Where Ethereum Stands and The Best Time to BuyEthereum has essentially ranged the last year with large swings up and down. Major support rests at $2770 and upper resistance at $4700 with a current target of at least $13.6k.
While Ethereum has been ranging it's been falling against Bitcoin and like every bull cycle since 2017, Ethereum will be the last to catch up. But that time to buy is now and we can see major volumes have been hitting the Ethereum maket as eth/btc is in the buy zone below 0.031 with a target of 0.09. If bitcoin holds it's current support and runs to $174k in the coming months that puts Ethreum around $15.6k which is very close to my eth/usd target of $13.6k.
Aave market has 88% of all Ethereum on the platform (1.64M eth or $5.1 Billion) loaned out and sold short. There seem to be online wars of people fighting over why eth isn't on par with bitcoin. Ethereum futures has ATH open interest yet lending rates are near zero. These are all major signs of the end of the eth/btc bear market. We should see eth outperform btc this year. There's not much eth left to be sold short. I've never seen such reckless shorting of a crypto currency, but it's all fuel of the run up.
ETHBTC
Ethereum’s Q1 Outlook: Fed’s Role in Shaping ETH’s FateEthereum (ETH) is navigating uncertain waters this Q1, with its price down 4% in January and nearly half of its "Trump pump" gains erased. Historically, Q1 has been a strong quarter for ETH, averaging +80% gains. Yet, the Fed's upcoming rate decision could heavily influence the token’s trajectory.
Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen highlighted on X:
"One risk for #ETH is if the Fed comes out this week and says no QE, maybe that would cause ETH to finally go home on its USD pair, leading the Fed to reverse course in March 2025 causing a quick recovery."
Despite ETH’s historical strength in Q1, January 2025 might end in the red. February and March are typically pivotal months, with average gains of 20% and 22%, but ETH has had mixed results during these months since 2016.
Currently trading at $3.2K, ETH’s performance will likely depend on the Fed’s guidance. A rebound above the moving average could signal strength, but for now, the altcoin remains in a consolidation phase.
While historical data suggests the potential for a rally in February or March, ETH holders are watching the Fed closely. A dovish shift could reignite bullish sentiment, while hawkish policy might extend ETH’s struggles.
Q1 is shaping up to be a decisive quarter for Ethereum. Will the Fed’s actions spur a rally or further dampen the market?
ETHEREUM 1D Update (1D)Note: This analysis is related to the one you see in the "Related Publications" section at the bottom of the page.
Let’s zoom in on Ethereum.
This update shows the structure of wave D from the previous analysis, which appears to be a triangle.
We are currently in wave e of this triangle, which is a diametric.
It seems that the larger wave E will complete soon.
It will either rise from the current area or test the green zone once more before moving upward.
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EthusdSweep in progress
-10% on the daily
Controlled selldown into supply zone
Bullish low timeframe chuvashov fork in progress
After that there could be a push upto 3400 and potentially begin the alltime high rallies
Eth is still yet to break out whilst 9ther majors xrp and btc and solana have all pushed into alltimehighzone
Eth is still the most reputable of these projects apart from btc
Successful scaling
No downtime
Use cases are infinite
Btfd
Analysis for ETH/BTC Pair:Support Zone:
The price is currently hovering near a significant historical support zone between 0.030 and 0.032.
This zone has previously acted as a major accumulation area, leading to upward moves in the past.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
If the support zone holds and buying momentum increases, the price could begin to rebound.
The first target for an upward move is around the 0.048 level, aligning with a previous resistance zone and a key Fibonacci retracement area.
Beyond that, 0.075 could serve as the next major resistance if the bullish momentum persists.
Bearish Case:
If the support zone fails, a downward continuation could push the price toward 0.019.
This level aligns with historical lows and could act as the next significant support.
Market Structure:
The pair appears to be in a long-term downtrend, but the current consolidation within the support zone suggests a potential reversal or continuation decision point.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 0.030–0.032
Resistance: 0.048 (short-term), 0.075 (long-term)
Breakdown Target: 0.019
Trend Indicators:
Monitor the price action closely around the support zone. A strong bounce with volume could confirm a bullish reversal.
A breakdown below 0.030 with high selling pressure would indicate further downside.
Conclusion:
For Bulls: Focus on maintaining the support zone and breaking above 0.035 for confirmation of a reversal.
For Bears: Watch for a loss of the 0.030 support to target deeper lows.
Keep an eye on BTC dominance and overall market sentiment for further validation of these moves.
Ethereum (ETH/USD) on a daily timeframe, AnalysisThis chart illustrates Ethereum (ETH/USD) on a daily timeframe, where the price is consolidating within a broad horizontal range between approximately $2,000 (support) and $4,800 (resistance). A descending trendline from the most recent highs suggests bearish momentum, with price currently rejecting this resistance.
Key observations:
1. **Volume Decline**: The declining volume indicates weakening market participation, which may support a continuation of the downward trend.
2. **Bearish Bias**: The chart suggests a potential move toward the lower boundary of the range ($2,000) if the descending triangle pattern plays out.
Conclusion: If the price breaks below interim support (around $3,000), ETH could potentially test the $2,000 zone. A confirmed breakout above the trendline would invalidate the bearish scenario. BINANCE:ETHUSD
ETH BTC broke down the multi-cycle support trendline on HTFWe previously expected a reversal on multiple occasions, unsuccessfully each time. Last major prediction is visible in the chart (blurred). There were two major lines of support for ETHBTC, it broke the first one, then it bounced off the multi-cycle support line and we predicted the bottom at that stage and went long.
Unfortunately, that bounce was both short-lived and weak and ultimately it reversed all the bounce and broke down BELOW the multi-cycle support line for ETHBTC.
We will not be shorting this, but the long-time frame for ETHBTC is now in the bearish mode.
Potential key levels to watch are marked below.
#ETH/USDT Ready to launch upwards#ETH
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and sticking to it well
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at 3200
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 3325
First target 3410
Second target 3530
Third target 3650
ETH/BTC I didn’t anticipate the green box to hit when we began reversing on November 18th, but here we are—it’s a strong reversal zone. If this level doesn’t hold, 28/29 is likely next.
I haven’t seen the strength I expected, even with WLFI (Trump's World Liberty Financial) aggressively buying ETH.
but it's now or never so I except a quick reversal from next week.
BTC.D : Alt -season 2025Hi friends,
As you can see on the Bitcoin Dominance chart on the weekly time frame, I would like to remind you of the start of the 2025 Alt Season.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 19/Jan /25
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
Ethereum's Second Scenario (3D)Now, it’s worth taking a look at higher timeframes.
Regarding Ethereum's bearish scenario, as you may recall, we previously considered a large triangle for Ethereum, which remains valid and has not been invalidated.
However, the available data suggests that the scenario from this analysis is still valid as well. The strength of the bounce from the green zone to the upside will determine the next scenario, indicating that we need more data.
The market in higher timeframes, like the 3-day chart, is corrective. This is why traders in the 4-hour timeframe are facing a bearish trend. Support from Trump and the U.S. government for Bitcoin has also slowed down this correction, extending its duration.
In any case, the green zone could reverse the trend in the 3-day timeframe toward the red circle.
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ETH is bullish NEW Update (4H)It seems that many stops have been hit in the market, and a significant amount of liquidity has been swept.
We are bullish on Ethereum and altcoins. We are also approaching an important date. We can expect Ethereum to move toward $3,900 in the first step, with some negative fluctuations along the way.
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ETHEREUM BULLS. Believe in a wonderful 2025.Ethereum experienced a notable increase of 46% in 2024, yet this rise is overshadowed by Bitcoin (BTC), which surged over 120% during the same timeframe. Additionally, several alternative Layer-1 blockchains, including Solana (SOL) and SUI, have significantly outperformed ETH throughout the year.
Nevertheless, a shift in momentum may be on the horizon for Ethereum. The first quarter of 2025 could usher in a bullish trend for this leading smart contract platform. I've pointed out that ETH is currently forming a bullish Hunt Volatility Funnel on the daily chart, with a target of $6,757 anticipated by April 2025.
A continuation inverse head-and-shoulders pattern has been taking shape over the last 10 months, serving as a well-known bullish signal that hints at a forthcoming price increase.
Historically, Ethereum has seen remarkable growth in the first quarter following a US presidential election. If this trend continues, Q1 2025 might turn out to be incredibly positive for ETH.
The Trump administration is expected to provide clearer regulations and guidance for the U.S. crypto industry. One possible result is that spot-based ETH ETPs may be permitted to stake a portion of the ETH they manage for their investors. The demand for staking is anticipated to grow next year, potentially surpassing half of the total Ethereum supply by the end of 2025. This trend may lead Ethereum developers to seriously evaluate adjustments to the network's monetary policy.
The ETH/BTC trading pair is expected to finish 2025 above 0.06, supported by favorable regulatory developments. An increase from its current low of around 0.03 could trigger the long-anticipated #altseason.
ETHEREUM: Thousand-Day Blood WarThousands of days have passed during ETHBTC’s extended consolidation phase. Market participants are beginning to lose conviction, but historically, this is precisely when the greatest financial opportunities emerge. We are approaching the final stages of this prolonged accumulation period—what may feel like the most challenging days before the trend decisively shifts.
When this breakout occurs, it is poised to deliver a sustained, substantial move to the upside, potentially spanning months. The technical setup is clear: the prolonged compression in price and diminishing volatility signal that the market is preparing for a significant expansion.
Periods like these, where sentiment is subdued, often lay the groundwork for the most transformative moves. The data supports this: volume is stabilizing, price action is tightening, and the market is primed for a decisive inflection point. Those who remain disciplined and patient are often the ones who capitalize most effectively when the momentum returns.
The time to prepare is now. Markets reward foresight, and those who position themselves ahead of the breakout stand to benefit disproportionately. This is not merely a rally on the horizon—it’s the culmination of years of market development, and the opportunity it presents should not be underestimated.
ETH ANALYSIS (4H)ETH is currently in a pullback within its internal structure and remains bearish in its substructure.
The liquidity above the chart has been swept, and a significant order block has been cleared. After this cleanup, the price is now attempting to move toward lower zones, feeding on strong order blocks. If the liquidity pool aligns in the opposite direction, it may sweep that as well.
It is expected that Ethereum might bounce back upwards from the Support 1 level or after a liquidity hunt around that area.
Targets are marked on the chart. If it consolidates above the red zone, Ethereum could turn bullish. Let's analyze it step by step.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
invalidation level:2978
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Ethereum is getting ready for a bull run !Ethereum appears to be forming a large triangle, with its wave D recently completed.
We expect a trend reversal from the green zone, leading to a move toward $5,400 and $9,000.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
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