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ETHBTC

ETHBTC. Should we look for buying opportunities?On the weekly time frame (TF), there has been a sideways movement since May 2021. The seller's vector 11-12 interacted with the lower boundary of the range at 0.049081 several times. After the first interaction in January 2024, the buyer performed well with a single weekly candle (January 8th), forming a buyer's zone (blue rectangle on the chart). A similar situation is happening now, with the weekly candle on May 20th also showing a good spread and volume, creating another buyer's zone (blue rectangle on the chart, with the upper boundary at 0.05206). Since the seller's vector has reached all its targets within the range, the current buyer's vector is 12-13. The potential target is 0.085621 (~50%), and it seems reasonable to look for buying opportunities. However, the question remains whether the buyer's activity will develop further or if the price will update the local minimum again (0.04473). It is reasonable to look for buying opportunities on the weekly time frame from the buyer's zone (upper edge – 0.05206), with the idea of realizing the buyer's vector 12-13. The first potential targets are 0.06117 and 0.06257, with an ambitious target of 0.085621. Let's examine the lower time frames to determine where else it is reasonable to look for buying opportunities. Daily Time Frame On the daily time frame, there was a seller's trend. The last seller's impulse started from the level 0.05249 and ended at the level 0.04473. Then, there was a buyer's impulse, and now the price is above 0.05249, indicating that the seller's trend has stopped. The key candle of the buyer's impulse (the highest volume in the impulse, marked as "KC" on the chart) is at the end of the impulse. Buying opportunities can be considered if the buyer defends the levels at 0.05332 (the key candle of the impulse) and 0.05249 (the price of the last seller's impulse started from), with the idea of initiating a long trend and breaking above 0.05744. It would be cool, during the seller's attack on the level 0.05249, the price moves into the buyer's zone on the weekly TF (0.05206 or below), and then the buyer brings the price back above 0.05249 and defends this level. If the price falls below 0.05249 and the seller defends this level, it is likely that the price will move towards the local minimum (0.04473). 4-Hour Time Frame The price has formed a sideways movement. The buyer's vector 6-7 has reached its targets. The current seller's vector 7-8 has a potential target of 0.05322 (see the 0.05322 level on the daily TF above). The lower boundary of the range is 0.0525, which coincides with the 0.05249 level on the daily TF. It makes sense to look for buying opportunities on the 4-hour TF if the buyer defends the levels at 0.05322 or 0.0525, based on the idea of the buyer's vector 8-9 within the range. Sales can also be considered from the seller's defense of the 0.05622 or 0.05744 levels, based on the idea of the realization of the 7-8 vector within the range.
by AlexeyWolf
ETH - 4H more correctionIn the 4-hour timeframe, Ethereum's recent upward movement was a classic pullback after failing to hold its previous support level. This pullback reached the resistance zone around $3,600, which acted as a significant barrier. Now, ETH is showing signs of weakening and is likely to continue its downward trajectory. Expect Ethereum to target the next support levels around $3,310 and possibly $3,110, as indicated in the chart. These zones are crucial as they represent potential areas where buyers might step in.
Short
by Sober_Trading
2
Ethereum Returning to the EtherEthereum lost an uptrend it has been in for >6.5 years back in July of this last year. That uptrend also forms the bottom of a rising wedge that has taken shape when drawing a trend from peak to peak over the years. Upon losing its uptrend, it briefly saw a pullback during Feb - March of this year, but then lost it again and has since bounced down from a re-test it did in May. It's BINANCE:ETHBTC pair also lost a 7.2 year uptrend back in March and has also since failed to get back above it upon re-test: Possible scenarios for new ATHs before down: It could drag out through July or later and re-test again, which might even give it a new / slightly higher ATH before starting the long haul down. Or, it could break back into the rising wedge and move near the top, around 10k as some have expected, and that could delay and mitigate its downside. Another look at ETH/BTC 2-Weekly and daily charts with chances to become bullish or bearish: 2-Weekly: Daily Chart zoom in on re-test of 7.2 year uptrend, where it formed a rising wedge and hit downside targets, so far:
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by dudebruhwhoa
Long ETH, Short BTC on Expected ETH ETF Approval SEC's unexpected nod for Ethereum Spot ETFs (“ETH ETFs”) through the approval of 19b-4 forms has ignited a fresh wave of excitement in crypto markets. This paper delves into the impact on ETH/BTC Ratio fuelled by this development. The ratio has been a laggard throughout the current bull run. ETHER ETF ADVANCES TOWARDS APPROVAL On 23rd May, the SEC unexpectedly approved the 19b-4 forms, permitting CBOE, Nasdaq, and NYSE to list ETH ETFs. This surprised participants who anticipated a rejection. Take note that this does not signify that spot ETH ETFs are approved for trading yet. The applications must still clear the next hurdle, which is the approval of the S-1 form. This process could potentially be drawn out over the next couple of months but there are encouraging signs. Last week, Blackrock updated its S-1 form for its iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA), suggesting that the issuers and SEC were working towards fine-tuning the details. The Block reported that other issuers were told to send in their updated S-1 filings by Friday 31/May. Additional rounds of revisions are expected before a final decision. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas opines that approval could come as soon as June. A key point of interest for ETH ETFs will be whether the ETH held in these instruments can be staked. Staking Ethereum generates 3.4% APR (Annual Percentage Rate) as of 3rd June. Staking is exposed to risk of losses through slashing. Yet, it makes Spot ETFs attractive to investors. ETH ETF WILL DRIVE SPOT DEMAND Like the spot Bitcoin ETFs, ETH ETFs will drive additional spot demand for the cryptocurrency. Since launch, Bitcoin ETFs have seen more than USD 13 billion of capital inflows . Spot ETFs represents new source of demand and in the month following its launch, inflows drove large price moves. ETH ETFs are unlikely to attract the same level of demand as Bitcoin ETFs. Inflows into ETH ETFs are expected to be a fraction of those into BTC ETFs, with ETH assets constituting about 10%-20% of BTC assets in various regions, according to comparisons of currently listed instruments. Source: Eric Balchunas on X Projecting this level of spot demand, ETH ETFs could witness inflows between USD 1.1 billion (10% of BTC inflows) to USD 2.2 billion (20% of BTC inflows) over the next three months. ETH HAS LAGGED IN THE CURRENT CRYPTO RALLY BTC has been the clear winner in the current crypto rally. BTC is the only large crypto to exceed its previous all-time-high until now. In terms of relative performance, other cryptocurrencies have displayed robust performance too. Other crypto-assets Solana, Dogecoin and Binance Coin have surged to outperform BTC over the last six months. ETH has been a noticeable laggard. ETH had been underperforming even BTC until 20th May. Following the rally after approval, ETH has just managed to catch up to BTC performance but still lags relative to smaller (and riskier) crypto assets SOL, DOGE, and BNB. To get a sense of relative performance, we can plot the ratios of these crypto assets with BTC. This chart makes ETH underperformance relative to BTC even clearer. This underperformance might suggest that investors have moved away from ETH. That risk when flipped could also present an opportunity for ETH to outperform BTC in the coming weeks. ETH/BTC ratio is a mean-reverting quantity and relative to the peaks seen during past cryptocurrency bull runs, the ratio is low. Notably, the ratio rallied sharply after BTC reached new all-time-high levels in the past. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Approval of ETH ETFs in the near term is likely to translate into spot buying, driving up prices. A hypothetical trade consisting of a long position in the ETH/BTC ratio will benefit as ETH outperforms BTC. Investors can execute a spread trade on the ETH/BTC ratio using CME Micro Bitcoin and CME Micro Ether futures. Each contract of Micro Bitcoin futures provide exposure to 0.1 Bitcoin and each contract of Micro Ether futures provide exposure to 0.1 Ether. Eighteen contracts of Micro Ether are required to balance notional value on both legs of the trade. • Entry: 0.0547 • Target: 0.0600 • Stop Loss: 0.0520 • Profit at Target: USD 655 • Loss at Stop: USD 336 • Reward/Risk: 1.95x Notably, this trade does not match notional exactly as the current BTC/ETH ratio is 18.28. Alternatively, CME offers Ether/Bitcoin Ratio (EBR) futures that enable investors to gain exposure to the ETH/BTC ratio through a single transaction and match notional exactly. Each contract of these futures corresponds to an exposure of USD 1,000,000 multiplied by the index value (approximately USD 54,810 at a ratio of 0.05481 as of May 31). These contracts enable investors to obtain relative value exposure on these closely correlated assets without taking a directional stance. The EBR contract is also substantially more margin efficient than individual futures on both legs (USD 6,800 vs USD 28,000 for the same notional value). However, investors should be aware that these newly introduced futures have poor liquidity compared to individual Ether and Bitcoin full-size and micro futures contracts. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CME:MBT1!Short
by mintdotfinance
7
Ethereum's Potential Surge: Bouncing Back from a 7-Year Support The recent weeks have been pivotal for Ethereum, the world's second-largest cryptocurrency. While its price faced some fluctuations, a crucial technical development suggests a potential for significant growth in the near future. Analysts are closely watching a technical indicator that hints at a bullish outlook for Ethereum in the coming months. The Power of the 7-Year Support Line The indicator in question is the ETH/BTC ratio, a metric that compares the performance of Ethereum relative to Bitcoin. This ratio recently bounced off a significant support trend line that has been in place for a staggering seven years. This trend line essentially represents a historical price barrier below which the ETH/BTC ratio hasn't fallen for an extended period. Technical analysts view such bounces from long-term support lines as potentially bullish signals. The argument is that when prices find support at these historical levels, it often precedes a period of price appreciation. In simpler terms, the fact that the ETH/BTC ratio held above this key support line suggests a potential reversal of the recent downtrend and a possible upswing for Ethereum relative to Bitcoin. Dissecting the Bullish Signal There's more to the story than just the bounce itself. The specific candlestick pattern formed at the support line adds further weight to the bullish interpretation. This pattern, known as a "hammer," is characterized by a long lower wick and a relatively small body, indicating selling pressure that was ultimately overcome by buying pressure. In the context of the ETH/BTC ratio, this hammer suggests that while there were attempts to push the ratio lower, bulls stepped in and prevented a significant decline. What Could This Mean for Ethereum Prices? While the bounce from the support line and the hammer candlestick pattern are positive signs, it's important to manage expectations. Analysts aren't suggesting an immediate surge to $4,900, the number mentioned in some headlines. However, the technical signals do hint at a potential for a sustained increase in the value of Ethereum relative to Bitcoin. This could translate to a notable rise in the USD price of Ethereum as well. Factors to Consider Beyond Technicals While technical analysis plays a role, it's not the sole factor influencing cryptocurrency prices. Here are some additional considerations: • Overall market sentiment: A bullish trend in the broader cryptocurrency market would undoubtedly benefit Ethereum. • Developments on the Ethereum network: Upcoming upgrades or positive news surrounding the Ethereum blockchain technology could further fuel its growth. • Regulatory landscape: Regulatory clarity and adoption of Ethereum-based applications could attract more users and investors. A Cautious Approach with a Hint of Optimism The bounce from the 7-year support line offers a glimmer of optimism for Ethereum's future. However, investors should exercise caution and conduct their own research before making any investment decisions. The cryptocurrency market remains volatile, and unforeseen events can always impact prices. Conclusion: A Potential Turning Point for Ethereum The technical indicators surrounding the ETH/BTC ratio suggest a potential turning point for Ethereum. While the exact price trajectory remains uncertain, the bounce from the long-term support line and the bullish candlestick formation paint a hopeful picture for Ethereum's relative strength in the coming months. By staying informed about broader market trends, technological advancements, and regulatory developments, investors can make informed decisions about their Ethereum holdings.
Long
by bryandowningqln
EVERY Possible Scenario for ETH in 2024As we can all observe, ETH is doing pretty bad against BTC. And I mean neck-deep-up-sh*t-creek-with-its-mouth-wide-open kinda bad LOL. People are starting to worry and get flashbacks of the December 2020 dip of ETH against BTC. The current situation is the price retesting a historic golden FIBONACCI level (61.8%) that's about 3 years old. This level is crucial because it's formed by the last cycle's bull-run surge. Let's explore the possible and impossible, or rather unlikely, scenarios. FIRST SCENARIO: Ethereum ETFs get approved. This obviously is what we all wish for, not only ETH investors and fans, but everyone who cares about the Alt-coins market. I expect a huge surge from our golden FIBO level if this scenario occurs. SECOND SCENARIO: Ethereum ETFs get disapproved. In this case, it would be reasonable for the price to decline and retest the bottom of an even more historic symmetrical triangle structure that's as old as ETH. The price should bounce from there as Ethereum recovers from the bad news and retry surpassing the golden FIBO level. THIRD SCENARIO: Ethereum is doomed. This is a very unlikely scenario , but let's humor it anyway. What if ETH fails to retest the bottom of the symmetrical triangle structure that's been containing its price action since millennia? Well, I don't expect this to happen unless ETH fails to recover from the bad news and turns out to be a huge SCAM coin. The biggest scam coin in the history of crypto. Sorry if this was too intrusive and scary. I just think it's reasonable to always consider the worst as we consider the best outcome possible. The GREAT news is all of the speculations are pointing to the approval of the Ethereum ETFs , I personally expect the approval next week, so I'm ruling out anything but the BEST possible scenario for ETH this cycle! Note: This was an exploration of a potential scenario based on the current context and state of the market, not financial advice.
by OmarsMess
2
🚨ALTSeason Alert🚨: Why It's Imminent ??The cryptocurrency market is buzzing with anticipation as many analysts and traders believe an altseason is on the horizon. Altseasons are periods in the market cycle when altcoins (alternative cryptocurrencies) outperform Bitcoin (BTC), the leading digital asset. Several factors suggest that an altseason could be imminent, and this article will explore these indicators and highlight promising altcoins to watch. Altseason Index Signaling a Shift: The Altseason Index, a metric that tracks the relative performance of altcoins against Bitcoin, currently indicates a Bitcoin dominance-led market. However, the index is approaching a critical inflection point where it could break below its trendline, signaling a potential altseason. Bitcoin Dominance Poised for a Breakout: Bitcoin's dominance, which represents its share of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization, has been trading within an ascending wedge pattern. This pattern suggests a potential breakout, with a downward move indicating a shift of power towards altcoins. A decline in dominance below 40% is often considered a hallmark of an altseason. Bitcoin dominance chart showing an ascending wedge pattern Ethereum (ETH) Gaining Strength: The ETH/BTC price ratio, which measures the relative performance of Ethereum (ETH) against Bitcoin, has been on an upward trend. This trend suggests that ETH is gaining strength relative to BTC, potentially signaling a shift in market sentiment towards altcoins. ETH/BTC price ratio chart showing an uptrend WIF (WazirX India Token) Poised for a Breakout: WIF, a cryptocurrency native to the WazirX exchange platform, has been forming a massive ascending triangle pattern on the daily timeframe. This pattern suggests a potential breakout towards $10, making WIF a promising altcoin to watch for the upcoming altseason. WIF/USDT chart showing an ascending triangle pattern Additional Factors Supporting an Altseason: Increased Institutional Interest in Altcoins: Institutional investors are showing growing interest in altcoins, as evidenced by rising investment inflows and the launch of altcoin-focused products. Strong Fundamentals of Many Altcoins: Numerous altcoins have strong underlying fundamentals, innovative use cases, and active developer communities, making them attractive investment opportunities. Market Sentiment Favoring Riskier Assets: The overall market sentiment is shifting towards riskier assets, which could benefit altcoins as investors seek higher potential returns. Conclusion: While the exact timing of an altseason cannot be predicted with certainty, the confluence of several indicators suggests that it is imminent. Altcoins like WIF, with strong technical patterns and solid fundamentals, are poised to make significant gains during this altseason. However, it is crucial to exercise caution and conduct thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency.
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
1
ETH LONG TERM IDEAHello, We have exciting news and insights to share with you! With the potential approval of the Ethereum Spot ETF, we foresee significant movements in Ethereum’s price over the long term. Our detailed analysis and forecast are illustrated in the attached chart, providing you with a clear vision of what might be ahead. Ethereum Long-Term Price Outlook Current Situation: As of now, Ethereum is trading around the $3,900 mark. The market has shown resilience, and with the anticipation of the Ethereum Spot ETF approval, we expect significant bullish momentum. Key Levels to Watch: Based on our analysis, here are the critical price levels to keep an eye on: • $4,396.48: This is our first major resistance level. Breaking through this could set the stage for further upward movement. • $4,819.93: The next resistance level, which could be a crucial point for Ethereum’s medium-term growth. • $5,374.45: Breaking past this level could signify strong bullish sentiment, potentially driving prices even higher. • $6,070.12: This level represents a significant milestone, indicating a strong upward trend. • $6,443.16: Our long-term target, which we believe Ethereum could reach following the positive momentum from the ETF approval. Technical Insights: The attached chart shows Ethereum’s price action and key resistance levels. The descending trendline that Ethereum has been facing is a critical barrier. Breaking through this trendline with strong volume and support from the ETF news could propel Ethereum to new heights. Why This Matters: 1. Institutional Adoption: The approval of the Ethereum Spot ETF would signal increased institutional interest and confidence in Ethereum, likely driving more investment and adoption. 2. Market Sentiment: A positive decision from the SEC can boost overall market sentiment, not just for Ethereum but for the entire crypto market. 3. Long-Term Growth: With increased institutional participation, we could see sustained growth and stability in Ethereum’s price, making it a valuable addition to any investment portfolio. We recommend keeping a close watch on the market and these key levels. As always, our team at CryptoSignalAPP is here to provide you with the latest insights and updates to help you navigate the crypto market effectively. Stay ahead of the curve and make informed decisions with CryptoSignalAPP! Best regards
Long
by CryptoSignalAPP
ETHBTC Analysis: Bullish Momentum and Potential Corrections#personaloutlook #marketupdate #cryptoweeklyupdate on 27/05/2024 #sekilascrypto #ETHBTC As I mentioned last week, we have successfully broken through the yellow area at 0.4883212 - 0.05036641, indicating that ETH is starting to strengthen against BTC. So, what's next for ETHBTC? Currently, it remains quite strong and bullish, but as we can see, the Stoch RSI is already entering the overbought area, which could potentially lead to a correction. On the daily timeframe, there is still a chance to reclaim up to 0.06047006 and then drop back as a correction to the current area around 0.05677990. However, overall, there is a big possibility it will move to the green zone in the area of 0.06554863 - 0.06813071.
by x_Akki