Ethereum Analysis: Key Support and Potential Downside 24.12.26Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on Ethereum.
30-Minute Chart
This is a 30-minute chart.
Since my last Ethereum analysis, the short-term ascending trendline has been broken, which prompted me to update the analysis.
Currently, Ethereum is holding support at the orange box supply zone, and the 3356 level will be a critical support to watch today.
Although the ascending trendline has been broken, the price has not yet breached the lower boundary of the supply zone, so it’s unclear whether the trend has definitively turned bearish.
However, if the price breaks below this level, it could signal a trend reversal. In that case, the initial downside target would be the red box supply zone, with the potential for a larger drop toward the blue box zone.
Daily Chart
On the daily chart, it’s important to refer back to the previously established long-term trend analysis.
This provides a broader perspective for making informed trading decisions.
Conclusion:
Ethereum’s short-term outlook hinges on the 3356 support level. A breakdown below this level could trigger further downside, but as of now, the supply zone is holding.
Trade wisely, and best of luck in your trades! 🚀
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
Ethereum - too big to failIf you try to find top100 coinmarketcap coin list, you will be amazed by how many cryptocurrencies are now forgotten or even dead. Even 100M+ mcap coins die because they turn out to be merely speculative or scammy ventures. But one of the few that stayed on top of all the garbage was Ethereum.
It stayed on top of everything because it was the first crypto which created an ecosystem hosting multiple
"protocols" and tokens, which also helped crypto market grow not only in terms of market cap but infrastructurally.
So I believe it is now too big to fail, but not just because of ~400B. market cap but also due to how many project are based on top of EVM.
I think it might reach at least ~700B market cap during this cycle but later it will be among trillion mcap assets
Ethereum: Bullish Signals Point to Strong UpsideIdea:
Ethereum is showing clear signs of a potential bullish breakout, supported by both technical indicators and macro market trends. Let’s dive into the details of why ETH could be setting up for an impressive rally.
Key Observations:
1️⃣ Bullish Divergence on WaveFlow
The WaveFlow indicator on the daily timeframe is flashing a clear bullish divergence, with momentum suggesting a reversal in Ethereum’s favor. This divergence often precedes strong upward price movements, making it a critical signal for traders.
2️⃣ Momentum Reversal on PrimeMomentum
The PrimeMomentum lines are starting to curve upward, signaling that bullish momentum is building. This shift aligns perfectly with the broader market context, reinforcing the case for a potential rally.
3️⃣ Falling BTC Dominance
Bitcoin dominance is steadily declining, a classic sign that the market may be shifting focus to altcoins. Historically, such movements have preceded explosive growth in major altcoins like Ethereum.
Technical Outlook:
Ethereum has maintained its structure above the ascending trendline, which continues to act as strong support. This solid base, combined with bullish divergences and rising momentum, points to a high probability of further upside.
Immediate Resistance: $3,750
Next Targets: $4,000 and $4,300
A breakout above these levels could accelerate buying pressure, propelling Ethereum toward new highs.
Macro Context:
The market’s attention is gradually shifting from Bitcoin to altcoins, as evidenced by the declining BTC dominance. Ethereum, being the leading altcoin, is primed to benefit the most from this transition. With institutional interest growing and technical signals aligning, ETH is positioned for significant gains in the coming weeks.
Conclusion:
Ethereum is presenting a high-probability bullish setup that should not be ignored. With BTC dominance falling, bullish divergences in key indicators, and upward momentum building, ETH could be on the verge of a major breakout.
Keep an eye on these key levels and indicators to capitalize on this opportunity. 🚀
Let me know your thoughts in the comments—are you bullish on Ethereum’s next move?
ETH Heading Towards New All-Time HighsSabah Research has recently published a compelling analysis suggesting that Ethereum (ETH) is on track to reach new all-time highs (ATHs) of $4,900. This projection is supported by technical analysis using Elliott Wave Theory 2.0, as well as a favorable Trump Presidency toward crypto currencies.
Elliott Wave Theory 2.0 Analysis
According to Elliott Wave Theory 2.0, ETH is currently in the early stages of the fifth impulsive wave, which began approximately four months ago. Elliott Wave Theory posits that market movements follow a predictable wave structure, with five waves in the direction of the prevailing trend (impulsive waves) and three corrective waves against it. The fifth wave is typically characterized by a strong bullish momentum, often exceeding previous highs.
Sabah Research notes the following key points from the Elliott Wave analysis:
Wave 4 Correction Completed: The recent market correction (Wave 4) provided ETH with a strong support level, forming a foundation for the next impulsive phase.
Wave 5 Momentum Building: Early indicators suggest strong bullish momentum as ETH's price action aligns with historical patterns observed in previous fifth waves.
Target Price of $4,900: Based on Fibonacci extensions and historical price behavior, the fifth wave is projected to push ETH to a new ATH of $4,900.
Disclaimer: This research is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
$ETH.D x $BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D x CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ⏳
While #Ethereum dominance is at all-time lows in terms of momentum, it is also poised for a comeback in the Demand Zone
#Bitcoin dominance is poised for a comeback in the Supply Zone region, even though it is at all-time highs in terms of momentum
The current situation can be seen as an important indicator for #Altcoins, but the rise of bitcoin and the decline of bitcoin dominance will be a sign of the #Altseason we have been waiting for so far.
Daily Analysis of Ethereum – Issue 237The analyst believes that the price of { ETHUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
ETH in long termEthereum Weekly Analysis: Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern in Play
Ethereum (ETH) is displaying a textbook inverse head and shoulders pattern on the weekly time frame, signaling a potential bullish breakout ahead. Here's a detailed look:
📌 Pattern Structure:
Left Shoulder: Formed around mid-2024 after an initial dip and recovery.
Head: A significant deeper low around late 2024, marking the pattern's base.
Right Shoulder: Currently forming with a higher low, completing the structure.
📏 Neckline Resistance:
The yellow horizontal line at approximately $4,000 marks the neckline resistance. A confirmed breakout above this level could validate the pattern and signal a bullish trend continuation.
📈 Measured Move Target:
The projected upside from the breakout is approximately $7,800, calculated by measuring the distance between the head's low and the neckline and extending it upward. This represents an 86.73% potential gain from the breakout point.
💡 Key Observations:
Volume confirmation will be critical to validate the breakout.
A breakout above the neckline would suggest strong bullish momentum, while rejection could lead to a retest of the support levels.
📊 Conclusion:
This inverse head and shoulders pattern on ETH's weekly chart is a bullish setup, with a potential move to the $7,800 region if the neckline resistance is broken. Traders should watch for confirmation signals and manage risk accordingly.
What are your thoughts on this pattern? Share your insights in the comments below! 🚀
ETH/USD "Ethereum" Crypto Market Heist Plan on Bearish Side🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ETH/USD "Ethereum" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade at any point,
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest high level.
Goal 🎯: 3000.0
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
BNB goes to $1,000 ?Through the ups and downs , all we see is BNB maybe one of strong crypto coin that still having pretty solid supporters.
Now (Dec 25th 2024) we're still hovering near resistance level $700-$750.
Look at XRP , BGB, and other coins that been through long long long time in sideways , we should suspect that BNB will soar high anytime soon!
BNB $1,000 is real ?
ETH/USD Main Trend Pamp/Dump Cycles. Accumulation/distributionThe time frame is 1 month. The graph is logarithmic. The main trend is almost entirely from May 2016 (the network was launched on July 30, 2015). Then the “hacking” story and a fork in ETC (initial) and ETH (more centralized).
A week later, ETH will become even more centralized and no longer a cryptocurrency (a true understanding of what a cryptocurrency is). In a year or two, there will be no cryptocurrencies left. No decentralization, complete centralization (substitution of concepts, to achieve the goal).
Coin in coinmarketcap: Ethereum (ETH)
The graph shows accumulation zones and distribution zones. These are not lows and highs. Notice how the percentage of the average of the smart money set and reset prices differs from the percentage of the maximum lows and highs that the “dumb money” is so chasing. Potential lows and highs may need to be considered, but the basic work should focus on average values of the accumulation and distribution.
Here's how this main (long-term trend) looks like on a line chart without “market noise”.
1 cycle of the secondary trend.
The accumulation zone after the distribution started at -92.69
Before the exit from the accumulation and the reversal, it reset at -69%.
It is up to you to use it or just watch from the side. You should always keep it in mind.
Linear chart (trend direction without market “noise”)
Note that the super reset of -69% before the trend reversal on the line chart is simply not visible. This is all local fear for capitulation of “weak hands”.
So at such times you can use it or watch from the sidelines if you feel you are the “weak link”.
Even larger scale between the two cycles.
cycle 2 of the secondary trend Now.
The cycle is now on a larger scale. Note that the price is now down from the high of -82%
Linear graph.
Local secondary trend work now ahead of Paris.
ETH/USD Secondary Trend (part). Pivot zones. Channel. Paris
Timelapse of ETH's Daily ActionTimelapse of ETH's Daily Action 🎥📉" Post: "See how ETH's daily price action played out in this timelapse! 🌟
📍 Annotated with crucial support and resistance levels.
🔎 Were these levels respected or ignored?
Dive in and comment your analysis below! #ETH #Crypto #Trading"
ETH Daily Action Levels Annotations
Highlight key support and resistance zones.
Annotate consolidation areas to identify possible accumulation or distribution phases.
Mark breakout or breakdown points, especially where trends began or ended.
ETHEREUM - ETHUSD | 15M | SCALPING TIMEHello guys, I made BITSTAMP:ETHUSD analysis for you. For this kind of analysis, please value my analysis with your likes Thank you very much to everyone who supports me by liking
SIGNAL ALERT
BUY ETHEREUM-ETHUSD | 3,393,9 - 3,328,7
🟢TP1: 3,450,0
🟢TP2: 3,545,0
🟢TP3: 3,866,0
🔴SL: 3,026,3
Medium Risk
Stay with love guys.
BTC/USD : Another Bullish Move Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that after our previous analysis, the price surged to $108,400 before experiencing a sharp decline, correcting down to $92,000. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $93,800. If the price manages to stabilize above the $90,600 to $92,300 range, we could anticipate further growth for this cryptocurrency. This analysis will be updated.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Scalping ETH thesis investment Ethereum (ETH) Trading Thesis – Summary
Objective:
Take Profit (TP): $3,500
Stop Loss (SL): $3,440
Overview: Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency, remains a leading platform for decentralized applications and smart contracts. As of December 24, 2024, ETH shows strong growth potential driven by technological advancements and increased adoption.
Technical Analysis:
Take Profit at $3,500: Identified as a key resistance level based on historical data and Fibonacci retracement, indicating potential bullish momentum.
Stop Loss at $3,440: Placed just below recent support to minimize losses if the price declines.
Indicators:
Moving averages (50-day and 200-day) suggest upward momentum.
RSI nearing overbought levels signals strong buying interest.
Increasing trading volumes support the current trend towards the TP target.
Risk Management:
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:1, balancing potential gains and losses.
Position Sizing: Limit risk to a small percentage of the portfolio (e.g., 2%) to manage exposure.
Diversification: Maintain a varied portfolio to mitigate overall risk.
Fundamental Catalysts:
Ethereum 2.0 Upgrades: Enhancements in scalability and efficiency bolster ETH’s value.
Growth in DeFi and NFTs: Increased demand from decentralized finance and non-fungible tokens sectors.
Institutional Adoption: Growing interest from institutional investors supports price stability and growth.
Potential Risks:
Regulatory Changes: New regulations could negatively impact ETH’s price and adoption.
Market Volatility: High volatility may trigger stop losses or limit profit potential.
Technological Delays: Setbacks in Ethereum’s development could affect investor confidence.
Conclusion: Ethereum presents a promising trading opportunity with a clear strategy to take profit at $3,500 and limit losses at $3,440. Effective risk management and ongoing monitoring of market and technical indicators are essential for capitalizing on ETH’s potential upward movement.
Disclaimer: This summary is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Conduct your own research and consider your financial situation before making investment decisions.
ETHUSDT Analysis: Blue Box SetupBy now, you’re familiar with my blue boxes , so I don’t need to explain them in detail. This blue box represents a solid demand zone where I expect potential reactions, making it an excellent area for entry.
Key Points:
Strong Demand Zone: Blue box is an ideal area for potential price reactions.
Familiar Setup: You know how I use these boxes for better trading precision.
Risk Management: Always manage risk based on the current market environment.
Confirmation Indicators: I will use CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, volume footprints, and upward market structure breaks on lower time frames for validation.
Learn With Me: If you want to master how to use CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, and volume footprints to identify precise demand zones, just DM me. I’d be happy to guide you!
Reminder: Be aware of the market's current state and approach it with caution. Successful trading relies on meaningful levels and robust confirmations.
If you think this analysis helps you, please don't forget to boost and comment on this. These motivate me to share more insights with you! Wishing everyone success in their trades.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
The worst case scenario for Ethereum!I'm gonna make it real simple. Inverted head and shoulders is the pattern in lower time frame, therefore the price can start going up from here, breaks 4k and there will be the ult season an all that and the price can go up to 5.5K.
But
If Ethereum loses the 3K support and fails to hold 2.8K we are doomed BUT you will get the chance to buy ethereum at 1K again but then imo the price will bounce back tries to break the 4K resistance and if it does then even 6-7K will be possible.
if the worst case scenario happens alt coins won't drop that hard but many of them can form a double bottom pattern. So you might want to wait before buying and you might want to get yo $$$ ready to buy the dip.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support.
Pivot: 3,524.74
1st Support: 3,217.92
1st Resistance: 3,713.01
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Check support at important support and resistance zones
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise around 3265.0-3321.30.
If not, and it falls, it is possible to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, we need to check whether it can rise around 2706.15.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near the important support and resistance area of 3265.0-3321.60 and rise above 3438.16.
If not, it is likely to fall to around 2895.47 to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
The point to watch is what kind of movement it will show as it passes through the next volatility period of ETH, around December 27 (December 26-28).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Total Market CapTotal Market Cap started a parabolic run from the beginning of 2021 after the breakout and retest in December 2020, which was the 2017 ATH level ($761B).
The breakout at the 2021 ATH level ($3.01T) in December 2024 has been co!mpleted and is being retested!
I think the countdown to the parabolic run has begun for CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:ETH and #Altcoins
Will Ethereum reach $8500 ?Ethereum (ETH) has been a focal point in the cryptocurrency world, drawing both admiration and skepticism. As Q4 unfolds, Ethereum has shown remarkable resilience, staying on its intended path despite market fluctuations. This article explores Ethereum's journey, its current standing, and the potential for it to reach the ambitious target of $8,500.
Everyone criticizing Ethereum should take note: ETH is still on track and hasn't deviated from its course. In Q4, Ethereum was never expected to reach new all-time highs (ATH). Despite performing better than anticipated, ETH remains steadfast on its intended path. It exhibited a bearish pattern, forming higher lows and lower highs before stabilizing. It then marked a higher low, established a bear market high, broke through this high, retested it just before Q4, and began its upward trajectory.
Here's how the forecasted ETH pattern looks—believe me, we're still on track. 📈
Ethereum's chart demonstrates a clear path forward, with key indicators suggesting sustained growth. The technical analysis points towards Ethereum reaching significant levels, with the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level being a crucial milestone.
I believe $8,500 is a realistic target for Ethereum, corresponding to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level. The Fibonacci extension tool is commonly used in technical analysis to predict future price movements based on past price trends. The 2.0 Fibonacci extension level suggests that the price could potentially double from its previous move. In this case, reaching $8,500 fits within the expected range of this extension level, making it a plausible target.
When ETH's price reaches the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level, its market cap will be approximately $625 billion, reflecting a 155% increase. If the price continues to rise and reaches the 2.618 Fibonacci extension level, the market cap would soar to around $859 billion, marking a 214% increase. These levels are calculated based on today's price.
To all the Ethereum doubters out there: Keep talking while ETH keeps building. 📈 Your doubts fuel our progress. Watch and learn! 💪🔥
Ethereum's journey is far from over, and its resilience in the face of criticism only strengthens its position. As it continues to build and innovate, ETH is poised to reach new heights, potentially hitting the $8,500 mark and beyond.
Ethereum's path is filled with potential, and the signs are pointing towards significant growth. With the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level serving as a realistic target, $8,500 is within reach. Whether you're an investor or a skeptic, keeping an eye on Ethereum's progress is essential, as it continues to defy expectations and carve its path in the crypto world.
BTC enters the parabolic stage of the bullmarketPredicting the tops and bottoms of Bitcoin - in a macro sense - is not that easy. But some indicators can give us a clue or kind of sense of caution warning when to exit or enter the market.
One of them is the "MVRV Z" indicator. It is a chart indicator that uses blockchain analysis to identify periods where BTC is extremely over or undervalued relative to its "fair value".
Historically it has been very effective in identifying periods where market value is moving unusually high above realised value. It also shows when market value is far below realised value, highlighted by the green lines. Buying Bitcoin during these periods has historically produced outsized returns.
This chart indicator is generally useful for predicting Bitcoin price at the extremes of market conditions. It is able to forecast where price may need to pull back when the score enters the upper red hot periods and also when price may rally after spending time in the lower green band.
Historically it has picked major Bitcoin price highs to within 2 weeks.
So far BTC has done a great job holding in the middle value band. It's in the stage of taking the next leap breaking out of it to the upside completing the bullmarket, also referring to past historical breakouts which happenend in similar fashion after a long lasting bearmarket.