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The Bitcoin Peak: When Will the Cycle End?Been a while since I published a TA. I’ve been digging deep trying to decipher when the cycle top will come in for Bitcoin. Some say it’s an impossible feat. Well, let’s give it a go. There are two major dates and one minor date for a possible cycle top: May 2025 **Volume Flow**: 1157 Days **From June Bottom**: 1064 days **ETH clear bottom**: June 2022 **Bar Pattern Fractal**: From 2015 bottom **221k Price Target**: Target crosses with the model in May. September 2025 **From November Bottom**: 1064 days **Major Macro Time Fibonacci** **Chainlink Fractal** **Chainlink Time Fib** March 2025 **Small Time Fibonacci** **Bull Flag End** **Average % move and time since 2019** As you can see, there is a lot of evidence to unpack here, so it’s going to be a long one. Let’s start with the first date: May 2025. --- May 2025 Volume Flow on Heikin Candles on the Monthly shows that from the Bearish cross to the cycle top is 1126 days, which ends up being May. Every cycle, Bitcoin has always put in a double bottom to mark its cycle low. As you can see, in 2022 we had two major crashes, and even though it’s not 100% clear here, we got a double bottom. The amazing thing about the first bottom in June 2022 is that it mirrored the first bottom of the cycle low of 2015. That fractal was a mirror, showing the importance of this first low in Bitcoin in June 2022. If we overlay the 2015 fractal, we get the top coming in May. For anyone who doesn’t know, the last two cycles, Bitcoin has taken 1064 days from Cycle Low to Cycle Top. 1064 days from the June 2022 low is May. ETH has a much clearer bottom than Bitcoin this cycle. It also took 1064 days, which puts it in May. So you can see, there is a lot of evidence pointing towards a May 2025 Cycle Top for Bitcoin. --- September/October 2025 1064 days from the second bottom in November 2022 would be October 2025. For years, I have been using this Major Macro Time Fibonacci sequence that shows me important moments in Bitcoin’s cycles. The last pointed to a move down to 48k in August 2023, which is hard to see on the 2Week chart. As you can see, it comes close to pinpointing moves, so the next date is the end of September 2025, which lines up with the 1064 days from November 2022. I have been following this Chainlink fractal for more than a year. We traded LINK using this fractal back in October 2023. You can check my TAs from that period. The fractal is still valid and tops in September 2025. Chainlink Fibonacci Time Sequence has been hitting home runs time and time again, from pinpointing the top all the way down to the bottom. The next date is late August 2025, very close to September 2025. --- March 2025 This date has far less weight for a cycle top but could be part of a major local top and correction. A small Time Fibonacci sequence taken from this level shows that March 31st is the next date, and the one after that is late August 2025, the same as the Chainlink fractal. 240% over 162 days is the average that Bitcoin moves up since 2019. If we just overlay the average, we get 127k by mid-February 2025. A mirror move from October 2023 to March 2024 puts us in March 2025. --- Elliott Wave Section I’m not an expert in this field but will throw in some takes. Could we possibly be in Wave 4 out of 5? Or could we be finishing Wave 3 right now and in for the first large correction of this bull market? The fact is, the last time we hit this band on this model was January 2021. After that, there was a 31% correction lasting 31 days. Sometimes 5 waves are very clear. Take GOLD, for example: there is a clear 5-wave pattern at max Fibonacci extension. This is a massive macro sell signal, in my opinion. Crazy how GOLD hit this level on Wave 5 as Bitcoin breaks 100k. --- ### **Price Targets If we take the first cycle and overlay to 2015 cycle, it gave us the cycle top in 2021. If we do the same for this cycle and overlay the 2015 cycle, we get a price target of 221k, which puts it at the top of my model in May 2025. Just discovered this—that’s one more point for May 2025. As you can see, in the last two cycles it worked. Will it work this time? Who knows. --- Pi Cycle Indicator If we just run a rough projection on when the next cross will be, it crosses in April 2025, very close to May. Keep in mind this is a very rough idea of when it could cross. --- Conclusion We have 5 points in favor of May 2025, 4 points in favor of September 2025, and 2 points for March 2025. As always, the path is never clear for Bitcoin. Until we get much further down the road, I won’t conclusively know which date it will be. This model I have been using has been so accurate thus far. We are so high up the last bands that we are most likely going to get some sort of long consolidation period with a correction soon, which would give the altcoin market a run.
BNC:BLXLong
by Sporia
15
CHAINLINK 200 DOLLARS BY SEPTEMBER 2025 Only up for Chainlink from this moment , do not let them shake you out , my time fib will show the way as always , for Link its showing August which is when the fractal finishes , late August . Chainlink so far is repeating the same fractal as last cycle , its very close been using it for over one year to time the market with amazing results the fractal cycle top pattern comes in in August 2025. The sell zone is in the yellow box , invalidation of this idea would be LINK closing a weekly under 20 dollars.
COINBASE:LINKUSDLong
by Sporia
16
BTC can still WIN After DeepSeek DumpTings are looking rough for BTC and ETH in the daily. Let's talk about ETH first. The previous time I posted on ETH, we took a look at a bullish pattern forming - the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern. VS the VERY different picture we see today after the weekly closed underneath support: Apart from chart patterns and bullish indicators - I was also confident that the price of ETH would increase, as we haven't seen a new ETH all time high, compared to the drastic ATH Bitcoin made. This, would be unusual. So the question remains - why did the pattern fail so miserably? There is no reason specifically as to WHY chart patterns fail - especially if they seem so strong. Some may argue its whale play, others may say it's a news event etc... But either way, the only real way to safeguard a trade from a failing pattern is to wait for confirmation . And the worst ting is - even then, it may still fail. However, this is by far a safer play than just relying on a pattern that's busy forming. Here's a short idea of what a confirmation would look like on some bullish patterns (blue): Now, to talk about BTC in the Logarithmic view. I mapped out the date-ranges, as well as how far the price fell logarithmically after each top. You'll see the word "clicks" on the chart. This simply indicates the amount of diagonal trendlines it has fallen. By using this pattern-dedicated approach, a commonality is found which may be useful in speculating a future price. Because if not for past history, how else would we speculate on the future? It's interesting to note that the past 3 ATH's (all time high's) are each lower than the previous if you compare it not to price but to the "click lines". Even the fourth high (the one coming next) will be on a lower click-line than the previous, and that estimate is already over 300k. This is a really helpful way to speculate a future high because usually on a regular-view chart, the zone above the ATH is uncharted territory. You could use a Fibonacci trend-based extension, but this is limited to the cycle that you're using for input points. Logarithmic chart + indicators factor in the entire history of the price. So could it be that this is just another dip in the road towards a new ETH ATH - and potentially even another BTC increase? ______________________ BINANCE:ETHUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT
INDEX:BTCUSD
by CryptoCheck-
2
ETH 18000 DOLLARS BY SEPTEMBER 2025 God dam what a beautiful day it is , one dreams of such a entry in a bull market. ETH will hit 18000 dollars by september 2025 there is nothing you can about it , this is the game, leverage wiped out and reset now we enter the "only up period" from this moment . The key to finding out the next move was the USDT DOM like always pointing the way , the lower higher on the RSI showing divergence. The money flow on MC indicator was very clearly showing this move , private indicator cant publish it on here. The Fractal from 2020 on ETH is playing out FORGET THIS HAMMER WICK it is happening from here ETH will close in this channel and rally to 18k! Do not give in to fear this is where you want to stack as much as possible . Invalidation of idea would be ETH closing a weekly candle under this ascending macro channel .
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Sporia
12
Ethereum 20% Crash: Temporary Setback or a Buy Opportunity?Hello, Traders! Ethereum experienced a significant drop, plunging over 20% in just one day and hitting its lowest point since last August. ETH price found strong support at $2130 and I don’t expect further downfall beyond this level unless broader market conditions deteriorate. One of the key technical developments was Ethereum breaking the crucial $2800 support zone, which is a bearish signal for the continuation of the uptrend. However, a quick recovery above this level could reignite bullish momentum and bring buyers back into the market. W atching how ETH reacts to this resistance will be crucial in the coming days. The main catalyst for this sell-off was Trump’s decision to impose tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, which triggered a broader risk-off sentiment in global markets. The crypto space, being highly sensitive to macroeconomic events, saw a sharp reaction, with Ethereum and other major altcoins suffering deep corrections. Despite the current bearish outlook, there is one major reason why Ethereum is likely to recover quickly — the upcoming Pectra upgrade, set to take place next month. Historically, ETH has seen strong rallies leading up to major network upgrades, and I expect a similar pattern to unfold this time. If the market stabilizes and sentiment shifts, Ethereum could reclaim lost ground and resume its long-term bullish trajectory. For now, the key levels to watch are $2130 as support and $2800 as resistance. A break above $2800 could signal a strong reversal, while failure to hold $2130 might open the door for deeper corrections Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
by Real_CryptoRoy
7
eth longterm buy sell limit"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟 We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎 Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫 Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭 Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Long
by Golden_candle
Dogcoin ($DCOIN) Primed for a 300% SurgeThe Ethereum-based memecoin, Dogcoin ($DCOIN), has been making waves in the crypto space with its volatile price movements and potential for explosive growth. After hitting an all-time high (ATH) of $0.01999, followed by a dramatic nosedive of 97%, $DCOIN appears to be setting up for yet another major price movement. Technical Analysis Historically, Dogcoin has displayed a pattern of sharp price surges followed by equally significant retracements. This was evident in the last week of January 2025, when $DCOIN surged by 1051% after forming a falling wedge—a classic bullish reversal pattern in technical analysis. Currently, the token has once again dipped by 82%, mirroring previous retracements that preceded massive breakouts. The formation of another falling wedge suggests the potential for a 300% upside in the coming days. If the pattern holds, $DCOIN could witness another parabolic move as buyers step in, anticipating history to repeat itself. However, the broader crypto market sentiment plays a crucial role in this speculative setup. With Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) experiencing a sharp correction from $107K to as low as $94K, market-wide bearish momentum could pose challenges for $DCOIN’s potential rally. If Bitcoin stabilizes or reverses its losses, it could provide a supportive environment for Dogcoin’s anticipated surge. The Strength of Community-Driven Growth Unlike many memecoins that rely on hype-driven pump-and-dump schemes, Dogcoin sets itself apart with a strong community-first approach. The project is fully decentralized, with no presale, no team allocations, and a liquidity-secured supply. These factors reinforce $DCOIN’s credibility and long-term potential as a fair and transparent project. Dogcoin’s appeal lies in its mission to unite the crypto community through a shared vision of fun, inclusivity, and financial opportunities. Its growing adoption and increasing trading volume, reflected in its 24-hour trading volume of $4.42 million, suggest an active market presence that could support its price trajectory. Additionally, its positioning as the ‘crypto pet for everyone’ taps into the sentiment-driven nature of the memecoin space, where community enthusiasm can fuel exponential price movements. Given the historical impact of community-driven projects like Dogecoin ( CRYPTOCAP:DOGE ) and Shiba Inu ( CRYPTOCAP:SHIB ), Dogcoin has the potential to carve out its niche in the memecoin market. Market Sentiment and Potential Risks While technical indicators signal a potential 300% breakout, the overall market conditions must align for this projection to materialize. Bitcoin’s continued retracement or a broader downturn in the crypto space could hinder $DCOIN’s bullish momentum. Investors should also be aware of the inherent risks of memecoins, as their price action is highly speculative and prone to extreme volatility. Proper risk management, including setting stop-loss orders and monitoring Bitcoin’s movements, will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on $DCOIN’s potential surge. Conclusion Dogcoin ($DCOIN) presents an exciting opportunity for traders and investors seeking high-risk, high-reward plays in the crypto market. The formation of a falling wedge, combined with its history of explosive surges, points to a possible 300% upside. However, external market factors, particularly Bitcoin’s stability, will play a key role in determining whether this breakout materializes. With a strong community-driven approach, transparent tokenomics, and increasing market activity, Dogcoin stands out as more than just another memecoin. If the broader market conditions align, $DCOIN could be gearing up for another historic rally, potentially cementing its place among the top-performing memecoins of 2025.
UNISWAP:DCOINWETH_BF64E8.USDLong
by DEXWireNews
ETH Secondary trend. Channel. Potential triangle. 25 12 24Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. With altcoins (overflow of profits from bitcoin, now) along with XRP this is asset #1 for pumping, the reason for this is liquidity, which is extremely necessary for large capital. The average price of 1 distribution zone is conditionally 10 thousand. These are not the maximums of the cycle. When the price lingers in this zone and there is a massive positive news background, all L2 assets, which are now in their accumulation zones, or in retests of breakout zones, will "fly" to super pumps (this is what it is). In percentage terms, they will show an order of magnitude greater profit in their distribution zones. Remember, as a rule, such assets (low liquidity) are first pumped by an aggressive pump (to leave in parts, without regret) by a huge %, and only then is a distribution zone formed on a rollback (channel, triangle ...) (hope for a huge profit on the continuation of the pump). This idea is a continuation of this idea (which I can't update) of a secondary trend, the goals of which have been achieved with utmost precision: ETH/USD Secondary trend. Bullish triangle. Breakout. Target 96% 11 11 2023 It is worth noting that now in the news background: "ether is bad" , huge fake short positions for the news background. Many crypto media personalities speak negatively about the “prospects” of this very promising cryptocurrency of the “American” (Jewish) transnational financial conglomerate JPMorgan Chase (size of depository assets — $ 32.4 trillion, size of assets under administration — $ 7.7 trillion, etc.). What kind of lack of prospects can we talk about?? If they “stink” a lot to create public opinion, then there is probably an interested party in this. That is, it is worth doing everything the opposite of what they want to inspire, and as a result, tilt supply/demand in a favorable direction, which, as a rule, is always unprofitable for most market participants. If you are an investor , then buy at any price (you can use martingale in parts, or place trigger orders for a breakthrough of important zones), and do not be interested in the opinion of the majority (meaningless market noise) and the news background (manipulation, deception). Sell ​​in the distribution zone (time is known in advance when, 2 zones) with a huge profit, as for a liquid trading instrument. If you are a small investor or trader , then pay attention to the L2 group of assets and ETC (big pump “stick”), and use ETH itself as an indicator of “when”. Also, the idea shows an unlikely scenario, or rather two scenarios. Consider this in your risk management. The idea of ​​​​the main trend , published several years ago. Which, of course, is still relevant now. Everything develops organically, and extremely precisely according to plan. ETH/USD Main trend Pump/dump cycles. Accumulation/Distribution 8 09 2022 Trend in general for clarity now. locally this potential triangle (it doesn't exist yet) looks like this.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by SpartaBTC
2
XRP/USD technical analysis from 30.01.25 (Buy HOLD!)Glad to welcome everyone, dear friends! At the request of subscribers technical analysis of the pair pair Xrp/Usd. With the arrival of D. Trump, a new branch of development of the cryptocurrency market has begun. Xrp also did not stay aside, and many investors look at this project positively, setting high hopes. For example, the US SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) may eventually finalize the XRP-SEC case that has been holding back the cryptocurrency for years. Another major accomplishment for Ripple was using transmitters licensed in Texas and New York to expand its presence in the US. Also, in early 2024, Ripple acquired Standard Custody and along with the purchase they received a license to store assets in New York, so they can offer cryptocurrency storage to banks in New York as well as RLUSD. Due to this positive news, and in conjunction with my analysis on Btc/Usd and Eth/Usd pair, I expect a breakdown of the diagonal line and the main resistance zone indicated on the chart and growth to the main target of ~$3.63 as part of wave 5 (sub-wave 3). Stop for the local minimum of ~$2.6. Happy trading everyone and don't forget about risk management! Some more of my ideas: BNB/USD on 01/28/25 ARB/USD from 28.01.25 LDO/USD from 01/19/25
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by CaptainLong