Ethanalysis
ETH loading up for a big move For the past week ETH has been in accumulation bouncing between the 0.6 and 0.7 FIB level. I believe we are going to see a big move in the next coming days/ week. we are going to need to see the bulls step in and hold the 0.6 FIB if we are going to see a big move up breaking the 0.7 FIB and then to go for that ATH! The EMA ribbons are slightly on the move upwards and the Stoch RSI is now pushing into the Oversold area indicating the chance of a wave of buys coming soon. Also if you check out the bollinger bands they are starting to squeeze together pointing at a chance of a big move. Lastly our Wave Trend Oscillator has been twisting back and forth due to the stagnant price action over the past week, we want to see our Blue stay and open up ontop of our orange. For the time being ETH and the market is going to follow bitcoin so depending on what BTC does is also a good indication of what the market and ETH will do. Not financial advice just my opinion.
ETH - 12h. Continued consolidation or continued growth?Today, we closed the previous ETH idea because it achieved our target. It's time for a new idea.
The sudden collapse of the ETH price on February 22-23 caught buyers by surprise. The main battle for the medium-term trend in the ETHUSDT market took place in the range of $1400-1430 . Interestingly, from where ETH prices began to rise in early February, it returned at the end of the month. This is clearly seen in the monthly timeframe:
This fact increases the probability of a scenario of protracted consolidation until June 2021 .
The main signal of this scenario will be a failed attempt by buyers to break the range of $1900-1950 . As you can see in the chart, it is from this range that the powerful momentum of the fall began. Re-testing this range at low volumes will give sellers a new chance to test $1350-1400.
If we look at the chart of the ETHBTC pair, we see a similar situation:
In early February, buyers gave sellers control over the range of 0.036-0.038. As long as ETHBTC prices are below this range, the probability of protracted consolidation is very high.
An alternative scenario is to update the historical high and test the mark of $2690 . However, another factor in such a scenario should be the update of the historical high of BTC.
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ETH - 6h. Buyers want to test of $1760-1800The rapid fall of the ETH market made its investors think about the power of this coin. In 7 days, the price of ETH fell by 35%. The main horror that investors experienced took place on February 20-23 , when the price of ETHUSDT fell very sharply from $2000 to $1350. The sharp drop in ETHUSD was facilitated by a sharp correction in the BTC market:
However, the complete surrender of buyers took place after the loss of the range of $1760-1800 . The chart shows that on February 22, sellers managed to push the price below this range on large volumes. It was after the retest of the range of $1760-1800 that the ETH market collapse continued with renewed vigor.
At the moment, buyers are trying to form a new growth trend, but the initiative so far belongs to sellers. It is the test of $1760-1800 that will become clear, sellers still have strength to continue the correction.
To continue the local growth of the ETH price, buyers need to hold the liquid zone of $1390-1440. A test of this range on low or medium volumes will give buyers a better chance of continued growth towards $1760-1800.
P.S. Our ETH idea worked well and the price made a minimal correction. Therefore, we will soon make a new global ETH idea:
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We create both short-term ideas (for a local understanding of the market situation) and medium-term forecasts of price movements.
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Possible Bull flag at Etherium at 1D TF?Possible Bull flag at Etherium seen in 1D TF road to $2.8k?
Only if $ETH will move like this chart...
this could happen early than the arrow in charts...
We are still in bull run as long as the candles wont break this developing big ascending broading wedge in 1D TF...
Trade at your own risk...
ETH - 4h. Buyers gave up and began a correction to $1560-1600?Good day everyone and have a good trading week!
The ETH market continues to move within two trend lines that form a wedge. The buyers failed to implement the optimistic scenario, which we wrote about in the previous idea .
However, this is not the worst thing. Notice how easily sellers on February 21 lowered the price by 10% and again tested the local critical point - the range of $1850-1880 . After this drop, buyers have not yet managed to regain control of the ETHUSD market. This becomes clear when you look at the price of BTC . Please note that after a sharp drop on February 21, the BTC price was able to renew its all-time high again and test the mark of $58352 . The ETHUSDT price could not repeat this:
Such behavior has started to be done on ideas, so the ETH buyers are coming to an end, and the ear of corrections to the growth of 7 fierce is to be read soon.
A signal of such a scenario will break through and fix prices below the range of $1850-1880 . As a result, sellers will be able to take control of the data in the range - they will be able to extend the price range of ETH to the range of $1560-1600.
The large timeframe shows that the trend line also passes near this range , which buyers have been holding confidently since January 11:
Another interesting fact can be seen by analyzing the dominance charts of BTC, ETH and USDT.
During the fall of BTC's dominance in late 2020, the ETH market revived significantly. However, since the end of January 2021, when the decline in BTC dominance began to slow down, interest in ETH has fallen sharply.
Looking at the situation on the BTC market now, in any scenario, the price of ETH will be in crisis . A sharp rise or fall in the price of BTC will have a negative impact on the ETH market. The only chance of success is the consolidation of BTC above $55,000.
In this case, ETH buyers will be able to hope for continued price movements within the white wedge and tests of the mark of $2070 . This week should be interesting!
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ETH-6h. How realistic is the optimistic scenario of growth 2200?Very slowly but surely, the ETH market is moving towards the goal of our previous idea :
If we compare the nature of the ETH price movement with other coins, we see that ETH buyers are in no hurry to accelerate the growth trend and organize momentum growth. The price of ETH is slowly rising, testing the main support areas. After confidently keeping $1700-1750, buyers managed to update the historical high. However, since then the price has risen by only 8% . If we compare it with the growth of IOST or DASH , it becomes clear why we do not take into account ETH for trade.
However, in this idea, we decided to consider an optimistic scenario of ETH price movements. Since the previous liquidity zone of $ 1850-1880 is under the control of buyers, there is a possibility that buyers will still come to life and be able to organize a sharp impulse to target $ 2200-2230
The main problem for this scenario is the ETHBTC chart
As you can see from February 6, the price of ETHBTC is systematically reduced. Confident consolidation of the price above the green range will give a good signal for the formation of a new impetus for growth in the ETHUSDT market
Therefore, we expect to achieve the goal of BTC e dslvsnws $56000. We hope this will stimulate ETH buyers to take decisive action)
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ETH - 4h. Buyers have kept $1,700 and are preparing to attackConsolidation in the ETH market continues from February 8 . Buyers are unable to establish themselves above the range of $1850-1875 . Basic buyers support is in the range of $1700-1720. As you can see in the chart, the sellers twice tried to gain a fix below this range, but their attack ended in a false break .
The ideal scenario for the continued rise in the price of ETH would be a repeat dest of the range of $1700-1720, however, at low volumes and without aggressive candles. This local fall in the price of ETH will show the complete depletion of sellers and the beginning of a new impetus for the growth of the ETH market.
However, looking at the 12-hour candle, the price of ETHUSDT may start to rise from current prices.
Therefore, for medium-term movement , the range of $1700-1800 is good for trying to recruit a position.
If the price hits $1700, there is no point in holding such a position. In this case, you should expect the price to continue to fall to $1,500
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ETH - 4h. Buyers Need To Hold $1700Looking at how other altcoins are actively firing, while BTC is slowly but surely approaching the mark of $50,000 , the price of ETH is calmly standing still.
What could be the reason?
On February 5, the price of ETH began to slow at around $1750. After the first test of this mark, sellers sent the price of ETH up to $1491.
However, at this point, the sellers' aggression is over . Since February 8, ETH market participants have been actively trading the mark of $1,750 . So far, it is clear that sellers do not have enough strength to gain a keep below this mark, and soon we will see a new upward price impulse.
But the main liquidity , where buyers are actively buying ETH lately, is at the mark of $1,700 .An unsuccessful attempt by sellers to break through this mark will be a good signal to start a new wave of growth.
The first target is $1900.
If you pay attention to the ETHBTC chart, you can see that buyers have finally managed to gain a foothold above the global range of $0.0364-0.0382.
This range has held the price of ETHBTC for over 2 years. Back in September 208, sellers took control of this range. Only after the retest in January and February 2019 of this range, the price continued to fall again.
The fact that the price of ETHBTC is fixed significantly increases the chances of continued price growth in the long term.
The critical poin t of this scenario is the range of $1560-1610 . Below this range, a strong and fast correction of ETH will begin with a target of $1360. This is the cryptocurrency market. Everything is possible here.
Therefore, take care of your deposits and successful trading!
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ETH - 6h. The next target is $2150Renewing the historic high in the ETH market has been a big event for investors. Buyers are trying to repeat the success of BTC and continue the rapid rise in prices.
However, as of February 3, the price of ETHUSDT significantly slowed down the transfer with the mark of $1750. Trading volumes began to decline from the beginning of February and the dominance of ETH could not consolidate above 17%
Despite these facts, the cryptocurrency market is growing and the likelihood of continued growth of ETH to $2150 is real. To do this, buyers need to confidently stick to the mark of $1750. From the mark of $2150 , there is a high probability of starting the correction . Sellers will try to lower the price below the previous historical high.
What is the target of this correction? See our global ETH idea:
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ETH - 4h. The price of Ethereum fell into a triangle.Today's fall in the price of ETH did not break the main scenario of buyers' continued growth. By lowering the price to $1270, sellers stopped the pressure. As a result, we see the local reversal of the ETHUSD price, which we wrote about in the previous scenario.
Trading volumes in the ETH market are average. Considering the trajectory of the BTC price, we believe that a triangle has formed in the market. Given that before the formation of the triangle there was a momentum of growth, the probability of breaking the triangle up is higher.
Proof of the strength of buyers will be the maintenance of the range of $1336-1353. The main goal of buyers is the range of $1600 .
We will consider the alternative scenari o only after breaking the mark $1270.
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ETH - 2h. We expect a repeat test of $1270.Yesterday's wild growth of BTC , provoked by tweets, you know who or bitcoin expiration, did not provoke ETH buyers to grow wildly.
The ETHUSD price failed to break the previous liquidity range of $1420-1440 . Even the increased trading volumes did not satisfy ETH buyers to take control of the liquid zone, from which the correction began on January 25.
At the moment, sellers are trying to take the initiative and keep the range of $1340-1350 to continue falling to the mark of $1270.
There are two possible scenarios of price movement near this mark. So when sellers hit the mark of $1270 we'll come up with a new idea. However, at the moment the price of ETHUSDT is moving in a falling channel.
Our subjective opinion - while the price of ETH below $1340 correction is not completed. However, the range of $1180-1200 is good for buying ETH, given the risks.
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ETH - 4h. Buyers return the mark of $1270.After setting a new local high on January 25, the ETH market began to correct. In the previous two days, sellers attacked the mark of $1270 . In the previous idea, we wrote about the importance of this mark for the continuation of the upward trend in the price of ETH
Yesterday, during the fall in the price of BTC , buyers of ETH for some time gave out under their control the level of $1270. However, if you look at the 12-hour candle , the sellers did not have the strength to fix the price below this mark:
To continue the growth trend , buyers need to determine how many sellers remain in the ETH market. Therefore, before testing our $1580 target , we will expect to repeat the test of $1270 . Only then will we be sure of continued growth.
An alternative scenario will take effect if buyers do not withhold $1270. In this case, sellers will continue to adjust the price in the ETH market to $1,200 (Black scenario)
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ETH - 4h. The critical point of the local growth trend is $1270.The local weakness of the BTC market and the systematic decline in its dominance played a positive role for ETH .
If on January 22 the price of ETH submissively fell along with the price of BTC, then during yesterday's local attack of sellers in the BTC market, the ETH market showed growth.
Today, trading volumes in the ETH market are higher than BTC.
At the moment, buyers have taken the critical level of $1270, which we wrote about in the previous idea :
Now buyers have managed to update the local high, but the price continues to trade within the yellow wedge. In order not to lose the initiative, buyers need to keep the mark of $1270 and after consolidation to continue to grow with the first local target of $1570 .
From the nature of the ETH price increase, it will be clear whether there is a prospect for stronger growth with a target of $1800.
The loss of the $1270 mark will continue to consolidate within the wedge and sellers will test the range of $1150-1200. This scenario also has a right to life. Given that the previous weekly candle of the ETHBTC pair closed to continue medium-term growth, a slight correction to the green range is still possible:
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