🚨 CRYPTO REVOLUTION: 0.5 BITCOIN FOR KEFIR 💊 PART 3📣 Hello everyone!
I believe that we are witnessing a global uptrend in the ETH/VTC trading pair and the value of Ether in relation to Bitcoin should grow over time.
In May 2017, the first wave of the cycle ended, then in September 2019, the correction in the wave of the II cycle ended, after which the long-term impulse wave of the III cycle started.
In the wave of the III cycle, an impulse wave has already passed at the primary level, and at the moment the market is busy forming a wave of correction of the primary level. I expect the correction to end at 0.037 minimum in July 2024, maximum in September 2025.
After the correction is completed, according to the logic I have built, a long-term uptrend should begin, the minimum goal of which will be 0.55 Ether per Bitcoin coin.
⚠️ Think for yourself, decide for yourself - good luck in making independent trading decisions and profit ✊
Goodbye!
ETH-BTC
Cue ball sets an example for the marketThe probability of an increase in bull activity is maturing in the market again, let's consider the situation. First of all, the cue ball headed for a 75k retest with a likely overshoot, but a parallel increase in dominance, as I warned in previous reviews. The reaction on the viola should be expected after the cue ball is fixed in the trend and later when taking the level at 75k. In this regard, the first wave of alt activity is likely at the change of the month. I would like to draw your attention to the fact that when the first monthly candle closes in the bullish quarter, the probability of continued growth of the cue ball will increase until the middle of the quarter.
According to the cue ball, the second half of the month opened above 65k, which gives a signal for a slow continuation of growth and increases the probability of closing the month with a bullish candle. After consolidating the current weekly bullish trend, which is almost guaranteed, the prospects for the end of the month will become obvious and there is a high probability of tightening the altos to the current cue ball pattern. In this regard, as we approach the end of the month and the growth of the cue ball stabilizes, the probability of viola breakouts increases.
Against the background of the positive cue ball, first of all, we can expect an increase in purchases on alt over the weekend with a reversal of weekly candles in bullish and purchases in the second half of next week already for a reversal of monthly candles in bullish.
Strong pressure on alcohols is also exerted by the strongly growing dollar, against which the cue ball is trying to grow. This situation is fraught with a breakdown of the cue ball trend, which slows down investments in riskier altos. The same confidence is given to the altos at the end of the month by ether, which opened the second half of the month above 2600, which gives a signal for the test of 2750 and in the case of opening a new month above the level, a breakdown to 3250-3500 can be expected.
Until the growth is finally fixed, I am not in a hurry to take new coins to work. I still hold large positions primarily on troy vib and ast, which are in the most oversold position on the binance and do not have a monitoring tag. This weekend and next week, there is a chance of overshooting past impulses with an increase of up to 70-100% from current levels. I also use gft to save funds in the medium term due to high liquidity and derivatives.
Among the coins with much larger goals for growth, but also the risk due to the monitoring tag, oax ooki is the most interesting. For security reasons, these coins can be taken in the second half of the week, since delistings most often take place in the first, and as reliably as possible on weekends. Last weekend, oax took a nice walk due to the presence of a pair to btc and more liquidity, ooki did not have enough liquidity for significant growth. This weekend, given the last bullish candle, oax has a chance to try to go to the test of the target range 0.25-35. At the end of next week, this probability will increase further. Ooki also has a growth potential of up to 100%+, however, due to low liquidity, it should be counted on last, already in the case of a large wave of growth in oax.
FET COIN SWING LONG OPPORTUNITY - AI CRYPTO MARKETAI technology is booming alongside the semiconductor industry, as we saw with massive new all-time highs yesterday (17/10/24). I believe the AI sector within the crypto market will quickly benefit from this trend.
FET recently broke its diagonal structure and is currently sitting within the weekly demand zone.
I believe we are ready for a takeoff, aiming for a swing trade that could bring us to new all-time highs.
Both the daily and weekly demand zones are currently supporting the price. I received LTF (lower time frame) confirmations and have bought a spot position as well as opened a swing long position.
The opportunity for Bitcoin to grow to 100KToday we are at another important point in choosing the further direction of the market, I want to consider the picture that has been created. First of all, I want to note the opening levels of the quarter as a key trigger of the market at the end of the year. According to the cue, the quarterly candle opened above 62.5k, which is a signal to hold the trend above 60k and gives an opportunity to try to continue the trend. When the level of 64k is overcome, the road will open for a sharp increase to 75. On a larger scale, at the moment there is a question of further movement from the key level of 60k to 90-100 by spring, or a rollback over the five-year plan up to 45-50 k. At the moment, given the weakness of the dollar, growth prevails with a probability of up to 70% in my opinion. A good opening of the quarter provides additional support for purchases.
According to the ether, the opening of the quarter is also in a good zone, above 2500, which ensures the maintenance of purchases in the long term and so far supports the probability of a trend of 5000. On a smaller scale, an opening above 2600 gives a signal for new attempts to exit above 2750, where the road will open immediately to 3500.
In the absence of negative factors in the form of powerful statistics on the United States and the departure of the euro below 1.09, it is quite likely that the cue ball trend will resume with an output above 75k this month. In this case, even with an increase in the dominance of the cue ball, the ether will be able to overshoot the last weekly candle, forming an inverted head and shoulders on the weekly chart and a high probability of going to 3500.
In case of pressure on the crypt from the foreign exchange market and the departure of the euro below 1.09 and even more so 1.075, the pressure of the bears will significantly increase. To push the cue ball to 75k+, the viola market can be squeezed with an increase in the dominance of the cue ball up to 75%+. In this scenario, from the middle of this week, a reversal of the weekly candle into a bearish one and sales on the air up to the 2250-2100 test is likely. The opening levels of the half-year and quarter will smooth out sales and insure against a sharp collapse, but it will become extremely difficult for coins to break through to growth in such a scenario.
The current weekly candle is highly likely to help consolidate the trend, and against the background of an attempt to surpass the last weekly one on the air by the middle of the week, such an attempt can be expected for individual coins.
Given the complexity of the market situation and delisting on the binance every month instead of one per quarter, as previously, I closed positions on weak coins with the monitoring tag ooki oax and pros, increasing positions on vib gft ast troy. According to these coins, there are still the largest growth targets among all binance coins, but I will take them into work after the announcement of delisting, if they remain in trade.
To date, OG has worked perfectly, which I recommended as a very liquid tool for saving money in the medium term. Given the current market picture, everywhere above 3.5-4.0$ OG is quite overbought and the probability of a deep pullback prevails. The goals for growth to $ 9-11 remain open, but I think they will not be fulfilled this year.
To date, gft and vib have remained a good alternative to OG to save funds in the medium term. As I wrote earlier, gft has a lot of liquidity, similar to OG, which makes it possible to trade even with a monitoring tag. For vib, liquidity is much lower, but signals for growth to 0.15-25 are left on the chart. It also remains, along with troy, the most oversold outside the monitoring tag among all coins on the binance. Just as interesting are the extremely oversold ast and troy, which are more suitable for scalping, because The ast is under pressure from incomplete emission and after an impulse of 50-70% it can roll back, while troy shows sluggish dynamics and inspires less confidence. However, I left signals for growth to 0.035-40 on a weekly basis.
Of the fantokens, only OG was considered for work because it has sufficient liquidity. For the rest of the group's tokens, the probability of additional drawdown prevails in the current market. Given the incomplete issue, many tokens can give a break.
Alikze »» DOT | Ascending channel - 8H🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 8H
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the 8H time frame.
- It has been in demand recently after hitting the bottom of the channel again.
- According to the current form and structure, this upward movement can touch the targets specified in the chart with the support of the green box range.
- In the first step, the first target will be the middle of the 4.68 channel, after which it can continue its growth up to the first supply area.
- In addition, in the case of breaking and stabilizing above the middle of the channel, it will have the ability to grow up to the ceiling of the channel and the range of the second supply.
🛑 The most important resistance: ~ 4.68
💎 Alternative scenario: If the green box and the bottom of the channel are broken, the bullish scenario will be invalidated and the correction can continue until the origin of the movement.
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BINANCE:DOTUSDT
ETH Extreme Weakness - A Warning SignSince my last update on this chart, Ethereum has broken its long term uptrend and dropped almost 40% in value. This was back in May of this year:
Zoomed out, you can see the failed long term trendline. Obviously, a break back above it would be a bullish sign, but there's a long way to go, as it's currently around $4,000.
Right now, it rests on its 200 and 100 weekly moving averages (teal and yellow on my chart). There really isn't much support below here at all until previous bear market lows, near $1,000. In contrast, Bitcoin has a long way to fall before arriving in the same position. This is not unlike the previous cycle, where ETH bled significantly on its ratio against Bitcoin. For crypto bulls, this may be a good sign. However, there is still plenty to fall on the ETH/BTC ratio after making a macro lower high:
There is no support on the ETH/BTC chart until lows not seen since 2020. It doesn't bode well for the #2 cryptocurrency, as it was unable to make a new high against Bitcoin. This means it is unlikely to outperform again on longer timeframes. This isn't a great look either, given the new ETH ETF's. I have no intention of buying ETH again, after making significant profit from 2018-2021 (buying around $100 and selling near $3,000). Can't complain about those gains at all, especially as its price hasn't managed to really hold above that price point this time around. On the bullish side (in the short term) if price continues to hold here, there could be a corrective wave up towards the 50 week MA near $2,800 (red).
As for Bitcoin itself, the 200 week MA is a little below $40k at present. Let's see if price can break down from the current support at the 50 week MA (red). If support continues to be held here, it is likely to hold for ETH as well.
Now, what about this rate cut tomorrow from the U.S. Federal Reserve? Given retail sales and the apparent strength of the economy, it seems fairly likely that 25 bps will be the decision. Now, investors and other market participants are quire wary of other economic data, which could easily signify a recession. Markets have been volatile in recent weeks. The Fed must tread carefully. If they cut by 50, it could signal to investors that they tightened too far, and are taking greater steps to curtail a recession. This might spook the market. My guess is that even with the 25 expected bps, the market will have the same lackluster reaction, particularly as it's not a meaningful rate reduction. Either way, I don't think the market will be pleasantly surprised enough to cause a significant bump up, essentially making tomorrow a "sell the news" event.
We'll see though! Perhaps it really is that simple: rate cuts=more liquidity for a pump.
This is meant for speculation only! Thanks for reading.
-Victor Cobra
ETH Update - 02.09.2024 / Local UpdateAt 4h: we observe trading under the lower boundary of accumulation and formation of seller and liquidity imbalance zones from above behind the highs and the upper boundary of accumulation.
At 1h: here I expect either a liquidity re-sweep from the low or an inversion and a move to liquidity at the local high.
Stick to your risk managment!
ETHEREUM → Readiness for realization ↑ Target 3300 BINANCE:ETHUSD ETH is consolidating in front of strong resistance. Bulls do not let the price down beyond 0.5 fibo. amid Friday's news, the cryptocurrency market is reviving and ETH has high chances to pass through 2800.
A false breakout of the resistance of the range is formed, but instead of falling, the coin is consolidating, which is generally one of the pre-breakout nuances. Technically, it would be an ideal condition for me to wait for a prolonged consolidation near 2780-2800 followed by a price advance towards the zone with a breakout target. The liquidation that took place earlier rid the market of an unnecessary part of speculators, after which the whales went into an active accumulation phase, now ETH shows positive preconditions of readiness to go to the intermediate high and resistance of the global range.
Support levels: 2717, 0.5 fibo
Resistance levels: 2780, 2817
The market is bullish, as evidenced by some indicators, technical indicators on the chart, as well as the fundamental background. Accordingly, in the mid-term I expect the price to come out of the consolidation 2780 - 2550 and most likely this exit will be accompanied by a breakout of resistance and growth to 3300.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
ETH/USDT 1D Trade idea It's no secret, Ethereum has been struggling this Bullrun.
Outperformed by Solana and other new emerging L1's, a permabearish ETH/BTC chart and losing market share in terms of volume on chain to its competitors.
The daily chart is a difficult one to digest as a fan of ETH, despite the ETF approval and the institutional investment that has come with it, the trend is an obvious downtrend of late and shows no signs of changing anytime soon...
The ETH/BTC pair is a similar story only the downtrend has been the case for much longer, unable to keep up with bitcoins price gains. Bitcoin is currently -20% from its ATH set earlier this year, Ethereum is yet to break its previous ATH set in '21 of $4850, -47% at current price which is way off BTC.
For me there are two possible entries:
- A mid range reclaim would then target a range high move going into the end of the year.
- A safer entry of filling the wick set in the beginning of august with a slow grind down, sweep liquidity, reclaim and pump from there.
Both situations would require BTC to behave as always.
ETH is expected to see some stability and big price movementPrice Range and Volatility:
I see #Ethereum is predicted to trade within a range of $2,695.10 to $3,503.26 throughout August, with an average price around $3,173.50.
There is a seasonally weak period expected from August to October, which might see ETH prices dropping but still remaining within bullish support levels. If ETH maintains above the $2,555 support level, it could present a buying opportunity.
The anticipation of Federal Reserve rate cuts in September is expected to increase liquidity in the market, potentially benefiting cryptocurrencies like Ethereum. This could lead to increased inflows into ETH ETFs, supporting a price rebound
BTC & ETH bottom priceI have an idea for ETH & BTC.
Simple look back to 2020-02-24. ETH down 70% before jumping.
Same with BTC, it divided 2.5 times from local top 10K to 3K8 (around 63%)
From CoinGlass check the liquidation heat map for ETH and BTC.
With current situation, if BTC and ETH price turn down 63% for BTC and 70% for ETH then bottom price will be around 25K for BTC, and 1300 for ETH.
And go up crazy after that.
Alikze »»TIA | Movement in the descending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Movement in the descending channel
- It is moving in a downward channel in the daily and 4H time frames.
- It is located in the middle of the channel and within the liquidity zone. If it can be placed above the region and the middle of the channel, it can retest the ceiling of the supply range channel.
- The most important resistance for an upward trend is the $12.5 range.
- By breaking the $12.5 range, it can have an upward trend. Otherwise, the downward trend will continue.
💎 Alternative scenario: If selling pressure is encountered in the current range and the middle of the channel, the first downward target will be the bottom range of the channel and then the target of 6.25.
💎 In addition, if this channel is broken, it can touch the green box area as much as the width of the channel.
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Ethereum Do or Die This CycleCRYPTOCAP:BTC has been outperforming CRYPTOCAP:ETH this entire cycle.
If Ethereum does not outperform Bitcoin by the end of it, consider it good as dead next cycle, akin to Cardano.
Clearly consumers have flocked to Solana for dApps, and Bitcoin is the store of value, which leaves very little room for Ethereum to carve out its own niche as they both continue to gain market share.
Alikze »» ETH | Rising waveIn the weekly time, it is moving in an ascending channel, which after a complex correction and higher floors has formed a runner zone, which can now complete an ascending wave in the specified area, which is the supply area. Therefore,
🔰 in the first scenario, I expect a correction with the support of the $2,500 area after touching the zone, which can appear more in the form of price, considering that the recent correction was a running zone, and then enter the upward phase.
🔰But the second scenario can break this wave of the region and continue the upward path after the pullback.
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ETHEREUM → Long-squeeze before the rally? To the MOON, to $4800?BINANCE:ETHUSDT continues the phase of correction, the character of which is consolidation. The goal is to gather potential before possible growth on the trend. The target is 4000-4800
The main focus is on ETH-ETF, which, according to rumors, may be allowed to trade on July 2-4. This will be another positive signal for the cryptocurrency community, as this fact may expand the underlying demand for cryptocurrencies and attract additional capital.
Fundamentally, ETH is seeing an increase in the number of active wallets, traders are actively buying call options with strike 4000 and expiration in September, Ethereum Foundation is not selling ETH now as it usually did close to market tops, which together gives positive signs.
The asset price is in a downward correction at the moment. The essence of this movement is the asset's consolidation before further strengthening.
Resistance levels: descending wedge line, 3678, 0.5 fibo
Support levels: 3200, trend line, 0.79 fibo
Technically, liquidation of buyers in the liquidity area formed behind the trend support is possible, long-squeeze may lead to a rally.
Regards R. Linda!
ETH/BTC ratio signalizes 'Alt Season' soonMany see this ETH/BTC price ratio as the ignition for the Alt Season
Price is flerting with a long multi-year resistence, since 2021! A strong break out here will signal the so waited Alt Season, but first there must be a retest of the lowest purple line, the Beam Band bottom line
Also here, we are still waiting for a local bottom blue tag from Hodlfire indicator
As another indicator to watch is the bottom panel indicator, the Detornator C, as it is still red, almost crossing the zero line
So... 3 points of confirmation of Alt Season:
1- Retest of bottom Beam Band line
2- Hodlfire buy tag
3- Detonator C above zero line
What is interesting here, is that the upper Beam Band coincides with the target of the Cup & Handle formation when ETH/BTC price will reach a staggering 0.735 ETH for each BTC! If this ratio would be today, ETH price would be 45k!
Time will tell!
ALTCOIN BULLRUN UPDATE | IS BULLMARKET OVER OR NOT YET STARTED?What if I say the bull run hasn't started yet? It was just a Bitcoin run. Altcoin bull run (2024-25) will start very soon!
Retail is now panicked because they think bull market is over! Market will only continue to go down. That's what they think before the real bull run starts.
ETH is the king of ALT coins. Both the 2016-17 & 2020-21 ALT bull run started right after ETH (btc-pair) bottom and BTC-DOM top was made.
Bull run is not over! Check the chart, It hasn't started yet. The great altcoin bullrun (2024-25) is still to come🌚
ETH/BTC REVERSAL?Could we finally see a breakout of the downtrend channel now that ETHBTC has bounced off the range bottom?
Bullish scenario: If we see a breakout of the trend channel and new HH & HL then ETH could finally be ready to move up after the approval of the ETH ETF's.
Bearish scenario: If the range low is lost and price is excepted at those levels then the downtrend continues...
I do think the general market did not expect an ETF approval so soon and so the inflows we saw for BTC were just not ready to capitalise on the ETF.
Alikze »» SUI | Wave 3 or short-term bullish C scenario🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or short-term bullish C scenario
- It has a bullish guard in the 4H time frame.
- After an upswing to the 1.172 range, it has had a zigzag correction.
💎 Currently, according to the upward momentum, it can have a pullback to the broken structure (green box) to continue the upward trend.
- The 1.025 area can be used as a support to continue the path.
- This ascending wave can be in the form of ascending wave 3 or C in the short term. Therefore, 💎 the first target of that supply range is the 0.78 fibo range and after that the ceiling of the channel is the 1.29 range.
💎 If the upward trend continues, it can be considered as a support for the next supply area after the failure of the supply area.
💎 In addition, if the previous floor range is broken, it can invalidate the bullish scenario, in which case it should be updated.
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