ETH-BTC
Deceptive market at the beginning of the yearThe first week of the new year is coming to an end, I want to review the market situation. The year for ether and bitcoin opened in the 90-95k and 3250-3500 flat zones. Due to this, the new annual candle is swinging quite calmly. However, in my opinion, this lull is deceptive. The current wave of purchases is so far only a retest of the key 100k level for bitcoin, from where the probability of a bear attack is high. For many altcoins that have shown growth to date, this is also only a retest of the last resistance.
The foreign exchange market also closed the first week extremely negatively, with a steady rise in the dollar. In my opinion, from the current pullback in the crypt, there is a high probability of a resumption of sales, which we observed at the end of the year, with an attempt to continue the trend in bitcoin in order to work out a retest of 75-85k. In this case, today or tomorrow, the crypto market may align with the currency, with significant sales, up to the turning point of the week for individual coins.
In an optimistic scenario, ether will hold 3500 and open a new week higher, by increasing the gap in the eth/btc pair, due to the opening of the year above 0.0035. In this case, with smooth stable sales of bitcoin, altcoins will have opportunities for growth and a further 15% increase in the altcoin index. In my opinion, the probability of this scenario still prevails.
In a more negative scenario, sales of bitcoin and ether will be more aggressive. In this case, bitcoin can show a sharp increase in dominance and money from the market will be used to smooth out the fall of bitcoin. At the same time, the altcoin index may drop down to a 9% retest, which will lead to fractures for most coins.
With the current picture and the threat of a 75k hike in bitcoin, I still recommend carefully weighing money management and reducing positions for those who did not do so in the wake of growth before the new year. Next week, it will be possible to weigh the activity of sellers and make more confident forecasts.
As I expected, there was another manipulation of binance tags this week. It was not for nothing that before the change of year I recommended sales for troy with a likely hike to 0.0025, even then it became obvious that there was no working out of higher goals and a reversal to retest loyalties. After assigning the tag, a test of 0.0015-25 is likely.
As I wrote in the last article, if there is no assignment of the monitoring tag, vib becomes the most interesting tool in the current market. If binance did not consider the dynamics of the token too weak, there is a high probability of continued growth to reverse the medium-term bullish trend with an exit to 0.25+ and the addition of futures. There has already been a successful cancellation of year-end sales and an attempt to return to the trend. With an optimistic scenario and an exit above 0.00000100 for vib/btc, there is a possibility of a powerful impulse to break last week and pair with udt. In the current overbought market, vib remains the most oversold token on binance, which retains a high growth potential. There has also been a rise in vib against bitcoin more than once, creating a gap in vib/btc. A similar pattern could happen again this week. In case of a successful breakdown of vib, vite can also show pleasant dynamics, which also remains the most oversold on binance, having very high technical targets for retest. But because of the monitoring tag, vite growth attempts most often occur last before the week closes.
On average, for most altcoins, I still expect synchronous movement with the altcoin index, before determining further dynamics in the tops in the new week. In my opinion, the probability of fashionable breakouts or steady growth ahead of the altcoin index in the new week is rather weak.
SOL | Waiting on ETH for NEW ATHSolana has barely made a new ATH - basically topping out at nearly the exact same place as the previous ATH made in Nov 2021.
As Ii said in yesterdays update on ETH, there is no way BTC makes such a dramatic new ATH and ETH (and Solana) stay behind.
We can expect SOL and ETH to increase when BTC continues to trade range above 95k. This could be another multi-month playout, although ETH usually peaks rapidly at the end of the cycle, which is noteworthy from yesterday's analysis.
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BINANCE:SOLUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
Crypto Market to Hit $5 Trillion in 2025?The crypto market added an astonishing $1.58 trillion in 2024, and projections for 2025 are even more bullish, with a potential market cap of $5 trillion. While most altcoins are still down over 50%, the next altcoin rally could be the catalyst for explosive growth. Institutional investors are also predicting Bitcoin to hit $150K, further fueling market optimism.
The combination of increasing adoption, institutional interest, and potential altcoin recovery makes this goal achievable. Prepare for the next big wave by identifying undervalued projects and managing your risk effectively. 2025 could be the year of exponential growth—stay ahead of the curve!
Ethena Price Shows Bullish Momentum After Breaking ResistanceThe cryptocurrency market has its eyes on Ethena (ENA) as the token broke out above the critical $1 resistance level, signaling a bullish trend. We are predicting gains of up to 35%.
Breakout Above $1 Signals Bullish Sentiment
Ethena’s price has established a bullish trajectory after breaking through the crucial $1 resistance level. This breakout marks the end of a prolonged downtrend, during which the price bottomed out and began forming higher lows. Strong buying pressure accompanied the move, evident from large green candlesticks on the chart.
The $1 level, previously a significant resistance, has now transitioned into a robust support zone. We observe that the $0.97-$1.00 range is crucial for maintaining upward momentum. Holding above this level will be essential for MIL:ENA to sustain its bullish outlook.
Technical Outlook
As of this writing, MIL:ENA is up 5.68%, trading within a bullish horizon. The altcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 54, indicating there is ample room for further upward movement. MIL:ENA has broken out of a presumed falling trend channel, reinforcing its bullish momentum.
The 1-month high of $1.32 serves as the next significant resistance point. If MIL:ENA can breach this level, it could pave the way for even greater gains. However, caution is warranted due to the broader market’s volatility, particularly Bitcoin’s recent price swings. Should CRYPTOCAP:BTC dip to $90,000 or the psychological $85,000 level, it could exert downward pressure on MIL:ENA , potentially causing a retreat to its 1-month low of $0.76.
Conclusion
Ethena’s breakout above $1 marks a pivotal moment for the token, signaling the potential for significant gains. With strong technical indicators and bullish market sentiment, MIL:ENA appears poised for a rally. However, traders should remain vigilant, considering the broader market’s influence on altcoin performance. As MIL:ENA continues to hold above $1, the coming days could bring substantial price action and opportunities for investors.
$ETH.D x $BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D x CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ⏳
While #Ethereum dominance is at all-time lows in terms of momentum, it is also poised for a comeback in the Demand Zone
#Bitcoin dominance is poised for a comeback in the Supply Zone region, even though it is at all-time highs in terms of momentum
The current situation can be seen as an important indicator for #Altcoins, but the rise of bitcoin and the decline of bitcoin dominance will be a sign of the #Altseason we have been waiting for so far.
ETHUSD 12h 20% pullback SHORT from BEAR Order Block🔸Hello traders, today let's review 12hour price chart for ETHUSD . strong gains recently off the range lows ,however currently upside
limited by heavy sell side liquidity / order block at 3800/3850 usd.
🔸Trading right now at 3660 USD, impressive recovery off the lows
however sell side liquidity / order block at 3800/3850 caps immediate
upside, therefore bulls should be cautious with new buys since
I'm expecting pullback once we trigger overhead liquidity.
🔸Recommended strategy: SHORT SELL from overhead resistance
at 3800/3850 USD, SL 3950 USD, TP1 3550 TP2 3150 USD. 20%
unleveraged gains off the highs, expecting pullback. good luck!
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New wave up to 80%+ on VITEToday, another delisting announcement was released, in connection with which I warned against working with coins of the monitoring tag in the first half of the week. Now the coins that were not included in the announcement are becoming interesting. First of all, this is VITE, which is the most oversold at the moment. Last week, a signal was left for further overshooting and a likely test of the key level of 0.025, opening the way to 0.035-50. Given the assignment of the monitoring tag, I do not think that the price will easily gain a foothold above this level, despite the strong signal for a retest of about 0.035.
So far, the most likely scenario is a test of the 0.0225-75 flat range with a further rebound and determination of the closing level of the year, depending on the overall market dynamics. The month opened above 0.014, the second half of the month above 0.015, which is also a signal for growth to 0.02+. The zone of the set of positions is the flat range of 0.014-16 near the key level of 0.015. In the absence of a deeper drawdown on the tops today, the weekly candle will begin to turn bullish today and we will not see prices below the current VITE. In the event of an additional market drawdown after the decision on the US interest rate, VITE will probably be quite effective in compensating for the market drawdown, due to the high growth potential and after the flat it will give a breakdown on Thursday-Friday against the background of the general market growth in the second half of the week.
On the 0.025 test, it is worth carefully monitoring the dynamics, since there is a probability of a breakdown immediately by 0.035 within the framework of the reversal of the annual candle. But even if there is no consolidation above the level, the current wave of growth can bring up to 75% profit.
Also, from coins with the monitoring tag, HARD and FIRO can show pleasant growth waves, although they currently have lower goals of up to 30-50%.
VITE with a target of growth to 0.025 and VIB with a target of 0.15 are the most oversold coins on the binance, which have not yet shown a reversal of the annual candle, which may return them to the top of growth in the coming days similar to last week. As I have repeatedly written, for most overbought coins that have been on the radar for the last two months and have shown significant growth, the probability of continued sales prevails until the beginning of the new year.
ETH could find footing around here...We had a steep incline, we tested it 4 times and it was support, we tested it a 5th time after rejecting a breakdown and she crashed through support and now we are nearing where we hope to get a footing. You can see where if we slightly adjust the angle of the channel from the prior super steep ascending channel to this new, pretty steep ascending channel, we are near the bottom of channel, near support and hopefully hold and bounce back up from here, would still be plenty bullish, with just a more reasonable trajectory.
Looks like we will have the 200 (4h candle) moving average line up around this support line as well giving it double the chance of holding. If it breaks down, the price could drop a lot lower, like $3000-$2400ish even.
if this is bottom line here, we have a little more down trend and probably some consolidation down here before heading back up, should let other assets breath some too. If it breaks through this, be prepared for more drop.
Order books currently imply that more traders believe the price will drop more than traders who believe the price will rise.
This could be a great entry op for ETH and many other assets but be vigilant, especially with order books in the current state, and it took a solid month for them to decline to their current state, so hoping for a two day reversal could be asking a bit much.
I am currently optimistic but skeptical
ETH $3500 or moon soon?Well she tried to break out yesterday but was rejected, and ultimately pulled back to support. that support is short-medium length running, as it has provided support here 4 times in the past month and now we are hoping for a 5th time.
But even if it breaks down here, we would be likely to see it go back down to the bottom of this ascending channel, at around $3500 depending on when we arrive there, its also the 200 (4hr candle) moving average. There is a strong likelihood that if we test this area we will hold support with double support, however in the unlikely event that support also broke down, we could be looking at heading back down to red line, which also is not unhealthy, when an asset breaks out, to come back and test its prior resistance as support, ETH never did do that.
Here is the 1 day candle charts, just to show ETH was in a year decline when it broke out into this structure we are examining closer in this write up.
Notice in the chart in this write up, the red line at the bottom, it is the dominate descending red line in that one day candle chart above.
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Something else though both ETH and BTC their order books sentiment is not so strong right now. I use CMF and i like to look at orderbooks from 10% depth of market to 100% depth of market and I watch the trendline of the asks, because, the more asks at 10-100% depth of market, thats positive sentiment, thats a lot of traders that have set limit orders expecting the price to go up. Where as when we see a rise in bids in the 10%-100% depth of market range, it means more traders are setting up to buy an anticipated coming dip, so they expect the price to drop. For ETH over the last month as the price has jumped, the asks above 10% have continued to decline and now recently the bids above 10% have started to run up. But also everything goes in waves, it would make sense that soon we could start another wave up and then its just a question of if it will be a bigger or smaller wave, indicating a growing or shrinking overarching "Greed".
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So the alternative to it breaking down here, which the recent market makes it seem more likely, is that we go back and try to break that resistance again and this time, succeed and make a nice strong run on ETH, but we have to be prepared for either.
My gut says based on the recent strength of the market, we will start to see order books push a new cycle of increased trader confidence and see a break out here instead of a break down but the data above suggests a very real potential for a a pullback here. Overall, this still appears really early in ETH's break out from its year decline, I think we can expect much higher highs in the future with the only question being, how far in the future.
As always be vigilant and adaptive, and DYOR!
SOLANA LOOKING ALL TIME HIGHS - SOL LONGPrice rejected strongly from the daily demand zone after running the daily swing liquidity. This move created a 4H demand zone. Following that, we saw a break of the bearish trendline, with a retest of both the trendline and the 4H demand.
I entered a position during this retest, even as BTC was aggressively dumping by over $10K, which is why I couldn’t share this idea in real time. However, I am already in this trade and targeting a bare minimum of $271 as the next level.
Market pullback at the change of the monthToday, on the threshold of changing the monthly candle, I want to once again consider the market position and prospects for the coming week. This week, the price has worked once again according to the forecast for a local overshoot and a test of 3750. Further, according to the planned plan, by the change of the month, the probability of consolidation prevails in the area of the key level of 3500, which determines the direction by 5000 or 2500 in case of consolidation under it. I think the new month will open above 3,500 due to the positive opening of the half-year, quarter and second half of the quarter, which give signals to maintain purchases. Today, there is a probability of a breakdown of 3750 with an attempt to close the month higher, but with a lower probability, because this week an attempt to retest 3000-3100 was bought off and this target remains for the new month, which puts pressure on the market.
Bears are quite likely to take advantage of the current pullback to 3500 to work out the goals on the 3100 retest. In this regard, at the beginning of the week, the market may stall even when the month opens above 3500, against which a shadow will be drawn for a new monthly candle on both tops and altcoins. For coins that have shown a large increase this month, this momentum may turn into stable sales and a rollback on an annual schedule until the beginning of the new year. It is worth being on the alert when working with overbought coins. Coins that have not shown significant growth this month are likely to give a slight pullback and quickly return to continued growth.
After the shadow on the new monthly candle, I expect a recovery in buyer activity from the middle of the week and a transition to a continuation of the bullish trend and a reversal of the weekly and monthly candles into bullish ones by the end of the week. Purchases are likely to continue until mid-December against the background of last month's trend. During this period, the bulls should be able to break through 3750.
Against the background of the current pullback, I reduced positions on ast and akro because they have an incomplete issue and are more sensitive to market drawdowns against this background. There is also no obvious breakdown on the move, which indicates the fears of buyers in connection with the upcoming pullback. I keep Vib in full volume due to the absence of pitfalls in the form of emissions. It protects the probability of a 0.1 jump with an attempt to close the month higher. According to vite, there is also a fairly large position in the work, due to the full issue and high oversold value of a similar vib.
ETHEREUM → A coin is being prepared To The Moon ↑BINANCE:ETHUSDT is lagging behind the general market growth in the cryptocurrency world. The price is still squeezed between consolidation boundaries, but there are already positive signs. Bitcoin is close to 100K and altcoins are opening the season.
Ethereum is lagging behind in the race, this is clearly visible on D1-W1. It's not that the price can't reach ATH, the coin hasn't yet updated the 2024 high. Before the start of the altcoin season, the community was skeptical about the fundamental project due to the behavior of the development team, but the victory of trump, the change of the political team to a pro-cryptocurrency one could be the strongest driver for ETH in recent times.
After local distribution, the price is testing the triangle resistance, forming another accumulation. A retest of the upper boundary indicates the formation of a trigger, the breakout of which will activate the rally.
Resistance levels: 3442, 3568
Support levels: 3028, 2820
Technically, the coin shows us another trading range, the role of which is consolidation.
If the resistance cannot be broken from the third time, a correction before further growth is possible.
BUT! We need to be careful, as any BTC correction can trigger a bearish rally in the altcoin market. Bitcoin has almost reached 100K and for many this is a red zone for profit taking.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
APTOS - APT COIN SWING LONG IDEA - ALTCOIN MARKET - CRYPTOAptos is one of the most useful Layer 1 chains in crypto right now. I believe the fundamentals of this coin are remarkable, and I expect it to perform well during the 2024-2025 crypto bull market.
The price is coming from the monthly demand zone. It swept the 2024 spring low before getting rejected from the monthly demand, which created strong bullish momentum. It also broke the diagonal trendline responsible for the bearish movement. Currently, both weekly and daily momentum are strongly bullish.
I expect the price to hit the daily demand zone and take off from there. It might form a small range around this level, but I believe we are targeting all-time highs.
ETH 1h Brief analyseHi Traders,
There is still unmitigation zone at 1D.
I believe that it seem to be a destination for me where ETH will be heading to.
You see the wave a-b-c at 1h and trend line written at 4h.
Hopefully, this confluence works.
Just remember it can do down further to 0.681 level as good retracement level.
Make sure double check the confirmation then start place the position with stop loss.
3 rules
Buy
Sell
Wait
Possible Top for BTC/ETHI can see a possible top on the BTC vs ETH chart. It has clearly gone up alot and if you combine that with the divergence on the RSI + BTC Dominance about to fall the possibility for this to happen gets stronger!
This means that Ethereum is about to go for a run and if that happens alot of projects based on ETH will have a big rally.
AKRO finishes accumulation before breakdownTo date, the altcoin index is completing a rollback to the retest of the formed support at 9% and the shadow drawing for the current weekly candle. Starting tomorrow, the probability of a weekly candle reversal on the index with an attempt to exit above 10% is extremely high. Within the framework of this movement, one can expect reversals of weekly candlesticks and for individual coins in order to surpass last week at least.
In addition to vib and gft, which I am considering to work at the moment as the most oversold coins on the binance, I took AKRO to work. This token, like gft, has high liquidity due to its fairly wide presence on exchanges and the availability of derivatives, which leads to quite volatile breakouts. At the moment, an extremely high potential has been accumulated to work out volumes aimed above 0.0075. The current monthly candle has opened above 0.004, which gives a signal for a hike up to 0.0060-75 this month. In the case of a general pullback on the tops or insufficient volatility, a breakout of 0.005 can be expected at least, with an attempt to continue the trend already in a new monthly candle. On smaller timeframes, there is already a trend change from the main support zone to 0.00350-375.
Eth Bounce On BtcEth approaches major support which should lead back up to 0.05 btc. Which will likely lead to another attempt at major resistance at 0.1 btc. If 0.1 btc breaks then eventually 0.79 btc will be the next major major resistance. In 2021 Eth cleared 0.03 without checking back into it testing it's support. This is the retest.
Continuation of the altcoin bull run in the new weekTo date, the market has moved to the main movement of the quarterly candle, in anticipation of which purchases have been going on all last month. I have outlined the goals for bitcoin in previous reviews, it is 90-100k by spring, with the reaction of the altos after fixing the cue ball above 75k. On the air, I think the situation will be more difficult, because I expect the continued growth of the dominance of the cue ball. At the moment, after opening the month above 2500, we headed for the test of the 3000-3250 range, which I designated as the target. Further, the dynamics are likely to become more complicated. From 3250-3400, there is a possibility of a rather sharp correction for a retest of 3000. But the growth interval at the moment is the first half of the month at least, and therefore, from the middle of the week, I think growth will resume with an attempt to test the key level of 3500, opening the way to 5000.
The fate of the monthly candle will be decided after the middle of the month has passed and, given the opening of the month in the flat zone below 2750, there is a possibility of a major pullback as part of a correction on the monthly schedule. That is, after the growth next week, I recommend taking a closer look at the market and money management, reducing positions by the end of the week. Since the probability of growth prevails until the end of the year, after a monthly pullback, purchases can be expected to resume by the end of the month with the trend continuing in December. This week, the reaction of the altos to the entrenched trend of the cue ball began, but in the coming week we can expect more intensive purchases after a possible pullback at the beginning of the week.
After the prolonged fall of the altos, the current breakouts are a movement against the bearish trend and indicators, which makes the growth rather short-term and unstable. This dynamic makes many altos quite dangerous, because in the absence of a breakdown in the wake of market growth, coins can continue the formed bearish trend with taking lower levels.
The coins that I considered for work, regardless of the market, there is a very good dynamics. Almost everything provided good earning opportunities. At the moment, another delisting has taken place and in anticipation of a new announcement, I recommend avoiding working with coins of the monitoring tag in the first half of the week because they may get into the next delisting. Starting from Wednesday afternoon, oax and vite can be considered again. Pros has worked out the target on a retest of 0.75 and is quite overbought, so far I am not considering it for work. Firo and akro can also show an increase of up to 50%+.
Among the more reliable options for working without a monitoring tag, vib and ast remain the most interesting, with a growth potential of up to 50-70% from current levels at least. Ast has an incomplete emission and has been delisted from okx, which is why it is worth working with it more carefully than with vib. Given the delisting from another exchange, I think ast may be assigned a monitoring tag in the future, which will lead to a sharp drop.
Along with vib, I consider gft as the main tool for work. Despite the monitoring tag, the token has great liquidity and growth potential with targets at a retest of 0.025-35 at least.
Alikze »» ETH | Ascending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel and corner alcove formation in the green support box area
- Continuing the analysis of the previous post , the Ethereum currency faced selling pressure after reaching the daily and weekly supply range.
- After the formation of a Double Top pattern, it has had a zigzag correction to the green box range.
- It is currently moving in an ascending channel, where the recent correction has intersected with the bottom of the channel and the green box.
- Therefore, I expect it to grow up to Fibo 0.78 and the dynamic trigger after the swing breaks and creates a higher LH.
- In addition, a corner pattern with higher bottoms of the ascending channel is also formed.
💎 Alternative scenario: If it fails to break the swing and does not stabilize above it, and also sharply corrects towards the green box, it is most likely that it will break it and continue correcting towards the Buyer Zone.
💎 Probable scenario: Currently, the probable scenario is the bullish scenario according to the bullish channel and also the corner pattern pattern. Therefore, after reaching the goal, the dynamic update will be done again.
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BINANCE:ETHUSDT