Get started

ETHBTC

What is Bitcoin ‘Pairs Trading’? (Example: ETH/BTC)This is for anybody who wants to sell some Bitcoin but is still bullish crypto. 🚀 It’s also if you’re neutral on crypto but think Bitcoin is overvalued vs other tokens. It’s also just if you’re just interested to see a way to apply a pairs trading strategy . In case you’ve been hiding under a rock, Bitcoin just broke over $100k - No more waiting for the HODLRS!! Naturally after hitting this massive milestone, some traders are going to be thinking about taking profits. And if they’re thinking it, some of them are going to be doing it. But let’s forget about selling for a moment, are you really buying more BTC when it just hit $100k and it's up ~150% this year? So even if there is not more active selling interest, there’s probably less buying interest. I think you’d be mad (or very brave) to bet against Bitcoin. BUT Are these scenarios possible? Bitcoin trades sideways for a while after hitting $100k Alt season kicks in and other cryptos play catchup If you think yes to at least one of these, my team and me have been looking at a pairs trade What is pairs trading? Pairs trading in crypto is a market-neutral trading strategy that involves taking a long position in one cryptocurrency and a short position in another, based on the assumption that their historical price relationship will revert to the mean. The point is to profit from the relative price movement between the two assets, i.e. not the absolute ups or downs of one asset like Bitcoin. ETH/BTC I put this crypto pair this way around - I’m not sure if you’re meant to - it just kind of reminds me of EUR/USD in forex trading. So as a reminder, ETH/BTC is Ethereum’s token Ether priced in Bitcoin. When Ether outperforms Bitcoin it goes up and when Ether underperforms Bitcoin, it goes down. So it doesn’t actually matter if Bitcoin goes up, down or sideways, if you’re trading ETH/BTC - what matters is what one does relative to the other. Well this thing has been going down a lot! Until recently. Going back to the idea of pairs trading - the thesis here is that the Ethererum/Bitcoin price ratio has dropped to bargain levels and could be about to recover. I’m not going to lie to you - there are a lot of sore hands out there from trying to catch this falling knife! But this rebound off the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2020-21 rally has caught our attention. Dropping to the daily chart, can you see how 0.4000 has acted like a magnet to the price both from above and below? 0.4 is our line in the sand for long positions. Equally, our risk is well defined in this setup. A drop back under the 61.8% Fib level around 0.32 means the idea isn’t working and it's time to get out and let Bitcoin do its thing! How to trade it Specific entries and exits depend on your personal risk tolerance, but broadly there are THREE methods here: 1. Crypto-to-Crypto Spot Trading Trade ETH directly for BTC (or vice versa) on a cryptocurrency exchange. This is straightforward and involves holding the actual assets. 2. CFD Trading (Contracts for Difference) Speculate on ETH/BTC price movements using CFDs without owning the underlying cryptocurrencies. This allows for leverage and the ability to short-sell. 3. Spread Trading Buy ETH and simultaneously short BTC (or vice versa) with equal dollar value to profit from their relative price movement while minimizing exposure to overall market trends. But that’s just how we are seeing things? Do you think this is bananas, or could we be onto something? Please let us know in the comments Cheers! Jasper. Chief Market Analyst, Trading Writers
Education
by jasperlawler
Alt Season is Right Around the CornerBitcoin dominance has been growing in the past few days as it outperforms the rest of the cryptocurrency market after the sharp drop last week. Many things are pointing towards Bitcoin continuing to outperform in the short term as we gear up for the next parabolic bull market. However, alt season is very close and, once BTC confirms it's breakout towards 100k, a lot of the large caps like Ethereum and Solana will begin to go up very quickly. This is based on my cyclical analysis of alt seasons. To get a better idea of the cyclicality of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, and alt seasons, check out my previous post which predicts the next parabolic rise in November: An important thing to note when referring to alt seasons is that they don't last long (only a few months). So understand your timeframe when investing over the coming weeks. Another important idea is how money tends to flow during this period. It historically starts with Bitcoin breaking its all time high and beginning to rise. During this time, altcoins tend to underperform. But once BTC consolidates and begins to go sideways, that's when the rest of the market has time to catch up. In the chart I show 4 key points: Bitcoin This is when BTC makes a significant breakout whether that's from a significant resistance level or its ATH. This is where BTC is outperforming 99% of the market. Ethereum & Large Caps BTC will begin to slow down and a lot of the major altcoins will see a big increase. This is where you can find great trade setups on the BTC pairs like ETHBTC, SOLBTC, etc. BTC Consolidates BTC will start to go sideways, cooling off and preparing for its next rise. From here you might see some pumps in mid-low caps. These tend to be volatile and hard to predict. Small caps - Quick and fast As BTC continues to go sideways, some small caps might experience quick pumps in price. Similarly, these tend to be even more volatile and hard to predict. After this, the pattern repeats back up to Bitcoin until we reach a peak and begin a new bear market. The cryptocurrency bull market is brewing up and alt season can offer some incredibly profitable opportunities. Plan ahead, and don't overtrade.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by spilkerBTC
2
Ethereum (ETH/USD) Entering a Bullish Phase: Key LevelsEthereum is currently showing signs of strength as it enters a positive, bullish phase. Following a period of consolidation and recovery, ETH is gradually climbing towards a significant resistance level at $4,394, a price last seen in May 2021. This level remains a key psychological and technical barrier for ETH, and breaking it could determine the next major price movement. Market Context: Bitcoin’s Role The broader market outlook is also highly favorable, with Bitcoin (BTC) expected to maintain levels above $100,000 throughout December. This stability in BTC could provide the necessary momentum for Ethereum to approach its $4,394 resistance. Potential Scenarios for ETH/USD: 1. Scenario 1: Pullback Before the Breakout In the most likely scenario, ETH may approach $4,394 but face resistance, leading to a pullback towards the $3,300 range. This retracement would allow for consolidation before another attempt to break the key level. This scenario aligns with typical market behavior, where assets retest major resistance multiple times before a breakout. 2. Scenario 2: Breakout and New All-Time Highs Should ETH successfully break through the $4,394 barrier, the bullish momentum could accelerate. This breakout would open the door for a sustained rally, potentially pushing ETH towards new all-time highs in the $6,000 to $6,500 range between May and July 2026. Such a move would signal a significant shift in market dynamics, fueled by broader crypto adoption and improved market sentiment. --- Technical Indicators and Key Levels: - Support Levels:$3,300, $3,800 - Resistance Levels:$4,394, $4,800 - Target Range Post-Breakout:$6,000 – $6,500 In summary, while ETH is currently showing bullish signs, the $4,394 resistance level will be a decisive battleground. Whether ETH pulls back or breaks through, its long-term prospects look promising, especially if BTC remains strong. A successful breakout could set the stage for Ethereum’s next major rally, potentially reaching new highs by mid-2026.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by QuantumFusionWave
TradeCityPro | Ethereum Full Analysis👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! In this analysis, I will review the most popular altcoin in the market, Ethereum. As the second-largest cryptocurrency, Ethereum not only enjoys immense popularity but also has widespread applications, particularly in DeFi. If you've been following our updates, you're likely aware of the potential and profits that DeFi offers. 📅 Weekly Timeframe: Trendline Reaction and Continued Uptrend In the weekly timeframe, a long-standing ascending trendline has supported Ethereum's price four times over the past two years. 🎲 Recently, the SMA99 has aligned with this ascending trendline. Along with the critical $2,199 support, it forms a powerful PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone). Additionally, the RSI found strong support at 38.52, preventing further price drops and resulting in several green candles. Given the significant buying volume, this upward movement seems poised to continue. 🔴 The next resistance for Ethereum is at $3,882. If this level is breached, the only remaining obstacle is the ATH at $4,685. 📈 In the event of an ATH breakout, the Fibonacci targets are $10K to FWB:12K , a highly significant range that could become realistic during an altcoin season. However, this doesn't guarantee that the price will hit these levels or stop there. Always wait for trend confirmation. Exit early if the price reverses at lower resistances, and stay invested if the trend remains strong at higher levels. 🔽 Currently, the bullish momentum appears strong, making a decline less likely. However, if the price closes below the trendline and SMA99, and breaks the $2,199 trigger, the bullish scenario will temporarily be invalidated. The next key supports would be at $1,523 and $1,023. 📅 Daily Timeframe: Second Leg of the Uptrend After Box Breakout In this timeframe, near the ascending trendline, a clear accumulation box accompanied by a positive RSI divergence can be observed. After breaking the SMA99 and the box, the price experienced a solid rally and reached the $3,367 resistance. 🔑 Today, the price has managed to stay above this level so far, but confirmation will depend on the daily candle close. 📊 The candlestick volumes look strong, with no signs of weakening. If the RSI enters the Overbought zone, we can expect a price pump. 📉 Upcoming resistances are at $3,712 and $4,086, with the primary resistance being the ATH at $4,828. Although far from the current price, the strong upward momentum could lead Ethereum to this level soon. ✨ If the price fails to confirm above $3,367 and a correction begins, the key supports to watch are $3,054 and $2,743. However, given the current bullish momentum, any correction might be limited to $3,054. A deeper correction would reset market excitement and reduce bullish momentum. 📅 4-Hour Timeframe: Futures Triggers Now, let's discuss futures trading triggers. As covered in higher timeframes, I will focus solely on futures trading setups in this timeframe. 💥 For long positions, a breakout above $3,533 or a pullback to $3,295 could serve as good entry points. The SMA99 is relatively close to the price, adding strength to these levels. If the RSI breaks above the 70 level and buying volume increases, the price may experience significant growth. ❌ Currently, I won't suggest any short positions as they go against the market momentum. I will wait for confirmation of a trend reversal before entering a short trade. 🔒 The bullish momentum will likely persist as long as the RSI remains above the 50 level. 👑 ETH/BTC Analysis 📅 Weekly Timeframe: Strong Bearish Momentum Let’s compare Ethereum to Bitcoin. In the weekly timeframe, after breaking $0.05154, a double-top pattern activated, pushing the price downward. A curved trendline has acted as a significant resistance, keeping the price below it for nearly two years. 🔫 Currently, the nearest support is at $0.02998, which is crucial. If this level is broken, Ethereum will face significant challenges in gaining value relative to Bitcoin. 🪤 If the RSI breaks above 38.55, it will signal the first sign of a trend change. A breakout above the 56.07 resistance would confirm a momentum shift, and with candle confirmation, a trend reversal would likely follow. 📅 Daily Timeframe: Reaction to the Trendline In the daily timeframe, the bearish trend remains evident, similar to the weekly chart. However, a positive RSI divergence is forming. If the RSI breaks above 50, this divergence will activate. 💣 A trendline near the price’s lower boundary recently saw a fakeout. The price is currently above this level. For the divergence to activate, a price trigger is required, which at the moment is a breakout above $0.04099. ✅ Alternatively, a trend reversal based on Dow Theory could also serve as a long trigger, confirming a change in trend. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
25
BTC Leads, ETH Follows: New ATH Ahead?Bitcoin Leads, Ethereum Follows: Will History Repeat This Bull Run? During the 2020 bull run, Bitcoin (BTC) reached its all-time high (ATH) of $20,000 while Ethereum (ETH) lagged behind, trading at just $600. When BTC surged to $42,000 (more than doubling its previous ATH), ETH gained momentum and broke its previous ATH of $1,400. Historically, Bitcoin has always led the market during bull runs, with altcoins like ETH following once BTC enters a long consolidation period. This pattern seems to be repeating. When BTC recently hit a new ATH of $73,000, ETH was trading at $3,200. If BTC begins another consolidation phase at $100k, we can expect Ethereum to push towards a new ATH, alongside strong bullish moves in other altcoins. As history shows, Bitcoin's consolidation often serves as a catalyst for Ethereum and altcoin rallies. BINANCE:ETHUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:ETH CRYPTOCAP:BTC Regards Hexa
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HexaTrades