQQQ daily. holding above $53.29 id aim for just under $56, and breaking above that id target the mid-upper $65 range.
guessing a gap down will be for buyinga gap down in the nasdaq makes the most sense to me at this point, and i would guess that if we buy that up and defend the $23- high $22s we sould revisit TRAMA and get VWMA to change directions targeting high $23s - low $24s which is also around the .618 of the daily bounce retracement
big orders bumping around triple qsusing order flow analysis and a volume profile you can see that a lot of action around the upper 24s has led to a bounce in the nasdaq and TQQQ 3x is a great way of capturing that. if we hold $24.58 and break $24.81 we should see that $25.86 level again no problem. envelope is flattening out, so id imagine this bounce has legs as long as were not seeing outflow on this etf.
bearish reversal in the nasdaq, bounce over?weve seen a pretty bearish reversal in technology this morning as the bounce falters at stiff resistance. if we continue looking this direction id imagine we hit that vwma currently sinking around 53.43, and cool off a bit, but since weve come out of bullish divergence RSI in SQQQ (bear nasdaq) as long as we are holding mid 51s we may have the go agead to close the gap at 56
semiconductors climbing out of the holeright now major indices and the nasdaq especially is banking on semis carrying a significant bounce out of the giant hole they have dug for themselves and us all. it follows that if we can hold 15.80s breaking 16.80s and continue with TRAMA staying over VWMA with both averages rising together that we should hae the go ahead to close the gap around 18.60s (strange that the decimal and integer are inverted 🤔 for either target). should ve a mega green day if we just manage to keep oscillators headed toward overbought with the price making higher lows.
eyes still on a potential reversalstill looks like aggressive dip buying at some point is going to trend above neckline here and cause additional 4hr squeeze as long as we hold 26.50 area if we get in the high 34s this could lead to above 40
right now the hourly is still bearish, but the daily reversal could still complete
spx getting to oversold (SPXL)we are in technical conditions of a selloff and risk averse activity is driving the market. defensive sectors are even doing poorly. there is no reason to think price action will turn around here, vut the price doesnt go anywhere in a straight line. at least one last trip up to mid or upper 95s is a valid target.
probable tightening range (SPXL)given the amount of retracement if we stay over 97 and attract volume setting and confirmin this as a higher low around the .5 its likely we enter a tightening range going for a touch of vwma and then setting a lower high. id like to close that day around the highs for a bull daily case. horizontals are valid targets.