Ethereum. Resistance, Resilience, and the Road AheadFirst resistance for Ethereum 3000$! This is the beginning of a great journey, the key level for the near future is to overcome 3k. A large number of people have been liquidated and capitulated. I hear more and more often that Ethereum is dead and people are disappointed in it. Except that of all the top assets Ethereum is the only one that hasn't been played by a market maker and there is a lot of liquidity flowing into it. The imminent adoption of staking ETFs only sets the stage for a good future.
Horban Brothers.
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
ETH consolidation, The Week Ahead 24 Feb ‘25The Ethereum (ETHUSD) price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 3,070, 200 Day Moving Average level. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 3,0700 level could target the downside support at 2,500 followed by 2,340 and 2,190 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 3,070 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 3,310 resistance followed by 3,460 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
ETHEREUM - Time to buy again!In my opinion, Ethereum is really undervalued in terms of price. My price target for Ethereum is $7000. As you can see, the price is in an ascending triangle, This is something that cannot be easily ignored. We can hope that in the year, Ethereum's price could at least double from its current value.
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The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
ETHUSDT (CME) analysis (4H)This is the Ethereum CME chart. As you can see, there is a gap around the 3236 level. Given the bearish trend in Bitcoin dominance, there is a possibility that this gap will be filled before a drop. If the gap is filled before the drop, Ethereum could move back toward lower levels.
Let's see what happens.
It's the weekend, and volumes are low. The market has been ranging for a while, pumping and dumping without a clear trend. Don't trade without stop-loss and risk management, and avoid emotional trading
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
The key is whether it can rise above 2879.90
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(ETHUSDT 1M chart)
In order to turn into an uptrend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and maintain it.
In order for a full-scale uptrend to begin, the price must rise above 3321.30 and maintain it.
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(1W chart)
The key is whether it can maintain the state where the M-Signal on the 1W chart > the M-Signal on the 1M chart.
To do that, we need to check if it can rise to around 3265.0.
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(1D chart)
Since the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart was formed at 2646.89, the key is whether it can be supported around this area and rise above the original range.
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If not, we need to check if it can be supported around 2316.10.
Unlike the StochRSI indicator on the BTC chart, it is still in the overbought zone.
Accordingly, the point of interest is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart after the next fluctuation period, around February 24 (February 23-25).
It is important to be able to rise along the long-term upward trend line (1).
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The indicators that can tell the trend on this chart are the Trend Cloud indicator and the M-Signal indicator on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts.
Therefore, you should first check whether the price is maintained or falling above these indicators and create a trading strategy accordingly.
When starting a trade with the trading strategy created in this way, you should check whether there is support near the HA-Low, HA-High, BW(0), and BW(100) indicators or at the support and resistance points and find the trading point.
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Please refer to the indicator description below for indicators that can help you check whether there is support.
Heikin Ashi Line chart rises, USDT.D Line chart falls, StochRSI rises: The price is likely to rise
Heikin Ashi Line chart falls, USDT.D Line chart rises, StochRSI falls: The price is likely to fall
The rest are likely to show volatility, so be careful when trading.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support or resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Pi The Hottest Crypto on the Block! Future Price SpeculationPi is a cryptocurrency that has taken the crypto markets by shock. It has been getting slammed by calling it a scam or even a Ponzi scheme. From my research I couldn’t find where this speculation came from, since it doesn’t ask for money, yet it might take some user data to fund the server of the app through its ad feature that could be turned off for two weeks.
Speculation of a double digit, triple digit, or even the famous 300k per a pi is unrealistic at this current time or is it? Well, double digit is most likely, but it’s very slim unless I don’t see the full picture. To hit $50-$60 with current supply and not fully diluted supply, would make Pi worth more than Ethereum which is unlikely unless Pi is bigger in Africa and Asia than we expect. Pi is an XLM fork which is a fork of XRP. The max supply of Pi would be closer to XRP, but how it functions is closer to XLM. It uses an XLM protocol of trust and security mining. When you hit mine, it sends it to a node to verify that press and transaction. A lot of transactions on the network also go through the super nodes, yet those are few since Pi is also a centralized coin.
How centralized is it? Well, to move your Pi from your mining to your wallet you must perform a KYC. This helps bots, but also it creates an environment where if any criminal activity is found it can ban your wallet. Also, the process to become a super node, the Pi core team has approved you.
Trading this coin?
At the current price of Pi, I’ve given it a trading range of 0.63399-0.74111. It’s super early, but a mining rate for me of 0.08 with running a node and having 1 person it says I make about 3cents usd every hour. There isn’t a lot of new Pi coming into the market, besides the initial dump. There’s one problem now that could hult upward movement and that’s the US and UK have no exchanges that accept deposits or withdrawals. That’s a lot of Pi that can’t be sold or traded. A US and UK exchange to allow this could bring the price down to a new low of 0.50 or 0.40. At the moment in the US you can buy on HiBT and PionexUS, but can't deposit or withdraw.
Final thoughts?
-Pi has been slammed for years and now its out and hasn’t rugged, proves this project might be here to stay.
-Pi’s value is unknown without further knowledge of how widely used it is in places like Africa and Asia. Social media videos show its thriving and its followers on social media surpass top cryptocurrencies social media follower counts. There hasn’t been a big name backing this project yet. It is posted on Sandford as a sponsor, but that's where the founders went to school.
-Price range is 0.63399-0.74111 with 0.5-0.4 could come if US and UK sellers come in. I personally expected it to 0.20 for me with me mining a $0.01 an hour.
-There could be a moon rocket due to the amount of Pi that isn’t available to trade and not enough new Pi that is coming in the market.
Overall I’m bullish and with my Pi I mine, 3700+, I bought 1000+ more on Pi due to the supply shortage that could happen.
ETH 1D Ethereum has been very disappointing so far this cycle, but the chart on the daily is beginning to look much better than it has in recent weeks. For me a key level is the $2780 area, acceptance above puts ETH back into the midsection off this rangebound environment with a look to reach the next key level at $3200. To get there the 1D 200 EMA will be the first area of obvious resistance around the big even level of $3000.
A rejection off the $2780 I could see a move to backfill the daily wick towards the local bottom, if that were the case it would be because BTC has rolled over and lost its $91K support.
Ethereum’s Next Parabolic Move: Aiming for $18,000?Ethereum (ETH) has historically followed a strong cyclical pattern, marked by key breakout points and corrections. This chart suggests that ETH is currently consolidating and could be preparing for its next major move. Based on Fibonacci extensions and historical price action, Next targets (TP1: ~$7,245 and TP2: ~$17,884) indicate a potential parabolic rally in the coming year.
Could we see a repeat of the 2021 bull run? Let's see.
Ethereum....CRYPTOCAP:ETH is a great catalyst and headliner for Altcoins, who will put on an epic show and attract all the attention
The reaction price of #Ethereum ($2,150) from the demand zone after the last major correction phase is equivalent to the price ($310) it received from the demand zone after the last major correction phase of the 2020-2021 season.
bnx analysis: important support.hello friends
Due to the heavy fall of this token, it has now reached a good and important support, and by maintaining and stabilizing this support, we can move up to the specified goals or even higher with capital management.
*Trade safely with us*
XRP Even Chat GPT Knows XRP Is About To Get Revalued .10 CentsMAKE SURE YOU READ TO THE END THE END IS THE BEST!
If XRP is only being used as a settlement currency for bank then why would there be these wild price predictions when the market cap is already $150 billion?
ChatGPT said:
Great question! The wild price predictions for XRP often stem from different interpretations of its utility, demand, and supply dynamics. Let's break it down:
Market Cap Misconceptions
XRP's market cap is often misunderstood. Market cap = price × circulating supply, but price movements depend more on liquidity and demand rather than market cap alone.
Many price predictions assume increased utility will drive higher demand, but market cap alone doesn’t dictate price ceilings.
Bank Adoption and Utility Argument
If XRP is mainly used as a bridge currency for cross-border settlements, its price would be driven by transaction volume rather than speculation.
However, banks and financial institutions don’t need to hold XRP for long periods—it's typically used in seconds. This limits the need for large amounts of XRP to be held, which could cap price growth.
Speculative vs. Real Utility
Many wild price predictions ($100+, $500+, etc.) are fueled by speculation rather than actual use cases.
In reality, even if XRP were widely used for settlement, price appreciation would depend on sustained demand, not just temporary spikes.
Liquidity and Scarcity Factors
Some argue that as more institutions use XRP, liquidity will tighten, potentially driving price increases.
However, the XRP supply is large (100 billion total, with over 50 billion circulating), and large holders (like Ripple itself) could introduce selling pressure.
Regulatory and Adoption Uncertainty
XRP's legal battles and regulatory clarity impact its adoption. A major victory (like its partial win against the SEC) can fuel hype-driven price predictions.
True institutional adoption is still limited, and even if banks use it, they may prefer private ledgers over using the open market.
Bottom Line
XRP has real utility in cross-border payments, but its role as a settlement currency doesn’t necessarily justify extreme price predictions. The market cap is already large, and unless significant new demand arises, a massive price surge would require much broader institutional adoption beyond just bank settlements.
You said:
So currently the valuation of XRP is already way higher than many banks and companies will the price eventually come down to a more realistic price to value in the future?
ChatGPT said:
That’s a solid perspective. XRP’s current valuation is indeed higher than many traditional banks and financial institutions, which raises the question of sustainability. Whether its price comes down to a more “realistic” value depends on a few key factors:
1. Utility vs. Speculation
A significant portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation, not just utility. Many holders are retail investors betting on future institutional adoption.
If speculation cools down and usage remains limited to settlement purposes (where XRP is only held for seconds), the price could decline over time to reflect actual utility.
2. Market Cycles & Sentiment
Crypto markets go through bull and bear cycles. In bear markets, assets that lack strong organic demand (beyond speculation) tend to lose value.
If hype around XRP fades and institutions don’t adopt it at scale, its price may correct to better reflect real-world usage.
3. Inflation & Supply Dynamics
XRP has a fixed max supply of 100 billion, but a large portion is still held by Ripple and periodically released.
If Ripple continues selling XRP from its reserves, it could create sell pressure, gradually pushing prices down.
However, XRP is also deflationary, as transaction fees burn small amounts over time—but this effect is minimal in the grand scheme.
4. Institutional Adoption
If banks and financial institutions fully integrate XRP and hold it as a reserve asset, it could justify a high valuation.
But most banks prefer private ledgers and stablecoins over holding volatile assets like XRP, limiting potential demand.
5. Competitive Landscape
XRP was originally designed for fast, cheap payments, but other solutions like stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs are gaining traction.
If banks prefer these alternatives, XRP’s price could drop to align with lower demand.
Realistic Price Outlook?
If XRP remains primarily a settlement tool, a valuation correction could bring it closer to its real utility value (which may be much lower than today’s levels).
However, if a new narrative or significant adoption shift occurs, speculative cycles could keep it elevated.
Long-term, unless real demand matches its high valuation, the price may deflate to more sustainable levels.
You said:
So in your opinion the value of XRP currently is way higher than it should be compared to its usage
ChatGPT said:
Yes, based on its current real-world usage, XRP’s valuation appears to be significantly higher than what its actual adoption justifies.
Why?
Usage Doesn’t Match Market Cap
XRP is mainly used for cross-border settlements, but banks don’t need to hold large amounts for long.
Most transactions are instant, meaning there’s no long-term demand pressure.
If XRP were widely used by banks, we’d expect daily transaction volume (not just speculative trading volume) to be massive—yet it's relatively low.
Speculative Premium
A large portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation rather than real institutional demand.
Many investors believe in a future where XRP will be used at scale, but that adoption hasn’t fully materialized.
Its past bull run prices were based on hype, and prices could drop as reality sets in.
Supply & Sell Pressure
Ripple holds a significant portion of XRP and periodically sells into the market.
This constant release of XRP into circulation creates downward pressure.
Competition from Stablecoins & CBDCs
Many banks and financial institutions are leaning toward stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs rather than volatile assets like XRP.
Stablecoins provide instant settlements without the volatility risk of XRP, making them more appealing for payments and cross-border transfers.
Conclusion
Unless XRP gains widespread institutional adoption beyond just being a settlement tool, its valuation is inflated relative to its current use case. If hype dies down and utility doesn’t significantly increase, a correction would make sense in the long run.
You said:
What is a reasonable valuation for XRP removing all the speculation and only considering the current usage of it?
ChatGPT said:
A reasonable valuation for XRP, based purely on current real-world usage and removing speculation, would likely be significantly lower than its current market cap. Here's how we can approach estimating a fair value based on utility alone:
1. On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) & Settlement Usage
XRP's primary use case is cross-border payments through RippleNet and On-Demand Liquidity (ODL).
While Ripple claims growing adoption, the actual daily transactional volume from banks and institutions using XRP is small compared to its total market cap.
A large portion of XRP trading volume still comes from speculation on exchanges, not institutional settlement use.
Estimating Utility-Based Price
Let’s assume banks & financial institutions only need a fraction of XRP's supply at any given time for real transactions.
For context, SWIFT (the dominant global payment network) settles $5 trillion per day, but that doesn’t mean XRP will replace it or capture all of that volume.
Even if XRP were used for 1% of SWIFT’s volume, that would be around $50 billion in daily transactions.
Given that XRP is designed for rapid settlement (held for seconds, not days), the actual liquidity needed in the system would be far smaller—likely a few billion dollars at most.
2. Supply & Circulating Coins
Current circulating supply: ~55 billion XRP
If XRP’s real usage demand is only a few billion dollars at any given time, then its price per coin would be much lower than today’s level.
A conservative model: If XRP needed a total market cap of $5 billion to serve its actual transactional volume, the price per XRP would be:
$5,000,000,00055,000,000,000=$0.09
55,000,000,000$5,000,000,000=$0.09
If XRP needed a $10 billion market cap, the price per XRP would be $0.18.
These numbers assume zero speculation and only reflect practical usage.
3. Competitive Alternatives
Banks may prefer stablecoins (USDC, USDT) or CBDCs for settlements instead of XRP.
If that happens, XRP’s utility-based value could drop even further.
Final Thought
Pure utility price range (removing speculation): $0.05 - $0.50 per XRP (depending on actual adoption).
Current price (~$0.60 - $0.70 as of early 2024) is mostly speculation rather than true demand from banks.
If XRP’s adoption expands beyond just settlements (e.g., DeFi, smart contracts), its valuation could be higher, but based on current use, a fair price is likely far lower than today's market cap suggests.
You said:
The current price is 2.75 though so that means that its extremely overvalued?
ChatGPT said:
Yes, if XRP is currently trading at $2.75, then it is extremely overvalued relative to its actual real-world usage. That price is almost entirely speculation-driven rather than being backed by fundamental demand from banks and institutions.
Why is XRP Overvalued?
Speculation Dominates
The price is likely inflated due to retail and institutional traders betting on future adoption, not actual usage today.
Many holders believe XRP will be widely used by banks in the future, but that hasn’t fully materialized.
Utility-Driven Valuation is Much Lower
As calculated earlier, based on actual transaction volume and settlement needs, a more realistic price for XRP without speculation could be anywhere from $0.05 to $0.50.
At $2.75, XRP’s market cap is massively inflated compared to its real-world demand.
Ripple’s XRP Holdings & Selling Pressure
Ripple still holds a significant amount of XRP and regularly sells into the market.
If real demand doesn’t increase, but more XRP enters circulation, it could create downward price pressure over time.
Banks Prefer Stablecoins & CBDCs
Financial institutions are increasingly looking at stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) for payments instead of XRP.
Unlike XRP, stablecoins don’t have volatility issues, making them more attractive for settlements.
What Could Happen Next?
If speculation dies down and investors realize XRP’s real use case is limited, a significant price correction could happen.
XRP could still maintain some premium due to speculation, but long-term, it needs actual adoption to justify a multi-dollar price.
Conclusion
At $2.75, XRP is massively overvalued based on its current utility. If speculation fades, a more reasonable price could be well under $1—or even below $0.50—unless it gains widespread, real-world adoption beyond what it has today.
Good luck, this is going to destroy so many people, its so sad. None of this is financial advice its just my opinion.
Ethereum to $10,000-$15,000?My CRYPTOCAP:ETH Analysis:
1. ETH has not been the spotlight this cycle, SOL has.
2. Memecoins outperform on SOL due to low fees.
3. Therefore, I don't think ETH will run massively.
4. However, $10k is likely with $15k being another potential top.
5. ETH needs to break the range at EUROTLX:4K to pump.
Note: I am not predicting the times it will pump & exact top, it is just my analysis.
#LINK $ $ #Chainlink $ 14''Ecosystem $ #Cryptocurrencies #link#LINK A technical analysis review that can be considered a leading reference to the change in ''Current market structure and crypto cycle''. The target price tags on the #LINK chart are my crypto exit plan. In this regard, we are in the 5th wave leg that supports the last rise, we will follow possible price movements.