ETH-USDT 4H chartHello everyone, let's look at the current ETH situation considering the four-hour interval. In this situation, we can see the price fighting against the trend line
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1-2422$
T2-2583$
T3-2702$
I
T4-2854
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = 2346$
SL2 = 2210$
SL3 = 2061$
SL4 = 1939$
the RSI shows that we are approaching the upper limit, which may provide relief or inhibit growth in the coming hours
ETH-D
9/16 S&P 500 on the Rise: Awaiting Wednesday's Rate DecisionOverview:
The VANTAGE:SP500 closed higher, challenging its all-time high for the third time this month. At least it's not declining like it typically does in other Septembers. However, the NASDAQ:QQQ is stalling, showing a lower high but also forming a higher low. Both the SP500 and QQQ have seen diminishing volume over the last three days as everyone awaits the Fed’s rate cut decision on Wednesday.
Meanwhile, BlackRock clients made a modest purchase of $15.8 million worth of BINANCE:BTCUSD , ending an 11-day stretch of no activity. Considering their average BTC purchase is $122 million, this can be rounded off to negligible. Total BTC flow across all ETFs was $12 million, far below the average of $101 million.
The Empire State Manufacturing Survey revealed a growing general business conditions index, which rose by sixteen points to 11.5, turning positive for the first time in 2024. This signals increasing new orders and shipments, while delivery times and supply availability remained steady, and inventories leveled off. This is not ideal for those hoping for a two-basis-point rate cut.
Technical Analysis:
W: Holding strong at the $58.4k weekly level, which is the point of control for July, August, and half of September. This is a very significant support level.
D: Holding the Bollinger Band moving average (BB MA), which, combined with the weekly point of control (POC), is crucial to maintain the short-term bullish trend.
4h & 1h: Both timeframes are holding the weekly level firmly.
Alts Relative to BTC:
No significant divergence was observed over the weekend or Monday. Previous divergence can be seen when BTC broke the $58.4k weekly level on September 13th. However, both BINANCE:ETHUSD and BINANCE:SOLUSD remain below levels they had broken on September 9th.
Bull Case:
If the weekly level holds, the price could bounce off support on Tuesday and rally higher in anticipation of lower interest rates.
Bear Case:
A continued lack of appetite for risky assets may lead to further sell-offs.
Fear and Greed Index:
Currently at 34.15. While BTC holds its critical weekly price level, the Fear and Greed Index continues to decline, creating a divergence.
Prediction:
Not enough clear signals for a definite prediction.
Opportunities:
Any technical analysis signals may be invalidated by Wednesday’s price action.
Mistakes:
BINANCE:FTMUSDT surged, breaking through its resistance and gaining 6.36%, while most other altcoins remained flat.
Ethereum 4 Hour Chart Bearish Trend & Disappointing PerformanceEthereum 4-hour chart on Coinbase looks extremely bearish, with ETH trapped in a descending channel. I'm quite disappointed in Ethereum's performance. Having been around for nearly 10 years, I expected it to be much stronger by now, with a stable trading range of around $8,000 to $15,000. Well here it is support is at $2,222, and we're looking for a potential bounce upward. If this support level fails, the next support level is at $2,150. Hopefully, Ethereum will turn things around from there.
BRIEFING Week #37 : Wild Markets PersistHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
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The key to starting a trade is support and resistance points
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
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As you study candles, you will learn about trend reversal sections.
Therefore, rather than learning the shapes or patterns of candles, when you study them, you will be able to see the support and resistance points and sections made up of the selling area and trend reversal sections in a big picture.
Therefore, rather than trying to memorize the shapes or arrangements of candles, it is important to see whether support and resistance points and sections are formed when such shapes, arrangements, and patterns appear.
The same goes for other studies related to charts.
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As you study candles, you will find that what you have studied appears in the sections where candles are gathered.
These areas are drawn as horizontal lines to indicate support and resistance points.
However, objective information is needed to conduct trading on the horizontal lines drawn like this.
Otherwise, even the support and resistance points you drew will likely become useless lines if you conduct barrack trading because you don't trust them.
Be careful because your psychological state will interfere with analyzing the chart.
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The easiest way to obtain this objective information is the Heikin Ashi chart and the Renko chart.
The Heikin Ashi chart and the Renko chart help you check the trend because they show fewer fakes and sweeps.
(Heikin Ashi chart)
(Renko chart)
Among these, you can immediately see that the Renko chart is a bit easier to find support and resistance points.
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You can think of the points near the end of the blocks on the Renko chart as having strong support and resistance points.
Therefore, among the horizontal lines drawn on the chart above, the 2800.0 and 4000.0 points are the end points of three blocks, so they can be seen as strong support and resistance points.
If you change the Renko chart to a regular candle chart, you can clearly see that it will form support and resistance points or sections.
However, since the Renko chart changes the price in blocks, it is difficult to trade at this point.
Therefore, the Heikin Ashi chart or Renko chart is good to use when analyzing the chart, but it is difficult to trade.
-
To compensate for this, we created a horizontal line at the price position using indicators (StochRSI, OBV, CCI, RSI) that have been used for a long time.
The horizontal line connected to the current candle position plays the role of the current support and resistance point.
And, since the longer the horizontal line, the stronger the support and resistance role, you can see that it plays the role of support and resistance even if it is not connected to the current candle.
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The support and resistance points drawn on the Heikin Ashi chart or Renko chart are difficult to use for trading, but you can easily check the support and resistance section by looking at only the 1D chart.
However, in order to display support and resistance points with a general candle chart, support and resistance points must be displayed on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
And, the order of charts with strong support and resistance is 1M > 1W > 1D charts.
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When you look at the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts using the HA-MS indicator, horizontal lines like the above are displayed.
You can display them by changing the line type or line thickness to make them easier to see and then proceed with trading.
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The above content corresponds to the method of finding support and resistance points included in general chart-related books.
Of course, it is different from the explanation in the chart-related book, but I explained how to use indicators to more clearly indicate support and resistance points.
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Even if you trade with the support and resistance points above, it will not work well when you actually trade.
This is because you are not familiar with the most important trading strategy in trading.
In conclusion, the most important thing is to create a trading strategy, rather than finding the support and resistance points explained above, looking at the trend line, or looking at indicators.
However, it is very difficult to create a trading strategy that fits your investment style from the beginning.
So, you should practice creating a trading strategy that suits you while trading based on the information of the objective chart.
In order to trade, you need to decide on the following three things:
1. Investment period
2. Investment size
3. Trading method and profit realization method
The above three things must be determined.
No. 1 and 2 are determined according to your investment style.
Therefore, it is recommended not to change No. 1 and 2 after you start trading.
3. Based on the information of the actual chart, the buy section, sell section, and stop loss point are determined.
In addition, the profit realization method can be determined according to the investment period.
The profit realization method is:
1. How to get cash profit
2. How to increase the coin (token) corresponding to the profit
There are methods 1 and 2 above.
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In order to create a trading strategy, it is important to display all the information you want on the chart before starting the transaction.
If you do not, and then display lines on the chart after starting the transaction, psychological factors will be added and displayed, so the possibility of not trusting the lines drawn after starting the transaction increases.
To prevent this, it does not matter if you use the indicator added to the HA-MS indicator.
The reason is because it is objective information.
You should increase profits or reduce losses by adjusting the investment ratio while conducting the transaction using this objective information.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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9/15 Weeks Overview. Rate Cut Volatility or Bullish Opportunity?Overview:
The VANTAGE:SP500 closed the second week of September with a strong green candle, completely retracing the previous week's red candle. The precision of this price action is impressive: the 1st week's open was at 5623, and the 2nd week's close was at 5626. The 1st week's close was at 5408, and the 2nd week's low was 5406. So, is this a bearish or bullish signal? Neither—it's volatility. There's uncertainty around whether we're headed for a recession or a soft landing. Will the Fed’s rate cut ignite a bull run or crash the market?
One factor contributing to this week’s positive performance is favorable macroeconomic data, such as the CPI and PPI, which came in lower than expected and weren't revised down multiple times. Next week, all eyes will be on the Fed's interest rate decision, scheduled for Wednesday at 2 PM EST. This announcement will overshadow other key macro data, including US retail sales (trending up), building permits (trending down), and the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (trending upward since January 2024). Current expectations are split, with a 48% chance of a 0.25% rate cut and a 52% chance of a 0.50% cut. The expectation of a two-basis-point cut has doubled in just a month. If the odds were skewed more heavily (90/10), the market could avoid volatility as the move would be priced in. However, in the current scenario, even a 0.25% rate cut could trigger a sell-off.
Historical Context for Rate Cuts and Risky Assets:
Looking back at how NASDAQ:QQQ performed after past rate cuts provides valuable insight:
• July 31, 2019 to April 2020: Rates dropped from 2.40% to 0.05%. In the next three trading days, QQQ dropped 6%. However, it reached a new all-time high in 86 days and gained 22% in 202 days. This was supported by a strong labor market, with unemployment falling for eight consecutive years. The temporary decline was due to COVID shutdowns.
• September 18, 2007 to December 2008: Rates fell from 5.25% to 0.15%. QQQ soared 1.9% on the day of the cut and gained 12.2% over the next 42 days. However, the Subprime Mortgage Crisis ensued, leading to a 52% drop in 380 days. The labor market was weak, with unemployment rising for four months before the cut.
• January 3, 2001 to July 2003: Rates declined from 6.5% to 1%. This marked the collapse of the Dot-com bubble. QQQ had already corrected by 56% over 280 days. While it rallied 32% in the next 21 days, the downtrend resumed, dropping another 61.4% over the next 645 days. Unemployment had bottomed eight months before and started rising one month before the cut.
More weight should be given to the 2007 scenario, as the current labor market resembles both 2007 and 2001. The 2001 rate cut holds less relevance since QQQ tracks tech stocks, which were uniquely impacted during the Dot-com bubble.
Strategic Outlook:
Based on historical data, one could allow the market correction to finish on Monday or Tuesday, then take a long position on your favorite altcoin for 1–2 weeks—but no longer than that.
In terms of ETF flows, historically, if weekend was red, Monday opens with more sell off driven by ETFs.
BTC Timeframes:
W: Needs to stay above $58.4 to maintain short-term bullishness. However, given the upcoming volatility, the chances are slim.
D: As of Sunday evening, whales started selling off, likely anticipating next week’s volatility. As mentioned in Friday's forecast, "Short-term correction to $58.4, then volatility during the rate cut week." The current correction from Friday’s highs is 3.5%.
4h: The sell-off began at 4 PM EST and has now corrected to the weekly level of $58.4.
1h: The price has just reached the weekly level, and RSI is oversold, presenting a short-term bullish opportunity back to the $59.8 level.
Altcoins Relative to BTC:
The divergence continues, with altcoins correcting more than BINANCE:BTCUSD . While BTC has corrected 3.5%, BINANCE:ETHUSD is down 6.7%, and BINANCE:SOLUSDT is down 6.4%.
Bull Case: We are in a 2019-like scenario, where speculative assets rise for several months after a rate cut.
Bear Case: We are in a 2007-like scenario, where the labor market continues to weaken, corporate revenues shrink, and the recession plays out over a couple of years.
Fear and Greed Index: Currently at 35.64 and trending down. As long as the index remains below 40, it's a good time to start dollar-cost averaging into top altcoins like ETH, SOL, BINANCE:NEARUSDT , BINANCE:BNBUSDT , and BINANCE:AAVEUSDT .
Prediction:
We’ve already corrected to a relatively strong weekly level. The only prediction that can be made is a short-term bounce, followed by more volatility.
Opportunities:
BINANCE:FTMUSDT has reached a higher price on the 4-hour chart, but its RSI and MACD are trending down, signaling a bearish divergence. This could be invalidated by a sudden spike in BTC.
ETH still on liquidity zone we need volume & Buying Pressure ! Ethereum is still in a bearish market. It had a very small upward movement, lasting maybe 2 or 3 days, but it continues to show an overall bearish trend.
The only thing I can detect here is that we are still in a liquidity zone. However, there hasn't been enough volume for Bitcoin to gain strength and break the bearish channel.
That’s the key! ETH needs to break the resistance of the bearish channel, but it's still in the liquidity zone. Let’s hope to see candles with buying pressure this week, as this would indicate that ETH is ready to take off. But for now, it's just a matter of watching its movement.
Best regards.
USDT Market cap & Bitcoin Price Update"$15k to $74k"...In this bitcoin rally, market dumped total 5 times 📉
But every time the CRYPTOCAP:USDT market cap is just going UP📈 Whales are pumping market by buying every dip🚀
After touching $74K, btc price dumped -32% but USDT Market cap pumped almost +16%
It indicates that usdt is printed daily to buy the dips!
pbs.twimg.com
_
2017 : USDT MCAP 1.4B - BTC ATH 20K
2021 : USDT MCAP 82B - BTC ATH 69K
2024 : USDT MCAP is now 118B - BTC Price is $60K
USDT pumped +44% but btc still below previous ATH
The Bull Run is not over!
pbs.twimg.com
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cnb006
Bearish Ethereum Outlook: Key Support Levels to WatchWe've shifted our focus back to Ethereum, where on the daily chart, we can see ETH moving within a rising channel. This channel is bearish, as we've seen on the chart. I expect it to drop to $2,118, and if that support level doesn't hold, the next support is around $1,934. Heading into next week, it looks like things could get rough. Thanks a lot, and don't forget to hit that like button!
TURBO price volatility gonna increase soonAfter four months of sideways accumulation and holding strong above 0,003$ TURBO is poised to face the next leg up. Considering that the Ethereum meme ecosystem is constantly growing and - chartwise - ETH is making higher highs and higher lows over the last two years riding towards new all-time-high this could play out very well in the future.
Historically, squeezing Boilinger bands point to a big volatility move after consolidation. Let's see how this play out.
Successful cancellation of seasonal salesAs we approach the quarter change, I want to review the market situation once again. September is seasonally a month of sales, but at the end of August, the bulls did not show activity with a hike to 3000, allowing the price to slide to work out bearish goals at the 2000 retest. The signals for the 3000+ rest remained unprocessed. The picture is similar to a game of giveaway to safely extinguish seasonal sales at the expense of unprocessed goals from above. I think this scenario will increase the confidence and activity of buyers with seasonal growth in October. At the moment, I expect the flat to continue in the range of 2250-2750 before the opening of the new quarter. The probability of smooth growth prevails in order to return to the 3000-3250 range against the background of an attempt to reverse the semi-annual candle in the new quarter. The reason for a new test of 2000 before the end of the month can only be a new strong wave of strengthening of the dollar, but this did not happen even after the ECB rate cut. The opening level of the last quarter will have a strong impact on the market dynamics at the end of the year. An opening above 2500 will be enough to support purchases until the end of the year with the trend continuing at the beginning of the new year.
To date, given the market situation, I am leaving all positions in operation, I have reduced only the position on quick, because the price has approached a fairly strong resistance at 0.06 and judging by the monthly chart, the probability of a retest of 0.035-40 prevails before continuing to grow to 0.075-90 and above in the new quarter.
GFT and og remain the most reliable and liquid tools for storing funds as an alternative to quick. Together with them, Vib has less liquidity, but it is also well suited for this task because it is one of the most oversold coins without a monitoring tag.
Also, without the monitoring tag, pros and ast remain the most oversold coins on binance, which double-check loy due to incomplete issuance, creating interesting entry points, but also giving more abrupt disruptions against the background of a general market decline. For pros, with the current issue, the target remains a retest of 0.75-1.0, for ast, a retest of 0.150-175.
The most oversold and low-liquid coins with a monitoring tag, which gives rise to sharp breakouts, remained ooki and oax with targets up to 3X at least.
Ethereum long term price analysis ETHUSDT#ETHUSDT
According to our opinion, Ethereum has penetrated the floor of $900 and the purchase order has been cleared at this price level.
From above, it has hit its daily true zone QM and after the start of its downward rally, it has cleared its FL or local resistance and is correcting an upward price and starting the next downward step.
Liquidity below the weekly long-term trend line confirms this.
We move step by step with the price....
ETH - Next resistance at 2550 with target at 2750BINANCE:ETHUSDT (4H CHART) Technical Analysis Update
ETH price has hit bottom and strongly bounced back from the support zone (from price range of 2300 ). Price already seen a clear bounce back from the support and currently trading at 2400. next resistance at 2550 and if the price breaks that resistance then we can expect price to reach 2700.
Entry level: $ 2450
Stop Loss Level: $ 2250
TakeProfit 1: $ 2520
TakeProfit 2: $ 2600
TakeProfit 3: $ 2680
TakeProfit 4: $ 2750
Max Leverage: 2x
Position Size: 1% of capital
Remember to set your stop loss.
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Cheers
GreenCrypto
Bitcoin Short-Term Resistance: Watch The Bears!In this analysis I want to take a look at BTC's short-term price action: what can we expect over the next few days?
As seen on the chart, the price is currently slightly reversing from the diagonal purple resistance. It's too early to call for a reversal, but we have to be cautious nevertheless.
On the bottom you can see the RSI indicator flashing overbought. The previous 2 times this occurred it caused a reversal.
This is exactly the same as today: RSI overbought and hitting resistance. This is not a time to be bullish. I'd wait for the price to pierce through the resistance. For aggressive bears, however, this seems like a perfect bearish swing-trade.
9/13 Will BTC Hold the Line? Eyes on Rate Cut and Reversal!Overview:
Phone vibrates...
Voice: "Bogdanoff, he panic sold."
Bogdanoff: "Temporary bottom, reversal."
Voice: "He’s not biting."
Bogdanoff: "Pump it and paint a bull flag."
The VANTAGE:SP500 has posted five consecutive days of gains, stopping just 0.71% short of its all-time high. Meanwhile, NASDAQ:QQQ still needs to rise another 5.84% to match its previous peak. However, both indices have seen declining volume for the past three days, signaling that market participants are bracing for Wednesday’s rate cut. Whether it will impact crypto positively or negatively is the big question. Given the meteoric rise this week, Monday and Tuesday are expected to be flat or slightly negative as traders take profits ahead of anticipated volatility.
ETF flows are showing signs of divergence. On Friday, Fidelity retail traders loaded up on COINBASE:BTCUSD while Blackrock sat on the sidelines once again. Meanwhile, Ethereum continues to be ignored, with Grayscale Trust even selling. Are altcoins really that depressing?
W: Bitcoin broke through the $58.4K weekly level but still has a long way to go before signaling a trend reversal. BTC needs to cross and hold above the $63K level to confirm a weekly uptrend. This week will likely close with a solid green candle, although a Sunday evening sell-off could bring the price back to the moving average around $58K.
D: As we mentioned yesterday, "This is either a chance to enter at the beginning of a new bull wave or the highest BTC will be in a long time." BTC crossed the Bollinger Bands’ moving average and the weekly level, moving into a new range between $58.4K and $61.47K.
4h: The price is now at an overbought RSI level of 70.89, signaling short-term bearishness.
1h: RSI is even more overbought at 77.06.
Alts relative to BTC: As noted earlier, the BTC vs. alts divergence is currently unfolding. Of the major coins, only BINANCE:TAOUSDT has outpaced BTC’s 4% rise, with a 9% gain. Still, there's no sign of TAO being listed on Coinbase.
Bull case: If Jerome Powell manages a smooth landing, we could see gains from big tech stocks like Nvidia being recycled into small-cap tech and crypto. Following the first couple of rate cuts, if inflation remains under control and employment stable, the Fed could continue its policies, boosting global liquidity and fueling the final phase of the 2024 crypto bull run.
Bear case: ..phone vibrates.
Voice: "Bogdanoff, he bought."
Fear and Greed Index: 38.35, still in Fear territory. The last time BTC was at $60.3K, the Fear and Greed Index was between 43 and 55. Could this be another divergence?
Prediction: Expect a short-term correction to $58.4K, followed by rate cut-induced volatility next week.
The key is whether the MS-Signal indicator can rise above it
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
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The Chuseok holiday in Korea is until September 18th.
Therefore, it is difficult to publish ideas.
I hope you have a healthy and happy holiday.
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(ETHUSDT Renko 1D chart)
We need to check whether the price can be maintained above 2400.0 and whether it can rise above 2600.0 to create an upward block.
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator can rise above and maintain the price.
Unlike BTC, ETHUSDT is not yet above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator.
In order to turn into a short-term uptrend, the price must rise above 2531.05-2621.99 and maintain the price.
If not, we need to check for support near 2359.35.
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I think the StochRSI indicator is currently forming a high point because the slope has changed in the overbought zone.
Therefore, the 2531.05-2621.99 zone is an important support and resistance zone.
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Once you start studying charts and become familiar with them, trend lines are virtually unnecessary.
However, since understanding the HA-MS indicator is necessary, I drew trend lines to help you understand the chart.
This can actually be a hindrance to looking at the chart.
If you are looking at my charts for the first time, the most important thing is the MS-Signal indicator, which is the arrangement of the M-Signal line, which is the main line of the MS-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
This is how you can predict the trend.
The next important thing is related to the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
That is, you will trade based on the movement in the box section of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
The other lines are lines that represent the support and resistance lines drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and the volume profile section.
Therefore, if you want to know the trend through chart analysis, you can check the location of the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts corresponding to the MS-Signal indicator.
If you want to trade, you can create a trading strategy by referring to the points made up of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators or the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
If you only display the support and resistance points by key indicators, it is like the chart above.
You can trade with this alone, but I think it is likely that you will have difficulty trading because you cannot create a response strategy according to price fluctuations.
What you want to inform through chart analysis is that only the person who analyzed it can properly understand the content.
Therefore, how you accept the content analyzed by others will vary depending on each person's investment style.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since I think it can create a new trend in the overshooting section, I need to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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PULSECHAIN can continue it's recovery...The chart shown is the EVM sidechain of Ethereum --- PLS / by ETH itself
So as this chart produces Green candles.
PLS is earning you more Ethereum
and Red candles mean you are losing ETH value.
For any ratio it is the same deal. i.e BTC/USD. Green equals more USD. RED = less USD.
We have a clear bottom formation yet to truly break out.
But almost there.
As we have seen with other blockchains due to liquidity bonding.
When the Native gas token goes up... the smaller altcoins on the chain start really flying
9/12 Market Momentum Continues, But Is Bitcoin About to Peak?Overview:
Another positive day, courtesy of Lord Jerome Powell. Initial jobless claims aren’t exceptionally low, but not alarmingly high either. Year-over-year, the Producer Price Index came in lower than expected—1.7% versus 2.2%. Overall, this week’s data indicates a cooling economy, exactly what the Federal Reserve has been aiming for.
The equities market responded positively, posting its fourth consecutive green candle. ETFs are buying BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin again, but after closer inspection, it's mostly Fidelity doing the buying. Meanwhile, Blackrock and Grayscale remain on the sidelines—bearish. Oh, and no one’s buying Ethereum.
W: Bitcoin is still trading within its old range. This week will likely close green, not far from today’s price.
D: For the fifth day in a row, Bitcoin is testing the weekly level of $58.2K–$58.4K. It's also nearing the Bollinger Bands' Moving Average. This could either mark the start of a new bull run or be the highest BTC will reach for a long time. Pick your side before next week’s expected volatility or wait to avoid the turbulence of potential interest rate cuts.
4h: Breakout attempts are becoming clearer, and the price is now above the Bollinger Bands' Moving Average, signaling a possible continuation of the bullish trend.
1h: MACD shows a bearish divergence. Bearish.
Alts relative to BTC: No significant divergences.
Bull case: The macroeconomic situation has improved, and there are no significant reasons for large sell-offs. Whales are sitting on their investments and aren’t selling, reducing downward pressure.
Bear case: The general public remains skeptical about crypto, and retail purchasing power is weak. Most retail investors have already been burned during the recent months of market chop, limiting new liquidity.
Fear and Greed Index: 33.3. Where’s the enthusiasm? This isn’t how a bullish wave begins. Bearish.
Prediction: Bitcoin could continue trading within its current range for another week.
Opportunities at W and 4h divergences of major alts:
BINANCE:APTUSDT is trading at levels last seen in October 2023 and is 44% lower than its BTC ETF price. In the short term, it’s unpredictable, but we believe it’s a good candidate to start Dollar Cost Averaging now.