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ETH-D

ETH/USDT CHART ANALIYSIS !!Ethereum (ETH) against Tether (USDT) on Binance shows notable price action within a descending channel. The price is currently at $3,112.96, showing a slight increase of +1.51%. ETH has been trading within a descending channel since early April. The price bounces off the lower boundary and moves towards the upper boundary. The price found strong support in the $2,900 - $3,000 range. The 200MA (green line) acts as significant resistance above the current price. Additionally, the upper boundary of the descending channel serves as another resistance level. A horizontal supply zone around $3,100 to $3,200 is creating selling pressure. The price was rejected at this level previously and is now attempting to break through again. The 200-day moving average (200MA) is currently above the price and acts as resistance. A breakout above the 200MA would be a bullish signal. Volume: Although not shown in this chart, volume is crucial in confirming breakouts or breakdowns. High volume on a breakout above the 200MA would strengthen the bullish case. Scenarios to Watch: A breakout above the 200MA and the upper boundary of the descending channel would confirm a bullish trend. The next resistance levels to watch would be around $3,400 and $3,800. A breakdown below the support zone and the lower boundary of the descending channel would indicate further downside. Key support levels below the channel would be around $2,700 and $2,400. The price could also consolidate within the current range of $2,900 to $3,200, forming a base before a decisive move. Indicators and Signals: Monitoring RSI can help identify overbought or oversold conditions. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Crossovers in MACD can signal potential trend reversals. ETH is rebounding from the support trendline and testing the 200MA Watch for a breakout above the 200MA or a breakdown below the support trendline. $3,200 (supply zone), $3,400, $3,800. $2,900, $2,700, $2,400. Stay alert for high-volume moves to confirm breakouts or breakdowns. This will provide a clearer direction for the next significant price action. Feel free to ask for a more detailed analysis or additional charts! Remember:-This is not a piece of financial advice. Stay tuned to us for further updates and analysis. Thank you!
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
1
Ethereum On A 7 Year Old Support! Is This The Bottom?Now that crypto has been trading bearish for weeks, there might be a light at the end of this dark tunnel. Ethereum has seemingly found support on a 7-year old support line, which originated late 2016 when ETH was still trading around 7$. As seen on the chart, the support line has also signaled a pump back in September of 2023. If this support holds, it might be the last time that ETH will be trading at 3,000$ forever. On the other hand, if BTC will continue to fall, ETH will likely follow. It remains to be seen whether ETH bulls can keep the BTC bears in check. I'd say it's more likely that ETH will fall through this support in the near future than not. Nevertheless, ETH is trading at a very interesting place for bullish traders.
KRAKEN:ETHUSDLong
by FieryTrading
BTC is down >10%; Is this a buy-the-dip moment?Just because something is cheap does not mean it is a good buy, and just because something is expensive does not mean it is a sound investment. This investment adage applies to Bitcoin (“BTC”) ever more so than now. Bitcoin prices dropped 11% over the past week, triggered by substantial BTC sales by the German government. Concerns loom about the forthcoming Mt. Gox repayments, which are likely to increase near term supply. Persistent downward pressure is anticipated as further sales are pending. Yet BTC ETFs are witnessing significant inflows, indicating that investors are capitalizing on lower prices. This paper explores a hypothetical spread trade involving short micro BTC futures and long micro-ETH futures, given the near term headwinds facing BTC and the tailwinds of ETF approval imminent for ETH. BTC DECLINES 11% DUE TO LARGE SALES BTC prices have plummeted by 11% since July 1st, breaching the critical USD 60,000 support level and 200-day moving average. This sharp decline was propelled by a series of negative factors: 1) German government liquidating its BTC holdings: The German government has been liquidating its BTC holdings which were seized by the German police earlier this year. The government has already liquidated 10,000 BTC (USD 550 million at current prices) since mid-June. Crucially, the German government still holds more than 42,000 BTC (USD 2.3 billion) which could have a major impact on markets if sold. The consistent outflows to exchanges in July suggests the impact could be felt in the near term. 2) Mt. Gox begins repayments: On Friday 5/July, Mt. Gox stated that it had started transferring BTC and BCH to its customers 10 years after the exchange was hacked. More than 47,000 BTC was moved out of the Mt. Gox cold wallets on 5/July, suggesting the repayments are ongoing. Given the size of the transfer, the impact could be substantial. While the repayments will take place in a staggered manner, most customers are expected to receive their BTC within the next six months. Aggregate repayments will total up to 140,000 BTC. 3) Large Long Liquidations: Due to the sharp market moves in the past week, BTC derivatives saw large liquidations for both long and short positions. However, the overall liquidations were much larger last week. BTC longs worth more than USD 210 million were liquidated on 4/July and 5/July. The large liquidations further exacerbated the decline. Large short liquidations over the past 12 hours suggest volatility persists in both directions. Source: CoinGlass 4) Fear Sentiment Dominates BTC: BTC’s fear and greed index has rapidly fallen to its lowest level in the past year. Over the past month, sentiment has shifted rapidly from extreme greed to fear. Heightened fear sentiment could impact the resilience of BTC holders. At the same time, periods of extreme fear can also represent buying opportunities. Source: Alternative.me Crypto Fear and Greed Index Long-term BTC holders (HODLers) who have not moved their tokens in more than 1Y have been remarkably resilient so far. Although the balance from this cohort has declined 7% YTD, it has been due to GBTC outflows, the impact of which was absorbed by other ETFs such as IBIT and FBTC. As sentiment swings the other way given the current sharp decline, more holders could start to sell their BTC. 5) BTC ETFs saw huge inflows last week: Following a mixed June which saw outflows from BTC ETFs total USD 1 billion, ETFs are once more seeing inflows. Since 27/June, more than USD 200 million have flowed. The largest inflow was on Friday 5/July, when price fell sharply. This suggests ETF buyers are using the price corrections as an opportunity to buy more BTC. This presents a potential bullish driver for BTC if prices fall too low. ETH RELATIVELY RESILIENT AS ETF APPROVAL BECOMES IMMINENT Mint Finance covered the relative outperformance of ETH to BTC in a previous paper . Approval for ETH ETFs is imminent. Bloomberg analysts previously suggested that approval could come through in early July. However, due to delays and re-filings, the updated approval deadline according to Bloomberg analysts is currently 15/July. Recent re-filings with the SEC showed minimal changes in the applications suggesting the applications are close to their final form and should be ready to trade within next few weeks. ETH ETF approval will drive spot buying and support ETH price. This is likely to drive specific outperformance of ETH relative to BTC. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP BTC faces multiple near-term headwinds. However, a directional position may be inadvisable given the bargain buying for ETFs and the sizeable, short position liquidations as price recovered on 8/July. Volatility remains high which presents a risk to a directional short position. Instead, investors can opt for a spread trade consisting of a bullish view on ETH and a bearish view on BTC. The spread trade effectively balances out price movements by offsetting declines in one cryptocurrency with gains in another. This approach provides investors with exposure to the relative performance of BTC and ETH. The recent decline in price has led to a decline in the ETHBTC ratio offering a compelling entry point to benefit from the ETF approval while maintaining a bearish view on BTC. The following hypothetical trade setup combines a long position in 19 x METN2024 and a short position in 1 x MBTN2024. • Entry: 0.05295 • Target: 0.05750 • Stop Loss: 0.05050 • Reward to Risk: 1.75x Notably, this trade does not match notional exactly as the current BTC/ETH ratio is 18.85. Alternatively, CME offers Ether/Bitcoin Ratio (EBR) futures that enable investors to gain exposure to the ETH/BTC ratio through a single transaction and match notional exactly. Each contract of these futures corresponds to an exposure of USD 1,000,000 multiplied by the index value (approximately USD 52,280 at a ratio of 0.05228 as of May 31). These contracts enable investors to obtain relative value exposure on these closely correlated assets without taking a directional stance. The EBR contract is also substantially more margin efficient than individual futures on both legs. Liquidity on the EBR contract is lower than the MET and MBT contracts for now. Volumes in the EBR contract saw a strong uptick in June suggesting greater investor activity in these futures. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CME:MBTN2024Short
by mintdotfinance
ETH: Potential Bullish Signals on the 1-Hour Chart?Hey everyone! If you're enjoying this analysis, a thumbs up and follow would be greatly appreciated! Ethereum (ETH) is currently showing some interesting signs on the 1-hour timeframe. Let's break down what we're seeing: Possible Double Bottom: The chart suggests a pattern resembling a double bottom, which can be a bullish technical indicator. However, confirmation is needed. Descending Triangle: ETH is also forming a descending triangle pattern. This pattern can indicate a breakout in either direction, so further confirmation is required. Here's what to watch: Breakout: A clean break and close above the neckline of the descending triangle and the double bottom's resistance level would be a bullish signal, potentially leading to a price increase towards $3300 this week. Invalidation: An hourly close below $2840 would weaken the bullish case. What are your thoughts on ETH's current price action? Do you see a bullish pattern? Share your analysis in the comments below!
Long
by CoreCrypto1
1
Ethereum (ETH)After huge pumps in crypto market we will have a little correction Ethereum price today is $1.6k with a 24-hour trading volume of 14.4 billion dollars on June we had a crazy Volume for eth and whales buys the dip which is a very good sign for eth price in future Eth under 1k is a most buy and 1k-2k is a dip for eth, as you can see in weekly time frame eth trys to make a W pattern an bulls try to back at 1900$ 2000, 2500, 3500 and 4500$ are the most important resistance for Eth and huge opportunity for scalper traders
Long
by moonypto
6
Bitcoin Downtrend Confirmed: What's Next?Bitcoin has been falling off hard over the last couple of days. While we're currently trading almost 10% above the 53.4k lows, the downtrend has been established and BTC bulls are losing the fight in the short-term. In my view, BTC has confirmed a longer-term downtrend by making a lower-low (56.7k was the previous low, blue line) and by falling through the 200-day SMA. Yes, I can see us bounce a bit further because of indicators being very oversold, but I'm not expecting a new all-time high anytime soon. My current most likely scenario is a move towards the dotted purple support over the next 2-3 months and a bullish reversal in Q4. How do you seen BTC perform? Share your thoughts.
Short
by FieryTrading
16
The decline of Ethereum is not yet complete.Many are already disappointed by the recent sharp drop in cryptocurrencies. The decline is not yet over! Even before all the drops, I showed orders on Coinbase around $1,800. The targets for Ethereum are $1,800-$2,150, from where it makes sense to look for entry points to buy Ethereum, Optimism, Arbitrum, Starknet, zkSync, and other altcoins. I think the sideways accumulation might last about a month. Thoughts on the film: 🎬 Ethereum — On July 23, the trailer for the documentary "Vitalik: An Ethereum Story" about Vitalik Buterin will be released. The film has been in the works for over 3 years. The theatrical release is scheduled for fall 2024, and the biography will appear on streaming platforms in winter. ➖ It's fascinating how everything is unfolding: the final decision on the Ethereum ETF for BlackRock is on August 7, the documentary about Vitalik Buterin is coming out 🤠🤠🤠, and all major projects are postponing their listings to October 2024. ➖ It seems that the big exchanges and market makers have given the signal that it's too early to list; first, they need to pump the market up. ➖ Expect further cryptocurrency declines in July, and start looking for entry points into Ethereum at prices between $1,800-$2,150. During the same period, look for entry points into Ethereum's L2 solutions, namely Arbitrum, Optimism, Starknet, and zkSync. #ethereum #arbitrum #optimism #starknet #zksync
Short
by UnknownUnicorn285026
ETh/USDT 1DInterval Chart ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of ETH versus USDT, taking into account the one-day time frame. As you can see, the price has risen from the first channel of the downward trend, marked with blue lines, but currently we are staying just at the lower border of the lateral trend channel, marked with purple lines. Currently, the price has bounced off the strong support zone which starts around $2,954 and ends at $2,681. A breakout from this zone could result in a price drop to around $2,000. Looking the other way, you can see how the price remains ahead of a strong resistance zone from $3,083 to $3,253, going further you can determine the second zone from $3,531 to $3,732. If the price breaks higher from these two zones, there is still strong resistance at $3,977. On the RSI indicator, we can see that we are bouncing just before the lower limit, which may potentially result in further upward movement, but it is worth monitoring the behavior of BTC to see if the current panic will deepen market corrections again.
by cryptodailyuk
Today's Analysis: Ethereum & Bitcoin at Critical Levels📅Today, we're diving into the analysis of Ethereum (ETH) in both weekly and daily timeframes, alongside our usual analysis of Bitcoin (BTC). Let's kick things off with a detailed look at Bitcoin in the 1-hour timeframe. 👑 Bitcoin Analysis 🔍 1-Hour Timeframe Technical Analysis After a prolonged bearish wave, Bitcoin hit support at 53921 and entered a correction phase. Currently, it is breaking through the 0.382 Fibonacci level, which significantly supports the bearish trend as the volume of green candles is much lower than the red ones from the previous days. This indicates volume and trend convergence, confirming the trend's health. The next correction levels are 58516 and 59550. Upon reaching and confirming these levels, short positions can be considered. 📈 Long Position Strategy For long positions, I will hold off until the price stabilizes above the 99-day Simple Moving Average (SMA99). Once the price secures this level, I will announce the entry point for a long position. 📉 Short Position Strategy For short positions, you can utilize the levels of 58516 and 59550 during market corrections. If the market declines or you miss these two levels, you can open positions upon breaking 56045 or 53921. The levels mentioned for corrections are reactive, and since we adopt a breakout strategy, we must wait for the price to range at these levels. With a break below the range's floor and increasing sell volume, you can enter the position. The RSI trigger for confirming momentum entry is 44.10. 💰 Ethereum Analysis 🗂 Project Overview Ethereum is a blockchain-based project and one of the best in the crypto space, particularly for those interested in DeFi. Besides its native coin and blockchain, Ethereum also supports Layer 2 (L2) blockchains like Arbitrum, zkSync, Optimism (OP), Base, Linea, and Mode, which help manage transactions to reduce the load on the main blockchain, optimizing transaction fees and speeds. Ethereum's transaction fees have significantly decreased following the Shanghai and Dencun updates, dropping from 60-70 Gwei to 2-9 Gwei, attracting more users to the blockchain. Various earning methods exist on the Ethereum network. The primary method is staking 32 ETH to become an Ethereum node, which ensures network security and earns fees from network transactions and block creation. Other methods include creating Liquidity Pool Tokens (LP tokens) on DEXs and earning fees from trades and swaps or engaging in lending and borrowing, which is a vast field in itself. 🔍 Weekly Timeframe Technical Analysis In the weekly timeframe, Ethereum began an upward move from the 1550$ area, continuing up to 4100$, then faced resistance at 3876$ and started to correct. It has now formed a double top pattern, which hasn't activated yet. Remember, a pattern holds no significance until it activates. So, we disregard this pattern unless the price stabilizes below 2914. If that happens, we can say the pattern is activated, and the price could move downward. The critical point now is that the curved trendline is broken, the strong bullish momentum in the market has faded, and the price has been stabilizing below the 25-day SMA. Additionally, the 51.51 support in RSI is broken, potentially pushing the price down. 📈 Bullish Scenarios We have a few scenarios for bullish movements. First, the price doesn't stabilize below 2914, gets supported, and starts creating higher highs. Second, a further correction to the 24709 support, a significant support level for Ethereum, might prevent further price drops. Third, reaching the double top target of 2188, which is the last stronghold for Ethereum's bullish trend. 🛒 Spot Trading Strategy For spot trading, it’s better to move to the daily timeframe for clearer charts. In this timeframe, a bearish momentum has caused the price to drop from 3919 to 2883, and it’s currently resting. If the price ranges adequately and forms a suitable structure for buying, you can enter upon breaking its range box. If it doesn't range and moves directly upward, our trigger is breaking the main resistance at 3919 unless we buy according to Dow Theory rules. Upon breaking 2883, the first support is 2620, and the second is 2188. 📊 Volume Analysis The significant volume of red candles suggests a probable break of 2883, but since yesterday’s candle was a selloff, and today and tomorrow are holidays, the price might range for a few days before selling volume re-enters the market. 🔔 Entry Points Regarding the entry points mentioned, don't place orders in advance. Wait for the price to react to these levels and form a range structure. After buy volume enters and breaks the range box, you can proceed with your purchase. 📝 Conclusion In conclusion, both Bitcoin and Ethereum are at critical levels, with Bitcoin showing bearish tendencies and Ethereum facing significant support challenges. It's crucial to wait for confirmation signals and volume trends before entering any positions. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
9
Alikze »» ETH | Rising waveIn the weekly time, it is moving in an ascending channel, which after a complex correction and higher floors has formed a runner zone, which can now complete an ascending wave in the specified area, which is the supply area. Therefore, 🔰 in the first scenario, I expect a correction with the support of the $2,500 area after touching the zone, which can appear more in the form of price, considering that the recent correction was a running zone, and then enter the upward phase. 🔰But the second scenario can break this wave of the region and continue the upward path after the pullback. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Sincerely.❤️
Long
by alikze
10
Alikze »» FORTH | Descending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Descending channel - The 4H frame time is moving in a descending channel. - Currently, in a limited range, the rangeing of a corporate pattern can have a downward refinement by testing the area. - Therefore, if it is exposed to a sales pressure after colliding with a dynamic trigger and the range of sale, it can have a 273 and green box. 💎 Alternative scenario: If it can defeat the red box and the dynamic trigger, it can test the decline channel roof. 🛑 Resistance range: 3.22 - 3.32 🟩 Support range: 2.54-2.64 »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« www.radingview.com
Short
by alikze
ETHUSDT.1DIn my analysis of the ETH/USDT daily chart, I've identified several critical elements that define the current state and possible future direction of Ethereum’s price action. Technical Analysis Observations: Chart Patterns and Key Levels: Triangle Pattern: The price has been consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern, which generally indicates a period of indecision among traders. The apex of this pattern is approaching, suggesting that a breakout is imminent. Support (S1 and S2): S1 at $2,112.62: This level is crucial as it represents the lower boundary of the triangle. A break below could signal a significant bearish movement. S2 at $2,500.00: This round number has psychological importance and may act as a minor psychological support if S1 breaks. Resistance (R1 and R2): R1 at $2,837.73: This is the upper boundary of the triangle. A breakout above could indicate bullish momentum. R2 at $4,134.34: This represents a historical high and a long-term target in a bullish breakout scenario. Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 25.93, the RSI is deep in the oversold territory, suggesting that the market could be underpricing ETH, which may lead to a potential rebound or at least a stabilization of prices. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD is below the signal line and the histogram indicates increasing bearish momentum. This could signify that despite the oversold condition, the market might still see further declines. Conclusion: The ETH/USDT pair is at a critical juncture with its price consolidating within a triangle pattern. The proximity of the RSI to oversold levels hints at a possible upward correction, especially if it coincides with a breakout above the triangle's upper trend line (R1). However, the bearish bias indicated by the MACD suggests that any bullish moves could be short-lived unless there is a significant shift in market sentiment or external market drivers. Given the current setup, my approach would be to watch for a clear breakout of the triangle pattern, accompanied by an increase in volume, which would provide a more reliable signal for either a long or short position. A break above R1 could target R2, while a breakdown below S1 might test the $2,500 psychological level before moving to deeper supports. As always, setting appropriate stop losses and taking profit levels is crucial to manage risk in such volatile conditions.
by MarsSignals
1
Alikze »» FTM | Corrective wave 2 scenario🔍 Technical analysis: Corrective wave 2 scenario According to the previous analysis, the phantom currency had an upward structure in the form of wave 3. 💎 In the daily and weekly time frame, this complex combination correction can be a response to the previous upward movement, which can be the confirmation of the wave 2 correction for the next super cycle. - In the daily time frame, it has been moving in an ascending channel, which is currently out of the channel. - An AB=CD pattern has had an ascending cycle within the channel. - Now the complex corrections combined inside a triangle are placed in a density. - By maintaining the current zone, it can have another attempt to trigger the dynamic range of Fibo 1.272 and the supply zone. - If it can break the supply area, it can move up to the Fibo area of ​​1.618. 💎 In addition, if it does not have the ability to stabilize the upper supply range, this pullback to the ascending channel can be an alternative scenario to continue the correction. 💎 Alternative scenario : if the green box breaks down and the price range of 0.58 is broken, the correction can continue and extend up to the range of 0.39. 🛑 Resistance zone: Fibo range 1.272 and 0.8301 - 0.8545 🟩 Support range: 0.6090 - 0.6349 »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Long
by alikze
7