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Ethereum ETH Price Targets after the FOMC meeting this weekThe upcoming FED meeting on May 3rd could cause a further decline in the crypto market due to the potential rate hike and ongoing unease around banking system developments. The outlook for the crypto market after the upcoming FED meeting on May 3rd is bleak. Fears of a deep credit crunch caused by Silicon Valley Bank's collapse have not yet materialized, and the financial situation is much steadier. Additionally, inflation remains elevated, and with evidence of stubbornness in underlying inflation, it could be in the 4% to 5% range, far above the 2% inflation target. The markets are pricing in a 25bp Fed Funds rate hike to 5.25% at the May FOMC meeting, and given the steadiness in financial markets, persistence in price pressures, and continued decent activity, this could contribute to a further downturn in the crypto market. ETH/USDT short Entry Range: 1800 - 1950 usd Take Profit 1: 1710 usd Take Profit 2: 1620 usd Take Profit 3: 1480 usd Stop Loss: 2150 usd
Short
by BuySellMarketMaker
Ethereum ETH Price Targets after the FOMC meeting this weekThe upcoming FED meeting on May 3rd could cause a further decline in the crypto market due to the potential rate hike and ongoing unease around banking system developments. The outlook for the crypto market after the upcoming FED meeting on May 3rd is bleak. Fears of a deep credit crunch caused by Silicon Valley Bank's collapse have not yet materialized, and the financial situation is much steadier. Additionally, inflation remains elevated, and with evidence of stubbornness in underlying inflation, it could be in the 4% to 5% range, far above the 2% inflation target. The markets are pricing in a 25bp Fed Funds rate hike to 5.25% at the May FOMC meeting, and given the steadiness in financial markets, persistence in price pressures, and continued decent activity, this could contribute to a further downturn in the crypto market. ETH/USDT short Entry Range: HKEX:1800 - 1950 Take Profit 1: HKEX:1710 Take Profit 2: TSE:1620 Take Profit 3: TSE:1480 Stop Loss: TADAWUL:2150
Short
by BuySellMarketMaker
ETHBTC may be putting in a major fakeoutAs usual, what follows isn't financial advice but a mere observation. This idea is to be considered as a follow-up of the one that can be found linked below. As explained in my last study, we're witnessing extremely low levels of volatility on the weekly timeframe for ETHBTC. While price action wasn't exactly confidence-inducing until a couple days ago, tides might be beginning to change. We can observe how since july 2020, the 21EMA (yellow) and the 55EMA (green) have never had the chance to bearishly cross. This brings me to a very simple point, if we can see a weekly ETHBTC close above both EMAs, essentially producing a fakeout, the idea that the expansion phase coming from this extremely low volatility environment will be to the upside will begin to appear more probable. The horizontal ray that's marking the march 2023 high (0.073544) is the obvious line in the sand for me, a weekly close above that level will make me consider that ETHBTC is putting in a major - possibly even macro - low. Keep in mind that as long as the price keeps being held down by both the 21EMA and the 55EMA this is just a possible scenario waiting to unfold, but still unconfirmed. Furthermore, a weekly close below this current week low (0.062037) will very likely result in a much more severe downside continuation, with targets already discussed in the idea linked below. Whatever happens, stay safe and wait for confirmation.
by Andewyl
ETH ETHER EW COUNTETH held stronger vs BTC at the lows. While BTC made lower low, ETH remained above with a higher low. However since those lows, BTC dominance has flexed its muscle and ETH had lost some of its strength until recentl with the upgrades/mergers, ETH surged and bounce right back up. Tough to say whether another leg up is due, I am favoring at least a retest of the current high and possible a push up towards 2400-2800 & 2800-3200 area. At the highs is not where I want to be bullish considering economic conditions & where global markets are currently sitting. So if you bought at the lows, it would be very safe to be taking profits along the way as wave 4 retracement was already completed in the summer of 2022. Upside here can be viewed as limited, as the ending tops normally are. We will have to wait and see how the current pullback plays out and see how markets behave over next few days/weeks. Opportunity to go long may be the favorable trade as I personally do favor another leg higher; a stop loss at previous low is ideal area to consider for managing risk. Will update the wave counts as candles print. For now, nothing major. Current sequenece appears to be impulsive sequence of wave i-v to complete the corrective ABC as a wave ((4)). We shall see how this plays out. As always trade safe. If you would like to leave comments or share, please feel free. If you found this helpful please click like to show support Happy Trading Cheers
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by CryptoHolix
ETH Bullish Retest?KUCOIN:ETHUSDT Looking for bullish ETH retest in yellow zone. Always wait for entry trigger confirmation which could be a candlestick pattern or formation. Upside targets marked. Failing, look for entry-trigger for short to 1350 level as initial play. Always having Plan A and Plan B scenarios so we can react once the markets provide an opportunity to execute our edge. If you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
Long
by imr4nkh8n
Ethereum Shanghai Upgrade - Potential ImpactThe Shanghai upgrade marks a significant milestone for the Ethereum network, enabling depositors to access their staked ETH for the first time since the launch of the Beacon Chain. With the upgrade, two main types of withdrawals will be possible: partial and full. Partial withdrawals, or skimming, will permit validators to withdraw their cumulative staking rewards, while full withdrawals will enable the complete withdrawal of staked ETH. This analysis aims to explore the potential implications of these withdrawals on the Ethereum economy and address concerns regarding the supply unlock event. Shanghai presents a unique situation where rewards have accumulated over two years and will be unlocked simultaneously. The excess balance, which is not actively participating in Proof-of-Stake, amounts to around 1.137M ETH or about $2.1B in value. After the Shanghai upgrade, this sum will be automatically withdrawn from the Beacon Chain and transferred to the depositor's Ethereum mainnet address as an automatic balance update. Validators with 0x00 withdrawal credentials own nearly 75% of the total accumulated rewards, while those with 0x01 credentials will have access to the remaining 25% (equivalent to 276k ETH). In an extreme scenario where all remaining validators update their withdrawal credentials after the Shanghai upgrade, we could see the entire sum of 1.137M ETH exit the Beacon Chain over 4.5 days. Considering the depositor segmentation, a significant portion of the staking rewards is expected to be locked up again, as large staking providers such as Lido have vowed to primarily re-stake their rewards. Furthermore, non-institutional depositors with more extensive holdings are less likely to feel pressure to sell their ETH, especially given the recent positive market trend. For full withdrawals, the daily number of validators that can exit is limited by the churn rate, which currently allows for a maximum of 1800 validators (or 57.6k ETH) to be withdrawn daily. Considering the withdrawal period determined by the churn limit, validators must pass through a withdraw-ability delay. This waiting period is 256 epochs for voluntarily exited validators, or around 27 hours long, and for slashed validators, it is 8192 epochs, or about 36 days. We have simulated the accumulated ETH accessible right after the Shanghai upgrade, approximately 45,098 ETH (equivalent to $83.3M). Most existing validators belong to solo-stakers or stakers from the early days of the Beacon Chain, who are likely to have a high conviction rate. Therefore, most withdrawals are expected to be related to changes in their technical setup rather than completely exiting their position. Considering partial and full withdrawals, we can model the potential supply pressure during the first week after the Shanghai upgrade. 1.54M ETH ($2.93B) could become liquid in the most extreme case. On the other hand, based on a 50% withdrawal credential update, segmentation of depositors, and different assumptions, our best estimate suggests that 170k ETH ($323M) could be sold. Comparing these numbers to typical weekly exchange inflow volumes, even the most extreme case of 1.53M ETH is within the average weekly exchange inflow range. This indicates that the unlock event is on a similar scale to day-to-day trade for ETH markets and is unlikely to be as dire as many speculate it to be. In conclusion, while it is impossible to predict the outcomes of the Shanghai upgrade fully, this analysis provides insights into the potential economic implications of the supply unlock event. The bulk of unlocked staking rewards is expected to come from users redeploying towards liquid staking providers, which have little need to sell due to being underwater. Moreover, Ethereum's Proof-of-Stake exit queue design will limit the amount of stake that can be drained from the pool at once, stretching the economic impact over days. This piece was the summary of this analysis by Glassnode. If you want to read the full analysis, read this: insights.glassnode.com
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by BitcoinMacro