Ethereum (ETH) Bullish Technical Outlook Technical Overview:
Consolidation Phase: Ethereum has experienced a prolonged consolidation throughout 2024, but recent momentum points toward increasing bullish control, suggesting a potential breakout.
Shallow Pullbacks: Recent shallow pullbacks indicate seller exhaustion, with buyers stepping in at progressively higher levels, reinforcing bullish sentiment.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $3,000 (critical level for maintaining bullish outlook)
Resistance: $4,100-$4,200 (short-term target)
Long-Term Targets: $4,800-$5,000 (all-time highs), $8,000 (potential in 2025)
Outlook:
Short-term: A retest of the $4,100-$4,200 resistance zone is likely before the end of December, as momentum continues to favor the bulls.
Medium to Long-term: With Ethereum remaining above the $3,000 support, expectations for new all-time highs around $4,800-$5,000 are in play, with the possibility of reaching $8,000 in 2025 if the bullish trend accelerates.
#Ethereum #ETH #BullishOutlook #CryptoMarket #Breakout
ETH-D
Alikze »» RAY | Failure of the supply areaIn the weekly time, after a complex correction in the limit of 0.13, after the bottoming, it left the density and broke the first supply zone with a kinetic wave, and completed the supply zone with a three-wave pullback correction, and now it can Continue another kinetic wave to the specified areas.
⚠️If the green box area is lost, the transaction can be reversed. Therefore, be sure to pay attention to this point.
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02/12/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $98,894.77
Last weeks low: $90,786.17
Midpoint: 94,840.47
Last week was all about altcoins as Bitcoin takes a backseat after a the "Trump pump" rally. Consolidating just under the $100K big even level has seen rotation into Ethereum finally and more surprisingly dino-coins such as XRP, LTC and more.
XRP has rallied to ATH (+300%) in less that 1 month, the news that Gary Gensler will be stepping down and with that the SEC's tirade on Ripple. The momentum and talk of the space is with XRP for now as it overtakes the Mcap of Tether to go 3rd! This comes at a time where typically BTC profits rotate into ETH and yet a lot of the capital has gone into XRP instead and so Ethereum is still way behind, BTC, SOL, XRP are all at ATH.
With the new month beginning we typically see a shaky start to the month, especially after such a strong close. The fear and greed index for BTC is @ 80, that's down from 94 in the week previous (mid November). The drop off is also evident in the BTC.D dropping 3% as alts move up.
This week I'm focused on where we are in the cycle, many alts are climbing and of course the $100K event for BTC. I believe we are not anywhere near the cycle top, any on-chain indicator would support that but that does not necessarily mean we aren't close to a local top. A strong bearish divergence has emerged on the weekly and that is cause for concern, overbought RSI high fear and greed and euphoric sentiment on the TL. Any new longs are extremely risky for now (LTF not HTF) without any fresh bullish news events. Price currently at midpoint, hard to tell how deep the monthly open sell-off will be, a quick wick with fast recovery will be bullish but a slow bleed would be more worrisome.
ETH: This May Be Your Last Chance Before Exploding to Upside !!I believe Ethereum is significantly undervalued at its current price. I have set a price target of $7000 for Ethereum. Currently, the price is forming an ascending triangle, and there is a bullish divergence on the weekly chart. This bullish signal is noteworthy and shouldn't be overlooked. With this in mind, there is a strong possibility that Ethereum's price could at least double from its current level in the coming year. In the meantime, five upward waves have started.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
"ETH - looking for a small scalp"Ethereum is currently navigating between critical levels, with a notable interaction around the highlighted POC and value area on the chart.
Analysis and Justification:
1. Initial Upside Target - $3689:
• The first orange arrow marks the $3689 level as the immediate target. This is a crucial zone near the point of control (POC) from the previous session, acting as a magnet for price.
• If bullish momentum continues, this area is likely to act as a resistance before any significant breakout or rejection.
2. Downside Move to $3670:
• After reaching $3689, the analysis suggests a potential fallback towards $3670.
• This level aligns with the lower value area and is a probable support zone where buyers may step in. A breach below this level could trigger further downside pressure.
You may long and short but follow the lines :D
Ethereum $ETH/USDT - 200D SMA Bull Regime DetectionThis indicator helps traders identify market regimes using the powerful combination of 50 and 200 SMAs. It provides clear visual signals and detailed metrics for trend-following strategies.
Key Features:
- Dual SMA System (50/200) for regime identification
- Colour-coded candles for easy trend visualisation
- Metrics dashboard
Core Signals:
- Bullish Regime: Price > 200 SMA
- Bearish Regime: Price < 200 SMA
- Additional confirmation: 50 SMA Cross-over or Cross-under (golden cross or death cross)
Multi-swing high resistance ahead?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot which and could drop to the 23.6% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 3,883.63
1st Support: 3,452.30
1st Resistance: 4,092.48
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Ethereum: Momentum Fueled by Growth and AdoptionEthereum: Momentum Fueled by Growth and Adoption
Ethereum (ETH) continued its upward trend over the past week, closely following
Bitcoin’s rally. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is benefiting from a range of factors that reinforce its position as a leader in the blockchain space. With strong fundamentals, expanding use cases, and favorable seasonal trends, ETH’s price growth appears poised to continue.
Adoption and Network Usage
The growing adoption of Ethereum for a wide range of applications—ranging from decentralized finance (DeFi) to enterprise solutions—is a key driver of its rising value. Ethereum’s robust and versatile network continues to attract developers, businesses, and users, solidifying its role as the backbone of the blockchain ecosystem.
The Rise of DeFi and NFTs
The expansion of decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms, which leverage Ethereum’s smart contract capabilities, has created new opportunities for decentralized lending, borrowing, and trading. Simultaneously, the ongoing popularity of non-fungible tokens (NFTs) keeps Ethereum at the forefront of digital ownership and creative innovation.
Network Upgrades and Transaction Fee Burning
Technological improvements, such as Ethereum’s transition to proof-of-stake through the Merge, enhance network efficiency and sustainability. Additionally, the implementation of EIP-1559 introduced the burning of transaction fees, effectively reducing the supply of ETH and creating deflationary pressure, which can drive long-term price appreciation.
Institutional Investment and Ethereum ETFs
Institutional investors are increasingly entering the Ethereum market, driven by its utility and growth potential. One of the major catalysts has been the launch and increasing inflows into Ethereum-based ETFs, which provide a regulated and convenient way for institutional and retail investors to gain exposure to ETH. These inflows not only validate Ethereum’s role as a leading crypto asset but also contribute directly to its demand and price growth.
Seasonality and Market Momentum
Historically, the second half of December has often been a favorable period for cryptocurrency markets, including Ethereum. Factors such as increased trading activity, end-of-year portfolio adjustments, and overall market sentiment have historically supported upward trends during this time. Ethereum seems well-positioned to benefit from this seasonal tailwind, potentially pushing its price toward new highs.
Competition and Ecosystem Growth
Ethereum faces competition from other blockchain platforms, but its first-mover advantage, coupled with continuous innovation, helps it maintain a dominant position. The ecosystem of ERC-20 tokens—built on the Ethereum network—further strengthens its utility and value proposition.
Market Sentiment and Macroeconomic Factors
Positive market sentiment and media coverage contribute to Ethereum’s momentum. Broader macroeconomic factors, such as inflation and economic uncertainty, are also driving investors to explore alternatives like Ethereum as a hedge and growth asset.
Infrastructure and Partnerships
The continued development of infrastructure, including wallets, exchanges, and DeFi tools, makes Ethereum more accessible to users and investors. Strategic partnerships and collaborations within the blockchain space are also expanding Ethereum’s reach and utility.
Conclusion
Ethereum’s price growth is underpinned by a combination of strong network fundamentals, expanding use cases, increasing ETF inflows, and favorable seasonality. From DeFi and NFTs to network upgrades and institutional interest, Ethereum is positioned to continue its upward trajectory as we move into the traditionally bullish second half of December.
Will Ethereum leverage these advantages to reach new price milestones? Share your views and insights in the comments!
Alikze »» ZK | Ascending Channel - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: The scenario of wave 3 or C super cycles in the ascending channel - 1D
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the daily time frame.
- According to the momentum and bullish guard, it is currently in the middle of the channel, which can continue its rise up to the range of the supply zone if the price breaks 0.1465.
- In addition, if it faces a correction in the middle of the channel, it can face demand again in the golden zone if it returns and continue the upward trend up to the ceiling of the channel and the supply range.
💎 Alternative scenario : In addition, if it faces selling pressure in the area of 0.1465 and the correction occurs quickly, the golden area is probably broken and the correction can continue until the OB area.
💎 Possible scenario:
Therefore, if the correction occurs in a zigzag fashion, it will have the ability to grow up to the specified areas and the bullish scenario can be more likely.
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BINANCE:ZKUSDT
ATH For Ethereum...Due to the strong failure of suffering for 3 months!
In the first step, we encountered Fibonacci number 2, we had a little correction, and with its failure and the failure of number 3 and its strong upward movement, we can expect to reach the specified range or even hit the historical ceiling.
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Ethereum (ETH): Cup and Handle Pattern with $6,000 Profit TargetThis analysis focuses on Ethereum (ETH) forming a three-year cup and handle pattern, a classic bullish continuation setup that suggests a potential price surge if the price maintains key support levels. The cup and handle pattern is well-known for its predictive strength in technical analysis, where the cup represents a period of consolidation and accumulation, followed by a smaller handle indicating a brief pullback before a breakout.
Pattern Breakdown:
Cup Formation:
The rounded bottom structure seen over several months reflects a period of accumulation and increasing confidence from buyers.
The cup's resistance level is around $3,800, acting as a pivot point for a potential breakout.
Handle Formation:
The handle is a shorter-term consolidation pattern with slightly lower highs, shaking out weaker hands and preparing for a breakout.
The pattern remains intact as long as Ethereum stays above the $3,400 support level during this phase.
Price Projection:
Target Price:
Using the cup's depth as the measured move, the breakout target is approximately $6,000, aligning with key psychological and Fibonacci extension levels.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss at $3,300, slightly below the handle's support, to minimize risk in case the pattern fails.
Trading Plan:
Entry Point:
Consider entering the trade upon a confirmed weekly close above $3,800, signaling a breakout.
Profit Targets:
Primary Target: $4,500 (initial resistance area)
Final Target: $6,000
Risk Management:
Risk 1-2% of your trading capital. Ensure position sizing accounts for the difference between your entry point and stop loss level.
Key Observations:
Volume Confirmation:
Watch for a spike in trading volume during the breakout above $3,800, which would validate the bullish breakout.
ETF Impact:
The recent inflows into U.S. spot Ether ETFs add fundamental strength to this technical setup, potentially increasing buying pressure.
Conclusion:
The cup and handle pattern presents a high-probability trade setup with clearly defined risk and reward levels. A breakout above $3,800 would likely trigger a strong bullish rally toward $6,000. Traders should monitor price action and volume closely, ensuring the handle's support level holds before entering the trade. Always use appropriate risk management strategies to protect capital.
Disclaimer: This post is not financial advice and is for educational purposes only.
Ethereum: Momentum Fueled by Growth and AdoptionEthereum: Momentum Fueled by Growth and Adoption
Ethereum (ETH) continued its upward trend over the past week, closely following
Bitcoin’s rally. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is benefiting from a range of factors that reinforce its position as a leader in the blockchain space. With strong fundamentals, expanding use cases, and favorable seasonal trends, ETH’s price growth appears poised to continue.
Adoption and Network Usage
The growing adoption of Ethereum for a wide range of applications—ranging from decentralized finance (DeFi) to enterprise solutions—is a key driver of its rising value. Ethereum’s robust and versatile network continues to attract developers, businesses, and users, solidifying its role as the backbone of the blockchain ecosystem.
The Rise of DeFi and NFTs
The expansion of decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms, which leverage Ethereum’s smart contract capabilities, has created new opportunities for decentralized lending, borrowing, and trading. Simultaneously, the ongoing popularity of non-fungible tokens (NFTs) keeps Ethereum at the forefront of digital ownership and creative innovation.
Network Upgrades and Transaction Fee Burning
Technological improvements, such as Ethereum’s transition to proof-of-stake through the Merge, enhance network efficiency and sustainability. Additionally, the implementation of EIP-1559 introduced the burning of transaction fees, effectively reducing the supply of ETH and creating deflationary pressure, which can drive long-term price appreciation.
Institutional Investment and Ethereum ETFs
Institutional investors are increasingly entering the Ethereum market, driven by its utility and growth potential. One of the major catalysts has been the launch and increasing inflows into Ethereum-based ETFs, which provide a regulated and convenient way for institutional and retail investors to gain exposure to ETH. These inflows not only validate Ethereum’s role as a leading crypto asset but also contribute directly to its demand and price growth.
Seasonality and Market Momentum
Historically, the second half of December has often been a favorable period for cryptocurrency markets, including Ethereum. Factors such as increased trading activity, end-of-year portfolio adjustments, and overall market sentiment have historically supported upward trends during this time. Ethereum seems well-positioned to benefit from this seasonal tailwind, potentially pushing its price toward new highs.
Competition and Ecosystem Growth
Ethereum faces competition from other blockchain platforms, but its first-mover advantage, coupled with continuous innovation, helps it maintain a dominant position. The ecosystem of ERC-20 tokens—built on the Ethereum network—further strengthens its utility and value proposition.
Market Sentiment and Macroeconomic Factors
Positive market sentiment and media coverage contribute to Ethereum’s momentum. Broader macroeconomic factors, such as inflation and economic uncertainty, are also driving investors to explore alternatives like Ethereum as a hedge and growth asset.
Infrastructure and Partnerships
The continued development of infrastructure, including wallets, exchanges, and DeFi tools, makes Ethereum more accessible to users and investors. Strategic partnerships and collaborations within the blockchain space are also expanding Ethereum’s reach and utility.
Conclusion
Ethereum’s price growth is underpinned by a combination of strong network fundamentals, expanding use cases, increasing ETF inflows, and favorable seasonality. From DeFi and NFTs to network upgrades and institutional interest, Ethereum is positioned to continue its upward trajectory as we move into the traditionally bullish second half of December.
Will Ethereum leverage these advantages to reach new price milestones? Share your views and insights in the comments!
Let's check the movement of this volatility period
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The StochRSI EMA indicator has risen above 87.
Accordingly, the StochRSI indicator is expected to be reset soon.
At this time,
1st: 3644.71
2nd: 3438.16
We need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is rising near 3438.16, it is necessary to be careful as there is a possibility of a downward trend if it falls below 3265.0-3321.30.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether the price can be maintained around 3644.71 and rise after December 4th.
-
If the price is maintained above 3644.71, it is expected to renew the ATH.
-
Currently, the StochRSI indicator on the BTCUSDT 1D chart is rising in the oversold zone and is showing signs of changing to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, so it seems likely to rise.
Accordingly, if the StochRSI indicator of ETH is reset when BTC rises, ETH is likely to renew the ATH more quickly.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Crypto Money Flow CycleHello,
The Crypto Money Flow Cycle is a flow model that discusses the route of investments from fiat to Bitcoin, from Bitcoin to altcoins, and backward into fiat, booking profit at every step. The model theorizes that most Bitcoins in circulation aren't mined but are bought for fiat. Before every bull run, investors don't necessarily buy mining equipment but purchase Bitcoins from their fiat money. As more and more money flows from fiat into Bitcoin, Bitcoin price rallies. At this phase, Bitcoin usually pumps more than most altcoins. At the end of the phase, investors buy altcoins from their Bitcoins.
They prioritize large caps like Ethereum. So, the price of large caps rallies compared to fiat and Bitcoin. Usually, these rallies outperform Bitcoin because the investors can afford to invest not only the initial fiat value but all the profits so far. That is Bitcoin's performance on fiat compounded by the large caps' performance compared to Bitcoin.
Over time, investors move the value from large caps to medium caps and from medium caps to small caps, pumping the markets in this order. Since the investment in medium caps is larger with the profit than the large caps, medium caps usually pump more, and similarly, small caps pump even more when money from medium caps flows into them.
To realize all the profit so far, investors can exchange small-cap altcoins back into Bitcoin, which means Bitcoin will pump once again. Then all the money so far, which is the initial fiat value compounded by the profit from each phase can return into fiat. Usually, this is when Bitcoin suffers correction and drags altcoins with itself.
That's how the Crypto Money Flow Cycle usually works. It's a model, which might or might not be true. However, I can say AI could trade the estimated phases with a success rate of over 71.23%, which means there might be more to this model than luck.
Regards,
Ely
BTC KEY MOVE NEEDED BEFORE VALHALLABTC/USD Daily Chart
The key to Valhalla
Falling below 75k and staying below would be a major redflag.
A retest is needed of the 75k area is needed to reset oscillators and to confirm the strength of this bull trend before 100K+
Bearish divergence on the daily confirmed.
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MINA SWING LONG IDEA - CRYPTO MARKET ALTSEASON The price ran 2023’s swing lows and got rejected with an impulsive wick, bringing it back into the 2023-2024 range. I believe this action has reached the max pain point for this coin.
After sweeping significant lows, the price showed strong upward momentum, breaking the weekly structure and initiating a bullish trend. The daily upward momentum is also increasing, which suggests we may see some retracements, but the target is the purple lines, 2024 highs, and potentially smashing all-time highs.
The fundamentals of this coin are also strong. I believe the coin’s fundamentals will act as a catalyst, driving strong bullish momentum during the 2024-2025 altcoin season.
APTOS - APT COIN SWING LONG IDEA - ALTCOIN MARKET - CRYPTOAptos is one of the most useful Layer 1 chains in crypto right now. I believe the fundamentals of this coin are remarkable, and I expect it to perform well during the 2024-2025 crypto bull market.
The price is coming from the monthly demand zone. It swept the 2024 spring low before getting rejected from the monthly demand, which created strong bullish momentum. It also broke the diagonal trendline responsible for the bearish movement. Currently, both weekly and daily momentum are strongly bullish.
I expect the price to hit the daily demand zone and take off from there. It might form a small range around this level, but I believe we are targeting all-time highs.