Ethereum waking up?One of the most disappointing projects in the crypto space in recent years has to be ETH, losing ground on BTC since September '22. Finally ETH looks to have woken up outpacing BTC this week and broken out from the daily downtrend channel and currently at the underside of the DAILY 200 EMA.
BTC.D has printed a SFP and dropped 2% from 65.4% to 63%, could we be seeing a rollover and rotation into altcoins?
How I see it the moving average should cap off this move for now and a retrace towards the breakout area & previous lower high. That would then be the first higher high and higher low of this calendar year, a very bullish change in structure.
A more aggressive bullish scenario in the short term would be a reclaim of the 1D 200 EMA, leaving the inefficiency zone at the breakout level unfilled.
Either way the next HTF target is $2,800 for ETH which would bring price to the range midpoint and a key supply zone with many resting Stop losses.
ETHBTC
Watching ETHBTC for a Double Bottom (Hidden Bullish Divergence)Introduction
We are in the initial stages of seeing if ETH can set a "higher low" double bottom on the monthly chart. The first low was set September 2019 so this has been a multi year pattern. It might be playing out over several crpyot cycles to completion.
Simple Price Analysis
For a valid double bottom we want the lows within 10% of each other. The first low is about 8% below this second low so we are definitely within tolerance. We can also see that price is currently bouncing off top of the previous monthly bottoming structure until price moved to between the 0.618 level and created a double top (which I covered extensively in the linked idea.
In the chart below we can see a similar pattern with bitcoin after the C19 crash. The low wasn't textbook, the first low being 18% lower than the second low. Thats fine. The most important think is that price set a higher low.
Targeting off the fib draw is still the same. Looking for the 1.618 level. So I am watching to see eth hit a 27x against bitcoin from here
Indicators
Normal Divergence (Trend Reversal)
Bearish: Higher highs on price action but lower highs on the indicator
Bullish: Lower lows on price action but higher lows on the indicator
Hidden (Trend Continuation)
Bearish: Lower high on the price action and higher highs on the indicator
Bullish: Higher low on the price action and a lower low on the indicator
If you look at the primer we are looking for the main trend to continue. And that is up.
Battle Plan
In my linked idea I made it clear I was staying out of eth until I saw bullish divergence. Not just eth, but everything in the eth ecosystem. Now EHTBC provisionally bullish its time to look at the ETH ecosystem again. While ETHBTC looked bearish I didn't even bother to analyze tokens against eth, only BTC.
Now I am going to be analyzing coins bullishness against eth. If I don't think it will outperform eth I don't buy it. And generally, I hope to be buying bull backs. Here is a great opportunity for a SUI buy when compared against eth on the 4h chart.
Wish me luck.
Linked Idea
ETH ANALYSIS (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Ethereum has finally reached the flip zone.
Pay close attention: Ethereum dominance is sitting on monthly support, which is a level with strong bounce potential.
We have two possible scenarios for Ethereum | either it breaks through the flip zone, or it makes a correction and turns bullish again from around the bottom.
⚠️ What’s clear is that shorting Ethereum is risky and doesn’t make sense!
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
one last dancegm.
you finally woke up and ethereum was soaring.
you saw the bounce. the reclaim. the headlines.
you convinced yourself the bottom was in.
you drew trendlines, watched influencers say “we’re so back.”
you wanted to believe.
and that’s exactly what wave B needed.
because this wasn't a breakout.
it’s a reset.
a psychological rinse,
engineered to bait late longs and build fuel for the final l i q u i d a t i o n.
this is the macro (W)-(X)-(Y).
not hopium, not dreams structure.
wave A brought devastation.
wave B brought complacency
wave C brings the execution.
make no mistake:
we’re not going up,
we’re being set up.
the chart says $742.
you call it impossible.
but the market doesn’t care what you believe.
the market only exists to find the maximum pain,
your maximum pain.
eth to $700 is not a prediction.
it’s a scheduled event.
and you’re RSVP’d unless you wake up.
wave C of wave (Y) is coming.
and it doesn’t care how bullish you feel.
---
BTCETH parabolic run pointing towards 100:1Historically, during bull markets, Ethereum frequently surpassed Bitcoin at various moments.
However, this time around, that trend has not materialised, leading to a decline in investor confidence.
With capital exiting the ETH market, sentiment has soured, and critical indicators are revealing significant losses.
Unless a robust bullish turnaround occurs, Ethereum's struggle may persist, as the market currently favors Bitcoin as the more secure option.
However once this parabola breaks, we could see a strong snap back reaction in favour of the more riskier #ALTS, #DEFI and #MEMES as #ETH is still the home for stablecoin issuance and still the most trusted secure smart contract blockchain available.
ETHEREUM New Update (1D)Price has approached a supply (flip) zone. It is not expected to break this zone on the first attempt, and bears are likely to regain control for now.
If Ethereum returns once again to the lower zones marked on the chart, it could present a low-risk opportunity for buy/long positions.
The main target can be the upper supply zone.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
#ETH/USDT#ETH
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 1815.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 1840
First target: 1860
Second target: 1876
Third target: 1890
ETHBTC - it's readyhi traders,
Let's have a look at ETHBTC chart on the weekly time frame
ETHBTC has been in a downtrend for almost 3 years.
The price came back into the support area that hasn't been tested since 2019.
Last time when RSI was at 24, ETHBTC bottomed out.
I can't see the price going much lower.
In my opinion, it's a great spot to buy ETH and just hold it for the next few months.
Do you agree? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comment section.
ETHBTC will supercede BTCs price growth % metrics. Time to SEED!ETH has been met with so much price gravity lately that it went to correct unbelievably from 4k+ to 1.5k.
Thats more than -3x of its peak price - an overextended trim compare to its peers like BTC which did a muted hibernation but still price remained afloat up there.
But hope is starting to arise from the latest price behavior. We are seeing some significant shift in trend. Net longs are starting to pile up from the current bargain price area -- conveying positioning of long term growth seekers. BTC is showing some massive break in structure as well showing some obvious signs of market recovery as a whole.
With this in mind, ETH metrics is becoming more and more attractive -- if we compare its possible price growth in terms of percentage and proportionality growth ratio.
ETHBTC will definitely benefit with this forthcoming growth ratio change.
Based on our diagram, we are already seeing some gradual shift -- a first sign of reversal to the upside. This can roll up soon and pace up its numbers.
Price is currently bouncing perfectly from its 6 year solid support. This is a massive hint already of things to come. GOOD THINGS.
Spotted at 0.0190
Target X10.
TAYOR. Trade safely.
#ETH/USDT#ETH
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 1555.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 1591
First target: 1628
Second target: 1658
Third target: 1695
Ethereum Bitcoin pair bottom confirmed!As confirmed by CRYPTOCAP:ETH \ CRYPTOCAP:BTC momentum, we can say that a local bottom was seen at 2019 accumulation levels. With a major reversal from the current region, we can see major movements across Altcoins, with Ethereum being an undeniable leading force and leader for altcoins.
Bitcoin - The path to 170K
- Still enough NQ correlation to drag BTC
- No new highs unless QE (regime shift)
- Rangebound but stronger "decoupling rally" possible due to global liq etc. Fade unless real QE
- Front runs end of year (early Q4 stocks late Q4)
All of this could change, but one thing the charts keep telling me—
$170K Bitcoin this cycle is still very much a possibility.
Please check out my bear market Bitcoin-to-100K chart.
Thanks, feel free to leave a boost if you have found this helpful.
Bitcoin Will Continue to Slap EthereumWave E should be much lower than wave C.
Also note the size of the red bars in the last period.
I think this fight could reverse around next October.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Ethereum’s Next Move – What’s the Target? (12H)Before anything else, it’s important to note that Ethereum has reached a significant demand zone where institutional orders have likely been collected. This zone has previously shown strong reactions and is marked as a key level for bullish activity.
Looking ahead, price is approaching a fresh and untouched flip zone, which is expected to contain heavy sell orders. A potential rejection from this area is likely, and the type of rejection we get will be crucial in determining Ethereum’s next move.
If ETH manages to hold the upper green box (support zone), there’s a strong chance it could target the red resistance box above.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Ethereum Failing against BITCION ? Here is a valid reason why.
In a world being thrown upside down and sideways and Markets Rising and falling and Rising again on a few words and actions, there is one Shining Light in the world of Crypto
Ethereum - And its constant DROP when compared to BITCOIN
It is possibly the Only coin in the top 10 that has failed to rally at least once, to any significant degree since 2023, when nearly everything else took off.
It currently sits at the same price it was in May 2020 !
It reached its ATH in Nov 2021 and ever since then, has fallen in what is becoming a parabolic reverse curve;
All this despite coins like BASE, Coinbases Crypto, being based on that ETH Layer.
This is pretty well ALL down to the adoption of BITCOIN by corporate ventures, keeping the Bitcoin Dominance high.
I mentioned in a post back in 2023 ( maybe here but certainly on X) how BTC could be used in the "Financial Wars" to come, as a means to weaken and scupper ALT coins.
They tried to Destroy crypto, they failed and so, by allowing Bitcoin ETF's etc, BTC dominance remains High and ALTS Fail
And that is EXACTLY what we have seen so far. As Corporations continue to Buy Bitcoin, Dominance remains high..... It isd as simple as that.
And this ETH BTC chart shows that very clearly.
The REAL question is why the ETH ETF's failed so much.
Maybe that is because MANY people realised the "energy behind Ethereum" - The American crypto , Protected by Gensler and predecessors. The Not really Descentralised structure and power if you hoold a LOT, something not many independants can do
Ethereum will be in the bears' control in the mid-term (1D)Based on the recent pivot formations, momentum, and wave degrees, we are observing signs of a deeper correction on the Ethereum chart, which we find necessary to warn about.
As you know, we follow technical evidence and signals to provide analysis—we do not predict the market but rather analyze it step by step.
From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, Ethereum's price-time correction has begun.
It appears that an ABC pattern is forming, with wave B now completed or nearing completion after losing the trendline (red dashed line).
Wave C should align with the previous waves in degree and have a longer duration than wave A.
Since wave B retraced close to the top of wave A, wave C’s price correction may not fall too far below the low of wave A.
We have two possible scenarios: either Demand 1 will be the market bottom, or Demand 2.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis. Let's see how it plays out.
invalidation level : 2941$
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You