Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
Ethereum's Potential Bottom: Could $5000 Be Next?Ethereum has experienced a significant 56% drop over the last 84 days. Has ETH found its bottom, or is more downside ahead? Let's break it down.
🔹 Fibonacci Retracement from October Low (2023) to December High (2024)
Starting with the Fibonacci retracement from the low of $1520.85 on 12th October 2023 to the high of $4109 on 16th December 2024, ETH recently hit the 0.886 Fib retracement at $1815.9 and saw a bounce. This area aligns with the Point of Control (POC) from previous price action, a potential signal that this could be a major support zone.
However, the real question is whether this is the final bottom, or if ETH will retest lower levels.
🔹 Further Fibonacci Retracement Analysis
Next, we take a larger Fibonacci retracement, from the low of $879.8 on 18th June 2022 to the high of $4109. The 0.786 Fib retracement at $1570.85 appears to be a critical support zone, as it also coincides with the POC in the volume profile of the entire market structure. This indicates that the $1570-$1600 region is a significant area of interest for buyers to step in.
🔹 Log Scale Fibonacci Confluence
To further strengthen this analysis, applying the same Fibonacci retracement on a log scale shows the 0.618 Fib retracement at $1585.17, very close to the POC and 0.786 Fib level, reinforcing this region as a major support zone.
🔹 High-Probability Long Setup
If ETH revisits the $1570-$1600 zone, this forms an ideal high-probability long setup with excellent risk/reward potential. A potential R:R ratio of more than 20:1 could materialise if this setup plays out and price targets $5000 as a take-profit level. The stop loss placement will determine the exact risk-to-reward, but the reward could be massive if this level holds.
💬 What are your thoughts? Will Ethereum find its bottom around these key levels? Excited to see how this develops! 🚀
Biggest support at ETHBTC, the end of the fall? Will Ethereum end its downtrend? Ethereum has been quite weak for a long time and is currently at an important support level. If it breaks down further, a sharp decline may continue, but if it holds the support, the upcoming period could be more positive.
2018 and 2021 crypto rally started from this support. Will be again?
Many cryptocurrency dominance charts, as well as Nasdaq and stock charts too, showing the same pattern. Is the reversal starting?
We’ll see.
This is not investment advice. Please do your own research.
Wishing you best.
-YusufDeli
OTHERS.D at important support, crypto rally coming?Upcoming period could be more positive?
Many cryptocurrency dominance charts, as well as Nasdaq and stock charts too, showing the same pattern. Is the reversal starting? Check my other analysis too.
We’ll see.
This is not investment advice. Please do your own research.
Wishing you best.
-YusufDeli
TOTAL Marketcap at important support?Upcoming period could be more positive?
Many cryptocurrency dominance charts, as well as Nasdaq and stock charts too, showing the same pattern. Is the reversal starting?
We’ll see.
This is not investment advice. Please do your own research.
Wishing you best.
-YusufDeli
USDT.D dominance at important resistance? Crypto rally coming?BTC and ETH coming to an important support level. And USDT dominance at the big resistance.
Many cryptocurrency dominance charts, as well as Nasdaq and stock charts at support too.
Is the reversal starting?
We’ll see.
This is not investment advice. Please do your own research.
Wishing you best.
-YusufDeli
(B3) Base3 "NFT opensea challenge"Something to consider when developing an NFT project to be offered on Opensea; Even though Base is offered as an alternative to Ethereum, the highest cost blockchain, B3 is tradable. With NFT projects an aspect of their profitability comes from the tradability history of Ethereum NFT information, as we know. If you consider developing and offering an NFT on Opensea you may want to consider a tradable layer-1 that you can hold in value along with offering NFTs for trade/sale, such as; B3, Avalanche, Polygon, Sei, Arbitrum, Berachain, Blast, Ethereum, Flow, and Optimism. And if you use Binance you could also consider Klaytn--not traded on Coinbase or Kraken. BASE is the new cutting edge offering trending so much based on PEPE coin yet what it does not have is the ability to see the growth of the chain improve the price of the NFT. This is something to consider when you decide to offer an NFT on Opensea, or elsewhere. I'm not trying to hate on Brian or BASE so much as I'm seeing the concept behind why I would actually choose B3 over using BASE, and so on. Berachain is sort of new and I would not swear by it, plus, who wnats to see a bear market right now, not me. Lots of people talked about Arbitrum and the fact is for as much hype as was placed on Arbitrum the outcome was not great enough to counter the more popular Solana.
(ETH) ethereum "nft land"I was recently looking into NFTs on Opensea and while doing so I noticed there are far more NFTs from people based on the Ethereum blockchain compared to the other offerings on Opensea. Even though Solana (SOL) is on the forefront of popularity with Meme projects Opensea does not offer an exclusive Solana chain to provide NFT ideas. Hence, there is not an easy way to compare to amount of Solana projects to Ethereum projects being built, developed and/or offered. It would be interesting to see the comparison of NFTs on Solana versus Ethereum. Ethereum reduced their transactions with a transition to Proof-Of-Stake and since then the number of Ethereum NFTs must be growing. While the news is on a constant watch for new meme projects, tokens, the Opensea network for many other blockchains is not growing as nearly rapidly as Ethereum.
Ethereum — March 2025 Edition. The Lord Giveth and Taketh AwayWe have discovered already at @PandorraResearch Team a month ago or so in earlier published idea , that Donald Trump's recent policies and statements have generated significant negative sentiment towards Ethereum and the broader cryptocurrency market. As he resumes the presidency, his administration's approach to cryptocurrencies is expected to be more regulatory and cautious, which could impact Ethereum investors.
Donald Trump's actions and announcements have had a negative influence on Ethereum prices through several mechanisms.
Disappointment Over Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Order.
Trump's executive order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve was initially seen as a positive move, but it did not lead to immediate government purchases of cryptocurrencies. Instead, it focused on creating a budget-neutral strategy, which meant no taxpayer funds would be used for spot purchases in the short term. This lack of immediate action led to disappointment and selling in the market, affecting Ethereum's price.
"Pump & Dump" Effect.
Trump's rhetoric and announcements often create a "Pump & Dump" effect in the cryptocurrency market. This phenomenon involves a brief surge in prices followed by a sharp decline as investors realize there is no concrete action behind the rhetoric. Ethereum, along with other cryptocurrencies, experienced this volatility after Trump's statements about including Ethereum in a crypto reserve.
Trade Tensions and Tariffs.
Trump's tariff announcements have exacerbated global trade tensions, which negatively impact the broader financial markets, including cryptocurrencies. Ethereum has been particularly sensitive to these developments, experiencing significant price drops in response to tariff threats against major trading partners like Canada, Mexico, and China.
Market Volatility and Uncertainty.
Trump's unpredictable policies and statements contribute to market volatility and uncertainty. This environment can deter investors and lead to price fluctuations in Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. The lack of clear regulatory guidance under his administration adds to the uncertainty, affecting investor confidence and Ethereum's price stability.
Technical challenge.
The main technical graph for Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD indicates on further Bearish trend in development (since mid-December 2024) with acceleration occurred a day before Mr. Trump entered the White House.
Previous key supports were considered as 100-week SMA (near $2550 per Ethereum), $2200 flat multi bottom and 5-years SMA (near $2100 per Ethereum), so all of them are broken to this time. That is why we believe (in this case of multi breakthrough), it could lead the Ethereum price much lower, as it described on the chart.
Conclusion.
Overall, Trump's influence on Ethereum prices is characterized by disappointment over unfulfilled expectations, market volatility driven by his rhetoric, and negative impacts from trade tensions and regulatory uncertainty.
--
Best 'Trump & Dump' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
ETH → Gearing Up for $10,000!? Or $1,200? Let's Answer.Ethereum finally fell into my buy zone this past week and I was able to buy with an average price of $2,185.18. This is a target I've been watching for months in anticipation. The best part is that it may go lower!
How do we trade this? 🤔
ETH has landed on a key support area of $2,100 and is now flirting with falling to the .236 Fib level at $1,800. A final target would be around $1,500 which brings us back into the bear market range. ETH formed a triple top over the course of 2024 and as expected, it pulled back hard with the alt market.
Bitcoin Dominance has been in a bull trend since the last cycle and hasn't shown any signs of weakness yet. Currently at 62%, it could jump up to 70% easily. Until it drops, ETH and the alts are going to remain bleeding out.
I'm targeting the previous all-time high for a first profit target, around $4,800. Whether I take profits at that level depends on the price action leading up to it. If we get a strong push with strong candle closes leading up to that price, I'll likely hang on. Otherwise, I may take 25% of my position off the table and look for a potential re-entry.
Final target price is $6,750, just below the 1.618 Fib level. This level also corresponds with a measured move target if the price attempts $4,000, pulls back to the 3-Year Support, then moves up again. I believe $10,000 ETH is absolutely possible for this run, but given how slumpy the alt market is, I don't see that probability being as high as the previous high of $7,000. This is why I'm taking my profits before that 1.618 Fib level is hit.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $2,185.18
🟥 Stop Loss: $700
✅ Take Profit #1: $4,800
✅ Take Profit #2: $6,750
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. 2024 Triple top led to a retrace down to the 2023 range.
2. First buy at $2,185.18, potential buy at $1,800 and $1,500
3. Stop loss at $700 below the 2022 bear market low
4. Holding the position until the previous all-time high around $4,850 where the first take profit waits. $6,750 is the second take profit just before the 1.618 fib level
5. Weekly RSI is near 34.00 and below the Moving Average. This is a good level to buy.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Ascending Wedges signal an increased probability of a bear breakout. Combined with three pushes up in a bull trend and strong sell bars (candles with large wicks on their tops), creates conditions where a counter-trend trade is reasonable.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
ETH: Can Ethereum Rally Once More in this Cycle?ETH: The white scenario still permits a move to all-time highs, but a drop below $1,790 would make another all-time high in this cycle less likely, as the pullback would be too deep for wave (4). In that case, I will monitor the lower support region between $1,436 and $1,254 for a potential reaction, should the yellow scenario materialize. However, this remains a low-probability outcome, and I would expect the blue scenario to unfold if the price decisively breaks below $1,790.
For now, the local trend remains to the downside, and we need to see a clear reaction at support before considering the start of the next upward move. We remain vigilant for any signs of a shift in momentum that could indicate the beginning of a reversal.
ETHEREUM price is alarming...#ethereum price has closed a weekly candle below 3 years of trendline for the first time!.. This is the one negative only. The other fact is, #eth price has already declined from the weekly ichimoku cloud and lost support. These must not be underestimated. I' ve warned you about CRYPTOCAP:ETH price structure weakness weeks ago.
What' ll be next? Allrigt. ETH has took support this zone and is now testing 2000 usd support zone. To avoid this sign of "major weakness", #eth price must immediately reclaim 3000 usd and above with monthly candle close. With this weekly close, it' s now getting harder to shelter the trend reversal. For now 2000 usd moderate and 1450 usd are now strong support zones for #ethusd .Otherwise, things will get more serious in mid term. Not financial advice. DYOR.
Is SOL/BTC following the ETH/BTC distribution pattern?
As the big red weekly candle closes for BTC, we should see some volatility this week.
Solana valued in BTC has exited a rectangular distribution topping pattern.
Failure to recapture the rectangular box and enter back into it in a spring like move is looking increasingly unlikely.
Ethereum valued in BTC followed a very similar pattern in Nov 2023, exiting the rectangular distribution rectangle and fell much much lower.
The 50 week (blue line) and 200 week (purple line) moving averages also follow a similar trajectory for both instruments / coins.
If SOL / BTC does not recover into the box, and fast I will be exiting a long term position I hold.
Defensive Strategy based on this chart and the USD chart warrants consideration
PUKA
RAREUSDT showing strength in a bearish marketBYBIT:RAREUSDT.P
I always like to see businesses or "coins" showing strength over BTC when it's in a bearish state... it excites me to research the good doings and actions of a business (I look at the long run and I invest if the shoe fits) although this has nothing to do with me day in day out strategy I have in place.
The best thing to do here with my system is wait for a 4HR correction and then take what's mine on the 15M.
Ill update on entry!
march rally coming for bitcoin BTCUSD BTC!Bitcoin's price action is also influenced by broader financial cycles and patterns that are more subtle.
Here's a look at those:
General Financial Cycles:
Market Sentiment Cycles:
Like all financial markets, Bitcoin experiences cycles of fear and greed. These psychological waves drive price fluctuations, with periods of euphoria leading to overbought conditions and subsequent corrections.
These cycles are often amplified in the cryptocurrency market due to its 24/7 nature and the prevalence of social media.
Economic Cycles:
Bitcoin's performance can be influenced by macroeconomic trends, such as inflation, interest rates, and global economic growth.
In times of economic uncertainty, some investors may turn to Bitcoin as a hedge against traditional assets. Conversely, during periods of strong economic growth, capital may flow into more traditional investments.
Adoption Cycles:
Bitcoin's adoption by individuals and institutions follows a pattern of gradual growth, punctuated by periods of rapid acceleration.
As adoption increases, liquidity improves, and the market becomes more mature, which can influence price volatility and long-term trends.
"Secret" or Less Obvious Bitcoin Cycles:
On-Chain Data Cycles:
Analysis of Bitcoin's blockchain data reveals patterns in investor behavior, such as accumulation and distribution phases.
Metrics like:
Hodl waves: which track the age of bitcoin held in wallets.
Entity adjusted dormancy: which shows when older coins are being moved.
These can give indications of underlying cycle activity.
Liquidity Cycles:
The flow of liquidity into and out of the Bitcoin market can create its own cycles.
Periods of high liquidity can fuel price increases, while periods of low liquidity can exacerbate price declines.
The availability of stablecoins, and the actions of large market makers, effect these cycles.
Technological Adoption Cycles:
The development and adoption of layer 2 solutions, and other technological improvements to the bitcoin network, can create their own cyclical impacts on the bitcoin price.
These cycles are less predictable, but can have profound long term effects.
It's important to understand that these cycles are interconnected and can overlap, making it challenging to isolate their individual effects. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is still relatively young, and its cycles may evolve over time.
ETHUSD The Week Ahead 10th March '25
Ethereum (ETH/USD) remains in a bearish trend, aligned with the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The price action suggests continued selling pressure, with critical resistance and support levels defining the next move.
Key Technical Levels
Immediate Resistance: $2,490 (previous support, now acting as resistance)
Major Resistance Levels:
$2,634
$2,785
Key Support Levels:
$2,100
$2,016
$1,906
Bearish Scenario: Rejection at $2,490
If ETH fails to break above $2,490, it would confirm the resistance level’s strength.
A bearish rejection from this zone could lead to renewed selling pressure.
Downside targets include $2,100, followed by deeper support at $2,016 and $1,906 over the longer timeframe.
Bullish Alternative: Breakout Confirmation
A daily close above $2,490 would invalidate the immediate bearish outlook.
A sustained breakout could trigger an upward move toward $2,634 as the next resistance level.
A continuation of buying momentum could lead to a rally toward $2,785, reinforcing a potential shift in market sentiment.
Conclusion
ETH/USD remains bearish unless it can reclaim and hold $2,490 as support. A rejection from this level could extend the downtrend, while a breakout above resistance would signal a potential trend reversal. Traders should monitor price action closely around these levels for confirmation of the next move
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