ETH-BTC
NEOUSDT 1W LONG📈Hi all. Timeframe 1 week. NEOUSDT, after a decline, is in accumulation with increased volumes. Fractal of past decline and accumulation, and subsequent growth. I’m considering recruitment to the spot now, with a possible addition from the green zone. Also long during breakout/retest. Let me remind you that the entry at the retest is the safest, but it may not be there if there is a strong exit from the accumulation. It all depends on your trading strategy. Marked goals and levels on the chart.
📈Ethereum/BTC Analysis: Potential Shifts in DeFi Dominance🚨🔍Today, we're analyzing Ethereum/BTC in the weekly timeframe, crucial for understanding Ethereum's position relative to Bitcoin, especially amid the DeFi landscape where Ethereum plays a significant role.
💎Towards the end of 2021, ETH/BTC encountered resistance at 0.08511 and has since been undergoing correction. Upon plotting the Fibonacci retracement, we observed a bounce at the 0.382 level, signaling a possible continuation. However, failure to breach the previous high suggests dwindling buyer strength, potentially leading to downward pressure if sellers enter the market.
🔒Simultaneously, we notice a trendline resistance restraining the price, indicating that price has yet to gather enough momentum to break above it.
📊Examining volume since mid-2023, it appears to be in a range-bound state. However, short-term analysis shows decreasing red candle volume as we approach support at 0.05061. We need to observe if a break of this support correlates with a significant increase in volume.
💥RSI oscillator is currently hovering around support at 39.87. A candle closing below both price and RSI support levels could signal the beginning of a new downward trend.
❌Finally, it's essential to note that the current support level we are testing is critical for the vitality of this chart. If breached, Ethereum may underperform Bitcoin, especially during corrections. Therefore, it's unlikely that the Ethereum community, particularly heavy ETH holders, would allow this support to falter easily.
we continue to earn on OAXTo date, after a wave of growth of 150%, I have returned to OAX support, and therefore, continuing to follow the plan, I moved into it with the aim of retesting at least the 0.35-40 range in the current monthly candle. After re-entering above 0.25-26, a sharp acceleration in growth can be expected.
I am also considering mainly proc oki vib for work, for the rest of the coins there is a possibility of a deeper rollback. There are also positions on atm and asr that are only flying by 30-50% so far, but have not shown significant growth, the potential for a test of 7.5-11$ remains with the overall growth of the market, but fantokens are low-liquid, often give good profits, but after a long accumulation, it is worth being careful with the size of the position on them.
Ooki is preparing another giftToday, the rolled-back ooki is becoming promising again. The token failed to open a quarter above 0.005 for a technical signal to go to 0.0075-100, but opening above 0.004 makes it possible to continue flat in the range of 0.004-6 with an attempt to gain a stable foothold above 0.005 eventually. With the overall growth of the market, there is a possibility of a sharp return to the trend with an attempt to overshoot. In the event of a further pullback in the market, the ooki trend may repeat the picture of the previous month with numerous opportunities for scalping. On average, the growth potential is 50-150% from current levels. The main area of the set of positions at the moment is 0.00325-375.
Today, vib with a breakdown potential up to 0.25 and pros with a test target of 0.75 are also interesting.
ETHBTC at a cycle bottomBINANCE:ETHBTC appears to be reaching a cycle bottom. Sentiment is quite sour (and for good reason). But has things really changed? Just seems like a typical decline while Monthly RSI as at the same level as 2019 with very similar timeframes. Total value locked in DeFi is increasing. Volume is picking up while DEFI dominance is steady, i call that bullish divergence.
Bitcoin Breakout Soon (April-May 2024)I'm fairly certain we are about to have a BTC breakout. Bulls have successfully defended $60k for ~2 weeks now and we are about to move into (arguably) the two most important BTC and crypto months of all 2024. The halving is coming up. ETH ETF decision should bring some volatility- despite approval or not. The past 2 weeks have been an incredibly healthy correction from the run up to the ATH.
Do I think it's possible we break down to $59-$56k? Yes. But in this scenario I imagine it being fueled by FUD and will be bought back up fairly quick. If this scenario plays out, just based on overall current sentiment, I could see investors viewing this as incredibly bullish and we continue on with this cycle's uptrend.
There is a chance we continue to chop/crab for a bit longer- but I would guess that only lasts 1-2 more weeks at best. As we get closer to the Halvening, I find it incredibly unlikely we see a big sell off. This is not an uncommon opinion- I think many reading this would agree with me. Could we go up and see a bit of uncertainty as the Halvening date crosses? Of course. But based on the current trend, sentiment, and overall blockchain/crypto ecosystem, I don't see how we continue downwards through April and May. I see loads of potential in these next two months.
Good luck traders! But even more luck to the HODLers!
ETHBTC About to take off. Ethereum expected to gain massively.It has been more than 5 months (October 07 2023, see chart below) since we last published our view on the ETHBTC pair, when we discussed that the 2022/ 2023 Channel Down was a matter of time to reverse as soon as it would hit the Higher Lows trend-line of 2019:
As you can see, the pair started to trend upwards after touching the Higher Lows trend-line on the week of December 18 2023, posting a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows. The fact that the 1W RSI became oversold below 30.00 and then started trending upwards on Higher Lows, is a clear sign that the pair bottomed, similar to the bottom of September 02 2019.
What followed then was a break above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and then a sustainable series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows until the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) broke also and turned parabolic.
For now we have had 2 rejections on the 1W MA50, so in our view that is the confirmation signal. As soon as the price breaks above it, we expect ETHBTC to first target the bottom of the 3-year Resistance Zone at 0.08300 and then conclude the Bull Cycle marginally above the 1.5 Fibonacci level, but we will maintain Target 2 there at 0.1200.
Bottom line: Ethereum is expected to gain massively against Bitcoin over the next 12 months.
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The most important week has arrivedWe are very close to the US interest rate decision, a key event in this quarter that will set the further direction for the markets until the middle of the year. At the moment, the overall picture of the market looks quite optimistic: in the foreign exchange market, the week opened not in favor of the dollar, in the cryptocurrency market, the tops also opened the week above key supports. In particular, the opening of a weekly candle above 3500 on the ether allows you to continue extinguishing sales on the rollback of the quarterly candle. Such dynamics also increases the likelihood of a positive quarter close with a possible move. Other countries' rate decisions are also expected this week, which significantly complicates market forecasting. I think the decision of other countries will be an excuse to take safe levels in advance before the US decision.
To date, a double bottom has formed on the 4-hour chart near the opening level of the month. In an optimistic scenario, growth will resume tomorrow with a return above 3600 and a signal to consolidate the monthly bullish candle. In this case, the probability of overshooting prevails up to the 4500 test. In a more negative scenario, the level of 3500 will not be able to be held, which will lead to an attempt to turn the monthly candle into a bearish one and an aggressive test of the supports of 3100-3000-2750 with further payback at the end of this week and in the last days of the month. In this case, the quarter can be expected to close in the range of 3600-3750.
When trying to rebound from the second bottom, individual coins try to gain a foothold above the resistances in advance. Pros shows good dynamics today, which in a new wave of growth is highly likely to test 0.9-1.0 against the background of a breakdown of the key resistance of 0.75 in the last wave. Vib also showed a good growth momentum, which also has the opportunity to move in a new wave up to the 0.25 test against the background of a resistance breakdown at 0.15. Also, good growth attempts are shown by ooki, which left a signal for the 0.0075 test, at the breakdown of which there will be the possibility of a hike above 0.01. New growth waves can also be expected for cvp oax asr atm, which maintain targets up to 100%+. As a more fundamentally reliable instrument, in addition to vib, I still hold a large position on quick, which steadfastly tolerates the market pullback and is just as well suited for storing free funds in the medium term.
Maintaining the OKI trendToday, ooki has also reached support, which has repeatedly pleased with profits. At the moment, the main position set zone is 0.00275-310. From this retest, the struggle for the opening level of the new quarter will unfold. So far, there is a high probability of an attempt to close the quarter above 0.005 to maintain a bullish trend in the mid-range. With a more negative market, a test of lower levels is possible, where you can additionally scalp, with a smoother trend in the future. The growth potential from current levels exceeds 100% along with proc vib quick pro ax cmp asr atm, which are also primarily considered for work.
A new bear attackThis week, the market, as expected, received a significant blow from the bears amid an attempt to reverse the quarter. A quick payback further increases the chances of a positive quarter close and maintaining purchases before the start of the new quarter, but you should not relax. As we approach the middle of the month, bears are highly likely to make a new attempt to reverse the monthly and quarterly candlesticks. Considering that the level of 3250 has been broken, the momentum may reach 3000 in the new week. Further, the probability of a buy-off prevails against the background of maintaining a medium-term bullish trend with the aim of returning to 3500-3750 before the opening of the second half of the month. In a more optimistic scenario, there is a probability of leaving for the 4500 test with a further rebound to 3900-4000. But the probability of purchases in a row is still inferior.
Against the background of a possible sales momentum, the formation of new exit entry points for coins is likely. Taking into account the taking of key levels, there is a possibility of compensation for sales and continuation of the trend for pros and quick. There is also a high probability of a new wave of growth in vib from a retest of 0.825-850. Fantokens also remain extremely oversold. Among them, asr and atm remain the most interesting for me. There is a possibility of new impulses to local overshoots. Coins such as ooki cvp oax drep also showed good growth waves of up to 50%, but did not break through resistance, and therefore a pullback can be expected in the event of a general market drawdown. Then you can increase the positions again. Of the more fundamentally reliable in the medium term, resistance breakouts also did not give df gft chz and quick looks like a more interesting alternative today.
New entry point for OAXAgainst the background of the general market pullback on the quarterly candle, OAX came up to strong support. The key level of 0.25 was broken through, with the signal left for overshooting, and therefore topped up the position in order to continue the medium-term trend. Next, there is a high probability of a repeat hike to 0.25 with an attempt to open a new quarter above the level, which will allow the trend to continue at 0.30-35, where powerful signals for retest were left last year. The main zone of the set of positions is the range 0.175-190.
Along with oax, I continue to hold positions on quick and pros, which are also promising in the mid-range with goals up to 100%+, and asr and atm fantokens, which quite effectively compensate for the market drawdown and left trend signals from $ 3.5 with probable goals up to the test of $ 9-12.
I will also make toppings for coins such as vib sp drop gf df che ok from lower levels.
A, B or C? #Crypto Total Market 3. W pattern or Continuation?As we near the end of this bear market in crypto
(in relation to #BTC 4 year cycles)
The lack of liquidity has been evident for many months now, with wild swings in both directions.
Which I have played to to make meaningful gains , if you have been following me on my ideas stream well done.
(YOUR trade = YOUR Risk management)
Lack of liquidity means lack of seller and buyers, yet buying interest in crypto still remains
As the #Doge pump highlights (another idea I shared last week)
I can't help but notice the similar pattern of the previous Bear market bottom... on a much more concentrated timeframe.
What took very nearly two years of price action to form and follow through on.
Is now occurring on a 6/7 month timeframe.
Very interesting indeed!
A, B or C?
Comment below
pros is gaining accelerationOnce again this year, pros has done a good job, but its growth is probably just beginning. During the market pullback, the zone that remained without a retest was successfully tested, against the background of the news about the addition of a token to the margin in January, which created a very good entry point for the continuation of the medium-term trend. As I indicated, the key target was the 0.75 level, which technically opens the way for the expansion of the price range up to 1.5. The level was successfully broken through and from the retest of the nearest support, it again topped up the position for the continuation of the trend. Now the goal is a wave for the 1.0 test with a likely breakdown in the absence of a major pullback on the tops. With a successful breakdown of 1.0, the ultimate goal is the 1.25-1.5 test, from where a major pullback can be expected. A positive scenario is the re-taking of 0.7 and the formed trend line until the middle of the month. In this case, a 1.0 test is likely this month with continued growth in April. In the case of a general pullback in the market, the dynamics may turn out to be smoother with a repeated rebound from 0.75 or the trend line. With such a picture, taking 0.75 and continuing growth is likely from the third wave and the formation of a triangle. Regardless of the growth rate, pros still retains a high growth potential of up to 100%+ and remains one of the main coins in my work.
$YFI Locked and LoadedBINANCE:YFIUSDT
yfi is primed for a big move in this market.. ATH of close to 100k with a Daily and Weekly chart that have been building.
- We should run back to $11800-12k if we can break out of this $9800 level resistance
- Daily chart is tight and we’ve had some significant volatility the last few days which have shaken out the market and allowed some consolidation
- Weekly chart: currently testing the $9800 resistance with a long wick so far, with 3days left on the candle, if we can break out on the daily chart it will print a strong weekly candle
Entry: I'm long at $9540 for a swing, it has been bouncing in a channel for days
SL: if market pulls back I will watch the $9000 level
Yearn has a TVL of close to 400mil and remains a top 300 coin by market cap
I have used Yearn in the past and its a great aggregator
Tight on the 4h chart
High probability of a quick trend with the aim of overshootingAgainst the background of the general growth of dex tokens, quick volatility showed an increase, which is highly likely to be the beginning of a trend with targets up to 0.25-50. In case of a successful general market buy-off in the second half of the week, we can expect a retest of the 0.100-125 range with a continuation of the trend at the opening of a new week above 0.1. With weaker buyer activity, growth may be slower with the aim of opening a new monthly candle above 0.1. The main support and the area of the set of positions so far is the range of 0.625-750. This token is well suited for medium-term investments.
March is the month of correctionsThe market once again worked exactly according to the expected scenario with a breakdown of the key level of 3500. The bulls' goal has been achieved, there is a technical signal to maintain purchases, which will reduce the activity of sellers and the risk of a reversal of the quarterly candle. In the mid-term, the chances of maintaining a bullish trend for the entire first half of the current annual candle have increased. However, at the moment we are approaching the end of the quarter and it is time for a correction with bearish retaliatory strikes. In this regard, further growth becomes an extremely difficult task, mainly it is worth hoping for successful cancellation and repayment of market corrections. The first blow can be expected this week. If the correction starts today, there is a chance to check 3250 by the middle of the week with a further payback by the end of the week. If the growth continues today or tomorrow from 3400, there remains the possibility of a breakdown of 3750 during the week, which will give a signal to go to 4500-5000 in the future. This scenario remains more likely for now.
This month, the crypt will be particularly sensitive to the coming statistics on the dollar. At the moment, the main growth has been shown primarily by individual strong and actively advertised projects. If the quarterly bullish candle is held, we can expect a new wave of alt growth with significant interruptions, since medium-term purchases for large investors and investments in developing projects will become reliable. In this case, the probability of the beginning of such an altseason should be expected from the second half of March with a continuation until the beginning of May.
chz gft and df, which I recommended for safe medium-term investments, took rather high targets, and the probability of a rollback prevails against the background of market disruptions this month. Today, vib looks more suitable for this. OAX cvp drep ooki asr atm still have the highest unworked targets up to 100%+ from current levels, which can help them compensate for market pullbacks and continue growth with subsequent major breakouts.
ETH, Where to Buy the Dip ? ETH is most likely correcting 5 years up going wave ! is the correction over? Most probably NOT.
ETH at ATH more than likely completed an impulsive section of a wave cycle and currently is in the corrective section.
Normally in simple form, corrections have 3 legs with two legs down and one leg up in between. As shown on the chart , it is very possible for ETH to be in the third leg of the ABC form of correction (C) after completion of first two legs (A and B).
ETH got hammered at 50 % Retracement of down going wave A which is acceptable and also typical for a zigzag correction. If we skip some unusual types of zigzag correction, ETH should normally make a new low at lower Retracement levels shown on the chart. So, Our " Buy the Dip " targets will be 1863 and 1046 USD corresponding 0.618 and 0.786 Retracements of 5 years up going wave respectively.
After end of correction, if we are going to have a normal ascending wave cycle , there will be a shining chance to invest on ETH. It may see some unbelievable targets above 10000 USD !
I have to emphasize what has been discussed is the most probable scenario . We know that waves, especially in corrective phase, can take many complicated forms. Should it need any update, we will provide in appropriate time.
Hope this to be useful and wish you all the best.
$FLOKI Ready to Breakout?!On higher time frames GATEIO:FLOKIUSDT looks like it is priming for a big move
Weekly: in December we ran to 4000 and then pulled back, last two weeks have discovered a "higher low" and look the be setting up to take 4000+
Daily: Have a nice flag that looks to be breaking the 3440 resistance level. Had a pullback Feb 17th that held, printed a hammer candle and looks to be following through now.
4H: Looks to be closing above the 3440 resitance level which could lead to a big candle
Vol: would like to see more volume on this ticker, would solidify some social backing behind the token
EMA: strong ema support down to 3000, if we fail and price heads back towards those levels, its not a bad long for some orders.
Plan:
Entry: I'm in at 3399 for an initial swing position. This is a tough lvl and fails often so be comfortable holding through a 5-8% down turn. I would like to add on a break of 3400 with confirmatory candles/volume.
SL: will ideally hold unless we dump/break 3050 range (EMA support range)
TP: initial target 3900-4000
*if we continue to see $ flow into cryptocurrencies FLOKI could explode again, no reason you cant get 70-120% if thats the case.
$DOGE prepping for a huge run?!?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT CRYPTOCAP:DOGE looks primed for a run on all time frames.
$0.082-0.083 has been a strong resistance level with multiple rejections since January 2024. Closing above this level on the 4h/D charts imo should usher in $0.085-$0.090 quickly, and then $0.10.
Price has been rejected hard at this level, so trying to scale in to position.
I am long at $0.0831 and will scale in from here, I want/need to see a 1h/4h candle close above resistance level with some prominent volume for more confidence in the move. SL: level looking below $0.08. PT: $0.09 area to start scaling out.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT and BINANCE:BTCUSDT have been running hard for a week now, setting up the alts/other major crypto players for their moves.
what other crypto's or alt coins are you guys watching for a big move???
Also been watching BINANCE:RNDRUSDT
Current 15m chart:
The last squeak of the bearsTo date, the market has worked out clearly according to the main scenario without surprises. The attempt to rebound from 3k to the reversal of the month at the change of the weekly candle was completely absorbed against the background of a weakening dollar and the opening of the second half of the quarter above 2600. We also successfully took 2750, which, as I emphasized, significantly reduced the activity of sellers and gave the signal for the test of 3250. The bears still have a few days left for a new blow for the turn of the month, which should be prepared from 3250 and 3500. With the current market situation, the probability of sales this month has decreased significantly and the probability of opening a new month above 3500 prevails, which will provide strong support to the market in the new month.
The eth/btc pair also continues to grow, according to which I marked the target on the test in the range 0.100-125. In this situation, the ground for viola breakouts continues to improve. I am mainly paying attention to the vip cup deep oki ax asr tm, for which goals up to 100%+ remained unprocessed.