Bitcoin Reversal After Hitting Demand AreaIn my two most recent BTC analyses I talked about an ideal area for entry in case BTC reversed from the top yellow resistance of the channel it has been trading in for 6 months at this point.
As expected, the green area on the chart has functioned as a huge area of demand, right in between the supports (yellow and purple). The drop was a bit more steep than initially anticipated due to a big sell-off in the stock markets, but the reversal is here nevertheless.
At this moment it's still unclear whether BTC will find its way up all the way towards the top of the channel yet again. The daily shooting-star wick suggests that bulls took over in the short-term, however.
As mentioned in previous analyses, BTC is currently trading in a longer term grey zone. I'm bullish above the top yellow resistance and bearish below the bottom purple support. It's not the time for long-term longs or shorts, in my view.
Remember my last ETH analysis where I talked about the initial bearish shock after the spot ETF approval (we saw the same with the BTC spot ETF). If the BTC ETF is any indication, we will enter a long-term trend from here.
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
ETH looks still bearishEthereum is constantly making lower H's and L's. The larger structure is bearish as you can see.
You can look for sell/short positions in the premium range.
We are looking for sell/short positions in the supply range.
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will violate the analysis.
Note that the financial market is risky, so:
Do not enter a position without setting a stop and capital management and confirmation and trigger.
When we reach the first TP, save some profit and try to move the stop continuously in the direction of your profit.
If you have any comments please post them, comments will help us improve our performance
Thanks
ETH/USDT 1-day chart update:! ETH/USDT 1-day chart update:
ETH has broken below a crucial support level, indicating potential further declines.
The price is close to a crucial ascending trendline, which could act as
a bounce back with potential resistance around $2,800 if the trendline holds.
If the trendline fails, the price could drop to around $2,000.
Monitor trading volumes to gauge the strength of the current move.
Check RSI levels for oversold conditions, which could signal a potential reversal.
Traders should remain cautious and keep an eye out for any signs of trend reversal or continuation.
Remember: This is not financial advice. Stay tuned to us for further updates and analysis. Thank you!
Is money moving from Ethereum to Solana?Solana quoted in Ether is in a decisive region.
It has already broken the 2021 high, but it is necessary to be aware of a possible bull trap.
It is interesting to note that Solana's TVL¹ is still 9% of Ethereum .
We obtain this number by dividing the TVL's.
So the chart shows a break above the 2021 all-time high, when it was 8.64%:
However, in the USD quote, the price is in a turbulent region; there may be false breakouts up or down.
¹ Total Value Locked:
total value of assets that are locked in a DeFi protocol through smart contracts
ETH - Short-term long, long-term bearishETH - Short term, bullish as fear works it's way out of the market and we hit oversold levels. I foresee ETH attempting to get to it's main moving averages and the 50 DMA, but we are very close to a Death Cross on the daily so any bounce I expect will be short-lived.
ETH has taken a beating in recent days but still in the gameEthereum has taken a beating in recent days, but it is still at an excellent price to buy. As we can see, the price continues to fluctuate in a liquidity zone, or as I call it, a buyer pressure zone. My forecast is that Ethereum could continue in that zone, accumulating before taking off later on. Meanwhile, we remain in a demand zone and are accumulating.
Regards, and thank you for the support.
Ethereum showing a pessimistic target at $798Triple Top has formed on Ethereum since February 2024.
We have seen the price drop below 20 and 200MA stating a bear market.
There is a strong downtrend in check, which the price will need ot break for any semblance of hope.
I am a full on Ethereum bull for the future (more than Bitcoin). But the charts are showing downside to come which I hope I am wrong.
And this target is very pessimistic. of $798
So let's see.
ETH Drama Alert!So, what the heck happened with Ethereum yesterday? One minute we're riding high, and the next, it's like ETH decided to take a spontaneous bungee jump without the cord! 🎢
Picture this: ETH was chilling at a respectable $3,883, probably sipping on some digital mojitos, when suddenly, it remembered it had an appointment with gravity. Fast forward a few hours, and we're staring at $2,100, wondering if ETH just had a mid-life crisis. 😱
Was it the market? Was it the moon? Did someone forget to feed their crypto hamster? Who knows! But one thing's for sure, ETH gave us all a heart attack and a half. 💔
But hey, let's look on the bright side. At least now we have a great story to tell at the next crypto party. "Remember that time ETH decided to play 'How Low Can You Go'?" 😂
Bearish Scenario:
ETH decided to take a nosedive below $2,200. It's like ETH saw a ghost and just ran for the hills! 👻💨 If it keeps this up, we might need to start a search party. 🕵️♂️
Bullish Scenario:
On the flip side, if ETH can muster up the courage to break above $3,400, we might just see it soaring like an eagle! 🦅✨ It's like ETH is trying to win a high jump competition. 🏆
So, will ETH continue its spooky descent, or will it rise like a phoenix? 🔥 Only time will tell, but one thing's for sure – it's never a dull moment in the crypto world! 🌍💸
Stay strong, This rollercoaster isn't over yet. 🎢💪
Next Volatility Period: Around August 14th - 18thHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(1M Chart)
You can see that the 2531.05 ~ 0.382 (2647.80) section is an important section.
If it falls in this section, it is likely to turn into a downtrend in the long term, so be careful when trading.
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(1W chart)
If it falls in the 2531.05 ~ 0.382 (2647.80) range, it is likely to eventually touch the HA-Low indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, as the price falls, we need to check at what point the HA-Low indicator is generated.
If not, it is expected to fall to around 1340.12, where the HA-Low indicator is currently located.
However, we need to check for support near the 2159.00 point (the bottom point of the HA-High indicator box on the 1M chart) and the 1783.0 point (the top point of the HA-Low indicator box on the 1W chart).
If it rises, it is likely to face resistance near 3265.0-3321.30, so we need to check for support.
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(1D chart)
It is a medium-term rising channel, that is, it has entered a short-term falling channel while falling from the rising trend line (1) ~ (2) section.
This short-term falling channel is a channel made up of high-point trend lines.
Therefore, if it falls from this channel, it is thought that it is likely to record another large decline.
That is why the key is whether there is support near the 1783.0-2159.0 section.
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When making new purchases, it is recommended to check whether there is support near the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart if possible.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator is formed at the 3079.59 point.
However, since there is a high possibility that a new HA-Low indicator will be created depending on price fluctuations, I think it is better to wait for it to be created at some point.
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The time to buy is when StochRSI > StochRSI EMA and the StochRSI indicator is out of the oversold zone, and you can proceed by checking whether there is support at the support and resistance points.
Currently, I think it is most likely to check whether there is support above the 2531.05 ~ 0.382 (2647.80) range.
If it falls,
1st: 2159.0
2nd: 1783.0
You should check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The range expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Continued decline?Ethereum is in a strong downtrend and has been unable to break through key resistance levels. This indicates continued selling pressure and decreased investor confidence.
Support and Resistance Levels:
$3110 Level: This is a key resistance level that the price has been unable to surpass and has sharply declined after hitting it.
$3000 Level: This level also acted as resistance, and after breaking below this level, the downtrend continued.
$2850 Level: This support level was also broken, and the price has reached $2677.
$2677 Level: This is an important support level that, if broken, could lead to further price declines.
$2170 Level: This is the lowest support level currently, with the price near this level. If this level is also broken, further declines in Ethereum's price may be observed.
Ichimoku Cloud and Downtrend:
As long as the price remains below the Ichimoku Cloud and key resistance levels, the likelihood of the downtrend continuing is higher. Breaking through these levels could indicate a return of buyer strength and a potential trend reversal.
SOLANA to FLIP ETHEREUM scenarioThis is the market cap of SOL divided by the market cap of ETH
It's important to look at the m-cap charts since the circulating of these coins are constantly changing.
Sol to flip Eth is a good bull market narrative that probably WON'T happen --- but could be still be very profitable.
The gap could close to where the pundits will start very talking about it. (This should be a take profit / topping signal when this noise becomes too loud)
As you can see. in the chart Solana has broken out of a ratio range
and appears to be setting up for an aggressive move after some more pressure being built up in that upward sloping channel.
Again this just a scenario that seems to be playing out .
No guarantees
watch and observe
look for good entries
no need to go all in
BUt having exsposure would not hurt.
I shared very early in the cycle that Solana would outperform ETH by multiples...
which has come to pass ... this would be the euphoric phase of the cycle where significant Hot and new money could pour into that particular #Blockchain casino.
BTC Recent Price MovementRecent Price Movement: BTC has experienced a decline from $65,000 to $50,000 and is now consolidating around $55,000.
Support and Resistance: Key support is identified at $50,000 and resistance at $52,000.
Technical Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing oversold conditions, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating a potential bullish divergence.
Example Scenario
Range Trading:
LONG:
Entry: Buy BTC at $55,000
Stop-Loss: $53,000
Take-Profit: $58,000
Position Size: Adjust according to your risk tolerance and capital
Breakout Trading:
Entry: Buy BTC at $58,000
Stop-Loss: $50,000
Take-Profit: $65,000
Position Size: Adjust according to your risk tolerance and capital
Monitoring and Adjustment
Continuously monitor BTC's price action and adjust the strategy as necessary.
Be prepared to exit the trade early if market conditions change unfavorably.
Remember, this is a hypothetical trading idea and should be tailored to your specific financial situation, risk tolerance, and market outlook. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Ethereum's Revival A Prime Opportunity for a Strong Rebound Analyzing the current market conditions for ETH/USDT, there are several technical indicators suggesting that Ethereum might be poised for a significant upward movement from its current price of $2,444. The recent sharp decline in price has brought Ethereum to a crucial support level, which has historically acted as a strong foundation for upward reversals.
Firstly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below the 30 level due to the recent sell-off, indicating that Ethereum is currently in oversold territory. This suggests that the selling pressure may have been overextended, providing a potential opportunity for buyers to enter the market and capitalize on the discounted price.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also starting to show signs of a bullish crossover. The MACD line is approaching the signal line from below, which often precedes a bullish trend reversal. This potential crossover, coupled with the oversold RSI, strengthens the case for a price rebound.
Additionally, the Bollinger Bands have expanded significantly during the recent price drop, reflecting increased volatility. However, the price has begun to stabilize around the lower band, suggesting that the downward momentum is waning and a reversal could be on the horizon.
Furthermore, the trading volume has spiked dramatically during the sell-off, indicating heightened market interest and participation. Historically, high volume during price declines can precede reversals as it suggests that new buyers are stepping in to absorb the selling pressure.
The Fibonacci retracement levels also align with this analysis, as the price is currently hovering around the 61.8% retracement level from the previous rally. This level is often considered a strong support area where price reversals are likely to occur.
From a fundamental perspective, Ethereum continues to see strong network activity and development progress, further supporting the potential for a rebound. The recent pullback may have been driven by broader market sentiment rather than any Ethereum-specific issues, providing an attractive entry point for long-term investors.
Given these factors, it seems like an opportune moment to consider buying ETH/USDT in anticipation of a medium-term price increase. The combination of oversold conditions, technical support levels, and strong fundamental backing suggests that Ethereum is well-positioned to recover from its recent dip and potentially target new highs in the coming weeks and months.
Why Ethereum needs to cross $2.5K to turn bullish againEthereum (ETH) plummeted to the January lows over the past few hours. Its descent below $2.9k was followed by a 27.5% drop over the next 12 hours.
At press time, ETH has bounced to $2366 from the $2.1k lows, a 12.17% bounce.
The smart money that bought close to $20 million when prices were at $2.9k and $3.1k has not been correct this time, smudging a previously perfect track record.
The price crash of the past couple of days was brutal. In just the last 24 hours, Ethereum markets saw $346.5 million worth of liquidations. The daily RSI fell to 19, the lowest since 18th August 2023.
The daily session has not yet closed, but as things stand, the rally earlier this year has been wholly retraced. The $2.5k-$2.6k zone is likely to serve as resistance on the way upward.
The OBV formed a new low to encapsulate the idea of extreme selling volume. The day’s trading volume is 1.55 million ETH and counting, the highest in 2024.
While it might be a good reason to buy, more conservative traders and investors would want to see prices reclaim key support zones and stay above them for a few days before they’re confident enough to bid.
Market crashes like these are not a good time to be in a leveraged trade, as 270k+ crypto traders found out over the weekend. The Open Interest has fallen from $9.9 billion on the 3rd of August to $7.35 billion at press time.
A bounce toward $2.5k was possible, but the New York trading session can see added selling pressure.
Ethereum : WHALES sell, RE-Accumulation Phase NOWIt's made headlines that large whale wallets have sold off large chucks, driving the price of ETH down by over 35% in only a few days.
We see a yearly low in the daily RSI, as well as an "Oversold" flash on the Technical indicator.
The good news, is that this will give buyers a few weeks to re-accumulate ETH before the next impulse wave up starts:
For the short term, the price will likely continue to trade down the lower Bollinger Bands until the sell-off is over. Retail is catching on to the sell off, so it's likely we'll see wicky price action as this kind of volume will be attractive for algo trading.
For the SHORT and NEAR term I am bearish, but for the NEAR to LONG term I remain bullish that another impulse wave up is next.
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BINANCE:ETHUSDT
EthereumI'm finding myself gravitating more towards this crypto over Bitcoin, and that's mainly due to Ethereum's price. I'll explain my chart along with what I'm anticipating.
What am I anticipating?
Price is currently breaking a key lower-high on the weekly, which happens to also be the same area as the monthly (key) lower-high. Once that bull candle closes pass those levels at the end of today then the weekly turns bullish.
Normally, price would run into an old key area in order for the retracement phase to begin. I'm looking for bull continuation to spike the A.T.H. and $5000 price point followed by a correction right into my area of interest (A.O.I.).
Do I have a "special" price within the A.O.I.?
I actually do! $2400.
In conclusion, I'm merely a spectator until the bears enter the market to drive price down, and if that doesn't happen due to bull momentum, I'll readjust.
M - 🐻
W - 🐻 *If today's candle closes above the key LH, it turns 🐂*
D - 🐂
H4 - 🐂
ETH Ethereum ETFs Set to Launch. Short Term Price TargetIf you haven`t sold the top on ETH:
Then you need to know that the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) has announced that five spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are slated to begin trading on July 23, pending regulatory approval.
However, the launch of these Ethereum ETFs could lead to a price decline similar to what was observed with Bitcoin.
After the launch of the spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, Bitcoin experienced a notable drop in its price. Initially, Bitcoin was trading above $48,000 but then plummeted to as low as $38,700 on January 23, 2024.
This represents a nearly 20% decline from its high. The initial drop of 5% was observed shortly after the ETFs went live, attributed to profit-taking behavior and market dynamics.
For Ethereum, a similar scenario could unfold. The influx of capital and the heightened attention could initially drive up prices. However, once the ETFs start trading, profit-taking behavior might set in, potentially causing Ethereum's price to fall by 5% to 20%.
Investors should be prepared for potential volatility surrounding the launch date.
My Price Target is $2800.
ETH Respects The Trend, But For How Long?This is my first slightly longer post about the crypto market in some time. Despite being an ETH post, I get more into the market as a whole in this post. Here, I will do a little analysis on the above ETH chart, but primarily I will speak about fundamentals, my accuracies and my inaccuracies, and why I continue to observe the market.
Ethereum was my biggest winner in the previous bull market. After buying between $100-200 in 2018-2019, I sold near $3000 at the end of 2021. Since then, I didn't "buy the dip" or return to investing in the cryptocurrency market. Sure, my opinion on things has limited my ability to see the "forest through the trees," so to speak. So far, I've missed out on at least tripling my money again on ETH, when I could have bought close to $1000 if I had been bullish on it long term.
Despite the ETF approval for Bitcoin, and despite a looming ETF approval for Ethereum, I am longer term bearish on these assets. This is due to a simple question, the answer to which has not changed: If Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies ceased to exist, would the world be impacted significantly?
With the introduction of these ETF's, the answer to this question may change from "not at all" to "a little bit," but even then, the people who would be impacted are asset holders and managers who are generally making small bets on crypto. The bigger concern is that some brazen investors will follow Michael Saylor's suit and create unnecessary risk by buying assets that have very few real-world application. If this snowballs into an even bigger bubble, I do worry about the impact on the broader financial system.
As for crypto's effect on the economy: Money goes into crypto and it stays there. All those billions that have been invested in Bitcoin ETF's could go somewhere else and have a positive ripple effect on the economy and people's lives. Instead, it's stagnant money, and it only has value because people continue to buy it. The primary reason why I'm longer term bearish on these assets is because I believe eventually demand will be unable to keep up, and prices will stagnate, ultimately fading into a much longer bear market. This is particularly the case when broader markets fall into a more deflationary period, which I think will happen eventually (though as we know, this is very hard to predict).
It is clear that I was wrong in speculating Bitcoin would not make a new all time high. It did, but I wonder how long it could really sustain a SIGNIFICANT higher high. I'm not talking about $70-75k. I'm talking about $100k+ prices.
Back in 2022, I speculated that ETH would drop to the green zone in my chart. It came very close, but bottomed out between $800-1000, a major level from the 2017-2018 bull market. I did successfully anticipate much lower prices for Bitcoin and Ethereum than most were expecting at that time. I did not anticipate such an extended move up from those bottoms.
It is important to note that in multiples, crypto is outpacing the stock market from bottom to recent top. However, stocks are making more significant new all time highs while crypto is not. Even Gold is booming, breaking significant highs. This is something I did anticipate a while ago. There is no indication that holding crypto ETF's will be better than holding stocks. But hey look, Microstrategy (MSTR) is almost at dotcom bubble peak levels.
Back to ETH - if one is to take a big short position, it seems unwise to do so until the long term trendline is clearly broken. Here is the trendline zoomed in. You can see that price even broke down briefly, though continued to hug it for the most part while the decline did not accelerate further.
For now, it continues to ride. There could easily be more spikes up, as mania begins to take hold. But I sincerely also wonder how much extra money retail has to drive prices up this time around. Data shows that spending has slowed down, while people have mostly burned through their pandemic savings. Where will the liquidity come from? Is this rally even being driven by enough liquidity to sustain these prices? There is also always money to be made on the short side. Let's not forget that a short ETH ETF already exists.
We will eventually find out the answers to these questions. These are the primary reasons I continue to observe markets. I want to know more deeply what's going on. What are the broader cultural and economic shifts that occur under the surface, which cause major impacts on society as a whole? These mysteries keep me coming back.
Crypto is still interesting to me in this respect because it has such a psychological impact on the investor. I know directly from experience. It promises big things and then barely delivers. Or, it will appear to be completely dead and then cause eyeballs to pop when it suddenly triples in value. Profiting from it in the last cycle required putting up with a long emotional rollercoaster. Is there a light at the end of the tunnel for the crypto investor? Is this, right now, the light at the end of the tunnel? If so, this is a pretty far cry from the original intentions of Bitcoin. It's all gone right back into the pockets of traditional financial institutions. And perhaps, it is this discrepancy that makes me think it's really a sheep in wolf's clothing, in effect something perfectly boring and ordinary disguised as something disruptive. It is possible that it it may have not turned out this way, but due to human collective decision-making, greed, and exploitation, here we are.
Despite my more sporadic posts, I continue to observe and analyze. It is not necessarily about being right or wrong for me. Maybe when I was younger it was, but now it's more about the process. It is important to let go of the attachment to being right.
Thank you for reading as always. And of course, this is meant for speculation and entertainment only, not financial advice.