Will REX revert to the mean ?REX hit a 52-week high after an analyst upgrade. Was this enough to justify a
12% increase in a nonvolatile business, the ethanol production business to support
its addition to gasoline to combat air pollution and so global warming. Production
and so revenue is not accelerating although it may be a bit seasonal during the
summer driving and vacation season. On the daily chart, RE put in a massive bullish
bar with wicking above the third upper Bolliger Band set at 2.618 ( Fib level) standard
deviations. REX did this on 5/25 and then dropped. I see it doing the same thing again.
This demonstrates the version to the mean or "rubber-band" concept. I will stock trade
REX short and look at the mid- October put options.
Ethanol
It’s Corn!You know the “It’s Corn” song trending on TikTok? It brings a smile to our face every time we hear it. But if you look at Corn’s price chart and fundamental outlook, that’s a whole other story…
Corn’s recent breakout of a symmetrical triangle towards the downside caught our attention. With the clear break and an ensuing retest, Corn is now trading right on previous support levels. We think this might just be a small reprieve in the downward direction it is headed.
Not only that, when you zoom out to a longer timeframe, Corn has just broken its long-term trend support established since 2020.
This combined with the symmetrical triangle break proves to provide a strong bearish case from here. Classical chart pattern analysis points the take-profit range from the triangle pattern, at roughly 292 points away. From the initial point of breakout, 292 points away takes us back to the 360 level which was the average price seen from 2014 to 2020, back to pre-covid and pre-Russian/Ukraine conflict levels.
Additionally, in a or few previous analyses we emphasized how many of the commodities have started to return to ‘normality’ with prices moving back to pre-war levels. We have already seen Wheat and Soybean retracing most of the War rally as prices tumbled, therefore it’s not hard to see Corn do the same soon.
Other supporting fundamental factors include the falling Ethanol prices and in turn, lower usage of corn for Ethanol, resulting in overall supply to increase.
Fertilizer prices have also fallen from all-time highs, with continued downward momentum. Lower fertilizer cost means better margins for the farmers and potentially higher usage of fertilizers in planting, which may result in better crop yield. Both factors work to lower corn price through more competitive pricing from the farmers and increased supply.
Combined, we think the fundamental and technical chart set-up provides a convincing case for Corn to fall lower. We set our stops above the triangle apex and at the previous level of resistance, 688, and our initial take-profit levels at 565 followed by 455, giving us a risk reward of roughly 1.46 and 3.66 from the current level of 637.6. Each 0.0025 point increment in CME Corn Futures is equal to 12.5 USD.
The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
Reference:
www.cmegroup.com
www.cmegroup.com
WEEKLY TIME FRAME - KM SUGAR MILLS LTD The Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support....
Tradelikemee Academy
#ETH/USDT 4HOUR UPDATE !Hello, dear traders welcome you to this ETH/USDT 4Hr chart analysis.
Hello dear traders, we here new so we ask you to support our ideas with your LIKE and COMMENT, also be free to ask any question in the comments, and we will try to answer for all, thank you, guys.
ETH/USDT ANALYSIS:-
ETH currently holding the green support zone well for the last few days, ETH needs to close above the price level of $1.9k otherwise it will change the market sentiment in the lower time frame.
candle close below the green support zone will lead ETH down towards the price level of $1.4k.
At this market condition, we should wait and avoid long trades otherwise it can be harmful to your assets.
Remember:-This is not a piece of financial advice. All investment made by me is at my own risk and I am held responsible for my own profit and losses. So, do your own research before investing in this trade.
Thanks for your time, we hope our work is good for you, and you are satisfied, we wish you a good day and big profits.
THANK YOU.
#ETH/USDT DAILY UPDATE !!Hello members and welcome to this ETH/USDT Quick Chart Analysis.
s I mentioned in my previous chart that there is not much change to watch on this daily time frame Fib Retracement Label support area is $1900 sa bounce huaa and first resistance label is $2450 and is currently trending at $2028
This is not a piece of financial advice.
Then, hit the like button and share your chart in the comments section if you like it.
Thanks.
#ETH/USDT 4HOUR UPDATE BY SANDERS!Hello, welcome to this ETH /USDT 4Hr chart update by CRYPTOSANDERS.
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome to this chart.
Show some support do hit the like button, follow and comment in the comment section. this motivates me to bring this kind of chart analysis on regular basis.
CHART ANALYSIS:-
In the above-mentioned chart, ETH/USDT still trending inside the channel pattern above the support zone which ETH holds very well.
Here I am, expecting a bounce from the support green zone and a break to this channel pattern which will be good in the short term for the Altcoins (well pump).
If it breaks the support zone then the scenario will be changed.
So, it's better to wait for the confirmation to get in the market.
This is not a piece of financial advice.
Sorry for my English it is not my native language.
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
thank you.
#ETH/USDT 4HOUR UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERS Hello, members welcome to ETH/USDT 4hr chart analysis by CRYPTOSANDERS.
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart.
First, hit the like button follow me and comment in the comment section because this motivates me to bring this kind of chart analysis on regular basis.
CHART ANALYSIS:
As we can see in the above-mentioned chart that ETH retested the upper trend line or the support zone and bounced.
Here now I am expecting according to the current scenario that ETH can put hard from this level.
This is not a piece of financial advice.
Sorry for my English it is not my native language.
thank you.
Will We See Lower Oil Prices??Oil is hugging lows after Biden has announced that he will start to use US oil reserves and also considered adding more ethanol to gasoline to fight soaring costs. Crude promptly dropped from where it was meandering in the 106-113 range. We are still finding strong support at 101 and 100, which are strong technical and psychological levels. The Kovach OBV has turned bearish but has since flatlined. We will not be able to crack through these levels unless more momentum comes through. If it picks up, then 106 and 113 are the next targets which must be broken again before we can consider highs then our next target of 132.
ETH/USDT 4HOUR UPDATE BY CRYPTOSADERSWelcome to this quick ETH/USDT analysis.
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart.
ETH/USDT look bullish and as I told in bitcoin that bitcoin can bounce you if bitcoin bounces then ETH/USDT can also bounce from here as well as old coin of USDT pair can also be pumped
ENTRY:-$2440,$2542
TARGET:-$2638
$2771
$2872
$2997
$3174
STOPLOSS:-$2238
Remember:-This is not a piece of financial advice. All investment made by me is under my own risk and I am held responsible for my own profit and losses. So, do your own research before investing in this trade.
Happy trading.
Sorry for my English it is not my native language.
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
ETH/USDT 1HOUR UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERSWelcome to this quick ETH/USDT analysis.
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart.
ETH/USDT is also conformed to a falling wedge pattern as I have seen in the 1-hour update
Remember:-This is not a piece of financial advice. All investment made by me is under my own risk and I am held responsible for my own profit and losses. So, do your own research before investing in this trade.
Happy trading.
Sorry for my English it is not my native language.
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
New Highs in Corn
Corn probes above $6 for the first time since 2013
Farmers will favor beans
Keep an eye on gasoline and ethanol prices
Corn continues to pop going into the planting and growing seasons- It’s all about the weather
Backwardation as the market has high hopes for 2021 output
In late April 2020, the corn price fell to its lowest level since 2008 when the continuous corn futures contract found a bottom at $3.0025 per bushel. The pandemic pushed prices lower across all asset classes. Corn is the primary ingredient in US ethanol production. The ethanol mandate that requires a blend of gasoline and biofuel in the US closely ties corn’s price to crude oil and gasoline. In April 2020, crude oil fell below zero to a low of negative $40.32 per barrel. Gasoline prices declined to 37.60 cents per gallon wholesale in March 2020, the lowest price since 1999. The price carnage in the energy sector and selling in all markets pushed corn to the $3 level where it found a bottom.
Last week, corn moved to its highest price since July 2013 at nearly double the April 2020 low. Nearby May futures probed above the $6 per bushel level.
Corn probes above $6 for the first time since 2013
On April 15, corn futures put in the most recent high when they traded to $6.015 per bushel on the nearby March futures contract.
The chart highlights eight consecutive months of gains in the corn market as of mid-April 2021. A close above the $5.6425 level at the end of April will mark the ninth straight monthly price increase in the coarse grain.
Open interest, the total number of long and short positions in the corn futures arena has been rising with the grain’s price. Increasing open interest as the price of a futures market rises is typically a validation of a bullish trend. Monthly price momentum and relative strength indicators are in overbought conditions, but they continue to rise. Monthly historical volatility at 22.31% signifies the rally is slow and steady.
Corn futures are bullish, with the price at its highest level since July 2013. The next upside target is $7.30 per bushel, that month’s peak, which is a gateway to the 2012 $8.4375 all-time high in the corn futures market.
Keep an eye on gasoline and ethanol prices
The US ethanol mandate ties corn’s price to gasoline. The US is the world’s leading corn producer and exporter. Corn is the input into US ethanol processing. In Brazil, sugar is the input. Like corn, sugar prices have been rallying over the past months as the demand for ethanol rises with gasoline prices.
The chart shows that gasoline futures rose from the lowest price of this century at 37.6 cents per gallon in March 2020 to the highest level since 2018 at $2.17 per gallon in March 2021. Higher gasoline prices have pushed ethanol to a multi-year peak.
The monthly ethanol futures chart illustrates that the biofuel’s cost has risen to its highest level since December 2014 at $2.01 per gallon. Higher ethanol prices support higher corn prices.
Continue reading the full article using the link below.
Trading advice given in this communication, if any, is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that we believe are reliable. The author does not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects the author’s good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice the author provides will result in profitable trades. There is risk of loss in all futures and options trading.
PEIX vs Ethanol Futures (Chicago)Pacific Ethanol doing a reversal up with COVID spike and Ethanol Futures change. Awaiting this going to target $10-11 on short term with another positive earnings and 3rd plant running more to market need. Announcement also selling into more profitable libations market of low calorie seltzers and other consumer driven markets of STAY AT HOME during COVID-19.
pennies to thousands ethanol above cloud watch listabove cloud wait to go green-good earnings recently-get our book on amazon-price volume trend strong-relative strength good-above 50 day ma-
SB Bullish, still on trackStill bullish SB as it appreciated over the past month. It really gained momentum has it had to break out from oversold conditions.
What happened over the course was the term structure (future spreads) are now in backwardation for the entire next year. This leaves me with remaining bullish as it foreshadows supply tightness coming out of Brazil.
Also the USDBRL has come off of its highs and could provide some further support for a rally