ETHEREUM - Short at 8KEthereum - one of the major headliners in this "alt season' appears to have just passed the moon and perhaps now en-route to Mars. However ETH is surely the fat-lady-singing and the end of the party as Bitcoin is now looking very weak fumbling on cliff tops. It is not a long I'm interested in.
But, if Ethereum can hit the same 1.618 fib as Bitcoin did and reach $8.3K I think it is a good short from there. The 2.272 looks far too far away, and I think price will hit a significant fib to find its top. Its risky but could be with excellent reward. This is also in tandem with Bitcoin collapsing (see my Bitcoin threads for details) and I think ETH can lose 90%+. Of course very good chance ETH does not even get close to my target, but that's ok.
I will have a short sell order waiting just shy of the mark.
Not advice.
Ethereum-bitcoin
ETHEREUM - ETH - Correction ahead! See targets in my analysis!Hello traders,
Here is a brand new analysis of Ethereum.
It has been exactly 18 hours since I wrote that the target of 4000 usd would be met within a few days but it has already happened!
Congratulations with Ethereum and the 4000 reached level!
What is next now?
We are seeing now many divergences on multiple time frames among others in the MACD, RSI, STOCHASTIC.
We are also forming a DOJI on a daily basis but the daily candle has not yet closed so it is not confirmed.
You can see also a bearflag. These factors and the 4000 level which make me expect a correction.
To be more precise, I expect a pullback now to the levels 3500 usd, 3200 usd and 3000 usd. 3000 usd seems to me the ultimate buying moment but probably everyone is too negative and thinks it will go even deeper. I will wait with patience anyway because my style is buy low (with a discount) and sell high with nice profits!
Right now I am short Ethereum with a stop at 4060 and first target at 3500 usd. Is my stop hit than I had a very small loss but a very good Risk reward!
I will turn bullish again if we break all time high and come back with a RE-TEST of that level.
My buy order is already placed at 3050 USD with a stop at 2790 USD and a target of 4000 USD.
This is my own personal view on Ethereum and not investment advice. Always use your money management and stops when trading.
Have fun and trade safely!
See also the related posts from Ethereum because they are very useful!
If you guys appreciate my posts it would be great to follow and like me! It motivates me to continue with these analyses!
ETH Ripping!!Ethereum has been on a tear recently, continuously making higher highs, and all time highs. This weekend, we solidly established the $4K handle. We have smashed through our profit targets, without pause. As this rally continues, so do our chances for a retracement, but at this point any dip should be considered a buying opportunity. The Kovach OBV is extremely bullish. We have a vacuum zone below to $3646 so be careful. Our next target is $4293.
Eth pushing on BTC 4hFollowing my previous ideas with this one. With the bull run moving into phase 2, or so we would like to think, flow of money has pushed Ethereum parabolically over the past week or so. After a suspected cool off, I think the next target we should reach is around 0.1btc. Road to 10k Eth!
ETH/BTC Mother of bullish formations - towards ATHThe first cup and handle almost reached the measured target and is forming the last part of the bigger rounding bottom. 3-years old falling wedge target in still play.
Given how BTC.D dropped, the actual use cases behind ETH, bullish sentiment around it, value locked in DeFi and institutions starting to adopt it we might very possibly see ETH/BTC run to all time highs again.
We should face resistance and have proper consolidation between the 0.5 and the 0.382 fib level. Putting things in perspective to USD prices, while BTC tripled the previous ATH, ETH still has room to further explode towards the upside.
Keep in mind that the chart is on the weekly timeframe and does not take into account minor price swings.
Good luck :)
ETHUSD pullback with Bitcoin rally?Here is a chart of ETHUSD with reference points that I have found to be significant in past cycles for the coin. With BTCUSD taking a much needed breather and retesting 48k after topping out around 63k, ETH has been on the move. This is likely the result of the awareness of alt coins growing and the current state of the crypto market. It isn't out of the question for Ethereum to come back down to test it's April highs within the next two months. There are definitely some important areas that bulls would need to defend to prevent this 33% pullback. Drop in price is healthy for most assets as it brings more enthusiastic buyers into the market. However, a drop below 3008 could cause ETH to have some problems. I believe that $4100 will serve as strong resistance as the psyche and evident exhaustion in this rally continues to set in. With all eyes on Doge-coin tonight, ETH could cause some problems for late buyers. The area I have marked as "temporary floor" is an idea level I would trade an ETH long from based on the current state of the market the volume distribution for the coin.
Ethereum classic ETC is forming a bullish falling wedge!Hello Traders,
Here is a brand new update on Ethereum Classic ETC on the 30 minute chart.
ETC is currently correcting on the huge rise of the past few days. It went too fast and too high and a correction inevitably follows.
However, that correction is perfectly normal and healthy for a further rise in ETC with the all time high as the first target.
We now have a new pattern and that is a Bullish Falling Wedge. I expect a pullback to 103 - 97 in this possible scenario.
A breakout upwards from this falling wedge will normally show a re-test up to the upper trend line of the falling wedge.
Then you place the stop at the previous low and we are likely to get another ride up.
This is a hypothesis as it might go. patterns might fail. should that be the case and ETC drops further then we will have to assess at that moment what the structure looks like.
Please also check out my other post about Bitcoin because it has a very important influence on the ALT coins.
This is my personal view on Ethereum classic and not investment advice. Always do your own research before trading and apply stops and money management for reducing risk and maximize profits in the long run!
ETHEREUM CLASSIC (ETC-USDT)- LONG Hello traders,
Here is a new analysis of Ethereum Classic(ETC-USDT) on the 8 hour chart. ETC has had an impressive rise recently.
Etherum Classic broke out on high volume above the old all time high. Therefore, this rise also seems to me to be sustainable for the longer term.
The RSI is currently at a very high level so it remains to be seen whether we will continue to rise immediately. Possibly we will get a negative divergence after which a correction will take place or the high level of the RSI will cause an earlier correction.
The targets for Ethereum Classic are now:
-> Target 1 88 USD
-> Target 2 127 USD
Support for ETC is now at 63, 55.50, 48.80. A very important support level is at 44.27. I remain bullish above this level but below it we can further correct to possibly the bottom of the rising trend channel. This is of course also a perfect Low Risk Reward buy after which you can calmly wait until the top of the channel is hit again.
The longer trend is up untill we are not in a rising trendchannel anymore. Very important is to determine your trading time frame! A trend on the 1 hour timeframe can be down while on the 8 hour time frame it is up.
The market is very volatile so good stops in strategic places are needed to protect profits.
Discalaimer: this is not a trading advice but purely my personal view on this fund.
Uniswap (UNI) Forming Road to $50 then $100? V3 & EIP1559 Everybody's favorite Unicorn. Yes I said it. We're on our Unicorn path to $100. The reality is another +130% increase from these price levels will put us at a $100 Uniswap. And if we continue to hold this bull trendline we may be there by next year. With these bull market conditions another 1.3x isn't too farfetched.
We still have yet to see the full post network effects from the highly anticipated V3 upgrade coming into Uniswap tomorrow. Another huge factor in Uniswap's price I believe is Ethereum's EIP1559 effect on Uniswap. Ethereum's EIP1559 essentially means every transaction on Ethereum will burn ETH gas FOREVER. Meaning the supply of Ethereum will be diminished every year. I can only imagine how that will effect the price of Ethereum and Uniswap in the long term once Ethereum switches over to proof of stake and Ethereum becomes a scarce asset.
Uniswap is already 52% through it's circulating supply and its hard capped at 1,000,000,000. The total value locked ( TVL ) has grown exponentially by over $6 billion dollars since October of 2020. Uniswap is only at a $22.5 billion dollars as a global decentralized Exchange which to me is undervalued for the value Uniswap brings to entire crypto space.
As DeFi and Ethereum grows so will Uniswap. I can literally go on for days about Uniswap because there's a lot of upside. I'm very bullish about Uniswap this cycle and still holding my bag throughout the rest of the year.
Cheers! Much peace, love, health, and wealth!
ETH x Binance Legacy Chart: the road to 10KFor today a very special Ethereum chart: the complete history of ETH on Binance! A chart of almost 4 years of price action of Ethereum (soon to be the biggest cryptocurrency) and Binance; the exchange that was very small on the 17th August 2017 (where this chart starts) and now the biggest CEX. Do you see the link here?
Ok, some bold claims, lets dive into Ethereum, Bitcoin and the crypto market as a whole with an indepth analysis of why, how, what and when. Remember; this analysis is purely educational and reflects my opinion and it is meant for an open discussion on the topic and not as financial advice.
Why is Ethereum market leader?
Ethereum is the infrastructure blockchain of the crypto space, it represents the most adoption, usage, transactions / fees and (in my opinion) soon the highest market cap. The reason is because Ethereum became the standard and benchmark blockchain in the space because of its revolutionary technology and team of developers who built it over the years. This makes ETH the most attractive blockchain to use for developers for the following reasons:
- Decentralization (this is what crypto is for, missing this piece kills the whole point)
- High security / trustworthy
- Biggest adoption in the market (standardization)
- Compatibility (for numerous use cases; wallets, exchanges, tokens etc.)
- Biggest developer community
- Layer 2 scaling and performance solutions
With the following downsides: performance and scalibillity.
Now you might think; well, how I should I care; I am an investor/trader, not a developer. Well, my answer to that is; you are a tech investor / trader by investing in crypto; therefore technology will always be the main driver of the market - not hype. So in the end its simple; the best tech wins and for now; that best tech is Ethereum. Sure, there are many promising competitors but they are miles behind and will need years to get even close to what ETH has accomplished.
So, if the market is tech driven, we need to side with developers. So if developers choose Ethereum, we should do the same. However, that is not to say to not be exposed to any other coin or to say competitors are worse or would not be able to compete with ETH; that is just to state the status quo and the projection of at least a few years ahead: Ethereum is market leader.
How will Ethereum develop?
We all know about the ridiculous gas fees and performance issues around Ethereum (and even Bitcoin). The reason is simple; proof of work has been the first standard set to decentralize networks and to incentivize participants to maintain the network's trust and security in real time (lets call it 1G). Now, however; there is a more effective way to tackle this problem; proof of stake (lets call it 2G) with more performance, security and efficiency. This is why a lot of new infrastructure blockchains have a better performance ratio than Ethereum and why some may think; those chains will outcompete ETH.
I do not think that will happen soon, it may happen somewhen in the future but I don't see it happening in the coming 3 years but maybe not even within 5 years from now. Given I don't have a crystal ball to look into the future; 5 years is my max range. So first off; Ethereum has a bunch of upgrades coming to improve performance and scalability. This will be challenging because they need to replace the engine of their cars while keeping the car running on the road. A potential risk indeed however the perfect test for vigilance of the team and network itself to prove my 5 year projection. If they pull off ETH 2.0 without major problems and they have significantly improved their performance and scalability; a new era for ETH has opened. So lets quickly go over the updates:
- Beacon chain: staking mechanism for ETH 2.0 (implemented on December 1st, 2020)
- Berlin Fork: reducing gas fees - successfully implemented on April 16, 2021 and gas fees are down already.
- London Fork: transaction focused; fees + deflationary ETH through token burn (coming July 2021)
- Shard chains: scalability, performance and POS transaction protocol for ETH 2.0
- The Docking: Implementing the Beacon and Shard chains and live is ETH2.0 with proof of stake (2022)
The upgrades above are the most important steps for ETH becoming fully proof of stake and a deflationary cryptocurrency. By doing so, ETH elimenates scalability and performance issues and will evolve inflationary ETH1.0 into deflationary ETH2.0.
What will change for the price of Ethereum?
The consequence of the innovations will be simple; the price of ETH will go up. That is, if all implementations are successful and there is no sudden hard fork forced by an error around implementing any of the new protocols. There is always a risk involved with these upgrades and if they fail; a lot of damage can be done to the network and the ETH price.
However, given the team's expertise, experience and their history of many successful upgrades and hard forks in the past; there is no reason to believe they can not pull it off. However, I just want to mention this risk as nothing in life is risk free.
So lets dive into the chart; as you can see we had two major bull runs for ETH; one in 2017 and one ongoing right now. The ATH of 2017 was around 1400$, right now we just did 2x of that; so we aren't close to the top in my opinion but again, everybody to their opinion and analysis but here is mine...
The 2017 bull run was insane, no one would have believed in a 1400$ ETH but there it was! Now I see a similar and even stronger parabola playing out; the difference being that 2017 was pre-adoption and we are now in the early-adoption phase. A very important is example of that is that ETH is finding early adoption in Defi with selling EU bonds through digital notes through the Ethereum blockchain. You would never see the European Investment Bank come even close to crypto in 2017, let alone actually using it. So that's the main difference between 2017 and now and in my opinion more of such adoptions will follow if the above upgrades and test cases from the EIB are successful.
Technical analysis
I have to say, I had many difficulties potentially finding a top Ethereum, especially at times when everyone was bearish due to the high gas fees and the success of BSC. When I dove back into charts and the fundamentals however; a much clearer picture comes to light.
I drew two Gann fans one for the 2017/2018 parabola and one of the 2020/2021 parabola. Point of interest is the blue support line of the 2017/2028 run with 3 touch points; support for the start of the parabola, support for a new run up and the start of the bear market. The inflationary pressure combined with the bear market gave us a damn good entry on ETH; with an absolute low of around $85 just over one year ago (!). Times have changed so fast!
From that bottom we have rallied over 4000% to the current price level of around the historical number of $3300. This week we had an historical breakout (!) but first let's get into the numbers of the current bull run thus far. On April 7th we broke out of the triangle formation with a breakout target of 1475$ (purple line) - perfectly aligned with the first "top" and major resistance during this run. The end? No, because at that point we effectively formed a double bottom with a new breakout target of around 2500$. The second "top" that came so suddenly only a few weeks back and was again met with heavy resistance that threw ETH back to around 2150$. The end? No, ETh reversed upwards immediately and rallied to current levels with unbelievable ease. So right now, one would ask again; the top?
No, not in my opinion and yes I can throw all the fundamental reasons above (thats 1) but (2) there have been multiple technical indicators flashing big time! The first one that flashed was the ETH/BTC valuation that broke a key resistance and the BTC dominance that broke below 50. These two signals created an historical pivot in the crypto markets forever. (no one is writing about it because no one realizes the implications, yet!) These are that:
- Bitcoin is no longer the major and the hedge for crypto against crypto (nothing changed against fiat)
- Ethereum is from now on the crypto hedge (portfolios should be valued in ETH)
- Altcoins no longer exist and we should get rid of this word (the majority of coins cant be called alternative)
You can read more about this in my previous analyses on ETH and BTC:
ETH/BTC analysis: the historical breakout
BTC vs ETH dominance: the historical pivot
When will Ethereum hit 10K?
This brings us to the last question in this analysis; when will ETH hit 10K? So obviously we have to watch out with these projections because I mentioned the risks above and nothing is guaranteed. But if we are optimists, which investor is by making an investment, the questions is not if Ethereum hits 10K but when?
Back to chart, so we just talked about the blue support line of the 2017/2018 bull run - normally not really interesting for now right? Well no, because we just broke back into our 2017/2018 bull channel, which is insane! If we hold this trendline as support which I project we will do; we can see ETH doing another 3x from here. If we look at the parabolic structure we also broke a 3 year old resistance level and we are now in full price discovery, this is untouched terrain.
So my projection is that when the markets stay healthy and nothing bad happens to ETH for whatever reason; Ethereum can rally to 10K by the end of 2021 or in the most bullish scenario: already be at 10K in July 2021! The purple box is the one we should look out for and I would like to see ETh hitting the heart in July 2021 and hit 10K before the end of the year.
This would not only be great for us investors but this could (potentially!) catapult the price of Ethereum even further! Why? Because it could (not should) mean that Ethereum has flipped Bitcoin in market cap. Something which I expect to happen within the next 2 years. Please refer to the above analyses about the ETH and BTC dominance because its easy to make assumptions about me or this analysis but in there you find why. In short:
Blockchain about technology built on a network that is decentralized and trustless.
And that is exactly what Ethereum provides. The utility and adoption of the blockchain technology is what drives the price of a digital asset. For Bitcoin that is store of value and it is (by far) the best fiat hedge there is right now; with diminishing risks and returns it has become the perfect digital gold. And to add to that; I believe the BTC price will still go up substantially given the upcoming inflation wave. However; it will no longer beat Ethereum, as Ethereum is the fundament for blockchain technology - just like Microsoft was to the personal computer.
Welcome to a new era of crypto; welcome to the era of Ethereum.
IMPORTANT: this is not financial advice, trade or invest based on your own risk and research.
ETH Target Could Be Up To 0.15 BTCAs per my previous idea from several weeks ago (/x/PuGYWTgB/), Ethereum has broken out of a large base (purple box) against Bitcoin. The near-term target based on a measured move from that base (equal to the depth of the base) is around 0.069-0.07BTC.
But Ethereum has also broken out of a larger triangle on the monthly chart. And this often leads to testing the highs of the triangle (around 0.15 BTC)
To be conservative, some people take the depth of the triangle at the breakout point, and set that as the price target, which would be about 0.085 BTC.
So we have three major points to watch:
0.07 - which I expected to hit fairly quickly due to the length of the base, and it seems to be progressing as such.
0.085 - which may take a bit longer or we may see some consolidation around the 0.07-0.085 level before a push higher to
0.15 - the infamous level that Ethereum bulls have been waiting to return to for years.
Ethereum is literally leading the space right now, and all the hype of this bull run (DeFi and NFTs) is because of Ethereum. It is criminally undervalued even after this huge rise the past few months, sitting at ~$3300.
$10k and beyond is certainly possible, as price has been suppressed for a very long time, likely for bigger players to accumulate massive amounts while they spread FUD about gas fees and shill "alternatives" such as the centralised BSC.
90% plus of ALT Coins Overbought = BTC BULLISHThe following list of Alt coins are overbought when you look at their monthly charts with Bollinger Bands (Default Settings):
ETH
XRP
BNB
DOGE
ADA
LTC
BCH
LINK
VET
XLM
THETA
TRON
This list doesn't include UNI, WBTC, USDT, USDC, FIL, DOT and SOL for either not enough data or being a stablecoin. With that said the above is 913 Billion dollars worth of Crypto Marketcap which is overbought. That means 90% plus of ALT Coins are overbought.
BTC already digested its Overbought Bollinger Band pill. These coins still need to. Now will people move to Cash (Remember Cash is Trash) or BTC?
I have to say BTC given inflation is heating up and we get a CPI print on May 12th likely to be bullish for BTC. Not to mention on May 13th Alibaba reports earnings and is rumored (I REPEAT RUMORED) to have bough Bitcoin.
We need a universal denominator and it will be BTC. ETH is great in some ways. Sucks in others. But is not likely to fill this role despite all the noise going on right now.
Stay Calm and HODL on friends.
Ethereum 4 month trendchannel - Is this the top for now?Hello Traders
I would like to share this chart with you. It is the 6 hour chart of Ethereum ETH. You can see here an almost perfect trend channel over a period of more than 4 months.
Interestingly, we have now reached the exact top of the channel with the latest rise in Ethereum. There is also a short but very steep trend channel in the larger upward trend channel. The Price has now converged with the short and long trend channel on the upside.
It is now good to watch what happens next. My idea is that there should first be a correction to the current sharp rise. So I am not a buyer of Ethereum at these levels now. I prefer buying at the lower boundery of the trendchannel because of a much better risk reward and less risk.
If Ethereum does break out further upwards I would certainly place tight stops to protect profits.
A next target for a breakout from this long-term trend channel would then be 4000 USD.
Please share your thoughts about Ethereum. Do you think it will have a correction or do you think it will break the upward trend channel and continues to rise. Please explain not only your view but more important the how and why!
In the past Ethereum was not able to breakout this channel so it is very interesting how it further develops!