OP/USD. It's time to RETURN! Technical analysis from 27.01.25Hello everyone, dear friends!
While bitcoin is holding in the phase of uncertainty, I suggest to consider the Op/Usd pair.
The price has been trading in a wedge structure for a long time, having formed a divergence. The spring is compressed for a long time and at the current moment I expect a breakdown on volume of the upper boundary of the triangle. Targets, entry point and stop loss are indicated on the chart.
From the recent:
Ldo from January 19:
Current picture:
Want more and, most importantly, for free, write in private messages, I will give access because here is forbidden advertising of third-party links.
Happy bidding!
ETH
Nobody appreciates it !!!The price is currently at a important point, which in my opinion is bullish. There are two scenarios here: first, the triangle breaks upwards and reaches the target; second, the triangle breaks downwards to liquidate traders and then reaches the intended target.
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Ethereum (ETH): Sellers Have Not Finished / Long Term BullishEthereum is still seeing some pressure from sellers, which gives us an idea that they are not finished yet!
Pressure on the local support zone is big and there is almost no volume at all from buyers, which means most likely we will break.
We are waiting for a proper breakdown and then we should see some buying volume to build up eventually!
Swallow Team
BTC.D - Official Alt Season ?Charting this on a weekly timeframe is tough, so use it as a reference point only.
I’ll provide more precise analysis on lower timeframes, but this represents my general macro outlook. But: Start preparing for an Exit Strategy. You are warned.
1st area of Interest = Green Box (45-46%)
2nd area of Interest = 43% Horizontal Support and close Trendline Support
3rd area of Interest (in case we got very lucky) = 39.70%
Ethereum (ETH): Starting to DCA! / Bullish TrendEthereum has been moving very well inside the bullish trend here, where since reaching our local resistance zone price has shown us a proper correction leading it back to the bullish trend line.
Now, despite the fact that we are bullish on ETH, we see that price still has some room to fall (a little) before showing us a proper move toward the ATH.
Meanwhile, it is a good time to DCA so that's what we are doing!
Swallow Team
DOGE potential for 19% short term gain based on Neural Network
Hi all, I developed an simplified AI indicator and I applied it to the DOGE 4 hour time frame chart and got positive results. On average, the backtest is showing roughly a 19% gain per LONG trade. According to the script, we just exited a short trade, and entered a long trade, and the average long trade yields 19%.
Looking at DOGE’s recent price action and leveraging my custom neural network backtest, there's a strong possibility that the coin could see a short-term gain. The model has been extremely accurate in predicting these types of moves, taking into account factors such as market momentum and volume patterns. With the technicals aligning, it appears that DOGE is positioned for a bounce, especially with the broader crypto market showing positive signals.
Keep an eye on DOGE, as the bullish momentum might just surprise us with something bigger.
ETH Before the Hunt: Why Clarity is King in TradingIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
When it comes to trading, patience is often as important as the strategy itself. As I stared at the chart for what felt like an eternity, I couldn’t help but notice the mixed signals emerging from the Elliott Wave side of things. Mixed signals can be frustrating, especially when you’re eager to make a move, but they’re also a reminder to slow down and let the market tell its story.
In moments like these, clarity is everything. For me, clarity comes at specific levels—in this case, 3k or 3750. Until one of these levels breaks, I can’t say I’m confident enough to take a stance or make an entry. Trading without clarity isn’t trading; it’s guessing. And let’s face it, guessing doesn’t have a great track record in this game.
Why 3k and 3750 Matter
So, why these specific levels? In technical analysis, certain price points serve as psychological or structural boundaries. They’re often where traders make decisions that push the market one way or another. A break of these levels would signal a shift—whether in momentum, sentiment, or structure—that provides the clarity I need to move forward.
Elliott Wave analysis is notoriously nuanced. Sometimes the waves line up perfectly, painting a clear picture, and other times they leave you scratching your head. Right now, the picture isn’t clear enough for me to confidently interpret the waves, which is why those key levels are so important. They act as filters, cutting through the noise and allowing me to focus on the signal.
The Power of Patience
Patience in trading isn’t just about waiting—it’s about waiting with purpose. The market doesn’t reward impulsive behavior, but it often rewards disciplined traders who wait for the right setup. That’s why I’m holding off for now. If one of those levels breaks, I’ll reassess, recalibrate, and, if everything lines up, begin the hunt for an entry.
The idea of “the hunt” is what keeps me engaged. It’s not about rushing to pounce on an opportunity; it’s about tracking it, understanding it, and striking when the odds are in your favor. But before the hunt, there’s the waiting.
Dealing with the Uncertainty
It’s worth noting that uncertainty is part of the game. No chart analysis, no matter how thorough, can guarantee an outcome. What you can do is put yourself in a position to make informed decisions based on your strategy and the information available. Right now, the information I need lies at the 3k and 3750 levels. Until those break, my job is to sit back and observe.
Waiting for clarity might feel passive, but it’s an active part of the process. By staying patient, I’m avoiding the pitfalls of premature action and ensuring that when I do make my move, it’s backed by data, analysis, and strategy—not emotion or guesswork.
Final Thoughts
Mixed signals are part of the trading experience. They can test your patience and make you second-guess your approach, but they’re also a valuable reminder to stick to your plan. For me, that means waiting until 3k or 3750 levels break. When they do, I’ll be ready to act.
For now, the hunt is on pause. But once clarity shows up, that’s when the real work begins. Until then, it’s all about watching, analyzing, and preparing. Because in trading, as in life, timing is everything.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
Trump's coin impact!The recent surge of Trump Coin highlights how sudden market movements can disrupt price patterns and influence trading behavior across the broader cryptocurrency market. The rapid rise of Trump Coin, which soared by over 600%, sparked a wave of euphoria and speculation, drawing attention away from other cryptocurrencies and creating a ripple effect that reshaped
market dynamics.
The Trump Coin Phenomenon
Trump Coin's explosive price increase captivated both traders and investors, significantly shifting market focus. This wasn’t just a temporary spike, but an event with lasting consequences that drained liquidity and trading volume from other coins, concentrating interest on Trump Coin.
Impact on Other Cryptocurrencies
As Trump Coin gained traction, the wider market began to stagnate, with overall market indicators like TOTAL (representing total market capitalization) and TOTAL2 (excluding Bitcoin) showing little movement. This period of stagnation reflected a lack of fresh capital flowing into other cryptocurrencies, as most traders redirected their focus to the Trump Coin rally.
The following consequences were observed:
[/b ]Liquidity Drain: As attention turned to Trump Coin, many altcoins saw a significant drop in trading volume, resulting in price stagnation and periodic sell-offs.
Market Dump: Investors exiting their positions in other cryptocurrencies to join the Trump Coin rally contributed to temporary market dumps, amplifying the broader consolidation phase.
Psychological Shift: The excitement surrounding Trump Coin led to a more cautious "wait-and-see" mentality among traders, reducing overall market volatility as fewer positions were opened.
Consolidation Phase
In the wake of Trump Coin's rapid rise, other cryptocurrencies entered a consolidation phase, a common occurrence when the market experiences a lull or imbalance. This phase reflects a market seeking stability before the next significant movement, with many investors holding back as they await further developments.
ETH : Behind the scenes Despite concerns regarding the Ethereum Foundation and its recent underperformance relative to other cryptocurrencies, data indicates significant whale activity, with holders of over 1,000 ETH buying during the dip. This accumulation by large investors could be interpreted as one of the most bullish signals in recent years for Ethereum. Amidst polarising price actions about XRP, SOL, and BTC, this presents a notable opportunity for those considering investing in ETH for potentially significant long-term gains.
Ethereum Name Service #ENS leverage on ETH (if we are lucky ofc)
The network is pretty much unusable right now for regular people.
A Rich man's chain.
Either way the ENS chart presents a potential inverse head and shoulders
that has a large log target reaching back to previous high's makes sense to me.
BTCUSD - Will history repeats itself ?This post is just a correction from a post I made last month
I missed on identifying correctly the pattern because I thought the middle of the channel would act as a strong support
ended up being wrong on the timing of the next wave up - not a big deal tho
I also profit of this moment to update the fractal path that's BTC is doing, as you can see the asset is just copying move from last year (in violet) this is quite interesting because it did this the whole cycle, i don't remember seeing this before but maybe i'm wrong
so yeah the violet bar patterns says we go great wave up in a few days can you believe it ?
i'll start to take profit next month but not sure 100% id like to see what is going to do Pectra update on Eth's price
Here's a bigger picture i made in November still working very well :
not financial advice
Cheers
CONVO AI AGENT CAN return to its BULL trend.The Prefrontal Cortex Convo agent represents a cutting-edge AI designed for engaging and dynamic dialogues. It combines perception, long-term memory, and decision-making capabilities to provide tailored, context-sensitive replies. In contrast to conventional agents, it thoughtfully determines its responses, facilitating in-depth discussions, remembering details from previous interactions, and making independent choices.
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Complete analysis and review of Ethereumhello friends
We came with Ethereum analysis
As you can see, the price reached good support after a drop and was able to grow.
Now that the price has compressed and created a triangle for us, we are facing two scenarios:
1_ According to the beginning of the upward trend, succeed in breaking the ceiling and move to the specified goals.
2_ The price should fall from here until the support area is determined and then it starts to climb.
In our opinion, scenario 1 is more tolerant.
*Trade safely with us*
M-Signal indicator is starting to converge
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This volatility period for ETH is expected to last until January 26.
However, since the volatility period for BTC is expected to last until January 31, it is expected that it will be important to find support at some point after the volatility period until January 26.
It is showing a downward trend from 3265.0-3321.30, which is an important support and resistance area for ETH.
The key is whether it can quickly rise to or above 3265.0-3321.30 and maintain the price.
If it falls below 3136.41, it is likely to fall near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, so a countermeasure is needed.
Therefore, during this volatility period, we need to check in which direction it deviates from the 3136.41-3321.30 range.
If it is supported near 3136.41, it is expected that there will be an attempt to rise again to the 3265.0-3321.30 range.
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As the downtrend progresses, the M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts have begun to converge.
Therefore, it seems likely that it will diverge again after the volatility period on January 26 or January 31.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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The "Flippening"The "Flippening" goes back to 2017, a term coined back then referring to a possible future where Ethereum overtakes the marketcap of Bitcoin.
Should that ever occur, it would also take a larger portion of market dominance than Bitcoin
Here's a silly chart, just for fun, imagining that scenario during the current bull market.
The Wyckoff Accumulation Method. And how it can make you money.Richard Demille Wyckoff (1873–1934) was a trailblazer in the early 20th century, known for his innovative technical methods in stock market analysis. He ranks among the five great figures of technical analysis, alongside Dow, Gann, Elliott, and Merrill. At just 15 years old, he began his career as a stock runner for a brokerage in New York. By his twenties, he had already risen to the position of head of his firm.
Wyckoff was a passionate learner of the markets, deeply engaged in tape reading and trading. He closely monitored the market manoeuvres and strategies of the iconic stock traders of his era, such as JP Morgan and Jesse Livermore. Through his keen observations and discussions with these prominent figures, Wyckoff distilled the most effective practices of Livermore and others into a set of laws, principles, and techniques that shaped his trading methodology, money management strategies, and mental discipline.
Mr. Wyckoff noticed that many retail investors were consistently being taken advantage of. In response, he committed himself to educating the public on “the true rules of the game” as dictated by major players, often referred to as “smart money.” In the 1930s, he established a school that eventually evolved into the Stock Market Institute. The primary focus of the school was a course that combined Wyckoff's insights on recognising the accumulation and distribution strategies of large operators with techniques for aligning one’s investments with these influential entities. His enduring principles remain just as relevant today as they were when he first shared them.
“…all the fluctuations in the market and in all the various stocks should be studied as if they were the result of one man’s operations. Let us call him the Composite Man, who, in theory, sits behind the scenes and manipulates the stocks to your disadvantage if you do not understand the game as he plays it; and to your great profit if you do understand it.” (The Richard D. Wyckoff Course in Stock Market Science and Technique, section 9, p. 1-2)
Wyckoff advised retail traders to try to play the market game as the Composite Man played it. He claimed that it doesn't matter if market moves “are real or artificial; that is, the result of actual buying and selling by the public and bona fide investors or artificial buying and selling by larger operators.”
Wyckoff, drawing from his extensive observations of the market activities of major players, imparted several key insights:
The Composite Man meticulously strategises, implements, and wraps up his market campaigns.
He entices the public to invest in a stock where he has built a significant position by engaging in numerous transactions, effectively promoting his stock and creating the illusion of a “broad market.”
To truly grasp the dynamics at play, one must analyse individual stock charts to discern the behaviour of the stock and the intentions of the large operators who influence it.
With dedicated study and practice, individuals can develop the skill to decode the underlying motives reflected in a chart's movements. Wyckoff and his colleagues believed that by understanding the market behaviour of the Composite Man, traders could spot numerous trading and investment opportunities early enough to capitalise on them.
One goal of the Wyckoff method is to enhance market timing when entering a position by predicting an upcoming movement that offers a favourable reward-to-risk ratio. Trading ranges (TRs) represent areas where the previous trend, whether upward or downward, has paused, creating a relative balance between supply and demand. During these TRs, institutions and large professional players gear up for their next bullish or bearish strategies by either accumulating or distributing shares. In both accumulation and distribution phases within TRs, the Composite Man is actively engaged in buying and selling. The key difference lies in the fact that during accumulation, the volume of shares bought exceeds those sold, whereas in distribution, the opposite occurs. The degree of accumulation or distribution ultimately influences the nature of the subsequent movement out of the TR.
Springs and shakeouts typically happen towards the end of a trading range (TR), providing key players in the stock market an opportunity to thoroughly assess the available supply before initiating a markup phase. A "spring" occurs when the price dips below the lowest point of the TR, only to rebound and close back within the range. This maneuver can create confusion among the public regarding the future direction of the stock, allowing major investors to acquire more shares at lower prices. A terminal shakeout, which takes place at the conclusion of an accumulation TR, is essentially an amplified version of a spring. Additionally, shakeouts can happen even after a price increase has begun, characterized by a swift drop designed to prompt retail traders and long-position investors to sell their shares to larger market players.
To sum up, while there is much more to explore on this topic, Richard D. Wyckoff's
groundbreaking contributions in the early 1900s highlighted that stock price movements are largely influenced by institutional players and significant market operators who often sway prices to their advantage. Although many professional traders incorporate Wyckoff's techniques, his comprehensive approach remains underutilised among retail investors, despite his aim to educate the public on the "true rules of the game." His methods for stock selection and investment have proven resilient over time, thanks to their detailed, systematic, and logical framework for pinpointing high-probability, lucrative trades. This disciplined strategy empowers investors to make rational trading choices, free from emotional bias. By applying Wyckoff's principles, investors can align themselves with the strategies of influential "smart money" players, avoiding the pitfalls of being on the wrong side of market movements. Mastering Wyckoff analysis demands significant practice, but the rewards are undoubtedly worthwhile.