ETH-D
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Let's analyze ETHUSDT :
Ethereum is currently supported by two key zones:
Horizontal Support ($2191 - $2550): A critical area for buyers to defend. A break below this range could signal further downside.
Trend Support: This zone has been holding ETH since September 2020, providing strong support.
Importantly, these two support zones are currently overlapping.
ETH is holding above the 200-day EMA on the 5-day chart, indicating bullish momentum.
A weekly close above $2.1k could signal a potential bullish trend for ETH.
Major resistance lies in the $3.8k - $4.1k range, requiring a significant 45% rally from current levels.
Entering ETH at current levels appears to have lower risk due to the strong support zones and positive technical indicators.
Support Levels:
CMP to $2531
$2071 to $2311
Resistance Level:
$3.8k to $4.1k
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BTC.D Update = What happened to the ALT SEASON?I had this possibility on the back of my mind but didn't think it'd play out since things are much different this time
I obviously missed the last downward movement (even though I had it marked on USDT.D + some alts)
PS. Trust me, BS news you see is just an excuse. It's almost always in the chart (in this case, tariffs) = This is how I was able to predict 5th August bottom (in that case, it was the Japanese Yen news but in reality, it's all in the chart but I missed it this time and I'll accept it, I was too busy so never looked at it.. the reason I stopped posting after November)
It would be wonderful if you guys interact and keep things on your panel too!
USDT.D (how to find local reversals? no alt season this cycle?) sorry I forgot to post it here a week ago after the crash
I had that shit marked (small green box for a powerful reversal), which hit in the first week of December, but I forgot to check it out—lol, was too busy with other things = can anyone at least remind me or everyone's a lazy ass like me, these days?
Anyway, it was a perfect local top indication (USDT.D along with other macro charts are the best possible indicators for local top/bottom. One must capture these beautiful reversals where you have at least 80% of confidence, to accumulate more and more of your favorite tokens)
Trust me, BS news you see is just an excuse. It's almost always in the chart (in this case, tariffs) = This is how I was able to predict 5th August bottom (in that case, it was the Japanese Yen news but in reality, it's all in the chart but I missed it this time and I'll accept it, I was to busy so never looked at it.. the reason I stopped posting after November)
Good thing we still haven't reclaimed the macro trendline.
and look what happens after such long wicks into resistances ... (5th August one, 22nd Jan, and last year's)
and CT getting bearish? I get it that normie retails are fearful but good big CTs ???
This cycle really is different...
LOWER it now !!! (obviously there are many other confluences I've found but I'm too lazy to mention all that here)
PS. Yes, there will be an alt season and it will catch many off guard since most have lost hope and capitulated already.
It would be wonderful if you guys interact and keep things on your panel too, so we don't miss any market movements!!! I don't Trade full time, it's just 1/4 of my gigs
Ethereum Struggles Below $3K – Another Failed Rally Ahead? Over the past few months, Ethereum has been a disappointment for bulls, struggling to maintain momentum.
Despite Bitcoin testing its all-time highs, COINBASE:ETHUSD has consistently rolled back from the 4K resistance, forming lower highs along the way.
Bitcoin’s recent drop to $90K triggered a sharp decline in ETH, pushing it down to the critical $2.1K support zone.
While the price is currently rebounding, I believe this recovery will likely turn into another failed rally.
My bias remains bearish on ETH/USD as long as the price stays below $3K. I’m looking to sell rallies into that zone.
Only a sustained breakout above $3,200 with strong buying pressure would invalidate this bearish outlook.
ETH—Signs of Life AppearingSmall, but significant signs of life showing on the 2 day RSI over the 11 day course of time shown as ETH continued to make lower lows, RSI made higher highs suggesting bullish divergence.
2 day RSI was arbitrarily used to show this divergence due to it being more apparent, though 3, and 5 day RSI additionally show the same bullish divergence
Feedback Appreciated,
Thanks
Be careful with ETHEREUM !!!The price has formed a bullish wedge on the 1h time frame, and if it breaks out, it can drive the price up to around $2900.
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XAUUSD ANALYS#XAUUSD ANALYS
####### This analysis was loaded with the correct wavenumber. ######
With this wave count, we can say that here, by hunting liquidity, $2950 will move towards $2700 to complete micro-wave C of wave 4.
I hope this analysis has helped you.
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The analysis was done by Mr. Khosravi.
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ETH—Time Has become CrucialETH has had 2 weekly closes below 3000
This is not too surprising nor should it be an end all be all indicator, that determines whether the bull run in BTC, Alts, or both, is coming to a halt or resuming
With that being said, time appears to be getting important, as 3 weekly closes should certainly be concerning.
Here we can see an intact trendline from multi-year lows all the way to more recent lows, until it just recently retested.
Additionally, most volatile, and aggressive moves from from a flase breakdown, which washes out week hands one last time.
-After hitting strong support at 2150, and dropping nearly 30% in hours, ETH QUICKLY recovered the entirety of its loses within a day.
-2150 has several levels of strong support and a further array of support/former resistance levels with 25-50$
-Time is important here—I expect for ETH to make a beeline to 3000 early next week and definitively close above 3000 on the weekly chart, signaling the resumption of the altcoin bull market in earnest.
-If this does not happen, I would say there is a cause for concern, and something is very wrong.
It is also important to note the Bollinger Band crash on the weekly chart when 2150 was tested. The last time this exact scenario occurred, ETH rallied back well above 3000 in a short period of time.
Comments appreciated thanks
ETH Building Blocks...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
ETH Building Blocks:
📈 Short-Term Bullish:
ETH is currently trading within a short-term bullish block.
📈 Long-Term Bullish:
If the $3,500 resistance level is broken to the upside, ETH is expected to enter a long-term bullish block, initiating a new bullish phase toward the $4,000 mark.
📉 Short-Term Bearish:
If ETH breaks below the short-term bullish block at $3,250, it will enter a short-term bearish block phase.
📉 Long-Term Bearish:
If the $3,000 level is broken to the downside, a long-term bearish movement toward the lower bound of the long-term bearish block, around the $2,500 mark, is expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Is Ethereum Ready to Rally? Critical Levels and Elliott Wave InsIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Ethereum Analysis: Key Levels and Market Structure
Ethereum has been moving in tandem with Bitcoin, but there are some distinct levels and market structures developing that are worth paying attention to. While most of the focus has been on BTC, ETH has been presenting some solid trade setups as well. Here’s my breakdown of where we stand and what I’m watching next.
Holding the Low: 2563 as a Double Zig-Zag
Ethereum has been working through a potential 2xZZ (double zig-zag) pattern, and 2563 stands as a key level to maintain that structure. If this low holds, the bullish case remains intact. However, we aren’t currently sitting in a Golden Zone (GZ) or a major discount level based on the recent dump, which adds some caution to aggressive entries.
Bullish Steps: 2665 & 2800 as Critical Resistance
For any bullish momentum to materialize, the first step is 2665—this level needs to break for buyers to start taking control. From there, 2800 is the larger resistance level that Ethereum must break and hold to show real strength. A rejection at this zone could lead to another corrective leg downward.
Confirmation of the Double ZZ: 2900 Break
The completion of the double zig-zag pattern will be officially confirmed with a break of the 2900 pivot. This is the critical point where bullish structure would be fully validated, signaling further upside potential. Until that happens, Ethereum remains in a make-or-break zone.
Until then, I’ll be watching how price action (PA) prints before making any major decisions. What do you think—will ETH break through or are we looking at more downside? Drop your thoughts below!
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
The bearish scenario for Ethereum is now active (1D)We have always relied on the flip zone from our previous Ethereum analyses. Now that this zone has been broken, the bearish scenario for Ethereum is active.
A more accurate interpretation suggests that this is the correct structure. Given this, we have been in Ethereum's bearish Wave C for some time.
Ethereum is expected to move from the red zone toward the green zone soon.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
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The elusive alt season... Is QE coming soon?The magical Alt season never seems to come. Most have thrown in the towel or lost all their money, which is a good sign the bottom is in.
The secret here is paying close attention to the FED's (FRED:WALCL) Quantitative tightening and easing.
Since the start in 2008, we have always either had QE or some sort of pause like you see in the 2016/17 bull run, but as soon as the FED flips to tightening, what happens? BTC pauses.
It is true that Bitcoin has performed very well during tightening cycles, as massive corporations like BlackRock and MicroStrategy are eating through the supply.
As for the altcoin market, it has been a bloodbath. One thing that’s clear to me is that altcoins need the FED to flip to QE in order to get things really going.
Going over the latest FED's Monetary Policy Report that came out yesterday, it hints that they are close to ending their tightening cycle and easing off a bit.
**WHICH IS HUGE NEWS!**
We can now see that this is true indeed because the red line is now starting to flatten out, just like in 2020 before the FED flipped to QE.
As far as the technicals go, the altcoin chart has now formed an ascending triangle and, for now, is still printing higher lows. 20 days left for this monthly candle to close.
If, let's say, this monthly candle breaks ATH and closes above it, it could signal the start of the alt season, and if history repeats, we’re looking at a run-up from March 2025 to September/October 2025.
So the next FOMC meeting from the FED is the most important of the year. Now that this report hints at the end of the tightening cycle, is it possible that at the next FOMC meeting on March 18th, 2025, they will announce the end of tightening and trigger the start of the alt season?
Pretty heavy upper wick for now on the BTC.D. It’s currently on the .702 retracement. Is this the top?
A chart I use a lot. Really want to see this monthly candle close back into this triangle.
**Alts/USDT.D**
This chart is one of the most important ones I’m looking at right now. Currently forming a bump-and-run reversal, and again, very bullish if we hold the neckline.
The USDT.D chart will always lead the way. It’s always one step ahead, never fails me. Until we see a break of this green support line, we won’t see ALT season. The bear flag pattern target is the same target as April 2021, which is interesting.
As I published on my ETH TA, if we close the weekly in this channel, it will be very bullish.
### Conclusion
I'm extremely bullish right now. Leverage has been reset, greed has been reset, and everyone is throwing in the towel. On social media, "it's over" talk is everywhere. This is the kind of depression I'm looking for to tell me it’s the start of ALT season and not the end.
**Invalidation of this thesis would be the following:**
- ETH closes weekly under the channel
- Bump-and-run reversal fails to hold the neckline
- FED does not flip to QE in the FOMC meeting on March 18th
If all these things happen, I will flip bearish. Until then, I'm extremely confident that this is the bottom, and you should go all out, lay all the cards down, take out loans, put all your chips on the table—it’s time to go hard or go home!
Ethereum Near Key Support: Ready to Bounce to 2,900?COINBASE:ETHUSD is approaching a significant support level, marked by historical price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has consistently acted as a key demand zone, signaling the potential for a bullish reversal if buyers regain control.
If the price confirms a rejection within this demand zone, I anticipate an upward move toward the 2,900 level, which aligns with a key resistance area and a logical retracement point. The confluence of the demand zone, volume profile support, and long-term trendline strengthens the case for a bullish bounce.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish candlestick patterns, higher lows, or increasing volume near the demand zone, to validate potential long positions.