ETH could find footing around here...We had a steep incline, we tested it 4 times and it was support, we tested it a 5th time after rejecting a breakdown and she crashed through support and now we are nearing where we hope to get a footing. You can see where if we slightly adjust the angle of the channel from the prior super steep ascending channel to this new, pretty steep ascending channel, we are near the bottom of channel, near support and hopefully hold and bounce back up from here, would still be plenty bullish, with just a more reasonable trajectory.
Looks like we will have the 200 (4h candle) moving average line up around this support line as well giving it double the chance of holding. If it breaks down, the price could drop a lot lower, like $3000-$2400ish even.
if this is bottom line here, we have a little more down trend and probably some consolidation down here before heading back up, should let other assets breath some too. If it breaks through this, be prepared for more drop.
Order books currently imply that more traders believe the price will drop more than traders who believe the price will rise.
This could be a great entry op for ETH and many other assets but be vigilant, especially with order books in the current state, and it took a solid month for them to decline to their current state, so hoping for a two day reversal could be asking a bit much.
I am currently optimistic but skeptical
ETH-BTC
ETH $3500 or moon soon?Well she tried to break out yesterday but was rejected, and ultimately pulled back to support. that support is short-medium length running, as it has provided support here 4 times in the past month and now we are hoping for a 5th time.
But even if it breaks down here, we would be likely to see it go back down to the bottom of this ascending channel, at around $3500 depending on when we arrive there, its also the 200 (4hr candle) moving average. There is a strong likelihood that if we test this area we will hold support with double support, however in the unlikely event that support also broke down, we could be looking at heading back down to red line, which also is not unhealthy, when an asset breaks out, to come back and test its prior resistance as support, ETH never did do that.
Here is the 1 day candle charts, just to show ETH was in a year decline when it broke out into this structure we are examining closer in this write up.
Notice in the chart in this write up, the red line at the bottom, it is the dominate descending red line in that one day candle chart above.
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Something else though both ETH and BTC their order books sentiment is not so strong right now. I use CMF and i like to look at orderbooks from 10% depth of market to 100% depth of market and I watch the trendline of the asks, because, the more asks at 10-100% depth of market, thats positive sentiment, thats a lot of traders that have set limit orders expecting the price to go up. Where as when we see a rise in bids in the 10%-100% depth of market range, it means more traders are setting up to buy an anticipated coming dip, so they expect the price to drop. For ETH over the last month as the price has jumped, the asks above 10% have continued to decline and now recently the bids above 10% have started to run up. But also everything goes in waves, it would make sense that soon we could start another wave up and then its just a question of if it will be a bigger or smaller wave, indicating a growing or shrinking overarching "Greed".
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So the alternative to it breaking down here, which the recent market makes it seem more likely, is that we go back and try to break that resistance again and this time, succeed and make a nice strong run on ETH, but we have to be prepared for either.
My gut says based on the recent strength of the market, we will start to see order books push a new cycle of increased trader confidence and see a break out here instead of a break down but the data above suggests a very real potential for a a pullback here. Overall, this still appears really early in ETH's break out from its year decline, I think we can expect much higher highs in the future with the only question being, how far in the future.
As always be vigilant and adaptive, and DYOR!
SOLANA LOOKING ALL TIME HIGHS - SOL LONGPrice rejected strongly from the daily demand zone after running the daily swing liquidity. This move created a 4H demand zone. Following that, we saw a break of the bearish trendline, with a retest of both the trendline and the 4H demand.
I entered a position during this retest, even as BTC was aggressively dumping by over $10K, which is why I couldn’t share this idea in real time. However, I am already in this trade and targeting a bare minimum of $271 as the next level.
Market pullback at the change of the monthToday, on the threshold of changing the monthly candle, I want to once again consider the market position and prospects for the coming week. This week, the price has worked once again according to the forecast for a local overshoot and a test of 3750. Further, according to the planned plan, by the change of the month, the probability of consolidation prevails in the area of the key level of 3500, which determines the direction by 5000 or 2500 in case of consolidation under it. I think the new month will open above 3,500 due to the positive opening of the half-year, quarter and second half of the quarter, which give signals to maintain purchases. Today, there is a probability of a breakdown of 3750 with an attempt to close the month higher, but with a lower probability, because this week an attempt to retest 3000-3100 was bought off and this target remains for the new month, which puts pressure on the market.
Bears are quite likely to take advantage of the current pullback to 3500 to work out the goals on the 3100 retest. In this regard, at the beginning of the week, the market may stall even when the month opens above 3500, against which a shadow will be drawn for a new monthly candle on both tops and altcoins. For coins that have shown a large increase this month, this momentum may turn into stable sales and a rollback on an annual schedule until the beginning of the new year. It is worth being on the alert when working with overbought coins. Coins that have not shown significant growth this month are likely to give a slight pullback and quickly return to continued growth.
After the shadow on the new monthly candle, I expect a recovery in buyer activity from the middle of the week and a transition to a continuation of the bullish trend and a reversal of the weekly and monthly candles into bullish ones by the end of the week. Purchases are likely to continue until mid-December against the background of last month's trend. During this period, the bulls should be able to break through 3750.
Against the background of the current pullback, I reduced positions on ast and akro because they have an incomplete issue and are more sensitive to market drawdowns against this background. There is also no obvious breakdown on the move, which indicates the fears of buyers in connection with the upcoming pullback. I keep Vib in full volume due to the absence of pitfalls in the form of emissions. It protects the probability of a 0.1 jump with an attempt to close the month higher. According to vite, there is also a fairly large position in the work, due to the full issue and high oversold value of a similar vib.
ETHEREUM → A coin is being prepared To The Moon ↑BINANCE:ETHUSDT is lagging behind the general market growth in the cryptocurrency world. The price is still squeezed between consolidation boundaries, but there are already positive signs. Bitcoin is close to 100K and altcoins are opening the season.
Ethereum is lagging behind in the race, this is clearly visible on D1-W1. It's not that the price can't reach ATH, the coin hasn't yet updated the 2024 high. Before the start of the altcoin season, the community was skeptical about the fundamental project due to the behavior of the development team, but the victory of trump, the change of the political team to a pro-cryptocurrency one could be the strongest driver for ETH in recent times.
After local distribution, the price is testing the triangle resistance, forming another accumulation. A retest of the upper boundary indicates the formation of a trigger, the breakout of which will activate the rally.
Resistance levels: 3442, 3568
Support levels: 3028, 2820
Technically, the coin shows us another trading range, the role of which is consolidation.
If the resistance cannot be broken from the third time, a correction before further growth is possible.
BUT! We need to be careful, as any BTC correction can trigger a bearish rally in the altcoin market. Bitcoin has almost reached 100K and for many this is a red zone for profit taking.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
APTOS - APT COIN SWING LONG IDEA - ALTCOIN MARKET - CRYPTOAptos is one of the most useful Layer 1 chains in crypto right now. I believe the fundamentals of this coin are remarkable, and I expect it to perform well during the 2024-2025 crypto bull market.
The price is coming from the monthly demand zone. It swept the 2024 spring low before getting rejected from the monthly demand, which created strong bullish momentum. It also broke the diagonal trendline responsible for the bearish movement. Currently, both weekly and daily momentum are strongly bullish.
I expect the price to hit the daily demand zone and take off from there. It might form a small range around this level, but I believe we are targeting all-time highs.
ETH 1h Brief analyseHi Traders,
There is still unmitigation zone at 1D.
I believe that it seem to be a destination for me where ETH will be heading to.
You see the wave a-b-c at 1h and trend line written at 4h.
Hopefully, this confluence works.
Just remember it can do down further to 0.681 level as good retracement level.
Make sure double check the confirmation then start place the position with stop loss.
3 rules
Buy
Sell
Wait
Possible Top for BTC/ETHI can see a possible top on the BTC vs ETH chart. It has clearly gone up alot and if you combine that with the divergence on the RSI + BTC Dominance about to fall the possibility for this to happen gets stronger!
This means that Ethereum is about to go for a run and if that happens alot of projects based on ETH will have a big rally.
AKRO finishes accumulation before breakdownTo date, the altcoin index is completing a rollback to the retest of the formed support at 9% and the shadow drawing for the current weekly candle. Starting tomorrow, the probability of a weekly candle reversal on the index with an attempt to exit above 10% is extremely high. Within the framework of this movement, one can expect reversals of weekly candlesticks and for individual coins in order to surpass last week at least.
In addition to vib and gft, which I am considering to work at the moment as the most oversold coins on the binance, I took AKRO to work. This token, like gft, has high liquidity due to its fairly wide presence on exchanges and the availability of derivatives, which leads to quite volatile breakouts. At the moment, an extremely high potential has been accumulated to work out volumes aimed above 0.0075. The current monthly candle has opened above 0.004, which gives a signal for a hike up to 0.0060-75 this month. In the case of a general pullback on the tops or insufficient volatility, a breakout of 0.005 can be expected at least, with an attempt to continue the trend already in a new monthly candle. On smaller timeframes, there is already a trend change from the main support zone to 0.00350-375.
Eth Bounce On BtcEth approaches major support which should lead back up to 0.05 btc. Which will likely lead to another attempt at major resistance at 0.1 btc. If 0.1 btc breaks then eventually 0.79 btc will be the next major major resistance. In 2021 Eth cleared 0.03 without checking back into it testing it's support. This is the retest.
Continuation of the altcoin bull run in the new weekTo date, the market has moved to the main movement of the quarterly candle, in anticipation of which purchases have been going on all last month. I have outlined the goals for bitcoin in previous reviews, it is 90-100k by spring, with the reaction of the altos after fixing the cue ball above 75k. On the air, I think the situation will be more difficult, because I expect the continued growth of the dominance of the cue ball. At the moment, after opening the month above 2500, we headed for the test of the 3000-3250 range, which I designated as the target. Further, the dynamics are likely to become more complicated. From 3250-3400, there is a possibility of a rather sharp correction for a retest of 3000. But the growth interval at the moment is the first half of the month at least, and therefore, from the middle of the week, I think growth will resume with an attempt to test the key level of 3500, opening the way to 5000.
The fate of the monthly candle will be decided after the middle of the month has passed and, given the opening of the month in the flat zone below 2750, there is a possibility of a major pullback as part of a correction on the monthly schedule. That is, after the growth next week, I recommend taking a closer look at the market and money management, reducing positions by the end of the week. Since the probability of growth prevails until the end of the year, after a monthly pullback, purchases can be expected to resume by the end of the month with the trend continuing in December. This week, the reaction of the altos to the entrenched trend of the cue ball began, but in the coming week we can expect more intensive purchases after a possible pullback at the beginning of the week.
After the prolonged fall of the altos, the current breakouts are a movement against the bearish trend and indicators, which makes the growth rather short-term and unstable. This dynamic makes many altos quite dangerous, because in the absence of a breakdown in the wake of market growth, coins can continue the formed bearish trend with taking lower levels.
The coins that I considered for work, regardless of the market, there is a very good dynamics. Almost everything provided good earning opportunities. At the moment, another delisting has taken place and in anticipation of a new announcement, I recommend avoiding working with coins of the monitoring tag in the first half of the week because they may get into the next delisting. Starting from Wednesday afternoon, oax and vite can be considered again. Pros has worked out the target on a retest of 0.75 and is quite overbought, so far I am not considering it for work. Firo and akro can also show an increase of up to 50%+.
Among the more reliable options for working without a monitoring tag, vib and ast remain the most interesting, with a growth potential of up to 50-70% from current levels at least. Ast has an incomplete emission and has been delisted from okx, which is why it is worth working with it more carefully than with vib. Given the delisting from another exchange, I think ast may be assigned a monitoring tag in the future, which will lead to a sharp drop.
Along with vib, I consider gft as the main tool for work. Despite the monitoring tag, the token has great liquidity and growth potential with targets at a retest of 0.025-35 at least.
Alikze »» ETH | Ascending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel and corner alcove formation in the green support box area
- Continuing the analysis of the previous post , the Ethereum currency faced selling pressure after reaching the daily and weekly supply range.
- After the formation of a Double Top pattern, it has had a zigzag correction to the green box range.
- It is currently moving in an ascending channel, where the recent correction has intersected with the bottom of the channel and the green box.
- Therefore, I expect it to grow up to Fibo 0.78 and the dynamic trigger after the swing breaks and creates a higher LH.
- In addition, a corner pattern with higher bottoms of the ascending channel is also formed.
💎 Alternative scenario: If it fails to break the swing and does not stabilize above it, and also sharply corrects towards the green box, it is most likely that it will break it and continue correcting towards the Buyer Zone.
💎 Probable scenario: Currently, the probable scenario is the bullish scenario according to the bullish channel and also the corner pattern pattern. Therefore, after reaching the goal, the dynamic update will be done again.
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BINANCE:ETHUSDT
ETH Bearish divergenceEthereum is currently displaying signs of a bearish divergence on lower timeframes, a signal that often indicates a potential slowdown in upward momentum and the likelihood of a correction. Despite the bearish signal, the ongoing correction appears to be relatively shallow, suggesting that the underlying bullish structure remains intact.
A retracement to the 0.382 Fibonacci level could present an attractive buying opportunity for traders looking to enter at a lower risk point. This level is often viewed as a key zone for price reactions during corrections, providing a favorable balance between value and momentum for long-term positions.
The latest bull attack this monthTo date, the market is clearly working out according to the planned plan. We are still collecting work-outs, but it is worth being on the alert as we approach the end of the month. As the middle of the month progressed, we expected to see a wave of growth to consolidate the monthly bullish candle. As I wrote in the last review, as we approach the end of the month, we should expect a second wave of growth to finally consolidate the month bullish on the tops. Against this background, a new wave of growth began with the flips of monthly candlesticks and altos.
As always, the opening level of the new month will be of great importance. The opening levels of the half-year and quarter still technically support growth, but there is an extremely negative picture with a growing dollar and falling oil, which puts a lot of pressure on the crypt and increases the activity of sellers, which is why we have already seen a stronger correction from the 2750 ether test than expected. The 2500 level was broken again, which indicates a breakdown of the bullish trend and gives a signal for a new attempt to go to 2000 in the future. The next month is the central one in the quarter and the final direction for the end of the year and the five-year plan will be chosen, which can lead to a very strong increase in volatility and new large drawdowns for the altos. Given this picture, after collecting the latest developments this week, it is worth carefully weighing money management and reducing positions in the work before determining the direction of the new month.
Most of the coins that I have taken into work show good dynamics and are in the top of growth, troy has shown itself most well. Most of the goals were taken, so far I'm not considering it anymore. Among the coins without a monitoring tag, only vib remained the most attractive, with a likely increase by a retest of 0.125-150 and above. The weekly candle opened quite negatively on the ast. Unpleasant signals were also left for a new local fracture. Today, it was not possible to gain a foothold above 0.1 and give a local overshoot of the previous momentum. In addition, the ast was delisted with okx, which is an additional negative signal and a reason for a local fracture. In this regard, I reduced my position on the 0.1 test. For now, there is a possibility of a higher breakdown in the coming days when fixing above 0.1, but with a lower probability in my opinion than for vib.
In addition to vib, among the coins of binance, only coins with the monitoring tag remained in the most oversold position. Such assets are often the last to grow and may show good momentum in the coming days. OAX still has the top potential among them, with the nearest targets at a retest of the range 0.20-25 and an exit to the test of 0.35 in an optimistic scenario. Secondly, I am again considering the work of pros, a partnership with which was announced last week by Metalpha. The immediate goal for him, while maintaining the current emission, is a retest of the 0.50-75 range and a test of 1.0 under an optimistic scenario. Also, waves of growth up to 30-50% can still show vite and hard. When choosing the position size, do not forget that coins with the monitoring tag, although they have the greatest growth potential, still retain the probability of delisting.
To save funds in the medium term, gft looks the most interesting so far due to its high liquidity.
ADA Caution!Considering cycle theories and assuming Altcoins - especially those from 2015-2017 - could be in different corrective phases than Bitcoin, investors could be in a big surprise for the next upcoming months. While Bitcoin is potentially in its last cycle (retail wave 5) before its first major correction, the older Altcoins are still in their wave 2 which results in a long exhaustive ABC phase and often corrects more than 50% of the first impulsive wave which would also coincide with the 1.618 Fib.
This would mean that alt-season - for the older big coins - is not here yet. Regarding their meteoric rises after more than 10k% the fundamentals need to catch up to overvalued prices, which takes time.
A lot of people are confused and complaining about the "blue chip coins" not going up, especially Cardano, while Market Makers play the long game and suppress Altcoin prices artificially, simply keeping them in a big trading range and in corrective mode till their first cycle ends and the next begins.
ADA e.g. shows striking resemblance to NEM (XEM) with a similar corrective structure and sits on long time life support. The more it pokes on it the more it's gonna get dangerous for the next breakdown to the 0.10-0.20$ region.
ETH BROADER TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AND TRADE PLANPrice Movement
The chart shows that Ethereum (ETH) has been moving within a descending trading channel after an earlier uptrend. The channel is well-defined by a series of lower highs and lower lows.
The descending channel extends from around early 2024 and continues through the current period. The price seems to be consolidating after bouncing from the lower boundary of the channel.
Current Price Action
Ethereum is currently trading at $2,582.26, down by 1.50% at the time the chart was captured.
The recent movement shows a potential double bottom near the lower channel support, signaling a possible end of the downtrend.
The price is at a critical juncture, as it appears to be breaking out of the short-term resistance within the channel, hinting at a possible reversal or continued sideways movement.
Descending Channel Structure
The chart highlights a descending trading channel where price has respected the upper resistance and lower support levels multiple times, indicating the reliability of this structure.
The channel also shows that while Ethereum is in a corrective phase, it still holds the potential for a significant bullish breakout if the current trend continues.
Technical Indicators:
Waveform Cipher shows a potential bullish divergence at recent price lows, which indicates momentum for a potential upward move.
ASL (Advanced Stochastic Line) and HMA Histogram show mixed signals, but the overall sentiment from these indicators points toward a bullish setup in the coming days.
Stochastic RSI suggests that Ethereum is currently in an oversold condition, increasing the likelihood of a rebound.
The technical setup with momentum indicators and divergences indicates a potential for a price breakout upward, possibly leading toward the top of the channel.
Price Targets:
Immediate Resistance: The next resistance level is located around $2,750 - $3,000, near the mid-point of the channel.
Upper Channel Boundary: The top of the channel is situated near $4,000, a key psychological and technical resistance level.
If ETH breaks above this channel, the next major target would be $4,250 - $4,500, indicating a full recovery of the downtrend and a continuation of the broader uptrend.
Key Support Levels:
$2,400 is acting as immediate support, which aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel.
If Ethereum breaks below this level, the next major support lies near $2,200 - $2,000, which is a strong historical support zone.
Trading Plan for Ethereum (ETH)
Current Market Position:
Given the technical analysis, Ethereum appears to be at a critical level within the descending trading channel, with the potential for a bullish breakout. The recent consolidation near the support line suggests an opportunity for a medium-term bullish trade.
Entry Strategy:
Buy Zone: Enter a long position between $2,550 - $2,600, once confirmation of a bullish reversal or breakout is evident (preferably on increased volume or further confirmation from momentum indicators like RSI/Stoch).
Risk Management: Place a stop-loss at $2,400, which is slightly below the channel support and key psychological level. This mitigates downside risk in case of a bearish breakdown.
Take Profit Targets:
First Target: $2,750 - $3,000 – This is the mid-point resistance of the channel. Partial profits should be taken here, securing gains while allowing the remaining position to run.
Second Target: $3,500 - $3,750 – Full break of the channel with increased momentum can take ETH to this level. This is a key level to exit most of the position or lock in more profits.
Stretch Target: $4,000 - $4,200 – Ultimate price target based on the potential bullish reversal. If price approaches this level, full profit-taking is advisable as it would hit the channel’s upper boundary and a significant resistance area.
Alternative Plan (If Breakdown Occurs):
Short Position: If Ethereum breaks below $2,400, consider shorting ETH with a target toward $2,200 - $2,000 as a corrective phase could push ETH lower. In this case, place a stop-loss at $2,500, just above the breakdown level.
Position Sizing:
Risk only a small portion of your capital (e.g., 1-2%) based on the calculated stop-loss level to ensure risk management and preserve capital in case of invalidation.
Ethereum is at a pivotal point within a descending trading channel. Current indicators suggest the possibility of a bullish breakout, but risks remain due to the general downtrend. The trading plan focuses on a conservative entry with clear stop-losses and take-profit levels to manage risk.
🚨 CRYPTO REVOLUTION: 0.5 BITCOIN FOR KEFIR 💊 PART 3📣 Hello everyone!
I believe that we are witnessing a global uptrend in the ETH/VTC trading pair and the value of Ether in relation to Bitcoin should grow over time.
In May 2017, the first wave of the cycle ended, then in September 2019, the correction in the wave of the II cycle ended, after which the long-term impulse wave of the III cycle started.
In the wave of the III cycle, an impulse wave has already passed at the primary level, and at the moment the market is busy forming a wave of correction of the primary level. I expect the correction to end at 0.037 minimum in July 2024, maximum in September 2025.
After the correction is completed, according to the logic I have built, a long-term uptrend should begin, the minimum goal of which will be 0.55 Ether per Bitcoin coin.
⚠️ Think for yourself, decide for yourself - good luck in making independent trading decisions and profit ✊
Goodbye!
Cue ball sets an example for the marketThe probability of an increase in bull activity is maturing in the market again, let's consider the situation. First of all, the cue ball headed for a 75k retest with a likely overshoot, but a parallel increase in dominance, as I warned in previous reviews. The reaction on the viola should be expected after the cue ball is fixed in the trend and later when taking the level at 75k. In this regard, the first wave of alt activity is likely at the change of the month. I would like to draw your attention to the fact that when the first monthly candle closes in the bullish quarter, the probability of continued growth of the cue ball will increase until the middle of the quarter.
According to the cue ball, the second half of the month opened above 65k, which gives a signal for a slow continuation of growth and increases the probability of closing the month with a bullish candle. After consolidating the current weekly bullish trend, which is almost guaranteed, the prospects for the end of the month will become obvious and there is a high probability of tightening the altos to the current cue ball pattern. In this regard, as we approach the end of the month and the growth of the cue ball stabilizes, the probability of viola breakouts increases.
Against the background of the positive cue ball, first of all, we can expect an increase in purchases on alt over the weekend with a reversal of weekly candles in bullish and purchases in the second half of next week already for a reversal of monthly candles in bullish.
Strong pressure on alcohols is also exerted by the strongly growing dollar, against which the cue ball is trying to grow. This situation is fraught with a breakdown of the cue ball trend, which slows down investments in riskier altos. The same confidence is given to the altos at the end of the month by ether, which opened the second half of the month above 2600, which gives a signal for the test of 2750 and in the case of opening a new month above the level, a breakdown to 3250-3500 can be expected.
Until the growth is finally fixed, I am not in a hurry to take new coins to work. I still hold large positions primarily on troy vib and ast, which are in the most oversold position on the binance and do not have a monitoring tag. This weekend and next week, there is a chance of overshooting past impulses with an increase of up to 70-100% from current levels. I also use gft to save funds in the medium term due to high liquidity and derivatives.
Among the coins with much larger goals for growth, but also the risk due to the monitoring tag, oax ooki is the most interesting. For security reasons, these coins can be taken in the second half of the week, since delistings most often take place in the first, and as reliably as possible on weekends. Last weekend, oax took a nice walk due to the presence of a pair to btc and more liquidity, ooki did not have enough liquidity for significant growth. This weekend, given the last bullish candle, oax has a chance to try to go to the test of the target range 0.25-35. At the end of next week, this probability will increase further. Ooki also has a growth potential of up to 100%+, however, due to low liquidity, it should be counted on last, already in the case of a large wave of growth in oax.
FET COIN SWING LONG OPPORTUNITY - AI CRYPTO MARKETAI technology is booming alongside the semiconductor industry, as we saw with massive new all-time highs yesterday (17/10/24). I believe the AI sector within the crypto market will quickly benefit from this trend.
FET recently broke its diagonal structure and is currently sitting within the weekly demand zone.
I believe we are ready for a takeoff, aiming for a swing trade that could bring us to new all-time highs.
Both the daily and weekly demand zones are currently supporting the price. I received LTF (lower time frame) confirmations and have bought a spot position as well as opened a swing long position.
The opportunity for Bitcoin to grow to 100KToday we are at another important point in choosing the further direction of the market, I want to consider the picture that has been created. First of all, I want to note the opening levels of the quarter as a key trigger of the market at the end of the year. According to the cue, the quarterly candle opened above 62.5k, which is a signal to hold the trend above 60k and gives an opportunity to try to continue the trend. When the level of 64k is overcome, the road will open for a sharp increase to 75. On a larger scale, at the moment there is a question of further movement from the key level of 60k to 90-100 by spring, or a rollback over the five-year plan up to 45-50 k. At the moment, given the weakness of the dollar, growth prevails with a probability of up to 70% in my opinion. A good opening of the quarter provides additional support for purchases.
According to the ether, the opening of the quarter is also in a good zone, above 2500, which ensures the maintenance of purchases in the long term and so far supports the probability of a trend of 5000. On a smaller scale, an opening above 2600 gives a signal for new attempts to exit above 2750, where the road will open immediately to 3500.
In the absence of negative factors in the form of powerful statistics on the United States and the departure of the euro below 1.09, it is quite likely that the cue ball trend will resume with an output above 75k this month. In this case, even with an increase in the dominance of the cue ball, the ether will be able to overshoot the last weekly candle, forming an inverted head and shoulders on the weekly chart and a high probability of going to 3500.
In case of pressure on the crypt from the foreign exchange market and the departure of the euro below 1.09 and even more so 1.075, the pressure of the bears will significantly increase. To push the cue ball to 75k+, the viola market can be squeezed with an increase in the dominance of the cue ball up to 75%+. In this scenario, from the middle of this week, a reversal of the weekly candle into a bearish one and sales on the air up to the 2250-2100 test is likely. The opening levels of the half-year and quarter will smooth out sales and insure against a sharp collapse, but it will become extremely difficult for coins to break through to growth in such a scenario.
The current weekly candle is highly likely to help consolidate the trend, and against the background of an attempt to surpass the last weekly one on the air by the middle of the week, such an attempt can be expected for individual coins.
Given the complexity of the market situation and delisting on the binance every month instead of one per quarter, as previously, I closed positions on weak coins with the monitoring tag ooki oax and pros, increasing positions on vib gft ast troy. According to these coins, there are still the largest growth targets among all binance coins, but I will take them into work after the announcement of delisting, if they remain in trade.
To date, OG has worked perfectly, which I recommended as a very liquid tool for saving money in the medium term. Given the current market picture, everywhere above 3.5-4.0$ OG is quite overbought and the probability of a deep pullback prevails. The goals for growth to $ 9-11 remain open, but I think they will not be fulfilled this year.
To date, gft and vib have remained a good alternative to OG to save funds in the medium term. As I wrote earlier, gft has a lot of liquidity, similar to OG, which makes it possible to trade even with a monitoring tag. For vib, liquidity is much lower, but signals for growth to 0.15-25 are left on the chart. It also remains, along with troy, the most oversold outside the monitoring tag among all coins on the binance. Just as interesting are the extremely oversold ast and troy, which are more suitable for scalping, because The ast is under pressure from incomplete emission and after an impulse of 50-70% it can roll back, while troy shows sluggish dynamics and inspires less confidence. However, I left signals for growth to 0.035-40 on a weekly basis.
Of the fantokens, only OG was considered for work because it has sufficient liquidity. For the rest of the group's tokens, the probability of additional drawdown prevails in the current market. Given the incomplete issue, many tokens can give a break.