WEBL Long - ETF breaks ~$20 resistance after 2 years.AMEX:WEBL breaks $21 after 2 years.
Been holding from $13 since 2022.
Up-bound !!!
Etfsx3
The Long Case for SemiconductorsThe long thesis for SOXL, Semiconductor 3x Long.
With Crypto, AI, Automation etc we will soon come to view Semiconductors as a fuel for computational power. Just like we need gas for cars and electricity for all the rest the next phase of the economy is running off of Computational Power at a mass global scale.
The internet was the mass explosion of collective knowledge onto the world. This next phase will be the democratization of computational power to go with that knowledge.
As things are the semiconductor industry is well insulated through its extreme specialization.
Governments will move to increase their own semiconductor production but this is 5-10years out and will most likely end up contracting/subsidizing Established semiconductor manufacturers.
This all points Up for Semiconductors.
MSTR out Performing BTC, Divergence when BTC ETFs LaunchedI'm Bullish on BTC in general, hold it and other cryptos.
However the divergence in price action on MSTR vs BTC had a massive shift when the BTC ETFs hit the markets.
Makes me wonder if MSTR could be considered a Leveraged BTC long . like a 2x or 3x ETF
Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 46% move possibleDirexion Daily Technology Bear 3x Shares forms bullish "Continuation Wedge" chart pattern
"Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x Shares (TECS:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $22.4 to the range of $31.00 - $33.00. The pattern formed over 17 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue.
A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 37% move possibleDirexion Daily Dow Jones Internet Bear 3X Shares forms bullish "Continuation Wedge" chart pattern
"Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily Dow Jones Internet Bear 3X Shares (WEBS:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $20.30 to the range of $27.00 - $28.50. The pattern formed over 15 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue.
A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
Megaphone Bottom | 9% move possibleiShares China Large-Cap ETF forms bullish "Megaphone Bottom" chart pattern
"Megaphone Bottom" chart pattern formed on iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $29.91 to the range of $32.10 - $32.60. The pattern formed over 26 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The recent broadening action tells us that trading has been out of control, but a breakout on the upside suggests we're starting a more decisive uptrend.
With its broadening price swings, the Megaphone represents a market that's unstable and out of control. It typically consists of two successively higher highs between three lower lows, and the reversal signal occurs when the price breaks up above the second peak (the highest high) as a sign of a more decisive bullish move.
Head and Shoulders Bottom | 12% move possibleiShares Silver Trust forms bullish "Head and Shoulders Bottom" chart pattern
"Head and Shoulders Bottom" chart pattern formed on iShares Silver Trust (SLV:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $21.94 to the range of $24.10 - $24.60. The pattern formed over 35 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price seems to have reached the end of a period of "accumulation" at the bottom of a major downtrend; the break up through resistance signals a reversal to a new uptrend.
The Head and Shoulders Bottom is created by three successive declines in the price following a significant downtrend. The lowest low (head) is in the middle, flanked by two higher lows (shoulders) at roughly the same level. Volume is highest as the price makes the first two declines, then diminishes through the right shoulder. Finally volume surges as the price closes above the neckline (drawn between the two highs) to confirm the reversal.
Diamond Bottom | 27% move possibleDirexion Daily CSI China Internet Index Bull 2X Shares forms bullish "Diamond Bottom" chart pattern
"Diamond Bottom" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily CSI China Internet Index Bull 2X Shares (CWEB:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $50.19 to the range of $61.00 - $64.00. The pattern formed over 25 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price seems to have reached a bottom, showing signs of reversal as it has broken upward after a period of uncertainty or consolidation.
The Diamond Bottom pattern begins during a downtrend as prices create higher highs and lower lows in a broadening pattern. Then the trading range gradually narrows after the highs peak and the lows start trending upward. When the price breaks upward out of the diamonds boundary lines, it marks a significant reversal to a new uptrend.
Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 30% move possibleInvesco Dynamic Oil & Gas Services ETF forms bullish "Continuation Wedge" chart pattern
"Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Invesco Dynamic Oil & Gas Services ETF (PXJ:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $4.85 to the range of $6.00 - $6.30. The pattern formed over 16 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue.
A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
seems fairly certain spx looks higher if strength continuesim just looking at value area swing comparison and its showing alighment with volume weighted anchor that says if we stay over the average price we will be at top of band that lines up with all three indicators.
matching up zones and averagesusing this order flow/volume zone and volume weighted average strategy theres clearly still a bearish bias on the outlook for the nasdaq hourly. im guessing we come up to touch the resistance zone/averages and back down to do the same to lower levels.
Continuation Diamond (Bullish) | 19% move possibleVanguard High Dividend Yield ETF forms bullish "Continuation Diamond" chart pattern
"Continuation Diamond (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $110.96 to the range of $130.00 - $134.00. The pattern formed over 452 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price has broken upward out of a consolidation period, suggesting a continuation of the prior uptrend.
The pattern begins during a downtrend as prices create higher highs and lower lows in a broadening pattern. Then the trading range gradually narrows after the highs peak and the lows start trending upward. When the price breaks upward out of the diamonds boundary lines, it marks the resumption of the prior uptrend.
geez. long semis much?its been a hell of a couple weeks for the semiconductor stocks. weve blown through resistance with a vengence, and pretty much havent stopped for anything. the problem is the rest of the stock market hasnt responded with the same bullishness. just like i was in soxl coming off the top of the channel, im now in soxs coming off the bottom of the channel.
semiconductors slipping above marketrainbow, slope and range adaptive averages show we are coming off top of range and headed for a retest of slow moving average. this lays out the targets, and im hoping to stay on top of that region.
easy peasy short inverse squeezylooks like we cup and handle, and that takes us briefly over $27 in this short nasdaq fund. as long as we are over vwap this thing is a buy.
everything could have just changedif we see downside in semiconductors and rotation between sectors tha is slower and more masured leading to slower losses in indices, and the countertrend movement breaks out into a larger rebound i would call this the beginning of a broader market recovery. the inverse is that we traverse slightly lower, and extend backwardation with resistance around estimate (we are now below) and not seeing support till lower envelope. basically the trend is threatening to reverse in short and in long term, and if sss signal stays green index could be a buy. top of channel is not out of the question.
SOXL / SMH - CREATING A BULLISH REVERSALBACKGROUND:
SOXL (3x ETF) created a great reversal pattern back in JUNE - JULY 2022. It's tempting to ignore it because it ultimately failed on 8/26/22. Nonetheless, it was a great technical entry point when the price broke above $17.
CURRENT PRICE ACTION:
The reason I'm pointing out what happened in JUNE - JULY is because SOXL ETF is forming another BULLISH reversal (early stage) having just passed above last Friday's (9/30) high and entering back into the $9.50 - $10.50 range. The two previous reversals (8/26, 9/13) had failed. Yet the job of a trader is to not HOPE or PREDICT, but rather TRADE the signals and MANAGE RISK ACCORDINGLY .
GAMEPLAN:
I'm watching if the price closes above $10.35 (approx.) within the next few days. I'm anticipating some price action around this level. Any close above $10.35 can follow with some pullback. In fact this is a GREAT entry point for the bears if we were to follow trend alone. However, the reversal that happened from $9.50 and the bounce that's happening on the NASDAQ (potential double bottom) can signal a potential reversal in the market (short-term).
There are two potential bullish reversal scenarios:
1. Straight up(rare)
2. Chop sideways and build a larger reversal base (as happened in JUNE - JULY)
LOOK-OUT FOR:
What comes out of the FED emergency meeting. As mentioned in my previous post on the status of the DOW JONES - I think the analysts at the FED see the same. The FED will either blink and change its' stance or the market is taking another big leg down...
Be safe all and thank you for reading.
$SQQQ SupportSQQQ reached support. This is in line with the resistance that is seen on the e-mini Nasdaq100 $NC1!. Maybe time to consider some of this as part of a long hedge play or a pure short play.
found double bottom, no break out yetweve strongly supported a level twice but each time we were equally rejected as previous lows tested as resistance, slightly trending lower woth green days in red territory. themost likely scenario is if we retest recent highs as resistance, and make a lower high compared to a tightwning range over the past week or more. 25.82 is a lever to watch for a bull break targeting 26.25 - 25.05 is a level to watch for a bear break looking toward 24.54
sss and qqe are now singaling green
qqe and sss pointing south for nasdaq stillSQQQ is having bull readings from qqe and sss signals strategies. holding 52.62 and breaking 53.78 would open the road to high 54s if signal remains green in the bear nasdaq etf.
TQQQ: Looking like a no-brainer buy, or is that the trap?NASDAQ:TQQQ Chart should show well enough what I'm conveying here. Either it rebounds from here, along with crypto and all the other indeces across markets, or we see lower lows, that reaches back into the March 2020 fear levels.
pullback from the lows startingtheres no guaruntee this is a longer or even intermediate term bottom, but a bounce is clearly underway today, and it looks like were pulling back from the downtrend on shorter timeframes. id imagine that if we manage to hold the hourly reversal staying above that TRAMA line now hovering around 22.63 breaking VWMA currently flattening out around 23.48 we should have the greenlight to close the gap at 24.77 and then threaten the 26 area
semiconductors likely have some continued downsidesoxl is pretty much plummeting if we get a significant gap down and cant set a higher low 4hr the 15 minute trend will continue downwards until the 4hr is bullishly diverged stoch, rsi a lot of people are covering, and that may lead to some squeeze, but the over all trend is down if we close gap from either direction, and it looks like it is setting a lower high 4hr i would continue to sell semis. if we close gap from either direction and it looks like the test was sucessfuly holding some higher low around the thursday close its more bullish intermediate term but id imagine this is finding a daily lower high even if it recovers some or corrects sharply only to fall again.
22.04, 21.74, 21, 20.76, 20.22 key levels right now SOXL.
