Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is an overlap support.
Pivot: 3,767.39
1st Support: 3,500.20
1st Resistance: 4,029.37
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ETH Ethereum Bear Market If you haven`t bought the recent Double Bottom on Ethereum:
Now you need to know that historically, Ethereum has shown a tendency to retrace in December before starting a recovery around March. This pattern could repeat this season, with ETH facing selling pressure as year-end portfolio rebalancing and macro uncertainties weigh on the market.
While a brief Santa Claus rally might provide temporary relief, the bearish trend is expected to dominate until March. By then, ETH could trade below $3,000 before regaining momentum, aligning with its historical recovery trend as market conditions stabilize in spring.
Bullish DIP: ETH $2530 Before Massive Move to New ATHPrior cycle fractals show that ETH has a macro resistance which lasts multiple years.
Upon touch of resistance at the bottom of wedge it will drop more than 30% - before pumping multiple thousands of percent as the flagship coin for alt season.
This is probably what will happen with the current dip. The entire crypto market is currently being controlled by this phenomena - a one week 'flippening'.
Alts will follow in ETH's lead and the bull market frenzy will truly begin.
Not financial advice, for entertainment only.
ARB Long Spot Trade (Bullish Momentum with ETH Adoption) Market Context:
ARB is demonstrating bullish momentum in alignment with Ethereum’s adoption surge. A clear structure shift is evident, with ARB printing a higher high and reclaiming its range low. A retest of this range low and the 200-day EMA as support provides an ideal entry point.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $0.74 - $0.79
Take Profit Targets:
First target: $1.30
Second target: $1.80
Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.60
This setup combines strong technical confirmation and Ethereum’s broader trend, offering a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity.
Ethereum does not appear to intend to correctThis analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
It seems Ethereum aims to reach the $5000-$5300 range without any significant correction.
Momentum-driven large green candles, higher lows, and the absence of a drop after sweeping liquidity pools above the chart indicate that Ethereum is bullish.
If it retraces to the green zone, we will consider buying.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ETHUSDT Trade LogETHUSDT Daily Long Setups
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Long positions distributed across 3 key daily Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) as part of a DCA strategy.
- Entry Zones:
1. First FVG near $3,660 , offering a moderate discount.
2. Second FVG near $3,212 , aligning with deeper retracement and higher confluence.
3. Third FVG near $2,877 , close to major demand and psychological support.
- Risk-Reward: Each entry maintains a minimum RRR of 1:3, targeting the weak high near $4,200 .
Confluence Factors:
- Trend: Strong bullish trend intact, with price respecting the Kijun line and daily BOS (Break of Structure).
- Liquidity Sweep: Potential to trap shorts at lower FVGs, fueling a rally.
- Support Levels: Each FVG aligns with strong historical demand zones, providing high-probability entries.
Macro Context:
- Market Sentiment: Ethereum fundamentals remain strong, with increasing on-chain activity and sustained demand for staking.
- Correlations: Broader crypto market shows bullish sentiment, with BTC leading the trend.
- Economic Indicators: Risk-on environment as equity markets rally, supporting further upside in risk assets like ETH.
Execution Plan:
- DCA across all three entries for optimal risk management and exposure.
- Trail stops as price approaches $4,200 or weak high levels for partial profit-taking.
- Monitor macroeconomic news and potential resistance above $4,200 to adjust targets.
The key is whether it can be supported around 3438.16-3644.71
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
If you look at BTC Idea, I think you can understand the current movement.
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The important support and resistance range for ETH is 3265.0-3321.30.
If the price maintains above this range, ETH is expected to continue its upward trend.
To do that, we first need to check whether it is supported around the 3438.16-3644.71 range.
The reason is that if it is supported and rises near this section, it is highly likely to lead to an increase to renew the ATH.
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Similar to the movement of BTC, the high section is showing an upward trend.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is created at the 3831.12 point, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above that area.
If it fails to rise, it is likely to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart near the important support and resistance area.
At this time, if the HA-Low indicator is created, I think it will reset the uptrend so far and determine the trend again.
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The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that the low section has been formed.
Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator is created and shows support near that area, I think it is highly likely that a new upward wave will be created.
However, if it falls below the HA-Low indicator and shows resistance, it is likely to show a step-down trend because it is falling below the low point, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
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For now, you should check whether the price can be maintained and rise near the M-Signal and MS-Signal indicators on the 1D chart.
The next volatility period for ETH is around December 16, so the point of observation is what kind of movement it shows at that time.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire BTC section.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
As you can see from the LOG chart, the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the upward wave.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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ETH All Time High is NOT YET IN A fractal, a Fibonacci pattern, and Crypto logic tells me that the Ethereum all time high is still coming.
This could take some time - but the month of December seems likely as this is a period of euphoria around the world, and BTC is notoriously bullish over Decembers. Ultimately, it all depend son how long BTC can hold and trade range - This is when altcoins continue to rally.
What we need to monitor closely now, is the BTC market cap (to watch the liquidity) and the Bitcoin Dominance Chart. A hard drop in BTC.D signifies the "beginning of the end" for the BTC bull cycle, but also the last impulse of Altseason.
More on that HERE:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:ETHUSDT
ETH/USDT : More Bullish Move Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Ethereum chart in the weekly (logarithmic) timeframe, we can see that the price is still within the range we discussed a few weeks ago. As mentioned earlier, the $2100 to $2450 zone is a critical support and demand area. After Bitcoin's rise above $74,000, we can anticipate a similar strong move from Ethereum. The next targets for Ethereum are $2820, $3079, $3700, and $4090.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Ethereum Price Near Breakout: What's next?Hello traders,
Exciting news for Ethereum enthusiasts! ETH price has surged to its highest point since March and approaching a crucial resistance level of $4,080. Breaking this resistance could pave the way for Ethereum to retest its ATH.
A breakout above $4,080 could signal a strong bullish trend, potentially opening the road to $4,800. This isn't just great news for Ethereum - it could also spark momentum for other altcoins, creating more trading opportunities across the market.
After touching resistance level at 4080, ETH price started to correct a little bit and can drop up to 3740 support level, from where it can resume its uptrend.
Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below and don’t forget to boost this idea.
Happy trading!
$BOBO Surges 75% in Just 5 Days, Poised for More GainsIn the dynamic world of cryptocurrency, where meme coins can rocket to fame with viral speed, $BOBO has captured the spotlight with a staggering 75% surge in just five days. This Ethereum-based memecoin, known for its bearish mascot Bobo the Bear, is now making bullish strides, reflecting both its cultural resonance and market potential.
Origins and Community
Bobo the Bear, a creation from the internet's meme culture, particularly from 4chan's /biz board, stands as a satirical emblem of bearish markets. With a design echoing well-known memes like Apu Apustaja and Pepe the Frog, $BOBO has cultivated a robust community led by the likes of "rekt_teka NYSE:HI ". This community not only drives engagement but also supports the token through initiatives like the Bobo Council NFTs.
Project Fundamentals
$BOBO's structure includes zero tax on transactions, burned liquidity, and a renounced contract, providing a strong foundation for investor confidence in the often risky memecoin landscape.
Market Cap Dynamics
Having achieved a market cap of $100 million, $BOBO has proven its ability to attract significant investment, particularly notable in a sector where high Ethereum transaction fees can deter smaller trades. Its trading volume, despite a recent dip, still stands robust at $4,525,586 in the last 24 hours.
Technical Analysis
After touching an all-time high of $0.000003434 in June 2024, $BOBO's current price, though down by 51.32% from that peak, shows resilience compared to its all-time low of $0.000000007892 from June 2023, now up by over 21,000%. This indicates a strong potential for recovery and further growth.
Market Position: Recently, $BOBO experienced a 3.17% drop, entering what technical analysts might see as a consolidation phase, possibly at the 65% Fibonacci retracement level. This could be an advantageous moment for those looking to invest long-term, especially in light of Ethereum's recent price stabilization.
Exchange Exposure: With primary listings on MEXC and a presence on decentralized platforms like Uniswap V2, $BOBO's liquidity and visibility are currently limited. However, increased listings on more centralized exchanges could catalyze further price escalations.
Market Sentiment and Future Outlook:
The recent 75% surge over five days underscores $BOBO's appeal in the current market cycle, where memecoins are gaining traction as investors chase the next big cultural hit. This surge not only reflects strong community backing but also the token's alignment with broader market trends favoring the meme economy.
Comparative Market Performance: $BOBO has significantly outperformed both the general crypto market and other tokens within the Ethereum ecosystem over the last week, with a 25.90% increase.
Long-term Prospects: As the market potentially gears up for another bullish phase, $BOBO's current consolidation could serve as a strategic entry point for investors. Its cultural significance, combined with sound tokenomics, positions it well for future growth, particularly if the crypto narrative continues to favor memecoins.
In summary, $BOBO's recent performance is not just a testament to its meme status but also to its strategic positioning within the cryptocurrency space. With a community that champions bearish humor yet supports bullish investment, $BOBO could be on the cusp of further significant gains. Keep watching this space - Bobo might just lead the next memecoin charge.