Ethereum – The Never Ending Bear Trend? Current Market Structure – Bearish Trend Dominates
Ethereum (ETH) is currently in a well-defined downtrend, consistently rejecting imbalance zones (highlighted in blue on the chart). Each time price reaches one of these zones, we see a rejection followed by a move lower. This has been a repeated pattern, confirming that sellers remain in control and that ETH is struggling to gain any meaningful bullish momentum.
The presence of a clear descending trendline further supports this bearish structure, as ETH continues to respect this resistance and fails to break higher. Until we see a strong shift in price action, the trend remains intact, and lower prices are likely.
Rejection of Imbalance Zones – No Bullish Confirmation Yet
The imbalance zones act as strong resistance, and so far, every attempt to push above them has resulted in rejection. This means that until one of these imbalance zones is invalidated (i.e., price breaks and holds above one), we cannot consider any bullish scenario.
Each rejection strengthens the bearish case, reinforcing the idea that ETH is likely to continue making lower lows and lower highs. Unless buyers step in with significant strength and push ETH beyond a key resistance level, the safest approach is to assume that the downtrend will continue.
When Can We Consider a Bullish Scenario?
For ETH to turn bullish, we need to see at least one of the following:
Breakout above an imbalance zone – This would indicate a shift in market structure and potential strength from buyers.
Higher highs and higher lows forming – A sign that momentum is shifting away from the current bearish trend.
Price reclaiming key resistance levels – If ETH can reclaim lost ground and sustain above it, it may indicate a potential reversal.
Until one of these conditions is met, there is no reason to be bullish. Any upside move that fails to break a key resistance should be considered a shorting opportunity rather than a bullish reversal.
Key Bearish Confirmation – Lower Prices Expected
As long as ETH keeps rejecting imbalance zones and making lower highs, the market structure remains bearish. The next downside targets are likely to be the previous support levels, with price potentially dropping towards the $1,600-$1,500 range if selling pressure continues.
The projected red price movement on the chart suggests that ETH could consolidate for a bit before continuing its descent. This aligns with the current trend and price behavior.
Historical Context – ETH at 2-Year Lows
ETH is currently trading at a price level last seen two years ago, reflecting significant weakness. Despite temporary rebounds, price action remains suppressed, and we are not seeing the kind of momentum that would indicate a strong recovery.
While some may view this as a “cheap” buying opportunity, the reality is that ETH is showing no bullish strength in its current price action. Without a confirmed trend reversal, simply being at a low price does not make it a good buy. Catching a falling knife is risky, and it is better to wait for confirmation before considering long positions.
Here is the zoomed out chart:
Final Thoughts – Patience is Key
ETH remains in a strong bearish trend, and every rejection confirms lower prices.
No bullish confirmation yet – price needs to break a key level before we consider upside potential.
Expect further downside unless market structure changes.
ETH is at historical low levels, but low prices alone do not mean bullish momentum is coming.
As traders, the best approach is to wait for confirmation and trade with the trend. Until ETH proves otherwise, the bearish structure remains dominant, and downside targets remain in play.
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