Avax analysis and review: another rise or fall?hello guys
We came with Avax analysis.
This coin has been suffering for almost 35 days after its price drop, and now that the price is at the bottom of the trading range, it is expected that we will have an upward movement by maintaining the support range up to the ceiling of the trading range.
In case of failure, we will give you a new update.
*Trade safely with us*
ETH-BTC
Complete analysis and review of Ethereumhello friends
We came with Ethereum analysis
As you can see, the price reached good support after a drop and was able to grow.
Now that the price has compressed and created a triangle for us, we are facing two scenarios:
1_ According to the beginning of the upward trend, succeed in breaking the ceiling and move to the specified goals.
2_ The price should fall from here until the support area is determined and then it starts to climb.
In our opinion, scenario 1 is more tolerant.
*Trade safely with us*
The "Flippening"The "Flippening" goes back to 2017, a term coined back then referring to a possible future where Ethereum overtakes the marketcap of Bitcoin.
Should that ever occur, it would also take a larger portion of market dominance than Bitcoin
Here's a silly chart, just for fun, imagining that scenario during the current bull market.
The Wyckoff Accumulation Method. And how it can make you money.Richard Demille Wyckoff (1873–1934) was a trailblazer in the early 20th century, known for his innovative technical methods in stock market analysis. He ranks among the five great figures of technical analysis, alongside Dow, Gann, Elliott, and Merrill. At just 15 years old, he began his career as a stock runner for a brokerage in New York. By his twenties, he had already risen to the position of head of his firm.
Wyckoff was a passionate learner of the markets, deeply engaged in tape reading and trading. He closely monitored the market manoeuvres and strategies of the iconic stock traders of his era, such as JP Morgan and Jesse Livermore. Through his keen observations and discussions with these prominent figures, Wyckoff distilled the most effective practices of Livermore and others into a set of laws, principles, and techniques that shaped his trading methodology, money management strategies, and mental discipline.
Mr. Wyckoff noticed that many retail investors were consistently being taken advantage of. In response, he committed himself to educating the public on “the true rules of the game” as dictated by major players, often referred to as “smart money.” In the 1930s, he established a school that eventually evolved into the Stock Market Institute. The primary focus of the school was a course that combined Wyckoff's insights on recognising the accumulation and distribution strategies of large operators with techniques for aligning one’s investments with these influential entities. His enduring principles remain just as relevant today as they were when he first shared them.
“…all the fluctuations in the market and in all the various stocks should be studied as if they were the result of one man’s operations. Let us call him the Composite Man, who, in theory, sits behind the scenes and manipulates the stocks to your disadvantage if you do not understand the game as he plays it; and to your great profit if you do understand it.” (The Richard D. Wyckoff Course in Stock Market Science and Technique, section 9, p. 1-2)
Wyckoff advised retail traders to try to play the market game as the Composite Man played it. He claimed that it doesn't matter if market moves “are real or artificial; that is, the result of actual buying and selling by the public and bona fide investors or artificial buying and selling by larger operators.”
Wyckoff, drawing from his extensive observations of the market activities of major players, imparted several key insights:
The Composite Man meticulously strategises, implements, and wraps up his market campaigns.
He entices the public to invest in a stock where he has built a significant position by engaging in numerous transactions, effectively promoting his stock and creating the illusion of a “broad market.”
To truly grasp the dynamics at play, one must analyse individual stock charts to discern the behaviour of the stock and the intentions of the large operators who influence it.
With dedicated study and practice, individuals can develop the skill to decode the underlying motives reflected in a chart's movements. Wyckoff and his colleagues believed that by understanding the market behaviour of the Composite Man, traders could spot numerous trading and investment opportunities early enough to capitalise on them.
One goal of the Wyckoff method is to enhance market timing when entering a position by predicting an upcoming movement that offers a favourable reward-to-risk ratio. Trading ranges (TRs) represent areas where the previous trend, whether upward or downward, has paused, creating a relative balance between supply and demand. During these TRs, institutions and large professional players gear up for their next bullish or bearish strategies by either accumulating or distributing shares. In both accumulation and distribution phases within TRs, the Composite Man is actively engaged in buying and selling. The key difference lies in the fact that during accumulation, the volume of shares bought exceeds those sold, whereas in distribution, the opposite occurs. The degree of accumulation or distribution ultimately influences the nature of the subsequent movement out of the TR.
Springs and shakeouts typically happen towards the end of a trading range (TR), providing key players in the stock market an opportunity to thoroughly assess the available supply before initiating a markup phase. A "spring" occurs when the price dips below the lowest point of the TR, only to rebound and close back within the range. This maneuver can create confusion among the public regarding the future direction of the stock, allowing major investors to acquire more shares at lower prices. A terminal shakeout, which takes place at the conclusion of an accumulation TR, is essentially an amplified version of a spring. Additionally, shakeouts can happen even after a price increase has begun, characterized by a swift drop designed to prompt retail traders and long-position investors to sell their shares to larger market players.
To sum up, while there is much more to explore on this topic, Richard D. Wyckoff's
groundbreaking contributions in the early 1900s highlighted that stock price movements are largely influenced by institutional players and significant market operators who often sway prices to their advantage. Although many professional traders incorporate Wyckoff's techniques, his comprehensive approach remains underutilised among retail investors, despite his aim to educate the public on the "true rules of the game." His methods for stock selection and investment have proven resilient over time, thanks to their detailed, systematic, and logical framework for pinpointing high-probability, lucrative trades. This disciplined strategy empowers investors to make rational trading choices, free from emotional bias. By applying Wyckoff's principles, investors can align themselves with the strategies of influential "smart money" players, avoiding the pitfalls of being on the wrong side of market movements. Mastering Wyckoff analysis demands significant practice, but the rewards are undoubtedly worthwhile.
Deceptive market at the beginning of the yearThe first week of the new year is coming to an end, I want to review the market situation. The year for ether and bitcoin opened in the 90-95k and 3250-3500 flat zones. Due to this, the new annual candle is swinging quite calmly. However, in my opinion, this lull is deceptive. The current wave of purchases is so far only a retest of the key 100k level for bitcoin, from where the probability of a bear attack is high. For many altcoins that have shown growth to date, this is also only a retest of the last resistance.
The foreign exchange market also closed the first week extremely negatively, with a steady rise in the dollar. In my opinion, from the current pullback in the crypt, there is a high probability of a resumption of sales, which we observed at the end of the year, with an attempt to continue the trend in bitcoin in order to work out a retest of 75-85k. In this case, today or tomorrow, the crypto market may align with the currency, with significant sales, up to the turning point of the week for individual coins.
In an optimistic scenario, ether will hold 3500 and open a new week higher, by increasing the gap in the eth/btc pair, due to the opening of the year above 0.0035. In this case, with smooth stable sales of bitcoin, altcoins will have opportunities for growth and a further 15% increase in the altcoin index. In my opinion, the probability of this scenario still prevails.
In a more negative scenario, sales of bitcoin and ether will be more aggressive. In this case, bitcoin can show a sharp increase in dominance and money from the market will be used to smooth out the fall of bitcoin. At the same time, the altcoin index may drop down to a 9% retest, which will lead to fractures for most coins.
With the current picture and the threat of a 75k hike in bitcoin, I still recommend carefully weighing money management and reducing positions for those who did not do so in the wake of growth before the new year. Next week, it will be possible to weigh the activity of sellers and make more confident forecasts.
As I expected, there was another manipulation of binance tags this week. It was not for nothing that before the change of year I recommended sales for troy with a likely hike to 0.0025, even then it became obvious that there was no working out of higher goals and a reversal to retest loyalties. After assigning the tag, a test of 0.0015-25 is likely.
As I wrote in the last article, if there is no assignment of the monitoring tag, vib becomes the most interesting tool in the current market. If binance did not consider the dynamics of the token too weak, there is a high probability of continued growth to reverse the medium-term bullish trend with an exit to 0.25+ and the addition of futures. There has already been a successful cancellation of year-end sales and an attempt to return to the trend. With an optimistic scenario and an exit above 0.00000100 for vib/btc, there is a possibility of a powerful impulse to break last week and pair with udt. In the current overbought market, vib remains the most oversold token on binance, which retains a high growth potential. There has also been a rise in vib against bitcoin more than once, creating a gap in vib/btc. A similar pattern could happen again this week. In case of a successful breakdown of vib, vite can also show pleasant dynamics, which also remains the most oversold on binance, having very high technical targets for retest. But because of the monitoring tag, vite growth attempts most often occur last before the week closes.
On average, for most altcoins, I still expect synchronous movement with the altcoin index, before determining further dynamics in the tops in the new week. In my opinion, the probability of fashionable breakouts or steady growth ahead of the altcoin index in the new week is rather weak.
SOL | Waiting on ETH for NEW ATHSolana has barely made a new ATH - basically topping out at nearly the exact same place as the previous ATH made in Nov 2021.
As Ii said in yesterdays update on ETH, there is no way BTC makes such a dramatic new ATH and ETH (and Solana) stay behind.
We can expect SOL and ETH to increase when BTC continues to trade range above 95k. This could be another multi-month playout, although ETH usually peaks rapidly at the end of the cycle, which is noteworthy from yesterday's analysis.
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BINANCE:SOLUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
Crypto Market to Hit $5 Trillion in 2025?The crypto market added an astonishing $1.58 trillion in 2024, and projections for 2025 are even more bullish, with a potential market cap of $5 trillion. While most altcoins are still down over 50%, the next altcoin rally could be the catalyst for explosive growth. Institutional investors are also predicting Bitcoin to hit $150K, further fueling market optimism.
The combination of increasing adoption, institutional interest, and potential altcoin recovery makes this goal achievable. Prepare for the next big wave by identifying undervalued projects and managing your risk effectively. 2025 could be the year of exponential growth—stay ahead of the curve!
Ethena Price Shows Bullish Momentum After Breaking ResistanceThe cryptocurrency market has its eyes on Ethena (ENA) as the token broke out above the critical $1 resistance level, signaling a bullish trend. We are predicting gains of up to 35%.
Breakout Above $1 Signals Bullish Sentiment
Ethena’s price has established a bullish trajectory after breaking through the crucial $1 resistance level. This breakout marks the end of a prolonged downtrend, during which the price bottomed out and began forming higher lows. Strong buying pressure accompanied the move, evident from large green candlesticks on the chart.
The $1 level, previously a significant resistance, has now transitioned into a robust support zone. We observe that the $0.97-$1.00 range is crucial for maintaining upward momentum. Holding above this level will be essential for MIL:ENA to sustain its bullish outlook.
Technical Outlook
As of this writing, MIL:ENA is up 5.68%, trading within a bullish horizon. The altcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 54, indicating there is ample room for further upward movement. MIL:ENA has broken out of a presumed falling trend channel, reinforcing its bullish momentum.
The 1-month high of $1.32 serves as the next significant resistance point. If MIL:ENA can breach this level, it could pave the way for even greater gains. However, caution is warranted due to the broader market’s volatility, particularly Bitcoin’s recent price swings. Should CRYPTOCAP:BTC dip to $90,000 or the psychological $85,000 level, it could exert downward pressure on MIL:ENA , potentially causing a retreat to its 1-month low of $0.76.
Conclusion
Ethena’s breakout above $1 marks a pivotal moment for the token, signaling the potential for significant gains. With strong technical indicators and bullish market sentiment, MIL:ENA appears poised for a rally. However, traders should remain vigilant, considering the broader market’s influence on altcoin performance. As MIL:ENA continues to hold above $1, the coming days could bring substantial price action and opportunities for investors.
$ETH.D x $BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D x CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ⏳
While #Ethereum dominance is at all-time lows in terms of momentum, it is also poised for a comeback in the Demand Zone
#Bitcoin dominance is poised for a comeback in the Supply Zone region, even though it is at all-time highs in terms of momentum
The current situation can be seen as an important indicator for #Altcoins, but the rise of bitcoin and the decline of bitcoin dominance will be a sign of the #Altseason we have been waiting for so far.
ETHUSD 12h 20% pullback SHORT from BEAR Order Block🔸Hello traders, today let's review 12hour price chart for ETHUSD . strong gains recently off the range lows ,however currently upside
limited by heavy sell side liquidity / order block at 3800/3850 usd.
🔸Trading right now at 3660 USD, impressive recovery off the lows
however sell side liquidity / order block at 3800/3850 caps immediate
upside, therefore bulls should be cautious with new buys since
I'm expecting pullback once we trigger overhead liquidity.
🔸Recommended strategy: SHORT SELL from overhead resistance
at 3800/3850 USD, SL 3950 USD, TP1 3550 TP2 3150 USD. 20%
unleveraged gains off the highs, expecting pullback. good luck!
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New wave up to 80%+ on VITEToday, another delisting announcement was released, in connection with which I warned against working with coins of the monitoring tag in the first half of the week. Now the coins that were not included in the announcement are becoming interesting. First of all, this is VITE, which is the most oversold at the moment. Last week, a signal was left for further overshooting and a likely test of the key level of 0.025, opening the way to 0.035-50. Given the assignment of the monitoring tag, I do not think that the price will easily gain a foothold above this level, despite the strong signal for a retest of about 0.035.
So far, the most likely scenario is a test of the 0.0225-75 flat range with a further rebound and determination of the closing level of the year, depending on the overall market dynamics. The month opened above 0.014, the second half of the month above 0.015, which is also a signal for growth to 0.02+. The zone of the set of positions is the flat range of 0.014-16 near the key level of 0.015. In the absence of a deeper drawdown on the tops today, the weekly candle will begin to turn bullish today and we will not see prices below the current VITE. In the event of an additional market drawdown after the decision on the US interest rate, VITE will probably be quite effective in compensating for the market drawdown, due to the high growth potential and after the flat it will give a breakdown on Thursday-Friday against the background of the general market growth in the second half of the week.
On the 0.025 test, it is worth carefully monitoring the dynamics, since there is a probability of a breakdown immediately by 0.035 within the framework of the reversal of the annual candle. But even if there is no consolidation above the level, the current wave of growth can bring up to 75% profit.
Also, from coins with the monitoring tag, HARD and FIRO can show pleasant growth waves, although they currently have lower goals of up to 30-50%.
VITE with a target of growth to 0.025 and VIB with a target of 0.15 are the most oversold coins on the binance, which have not yet shown a reversal of the annual candle, which may return them to the top of growth in the coming days similar to last week. As I have repeatedly written, for most overbought coins that have been on the radar for the last two months and have shown significant growth, the probability of continued sales prevails until the beginning of the new year.
ETH could find footing around here...We had a steep incline, we tested it 4 times and it was support, we tested it a 5th time after rejecting a breakdown and she crashed through support and now we are nearing where we hope to get a footing. You can see where if we slightly adjust the angle of the channel from the prior super steep ascending channel to this new, pretty steep ascending channel, we are near the bottom of channel, near support and hopefully hold and bounce back up from here, would still be plenty bullish, with just a more reasonable trajectory.
Looks like we will have the 200 (4h candle) moving average line up around this support line as well giving it double the chance of holding. If it breaks down, the price could drop a lot lower, like $3000-$2400ish even.
if this is bottom line here, we have a little more down trend and probably some consolidation down here before heading back up, should let other assets breath some too. If it breaks through this, be prepared for more drop.
Order books currently imply that more traders believe the price will drop more than traders who believe the price will rise.
This could be a great entry op for ETH and many other assets but be vigilant, especially with order books in the current state, and it took a solid month for them to decline to their current state, so hoping for a two day reversal could be asking a bit much.
I am currently optimistic but skeptical
ETH $3500 or moon soon?Well she tried to break out yesterday but was rejected, and ultimately pulled back to support. that support is short-medium length running, as it has provided support here 4 times in the past month and now we are hoping for a 5th time.
But even if it breaks down here, we would be likely to see it go back down to the bottom of this ascending channel, at around $3500 depending on when we arrive there, its also the 200 (4hr candle) moving average. There is a strong likelihood that if we test this area we will hold support with double support, however in the unlikely event that support also broke down, we could be looking at heading back down to red line, which also is not unhealthy, when an asset breaks out, to come back and test its prior resistance as support, ETH never did do that.
Here is the 1 day candle charts, just to show ETH was in a year decline when it broke out into this structure we are examining closer in this write up.
Notice in the chart in this write up, the red line at the bottom, it is the dominate descending red line in that one day candle chart above.
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Something else though both ETH and BTC their order books sentiment is not so strong right now. I use CMF and i like to look at orderbooks from 10% depth of market to 100% depth of market and I watch the trendline of the asks, because, the more asks at 10-100% depth of market, thats positive sentiment, thats a lot of traders that have set limit orders expecting the price to go up. Where as when we see a rise in bids in the 10%-100% depth of market range, it means more traders are setting up to buy an anticipated coming dip, so they expect the price to drop. For ETH over the last month as the price has jumped, the asks above 10% have continued to decline and now recently the bids above 10% have started to run up. But also everything goes in waves, it would make sense that soon we could start another wave up and then its just a question of if it will be a bigger or smaller wave, indicating a growing or shrinking overarching "Greed".
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So the alternative to it breaking down here, which the recent market makes it seem more likely, is that we go back and try to break that resistance again and this time, succeed and make a nice strong run on ETH, but we have to be prepared for either.
My gut says based on the recent strength of the market, we will start to see order books push a new cycle of increased trader confidence and see a break out here instead of a break down but the data above suggests a very real potential for a a pullback here. Overall, this still appears really early in ETH's break out from its year decline, I think we can expect much higher highs in the future with the only question being, how far in the future.
As always be vigilant and adaptive, and DYOR!
SOLANA LOOKING ALL TIME HIGHS - SOL LONGPrice rejected strongly from the daily demand zone after running the daily swing liquidity. This move created a 4H demand zone. Following that, we saw a break of the bearish trendline, with a retest of both the trendline and the 4H demand.
I entered a position during this retest, even as BTC was aggressively dumping by over $10K, which is why I couldn’t share this idea in real time. However, I am already in this trade and targeting a bare minimum of $271 as the next level.
Market pullback at the change of the monthToday, on the threshold of changing the monthly candle, I want to once again consider the market position and prospects for the coming week. This week, the price has worked once again according to the forecast for a local overshoot and a test of 3750. Further, according to the planned plan, by the change of the month, the probability of consolidation prevails in the area of the key level of 3500, which determines the direction by 5000 or 2500 in case of consolidation under it. I think the new month will open above 3,500 due to the positive opening of the half-year, quarter and second half of the quarter, which give signals to maintain purchases. Today, there is a probability of a breakdown of 3750 with an attempt to close the month higher, but with a lower probability, because this week an attempt to retest 3000-3100 was bought off and this target remains for the new month, which puts pressure on the market.
Bears are quite likely to take advantage of the current pullback to 3500 to work out the goals on the 3100 retest. In this regard, at the beginning of the week, the market may stall even when the month opens above 3500, against which a shadow will be drawn for a new monthly candle on both tops and altcoins. For coins that have shown a large increase this month, this momentum may turn into stable sales and a rollback on an annual schedule until the beginning of the new year. It is worth being on the alert when working with overbought coins. Coins that have not shown significant growth this month are likely to give a slight pullback and quickly return to continued growth.
After the shadow on the new monthly candle, I expect a recovery in buyer activity from the middle of the week and a transition to a continuation of the bullish trend and a reversal of the weekly and monthly candles into bullish ones by the end of the week. Purchases are likely to continue until mid-December against the background of last month's trend. During this period, the bulls should be able to break through 3750.
Against the background of the current pullback, I reduced positions on ast and akro because they have an incomplete issue and are more sensitive to market drawdowns against this background. There is also no obvious breakdown on the move, which indicates the fears of buyers in connection with the upcoming pullback. I keep Vib in full volume due to the absence of pitfalls in the form of emissions. It protects the probability of a 0.1 jump with an attempt to close the month higher. According to vite, there is also a fairly large position in the work, due to the full issue and high oversold value of a similar vib.
ETHEREUM → A coin is being prepared To The Moon ↑BINANCE:ETHUSDT is lagging behind the general market growth in the cryptocurrency world. The price is still squeezed between consolidation boundaries, but there are already positive signs. Bitcoin is close to 100K and altcoins are opening the season.
Ethereum is lagging behind in the race, this is clearly visible on D1-W1. It's not that the price can't reach ATH, the coin hasn't yet updated the 2024 high. Before the start of the altcoin season, the community was skeptical about the fundamental project due to the behavior of the development team, but the victory of trump, the change of the political team to a pro-cryptocurrency one could be the strongest driver for ETH in recent times.
After local distribution, the price is testing the triangle resistance, forming another accumulation. A retest of the upper boundary indicates the formation of a trigger, the breakout of which will activate the rally.
Resistance levels: 3442, 3568
Support levels: 3028, 2820
Technically, the coin shows us another trading range, the role of which is consolidation.
If the resistance cannot be broken from the third time, a correction before further growth is possible.
BUT! We need to be careful, as any BTC correction can trigger a bearish rally in the altcoin market. Bitcoin has almost reached 100K and for many this is a red zone for profit taking.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
APTOS - APT COIN SWING LONG IDEA - ALTCOIN MARKET - CRYPTOAptos is one of the most useful Layer 1 chains in crypto right now. I believe the fundamentals of this coin are remarkable, and I expect it to perform well during the 2024-2025 crypto bull market.
The price is coming from the monthly demand zone. It swept the 2024 spring low before getting rejected from the monthly demand, which created strong bullish momentum. It also broke the diagonal trendline responsible for the bearish movement. Currently, both weekly and daily momentum are strongly bullish.
I expect the price to hit the daily demand zone and take off from there. It might form a small range around this level, but I believe we are targeting all-time highs.
ETH 1h Brief analyseHi Traders,
There is still unmitigation zone at 1D.
I believe that it seem to be a destination for me where ETH will be heading to.
You see the wave a-b-c at 1h and trend line written at 4h.
Hopefully, this confluence works.
Just remember it can do down further to 0.681 level as good retracement level.
Make sure double check the confirmation then start place the position with stop loss.
3 rules
Buy
Sell
Wait