Is ALT-season near?BIG update on (BTCUSD,ETHBTC,LTCBTC and more)Today an update on 3 big players in cryptospace. I will talk about BTC, ETH and LTC, when will the alt-season start? This is my opinion…
Not so much TA today, I would like to make a point on how I look at this markets using BTC as the main coin of comparison.
BTCUSD:
First of all I want to start with the most important one, BTC.
So really nothing major has happened yet, we can see a 10% correction as reaction to our 50% uptrend of the last couple of days. Now BTC is trying to find support on several levels. Next big support level is at 7.45 level where our 0.382 FIB level is. As long as we don’t pass our uptrend level who could possibly be support line, I’m not worrying too much on BTC. I think that the area between 7.5K and 7.2K can possibly be another big support line aswell. When we would break down all these levels (chances very slim in my opinion). Than we could go back to our huge support level at 6.8K. At the moment the stoch RSI is telling us that we’re oversold so expect a green day tomorrow or the day after.
BTCUSDLONGS:
Another great thing to see is that more people are positive on BTC. More people are getting long at the moment. We broke back above our upwards trend line, which is very bullish.
ETHBTC:
A big downwards trend here, clear to see that BTC is outperforming ETH big time. We are now reaching an important support-line at 0.055. If we succeed to find support, we would create a double bottom, which would be a great foundation for the future. I’m expecting a small bounce at 0.055 which will be followed by a downtrend, my guess is that we’re not holding support at that particular level. My next target is at 0.047 .
ETHUSD:
We’re now on a huge resistance-line aswell, again I think this is too early, we’re not ready for a massive altcoin uptrend. We’ve broke our upwards support line which is very bearish. My next target here is 355. Although we’re in a huge oversold territory.
ETHBTCLONGS:
Very interesting chart aswell, this chart is showing how much people think that ETH will overperform BTC. (chart speaks for itself).
LTCBTC:
Interesting: we saw a 60% correction and we are reaching the oversold territory. Absolutely not the end, I expect a downwards trend to 0.0084, maybe to 0.007.
LTCUSD:
We’ve now reached a huge support at 76 usd. We’re nearing the oversold territory, could possibly see a small bounce at 76.
LTCBTCLONG:
Again same story, no one thinks that LTC will outperform BTC. Don’t see the point investing in altcoins at the moment, we’re nearing oversold territory aswell but should wait on this one.
So we can conclude that the altcoin season hasn’t start yet and isn’t close aswell. I think that it’s great to see BTC-dominance go up to almost 50%, all the alts getting in the oversold territory. We’re preparing for the altcoin launch but we need first to go down before we can see a uptrend. I think we will see a downwards trend for the most coins for the next couple of days with BTC out-preforming the alts. I'm very bullish in long term for crypto in general!
Love to hear your opinion on this!
DM's and comments are always welcome.
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Ethbtclong
ETHWell, this is seriously suggesting a reversal.
Is the third time this happen
MACD about to cross
SRSI oversold and getting into price dynamic zone
BottomFinder giving a very Strong signal (thanks to "theheirophant truckloadtrader" for this. Please try his work)
Coindetector also giving an important alarm to buy (Thanks to "CoinDetector" !! give it a try, very nice job)
+ ETH is above a huge support (blue line)... which is being backed by TDS with its "trade the 9s" method (that's why we see the price in yellow)
Anyway TDS is yellow, and should be green as it was 6 days before.. but is still valid unless it breaks support.
Volume is very Low, but from my experience that's a sign of market contriction, which could be followed by a breakout.
Strongest resistance is EMA 55 (labeled on green)... if price break that level there could be a very solid uptrend.
We wait this candle to close and watch the next one to confirm how are we going to operate... TDS must confirm the reversal.
Anyway be prepared, everything is suggesting the Bulls are back and Cryptospace will fly high again.
Educational only (Im learning)
If you like my ideas, please hit Like, leave a comment, share them and follow me for more!!
GoodTrade
-CJ-
Ethereum creates a false breakdownEthereum is having a pretty tough time since Monday. The coin went from the 0.07190s to 0.06720s in two days almost without a correction. So, what stopped the move to the downside?
Ethereum pushed through the horizontal support and even through the 161.8% Fibonacci key extension before racing higher as the bears were not able to close below the support levels. A confluence of two support levels managed to create a bear trap and allow the new traders to enter the market with an aim to push further the price to the downside. However, it seems that a lot of bulls waited for this level before entering the market and they are now in control, as far as the H1 chart is concerned. Watch out for a move higher to test the previous horizontal support around 0.06915 which also coincides with the 38.2% retracement of the recent fall. If, however, the coin returns lower and again pokes below the confluence of support, then there is a significant risk of the breakthrough and a major move to the downside.
ETH (and Really Most Big Coins) are About to MoonStep back for a second. Look at the bigger picture. We are sitting on a key support level with longstanding bull divergences in a number of key indicators and some pretty big hints about what the bigger players have in mind if you start looking through various Bitfinex longs and shorts.
These days, I think people ought to strongly consider pairing their BTC analysis with a cross-check of the ETH chart. The ETH chart is just a little bit more honest about what's going on - heavily correlated, but without quite so many artifacts compliments of Bart Simpson. It's a different angle on the same overall story, with different indicators and analyses being clearer on either BTC or ETH.
6 month CME futures closed at the end of June. The next two sets of 6mo futures (September and December expirations) opened near the lows of April and July. So, if like me, you only really trust analysis in crypto that comes with a healthy dose of cynicism about how and why the gears turn the way they do, that's your clue about where the rest of the year is headed.
The next bullish move starts very very soon.
I'm an amateur and you definitely shouldn't take anything I say as financial advice. I'd be interested in any feedback.
ETH is about to outperform BTC and a huge change in CryptomarketThe triangle formation is already set up, The ETH against BTC has been either strong or slightly strong against BTC -1.07% .
The pattern suggests ETH to almost triple its value against BTC.
Check out the volume shrinking and the symmetry of the triangle is nice
In terms of BTC , if ETH triples in value that means the market dominance will be transferred to ETH from BTC.
Suggesting a market dominant player change is already a big bet, but I am HODLing strong my idea.
One major news might be that an official from CBOE just told that SEC's attitude against ETH was clearing a major obstacle against ETH futures . Remember BTC futures , made BTC run from 3-5.000 range to 20.0000 usd.
Technical Analysis of Etherium (ETHBTC)1)Etherium is taking support at the 50% Fib. Retracement as well as on the short term uptrend line.
2)It will again try to break the 38.2% Fib Retracement level which will act as immediate ressistance and once it doesn , the next resistance is at 0.094096 BTC.
3)Once it crooses 0.094096, the next major resistance will be 0.123277 btc.
4)On the downside, if the minor uptrend line breaks,it may test 0.066103 btc level then the next support will be 0.054139 btc level.
ETHBTC support - resistance and price directionETHBTC Daily Chart
I think, it'll try the bottom support line (blue line) again.
If the support breaks down it may fall to red support
If break up the trend line, it move to a new hill
***This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.***
I'm sorry for the impaired expression..Just watch the chart, not what I write. :)
PS make sure you give me a like, If you LIKE this analysis .... If you like most of my analyzes, FOLLOW me .
$ETH #Ethereum GETTING READY FOR NEW ATH!!!Hello Lads and Ladies,
Today looking into ETH we see some quite nice possibilities. Right now forming a cup, ETH might repeat itself for the third time and make HUGE pump, even with a possibility to a new ATH in BTC value. Everytime ETH makes this formation, it get very bullish and pumps at its peak with 100%. At this moment we have to see if ETH will test and stay at 0.09BTC value, which would be the 38.2%. In this case we will see the displayed pump, start right there. The targets would be the 61.8% fibs (which was the closing pump candle from the previous pump), the 78.6% fibs (which was the very peak of the last pump) and then the 100% fibs (which is still the ATH). From there it might push even more and touch the 127.2% fibs line and allocate its new ATH there.
I chose for this chart the reverse fibs retracement because it has been respected quite exactly in the last period of time. Furthermore, the 100% pump would be right around 127.2% fibs line.
I know this would be a very nice scenario and we would come a step closer to the lambo. ANYHOW, there is quite a chance that as soon the cup is formed and the 38.2% fibs line hit, ETH will stay in a channel and retrace back to the 0% fibs or even further down to 0.05BTC value (which would be the 127.2% fibs line, if this would not be reverse) looking at it this way, if BTC is at 20k $ that would still be 1000$ for ETH. Even though, there are many rumors for ETH hitting 5k $ this year, where the next pump would be a nice beginning.
Short term, watch for the 38.2% fibs line ( 0.0900 BTC value) and see if it starts pumping or retraces down to the 23.6% fibs where it would be the next crucial point.
Long term, if it enters the channel, trade the channel. If it pumps, you have the targets.
If you are already in, you can gamble 20%-40% that it will retrace back to 23.6% fibs at least for a short period.
Cheers, Tomas
ETHBTC - Key Resistance Point for Ethereum Eth is constantly trying to pass the 0.085 level for the week. However that value proved its strength.
If Eth breaks 0.085 level we will be heading towards 0.100
If Eth fails we may see a drawback to arround 0.074 where 100 MA is resting.
So look at the volume and the current pricaction and evalute according to what the next days bring.
PS: You can follow us from social media to be tuned with latest news and discussions by searching CryptoCholics.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice, always make your own research and evaluate what we share here.
BESTS, CryptoCholics out, Peace out
ETH/USD (Ethereum token) BREAKOUT WAVES $746=UP $677.50=DOWN!ETH/USD (Ethereum token) Semi log scale, 360 minute chart, 05/16/18, 6:07 PM EST, by Michael Mansfield
Hi trader friends! ETH lower first?
BOTTOM LINE: Ethereum is likely in the middle of its final leg lower to complete an ABC Elliott Wave double zigzag correction. However, there is the potential of a breakout up at the "area 1 black horizontal line" off recent high, since there are 5 waves off the recent low, but only on lower time-frames.
However, the most likely scenarios is that a larger double zigzag correction lower to either of the previous two Wave 4 reversal areas, at $633 and $590, where the dual dashed green lines are, is most likely at this time.
BUT, IF AN EARLY BREAKOUT UP:
If Ethereum breaks above recent swing high at $746.06, that occurred yesterday, 05/15/18, on this data, then ETH would likely see a larger degree Wave C up, or the structure could be a dynamic Wave 3 of 5 up. But again, the probabilities are that ETH is in a larger Elliott Wave ABC double zigzag correction lower, one that will lead ETH/USD to $633-$590 areas first, then up.
TRADER TIP: GO WITH THE MOST LIKELY PROBABILITY:
After a 5 wave advance, the likely target zone for and ABC correction down, to what I call “The Best Buy Zone,” is the prior Wave 4 or the prior Wave 4 of lesser degree, shown herein by the two dashed green lines on this chart (labeled Wave IV and Wave 4). So if we see this market drop to between $633 and $590 on declining momentum and declining volume, that would then likely be a nice-lower risk-area to buy into.
RISK OF A DEEPER DROP BEGINS AT $516:
Breaking below the lower BLUE Andrews Pitchfork support line, currently
moving upward yet at $516 where I have labeled the potential Wave C low, would likely lead to a move down to $420, the lowest pitchfork support line (black), or maybe far lower! But that looks less likely right now.
CYCLES:
Longer-term cycle (blue) is still heading lower, but this is on limited sample size of data. So, the blue cycle is less trusted at this time. However, if accurate, a more bearish outlook would be necessary.
The medium-term cycle (green) is strong up (more data=more likely).
The shorter-term cycle (red) is moving down in line with a correction lower for now.
SUMMARY: This cycle combination best fits a bit deeper correction, for now, then up in the direction of the green cycle, for either a large degree Wave (C) bounce or Wave 3 of 5 up to nearly a new high.
CONFIRMATION EITHER WAY:
The next 3-5 days will likely provide the wave structure and breakdown lower, or breakout higher, which would then likely provide a roadmap for the next 3 months or price movements.
DISCLOSURE:
This analysis is meant for educational purposes only. You trade at your own risk!
Cheers and good trading,
Michael Mansfield CIO
Ethereum continues to grow!Coin of the day is Ethereim.
The main competitor of the Bitcoin. Ethereum is an open-source, public, blockchain-based distributed computing platform and operating system featuring smart contract (scripting) functionality. Ether is a cryptocurrency whose blockchain is generated by the Ethereum platform. Ether can be transferred between accounts and used to compensate participant mining nodes for computations performed. Ethereum provides a decentralized Turing-complete virtual machine, the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), which can execute scripts using an international network of public nodes. "Gas", an internal transaction pricing mechanism, is used to mitigate spam and allocate resources on the network.
A large number of Ethereum based projects emerges now (OniseGo, Qtum, Ox...) which increases the capitalization and acceptance of the whole technology.
Latest events
May 2 - The Enterprise Ethereum Alliance (EEA), with over 500 members, today unveiled the next phase of its Enterprise Ethereum specification strategy, with the public release of its Enterprise Ethereum Architecture Stack. This stack defines the building blocks needed to drive the Web 3.0 era of decentralized, connective intelligence – the next generation of Enterprise Ethereum applications that, like the Internet, will work anywhere, and are capable of facilitating smart contracts without intermediaries.
May 2 – Reddit, which hosts communities for every single cryptocurrency in the world, is hoping to bring back crypto payments to the platform, this time with Ethereum and Litecoin in addition to Bitcoin, according to CTO
Technicals
ETHBTC went into an uptrend on the 04.04.2018, broke above the Bullish Trend Lines and are showing sustained growth for already a month. On 22.04.2018 the coin broke above the 100-days EMA and 0.07 level. Regarding the daily distribution of volumes, the peak of volumes located much higher than 0.075 level, which means that in the nearest term the price will test 0.08 level. In case of breakthrough, we might see an increase of momentum and movement to the 0.09 level. In case of rebound from the 0.08 level, the correction is possible, as the coin already looks overbought and there might be traders who will want to fix the profits. 0.075 level should act as a support. For the correction scenario, 100-days EMA would be a reasonable support.
Understanding ETH/BTC in this MASSIVE wegdeMy last 2 posts on ETH and BTC illustrated a potential H&S pattern on both. Head and shoulders patterns aren't typically tradeable until we break out one way or another, as we saw. Both have done very different things. The one that formed on ETH was shakey, but I posted it because the one on BTC was solid and typically both pairs generally move together. ETH had a nice break out and move to the upside and I want to get some macro perspective on things and understand why ETH broke sooner but not BTC (BTC is looking like it could still break up right now) and where we go from here by diving into what ETH/BTC is doing. Lets take a look.
1. ETH/BTC has formed this HUGE wedge and is pushing up.
2. RSI is starting to reach a top, which could be an indicator that we will get a temporary pull back
3. MACD is turning positive.
Right now, we have some room to go until we hit this first resistance area at .074. With the way things are going, this could mean that ETH pushes past 575 and goes up to 600 and maybe higher.
Ultimately, the reason ETH pushed up and not BTC was because of this upward pressure. If ETH is leading the way, The real question is what does it do once it hits that resistance area? Does it revert down and retest that wedge or that support zone? Or does it continue higher and possible break it to the upside? The pattern that forms will be very telling for where we go from here.
Hope that helps, if it does please smash that like button to let me know.
-Sherem
Ethereum vs Bitcoin: Relatively speaking who will win?In this analysis I take a look at a BAT which has really worked nicely and subsequently I look at what looks to be a Butterfly setting up which seems to suggest in the coming months ETH might out perform BTC.
If the Butterfly is setting up then I am waiting for price to head a little lower to touch a missed monthly central Pivot from a couple of months back. Once that happens I will be looking for a way to buy some ETH with BTC to take advantage of the relative gain.
No entry yet, so will update once price gets down to missed pivot.
ETH/BTC WE ARE ON STRONG WEEKLY TREND !Hello everyone,
Let's hope Ethereum will back on track soon, You can see we have a strong weekly trend giving us very hard support area if it holds we gonna fly.
If the trend-line broke, we are done and Ethereum will feel a free fall.
Let's see what will happen in the next few hours...