Ethereum-bitcoin
Is the crypto market creating a bulltrap? #bitcoin #ethereumCrypto TOTAL market cap fell back into the price channel once more, after the current situtaion in ukraine keeps the markets on it's heels.
Also that short term demand line got broken as well.
Depending on how reliable the volume is in the TOTAL chart, the volume in the selloff was pretty huge as well.
We might see some violent moves in the crypto market soon, either to the up- or downside.
It mostly will depend on how the situation in the ukraine turns out, as it seems that is the biggest concern markets have at the moment.
Do NOT forget about the FED though, they probably might get jealous with all the attention the ukraine situation gets, so they might drop something too soon :D
Most importantly, stay calm and don't overreact to the current situation and keep your spirits up!
Good luck with your trading!
🚨 ARE YOU LISTENING YET???? CALLED ETH BREAKOUT TO THE DAY 🚨HI TRADERS,
WHY DO I FEEL LIKE I'M TALKING TO A BRICK WALL...
Not drawing this post out since apparently only 2 people are listening... if you are even remotely interested, look at my previous posts for the Technical Analysis.
ENTRY: Yesterday
1st Target: $3124 (HIT)
2nd Target: $3428 (.618 fibonacci retracement level)
3rd Target: $3860
LIKE/FOLLOW if you even care 🤣
Weekly Levels - February 13, 2022 (Crypto, Stocks, Commodities)Yet another interesting week is past of a very volatile time of the year. There are still lots of opportunities out there in these markets if you know where to find key Support and Resistance levels each week to find trading opportunities between them! In this video we look at the price action on Bitcoin BITFINEX:BTCUSD , Ethereum BITFINEX:ETHUSD , Bitcoin Market Dominance CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D , Bitcoin cross pairs with Ethereum BITFINEX:ETHBTCLONGS and Solano FTX:SOLBTC . We look at the stock market as a whole to see where I think the upcoming week is headed using the S&P 500 CME_MINI:ES1! , Nasdaq CME_MINI:NQ1! futures and the VIX TVC:VIX Volatility Index. Finally we look at Gold COMEX:GC1! and Oil NYMEX:CL1! the latter of which was a very good trade from Tuesday this week.
🚨 ETH ENRTY (rangebound) - MAJOR MOVE IN 2 DAYSHELLO AGAIN TRADERS,
As predicted in my last two posts, it is taking a few attempts to definitively break through the DOWS THEORY level (50% retracement) of $3124 and leg up into .5/6.18 range and continue the upward trend. As mentioned previously, looking left on our chart we see the last time we were rangebound in this area following the MAY 2021 crash, it took us nearly 12 days to definitively leg up into the next range between $3124 & the $3428 (.618 fib retracement).
WELL, it has been 10 days that we have been attempting to break this overhead resistance and it is my strong belief that we are still in a bullish trend and should break through this overhead resistance in the next few days. The RSI is nearing oversold areas and the macro BITCOIN is still holding above $40k, which is the best indicator that we are still in a bullish range.
ENTRY: RIGHT NOW
First target: $3124
Second target: $3428
Third target: MOON
IF YOU AGREE, PLEASE LIKE AND FOLLOW FOR FUTURE POSTS AND IDEAS!!!
(THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE)
Finding Fractals in Fifties (Ethereum versus Bitcoin)Ethereum/Bitcoin BITFINEX:ETHBTC setup a nice trade a few days ago. The price action of the trend is a really interesting example of the fractal waves that price tends to make. Once traders can identify and chart these patterns they can find some very profitable trade entries! Many traders ask me "what is the BEST timeframe to trade?" or make the observation that they see similar patterns on different timeframes. This video is an esoteric look at how smaller movements fit into a bigger picture!
Ethereum Daily TA : 02.10.22 $ETHAll the supports and resistances are marked on the chart and everything is clear in this analysis , but , just in case , if you had any questions or doubts Please feel free to ask in the Comment section .
Follow our other analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, we are here to help.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading
📅 10.Feb.22
⚠️(DYOR)
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
MANA Signal for HODL : 02.03.22 $MANAAll the important levels of support and resistance are marked on the chart. In this analysis, we will identify good entry points for you so that you can buy in these ranges when the market falls further .
📊 First Entry Point : $ 2.6
📊 Second Entry Point : $ 1.8
📊 Third Entry Point : $ 1
Follow our other analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, we are here to help.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading
📅 03.Feb.22
⚠️(DYOR)
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
ETH dropping to support at 200 DEMAJust a quick thought here...
Have been watching ETH action all day and it seems like on the one hour and four hour charts that ETH wants to drop down to find support and its 200 period average.
This is a short term short sell play, very risky, not financial advice.
🚀 ETH NEXT STOP - $3124 then THE MOON 🌜 GOOD MORNING TRADERS!
As you will note from my previous post two days ago, we are approaching the 50% retracement level from the May 2021 crash. Though this 50% level isn't technically a TA level, it is a very well known and respected retracement citing DOWS THEORY. If we are able to break this light resistance level at around $3124 then it would seem we are due for a major local jump on the road to the .618 retracement level around $3428.
"Looking left" on the chart you can see that historically it took a few attempts to break through this $3124 level, and was range bound for nearly two weeks prior to definitively legging up to the next range.
It should be of note that the RSI is beginning to look oversold, so as we may test levels above $3124, it wouldn't be shocking for there to be a correction down towards the $2850-3000 level before running back up. If it does this would be a great entry point while the RSI is reset and positive momentum build on the MACD.
Golden entry: $2800
Realistic entry: ~ $3k
1st target: $3124
2nd target: $3428
3rd target: $3860
We also look to be forming one of my favorite harmonics that I will update later this week if it continues to form.
PLEASE LIKE/FOLLOW IF YOU AGREE, and lets discuss what you see in this exciting retrace!
ETH , Short in midtermThe ETH is still falling down in its descending channel
But it does not seem to be able to break the Channel ceiling and downward trend this time as well
I think the price needs to be retest again at the 2000$ level.
Unless Bitcoin completely returns to Bullish , the whole scenario will change !
📊 #ETH ( Ethereum )
💹 Time Frame : Daily
👤 Saeid.Mahbob
📅 02.05.2022
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Ethereum...the BIG pictureOk it important to know this before hearing my analysis,. if you have followed me or read any of my analysis you probably would assume I am a bear.
Most of my time spent in the crypto domain (and in traditional finance) is spent on educating clients, friend, family and even strangers on the internet on technology (as I am a full on nerd and technologist + I had a career in software) ...
anyways...naturally price speculation comes up. Especially with crypto.
I will admit that I used to be a holder of crypto and of traditional public equity . (I famously bought Tesla at $150 and sold at $450)
So when I came to this dilemma of what to learn so that I could teach others I was experiencing very large swings as I was into crypto early and it was a large portion of my portfolio.
I sought out traders like @OptimoomFX and others because of experience, and no apparent bias to any domain or asset. This to me is logical and reasonable.
I think that having a bias towards an asset and asset class was causing me pain emotionally and in my pocket book.
I am firm in my belief that being a fan of an asset or asset class you invest hard earned $ into is the worst position you can be in as an investor or speculator,
As a rational/logical person I gravitated towards risk off strategies.
I go with the flow and swing trade because I don't like to lose money, but also because there is sound reason and logic behind it.
By not digging my feet in and choosing a side, I keep myself unbiased and de-risked. I study, I watch, I analyze, and then I teach when I feel my analysis is up to snuff. That being said I am every day still striving to learn more and do better.
I like risk-off strategies that have the most upside potential, So I no longer hold, I earn APR on stable coins and keep my cap ready for margin/leverage plays when a few others I trust and I agree,
TLDR: I used to be a holder, and now I speculate through contracts and margin plays.
SO ON TO ETHHER,
Really the chart says and shows it all. Since late 2021 Ethereum has:
Hit a new all time high (MAY 21 2021)
crashed 60%
come back up to hit a new all time high while creating for the most part higher lows.
crashed once more in early December not nearly as severe as May crash
and in the last 3 or so weeks has slow repeated the cycle or dipping and correcting.
SOME THINGS REALLY STAND OUT TO ME:
1. May crash was much much more steep and severe and had far more volume. It is well known now that the market was extremely greedy and leveraged to the gills.
2. When borrowing up to 10x and then having to close such position long or short and there are many doing it, well you get a catastrophe. 60% hurts bad, let me tell you. Can you imagine how bad it felt for those who were fully levered?
3. 4So this round we are seeing less volume, less open interest thus...less long liquidations, almost no short liquidations...yet...and I am not positive if there will be.
*Either way what we are seeing is a more healthy version of the market intra cycle like you see in the RSI index where I have highlighted.
**In the areas where volume over moving average (yellow area on my charts) and RSI are crossing.... well just follow the line up and see how the price is reacting. It's volatile. And markets need to correct both ways.
4. Markets have a nature just like humans have a nature, because we are literally from nature and we run the markets.
*It is not just these indicators and charts and metrics at play. We have human emotions, mostly fear and greed in this case.
The market is less greedy this time, they are actually more fearful right now and that is a provable metric. Check this link for the crypto fear and greed index:
alternative.me
TLDR:
>short term ETH has looked like crap.
>When I put it on 1 day and zoom out I see an asset with a lot of potential, that i think the future internet will be built on top of.
>I see an asset got cut 60% because of extreme greed, followed by a natural more recovery. (Less open interest at play ie. derivatives markets.
>the worst day since the May crash was Dec 4 2021 and if you look at the candle for that day it is clear that it was sold down hard and fast but did not come near former lows or resistance levels AND it was bought back nearly 30% from intra day low
> In fact as far as candles and wicks go, all wicks that have any relevance are on the sell side meaning that ETH has a ton of support and keeps setting new local lows except for recently
>It is clear to see that ETH is under bought and oversold when you look at far right bottom of this chart and the VMA is blending with the volume bars on the sell side.
>In other words ETH has been super cooled off and primed for a launch.
> As I said in the chart there still isnt a ton of evidence of health, however today is starting to look strong as long we don't have a sell off or short seller pounding,
>Either way ETH looks sound as a long term investment and if you a re comfortable with volatility then I would say it's probably the best long term investment in the cryptocurrency domain with over $500M market cap it is a serious contender for the title.
**THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL PLEASE BE CAREFUL WHEN TRADING THESES ARE RISKY GROWTH ASSETS**
Check some of my related ideas linked below.
ETH can go to 2k if patterns continue - Introducing the AMU theo
Hey everyone, it has been a while since i dedicated an entire analysis to ETH.
So lets take a look at the Daily which provides us with some good patterns and allows us to note some important Support and resistance levels.
First of all note the repeating bear flag pattern. We can note four of them clearly formed and we are now in what seems to be the fourth.
Introducing the "Aproximative measurement unit" - a unit that helps us identify potential future moves by looking at the past ones. In this case , how much did the price drop after exiting each bear flag. If we look closely we can establish that the first move set the tone more or less by giving us an approximative measurment unit. The following moves were two times the first move and of course we can project this unit on the future move of the price .
Market context lets us think bearish thoughts so i will start with the first scenario:
Bear scenario : Using the AMU(Approx measurement unit) we project the move to the downside and note first potential target at around 2k which is a known support and a second target at the $1600 level which is also known as an important level in ETH.
Bull scenario(Less likely): Using the AMU we hit the trendline and then we go test the Kumo. Given the curent market outlook the chances of this to happen are slim ....BUT need to be taken into consideration.
ETHUSDT UPDATE
ETH is testing the support of this ascending corrective trendline and has the potential of forming a new swing low here. With our expectancy of short term growth to the 40k supply zone on BTC we can expect ETH to follow and possibly take out the stops of short traders first before inducing bulls into the market and dumping back below.
SMC !! BASED ETHEREUM (ETHUSDT) 1H IMBALANCE FILL SCENARIO 1/2As you can see, ethereum created an institutional imbalance (IB) that it has to fill, if it doesn't complete the double top scenario:
It will therefore rise to 2.56k before dropping back down to its recent bottom at 2.32k and then taking its way down to 1.7k:
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If you have any other ideas or simply disagree, manifest yourself in the comments ⬇️⬇️⬇️
Stay updated for more content
Have a nice Day : ) Bye!
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BINANCE COIN - SELL ZONE. BUY ZONE.Binance Coin is shaping up very similar to all the other major coins such as Eth and Btc. We could be moving lower once more before we go in for the big buy.
The bigger picture is showing us an expanding flat correction and we're currently in the C wave.
SHORT Trade Idea:
- Watch for price to reject the fibonacci levels in our sell zone
- Enter with stops above the rejection
- Take profits around the 230-260 area
BUY Trade Idea:
- Watch for price to come to our buy zone
- Enter when you see bullish price action
- Stops below the lows
- Targets: 650, 880, actively manage the rest
Let us know your thoughts below!
DON'T IGNORE THIS ETHEREUM CHART!Hi everyone,
I figured it would be a good idea to share this find with the community. I'll explain below what I'm seeing:
RSI - Matches the same pattern as Ethereum during "consolidation" in 2016 before the euphoric 2017 bull cycle
MACD - Oversold levels not seen in years
Duration of Consolidation - As you can see, the duration of the phases circled in white both span about 90 (270 days)
Retracement - Both ranges circled in white had similar pullbacks of about +50%
Bull Market Support Band - Right before the start of a new bull phase in 2016, the PA trended below the BMSB before breaking out (we are currently at this point when comparing the two)
Obviously this isn't to be taken as FA, but it could be a very unique and rare opportunity to enter the market/add to your position as a bull/long term holder.
Let me know your thoughts!
Twitter @illusivetrades
Two similar scenarios in EthereumToday, we will look at the 2nd most important cryptocurrency in the world.
The logic I'm using here is: What are the characteristics of the current movement?
60% Decline / 250 days of drawdown / Kind of an ABC formation
After defining that, I changed the configuration to logarithmic to look for similar scenarios in the past, and I found 2 in 2016 and 2017. Both share similarities in terms of decline, duration, and shape. So if we are able to understand the transition on those two scenarios towards the beginning of new bullish movements, then we may be able to get ready to develop trades if everything is aligned with our filters.
My objective right now is to study those two and see if I see a clear pattern I can follow. This was a simple post that may be useful for those looking to create swing opportunities using historical data as a reference to understand WHAT we want to see.
Thanks for reading!