ETH-D
ETHUSD: Replicating Bitcoin's past Cycle to $14,000?Ethereum is almost oversold on 1D and straight bearish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 41.942, MACD = 3.920, ADX = 30.130) struggling to find bullish momentum and get detached from the consolidation it's been inside since March 2024. The whole Cycle however is technically much like Bitcoin's 2018-2021 Cycle. As the 1W MA200-1M MA50 zone supported Bitcoin on the Cycle bottom and later during the COVID crash, it is doing so on Ethereum for the past 2 years and most recently this week. If it holds, we may see a massive rally starting to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (TP = 14,000).
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ETH Long Spot OpportunityMarket Context:
ETH has retraced into a major support zone, presenting a high-probability long setup. If the price stabilizes and confirms support in this range, we expect a move toward key resistance levels.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $2,180 - $2,400
Take Profit Targets:
$2,700 - $3,050
$3,750 - $4,100
Stop Loss: Just below $2,000
This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, targeting higher timeframe bullish continuation. Stick to the plan and manage risk accordingly! 📈🔥
ETH Holding Strong – A Massive Move Ahead?Ethereum has shown strong respect for key price levels, particularly around $2.1K and $2.8K. Despite market volatility, the $2.1K support has held well, reinforcing its significance in Ethereum’s price structure. These levels have consistently influenced price action throughout the year, acting as crucial areas for buyers and sellers. Holding above them signals strength while breaking below could indicate weakness.
Currently, ETH is trading near the $2.8K resistance, a critical level for further upward movement. A decisive breakout above this zone would improve the higher timeframe outlook, potentially opening the door for a stronger rally. The faster Ethereum clears this resistance, the more bullish the market structure remains, increasing the likelihood of sustained momentum toward higher levels.
TOTAL Cryptocurrencies: Global Market Indicator and AnalysisAccording to my theory, we are witnessing a crypto market growth cycle with a growth phase of 35 months and a correction phase of 13 weeks. I expect the crypto market to continue to grow until November 1, 2025, driven by the arrival of large investment funds and corporations behind blockchain technology as well as tokenization. The RWA sector is at a nascent stage and trillions of assets will be tokenized and used for fast transactions, ease of transfers, 24-hour accessibility and transparency. In addition, the arrival of institutional investors via ETFs should not be overlooked. Today, BlackRock owns over 470k BINANCE:BTCUSDT and is unlikely to stop. BYBIT:ETHUSDT is undervalued, BINANCE:SOLUSDT shows the very availability of cryptocurrency for everyone on the planet. Memesession is actually testing the Solana network for its suitability for massadoption. Staying bearish regarding the cryptocurrency market looks like ignoring the internet in the early 2000s. Focus on the RWA direction, a large number of projects are about to show parabolic growth!
Horban Brothers.
Shiro Neko $Shiro Big Move IncomingIf you missed the Shiba Inu run, Shiro Neko could be your next golden opportunity. The same team that propelled SHIB to mainstream adoption is behind this project, and its early performance has already caught the market's attention.
Shiro Neko hit an impressive SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B market cap on launch and, after a period of consolidation, is gearing up for its next move.
📊 Market Analysis & Potential Reversal
Strong community-driven momentum similar to early SHIB & DOGE.
High-volume accumulation zones suggest whales positioning before the next breakout.
Support forming in key price levels, indicating potential for a parabolic move.
Key Catalysts for Growth
✅ Previous ATH – $SHIRO already reached SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B market cap, and a retest could be imminent.
✅ Dev Team with Proven Success – The same minds behind SHIB’s legendary run.
✅ Expanding Ecosystem – New listings, partnerships, and real-world utility in development.
✅ Early-stage growth potential – Market cap still has significant room to expand.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT BINANCE:CHILLGUYUSDT.P BINANCE:SHIBUSDT
Shiro Neko ($SHIRO) – Next Big Move IncomingIf you missed the Shiba Inu run, Shiro Neko could be your next golden opportunity. The same team that propelled SHIB to mainstream adoption is behind this project, and its early performance has already caught the market's attention.
Shiro Neko hit an impressive SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B market cap on launch and, after a period of consolidation, is gearing up for its next move.
📊 Market Analysis & Potential Reversal
Strong community-driven momentum similar to early SHIB & DOGE.
High-volume accumulation zones suggest whales positioning before the next breakout.
Support forming in key price levels, indicating potential for a parabolic move.
💎 Key Catalysts for Growth
✅ Previous ATH – $SHIRO already reached 1-Bi market cap, and a retest could be imminent.
✅ Dev Team with Proven Success – The same minds behind SHIB’s legendary run.
✅ Expanding Ecosystem – New listings, partnerships, and real-world utility in development.
✅ Early-stage growth potential – Market cap still has significant room to expand.
The RSI is primed for a sharp reversal, signaling strong bullish momentum ahead. With increasing accumulation and volume building up, we could see an astronomical breakout in the coming days. 🚀
The setup is aligning perfectly—once key resistance is breached, expect a rapid surge. Keep an eye on price action; this could be the beginning of a massive rally!
Risk-Reward Ratio Looks Favorable
The risk-to-reward setup here could be one of the best in the current altcoin market. If momentum kicks in, Shiro Neko could replicate SHIB’s meteoric rise.
Next Moves:
Breakout confirmation above = Entry trigger.
Retest of ATH 1-bi market cap = Mid-term target.
Blue-sky breakout scenario = 🚀🚀🚀
Watch closely and prepare your entries – the next explosive move could be closer than expected! CRYPTO:SHIROUSD GATEIO:SHIROUSDT COINBASE:SHIBUSD BINANCE:ETHUSDT BINANCE:SHIBUSDT
The failure of the POS (Proof of Stake) mechanismHave you noticed that many altcoin projects older than three years are bleeding to death? The total market cap of altcoins is also declining significantly.
One possible reason for this could be the failure of the Proof of Stake (PoS) mechanism.
Bitcoin was created with a deflationary system called Proof of Work (PoW), which ensures that the number of coins generated decreases over time, creating scarcity and a deflationary economy. The rewards are fixed through a public mathematical formula, allowing future supply to be anticipated. The reduction in the number of coins mined daily is called the halving, which occurs every four years for Bitcoin.
However, over the last four years, leftist and democratic political forces pushed the crypto industry to adopt a less energy-intensive system. This led to the creation of the PoS mechanism.
How PoS Works
Proof of Stake generates rewards based on the amount of cryptocurrency staked. The percentage of rewards allocated each month is determined by governance votes, which are controlled by individuals or entities meeting a certain staking threshold. This system eliminates the need for computational power to mint new coins and encourages holders to stake their tokens rather than sell them on the market.
Today, most of the top 100 Layer-1 blockchains rely on PoS. For example, the entire Cosmos ( NASDAQ:ATOM ) ecosystem uses PoS, as do projects like CRYPTOCAP:INJ , LSE:TIA , NYSE:FET , NYSE:SEI , and even $ETH.
The Problem with PoS
Unfortunately, this technology is showing its limitations, and as a result, many PoS-powered blockchains are struggling.
Key Issues:
Inflationary Nature:
PoS systems are inherently inflationary. As the number of staked tokens increases over time, the staking rewards also grow. Unlike PoW systems like Bitcoin, which create scarcity through halving events, PoS fails to do so, resulting in the opposite effect—oversupply.
Self-serving Governance:
Staking rewards are determined by governance votes cast by those who hold and stake the tokens. These participants have little incentive to vote for lower rewards, as it would reduce their income. This creates a system where whales and early adopters accumulate large amounts of tokens, benefiting from monthly rewards and becoming "retired" contributors to the ecosystem.
Bad for Retail Investors:
Retail investors suffer the most under PoS systems. The total supply of tokens increases logarithmically over time, causing the price of the coin to decline. Initially, the excitement around the project’s growth may offset this inflation, especially during the early stages of token generation events (TGEs) and favorable tokenomics. However, as staking rewards continue to mint new tokens, platforms like CoinMarketCap and CoinGecko fail to account for the rising supply, leading to hidden inflation.
Why These Projects Are Bleeding
This inflationary pressure, regardless of a project’s quality, is why many PoS projects are in decline. Holding these tokens long-term is a disastrous decision for retail investors. They are unknowingly holding coins that suffer from far higher inflation than is visible, creating a deceptive and exploitative system that slowly drains value from their holdings.
The Solution
The solution to this problem would be to remove governance-based reward decisions and implement a fixed annual reduction in staking APY (Annual Percentage Yield), similar to Bitcoin's halving mechanism. This would ensure that the supply is predictable, and coin generation becomes deflationary over time.
The Current Reality
Unfortunately, many PoS projects appear content to continue bleeding value from their coins. As a result, it’s advisable not to hold PoS projects for more than three years. The older the project, the more inflationary the PoS system becomes.
Public trade #22 - #ETH price analysis ( Ethereum )💰 In continuation of our global idea for #Ethereum
03/02/25 for the first time liquidations on CRYPTOCAP:ETH exceeded liquidations on CRYPTOCAP:BTC
There are already a lot of “investigations” from Twitterers and not only how manipulative the market drain was on “red-black” Monday, but these are the realities of an unregulated market and “crazy” participants at all levels and ranks!)
They achieved their goal of wresting assets, including CRYPTOCAP:ETH , from weak hands and accumulating them in strong hands for future achievements.
In particular, the Trump family foundation owns $400m+ of #ETH, half of which was bought back at the recent notorious drop.
Well, we need to be in the trend and also bribe #ETH into our investment portfolio and crypto trading
🟢 Desirable OKX:ETHUSDT purchase zone - $2441-$2551
1️⃣ TP1 - $3800-3900
2️⃣ TP2 - $5900-6000
⌛️ And then: we'll see...
_____________________
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Ethereum Analysis – Inverse Head and Shoulders Formationhello guys!
Pattern Formation:
The chart illustrates a bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern, which is a well-known reversal signal indicating a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. The structure includes:
Left Shoulder – A price decline followed by a minor recovery.
Head – A deeper price drop, marking the lowest point.
Right Shoulder – A higher low compared to the head, signaling to weaken bearish momentum.
Key Technical Levels:
Support Area (~$2,175): The price has bounced off this key level multiple times, reinforcing its strength.
Neckline (~$3,100 - $3,200): A breakout above this level would confirm the bullish pattern.
Target Projection: Based on the height of the pattern, a successful breakout could lead ETH to $4,000+.
Bullish Confirmation:
If ETH breaks and closes above $3,100-$3,200, it would confirm the breakout, leading to further upside.
Volume confirmation is crucial – a spike in buying pressure would strengthen the breakout signal.
Bearish Scenario:
If ETH fails to break the neckline, it could retest the support area at $2,400-$2,600 before another attempt.
A breakdown below the right shoulder ($2,400) would invalidate the bullish setup.
Conclusion:
Bullish Bias: The pattern suggests an upcoming rally if ETH surpasses the neckline.
Key Levels to Watch: $3,100 resistance and $2,600 support.
Next Target: If the breakout occurs, a move toward $4,000 is likely.
BTC.D Capitulation Liquidation candle. Bitcoin's price hovers around $97,000 on Wednesday, following a 3.5% drop the day before. David Sacks, President Trump’s crypto czar, has announced plans to assess a Bitcoin Reserve. Meanwhile, traders on the Bitcoin CME are adopting a cautious stance, advising investors to steer clear of leverage at all costs. As uncertainty and volatility rise in the wake of Trump’s supportive crypto regulations, the potential for a Bitcoin reserve is emerging, yet the market remains turbulent due to tariffs and broader economic challenges.
Additionally, Bitcoin is bracing for fluctuations as FTX prepares to start repaying creditors on February 18. The beleaguered exchange, which filed for bankruptcy in November 2022 with debts estimated at $11.2 billion, is set to disburse payouts that could reach up to $16.5 billion. To facilitate this, FTX is actively selling assets and investments in tech companies. This development is pivotal for those impacted by the FTX collapse, sparking significant interest within the cryptocurrency community.
In 2018 and 2019, the BTC.D chart faced rejections from the 60% resistance zone during the bearish years that followed the explosive bull run of 2017.
Now, we find ourselves in a different scenario, with a retest happening in a bull run year post-halvening. While it’s too early to declare the end of the rally, the usual indicators for a BTC bull peak have yet to signal a positive trend.
From a technical standpoint, BTC.D has the potential to climb to 63.84% and possibly reach as high as 72.5%. This development could spell great news for Bitcoin while casting a shadow over the altcoin market.
This shift might be driven by consistent demand from ETFs and institutional investors for Bitcoin, leaving altcoins in the dust until later in the year.
However, some speculators believe that the recent liquidations over the weekend may have drained enough leverage, allowing altcoins to begin their recovery and, at long last, outshine Bitcoin. We await the unfolding drama with eager anticipation.
ETH Long Setup: Catching the Rebound After a 51% DropEthereum has pulled back significantly, experiencing a sharp 51% decline from its recent high. This steep correction presents a solid opportunity to go long. Currently, ETH is sitting at a critical support level, making it an ideal entry point for a potential recovery.
Trade Setup:
• Entry: Market price after the 51% drop
• Target: $4,400
• Stop Loss: $2,200
• Risk-to-Reward: Favorable for swing traders looking to capitalize on a medium-term rebound.
Fundamental Catalysts:
• Regulatory Optimism: The US is adopting a constructive approach to crypto regulations, reducing uncertainty in the market.
• Global Adoption: Big moves like El Salvador adopting Bitcoin as legal tender signal broader crypto acceptance.
• Institutional Inflow: With the potential approval of a Bitcoin ETF and traditional finance embracing blockchain, institutional demand is set to rise.
• Macroeconomic Boost: Fewer rate hikes from the Fed, coupled with inflation hedging narratives, create a bullish backdrop for digital assets.
ETH’s technical setup aligns perfectly with the current bullish fundamentals. This is more than just a technical bounce—it’s a chance to ride the next wave of crypto growth. Risk is managed with a tight SL, and the upside potential is compelling.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
BTC Moon Cycle chartI know I didn't post for a while, was busy with the TTR 2.0 build (its almost ready to launch) and my X updates
Here is the CRYPTOCAP:BTC Moon cycle chart.
Support is in mid 95k, then we should go up into the new moon or Feb 27-28th
Im very bullish into the new Moon cycle (after the full moon low) and I will be out from any longs by Mar 10th!!!
Mar 10-14th, mark it down, we are going down hard!!!
Im expecting a strong correction down to below 65k (my ideal target is 55 or 50k) by Apr-My low and a reversal back to new ATH my Sep 7th (all charts were posted on my X already)
ETH - One More, No More!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 ETH has been bearish trading within the falling channels.
🏹As ETH is hovering around the lower bound of the channels, which lines up perfectly with the $2,500 round number, it would be an attractive zone (at least for me) to look for longs.
🏹On the other hand, for the bulls to take over long-term, a break above the upper trendlines and $3,000 round number is needed.
For now, we wait! ⏱️
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Ethereum Selling ClimaxThis last, uniquely dramatic, move down smells like capitulation for the remaining sellers. It's pretty hard to find any moves similar to February 3rd (May 2021 or covid?). ETH/BTC is in the long term buy zone below 0.0348.
$2570 is the major support, though every attempt down panics below considerably. $3530 is the most near term minor resistance. Upon clearing that, $4373 (the current ATH resistance) is the big resistance to clear. Because of how low ETH/BTC went and the rarity of this sell off I would heavily bet this resistance will be cleared and is highly likely to be our next major support area.
Eth is always the last in the cycle to run, so hold steady, the eth bull market is starting.
Good luck!
Ethereum Soars After Eric Trump’s StatementEthereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) saw a dramatic price swing after Eric Trump, son of U.S. President Donald Trump, made an unexpected bullish statement on X. His simple yet powerful remark, “In my opinion, it’s a great time to add CRYPTOCAP:ETH ,” ignited a surge in Ethereum’s price, sending it from $2,750 to $2,920 in under an hour. However, the rally was short-lived as ETH quickly retraced to $2,700, leaving traders wondering: Is this the start of a bigger move, or just a fleeting reaction?
Political Influence on Ethereum
Eric Trump’s statement came at a critical time, as the crypto market was already experiencing heightened volatility due to geopolitical and economic concerns. A major factor contributing to market uncertainty was Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China, which sent shockwaves through financial markets**.
Additionally, just before Eric Trump’s post, World Liberty Financial, a crypto project linked to the Trump family, addressed concerns over large fund movements to a Coinbase Prime address. They clarified that the transactions were merely internal treasury reallocations, not token sell-offs.
With institutional adoption of Ethereum growing, and Ethereum’s role in DeFi, NFTs, and Layer-2 scaling solutions expanding, many investors see dips as an opportunity rather than a sign of weakness.
Technical Outlook
At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $2,830, down 1.83% on the day. Despite this pullback, technical indicators suggest a potential bullish setup:
Ethereum is approaching oversold levels, indicating a buying opportunity for traders looking to enter at a discount. The current price action is forming a bullish flag pattern, with a support level at $2,666 (1-month low). If this support holds, CRYPTOCAP:ETH could be primed for a breakout.
A decisive break above $3,700, which aligns with Ethereum’s 1-month high, would confirm a trend reversal and potentially trigger a rally toward $4,000+.
What’s Next for Ethereum?
While Eric Trump’s statement briefly pumped ETH’s price, Ethereum’s long-term trajectory will depend on broader market sentiment, macro events, and its ability to break key resistance levels. If the bullish flag pattern plays out and Ethereum reclaims $3,700, we could see an extended uptrend in the coming weeks.
Fair Value Set UpBeautiful isn’t it? Perfect set up, we have a 1HR FVG that got retraced into and an overlapping PD array in the form of the STH. Entry confirmation will be a order flow leg on the timeframes 3-10 at the Fair Value Line ($2770.29) targeting the short term high of $2918.00. More or less a 5% move depending on entry.
Major resistance level ahead?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could fall to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 3,026.35
1st Support: 2,468.89
1st Resistance: 3,408.31
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