TOTAL Crypto Market. Games with the 800-Pound Gorilla. Series IIOver the 4 months since Donald Trump’s inauguration in January 2025, his administration’s policies have had a complex and in many ways negative impact on cryptocurrency markets, despite the overall pro-crypto agenda.
Short-Term Market Volatility Due to Tariff Policy
One of the most significant negative impacts has been caused by Trump’s aggressive tariff policy. The announcement and subsequent implementation of new tariffs sent shock waves through global financial markets, including cryptocurrencies.
The immediate effect has been increased volatility, with Bitcoin down a third from its highs, Ethereum and many other major coins also falling by more than half, and crypto futures seeing liquidations of over $450 million in a single day.
This turbulence was not isolated — experts noted that broader “risk aversion,” in which investors flee volatile assets for safer havens like gold, led to sharp declines in both the stock and crypto markets.
Uncertainty around tariffs — particularly reciprocal tariffs affecting up to 25 countries — created short-term headwinds for cryptocurrencies. As institutional and foreign investors pulled billions out of U.S. stocks, the resulting market volatility spilled over to cryptocurrency, which remains closely tied to tech indexes like the NASDAQ. This risk aversion delayed potential rallies and led to a volatile, unpredictable trading environment.
Regulatory Rollbacks and Market Integrity Concerns
The Trump administration has aggressively rolled back regulatory oversight in an attempt to create a more crypto-friendly environment. Key steps include disbanding the Justice Department’s National Cryptocurrency Enforcement Team (NCET), appointing pro-crypto officials to regulatory bodies, and directing agencies to streamline or repeal existing crypto regulations. While these actions have reduced the compliance burden on crypto businesses and spurred innovation, they have also raised serious concerns about the integrity of the market.
Critics argue that loosening oversight increases the risks of money laundering, fraud, and illegal transactions, which could undermine investor protections and the overall reputation of U.S. crypto markets.
Consumer advocacy groups warn that rapid deregulation could encourage abuse and undermine trust, especially since the Trump administration has also banned the development of a U.S. central bank digital currency (CBDC), setting the U.S. apart from other major economies pursuing digital currency initiatives.
Conflicts of Interest and Ethical Controversies
Another negative impact has been the perception — if not the reality — of conflicts of interest and ethical dilemmas. The Trump family’s direct involvement in crypto projects, including the launch of a stablecoin and investments in mining, has fueled suspicions of market manipulation and blurred the lines between personal and presidential interests.
Such controversies have further undermined investor confidence and contributed to a sense of unpredictability in regulatory and market outcomes.
Summary Table: Key Negative Impacts
Policy/Action =>> Negative impact on crypto markets
Rising Tariffs and Trade Uncertainty =>> Increased volatility, risk aversion, falling prices.
Regulatory Rollbacks/NCET Dissolution =>> Weakened oversight, higher risk of fraud and abuse.
CBDC Development Ban =>> US Lagging Global Digital Currency Innovation
Trump Family’s Direct Involvement in Crypto =>> Alleged Conflicts of Interest, Market Manipulation Concerns.
Technical Challenge
The technical picture in the main crypto market cap chart CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL points to the end of the recovery period, reaching a key resistance near the $3.5 trillion mark.
Conclusion
While the Trump administration has promoted a more liberal environment for crypto innovation, the last four months have seen significant negative effects: increased market volatility due to tariff policy, increased risk due to deregulation, and growing concerns about conflicts of interest.
These factors have combined to create an atmosphere of uncertainty and skepticism, which is undermining the stability and trust in the US crypto markets in the short term.
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Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
Ethereum (ETH/USD) Technical Analysis — Bearish Rejection Below 🔍 Ethereum (ETH/USD) Technical Analysis — Bearish Rejection Below Resistance ⚠️
📅 Date: June 4, 2025
📊 Chart Type: 2-Hour Timeframe
💱 Exchange: Binance
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🧠 Overview:
The chart displays a clear range-bound market between well-defined resistance and support zones. The most recent price action suggests a rejection from the resistance region, hinting at a possible downward move toward support.
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🟧 Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: $2,720 – $2,760
Price has tested this zone multiple times and failed to break above decisively.
Marked as a strong supply area where sellers dominate.
Support Zone: $2,460 – $2,490
This area has historically attracted buying interest, causing price reversals.
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📉 Market Structure & Price Action:
The recent swing high formed a lower high relative to the peak on May 29, suggesting bearish momentum.
A projected bearish move is marked on the chart with a blue arrow 📉, forecasting a drop from around $2,640 down to the support zone near $2,480.
Multiple failed attempts to break resistance signal a potential trend continuation to the downside within this trading range.
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⚠️ Trading Implications:
Short-term bias: Bearish 🔻
Confirmation needed: A breakdown below $2,600 with volume would strengthen bearish conviction.
Target for bears: $2,480 support area
Invalidation zone for this outlook: A breakout and close above $2,760 would shift the bias to bullish.
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📌 Conclusion:
Ethereum is currently trading within a well-defined horizontal channel. With the latest rejection near resistance, the probability favors a move down to the support area. Traders should monitor key levels closely for confirmation before entering positions.
📈 Tip: Use proper risk management and watch for candlestick confirmation at critical levels.
Ethereum (ETHUSD) • Daily • Trading ideaEthereum (ETHUSD) • Daily Chart 🚀
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🔑 Key Levels
* Demand Zone (Support): \$2,350–2,550
* Price has bounced here twice in the last year.
* Immediate Resistance: \$2,741
* Multiple rejections around this level recently.
* Next Major Resistance: \$3,437
* Former highs in late 2024/early 2025.
* Big Supply Zone (Strong Sell Area): \$4,000–4,200
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💡 What’s Happening?
* ETH is sitting in a “base” between \$2,528–2,741 (green box).
* If it breaks above \$2,741 on strong volume, it can run toward \$3,437 and eventually \$4,000+.
* If it falls below \$2,528 (demand), the next support is around \$1,997.
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🎯 Trade Idea
* Bullish Entry: Buy on a daily close above \$2,741 + higher-than-usual volume.
* First Target: \$3,437 (take partial profit).
* Final Target: \$4,000–4,200 (major sell area).
* Stop-Loss: Below \$2,500 (just under support).
* Bearish Scenario:
* If price drops below \$2,528 with big volume, look for a possible move down toward \$1,997.
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📈 Indicators (Confirmation Only)
* Volume: Watch for a spike on any breakout above \$2,741.
* MACD & RSI: If both are rising (not overbought), it adds confidence—though price and volume matter most.
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👍 Summary
ETH is coiling in a strong support zone. A clean break above \$2,741 on good volume can send it to \$3,437, then \$4K+. If support fails, \$1,997 is next. Trade with proper stops and watch volume for confirmation.
— Feel free to leave a 🚀 if this helps!
#Ethereum #ETHUSD #Crypto #Support #Resistance #Volume
HolderStat┆ETHUSD channel climbCRYPTOCAP:ETH cruises within a steep four-hour rising channel; the latest triangle breakout paused near 2.6 k. Converging trendlines, former consolidation support and higher-low structure all aim for the 2.9 k liquidity zone. Bulls steer while the channel median holds.
ETHUSD: Buying opportunityWarning, this is highly speculative!
Ethereum faced a gruesome decline since the peak of around 4000 back in december, reaching a bottom of ~$1400
Then, in may, we had a huge rally, boasting a nearly 100% bounce from bottom to top.
Now, this fact alone has many people holding off on buying short term, as they feel a drop could be just around the corner, however, i think for this exact reason, aswell as an inbound risk-on environment, it will continue the rally, and much faster and for much longer than anticipated, creating that FOMO wave people seem so desperate to try and catch.
The whole reason you end up with the feeling of FOMO, is because your past decisions seem stupid in hindsight, and recent price action makes it seem obvious.
Well let me tell you, its NOT obvious, and that is precisely why it runs and creates that FOMO wave.
Price targets are irrelevant, focus on recognizing when greed runs amok, and take profits accordingly.
EOY Would be an obvious point at which selling heavy might be smart, but then again, its never obvious... Goodluck!
ETH Weekly – Signs Aligning for a Long Setup
ETH is forming subtle higher lows above the 0.5 Fibonacci level and the 200MA—both sitting near the same key support zone.
The 50MA is currently acting as resistance, but structurally we’re seeing MLR > SMA > BB center, and the PSAR flipped bullish since the week of May 12.
We now have all the signals needed for a valid long entry on this timeframe.
Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments—good or bad, all engagement is appreciated.
Take profits. Manage risk. Stay sharp.
ETH Monthly – Fibonacci Structure in Play
ETH has been respecting the monthly Fibonacci levels with surprising precision.
There was a clear double top at the 0.236 Fib in May and November 2024, with a base forming at the 0.5 Fib. That same 0.5 Fib now acts as support, aligned with the 50MA.
The BB centre is currently stopping price, but for how long remains to be seen.
SMA is above MLR and rising, which supports a bullish bias.
If this structure holds, the next resistance zones may align with the higher Fib levels.
Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments—good or bad, all engagement is appreciated.
Take profits. Manage risk. Stay sharp.
Ethereum is still bullish! (1D)First of all, read the text carefully to avoid any misunderstandings.you should know that the market is currently at a sensitive point, and Ethereum’s bullish move does not necessarily mean other coins will follow the same path.
As marked on the chart, the START of Ethereum’s bullish move began after a lengthy and deep correction. Observing ETH's current behavior, this wave is sharp and appears to be more of a time-based correction rather than price-based. Wave B moved sideways and took significantly more time than wave A, suggesting that wave C could very well begin without a deep pullback, pushing price toward higher levels.
There’s a liquidity pool in the upper area that we’ve highlighted. In order for this momentum to slow down, price likely needs to hunt a major liquidity level.
There was a fresh order block inside the liquidity pool, and although price touched it, there wasn’t a deep reaction | lows weren’t taken out, and all the lows during the correction have remained intact, which is a bullish signal.
It seems that price intends to at least reach the red zone we've marked.
For this scenario to play out, the two green lines near the current price candles must hold. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level would invalidate this outlook.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ETH/USD gearing up for potential breakoutThe ETH/USD has been coiling inside a bullish continuation pattern for several weeks now and a breakout could be on the cards soon. The consolidation suggests ETH is gearing up for a potential breakout soon, as it chips away at resistance coming from the 200-day moving average near $2700.
Further resistance is seen between $2745 to $2855, as shaded in grey on the chart. If it gets through this area of resistance in the coming days, then a big breakout could be on the cards, with the first stop likely around $3,000, but we could go much further than that over time, given the length of the current consolidation.
However, it is essential that the ETH/USD doesn't break the support trend of the consolidation pattern and key support at $2470 now. If it does, then that would invalidate the bullish price structure.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
MicroStrategy: The Dumbest Bet on WallStreetMicroStrategy: The Bitcoin Bet Masquerading as a Tech Company
Introduction: A Software Company Turned Crypto Casino
Once upon a time, MicroStrategy was a business intelligence firm. Today, it’s a Bitcoin holding company disguised as a software business.
Its market cap has ballooned to over $100 billion, not because of its software, but because of its aggressive Bitcoin purchases. Investors aren’t buying a company—they’re buying a leveraged bet on Bitcoin.
And that bet? It’s built on debt, dilution, and dangerous financial engineering.
The Math Problem: MicroStrategy’s Obscene Valuation
MicroStrategy is worth three times the value of its Bitcoin holdings. Let that sink in.
If you buy MicroStrategy stock, you’re effectively paying three times the price of Bitcoin. It’s like buying Bitcoin at $245,000 per coin when the actual market price is far lower.
This isn’t investing, it’s financial insanity.
The Debt Trap: How MicroStrategy Keeps the Illusion Alive
MicroStrategy’s entire strategy revolves around issuing debt to buy more Bitcoin. It has borrowed $7.27 billion through convertible bonds.
Here’s how the cycle works:
MicroStrategy issues debt at low interest rates.
It uses the money to buy Bitcoin.
The stock price rises because investors think it’s a genius move.
The company issues more shares to raise more money.
It buys more Bitcoin—and the cycle repeats.
This is not a sustainable business model. It’s a Ponzi-like structure that depends entirely on Bitcoin’s price continuing to rise.
The Accounting Trick: Hiding the Losses
MicroStrategy has been misleading investors with custom financial metrics. It created terms like BTC Yield and BTC $ Gain to make its Bitcoin strategy look profitable.
But in reality? It recently disclosed a $5.91 billion unrealized loss on its Bitcoin holdings. And when that news broke, its stock dropped 8.67% in a single day.
This isn’t a company, it’s a high-stakes gamble.
The Risk: What Happens When the Bubble Bursts?
MicroStrategy’s survival depends on Bitcoin’s price never crashing. If Bitcoin falls, MicroStrategy’s stock collapses.
And here’s the worst part:
If Bitcoin crashes, MicroStrategy might have to sell its holdings, triggering a death spiral.
If investors lose confidence, the company can’t issue more debt, and the illusion falls apart.
If regulators step in, MicroStrategy’s entire strategy could be dismantled.
This isn’t a safe investment. It’s a ticking time bomb.
Conclusion: The Dumbest Bet on Wall Street
MicroStrategy isn’t a tech company. It’s a leveraged Bitcoin casino.
Investors aren’t buying innovation, they’re buying hype, debt, and financial engineering. And when the illusion fades, reality will come crashing down.
So ask yourself: Are you investing in a business? Or are you just buying the dream—before it bursts?
Important Support and Resistance Area: 2572.5-2783.5
Hello, traders.
Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(MET1! 1D chart)
The current price range of 2572.5-2783.5 is an important support and resistance area.
If it falls in this section, it is likely to fall to the support section of 1693.5-1933.0.
If it rises,
1st: 3293.0-3448.0
2nd: 3902.0-4141.5
You need to respond depending on whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
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I think that in order to rise above 2783.5, OBV needs to rise above the High Line and remain there.
Therefore, you need to have a relaxed mind and check whether there is support.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Ethereum - The most important analysis for 2025!Ethereum - CRYPTO:ETHUSD - is clearly shifting bullish:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
After four years of trading, Ethereum is now sitting at the exact same level compared to mid 2021. However, Ethereum has been creating a significant triangle pattern and with the recent bullish price action, a breakout becomes more and more likely. Then, the sky is the limit.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Ethereum Rally (?) : Strong Infusion with Volume RequiredEthereum can make a very strong rally of at least 35-40 percent.
And so the same goes for the Ishares Ethereum Trust ETF. (ETHA ETF)
But it needs to break the pennant.
And we need to observe strong volume.
Also, if we stay above the 50 and 200 period moving averages while this is happening, good things can happen.
Still, I am neutral until we break the pennant.
HolderStat┆ETHUSD road to the sell zoneCRYPTOCAP:ETH price ascends inside a neat channel after a trio of consolidations. The chart’s marked sell zone near 3 100 USDT aligns with upper resistance, yet current higher-low structure, breakout arrows and supportive trendline suggest bulls intend to test that ceiling soon.
Is Ethereum ready for a higher high?CRYPTO:ETHUSD seems to be the only one, from the top cryptos, wit the best technical set-up, at the moment. Let's dig in.
CME:ETH1!
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
ETH Price Action Explained – What the Charts Are Really Saying?🔍 Taking a look at Ethereum ETH right now across multiple timeframes…
On the lower timeframes ⏱️, we’re seeing a bullish break 💥 that might spark some enthusiasm 🚀, but when you zoom out and get that macro perspective 🌐, my outlook shifts from to one of caution ⚠️.
📊 ETH is currently trading into a key resistance level 🧱, and if we step back and view the bigger picture, we can clearly see that it’s been range-bound 🔁 for quite some time.
On the lower timeframes, there might be an opportunity to squeeze a bit out of the range 🎯 by trading between the highs and lows—but keep in mind, this approach is not for the feint hearted ⚡.
📹 This video is purely analysis 🧠, not a trade idea. I’m sharing my thoughts and market view 📈, and I hope you find it helpful and insightful 💡.
🚫 Not financial advice.